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Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by effingwewt on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:55AM (#28018636)
Here in California every restaurant/fast food place is hiring. They all list the things they offer (PTO, 401k-no matching what you put in, and that's it). What they don't put on the signs is what they pay (minimum wage every single time), or the hours (always part time, always weekends, mostly if not always nights.

But obviously it's just that no one wants to work, it couldn't possibly be because no one wants part-time (especially because they change your days/hours and wait till the last minute to give you the next week's schedule so you can't plan around it and get another job). It couldn't possibly be because part-time minimum wage day-shifting jobs are literally worthless as these places are finding out.

I keep hearing owners whine and bemoan their lack of workers. What I have never heard of, not once, is an owner making less profit to pay their workers better to get the loyalty and hard work they want but refuse to pay for.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:04AM (#28018724)
> I keep hearing owners whine and bemoan their lack of workers. What I have never heard of, not once, is an owner making less profit to pay their workers better to get the loyalty and hard work they want but refuse to pay for.

I agree with you, but do those places actually make a lot of profit? Over here they seem to be pretty fragile operations, so I don't think there's that much they can shave off their profit and give to the workers.

I'm wondering whether, maybe, there are simply too many of those restaurants?

The reasoning goes "yeah, but if I raise my prices, people will go next door". Which is probably true for your random restaurant. But then maybe the issue is there's too many of them?

But of course, up until now, this was workable because many people were willing to put up with the bad conditions you've described for a low wage.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by 6gvONxR4sf7o on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:04PM (#28020318)
It tells me we need a higher minimum wage. No individual can raise prices without losing competitiveness, but clearly higher prices would fix some of these serious issues. A higher minimum wage would prevent the “they’ll just go next door” issue.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by lotsofpulp on Saturday July 31, 2021 @02:59PM (#28020726)
It tells me the upper deciles of wealth have been enjoying life on account of the bottom deciles drawing shitty hand.

Less entertainment, vacations, eating out for many who previously enjoyed it will be the result.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:10PM (#28020811)
You may be right.

But then, the question becomes: what will become of these employees? Less eating out means less restaurant staff. But said staff are people who need to eat. Will they all go on social security?

Maybe, maybe not. But it's a question we should ask, as a society.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Saturday July 31, 2021 @03:08PM (#28020797)
> No individual can raise prices without losing competitiveness, but clearly higher prices would fix some of these serious issues. A higher minimum wage would prevent the “they’ll just go next door” issue.

That seems right on the face of it. But then there's another issue: are you sure that the same number of people would continue eating out? Personally, I wouldn't bet on it.

I don't often eat out, mostly because it's not something I particularly enjoy, but also because I find it expensive for what it is. If the prices were to rise, I would eat out even less. I doubt I'm the only one thinking like this.

It's not clear to me that raising the minimum wage, and therefore the price of a restaurant meal, would not have less people go out. And by less people I mean a drop high enough such that the sum of money spent eating out would drop. Which would mean there would be less restaurants which could afford to stay in business.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by heavyset_go on Saturday July 31, 2021 @10:15PM (#28023193)
> It's not clear to me that raising the minimum wage, and therefore the price of a restaurant meal

This study[1] specifically looks at the effect of raising the minimum wage on restaurant prices.

What they found is that increases of 10% to the minimum wage are correlated with only a 0.36% increase of prices, and minimum wage increases may cause some prices to decrease, too:

> Many business leaders fear that any increase in the minimum wage will be passed on to consumers through price increases thereby slowing spending and economic growth, but that may not be the case. New research shows that the pass-through effect on prices is fleeting and much smaller than previously thought.

> By looking at changes in restaurant food pricing during the period of 1978–2015, MacDonald and Nilsson find that prices rose by just 0.36 percent for every 10 percent increase in the minimum wage, which is only about half the size reported in previous studies. They also observe that small minimum wage increases do not lead to higher prices and may actually reduce prices. Furthermore, it is also possible that small minimum wage increases could lead to increased employment in low-wage labor market.

[1] https://www.upjohn.org/research-highlights/does-increasing-m...

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by DougN7 on Sunday August 01, 2021 @08:08PM (#28031506)
That seems pretty hard to believe to me. I suspect they didn’t take into account all the efficiency gains technology has enabled in that time period. Otherwise let’s just increase minimum wage by 100% if it will only raise prices by 3.6%.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by syshum on Sunday August 01, 2021 @08:29AM (#28025790)
4 years ago I ate lunch out 5 days a week, and Dinner 2 pre Covid that dropped to 3 Lunches and 1 Dinner due to increasing prices...

Post Covid I am down to 2 Lunches and Dinner ever other week...

I am considering dropping to 1 lunch as lunches with tip are now climbing to $15-20 where 4 years ago I could easily get out of the door at most places for under $12 with tip for a lunch.

if Lunches go above $20... I cease it completely

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by syshum on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:41PM (#28022730)
you do understand how inflation works right? If all prices raise then the purchasing power of the person on Min Wage stays the same thus their situation did not actually improve any.

Further Inflation has the common effect of hurting the lower and middle classes the worst and increasing wealth disparity. There is multiple ways this occurs but one thing that is trending of late is that as the wage floor is raising you are not seeing the same levels of raise in other area's of income until you get into the top 10% or higher of wage earners. Today we are seeing inflation outstrip wages in many skilled labor categories.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by wyclif on Sunday August 01, 2021 @04:20AM (#28024721)
I agree with you, but do those places actually make a lot of profit?

In a lot of cases, they don't make as much as people think they do. Take supermarkets for instance. Many of them are hiring cashiers and shelf stockers right now, and they can't hire anybody because they can't pay enough to make the job attractive. Supermarkets and grocery stories have some of the thinnest profit margins in any business.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by RHSeeger on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:16AM (#28018841)
Without trying to counteract your points about the pay/work/parttime/etc.... It's worth noting that a large number of restaurant owners make very little money. The margins/profits in that industry are razor thin. So the owner making less wouldn't be helpful, or even an option for many of them.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by eropple on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:19AM (#28018872)
Then shouldn't they be working more personally? Or shouldn't they no longer be in business? (And yeah, I'm well aware how much many small restaurant owners work. See door number two.)

People around here talk a lot about unsustainable business models. I don't think it's really any better if it's offloading its unsustainability onto its workforce, which is what's being described here.

From where I stand, as somebody whose career can be described (cynically but not incorrectly) as largely rendering people unemployed, there's a tension here that's only going to be resolved through the acknowledgement that there isn't actually a need for everyone to work to make the whole thing "go", and unsustainably poor work with poverty as the retribution for refusing to participate (as well as the reward for participating) is not a politically stable position.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by syshum on Saturday July 31, 2021 @08:44PM (#28022742)
>>>that there isn't actually a need for everyone to work to make the whole thing "go"

So what is the proposal? Pay people to stay home forever? Who determines who gets a free ride paid for by productive people, and who has to be the ones that provide that free ride to others.

be sure to sign me up for the free ride, but I sure as hell do not want to work 50+ hours a week so other people can play Call of Duty all day.... I would rather let other people work and I play Call of Duty

And their lies the rub / problem with socialism... If everyone can have a free ride no one works

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Clubber on Sunday August 01, 2021 @02:04AM (#28024165)
Shorter work week, more vacations. Spread the work across more people. Instead of 1 person working 50 hours, have 2 people work 25 hours. Instead of 2 weeks off a year, have 2 months. Oh, and untie healthcare from employment.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by vladvasiliu on Sunday August 01, 2021 @03:40AM (#28024545)
That was the idea behind the 35 hour work week in France. Didn't work out as expected: unemployment didn't go down.

More recently, they had removed some tax breaks on overtime, but it turned out that that only hurt the people needing to work overtime; still no effect on unemployment. At least some of the breaks are now back.

I think the broader issue is that most people having to work crazy hours with multiple jobs don't do it because they're workaholics, but because they have to, as in they can't get a single "normal" job that pays well enough for whatever reason. I'm not sure that putting random limits on the number of hours worked will increase the hourly wages.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by Clubber on Sunday August 01, 2021 @09:51AM (#28026233)
I think the underlying issue even above that is we've automated away the need for workers, yet people still exist. So let's say our economy only really needs 100 million people to do stuff and there are 150 million people, that's an obvious disparity. What really sucks is automation is cranking up but the next generation will be even bigger than the Millennials, which were much larger than GenX. So in the next few decades we'll have 160 million people and only need 95 million people, etc. This will keep happening until something breaks.

At some point crimes of desperation will become rampant.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by throwawayboise on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:48PM (#28020198)
People need work to keep them occupied. It's built in to our psychology by evolution. We know that idle people cause most of the problems in society. So I do think there is a need for everyone to work to make the whole thing "go", if by "go" you mean have a peaceful, civilized way of living.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by eropple on Saturday July 31, 2021 @01:59PM (#28020275)
This sounds teleological. I can find plenty of things to do, many probably more personally fulfilling as well as societally beneficial, than flipping burgers would be.
Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by toofy on Saturday July 31, 2021 @11:34AM (#28019033)
I think there’s some merit in what you say, I’m just not sure we would agree on how to define “…large number of restaurant owners…”

This is completely anecdotal, but I know three different restaurant owners and all three of them live very very comfortably. Again, that’s just anecdotal so probably not worth much.

While I don’t think anyone would suggest that a restaurant owner should live in poverty, at the same time I don’t think we would suggest a restaurant worker should be poverty levels of poor to ensure the owner lives the high life.

If a business cant supply both its owner and workers a livable wage, then we should expect the business to go under rather than expect (or demand) the workers descend into poverty.

Re:Employee shortages: Where have all the workers gone? by renewiltord on Saturday July 31, 2021 @12:58PM (#28019798)
Counterexample: https://mobile.twitter.com/auren/status/1419149796284145667/...

I see hiring signs with dollar amounts on them all the time.