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Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by ericbarrett on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:07AM (#27760148)
What I am not seeing discussed in all the hubub about SF shoplifting is the impact of organized crime.

There is a well-developed fencing process for this kind of thing: goods are stolen by individual thieves or groups; fenced to black-market warehouses; then redistributed to individual sellers, who either hawk in flea markets or to local businesses, or ship the goods in bulk to other areas. It's been this way for years. Gangs of bicycle thieves used to roam the entire Bay Area (probably still do) with this model—I believe they were affiliated with some L.A. groups as well—and more than one group was busted on state charges in the last decade or two.

Anyway, the people running the stolen goods warehouse intermediaries are committing felonies, regardless of whatever proposition or do-good D.A. people are huffing about. Where are the detectives? Where are the prosecutors? Where is the state of California?

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by mutatio on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:31AM (#27760338)
I'm British so I'm not fully equipped to understand in terms of the state law or effects on the ground, but isn't there plausible deniability for the aggregators that sell goods from individual shop lifters? If the retribution on the individual is negligible, why would they provide evidence against the folk exchanging money for stolen goods, there seems to be no motivating factor to do so.

You could increase punishment for folk buying the goods, but I'm not sure what negative ramifications that might have, e.g. you're second in chain buying a stolen phone.

Maybe I don't understand, but it all seems a bit bonkers to me.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by ericbarrett on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:52AM (#27760525)
> isn't there plausible deniability for the aggregators that sell goods from individual shop lifters?

Quite right, and penetrating this "I dunno" defense is part of building a criminal case against the high-level traffickers. It's the job of the District Attorney (local), the Attorney General (state), and their teams of investigators; that is, the detectives. To do this they can surveil, pressure arrestees for lower-level crimes, penetrate organizations with undercover agents, and even tap phones and computers—pretty much anything you've seen in an American T.V. show, which is often dramatized but not always as far from the truth as you'd think.

> You could increase punishment for folk buying the goods

Do you mean the end-purchasers? Conceivably you could get some of the shopkeepers, if you can prove they knew the goods were suspect. But there's nothing criminal about buying household goods at a corner store—all the crime happened on the way there.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by mutatio on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:41AM (#27761007)
Yeah, I'm just posing what could be done if the law regarding low value theft is immutable, if it can't be changed, something else has to give (I haven't got a clue what).
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jaredklewis on Thursday July 08, 2021 @12:28AM (#27768500)
> pressure arrestees for lower-level crimes

I guess this particular tactic isn’t an option if you don’t prosecute low level crimes like shoplifting.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chrisseaton on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:37AM (#27760385)
> plausible deniability

For buying goods from random people instead of a distributor? No of course not. Any reasonable person would be suspicious.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by colejohnson66 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:45AM (#27760463)
The widespread practice of scalping has boosted sites like Craigslist and Facebook Marketplace. While not a “random person” per se,[a] you don’t know if that good you’re buying isn’t stolen. Some scalpers, however, will show you the store receipt to prove it’s a genuine scalp(?), and to allow you to return it if it’s defective.

[a]: They are a person you don’t know, but it’s not like a flea market where you can’t read reviews before handing over the money

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by mutatio on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:44AM (#27760447)
Setup a second hand shop, selling "near-new" items, that'll give you 60-80% of RRP, problem solved.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chrisseaton on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:53AM (#27760533)
The law doesn’t work like this. The police will simply ask you ‘where do you think all these second hand items are coming from?’ and if you can’t explain they’ll say that you aren’t taking reasonable care to find out.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by mutatio on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:39AM (#27760974)
So you're saying the onus is on the buyer? Is it a special case for commercial outfits, or could it effect eBay buyers?
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by raincom on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:20PM (#27767561)
Yes and No. No, if one bought three Neiman Marcus shirts from such a source.

Yes, if one has bought many shirts, bags, laptops from these people; even in this case, prosecutors don't go after the fencers(middlemen) directly. They bust the small guys, who flip for plea deals. Then these 'thieves' wear the wire and sell stuff to these fencers; this is how prosecutors collect solid evidence to convict fencers.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chrisseaton on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:41AM (#27761001)
Yes there is a legal responsibility for the buyer to use some common sense to think about whether items are being supplied to them legally.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:39AM (#27760973)
"I think they are brought to me by legal owners who no longer need them"
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chrisseaton on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:42AM (#27761013)
But that doesn't pass a 'reasonable' test. A reasonable person would not believe that there is a huge supply of brand-new-condition second-hand goods.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:53AM (#27761132)
May be.

But for criminal prosecution the fault should be proven beyond any reasonable doubt. IANAL, but proving beyond any reasonable doubt a person knew the item he's buying was stolen is more difficult than not.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chrisseaton on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:48AM (#27761715)
My understanding is that they just have to prove beyond reasonable doubt that you did not take enough care because that’s an offence by itself. You have a civic duty to think if something may have been stolen. They don’t have to prove what you were intending to do.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by native_samples on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @12:26PM (#27762891)
Is that correct? That is true for certain very specific types of crime like money laundering, where bankers are expected to prove to themselves that the source of funds is legitimate. I don't believe such requirements apply to literally everyone, as such supply chain investigations can be arbitrarily expensive.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chrisseaton on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @12:31PM (#27762959)
I believe it's correct. They're not expecting normal people to do supply chain analysis, but they are expecting people who see a ton of second hand drug-store products in a bag in a dodgy warehouse run by someone who doesn't really seem like a drug-store distributor to say 'wait a second that might be not 100% legitimate'.

It's not an unusual concept in common law. It's like manslaughter - you can have had absolutely not intention whatsoever to kill or harm someone, but still be held responsible for their death because you weren't careful enough.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by raincom on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:12PM (#27767513)
Some pawn shop in Santa Clara did something like that. He got busted. https://patch.com/california/losgatos/san-jose-pawn-shop-own...
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by scop on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:07AM (#27760155)
I recently moved from SF to Texas. I walked into a Walgreens for the first time here in TX and thought I was in the Truman show…everything was suspiciously clean, well organized, and friendly. Was this some kind of hidden camera show? Growing up and living in SF had convinced me that all Walgreens were messy and miserable places.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by dcolkitt on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:13AM (#27760200)
Man, wait till you come to Florida and see Publix.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by ransom1538 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:38AM (#27760398)
SF -> Florida here. Yes. Publix is a bizarre surreal experience. I was used to buying food at CVS hoping to not step on a needle. If you asked a CVS employee where something is - they roll their eyes and mumble something. At publix, I asked an employee where the peanut butter was - they smiled, asked how my day was, walked me over to the peanut butter. When I checked out they told me the peanut butter was "bogo". I said excuse me? They proceeded to tell me I get another free peanut butter - for absolutely no reason. I fell in love.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by scop on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:47AM (#27760476)
Friendliness is another dynamic I’ve been totally surprised by. People waving and saying hi while you’re walking. The McDonalds cashier telling my wife she liked her dress. Kids on the playground seeing my son fall and coming over to help him up and see if he’s okay.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bsagdiyev on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:32AM (#27761550)
We (myself and my girlfriend) still find it surreal sometimes. We moved to North Carolina and people just… wave, they just wave and say hi and will talk to you. It’s really nice.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by scop on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:44AM (#27761680)
Another anecdote:

I'm driving near my home. I see some teenagers hanging out alone by a river. My immediate thought: "what are they up to..." as I'm used to shenanigans in SF. As I drive by I take a look and...they're fishing...fishing! "Well..." I say to myself, "...what a wholesome activity...good for them"

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by amazingman on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:17AM (#27761388)
This is a most ridiculous comparison and anecdote. You fell in love because the cashier let you know peanut butter was buy one get one? Your new home is better than San Francisco because the local major grocery store is better than a pharmacy in SF? Come on.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bsagdiyev on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:30AM (#27761529)
No, because the people are actually friendly and outgoing. I noticed that going from San Diego -> North Carolina too.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by amazingman on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:19AM (#27762102)
I am from the American south. The friendliness is almost entirely superficial. Let these people find out you're gay, or liberal, or not a churchgoer ... you'll generally encounter a completely different experience.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chomp on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:55AM (#27762518)
I think you're making an unfair generalization. As a person who lives in the south (in a strongly blue city), I've never encountered this.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by amazingman on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:56AM (#27762534)
No more unfair than the original positive generalization.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chomp on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:56AM (#27762545)
Sure, fair enough.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @12:43PM (#27763110)
That contradicts my experience. Generally if you're not a dick and don't try to shovel your vegan stuff into people's throats, noone gives a shit about your views or orientation.

People may not talk to you about politics anymore, but anything else - work, kids, cars - is a fair game.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bsagdiyev on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:27AM (#27762190)
They’re aware I’m not a republican voter and don’t go to church, no one has had an issue still. Is it possible things have changed since you left or you’re being fed the media version of it still and choose to see that? I’ve had respectful disagreements over even vaccination here.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by amazingman on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:40AM (#27762328)
What I am relaying to you is based on personal experience growing up in the lower middle class / poor American south. It's still that way when I go back to visit. As far as "the media version" of the American south goes, I have no idea what you're even talking about. Perhaps you're in a high socioeconomic status bubble and you need to drive 45 minutes in any given direction and re-test your conclusions.

At any rate, I live in the bay area now and I very rarely encounter issues with un-friendliness in the contexts mentioned in this thread. The lack of effusive friendliness that I do encounter for the most part is cultural. Which makes sense, as the bay area is extremely diverse culturally.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by treeman79 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:52AM (#27761113)
Same logic on why chic-fil-a does so well.

I want a burger. I Think about the unmotivated and borderline rude cashier I would have to deal with.

Then the smiling and upbeat workers at Chick-fil-A. Well guess it’s chicken yet again.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by kar5pt on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:27AM (#27761494)
Chick-fil-A workers make me sad. They seem like they desperately want to scream at somebody but are forced to stuff it down into a fake evangelical pastor smile. I'd rather go somewhere where the low paid workers can at lease let out some of their frustrations via passive aggressiveness.

I still go to Chick-fil-A because the sandwiches are good, but I feel guilty about it afterwards.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by pbronez on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:13PM (#27767524)
Chick-fil-a tends to be staffed be cheerful, productive teenagers when I go there. I’m not religious, and don’t generally like religious corporatism, but Chick-fil-a seems to almost use employment as ministry. They care about being a good place for good kids to make a buck.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by treeman79 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @01:18PM (#27763507)
Never once gotten that impression. Sounds like projecting your hatred for Christians onto others.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AnimalMuppet on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @01:48PM (#27763851)
My daughter worked there for a while. If she had any work-based frustrations that she desperately wanted to let out, I never heard about it at home.

So, yeah, I'm with treeman79. I think you're projecting.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by threatofrain on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @03:10PM (#27764727)
When you walk into Walgreens in Cupertino, which has just about zero violent crime and just about zero homeless, it's still miserable. Or in Mountain View, Los Altos, Saratoga, etc, which are all cities around 60k in population with a similar smell of density and wealth.

It's the same story in San Jose, which has a bigger population than SF but similar size homeless population.

When you walk into Whole Foods, you get what you expect, whether in Maui, Denver, or SF. Supposedly the Whole Foods in Cupertino is among the largest.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by WkndTriathlete on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:49AM (#27760490)
TBH I'd be pretty surprised walking into a messy, miserable Walgreen's (or other national chain) store. I've been all around the US and I have yet to encounter a single one like that, but I'll admit the last time I was in SF was ~8-10 years ago.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:23AM (#27759773)
Can anyone comment on why San Francisco’s debate became so nasty? Is it just re-trenching the tech vs. long-term tenant fight? Or is there a new dynamic?

We just got through this debate in New York City through our mayoral primary. Neither “side” won. But the process has so far produced two lead candidates who acknowledge the problem, pledged to focus on public safety and at the same time be mindful of the racial inequities of the NYPD’s recent past.

That compromise doesn’t exist in SF. The political space for it to exist doesn’t exist. There is a refusal to admit the problem on one hand. And a vilification of the incumbents as idiots, or worse, in bed with the criminals, on the other.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bradleyjg on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:40AM (#27759909)
This is admittedly regional chauvinism, but I think New Yorkers are just fundamentally more pragmatic. Maybe it comes from everyone taking the subway. I don’t know, but we just seem less likely to drive an ideology right over a cliff. Up to the edge, maybe, but not over.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by lotsofpulp on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:52AM (#27760012)
Since the root causes are not, and will not be addressed, I predict the pendulum will simply swing too far in both directions.

The root cause being the federal laws governing involuntary committal for mental healthcare and lack of federal resources for mental healthcare which is super pricy for obvious reasons. In addition are widening income/wealth gap and the temperate climates exacerbate the issue in some places more than others.

So the solution at the state and city levels is to use police to push people that are likelier to cause problems around so they are not comfortable being around, and incarcerating them and keeping them in the system for various offenses.

Then the police and politicians get heat for being prejudiced or biased or unfair, and they relax the rules, and then the problems return, and people will complain about thefts and property crime and etc until it gets bad enough that there is once again political will for a crackdown, and rinse repeat.

Note that I am not saying there are not legitimate prejudices and biases that need to be addressed in the police/judicial system, nor that society should let minor offenses go and make police think about the political ramifications of every interaction they have.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by throwaway894345 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:27AM (#27760308)
While I fully support measures to close the inequality gap and also to improve access to mental health care, I don’t think these things adequately explain why crime has surged. Specifically, access to mental healthcare and crime haven’t deteriorated so significantly in the last ~5 years commensurate with the crime surge.

On the other hand, broad and flat-footed anti-police sentiment has increased and has manifest as either explicit depolicing policies or unofficial pressure on police officers in the field to avoid routine stops and other preventative policing efforts, as well as pressure on DAs to be seen as “soft on crime” (not intending any sort of disparagement with this term). Which isn’t to say that police don’t need reform—I’m one of the 90% of Americans who think some kind of reform is necessary, but perhaps something a little more sophisticated than “defund the police” is in order (better training for police officers, weaken police unions, increase protection in vulnerable communities while increasing funding to other social services, etc)?

As for whether the pendulum will swing too far against crime, when was the last time that happened in SF? I suspect SF’s robust corps of progressives have successfully prevented the pendulum from swinging even to the center for the last decade or two.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by prepend on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:58AM (#27760066)
> The root cause being the federal laws governing involuntary committal for mental healthcare and lack of federal resources for mental healthcare which is super pricy for obvious reasons.

I do think this is the root cause of the shoplifting examples in the article. Stealing handbags from Niemen Marcus is, I think, unrelated to mental health issues.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by mc32 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:00AM (#27760088)
Correct.

These people know that you don’t do that in DC without consequences, so they go up to SF.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by lotsofpulp on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:02AM (#27760107)
I know, but that is the pendulum swinging too far trying to correct for perceived prejudices by the police/judicial system. Which I think are rooted in expecting police to be able to deal with mental health issues as if they have the tools to address the crisis.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bradleyjg on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:24AM (#27760282)
I don’t think street homelessness (and so closing the mental hospitals) can explain everything. The brazen shoplifters and car thieves don’t appear to be predominantly street people.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:45AM (#27760461)
I started writing a long comment about criteria for involuntary commitment... but then realized that it's probably not bipolar schizophrenics who do the shoplifting.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by lotsofpulp on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:55AM (#27760554)
That is not the flow I am trying to illustrate. The flow is that some people find the use of police, jail, and our other judicial/penal systems today to be less than desirable for dealing with certain circumstances and people, but then trying to fix it without the proper solution (since there is no solution at the local level) results in a situation where shoplifting and property crime no longer have consequences which creates an opportunity for bad actors to proliferate.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:43AM (#27761023)
Banning hammers, because not everything is a nail?

Oh, yes.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by refurb on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:09AM (#27761299)
I predict the pendulum will simply swing too far in both directions.

Yup. People alive today look back the three strikes law and think “how could the voters ever wanted that?”.

But you live long enough and the the cycles start to emerge. If crime gets bad enough in the cities you’ll see a repeat of the 70-90s where law and order was priority #1.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by cm2187 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:52AM (#27760004)
I don't know that it is the case. The front runner for NY DA intends to not prosecute minor offenses [1]

[1] https://www.alvinbragg.com/plans

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:13AM (#27760201)
> front runner for NY DA intends to not prosecute minor offenses

Bragg is a far cry from Boudin. He is, as a former prosecutor, leading in a field that had Boudinesque candidates, e.g. those with zero prosecutorial experience.

I would actually highlight him as an example of the sort of compromise that seems lacking in San Francisco.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by thereare5lights on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @02:25PM (#27764252)
If you actually look at the list he plans to not prosecute for

https://www.alvinbragg.com/declination

they make sense.

Contrast that with one of Boudin's policies

https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/12/24/da-critics-say-anti-d...

and then think about the drug abuse problem that is prevalent in SF.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bradleyjg on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:00AM (#27760086)
The next mayor is an ex-cop though. The woman that came in second explicitly rejected “defund the police”.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by newsclues on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:35AM (#27760368)
Cold winters force a level of realism that a Mediterranean climate does not.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by eevilspock on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:26AM (#27760304)
The upper and middle castes can be pragmatic about the symptoms when the disease does not touch them.

Whether SF or NYC, inequality and racial segregation have increased, corporations build glass and steel temples of capitalism, billionaires treat the world as their lab and playground, and even the middle class hoards the world's production and labor resources from the comfort of their couches, advantages all accumulated over centuries of exploitation, colonization, slavery, genocide and ecological debt that the poor and future generations will have to pay back.

But to keep things simple, let's just consider the "anarchy" in light of where SF and NYC (shining lights on the hill of liberalism) rank in the dimension of racial segregation:

- https://gothamist.com/news/new-yorks-schools-are-still-the-m...

- https://belonging.berkeley.edu/most-least-segregated-cities

- https://belonging.berkeley.edu/roots-structural-racism

- Most major metropolitan areas have become more racially segregated, study shows: https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/21/us/housing-segregation-cities...

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bradleyjg on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:55AM (#27760546)
You guys would be more convincing if you were willing to acknowledge that progress has been made. Anyone that has studied history, or even just been alive for a few decades, knows that this is not the worst time ever. The constant catastrophizing rhetoric just discredits you.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jfengel on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @02:54PM (#27764562)
And you'd be more convincing if you hadn't just said, "You didn't phrase your argument in a way that suited me, therefore I am going to ignore the problem you just raised."

It's not the worst time ever. There, I said it. Happy? Now, are you going to say "'Not the worst time ever' can still be pretty bad and in need of fixing"?

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bradleyjg on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @04:39PM (#27765510)
Not the worst time ever' can still be pretty bad and in need of fixing

Who do you think has been making all the progress to get us to not the worst time ever? You’re welcome, by the way.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jfengel on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @04:53PM (#27765621)
I'm pretty sure it's not the people who say "I've done enough and you don't get any more".
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:35AM (#27760371)
> let's just consider the "anarchy" in light of where SF and NYC (shining lights on the hill of liberalism) rank in the dimension of racial segregation

Sorry, is the argument that public safety can’t exist in a desegregated city?

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by eevilspock on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:39AM (#27760403)
you read me backwards.

if anything, the upper castes rely on segregation to feel safer, thereby making things worse.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:43AM (#27760435)
Defending the current state of San Francisco on the basis of not being as racially segregated on one measure as New York City sort of implies that it’s one or the other. If that’s not the implication, it’s irrelevant.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by eevilspock on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:48AM (#27760483)
you really misread me. I'm not defending either city. They are both incredibly segregated, unjust and oppressive to the lower castes.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by throwaway894345 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:53AM (#27760532)
Is there evidence that supports this against the more likely causes, e.g., rich people just want to live around other rich people, people of any SES prefer to live around those who are culturally similar (and culture correlates with race in America), etc? In other words, I don’t think we have to resort to mustache-twirling caricatures to explain an increase in racial segregation.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by throwaway894345 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:43AM (#27760441)
I agree with you that inequality and “socialism for the rich” are real problems, but I don’t think they adequately explain the 5-year crime surge across the country, specifically inequality didn’t increase commensurate with this surge in the same time period.

Most likely this is the result of our flat-footed “defund the police!” rhetoric that manifest as either explicit de-policing policies or else as unofficial pressure on police to reduce preventative policing practices like routine stops. I don’t think anyone disputes this correlation even if they don’t subscribe to the causation hypothesis.

With respect to racial segregation, I know ordinary liberals and moderates are generally on board with increased integration but I’m not sure how that will hit the I-oppose-race-mixing-but-in-a-woke-way crowd, particularly in SF?

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:46AM (#27761053)
It keeps me puzzled: why inequality per se is a culprit?

Poverty? I would get it. But how the fact that someone is richer than you justifies shoplifting is beyond my understanding.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by throwaway894345 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:00AM (#27761196)
I can’t speak for anyone besides myself, but growing inequality implies more poverty (more poor people, poor people get poorer, etc). So if poverty begets crime and (growing) inequality begets poverty, then inequality begets crime. There may also be other vectors through which inequality begets crime as well.

Maybe it’s possible to have a kind of inequality where the rich get richer without the poor getting poorer (although I suspect it would just mean that the purchasing power of a dollar falls even though the poor have as many dollars as they had before) but in practice in America I think we have the kind of inequality where the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer (and more numerous).

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:12AM (#27761328)
According to [1] the official poverty rate in 2019 was 10.5 percent, down 1.3 percentage points from 11.8 percent in 2018.

[1] https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2020/demo/p60-27...

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by throwaway894345 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:19AM (#27761405)
Hmm, interesting. Any idea how the picture looks at the 5-year or 10-year trend (year over year clouds just be an anomaly)? What about the degree of poverty (we could have fewer poor people but they could be getting poorer)?
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:34AM (#27761573)
From [2] it looks like poverty has been going up and down staying within 10-15% range for the past 50 years.

I'm sure it's possible to construct a measure which will show that poverty went up - as it's equally possible to show the opposite - but either will mostly likely be overfitting, i. e. hand-picking data to prove the desired point.

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poverty_in_the_United_States

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by throwaway894345 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:31PM (#27767304)
To be clear I’m not trying to construct anything; I’m just expressing a curiosity.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bradleyjg on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:28AM (#27762214)
I don’t get where this notion comes from. As late as the early 1970s we had actual starvation in the US (not “food insecurity”).

Poverty is definitely definitely going down, not up.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by throwaway894345 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:32PM (#27767307)
I wasn’t thinking on 50 year timescales, more like the last decade. But I may well be wrong even on that point.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by eevilspock on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:48AM (#27762431)
fairness matters. Especially as this is a shared planet. Rich people should not be able to monopolize it, nor monopolize political power, have better criminal justice, be treated as better people, and then leverage this monopoly to make people work for them for the lowest possible wage and extract all the value from that labor as "their" profit.

What if one argued that some enslaved people in 1850 Georgia were better fed than before they were kidnapped from Africa. All ok then?

And why should rich people complain if there were a revolution and they were relegated to the middle class? The middle class of 2021 live longer and have better healthcare than the kings of even 100 years ago. What rights does anyone have to anything? By what reason doed anyone have a claim to injustice?

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:56AM (#27762539)
The problem is that unlike poverty and equality, fairness is a vague philosophical category.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by amazingman on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:25AM (#27761461)
It has become more and more difficult in the bay area to speak plainly about socioeconomic issues and the homelessness/mental health crisis without triggering the Antiracist Elect. For a growing segment of interlocutors, most everything bad or negative going on in society is because white people. This makes productive discourse fraught at best, usually impossible.

Note that while I do specify the bay area here, it's only for the purposes of this comment. It's quite obviously spreading to other places. The moral madness of social media is slowly but steadily spilling out into every day society.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by iammisc on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:32AM (#27760913)
New York city has a large republican area: Staten island.

While SF and cities like it vilify incumbents, they also vilify the opposition. In my city of Portland, no one will consider electing a republican because they have constructed strawman as to what a republican will be like (forgetting that the last Gop mayer of Portland was loved).

New York had a republican only 20 years ago.

LA was also revived by a republican mayor.

There's a pattern.

Sorry for being so blunt, but at some point we need to name the problem.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by mc32 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:49AM (#27761087)
I think the Koch dynasty corruption plus the Dinkins ineptitude and a tough on mob crime (which the city was tired of) helped Giuliani win the mayorship. NYC isn’t republican by nature, but the hands of the constituency were tied.

Bloomberg was in the middle and now Deblasio/Wilhelm’s tenure will likely propel a moderate Democrat into office who promises to bring order back to the city.

SF could learn from that but it doesn’t happen. SF is very ideological do instead of admitting mistakes progressives keep doubling down. At some point the constituency will say enough! But SF keeps surprising me.

Brown was corrupt but at least crime was dealt with. Everyone since Brown has been on the ideological bandwagon and won’t admit to mistakes and keep on doubling down on ineffective and detrimental policies.

At this point I say bring someone like Willie back.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:42AM (#27761014)
My pet theory is that all people of good will should vote for republicans in New York and for democrats in Alabama. This way reasonable middle-ground centrist candidates will be elected.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by iammisc on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:12AM (#27761323)
Sure. Let's try it and see... Why defend incumbents?
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by snypher on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:56AM (#27761163)
The last Republican mayor of Portland left office in 1980.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by refurb on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:41AM (#27759917)
Chesa and his predecessor Gascon were not just trying out the “let’s not put people in jail” to see if it works, this is a core tenant of their political beliefs and if the population at large has to pay a price, so be it. This is not a slight adjustment to the justice system, this is a “burn it down and build something else” approach - an attempt to dismantle a system, they claim, is built on systemic racism. If a couple of law-abiding citizens get run over and killed by a repeated offender in a stolen car, then that’s a sacrifice Chesa is willing to make.

So to answer your question, there is no compromise because compromise would be admitting failure - that these policies don’t work. And also admitting that putting some people in jail is a net benefit to society.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by 6f8986c3 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:45AM (#27759951)
Correct.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by SyzygistSix on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:00AM (#27760612)
When poverty, homelessness, and desperation increase, so does crime and theft. And these politicians are correct in that we cannot jail our way out of this problem. Not jailing people doesn't work but neither does jailing them. At least one of these policies doesn't waste money, incarcerate people, and puts the responsibility on the store owners.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by adolph on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:11AM (#27760703)
> That compromise doesn’t exist in SF. The political space for it to exist doesn’t exist. There is a refusal to admit the problem on one hand. And a vilification of the incumbents as idiots, or worse, in bed with the criminals, on the other.

In "The Three Languages of Politics" Arnold Kling classifies three basic perspectives that can become central in a person's mind in such a way that expressions of the other perspectives are incomprehensible. The perspectives are described through axis of 1) oppressor-oppressed, 2) civilization-barbarism, 3) freedom-coercion. In the original article the author describes social media communication on the part of government staff that highlights the oppressor-oppressed without acknowledging other perspectives. Similarly people victimized by or by witnessing crime or crime-hype may find civilization-barbarism the most salient perspective. Without a consideration for all axis a productive conversation is unlikely.

https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/17831052-the-three-langu...

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by dvfjsdhgfv on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:23AM (#27760271)
> Can anyone comment on why San Francisco’s debate became so nasty?

Because it's related to the issue of race, and this is one of the most difficult subjects to discuss and has been so for many decades. If anything, the debate became worse.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by anitil on Thursday July 08, 2021 @01:38AM (#27768757)
As a not-American, what is the racial aspect? This is a legitimate question, I only know about SF from HN, and this is the first time I've seen a reference to race.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by eevilspock on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:30AM (#27760334)
It is only difficult because it is inconvenient.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by throwaway894345 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:55AM (#27760557)
I think it’s difficult because some people are deliberately poisoning the well of civil discourse in the name of “social justice” (e.g., canceling anyone who doesn’t share their exact viewpoint).
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by cafard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:15AM (#27762063)
As I told a European techie at a conference twenty-odd years ago, New York includes its suburbs. If New York were just Manhattan, things might be different.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by draw_down on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:33AM (#27759844)
It’s “racist” to talk about it, basically.
[dead]
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AlexTWithBeard on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:51AM (#27761110)
> Please leave

Sometimes I think that authoritarian regime combined with freedom of movement is a potential alternative to democracy.

You don't like it here? You don't live here.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by iammisc on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:35AM (#27760941)
> I know everybody on my block, even the homeless people.

What I find hilarious about bay area residents is that they'll say things like this as if it's at all unique to the area.

In reality, knowing your neighbors is common throughout the country

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by stupidcar on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:30AM (#27760333)
As a non-resident of San Francisco, I have no dog in this fight, but it shows up on my Twitter feed regardless. I was amused by a recent exchange where one user was complaining about the amount of human faeces on the sidewalk, and someone retorted that they'd lived in SF for 15 years and there'd always been human faeces on the sidewalk.

I don't know whether crime in SF has gotten worse or not, but as a resident of a city where people don't defecate on the sidewalk, it boggled my mind a little to see someone apparently advocating for the city on the basis that sidewalk defecation wasn't a new problem.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by chrisseaton on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:35AM (#27760365)
I think quite a lot of tech people really don’t have any understanding that most cities are not like this. I don’t get it because they travel for conferences. Do they never stop and think ‘huh I wonder why it’s different here…’
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by testesttest on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:37AM (#27761596)
They do understand. They don't care. SF is a transient place for many. They stay while it is good and leave when it isn't. They never really get invested in the city.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by Analemma_ on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @12:09PM (#27762707)
This is the exact opposite of my experience: it’s the techies who want to fix San Francisco and the longtime residents who shriek that nothing is wrong and how dare you even suggest we need to change anything you racist.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by phone8675309 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:39AM (#27760971)
That would require that they consider that any place outside of SF was worth living in.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by refurb on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:39AM (#27760978)
As a resident of SF, one thing that resonated with me - SF is a gold rush town, not a whole lot different than 1849. People come to SF hoping to strike it rich or just be a little weird and left alone, and with that comes a certain mentality. The city is rough, a little lawless and that still true today. People like the “roughness”.

That’s not saying it hasn’t gotten worse in the last year or two. But it’s never been shiny and clean.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by eevilspock on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:33AM (#27760353)
It boggles my mind that sidewalk defecation only matters as a measure of where one should move, rather than a measure of what is wrong with our culture and society that produces iPhones with the one hand and crushes so many people with the other.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by silicon2401 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:25AM (#27760851)
Comments like this are why SF is such a terrible place. Instead of having standards, the bar is lowered and lowered and goalposts are moved to avoid addressing the crime and other issues with the city.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by CyberRabbi on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:41AM (#27760421)
I don’t think this is a cultural issue, most other US cities don’t have the sidewalk defecation problems that SF has had / still has.

The most simple explanation that fully explains what’s going on would be the policy of this specific city’s government.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by swiley on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:27AM (#27760860)
Most other states don't house the only two relevant mobile OS vendors either.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by CyberRabbi on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @11:16AM (#27762067)
How does that cause sidewalk defecation problems in SF?
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by iammisc on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:30AM (#27760885)
But most cities in the us do not have defecation on the sidewalks.

Thus there is no need for mental shenanigans.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by unstatusthequo on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:35AM (#27760367)
My car was broken into 3 times in two years. This is with NOTHING left out to see. Twice inside my own apartment garage. Once in supposedly upscale Russian Hill area.

Storage unit broken into twice. Homeless guy LIVING in another storage unit. People dropping dookies in the middle of Illinois street during mid day.

Why deal with all this? Even the city has an income tax. Where does that money go? To poop tracking apps? Free shoot-up sites?

Gross mismanagement by weak, ineffective, and “progressive” anything goes ultra left politicians is ruining SF.

I left SF. Not coming back.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jacob2484 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:12AM (#27760189)
SF got what they voted for - a progressive utopia. At some point, there have to be repercussions for crime.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by MrMember on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @05:20PM (#27765852)
>A woman named Michelle Tandler posted a Tweet lamenting that “every single one of my friends is considering leaving SF.” She added that “My friends are scared for their children and their husbands are scared for their wives.”

>And for some reason, Kate Chatfield, who is a senior director on DA Boudin’s staff, thought this would be a good time for a public official to take a shot at a local resident. Chatfield said the “Husbands are scared for their wives,” was right out of the famously racist film, “Birth of a Nation,” which portrays the Ku Klux Klan as heroes.

This is absolutely insane to me. Someone expresses concern about crime and someone from the DA's office publicly compares them to the KKK? How is that in any way acceptable?

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by ookblah on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:42AM (#27759927)
i mean i get it, but if you've ever walked into the CVSs off mission no amount of data driven evidence is going to convince you not to GTFO of there as soon as possible.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by supercanuck on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @06:48AM (#27759536)
>So I’d suggest that part of the reason reported incidents have decreased is that stores don’t bother. They aren’t reporting shoplifting to the police because nothing happens. They just hope their employees don’t get punched and the losses balance out.

>And frankly, lately they haven’t.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by PicassoCTs on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:07AM (#27759655)
So the actual data is in the store closures and areas that are abandoned? Store-rent in those areas would go down?
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by the-dude on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:12AM (#27759682)
In general there is a very strong incentive for the landlords/owners of commercial property to keep it empty instead of lowering the rent.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by hugh-avherald on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:39AM (#27759907)
Rent is not generally affected by vacancies.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by adolph on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:53AM (#27760018)
Interesting proposition. Given that existing leases are not affected, do you mean that owners would rather take a tax loss than potentially be locked into a lower rent?
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by L-four on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:01AM (#27760094)
Many landlords are highly leveraged and reducing the monthly rent by even 10% would reduce the on paper value of the property to such an extent to put the property into negative equity.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by PicassoCTs on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:07PM (#27767492)
Asking for theft insurance prices for a store in the area? No action without reaction. If its not entirely virtual, there must be traces.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by spodek on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:36AM (#27759870)
He focuses on shoplifting in San Francisco.

Over here on the other coast, I focus on littering in Washington Square Park in Manhattan, though related to the broad-daylight wide-open sales and use of heroin and crack combined by the police retreating from walking through the park to only standing behind barricades near the arch.

I posted a couple videos on it here: https://joshuaspodek.com/pride-destroyed-the-park-washington.... I've picked up litter every day since 2017, starting from an environmental motivation, but as a resident since the 90s with civic duty, safety and crime have become important.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by tomjen3 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @10:31AM (#27761539)
We can solve that overnight by legalizing the selling of drugs to adults. Require a (free) registration to be able to buy, prohibit the selling to minors, require that all shops selling it have pamphlets with addiction guidance and pom, no more drug dealers, no more selling to kids.

Also way less crime.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by ryathal on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @02:10PM (#27764094)
Legalizing drugs at best reduces the black market/removes some of the danger. There are still plenty of black market weed dealers in states with legal recreational use. For that matter, there are still people selling cigarettes in a black market, Eric Garner was killed for doing this.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by AnimalMuppet on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @02:18PM (#27764174)
People sell to adults when it's illegal. If you make adults legal and minors illegal, why do you assume that nobody will sell to minors?
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by refurb on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:09AM (#27759669)
“ It reported that shoplifting incidents are below what they were before the beginning of the pandemic.”

Not sure that’s a good metric? It was a problem before Covid hit.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by m0llusk on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:02AM (#27760104)
Pretty sure that is wrong, though. What really strikes me is the large amount of informal, typically illegal public sales stalls on sidewalks downtown and in the Mission. There is a sudden boom in stolen goods with all kinds of detergents and soaps and personal care products available for pennies on the dollar. This is very clear evidence of a boom in stolen goods and one possible route to establishing some control over the situation.

It is important to keep the whole social context in mind. Next door San Mateo county has much more serious enforcement and around 2500 incarceration beds available most times. San Francisco has huge political struggles over all police activities and around 250 incarceration beds available most times. People need to decide what they actually want and provide the resources to get there but so far that is not what is happening.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by robarr on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @04:29AM (#27758743)
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by PeterisP on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @06:57AM (#27759595)
A major point that this article is making is that all these statistics are misleading because stores and individuals have systematically stopped reporting most property crime incidents as it's worthless effort because nothing gets done about the reports.

Data-driven decisions don't work if you have really bad source data.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by prussian on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:35AM (#27759862)
This seems strange to me though. How does one collect on insurance without it being reported to the police? Are businesses and individuals just eating the cost or are adjusters just writing out checks without a police report?
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by quanticle on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:37AM (#27759875)
The article points out that businesses are eating the cost until they can't tolerate it any more, then they're leaving. The example cited was that of Walgreens closing 17 stores in San Francisco because of shoplifting related losses.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jkhdigital on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:07AM (#27760157)
Under normal circumstances, insurance protects against unlikely but catastrophic events (health insurance in the US is a weird exception). Even if shoplifting insurance exists, I can’t imagine how it would be cheaper than just eating the loss.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by drdec on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:49AM (#27759984)
Any kind of meaningful coverage for shoplifting can't be dependent on having police reports. Under normal circumstances it is the shoplifting you don't know about that causes losses.

I suspect that stores do not have insurance for shoplifting, but perhaps someone with first hand knowledge could weigh in.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jkhdigital on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:01AM (#27760098)
I don’t have first hand knowledge but I would bet all my Bitcoin that retailers do not have “shoplifting insurance”. There seems to be a common but deeply flawed belief that businesses can and do insure against literally every bad thing that could ever happen to them. Anyone with personal experience dealing with health or dental insurance should be well aware that insurance companies are in the business of covering (and paying out) as little as possible and there’s no reason to believe this dynamic is any different for a corporate customer.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by dcolkitt on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:18AM (#27760235)
You will never in a million years find an insurance carrier to underwrite a policy that covers shoplifting in Union Square. If you do, please let me know, I want to short the hell out of their stock.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by 6f8986c3 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:40AM (#27759908)
Police don’t send out officers to take reports for minor crimes.

I know more than a few cops, and current SOP is to ignore anything that isn’t an immediate threat to life.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by dionidium on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:23AM (#27760272)
Retail stores expect some baseline amount of theft. For an individual, theft is a rare, unexpected, maybe even insurable event. Not so for stores. They expect theft. You don't generally insure against things you expect to happen.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by refurb on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:44AM (#27759944)
Does insurance pay out for shoplifting? Do store owners even buy that insurance? Can you even get that insurance in SF? What are the deductibles? What happens to your rates when you make a claim?

I could see for big ticket retailers (jewelry, etc) insurance against theft makes sense, but CVS? When people steal $100 worth of makeup?

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by ericbarrett on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:55AM (#27760033)
There is "commercial crime insurance" (separate from general business insurance) but I can't imagine an underwriter staying in the San Francisco market. And a large retailer like CVS, Walgreens, or Target would almost certainly be self-insured.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jkhdigital on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:17AM (#27760223)
Are you using “self-insured” as a euphemism for “just eats the losses”? Because it’s not really insurance if there’s no risk pooling, and a large retailer is a single entity—who are they pooling risk from? Individual stores? That would make sense only if they are franchises.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by refurb on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:48AM (#27760484)
That’s basically what self-insured is. Large employers offer health insurance but they aren’t pooling risk with other companies, they just pay all expenses.

Insurance is meant to protect against catastrophic loss. If a loss isn’t catastrophic, it’s often cheaper to just pay for the loss yourself.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by ericbarrett on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:02AM (#27760625)
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by mbg721 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:47AM (#27760470)
They may not be pooling risk, but they may be hiring actuaries to look at their past losses compared to similar businesses, and setting aside a reserve to cover expected future risk.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jkhdigital on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @09:32AM (#27760915)
I’m sure that’s exactly what they do, but that’s not insurance—just prudent risk management.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by ransom1538 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:45AM (#27760459)
"Does insurance pay out for shoplifting?" <- Yes and no. If you file a claim to the insurance company they will probably pay out. But they are trying to turn a profit too - if you are filing too many claims in a specific area they will just drop you.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by occamrazor on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @12:51PM (#27763201)
Insurance pays out for theft even without a police report as long as it is a specific event (very common e.g. for shipping, where sometimes it isn’t even known in which country the theft happened). I have never heard of a policy covering “shrinkage”.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by thereare5lights on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @02:30PM (#27764306)
They don't collect because the level of shoplifting is so high that collecting on insurance would be financially a net negative due to premium increases.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by dionidium on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:20AM (#27760256)
In addition to the point about under-reporting, which was already made here, the drop in tourists and commuters may also be masking a rise in crime in the data. To understand this, you first have to realize that crime is typically overstated in destination neighborhoods, because visitors to the neighborhood are not counted in the denominator of most crime statistics, which are calculated by dividing the number of incidents by the number of permanent residents. Given two neighborhoods with identical official crime rates, the one with more daily visitors actually has a much lower true rate.

But in a year where the visitors fell off a cliff, you could have a drop in the number of incidents, which would show a decrease in crime in the official stats, even if there was actually an increase in the true rate of crime.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by redis_mlc on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:23AM (#27759769)
FYI: the final Target SF location, Stonestown, with normal closing hours (9 pm or 10 pm) just adopted 6 pm closures too.

They also have 3x the security at self-serve registers, one per row, compared to maybe one total before.

Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by tpmx on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @07:33AM (#27759852)
(The parent comment was flagged/dead.)

https://www.sfgate.com/local/article/Target-San-Francisco-st...

Every Target in San Francisco now has reduced hours.

As of this weekend, the Target in the Stonestown Galleria's hours have been cut back to 9 a.m. to 6 p.m. because of an uptick in retail theft.

It's due to "a significant and alarming rise in theft and security incidents," said spokesperson Brian Harper-Tibaldo.

"For more than a month, we’ve been experiencing a significant and alarming rise in theft and security incidents at our San Francisco stores, similar to reports from other retailers in the area," said Harper-Tibaldo.

[dead]
[dead]
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bsenftner on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:01AM (#27760093)
You've not met male Karens? Just add a dick and threats of physical violence, but still a Karen.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by Huwyt_Nashi052 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:09AM (#27760176)
In case it wasn't obvious, I'm calling you out on the racial aspect.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by bsenftner on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:16AM (#27760219)
That's interesting. I'd accept my statement being a class attack, but racist? You've not met a very diverse set of Karens - they observe no boundaries of gender, or "race" - they are simply intolerant and self important. Regardless of their origin.
Re:SF's crime debate turns nasty by jacob2484 on Wednesday July 07, 2021 @08:12AM (#27760197)
Very eager to blame it on Trump too I'm sure.