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Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by PragmaticPulp on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:44AM (#28018073)
> All of this stuff about workers disappearing and people reconsidering their lives is pretty much a sideshow of projected narrative that is detached from what is really going on.

Well said. We’ve been bombarded with news articles and thought pieces about how COVID has forever changed the workforce, how people are refusing to work jobs they don’t like, how people are quitting en masse because their employers won’t allow remote work, and how companies are abandoning office spaces in favor of full remote for months now.

Yet every time I dig for the actual numbers it turns out little has changed on the whole. It’s usually journalists taking isolated stories or small changes in certain statistics and re-casting them as society-wide social movements.

Many of these articles are simple clickbait so the reader can think “Duh, pay more!” But it doesn’t make sense that people would choose no job at all over a job that doesn’t pay the wage they want. People are obviously either getting other jobs somewhere, waiting for enhanced unemployment to end, or waiting for other life circumstances to allow them to return to work.

And like you said, many of these situations are the result of parents having to leave the workforce to care for children while their schools and daycares were closed down. People without kids may not realize how disruptive that was to families that had planned routines and jobs around kids attending schools and daycares. I suspect we’ll see sharper increases in employment when school is back in session and enhanced unemployment ends this fall.

There isn’t some large movement of low-wage people simply refusing to work because without other sources of income. The logic in that narrative just doesn’t make any sense.

This problem is temporary while the economy, market, and extended unemployment benefits transition back to normalcy. Journalists are seizing on the narrow window of change to try to insert more dramatic narratives, but those too will fade.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by UnpossibleJim on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:26PM (#28019524)
I can't speak to statistics at large, but anecdotally, my wife was laid off and we needed someone with our son during "home schooling" anyway, so she just continued on to get her degree since many universities have an online option at the moment (which should continue and expand). With the variant, we have this same option next year, though no unemployment and we'll just be a single income while she finishes up her last half year or so.

In our case, it wasn't the "refusing to go back to work to make a better life" narrative that's getting pushed; it's more the, she had to stay home with our son while he's in school, but what does she do while he's in school all day? You only have to be sort of involved. You might as well be productive, but you have trouble being productive enough to really work.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Closi on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:13PM (#28019390)
Also, when I hear about people struggling to recruit, it’s often minimum wage jobs on awful conditions.

People don’t want to work for absolute minimum wage on a temporary contract picking fruit? Colour me surprised!

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by throwawayboise on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:43PM (#28020162)
IDK about everywhere but I'm not seeing anyone still paying minimum wage. McDonalds is paying $12.50/hr for day, $15/hr for night work. That's $30k/year FTE for a job that you can learn in a week and that requires zero prior experience or education. And they are still begging.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by mgkimsal on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:55PM (#28020705)
there's still an issue of consistency. if you can get "regular" hours... say, 6am-11am, M-T-W-Th, for example, you can schedule your life around it.

30 years ago, I managed a Burger King, and even then, they had us send people home if it got really slow, or.. call up people and cancel their shift an hour before, because of bad weather, etc. Someone's already arranged childcare or transportation for their shift, then cancelling it same day is just not a way to work.

I would imagine that a lot of places are still like that today.

$15/hr sounds great, but if it's 20 hrs one week, then 7 the next, then 24, then 4... that's still a bit unstable for a lot of folks. For someone who has no dependents, or has a stable partner... it's probably doable.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Dylan16807 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:01PM (#28020740)
One of my dream labor reforms would be something like classifying any shifts that aren't scheduled at least two weeks in advance as overtime. It won't guarantee a steady number of hours but it will definitely help smooth things out and allow better planning.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by e12e on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:56PM (#28021091)
That is essentially the law in Norway - the work schedule need to be posted minimum two weeks in advance - and extra shifts should generally be considered overtime. Unfortunately it's probably one of the regulations that are most frequently broken.

Norwegian link: https://www.arbeidstilsynet.no/regelverk/lover/arbeidsmiljol...

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by adaml_623 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:38PM (#28021360)
So just to be clear if a company is not paying an employee the money they should be it is called wage theft.

So if Norway were having the same issues with employee shortages you could add the reason that maybe the employees are tired of having the company steal from them.

And maybe that's a factor common to other countries

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by throwawayboise on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:48PM (#28021041)
Will you also commit to buying a Big Mac and Fries between 12:00 and 1:00pm on Tuesday two weeks hence?

Also, I used to manage a McDonalds. Paying a bonus to have people come in on short notice to cover no-shows, sick calls, or unexpected business volume was not uncommon.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by mgkimsal on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:56PM (#28021097)
That's a nice idea (short-notice bonus). 30 years ago, no one had cell phones, so even trying to get ahold of someone on 'short notice' wasn't really possible. But it would have been a nice gesture to balance out the times we'd send people home early.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by scolby33 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:22PM (#28020476)
Just this week in Pittsburgh, I saw an official corporate poster up in a McDonald's advertising a "competitive starting wage" with an 8.5″x11″ sheet taped to it reading "STARTING RATE UP TO 10$/HR." I doubt they'll have much luck at ≤$10/hour. Sure, it's more than the minimum ($7.25/hour), but the "up to" weasel words don't give me confidence.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by syshum on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:29PM (#28022648)
"McDonald's" is a bit of a mixed bag, like most of the Fast Food Places. McDonald's owned stores are paying a minimum of $13 with the plan to go to $15 in the next few years, this was announced awhile back

The problem is McDonald's Corporate only owns 5% of McDonald's locations, the rest are franchise locations, thus a "McDonald's" crew member at a non-company store is not working for McDonald's but the Franchisee.. This is where you get the lower wages..

This allows McDonald's to get headlines about offering a "$15 min wage" while 95% of wearing an McDonald's uniform do not work for McDonald's thus do not get this wage

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by mjevans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:52PM (#28020229)
Bad bosses, unstable schedules / hours, not a career. Probably doesn't have "benefits", which everyone should have for a level playing field (so medicare for all, get value for our taxes).

Also, have you seen inflation lately?

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by alisonkisk on Sunday August 01, 2021 @01:28AM (#28024010)
That's the old minimum wage. $15 is the upcoming (catching up to inflation) minimum wage. People (especially people who have experience and education!, which is most people!) are really done working for below living wages.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by WalterBright on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:12PM (#28019909)
> companies are abandoning office spaces in favor of full remote for months now

On the other hand, traffic during rush hour seems to have returned to as bad as it ever was.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dv_dt on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:45PM (#28020178)
I think hn has a little bit of forgetful bias that their industry has probably the most amenable situation for remote work.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by mjevans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:49PM (#28020204)
All those new and used cars are now PPE bubbles and added freedom for people that previously took the bus or carpooled. If they make work at the office mandatory now we're going to see even worse than pre-pandemic commutes.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RobertKerans on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:13PM (#28020397)
[UK specifically] not seems, it has gone back to normal (as in pre-pandemic).
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by heurisko on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:58AM (#28018176)
One of the stories I often hear, is that people have decided to move house to the countryside, as they are now able to work remotely.

I don't know how true this is: are these people not concerned if their employer decides to reopen offices and require employees to work in the office again when the pandemic inevitably ends?

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by PragmaticPulp on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:31AM (#28018449)
> One of the stories I often hear, is that people have decided to move house to the countryside, as they are now able to work remotely.

This is the primary trick that journalists use in these stories: They find a couple examples of people doing something, interview them, and then pretend those people are a sample of a much larger movement. They don’t cite statistics or numbers, however easy to find, because putting a number on these movements would make the reader realize they’re nowhere near as large as the author wants you to think.

Using the “people moved to the countryside” example: Did we have a surplus of empty houses in the countryside before the pandemic? As far as I’m aware, we did not have huge numbers of empty houses just waiting for a pandemic for people to fill them up (except maybe Detroit, but I’m pretty sure people didn’t flock to Detroit).

Also, home prices and rents in cities didn’t fall dramatically during this period, which would be expected during an exodus event.

Even the stories about San Francisco population declines have been overblown, with many of the people leaving being quickly replaced by people looking for an opportunity to move in.

Journalists played up the countryside exodus stories because they’re romantic and people like to believe fantasies about people leaving the concrete jungle behind and living idyllic countryside lives, separated from their employers by miles of broadband connectivity. Yet none of the numbers support such supposed exoduses. Obviously a few people did it here and there, but pretending it was a common event and writing dramatic articles is dishonest.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:47AM (#28018571)
A counterpoint from France: media did report that for the first time in a very long time, home prices did slightly drop in Paris proper, while suburbs and "smaller cities" have seen a bigger rise than usual.

This means there must be more than just a handful of people leaving.

However, I do agree with GP's point about companies ending the WFH arrangements, especially given France's work culture. But then again, I've always found people around here to have a tendency of thinking fairly short-term.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Telemakhos on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:21PM (#28021253)
Before COVID there were between thirteen and seventeen million empty homes in he US, many due to foreclosure. There were (and likely still are) enough homes to house everyone, including the homeless, only the distribution is skewed so that there are few empty houses where jobs are (cities).
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by njfgyjnc on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:16AM (#28018845)
> Using the “people moved to the countryside” example: Did we have a surplus of empty houses in the countryside before the pandemic?

Actually yes. Before the pandemic, in the area I grew up in (Southern Appalachians) it was common for a house sale to take years, because there was indeed a surplus.

Remember ten years ago all the articles about urbanization and the young people leaving the country and suburbs to live in the city? That was real and the more remote places did in fact have a surplus of housing stock

I've personally seen one family move to the absolute boonies from a large metro and they just guessed that the breadwinner would be able to stay remote or find a new remote friendly employer if forced to move back. The latter happens

I'd probably have more anecdotes if I knew more than like five people

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by wintermutestwin on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:44AM (#28019130)
Maybe some people are so desperate to escape cities and endless commutes that they are willing to take the risk. My anecdata is that I spent 17 years with one megacorp because they allowed me to WFH back when there were very few places I could jump ship to and not have to move back to the Bay Area.

The small town I live in has seen a large influx of Bay Area remote workers as well. Again - all anecdata, but it is noticeable.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Pokepokalypse on Saturday July 31, 2021 @06:50PM (#28022156)
In my case; I found a job that was specified as "100% remote, even after COVID" - so I'm not super-concerned about that. Yes, employers lie, and in 1 year or so, they could easily come back and tell me I'm fired because I can't come on-site. (there is also a component of my job which could require me to go on customer site and work there; which I'm willing to do as long as they pay travel expenses).

I get that I'm very lucky to have landed such a gig. I hope many more do. Because when a worker has to bear the personal cost of sitting in traffic for 2+ hrs per day (burning gasoline and polluting the world while doing so), because his boss is uncomfortable with not being able to physically scrutinize his underlings - that's bullshit.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nicoburns on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:23AM (#28018367)
I imagine a lit of these people have gotten permission and made arrangements with their employers in advance.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bobthepanda on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:38AM (#28018504)
That being said, this is not necessarily easy even for large employers, because until now there wasn't a need to clarify if workers were subject to the income, payroll etc. taxes and employee protection, health insurance contracts of their working or resident state. It is totally possible to be a large Fortune 500 company in the US and not be set up to do paperwork in, I don't know, Alaska or Wyoming or Idaho.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nicoburns on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:21AM (#28018899)
I guess that's an issue if you move states. I'm in the UK, and I know someone who moved 8 hours away to a different part of the UK. Would never have even been considered pre-covid, but the evidence that they could work productively from home was there: they'd been doing it for a year already! They're a manager too, so regular collaboration is a given. It's just all online now.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bobthepanda on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:12PM (#28020389)
Keep in mind that 11 US states by themselves are larger than the entirety of the UK; Oregon, for example. I don't know if tax is assessed differently for say Scottish rather than English residents, and 32 US states are larger than England.

This is going to be an issue if you move anywhere within a country with a federal system of government. For EU residents I imagine this also gets tricky for people who decide to WFH from other countries.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nicoburns on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:41PM (#28020612)
Yeah, that was kind of my point. There's plenty of room to move within a US state without running into these issues. FWIW I believe the income tax system is the same across the UK. There might be different local taxes in Scotland, but your employer wouldn't need to concern themselves with those.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by jfk13 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:27PM (#28021293)
No, Scottish income tax is different, so the employer does need to deal with it. (Though I imagine most UK payroll systems have such options.)
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by davidgay on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:18PM (#28020862)
Scotland has a different legal system than England. It seems unlikely that wouldn’t have an effect on remote work?
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by LurkerAtTheGate on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:20PM (#28019463)
As someone navigating this right now - it's a mess. Business is in a no-income-tax state, I moved to 4% state, and it was deemed easiest to be personally responsible for paying quarterly estimates so the business isn't on the hook for paying business taxes to a state it doesn't do any business in. Some states, however, decided now was a good time to declare a single remote worker in their state means that company has a nexus there, and thus owes all corporate taxes to that state.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by closeparen on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:24PM (#28020000)
Judging by my coworkers and my company's Blind: lots of people did this; they're anxious but cautiously optimistic that the company will cave. If it doesn't, they think it's likely enough that they'll find different remote jobs.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by lumost on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:49AM (#28019167)
anecdotally, I think there is a fairly widespread belief that people can move to the country side for X years during covid then switch the property to AirBnB afterwords.

I'd also bet that many individuals are making long-term bets that they can continue working remote even if it means (slightly) less pay.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by willyt on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:05PM (#28020324)
I walked down through the financial district of London on a Tuesday morning recently and I did not see one single office worker sat at a desk in any office I passed. Just empty buildings with lights on and bored receptionists sat at front desks.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by whall6 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @09:48AM (#28018102)
Right. Why would I seek a job if the unemployment benefits pay me nearly as much to do nothing?
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by dazc on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:12AM (#28018805)
One of the UK employers currently moaning about a lack of workers had a policy of only employing people for 16 hours a week since this was the optimum hours a person could work whilst still receiving tax credits and housing benefit.

Around 10 years ago I was in the labour market willing to do pretty much anything and these kinds of jobs accounted for most of what was available.

Since I wasn't 'on benefits' I was at the other end of the equation. What I really wanted was a chance to work my way out of financial trouble - these kind of jobs only offered the opposite of this.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by gwright on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:33PM (#28019571)
This is a great example of perversive incentives driven by ill-conceived benefit rules.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by f0xytr0xy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:40PM (#28020605)
In some states in the USA a lot of service jobs will cap your work at 31 hours, to get around their own corporate policies of giving benefits to anyone who worked 32 hours or more.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by adaml_623 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:39PM (#28021378)
And any company that has done this might see it coming back and biting them even though they would never admit that they brought it on themselves
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by f0xytr0xy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:05PM (#28021549)
Probably not. USA is a capitalist-first, worker-5th nation.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by PragmaticPulp on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:00AM (#28018195)
And the employer perspective: Why would I try to compete with unemployment benefits that are ending in a few months?

The situation is temporary and has obviously causal factors that are coming to an end soon (unemployment benefits, school out for summer).

Journalists seem to be going out of their way to ignore these and pretend that something else is happening.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ajsnigrutin on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:03AM (#28018225)
The only shitty thing here is, that many companies will fail and close down in the meantime, meaning less jobs openings for people who just lost unemployment benefits.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by varjag on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:03PM (#28019836)
If there is still demand for their services, other more successful franchises will step in.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by alisonkisk on Sunday August 01, 2021 @01:34AM (#28024040)
That's the creative destruction of capitalism, eliminating net negative value enterprises.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by ryanobjc on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:59AM (#28019266)
Are you sure?

Those states that cut people off unemployment didn’t see a boost in employment rates. Sooo now what?

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nuker on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:11AM (#28018792)
> with unemployment benefits that are ending in a few months?

I don't think so. Zeta variant is coming.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by eropple on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:18AM (#28018860)
I hadn't heard of this, but the WHO seems to have indicated that this is no longer a variant of interest, let alone a variant of concern.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by wallacoloo on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:01PM (#28020741)
I believe it was a joke that, as emergency covid policies are extended a couple months as each new variant arises, and since there will be no end of variants for an endemic virus, that means the policies are actually permanent.

Or maybe I misunderstood.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by nuker on Sunday August 01, 2021 @01:46AM (#28024085)
you got it right
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by jonathanlb on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:54AM (#28018632)
It might be important to distiguish doing "nothing" from not being on the job market.

It's possible to contribute to society by making art, writing, cooking, spending time with family, caring for others, etc. as well as self-actualizing via exercise, reading, meditation, and so on.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by varjag on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:04PM (#28019841)
Meditation is very much doing nothing.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by goodpoint on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:21PM (#28019975)
Not at all.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by alisonkisk on Sunday August 01, 2021 @01:35AM (#28024045)
self-actualizing doean't pay bills.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by WalterBright on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:15PM (#28019932)
Not sure how self-actualizing is contributing to society.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by goodpoint on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:29PM (#28020044)
"Self-actualization is the complete realization of one's potential, and the full development of one's abilities and appreciation for life"

From most classical philosophers, to Einstein, Maxwell, Darwin and countless other, their work was nothing else than an act of self-actualization.

And because this is HN, shall I include Torvalds? The FLOSS movement started from volunteers.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by WalterBright on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:22PM (#28021661)
I appreciate my life. I don't see how that contributes to society.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by cbozeman on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:22AM (#28018360)
Because you have self-respect and shouldn't be taking handouts if you're capable of working?

No one capable of working should be taking unemployment, ever.

This is how social safety nets get demonized by politicians, and it works. A factory worker and mother of three who was making car parts from the start of COVID-19 until now and was never laid off and who never had the option of quitting work, fucking hates someone who sits on their ass collecting unemployment playing Xbox games all day. That's the relatively young Hispanic woman who lives down the road from me. I was fortunate; I already work remote so the only thing COVID did for me was restrict my dining choices temporarily here in Texas.

The answer to every problem we seem to face in America always ends up being, "Just throw some fucking money at it!"

I'm sick of it. Many of our problems couldn't be solved if we had literally quadrillions of dollars of cash. Sometimes - many times - it takes a lot of good old fashioned hard work, in the arenas of careful thinking, and then careful doing. Neither of which it seems either political party is particularly interested.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:44AM (#28018542)
I mostly agree with you.

However, it may not (always) be that simple. The media here in France reports that some industries, in particular restaurants, are having a hard time finding employees, with not enough people applying and even employees who were there before Covid hit leaving.

I don't know how actually true this is, but when they (the media) ask people why they won't go back, the main reason doesn't seem to be a preference for sitting on ass, but rather a realization that given the wages, those jobs were a terrible proposition. They claim instead to be looking at how they can improve their situation, like looking for work in other industries, going back to school, etc. Which I think is a good thing. How many random empty bars does a country really need?

Now maybe I'm being too optimistic, but I hope that that's true and that this will at least increase wages for those jobs.

But I can't help but think that all this soul-searching is helped by government aid and that, sooner or later, when that runs out, the people will have to get back to those jobs and then, whatever rise there might have been, will be swept away.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by effingwewt on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:55AM (#28018636)
Here in California every restaurant/fast food place is hiring. They all list the things they offer (PTO, 401k-no matching what you put in, and that's it). What they don't put on the signs is what they pay (minimum wage every single time), or the hours (always part time, always weekends, mostly if not always nights.

But obviously it's just that no one wants to work, it couldn't possibly be because no one wants part-time (especially because they change your days/hours and wait till the last minute to give you the next week's schedule so you can't plan around it and get another job). It couldn't possibly be because part-time minimum wage day-shifting jobs are literally worthless as these places are finding out.

I keep hearing owners whine and bemoan their lack of workers. What I have never heard of, not once, is an owner making less profit to pay their workers better to get the loyalty and hard work they want but refuse to pay for.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:04AM (#28018724)
> I keep hearing owners whine and bemoan their lack of workers. What I have never heard of, not once, is an owner making less profit to pay their workers better to get the loyalty and hard work they want but refuse to pay for.

I agree with you, but do those places actually make a lot of profit? Over here they seem to be pretty fragile operations, so I don't think there's that much they can shave off their profit and give to the workers.

I'm wondering whether, maybe, there are simply too many of those restaurants?

The reasoning goes "yeah, but if I raise my prices, people will go next door". Which is probably true for your random restaurant. But then maybe the issue is there's too many of them?

But of course, up until now, this was workable because many people were willing to put up with the bad conditions you've described for a low wage.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by 6gvONxR4sf7o on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:04PM (#28020318)
It tells me we need a higher minimum wage. No individual can raise prices without losing competitiveness, but clearly higher prices would fix some of these serious issues. A higher minimum wage would prevent the “they’ll just go next door” issue.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by lotsofpulp on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:59PM (#28020726)
It tells me the upper deciles of wealth have been enjoying life on account of the bottom deciles drawing shitty hand.

Less entertainment, vacations, eating out for many who previously enjoyed it will be the result.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:10PM (#28020811)
You may be right.

But then, the question becomes: what will become of these employees? Less eating out means less restaurant staff. But said staff are people who need to eat. Will they all go on social security?

Maybe, maybe not. But it's a question we should ask, as a society.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:08PM (#28020797)
> No individual can raise prices without losing competitiveness, but clearly higher prices would fix some of these serious issues. A higher minimum wage would prevent the “they’ll just go next door” issue.

That seems right on the face of it. But then there's another issue: are you sure that the same number of people would continue eating out? Personally, I wouldn't bet on it.

I don't often eat out, mostly because it's not something I particularly enjoy, but also because I find it expensive for what it is. If the prices were to rise, I would eat out even less. I doubt I'm the only one thinking like this.

It's not clear to me that raising the minimum wage, and therefore the price of a restaurant meal, would not have less people go out. And by less people I mean a drop high enough such that the sum of money spent eating out would drop. Which would mean there would be less restaurants which could afford to stay in business.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by heavyset_go on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:15PM (#28023193)
> It's not clear to me that raising the minimum wage, and therefore the price of a restaurant meal

This study[1] specifically looks at the effect of raising the minimum wage on restaurant prices.

What they found is that increases of 10% to the minimum wage are correlated with only a 0.36% increase of prices, and minimum wage increases may cause some prices to decrease, too:

> Many business leaders fear that any increase in the minimum wage will be passed on to consumers through price increases thereby slowing spending and economic growth, but that may not be the case. New research shows that the pass-through effect on prices is fleeting and much smaller than previously thought.

> By looking at changes in restaurant food pricing during the period of 1978–2015, MacDonald and Nilsson find that prices rose by just 0.36 percent for every 10 percent increase in the minimum wage, which is only about half the size reported in previous studies. They also observe that small minimum wage increases do not lead to higher prices and may actually reduce prices. Furthermore, it is also possible that small minimum wage increases could lead to increased employment in low-wage labor market.

[1] https://www.upjohn.org/research-highlights/does-increasing-m...

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by DougN7 on Sunday August 01, 2021 @08:08PM (#28031506)
That seems pretty hard to believe to me. I suspect they didn’t take into account all the efficiency gains technology has enabled in that time period. Otherwise let’s just increase minimum wage by 100% if it will only raise prices by 3.6%.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by syshum on Sunday August 01, 2021 @08:29AM (#28025790)
4 years ago I ate lunch out 5 days a week, and Dinner 2 pre Covid that dropped to 3 Lunches and 1 Dinner due to increasing prices...

Post Covid I am down to 2 Lunches and Dinner ever other week...

I am considering dropping to 1 lunch as lunches with tip are now climbing to $15-20 where 4 years ago I could easily get out of the door at most places for under $12 with tip for a lunch.

if Lunches go above $20... I cease it completely

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by syshum on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:41PM (#28022730)
you do understand how inflation works right? If all prices raise then the purchasing power of the person on Min Wage stays the same thus their situation did not actually improve any.

Further Inflation has the common effect of hurting the lower and middle classes the worst and increasing wealth disparity. There is multiple ways this occurs but one thing that is trending of late is that as the wage floor is raising you are not seeing the same levels of raise in other area's of income until you get into the top 10% or higher of wage earners. Today we are seeing inflation outstrip wages in many skilled labor categories.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by wyclif on Sunday August 01, 2021 @04:20AM (#28024721)
I agree with you, but do those places actually make a lot of profit?

In a lot of cases, they don't make as much as people think they do. Take supermarkets for instance. Many of them are hiring cashiers and shelf stockers right now, and they can't hire anybody because they can't pay enough to make the job attractive. Supermarkets and grocery stories have some of the thinnest profit margins in any business.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RHSeeger on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:16AM (#28018841)
Without trying to counteract your points about the pay/work/parttime/etc.... It's worth noting that a large number of restaurant owners make very little money. The margins/profits in that industry are razor thin. So the owner making less wouldn't be helpful, or even an option for many of them.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by eropple on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:19AM (#28018872)
Then shouldn't they be working more personally? Or shouldn't they no longer be in business? (And yeah, I'm well aware how much many small restaurant owners work. See door number two.)

People around here talk a lot about unsustainable business models. I don't think it's really any better if it's offloading its unsustainability onto its workforce, which is what's being described here.

From where I stand, as somebody whose career can be described (cynically but not incorrectly) as largely rendering people unemployed, there's a tension here that's only going to be resolved through the acknowledgement that there isn't actually a need for everyone to work to make the whole thing "go", and unsustainably poor work with poverty as the retribution for refusing to participate (as well as the reward for participating) is not a politically stable position.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by syshum on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:44PM (#28022742)
>>>that there isn't actually a need for everyone to work to make the whole thing "go"

So what is the proposal? Pay people to stay home forever? Who determines who gets a free ride paid for by productive people, and who has to be the ones that provide that free ride to others.

be sure to sign me up for the free ride, but I sure as hell do not want to work 50+ hours a week so other people can play Call of Duty all day.... I would rather let other people work and I play Call of Duty

And their lies the rub / problem with socialism... If everyone can have a free ride no one works

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Clubber on Sunday August 01, 2021 @02:04AM (#28024165)
Shorter work week, more vacations. Spread the work across more people. Instead of 1 person working 50 hours, have 2 people work 25 hours. Instead of 2 weeks off a year, have 2 months. Oh, and untie healthcare from employment.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Sunday August 01, 2021 @03:40AM (#28024545)
That was the idea behind the 35 hour work week in France. Didn't work out as expected: unemployment didn't go down.

More recently, they had removed some tax breaks on overtime, but it turned out that that only hurt the people needing to work overtime; still no effect on unemployment. At least some of the breaks are now back.

I think the broader issue is that most people having to work crazy hours with multiple jobs don't do it because they're workaholics, but because they have to, as in they can't get a single "normal" job that pays well enough for whatever reason. I'm not sure that putting random limits on the number of hours worked will increase the hourly wages.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Clubber on Sunday August 01, 2021 @09:51AM (#28026233)
I think the underlying issue even above that is we've automated away the need for workers, yet people still exist. So let's say our economy only really needs 100 million people to do stuff and there are 150 million people, that's an obvious disparity. What really sucks is automation is cranking up but the next generation will be even bigger than the Millennials, which were much larger than GenX. So in the next few decades we'll have 160 million people and only need 95 million people, etc. This will keep happening until something breaks.

At some point crimes of desperation will become rampant.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by throwawayboise on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:48PM (#28020198)
People need work to keep them occupied. It's built in to our psychology by evolution. We know that idle people cause most of the problems in society. So I do think there is a need for everyone to work to make the whole thing "go", if by "go" you mean have a peaceful, civilized way of living.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by eropple on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:59PM (#28020275)
This sounds teleological. I can find plenty of things to do, many probably more personally fulfilling as well as societally beneficial, than flipping burgers would be.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by toofy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:34AM (#28019033)
I think there’s some merit in what you say, I’m just not sure we would agree on how to define “…large number of restaurant owners…”

This is completely anecdotal, but I know three different restaurant owners and all three of them live very very comfortably. Again, that’s just anecdotal so probably not worth much.

While I don’t think anyone would suggest that a restaurant owner should live in poverty, at the same time I don’t think we would suggest a restaurant worker should be poverty levels of poor to ensure the owner lives the high life.

If a business cant supply both its owner and workers a livable wage, then we should expect the business to go under rather than expect (or demand) the workers descend into poverty.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by renewiltord on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:58PM (#28019798)
Counterexample: https://mobile.twitter.com/auren/status/1419149796284145667/...

I see hiring signs with dollar amounts on them all the time.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by secondcoming on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:52AM (#28018613)
> The media here in France reports that some industries, in particular restaurants, are having a hard time finding employees

It's the same in the UK. Farmers cannot harvest some crops because the cheap EU labour is no longer present and locals won't do it.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by atq2119 on Sunday August 01, 2021 @03:34AM (#28024516)
The cases are different though in that the UK situation is clearly mostly a consequence of Brexit. That doesn't apply to France.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by charlesu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:03PM (#28019837)
Who said these people aren’t working? I see a lot of people retraining, pivoting, and taking care of others. That’s work. Just because it doesn’t pay doesn’t mean it isn’t work or valuable. Being a stay at home parent doesn’t pay, but it’s clearly valuable.

Employment is a means to an end: basic survival. We do it because we’re forced to by forced scarcity. There may be virtue in work, but there’s no inherent virtue in employment.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by notpachet on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:09PM (#28019880)
This is a bit too reductionist for my liking.

Imagine, as a kind of empathetic thought exercise, that instead of someone taking handouts and playing Xbox all day, they were taking handouts and then doing online coursework to try and learn a new skill to make themselves more employable in the future. Does that still imply a lack of self-respect?

We're all effectively taking handouts to some degree or another just by participating in collective society. It's just a question of how much we're contributing back, and how. I try not to judge people too aggressively in terms of how they are contributing back; they may be doing so in ways that I cannot see.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by hellbannedguy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:09PM (#28019360)
I just head this same rap from a blowhard senator who's state is loaded with Covid.

"The self-respect that comes with working." Read this like you are nursing a hangover.

Americans are fed up with lousy jobs that treat them like crap.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by f0xytr0xy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:02PM (#28019826)
Most likely that senator is from a net-taker state like kentucky or arkansas, one that would be bankrupt without california and new york overpaying the fed to subsidize poor republican states.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bigbob2 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:18PM (#28021236)
There is also more affluence in California and the Northeast vs Middle America. Regardless of politics Middle America is not going to be granted the same economic opportunities as coastal regions.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by f0xytr0xy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:07PM (#28021565)
So, why should we subsidize them? I’m Californian and my taxes should go to help my home state, not those who hate me and my home?

Kentucky and the rest of those moocher states should pull themselves up by their boot straps, stand on their own two feet and sink or swim.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bigbob2 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @05:33PM (#28021743)
Because we live in a Union? The idea is that your state will be helped if the table is ever turned. Not everyone in Kentucky hates California and the people who live there. What you're essentially promoting is reducing the role of federal government, which is the same thing current Kentucky senators want. I'm sorry to be so blunt but to be honest your comment sounds hateful and ignorant.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by 8note on Saturday July 31, 2021 @06:29PM (#28022047)
I don't think it's likely that the Kentuckians would help out if the tables were turned
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bigbob2 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @06:39PM (#28022105)
This is just baseless speculation. Also that's a great reason why the federal government exists.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bdavis__ on Sunday August 01, 2021 @05:43PM (#28030324)
disagree. in times of peril, the states consider themselves part of the nation.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by cmmeur01 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @07:00PM (#28022197)
Why stop at taxes? Let’s talk about water, why should all these states be subsidizing California’s water use? Why aren’t they bootstrapping desalination plants? Quit mooching.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by briefcomment on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:45AM (#28018551)
Taking the handouts is the most rational thing to do. Why would you expect people to do otherwise? Relying on unspoken normative rules is maybe possible in a society with well defined and perpetuated values, but in our current society, utility far outweighs values in decision making.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by pillefitz on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:32AM (#28019023)
Lacking self-respect for refusing to slave away in bullshit jobs that destroy our environment directly or indirectly, make some rich guy even richer or take place in a toxic work environment you mean?
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by User23 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:27AM (#28018955)
Unemployment is one of the few ways government has ever done anything for me personally as opposed to general social goods. As a net payer into the system for the overwhelming majority of my working life I have absolutely no objection to getting a little of that money back when I hit a rough patch.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by spamizbad on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:05PM (#28019320)
Actually we solved a ton of problems by throwing money at it: poverty dropped significantly.

https://www.urban.org/research/publication/2021-poverty-proj...

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by bumby on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:53AM (#28018620)
>Because you have self-respect and shouldn't be taking handouts if you're capable of working?

FWIW, I agree with you. But this is a moral take, not an economist’s. I think most economists would say people act to maximize utility. In the real world I think it’s both but it’s very hard to regulate/incentivize morals

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by schwartzworld on Sunday August 01, 2021 @08:04AM (#28025686)
> doesn’t make sense that people would choose no job at all over a job that doesn’t pay the wage they want.

I don't agree. The pandemic is still very much happening and low-paid workers are expected to be on the front lines. If this had all happened when I was working retail, I probably would have made the decision to not go to work and catch covid while making 8/hr.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by mylons on Saturday July 31, 2021 @04:54PM (#28021457)
I’m willing to bet a lot of money school is not in session this fall in many parts of the USA.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by morpheos137 on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:09PM (#28019873)
I wonder how significant the booming stock market is? Maybe people are neglecting to work because their Tesla stock is up some absurd amount over 5 years or whatever. Same for crypto. But when these people start treating such capital gains as disposeable income then it will cause inflation.