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Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by alberth on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:20AM (#32509991)
While I fully agree it gives Apples a huge advantage to be on a better node than competitors by 2+ years.

But this is also a free market.

Apple is both willing to pay more and has the needed scale to buy up all capacity. If someone else wanted to both pay more and buy up all capacity - they have the ability to do so.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by titzer on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:29AM (#32510147)
What you have described is not a free market, but in fact 100% monopolistic anti-competitive moves that fall under anti-trust regulations.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by onlyrealcuzzo on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:35AM (#32510245)
I hate Apple and monopolies as much as anyone. But, no - what was described is not anti-competitive at all.

If - in addition to what was described - part of the deal is that Apple would only make the deal if TSMC would not add any more capacity for 2 years NO MATTER WHAT - that is blatantly anti-competitive and monopolistic.

If no one else is willing to pay for TSMC to build another facility to produce more chips - then that's a free market. Apple was the highest bidder and won.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by scratcheee on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:21AM (#32510913)
It would be a lot simpler if anti-competitive behaviour only encompassed clearly immoral and unfair behaviour, but it tends to be more nuanced than that. There's no simple rule and a court would probably have to spend a long time concidering such a case.

The essential facilities doctrine might apply (the question isn't whether competitors are literally forbidden from the latest chips, it's whether they're "practically or reasonably" unable to access the latest chips, and all evidence suggests that's currently the case). Possibly it's the competitors own fault for refusing to pay the entirely reasonable price TSMC is insisting on, and perhaps Apple's contract with TSMC actually has carefully written clauses to ensure others could practically gain access without having to spend enormous amounts of money, but which nobody has been willing to use for their own reasons, but it certainly seems possible that the contracts effectively ensure Apple have sole access to the latest hardware, which would line up neatly with the apparent scenario we're in - that Apple currently has sole access to the latest hardware.

That's not to say it's a slam dunk case either. I wouldn't care to guess either way.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by adam_arthur on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:40AM (#32510323)
Monopolistic behavior is subjective.

Shutting out all competitors from new technology for years by outspending them (arguably from profits largely made via other monopolistic like behaviors) could qualify for many.

I'll never understand the endless parade of apple goons who rush to defend them at every turn. Use some critical thought instead of treating it like sports

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by jlmorton on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:49AM (#32510455)
What you're describing is a monopsony, not a monopoly. And Apple is not by any contortion of the imagination a monopsony for chips. Apple and Samsung are the largest buyers, but they're barely cracking single digits market share.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by adam_arthur on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:51AM (#32510472)
I'm not describing a monopsony.

I'm describing a company that is able to pay far higher than competitors due to anticompetitive practices which drive their margins far above what would be realized in a truly competitive environment.

I'd gladly like to see the alternative timeline where Microsoft charged 30% for all software on windows and where you and others shamed them for it. Because I know for a fact all of those defending Apple here would have at the time

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by scarface74 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:35PM (#32511845)
Most of the successful companies outside of games either don’t allow in app purchases at all and you pay for the subscription outside of the App Store or give users the choice of paying outside of the App Store.

And if you look at their revenue breakdown, it’s clear that most of it comes from hardware.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by anonuser123456 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:34AM (#32511081)
Name a product Apple sells that Apple has a monopoly on.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by adam_arthur on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:40AM (#32511153)
They have a monopoly on providing services within iOS.

When an ecosystem becomes large enough, societally impactful enough, and is controlled exclusively by one entity, that qualifies as a monopoly within that ecosystem.

You remove any capacity for competition to drive down margins. Apple can ban Spotify tomorrow to promote apple music on their devices, for example. Not anti-competitive in your mind?

You have two gated monopolistic ecosystems, choose the one you want to be gouged by. In a competitive environment, margins get compressed close to cost to deliver. If a company can achieve huge margins on items that could otherwise be much cheaper to deliver in a competitive environment, that qualifies as anti competitive.

How much does it cost the supplier to host apps via CDN? Or to process a single payment? Apple can take as much margin as they want on these because nobody else is allowed to provide those services within their ecosystem

The law will adapt to this, it's quite obvious to those that are unbiased.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by onlyrealcuzzo on Thursday August 18, 2022 @02:21PM (#32513116)
> You remove any capacity for competition to drive down margins. Apple can ban Spotify tomorrow to promote apple music on their devices, for example. Not anti-competitive in your mind?

The amount of REVENUE Apple makes from iTunes is likely less than $5Bn per quarter.

Apple is not using their iTunes monopoly to buy chips.

They're using their insane amount of phone sales (at absurd profit margins) to buy chips.

Again, I hate Apple as much as anyone. Anyone who thinks Apple is a monopoly in phones is a moron. They don't even own 30% of the smartphone market...

I agree Apple is anti-competitive within the ecosystem of the iPhone. That's not going to change their ability to buy all of TSMC's chips.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by codehalo on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:50PM (#32512060)
> You have two gated monopolistic ecosystems, choose the one you want to be gouged by.

Is there some number of gated ecosystems that we get gouged by that would be considered acceptable and non-monopolistic? Three, ten?

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by adam_arthur on Thursday August 18, 2022 @02:09PM (#32512979)
It has nothing to do with competition between platforms, but competition within those platforms.

When a platform reaches a sufficient size (subjective), it must be opened to competition for services provided within that platform.

We're talking about the base operating system for global computing here, not a car's dashboard system

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by dwaite on Thursday August 18, 2022 @05:40PM (#32515226)
> They have a monopoly on providing services within iOS.

This sounds similar to how Torvalds has a monopoly on services within mainline Linux?

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by slt2021 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @03:47PM (#32514044)
mobile phone market.

You can poll your friends, colleagues, and relatives - how many people use iPhone vs something else. If % is more than 50%, then apple is monopoly effectively

same with mobile tablet market, just make a table of how many ipads vs alternatives.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by philsnow on Thursday August 18, 2022 @04:11PM (#32514296)
> You can poll your friends, colleagues, and relatives

It only makes sense to do this on the level of a governing body, because the term 'monopoly' is defined by governing bodies and the remedies against it are enforced by the same.

You can cherry-pick / gerrymander any group you want to make it look like Apple has a monopoly by the numbers, but in order to make it stick you'd need to demonstrate that Apple fixes prices (they don't, their phones cost ~2x or more what competitors' phones cost) or that they're somehow excluding other competitors from access to the phone market (they're not).

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by slt2021 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @04:22PM (#32514412)
the current definition of monopoly is coming from industrial ages, when all goods were perfectly replaceable with each other, like steel, tobacco, or grain or other commodities. From this point of view, prices of goods are similar to each other and using market share (in units sold) is good enough proxy to identify monopolists (identify monopolists using topline approach)

However, iPhone is not a commodity, it comes bundled with an OS and plethora of apps and services, the whole ecosystem.

per this report ( https://www.imore.com/apple-takes-75-smartphone-profits-desp... ) it says apple is taking over 75% of profit pool of the market, despite selling only 13% in units.

If we identify monopolists using bottom-line approach, then Apple will be a clear monopolist. As would be Facebook and Google. as they should be, if lawmakers truly cared about public good

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by dwaite on Thursday August 18, 2022 @05:51PM (#32515324)
> If we identify monopolists using bottom-line approach, then Apple will be a clear monopolist.

Per the parent, the challenge is to convince governments to take your proposed approach. Repeating the argument to try to convince a HN crowd is not just non-productive, but counter-productive if it doesn't move toward this goal.

Taking away property and/or converting investments into a utility when a business becomes too successful results in a lot of nasty byproducts and most governing bodies will shy away from this.

Instead, you likely see the issue completely side-stepped. Nobody truly cares about labelling Apple a monopoly or declaring iOS to be a somehow accepted as a market onto itself - they want a change in behavior.

The challenge is how to side-step this when per the letter of the law, they have literally done nothing wrong. For instance, the EU will likely get a lot of pressure due to new regulations being solely against US-headquartered countries for the primary benefit of companies in the EU.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by slt2021 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @01:20PM (#32512422)
Imagine Microsoft charging 30% of sales for every Windows app developer.

Actually, if this were to happen back in the days, we would have everyone on Linux Desktop already...

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by adam_arthur on Thursday August 18, 2022 @02:25PM (#32513169)
Not a chance Linux would have won out, even then
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by ksec on Friday August 19, 2022 @10:27AM (#32521381)
>by outspending them

>I'll never understand the endless parade of apple goons who rush to defend them at every turn.

May be because people are not defending Apple but actually giving the correct account of the story?

I dislike modern Apple, or Tim Cook's Apple. But doesn't mean I would agree what they are doing ( in the context of TSMC ) are monopolistic. Without Apple, there would be no N3 by 2023. It is as simple as that. Apple in this case is not a customer, but more like a partner who are willing to invest ( and take the associated risk ) and spend to get and push for the latest technology.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by rblatz on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:05PM (#32511477)
Samsung owns their own chip fabs, if they can’t keep up then that’s on them for not putting enough into R&D.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by 2OEH8eoCRo0 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:12PM (#32511562)
What if we found out they were shredding all extra silicon so that competitors cannot get them?

Backing up though I think it's interesting that Apple has so much money that they can afford to buy up leading nodes for years. Why do they have that much money? I think it's obviously because of anti competitive behavior elsewhere such as their App Store which basically gives them a money printer.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by scarface74 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:41PM (#32511940)
This is clearly false. They break down their revenue every quarter, hardware revenue dwarfs services revenue. Even within their services revenue there is Apple Music, subscriptions and the reported 14 billion a year that Google pays Apple to be the default search engine.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by katbyte on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:32PM (#32511810)
Their hardware is the real money printer as apple only make ~20% of its revenue from “services” which includes things like Apple TV, music, and iCloud storage.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by mort96 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:40AM (#32510327)
Free markets often result in accumulation of wealth and marketshare, with the big players making anticompetitive moves. Anti-trust regulations make the market less free.

The free market sucks. People need to stop valorizing it.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by adam_arthur on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:45AM (#32510416)
Competitive markets are what drive long term results for the economy, not free markets. Though the two often go hand in hand.

In a purely free market, monopolies can form and exist in perpetuity

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by varispeed on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:52AM (#32510503)
That's the problem, that has not been solved, because those corporations growing so big have enough money to buy any politician or government.

To have a truly free market it should be accounting for this edge case - that is once a company grows beyond certain size it should by law be split.

There should be other provisions - for instance if the big corporation causes a legal trouble, they should match the legal team of they claimant - for instance, if someone is suing Apple because of an issue with their hardware and Apple sets aside £100m legal budget - by law they should be required to set £100m for the claimant, so there is level playing field. That of course only if the judge decides for the case to go on.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by mort96 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:14AM (#32510818)
I'm not sure what you're getting at. The definition of a free market is one in which private corporations can do what they want without government regulation; the more laws there are which regulate business, the less free the market is. So saying that a law which splits companies once they reach a certain size makes the market freer sounds like an oxymoron to me.

It would certainly have the potential to make the market work better and improve competition, but that's not what a free market is.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by varispeed on Thursday August 18, 2022 @03:04PM (#32513573)
It's not longer a free market if corporation big enough can capture it and essentially dictate the rules - and making it no longer free.

Corporations also can't do what they want - for instance they cannot commit fraud, evade taxes, sell dangerous products and so on.

You have something like that in sports, when in order for participants to compete freely, they are being tested for illegal drugs, so that no one has a unfair competitive advantage.

Free != do what you want.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by mort96 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @05:34PM (#32515176)
I think we're using different definitions of a "free market" here. I'm using something close to this one from Oxford which Google shows when googling "free market definition":

> an economic system in which prices are determined by unrestricted competition between privately owned businesses.

"Unrestricted competition", to me, clearly says that businesses should be able to compete without such restrictions as being split up by the government if they become too big.

Or this definition from investopedia (the first actual result on Google):

> The free market is an economic system based on supply and demand with little or no government control.

The government splitting up businesses is certainly a form of government control.

However, Wikipedia's first paragraph is:

> In economics, a free market is a system in which the prices for goods and services are self-regulated by buyers and sellers negotiating in an open market without market coercions. In a free market, the laws and forces of supply and demand are free from any intervention by a government or other authority other than those interventions which are made to prohibit market coercions. Examples of such prohibited market coercions include: economic privilege, monopolies, and artificial scarcities.

Apparently, the government imposing control and restricting competition is part of Wikipedia's definition of a "free market", so extremely harsh anti-monopoly and laws against anti-competitive behavior fits perfectly well in Wikipedia's definition, but makes the market less free according to the definitions I've been following.

The important part is, I agree that a lot of government intervention is required to make markets function efficiently. I just personally wouldn't call that a "free market", rather a well-regulated market.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by varispeed on Thursday August 18, 2022 @05:49PM (#32515314)
I broadly agree with your post, however, the "Unrestricted competition" as you define would only work in a vacuum. Company growing too big is creating restrictions for other companies - from being able to lobby government to increase regulation of the area they operate in, so that the barrier to enter the market is getting set higher and higher for new companies or ensure that the tax system is limiting the growth of companies that could in future become a competition. Other examples I can think of is when a big corporation is buying up the entire supply of parts that other businesses need to build their products. So a single whale move can wipe out entire sectors (that's how chip shortage is affecting small and medium business). So your definition of free market for me is like a great function that works very well, but crashes under edge cases.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by mort96 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @06:00PM (#32515396)
I 100% agree that the free market, under the definition I've been using, doesn't work. That's why my initial comment included "The free market sucks".
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by Workaccount2 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:52AM (#32510497)
Fortune favors the fortunate
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by lotsofpulp on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:00AM (#32510601)
In this particular example, it seems like fortune favored the company that invested billions of dollars and years of R&D in creating a combination of hardware and software that consumers desire.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by colinmhayes on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:31AM (#32511037)
When people say free markets they mean competitive markets. They're not free in a libertarian sense but in a competitive sense.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by 0x457 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @02:36PM (#32513284)
Well, Apple is essentially bankrolling development and production, so they get exlusive rights. Anyone is free to outbid Apple for this right, and also free to not impose that at all. Thanks to Apple's money, TSMC was able to secure a large chunk of ASML EUV equipment.

Also, Apple didn't make intel fumble their 10 nm process or Qualcomm to miss aarch64. Result of anticompetitive practices of intel and Qualcomm made them lazy and that resulted in this, not Apple buying TSMC capacity.

How is that not free market?

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by Kerrick on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:43AM (#32510365)
It’s a free market, but not a competitive market. Antitrust laws reduce the freedom of the market in order to increase competition, because it’s considered better for the majority of market participants to trade that freedom for competition.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by cpursley on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:31AM (#32510183)
How so? There are multiple chip makers (supply) and a huge pool of buyers (demand).

As a consumer, I can now go out and buy a machine with Apple silicone, Intel, AMD.

If anything, we're finally seeing some improvements after years of chip stagnation.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by cma on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:36AM (#32510255)
Apple did this with the ipod and later ipod mini too, full exclusivity for small drives in deals (covering music players only) to monopolize the segment, eventually across multiple additional drive manufacturers and technologies after the mini to keep it full monopoly. Everyone else was stuck for years with laptop drives that could never be pocketable.

I'm not sure if node exclusivity was why Apple has the first true wireless earbuds, there was one competitor first with some giant ones so I suspect so, but lots of competitors followed fast (other foundry's nodes were more competitive then). Anyone know the history on that and what nm chips were used by them and earliest competitors?

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by scarface74 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:44PM (#32511976)
And Apple was far from dominant in the computer market then and were small fry compared to the other computer companies with respect to its revenue.

Apple was just smarter and convince consumers to buy its products at a premium - just like with iPhones.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by cma on Thursday August 18, 2022 @02:19PM (#32513099)
> convince consumers to buy its products

Consumers couldn't buy products with a pocketable harddrive: Apple had exclusivity agreements with all manufacturers of them to completely monopolize their use for music players.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by scarface74 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @02:31PM (#32513235)
The story goes that IBM (?) shopped the hard drive around and no one was interested except for Apple. It’s still the lack of vision by other manufacturers.

Also remember that the iPod wasn’t an immediate hit and it only sold 1 million in total in its first two years. It wasn’t until two years later when it was made available on Windows.

Apple did the same with Flash storage before the iPod Nano came out. Any of its larger competitors at the time could have had the vision to see that flash based players were the future and ensure they had the supply.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by hnaccount_rng on Thursday August 18, 2022 @04:50PM (#32514708)
Apple was _years_ away from having the first wireless earbuds. I had The Bragi headphones (not Headphones) like 3 years before the AirPods got even announced. With basically all features sans handover but with an internal MP3 player and waterproof. Those were amazing but also somewhat clunky. But they were definitively long before Apple entered that market
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by smoldesu on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:38AM (#32510288)
Okay, let's take this same logic and move it up one layer of abstraction.

There are multiple fabricators (supply) and a small pool of chip manufacturers (demand).

As a chip manufacturer, I cannot go out and buy competitive silicon. I can't even get last-gen silicon. The best you can get is an improved 7nm node from Samsung, but nobody wants to run their CPU on the blood and guts of Exynos chips. So, by definition, I'd say that Apple has monopolized the cutting-edge lithography business through leveraging a partner.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by selectodude on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:29AM (#32511008)
A chip manufacturer absolutely could. Apple runs higher margins so they are willing to spend what it costs to get the bleeding edge stuff. Their customers appreciate the bleeding edge stuff and are willing to spend more to get it.

It isn't like Samsung and AMD can't afford to jump on new nodes, they just won't be able to raise their prices enough for it to make sense to them.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by Jensson on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:34AM (#32511074)
They can't, Apple has a contract to get all current supply, TSMC can't sell anything to AMD even if AMD paid more than Apple since they don't have any more to sell. They will get more to sell in a few years, but today they don't, you would have to go and convince Apple to sell their supply to you.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by selectodude on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:11PM (#32511555)
AMD has every right and ability to offer TSMC money for slices of that exclusivity. We know this because Huawei split exclusivity with Apple for the first batches of N5 back in 2020. I imagine it cost them a lot of money.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by krastanov on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:37AM (#32510277)
Not that I disagree with your overall message, but to nitpick: the "free market" is exactly the thing that fails into "100% monopolistic anti-competitive moves" without "anti-trust regulations". I do not want a free market, I want a regulated market.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by mentat on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:50AM (#32510469)
See regulatory capture.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by arroz on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:35AM (#32510236)
What monopoly?

Apple pays more hence they get the product

If someone else wants to pay more, they can get the product too

There are other foundries too, they could get their phone chip done with Samsung on a similar technology

What is true is that outside of TSCM and Samsung, you don’t have options for high end products

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by cryptonym on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:42AM (#32510361)
Monopoly: the exclusive possession or control of the supply of or trade in a commodity or service.

The fact they got more money than competitors and leverage that to get exclusive control doesn't matter much. Textbook definition of a monopoly. On legal side, IANAL, no idea if this could be illegal somewhere.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by arroz on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:49AM (#32510457)
Apple doesn’t have exclusive control over 3nm process

They will just get the first chips — maybe for the first year of production, idk

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by smoldesu on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:55AM (#32510538)
Yeah, this is what people said about 5nm too. Guess what? You can't even buy the 5nm node today because Apple still buys up the majority of it, and the few other competitors like Nvidia and AMD fight like animals for the scraps.

Whatever you want to call it, it's pretty anticompetitive. Seeing them do the same thing for 3nm doesn't inspire confidence that they're going to do the right thing this time around.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by ohgodplsno on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:03AM (#32510644)
Apple doesn't have exclusive control

Except for the first year where they take a headstart where nobody else can either have matching chips or figure out what issues come out of this process, making them get an even bigger advantage as they have stabilized their process on year 2 when everyone is barely building up.

Don't be a clown. You know fully well what Apple is doing.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by eldaisfish on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:39AM (#32511145)
if one were to make the argument of exclusivity, TSMC is the right example, not apple. As much as i dislike apple's practices, they are paying what they can afford.

If other fabs were available, apple's ability to pay up would not be leading to accusations of anti-competitive behaviour.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by ohgodplsno on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:01PM (#32511419)
>If other fabs were available, apple's ability to pay up would not be leading to accusations of anti-competitive behaviour.

If I ignore reality and make up non-existent fabs, the extremely monopolistic, anti-competitive behaviour is not a problem!

>they are paying what they can afford.

The problem is not paying what they can afford, it's paying that in addition to forbidding TSMC from increasing their capacity on that node while the contract is ongoing. It's both paying what they can afford, and paying so that others can't afford it.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by hnaccount_rng on Thursday August 18, 2022 @04:57PM (#32514790)
Do they forbid adding capacity? I thought they basically finance the capacity in trade for the right to do first bid on any capacity for a certain timeframe. And they have the margins to just pay more than any competitor. AND they are also supply constraint. Ie it’s not that they buy stuff and then _not_ use it (on the contrary they are well known for carrying nearly no inventory)

If some other company is willing (or really: able) to make a competing offer, I’m not aware of TSMC not being interested in that. It just happens that the number of companies with the margins to spend what probably amounts to the GDP of a small nation is approximately zero (or one if you count Apple)

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by locutous on Thursday August 18, 2022 @08:40PM (#32516509)
> The problem is not paying what they can afford, it's paying that in addition to forbidding TSMC from increasing their capacity on that node while the contract is ongoing. It's both paying what they can afford, and paying so that others can't afford it.

Except they didn't have exclusive access? Huawei also bought 5nm. Intel contracted 3nm along with apple before backing out.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by 988747 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @04:53PM (#32514752)
>> it's paying that in addition to forbidding TSMC from increasing their capacity on that node while the contract is ongoing

Is there any proof that this is actually true? TSMC is currently building few new factories, I suppose they will produce 3nm chip in them.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by ksec on Friday August 19, 2022 @10:36AM (#32521499)
>The problem is not paying what they can afford, it's paying that in addition to forbidding TSMC from increasing their capacity on that node while the contract is ongoing.

I am sorry but that is simply not true. Sigh.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by scarface74 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:37PM (#32511869)
Another company would be free to hand TSMC money to build capacity. The Android market for cell phones is much larger than the iPhone market.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by mr_toad on Friday August 19, 2022 @03:26AM (#32518358)
> Monopoly: the exclusive possession or control of the supply of or trade in a commodity or service.

Except that Apple don’t supply or trade in chips. If they were buying up chips and hoarding them it might be considered a monopoly.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by titzer on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:03AM (#32510651)
I think you'd find it rude and, ultimately, unacceptable if a competitor with 1000x as much cash as you bought all of the raw materials that your business needs at a mark-up, leaving you completely unable to deliver any product whatsoever. That's rightly the kind of abuse of market position that is regulated by anti-trust laws.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by lostmsu on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:30PM (#32511791)
I think this is perfectly fine, and AFAIK is not regulated unless the competitor literally dumps the chips.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by ksec on Friday August 19, 2022 @10:32AM (#32521444)
Except this is not what is happening. They are paying to buy all the "Top quality" A grade materials, the competitors has plenty of choice to buy B grade materials.

The seller of Top Quality Material are in no position to sell their A grade material to all buyers.

Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by scarface74 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:45PM (#32511990)
Try starting any hardware company and see how far you get - even if you don’t need cutting edge hardware.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by moino06 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:58AM (#32510576)
Some people had similar arguments during the whole "break Facebook" thing. Ultimately, the free market took care of it (Tiktok).
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by ezconnect on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:50PM (#32512057)
There's only one buyer and that is Apple it's not anti-competitive or monopolistic. If there were more buyer the capacity will be increased.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by drexlspivey on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:52AM (#32510506)
Offering a higher price is anti competitive now?
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by yvdriess on Thursday August 18, 2022 @11:50AM (#32511269)
They key is who is offering the higher price and is there a pattern. A company with a dominant market position can use the resources that flows from said dominance to keep out competitors.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by scarface74 on Thursday August 18, 2022 @12:38PM (#32511889)
Apple neither has a dominant position in cell phones or computers.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by hnaccount_rng on Thursday August 18, 2022 @04:58PM (#32514803)
No, the key is offering a higher price AND then not using what you bought. Check out Apple’s delivery times. Those are still far from acceptable…
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by mytailorisrich on Thursday August 18, 2022 @10:50AM (#32510463)
The problem of monopoly is not with Apple but with TSMC.
Re:TSMC to begin 3nm chip production next month by Beltalowda on Thursday August 18, 2022 @02:31PM (#32513230)
> Apple is both willing to pay more and has the needed scale to buy up all capacity. If someone else wanted to both pay more and buy up all capacity - they have the ability to do so.

I think the issue is that the investment costs are so high that this ability is limited to a very small group of companies, as is the required knowledge.

I don't really know where I stand on this myself; in principle I agree with your point of view, but I also think it's a little bit too simplistic.