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Re:High prices will outlast the war by oxff on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:06AM (#30682109)
The west has this weird idea that destroying its living standards is the way to support Ukraine and combat Russia. My guess: won't happen. Russia won't change its course, but I will be paying 5e per liter of gas in september, all in name of some "democracy, freedom" in Ukraine. Supremely delusional state of affairs.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by JumpCrisscross on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:17AM (#30682173)
> destroying its living standards is the way to support Ukraine and combat Russia

It’s about degrading a volatile enemy. Shrinking Russia’s economy degrades its war machine. (The claim that impoverished Russians will revolt is crap. Starving, broken people don’t lead rebellions.)

If we had literally any better solution, we should take it. But we don’t. So we hope Russia weakens enough that it can’t invade Latvia while encouraging it to become a vassal of China’s.

Re:High prices will outlast the war by sdenton4 on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:54AM (#30682367)
Historically, food shortages are one of the surest routes to rebellion. Perhaps the people leading the rebellions aren't starving, but starvation is a real motivation to enlist.

That said, it seems unlikely that the sanctions will lead to starvation; the possibility of a Russian revolt or coup seems insane. (At least until it happens, and then it will be obvious.)

Re:High prices will outlast the war by baud147258 on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @06:17AM (#30683562)
probability of a revolt (of the people) seems so far unlikely, but a coup led by military/government elites with support from oligarchs is a possibility
Re:High prices will outlast the war by chupasaurus on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:55AM (#30682377)
The last revolution in Russia started because of the war and starvation...
Re:High prices will outlast the war by CorrectHorseBat on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:57AM (#30682389)
>The claim that impoverished Russians will revolt is crap. Starving, broken people don’t lead rebellions.

Rich people losing money lead them, starving people join them.

Re:High prices will outlast the war by throwaway290 on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @05:34AM (#30696859)
A rich Russian has offshore accounts and property in a few countries. One of their dozens of boats is expropriated and you expect them to fly to Russia and start a rebellion?

Middle-class people in the country with families to feed will not rebel and risk death; and when they become impoverished due to their government’s policies and global retaliation it will be too late.

Re:High prices will outlast the war by epistasis on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:14AM (#30682148)
This isn't just about Russia and Ukraine, it's also about China and Taiwan and Russia and what Russian imperialists call the "little russias."

Greater instability has far greater risks to your pocket book than some short term concern of tiny rises in fossil fuel costs.

Re:High prices will outlast the war by thriftwy on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @03:11AM (#30682474)
"Little russia" is not a condescending term, it's more like "asia minor", or "new york city" vs. "greater new york area".
Re:High prices will outlast the war by epistasis on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @10:54PM (#30694803)
I've only encountered it through two lenses: 1) non-Russian people taking offense to their land being called a "little Russia", and 2) imperialists in Russia using it to encourage invading other countries.

It might be used by some who don't consider it condescending, but many of those on the receiving end do consider it an insult. So, issuing a blanket "not condescending" can not be considered correct

Re:High prices will outlast the war by agapon on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @05:23AM (#30696804)
According to whom? I am a Ukrainian in Ukraine. Not Little Russian in Little Russia.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by radicalbyte on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @03:48AM (#30682670)
This always happens with Fossil fuels - they're controlled by a cartel, who - especially with the energy transition - have a vested interest in increasing the expense.

The solution is clearly to be building out a massive amount of renewable electricity whilst electrifying transport.

So in 10 years time politics in the US will not be driven by the whims of Saudi Arabia, Russia or some nut-job oil Barons in Southern states.

Re:High prices will outlast the war by MaxHoppersGhost on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:16AM (#30682160)
Or U.S. politicians could actually support the U.S. domestic oil and gas industry and the free world could have all we need. Instead we’re making the Saudis rich.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by antupis on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:25AM (#30682220)
Or start investing decarbonization, power2x, green and nuclear energy.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by hunterb123 on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:26AM (#30682222)
Why not both?
Re:High prices will outlast the war by shrimpx on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @12:28AM (#30695320)
Both, but burning fossil fuels is a holdover, not a long term strategy.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by hunterb123 on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:17AM (#30682171)
This is the answer.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by brnt on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:54AM (#30682361)
Degrading living standards? That's an overly dramatic way of saying gas prices went up.

The problem here is OPEC, not the war. There is plenty of gas and fuel to go around.

Re:High prices will outlast the war by decremental on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @03:06AM (#30682446)
Totally agreed. We're getting roped into a bullshit war that we have no reason to care about, by people who don't care one little bit about how it affects us. The grossest part is watching these quislings on the internet who have bought into the propaganda try to tell us we're the crazy ones for not going along with this whole scheme.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by runeks on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:15AM (#30682152)
No, the idea is that destroying the living standards of Russians will achieve peace — which is also highly questionable.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by mobilewatch7 on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @03:11AM (#30682470)
No the idea is to impair the Russian war machine and also to make credible the threat of sanctions to deter other future aggressor states
Re:High prices will outlast the war by russnes on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:22AM (#30682197)
It's not only that, it's also reducing our dependence on an untrustworthy counter party
Re:High prices will outlast the war by randomopining on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:17AM (#30682163)
What’s delusional? You support Russia taking Ukraine by force? Or you don’t care?
Re:High prices will outlast the war by trabant00 on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:55AM (#30682370)
Thankfully a commenter on HN has discovered a novel way to wage war that doesn't affect the economy. Please do share, you are about to revolutionize conflicts for the fist time in thousands of years.
Re:High prices will outlast the war by simion314 on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @02:15AM (#30682156)
>all in name of some "democracy, freedom" in Ukraine.

Sorry, but this is not some internal war between 2 political factions where some other big power intervenes to help their preferred faction. It is an actual freedom war where many people are killed, many others are forced to leave their country and if Putin wins it will not stop there, he will continue.

If you are from US I understand why you might be frustrated with wars already though, but the alternative of doing nothing is worse, is like we pay tribute to Putin and hope is enough and he won't invade half of Europe.

Re:High prices will outlast the war by benhurmarcel on Tuesday March 15, 2022 @06:11PM (#30692564)
> but I will be paying 5e per liter of gas in september

At least it would do something to help reduce climate change.