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Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by planetzero on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @10:39PM (#21759342)
We need to get rid of student loans. The problem is that Universities don't ever need to worry about a student defaulting and can keep increasing the prices of tuition with impunity. If they default, they don't care, because the money is already in the bank.

If universities had to worry about students defaulting, they would get rid of bullshit degrees that don't result in an actual job and the prices would come done due to free market forces.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by azhenley on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @10:47PM (#21759401)
Some universities have started doing income share agreements. They front the tuition cost for a portion of your future income. Depending on your degree program, they will take X percentage for Y years.

Purdue was in the news for being one of the first: https://www.purdue.edu/dfa/types-of-aid/income-share-agreeme...

Planet Money had a nice podcast about how they work: https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2019/03/29/708152566/epis...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rblatz on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @11:20PM (#21759557)
How does that work for people who receive a large portion of their compensation in things like equity in a private company that is extremely hard to value?

Would these plans result in the proliferation of odd compensation schemes to get around these repayment plans?

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by azhenley on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @11:25PM (#21759586)
I'm not exactly sure. These programs are still in there trial phase anyway.

The one program that I looked into had a relatively low cap on it, like $60,000, so they only take a cut of the first 60k. Plus the majority of people (i.e., outside of engineering) don't get equity anyway.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by SeanAppleby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:28AM (#21762621)
Couldn't you just use income reported to the IRS? Then any odd payment scheme to get around repayment terms would necessarily be tax evasion, which is much more serious and lets you lean on the IRS for enforcement and legislation.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by Accujack on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:48AM (#21762799)
Many forms of what you call "tax evasion" are in fact legal in the US.

Lots of very, very wealthy people have no "income" at all, which means they don't pay taxes.

The problem is that "income" is narrowly defined (for a reason) so things like someone owning a large corporation which triples in value over a year making them a billionaire on paper don't even show up on taxes because officially that person hasn't "made" that money until they sell the corporation. Even when they do, it's taxed at a lower rate than "income" because it's a different "kind" of money.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by afarrell on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:40AM (#21760667)
Couldn't they just look at Adjusted Gross Income?
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by oarabbus_ on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:00PM (#21767705)
It's based off salary, not equity.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by scottishfiction on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:26AM (#21762585)
This is how student loans in the UK work.

"You’ll repay 9% of your income above the repayment threshold – earn less and you won’t repay. Once you leave your course, you’ll only repay when your income is above the repayment threshold. The current UK threshold is £25,725 a year, £2,143 a month, or £494 a week." [0]

[0]: https://www.ucas.com/student-finance-england/repaying-your-s...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by jointpdf on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:16AM (#21763132)
I haven’t seen this mentioned in this thread yet, but there are income-based repayment plans for US loans. There are different plans, but it works much the same way as above, roughly: if you earn above a income threshold (~$20k), then you pay 10% of your income until a) the loan is repaid or b) 20 years have passed (remaining balance is discharged. But, you have to apply for these programs, and many people don’t know they exist and loan servicers have incentives to keep people on traditional repayment plans.

It’s not a cure-all: you can still default, and there are cases where you can end up repaying more than a traditional loan. Nevertheless, it should be the [/puts on sunglasses]...default option.

https://studentaid.ed.gov/sa/repay-loans/understand/plans/in...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by ummonk on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @12:10PM (#21764460)
The problem is that the federal government (with taxpayer money) is acting as a middle man here. So universities don't have an incentive to make their students employable.

If universities were getting paid directly based on income, that would create the right incentives.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by davidclark22 on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:54AM (#21762870)
The US has a similar repayment program called Pay As You Earn (PAYE). It ties your payment amount to 10% of your income that is above 150% of the federal poverty level. This only applies to federal loans (not private loans) and requires opt-in, which probably causes a lot of people to not do it.

https://studentaid.ed.gov/sa/repay-loans/understand/plans/in...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by mAEStro-paNDa on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:14AM (#21763099)
It's insane to me how quick some folks are to dismiss what they deem "bullshit degrees".

It's our culture that has turned education into some kind of "investment" in future job prospects. To put it simply, education was never intended to be that way, nor should it. It's as if studying the arts is some kind of luxury for those who are already financially well-off.

Education is supposed to be about learning just for the sake of learning, which benefits all of us. If there is not a place for people from certain fields of study, that's a failure of our economy and priorities. Yet it seems that too many have just accepted the current reality as "just the way things are".

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bumby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:59AM (#21763655)
I agree that the previous role of education was not intended to be strictly vocational, but that role changed with the industrial revolution following policies like the Morrill Land-Grant Act calling for institutions that focus on more vocationally-minded tracks, like agriculture and engineering, to support the economy. We can debate if this was in the better interest of society, but I think the role of education is allowed to change.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by candybar on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:27PM (#21765286)
My understanding was that this idea of education being about learning for its own sake was from an era when only the children of the privileged class received higher education and since their future as part of the future elite was more or less guaranteed from their upbringing and connections and it was thought important than the future members of the elite class are broadly well-educated, not merely specialists in their roles.

The reality now is that education is more or less for everyone and most people, even at elite institutions, don't have a clear path to being a member of the elite without working super hard for specific career goals. It would be odd, then, for some of those students to continue to pretend that they have a clear path to being a member of the elite and learn the kinds of things that are disproportionately important for the members of the elite, when they have to accomplish a lot to get there. The world is simply far more competitive.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by joe_the_user on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @02:10PM (#21765706)
It's our culture that has turned education into some kind of "investment" in future job prospects. To put it simply, education was never intended to be that way, nor should it. It's as if studying the arts is some kind of luxury for those who are already financially well-off.

Historically, you certainly had a division between apprenticeships for the poor, university for the rather-rich and for middle class and talented and finishing school, philosophical speculation, tutoring by artists, etc for the idle wealthy.

The world where "everyone" was somewhat entitled to the basics of a university education was a product of WWII and the GI bill. Not that this was a bad thing but it's worth saying it's a somewhat recent thing. Moreover, while university education references "learning for learning's sake", I think the fundamental thing is more "the basic skills a citizen needs."

And even here, our society hasn't really integrated the exact use of twenty years of bureaucratic lecture classes. Going back to pure skill-oriented education isn't appealing but a broadening of the learning process is important.

That said, university education is now kind of the worst many world - purely job oriented but sort-of fantasy mid-level bureaucracy jobs that most students won't actually get.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by int_19h on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:59PM (#21767224)
It's meaningless to talk about what education was "intended" to be, because it varies from society to society, and changes over time. In general, we as a society decide what it is intended to be about.

But if you are going to look at history, then why not go all the way to the root of the modern Western academia - where the word itself originates?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Platonic_Academy

On one hand, it was indeed about learning just for the sake of learning. But on the other hand, it also didn't have degrees, positions, tenure, or any other attributes of a formal hierarchy.

And note that it was something that people did aside from gainful employment (or other source of income). Which means that it was closed to most, not even because they weren't welcome there, but because they didn't have the free time to devote to learning for the sake of learning.

Could we revive the Academy today, free for everybody? Sure, but I don't think this would solve any of the problems with "bullshit degrees".

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by dillonmckay on Thursday December 12, 2019 @06:59AM (#21771103)
I enjoy learning about new things and I also work full-time, so a system that could accommodate that style of learning would be my choice.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by prostoalex on Thursday December 12, 2019 @11:03AM (#21772976)
Learning for the sake of learning can happen at home with access to public library, YouTube, GreatCourses, Coursera, etc.

The argument needs to address why learning for the sake of learning at a specific physical location with the price ticket of $40k'ish a year is drastically better.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by oarabbus_ on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @02:56PM (#21766136)
I think I disagree with almost everything in your post. Historically, education was for the ultra elite/wealthy who could afford to not work and still live. Or in places like ancient India, education was for individuals who willfully chose to forego material comforts and wealth, not unlike devout ascetics.

The "education is about education" sentiment you mention is quite literally the brain-child of the ultra privileged.

I don't think the situation you describe has _ever_ been what education is "supposed" to be about. It's an noble goal, but it doesn't reflect reality. And a degree which cost over $100,000 to acquire, but doesn't yield any job prospects... if that isn't a "bullshit degree" then I don't know what is.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by ethbro on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:22PM (#21768518)
> Education is supposed to be about learning just for the sake of learning, which benefits all of us.

Does it?

Human instructed education is a limited resource. Unlike self-directed or automated education, it doesn't scale without educators. And there aren't an infinite supply of those.

Ergo, a price must be paid to be educated.

What should that price be? How should it be set? Who should pay it?

I'm honestly asking, regarding your assertion (I believe) that education shouldn't be driven by utility and future-ability-to-repay.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by planetzero on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:32PM (#21768809)
"It's our culture that has turned education into some kind of "investment" in future job prospects"

A liberal arts degree should not cost that much compared to the current tuition in the hundreds of thousands of dollars for many of these degrees.

It's an 'investment' because otherwise, it is a luxury for people that have money and don't need to work to pay back their loans.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by Excel_Wizard on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:14PM (#21766317)
Why is education supposed to be about learning just for the sake of learning? It should be purpose-directed.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by zepto on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:32PM (#21766501)
Who should decide on the purpose?
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by oarabbus_ on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @05:59PM (#21767694)
The person getting educated, probably. Which for most people the purpose is to get a job.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by ethbro on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:17PM (#21768492)
The person paying.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by mhb on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:32AM (#21762658)
If universities had to worry about students defaulting

Not just that. You can imagine additional benefits if the incentives of the parties involved are realigned. It would be in the interest of lenders to evaluate the readiness of students to attend college. This would potentially lead to better, less gamable testing.

It might make less sense, from a lender's perspective, for a student to go straight from high school to college. Instead perhaps they would want to see evidence from a couple of years of life outside of school that their loan would be repaid. The potential student would need to make a case to the lender and herself.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by luxuryballs on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @10:57PM (#21759450)
Yeah this is a problem that caused itself. Price fixing always breaks a market, and this loan backing by fiat is like a cancerous version of price fixing.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by vxxzy on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:45AM (#21762226)
This is simply untrue. They do care. For institutions with high default rates (greater than 30%), they risk missing out on the federal student loans (imo gravy train). [0]. It appears that this time around, a good number of technical/trade related institutions lost out. [0]

[0]: https://www.ed.gov/news/press-releases/national-federal-stud...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by linuxftw on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:56AM (#21762886)
No. They've completely gamed the system, so technically most people aren't 'defaulting' they're just paying almost nothing, forever [1].

1: https://studentaid.ed.gov/sa/repay-loans/understand/plans/in...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by nostromo on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:42AM (#21763441)
30%!

If a bank had a 30% default rate on mortgages they’d immediately cease to be a bank.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by adventskalender on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:28AM (#21760611)
Why wouldn't it be the responsibility of the students to not take out loans for stupid degrees? And also the responsibility of the banks for giving out the loans only for useful studies?

I don't see any party here that needs rescuing by the government.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by froindt on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:51AM (#21762262)
We like to at least have the allusion that you can start anywhere on the socioeconomic scale and end up better (sometimes far better) than you started. Education has long been one of the best ways to increase your lifetime earning potential, and having the government backing allows someone who had little growing up to receive the same education as the kid whose parents are paying for everything, and to go as far in life as they possibly can.

There are obviously holes in this narrative, but we like telling ourselves this can happen.

While there's not enough value in 17th century art history for the US to graduate 200k scholars per year and expect in-field employment, there is value to society in general to not losing our history and learning more. Letting the banks decide who gets loans will instantly mean those who can't pay cash cannot pursue that education or need to go on cheaper routes for college. They may or may not be viewed as a comparable education and quality candidate.

I'm not a fan of our current system, but a purely utilitarian system I see proposed seems likely to continue the spreading the social divides between the rich, middle class, and poor.

I'm an advocate for cutting a lot of the unnecessary fluff and expenses from college. Administrative overhead is excessive. Dorms are way nicer than they need to be. Alas, other colleges have nice dorms, so a single college choosing to go cheap on the dorms will probably decrease admissions and thereby revenue.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by foota on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:52AM (#21760722)
It doesn't matter who is responsible for the situation, if it presents a large risk to the economy it should be mitigated.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by sokoloff on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:07AM (#21761691)
Alcohol, tobacco, obesity, and general unhealthy lifestyle likely underpins more risk to the economy than student lending. It’s perhaps more “priced in”, but otherwise seems much more serious.

Drug abuse is less long-term priced in and likely also has higher aggregate risk as well.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by foota on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:26PM (#21766435)
There's a difference between risk and harm. Risks are something that represent an unknown future harm to the economy, likely in the form of a potential recession. The things you list undoubtedly waste resources, both from loss of productivity and from spending resources that otherwise could have been utilized for something else, but they're known quantities.

In a sense the things you list are kind of like the broken windows fallacy. The increase in healthcare spending shows up in our GDP, but isn't an efficient use of the resources.

I also imagine that student loan debt could reduce local growth. If you have a graduate using most of their income on repaying loans, that's money that may have been spent locally and is instead sent to the bank. Of course the opposite is true before graduation, where inflated costs of education result in more money in the local economy. However due to interest it may be the case that the former outweighs the latter.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by sokoloff on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:49PM (#21766664)
Isn’t student loan repayment harm rather than risk as well, then? It seems like they’re also well known quantities.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by tbrownaw on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:57PM (#21767199)
The amount that's owed is known, but ability to repay can change.

Suppose that someone invents a better version of ELIZA, and everyone in the psychotherapy business is suddenly out of work.

Or slightly less absurdly, suppose that Intuit and H&R Block mess up their next round of lobbying, and the IRS implements that one-click tax payment we've all been asking for. And the accountant industry shrinks by a few percent and wages go down for the ones that are left.

Either of those would be a significant shift in the job prospects of a large group of people, which could affect how many student loans actually get repaid.

I think it might also count as a risk if it suddenly became fashionable to get degrees in, say, underwater basket weaving. As in, incoming students aren't perfectly rational with perfect information about what degrees have what job prospects, and I'm assuming the college loan system might not react quickly if something caused an overall shift towards less economically useful degrees.

It does lack one "feature" that helps the bad mortgages cause problems, in that I don't think it would be self-reinforcing. From what I understand, subprime defaults were contagious in a way that I don't think this would be.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by prostoalex on Thursday December 12, 2019 @11:15AM (#21773136)
> I don't see any party here that needs rescuing by the government.

Contrary to public perception, there's no robust investment market for student debt. US government ends up purchasing most of it through Treasury. In theory it's a great deal, as it gets to borrow at low Treasury rates and originate at higher rates.

I don't have a link to the original source, but "In September 2018, the U.S. Treasury Department revealed in its annual report that student loans account for 36.8% of all U.S. government assets." https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/08121...

Edit: here's a more updated analysis of the Treasury disclosures, which puts the figure at 51.2% as of September 2019 https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/commentaries/2019...

Devaluing those assets (which Treasury marks to market) would significantly dampen (if not destroy) US government's borrowing ability as well as make some government entitlement programs [at least temporarily] insolvent.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lotsofpulp on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:47AM (#21760697)
Yes, the whole situation fixes itself by removing taxpayer guaranteed loans. If taxpayers want to assist in education, taxpayers should provide scholarships.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by xorfish on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:05AM (#21760780)
Or make it affordable.

Tuition for ETH Zurich around 800 francs per semester.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by tuukkah on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:53AM (#21761920)
What does that cover, or is it just a nominal tuition?
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by xorfish on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:05AM (#21763004)
tuition and obligatory contributions
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by kortilla on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @05:49AM (#21761291)
It’s not the bank’s responsibility because they aren’t at risk of a default on the loan for the student picking a useful degree. Remove that government backstop and banks are going to get awfully good at rejecting $200k loans for an out of state B.A. degree in Renaissance Era French Literature.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by vonmoltke on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:34AM (#21762156)
Banks already reject that, because they aren't getting a guarantee. The issue is the loans issued by the Department of Education, which are the non-dischargeable ones.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by vishalzone2002 on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @10:45PM (#21759377)
This is a good idea. Even if there is shaming by ranking universities with most to least number of student loan defaulters or alumni loans will be a good start here.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by planetzero on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @10:47PM (#21759389)
Not just shaming. They should be the ones actually loaning the money out to students.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by eggie on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:23AM (#21761484)
> If universities had to worry about students defaulting, they would get rid of bullshit degrees that don't result in an actual job and the prices would come done due to free market forces.

This is a hypothetical but classic example of how regulation is required to support a free market.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by moduspol on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:08AM (#21761697)
It's federally guaranteed student loans that got us here! It wasn't like this for our parents.

This comment is an example of how any amount of problems caused by government intervention can be framed as a need for more government intervention.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by alistairSH on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:18AM (#21762052)
<pedant>The predecessor of the Stafford Loan program was created in 1965, so it was like this for most of our parents.</pedant>

But, the cost of school has outpaced inflation for that period, making the situation worse. No question about that.

We'd probably all be better off if the government simply gave grants to students who meet some minimum threshold. Call it top 20% of class or thereabouts.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by raverbashing on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:29AM (#21762121)
"cost of school" oh but wait, it's not the cost of tuition as in the people and materials actually involved in it. Just ask any professor.

It's the cost of the administration. The cost of facilities. The extortion racket that are mandatory latest editions textbooks.

Universities are becoming less about teaching people and more about capturing grants and "selling the experience"

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by alistairSH on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:25AM (#21762577)
Most of those administrators are there for a reason. Regulatory compliance takes manpower (which costs money). Perhaps we regulating the wrong things, or doing too much of it. But, regulations rarely appear for no reason at all.

Some states are making efforts to curb the costs of textbooks and materials. I'm currently working on software to help CA schools roll out their ZTC programs.[1]

1 - https://www.insidehighered.com/digital-learning/article/2019...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by nicoburns on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:10AM (#21762448)
> This comment is an example of how any amount of problems caused by government intervention can be framed as a need for more government intervention.

And your comment is an example of assuming that government regulation is at best a necessary evil and something to be avoided if at all possible. Most of western Europe has has regulated university fees for decades, and by all accounts this works pretty well. Public opinion in the UK (even from a lot of the political right) is that the current 9k/year cap is too high if anything.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by moduspol on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:24AM (#21762569)
> And your comment is an example of assuming that government regulation is at best a necessary evil and something to be avoided if at all possible.

The role of government regulation is a separate question, but we're really jumping the shark when we can't even acknowledge basic cause and effect.

It's not surprising that government policy making tons of student loan money available led to more students being willing to take out bigger loans. This is like Markets 101.

It's tough to take opponents seriously when basic, predictable side effects of favored policies are ignored just to recommend heavier-handed policies of the same kind.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by nicoburns on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:07AM (#21763022)
> It's not surprising that government policy making tons of student loan money available led to more students being willing to take out bigger loans. This is like Markets 101.

Totally agree with you on this.

> It's tough to take opponents seriously when basic, predictable side effects of favored policies are ignored just to recommend heavier-handed policies of the same kind.

It seems likely to me that the side effect wasn't ignored. Probably there was somebody proposing the "heavy handed" version of the legislation (which actually makes sense because it mitigates the side effect), but somebody else was opposing it because they don't like regulation. Thus, this problematic legislation emerged as a compromise.

Opposition to regulation often seems to be based on the idea that in practice regulation causes more problems than it solves. My observation is that regulation (esp. in the US) often does have this problem, but only because there is such opposition to regulation that it is almost impossible to enact the stronger and more sensible regulation that would actually work.

In short, it is often ideological opposition to regulation that causes it to fail, rather than the case that regulation in general doesn't work.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by DataWorker on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @11:34AM (#21764065)
So no true Scotsman? “Regulation never works well because it’s never the right kind of regulation.”

In what world do the regulated parties not oppose being regulated? If there’s no opposition to a regulation then it probably isn’t needed.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by nicoburns on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:30PM (#21765308)
Sometimes it doesn't work just because it wasn't a good idea to regulate in that way. However there are countless examples of regulation that was crippled in the US, but that has a very successful (and generally stronger) counterpart in Europe.

Perhaps it's just that corporate interests have captured governments. But that too seems like a symptom of distrust in government leading to it being hamstrung and underfunded. I guess it's circular.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by Frondo on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:48AM (#21762246)
It sure wasn't like this for our parents. The UC system was close to free in the 60s. Portland State University's very first summer session was $50 for tuition and fees. Universities supported simply by taxes, not a byzantine system of public and private loans (still backed by the government, of course), like is common in other Western nations.

I'm 100% in on getting the government out of the lending business and back into the "higher ed is a public good" business. I'd rather they just return the actual sticker price to what it was a generation ago, and make it realistic for people to work student jobs to earn the cost of their tuition.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by raxxorrax on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:02AM (#21762366)
Government contribution made it possible to get my degree for free basically. We don't have a student loan bubble while still having a pretty high educational standard, even if that suffered in recent years.

We might not have the most tenured professors though, since those a drawn to centralize in institution with high prestige. But with the free flow of information today, this centralization of excellence becomes less important.

But anyway it probably isn't a problem with too much/too few government intervention and more of a problem of intervention being constructive or not. Bad intervention is probably worse than no intervention, I agree.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by moduspol on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:16AM (#21762502)
Perhaps, but some things are inherent to how markets work.

It's not surprising that by making a ton of student loan money available, that more students are more willing to spend more money, and thus prices rise.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by yaa_minu on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:45AM (#21761589)
Where's the free market here? As far as I know, student loans are guaranteed by the government so the universities are not incentivized to keep the cost down because no matter how much they charge, students can "afford" to pay.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by roenxi on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:30AM (#21761524)
A free market? Nobody but nobody would be stupid enough to lend money to students in a free market. The student would be an infeasible credit risk. They have no money or assets.

There is no free market here.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bumby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:55AM (#21761632)
I heard an interesting proposal recently that sounded like venture capital for education. Students would receive tuition money and the lender would receive a percentage of their post graduation salary for a specified number of years.

Even without novel approaches students already get non-subsidized lines of credit so I don’t think it’s unheard of

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by Nasrudith on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:42AM (#21762211)
That reminds me of the Paradox of the Court. Obviously not quite as straightforward but such a payment model does encourage at least some degree of sandbagging.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paradox_of_the_Court

On another note the idea rubs me as immoral in ways that loans don't for reasons I am not quite able to articulate. Like viscerally seeming too far too similar to indenteture.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by int_19h on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @05:04PM (#21767255)
Indenture is loathsome because the person under it is compelled to work. That isn't so in this payment model - they're free to work or not as they wish, and they are free to choose the amount of work, and their own balance of pay vs working conditions, and so on.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bumby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:08AM (#21762430)
Interesting link, thanks for sharing!

I found a link but couldn't add it to my original comment. There is a 5% salary payment for 15 years once the student reaches $25k. Sandbagging is possible but it seems like students would start working against their own monetary self-interest pretty early (from a salary perspective at least; who knows, I'm sure there's other creative ways to game the system).

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by docdeek on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:52AM (#21761911)
Australia has a version of this sort of thing, except the 'bank' extending the loan is the government. When a student graduates they repay their education 'loan' with a slightly increased rate of income tax until the loan is repaid in full. There are a couple of other features of the loans that make them different from commercial loans in that the effective rate of interest is 0% (it's tied to inflation, but no interest clock is ticking) and repayments are only required once a graduate reaches a certain income threshold (hence, if you leave the workforce and stop earning income you don't have to pay, and you don't pay if you are unemployed or seeking a job straight out of college).
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by ipsi on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:03AM (#21762375)
Student Loans in the UK can work like this - you repay, I think, 9% above £25,000, and it's wiped after 30 years, regardless of how much is left. Some details may be different depending on exactly when the loan was issued.

So if you have a huge loan but a small income, it's more like a 30-year graduate tax than a loan you expect to fully repay.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bumby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:14AM (#21762481)
I think the difference (if I'm understanding the U.K. situation correctly) is that in the U.K. the loan can be paid off in full prior to the end of the term, correct?

In the situation above, it acts more like an investment rather than a loan. (i.e., there's no upper bound on the payment, outside of the 5%/15 year cap, so the student may pay back more than they receive)

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bumby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:00AM (#21762335)
Found a link. Basically, if someone makes more than $25k they owe 5% of their income for 15 years:

https://nationswell.com/venture-capital-college-student-debt...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by RickJWagner on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:56AM (#21761947)
I can imagine the graduated students would quickly become indignant and look for ways to default.

Sort of like those radio ads that say they'll help you "not pay the greedy credit card companies that trapped you".

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bocklund on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:55AM (#21761929)
This is how some of the coding boot camps like Lambda School work.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lr4444lr on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:01AM (#21761971)
That's why the loans are not dischargeable in bankruptcy. Awful state of affairs, but it is an effective thing to leverage.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by linuxftw on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:00AM (#21762947)
> They have no money or assets.

That's entirely the point. Tuition would have to come down so it's actually affordable, or there would be less people attending. Businesses might actually foot the bill for tuition to train their people, because there would be a shortage of qualified applicants.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by dsfyu404ed on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:18AM (#21761746)
Is the regulation you're speaking of regulation that un-does the regulation that provides federal loan to anyone with a pulse who wants to major in journalism (or some other degree for a low paid field) and prevents borrowers from getting rid of said loans in bankruptcy?

Make no mistake, we regulated ourselves into this mess. Many people at the time predicted the current situation. More money chasing something drives up the price of that something. It's now pretty clear that we should have funded the schools instead of providing subsidized loans for the students.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by throwaway100773 on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:47AM (#21761596)
How so? I don’t see the connection here.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by jbc1 on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:33AM (#21761824)
Could you elaborate please?
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by SantalBlush on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:06AM (#21761990)
Universities are not just job training programs. They offer degrees that will enhance one's expertise in pretty much any sphere of human knowledge. If you want a job in accounting, don't get a degree in philosophy.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by ponsin on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @11:47PM (#21759675)
Why? If I take out a loan in order to go on a cruise, the cruise company is not responsible if I default. In fact, with almost every purchase that involves a loan, the company offering the loan is different than the company offering the product / service. If responsibility fell on the university, then they could just refuse to accept people who take out loans. The result being that only rich people could go to college.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by gambiting on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:02AM (#21760769)
>>Why? If I take out a loan in order to go on a cruise, the cruise company is not responsible if I default.

Imagine if everyone in the United States who wanted to go on a cruise was guaranteed to be given a loan to go on a cruise, regardless of the cost of said cruise or their personal circumstances. In that scenario, obviously cruise companies would increase prices, since their clients will always get the money to pay for them, and like you yourself said - it's not their responsibility whether people can pay it back or not.

That's pretty much how higher education works.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by dpau on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:51AM (#21762835)
not only that, in this scenario society would expect and pressure all young people to go on a cruise before they were eligible to join society.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by linuxftw on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:01AM (#21762965)
Yeah, I wouldn't be in the same room as those dirty non-cruisers.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by DuskStar on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @02:49PM (#21766047)
It's a cultural touchstone, the signal that you've come of age! How dare you suggest that 18 year olds not take out a loan for a 6-month luxury cruise, or that they compare prices for different ships! You go on the best ship that has space for you, everyone knows that!
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rumanator on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @02:04AM (#21760250)
> Why?

Because education is not a luxury service that can be postponed or outright skipped, like lifestyle-tailored tourism, and education costs in the US have become a major societal and economical problem.

> In fact, with almost every purchase that involves a loan, the company offering the loan is different than the company offering the product / service.

That's a tautology, and entirely misses the point. The point is that student loans are a colossal problem for the US, not only economical but also societal, and the problem is caused by the disconnection between the vicious cycle that leads to hikes in cost and the consequences of complying with the requirements to have an education.

Complaining that universities should not feel any consequence for the need to take massive loans they force onto their student body is like complaining that petrochemical companies should not feel any consequence for the need to decontaminate the environment.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lotsofpulp on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:49AM (#21760708)
Then taxpayers should pay for education itself. No reason for taxpayers to become lenders.

The real problem is voters want lower taxes, and some genius figured out a way to tout lower taxes and tax payer assistance to students, hence student loan debt.

And, inevitably, like all times that society is enabled to pass the buck onto future generations or ignore externalities, society will take and consume all it can until the breaking point. Same story with defined benefit pensions, student loans, environmental damage. We are simply starting to see the effects of pushing the costs into the future, now that the future is here.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rsj_hn on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:45AM (#21760985)
> The real problem is voters want lower taxes, and some genius figured out a way to tout lower taxes and tax payer assistance to students, hence student loan debt.

The facts don't support this claim. U.S. government spending on tertiary education is 0.91% of GDP compared to Germany's 1.0% and Japan's 0.45% (source: https://data.oecd.org/eduresource/public-spending-on-educati...)

Rather, university education in the U.S., like healthcare, is insanely expensive compared to other countries. Why is that?

1. Non-selective. We admit 70% of high school graduates to University whereas in Germany they admit 1/3.

2. Too long/unfocused. University education can last 5-6 years in the US for a bachelors, whereas in Germany it is limited to 3 years. You don't get to drift around as "undecided" and change your major, you apply to the school with a specific major. You don't get a lot of choice as to your electives and follow a pre-planned course of study (for the most part).

3. Too many frills. European schools don't have massive sports stadiums, athletic departments, or other amenities similar to US universities.

4. Too much staff. Our universities are massively overstaffed with everything from diversity officers to football coaches to teams of counselors.

Put this all together, and you have a very expensive, inefficient, gold-plated system focused on catering to student whims rather than to taxpayer efficiency. Of course tax payers don't want to pay for it -- why should they? If you want European style funding of universities, you need European-style spending levels and rigor. If you want an experience that is half as selective, takes twice as long, and offers absurd amenities that have nothing to do with university education, then you are going to have to pay for that out of your own pocket rather than asking for taxpayers to provide this experience for you.

The good news is that you can find relatively inexpensive higher education in the U.S. if you are a good student and are willing to attend community college for the first two years and a local state school for the rest. If you are good enough to be admitted to University in Europe, then in the U.S. you should be able to get a scholarship. Of course most US university students would never be admitted to University in Europe in the first place -- so having an option to pay a lot to go might be better than not having an option at all. But I suspect that we would be better off adopting a German style trade school system to absorb 50% of high school graduates as well as a more rigorous high school system, but that would require adoption of tracking and letting most students know that they are not going to be on the university track. In that type of environment, sure, taxpayers would be willing to fund the enterprise since they would only be spending 10% more than they are spending now to match German-level of tertiary education spending.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by BlueTemplar on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:26AM (#21761792)
Regarding 1. and 2. :

In France 100% of high school graduates are (by definition) admitted to University, and more than half of them indeed decide to take that path.

"Typical" university education lasts 5 years. (Though I wouldn't be surprised if only a minority actually makes it.)

It's mostly free, students from poor families get grants, though there are limits on how many times you can retry university years while still getting a grant.

The result : in 2014, 45% of the 25-34 year old French had a university (or other superior education) degree, compared to 28% of the Germans. (OTOH I suspect that the quality of that education is not nearly as good ?)

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rsj_hn on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:42PM (#21766590)
So France is an example where they spend 1.12% of GDP on tertiary education, about 12% more than Germany, and as a result they get a lot more university students, but their labor market overall is less skilled, and French schools -- similar to Italian schools -- are broke and their employees are paid less.

So these are the kinds of trade offs to make -- e.g. what percent of your labor force do you need to have a college degree? This is going to be a characteristic of your economy and providing college degrees to more people than this is going to create a skills mismatch.

A lot of people think the reverse is true -- e.g. that if you train a lot of people to build bridges, then you will have a bridge building economy. But I am of the opinion that knowledge is activity specific, so if you want to have a lot of people who are bridge builders, then you need to actually build bridges, and the university diplomas you need will follow as people scramble to learn how to build bridges to get the good bridge building jobs they see in the economy.

So why does Germany have a more skilled economy even though fewer attend university? Because it's an export monster, that swells the number of high skilled jobs needed to much more than would be the case if they were producing only for their own market.

China is in a similar position -- they want a hundred million engineers, and if that means building a bridge across every river in Africa then that's what they will do. The Belt and Road Initiative is nothing more than an attempt to export infrastructure because they've already covered their own country with empty apartment buildings, unnecessary airports, and so they need to build infrastructure elsewhere. Curiously only 5% of the population attend university in China, and yet they are an economic powerhouse by doing -- and learning by doing -- rather than academic diplomas.

India is an example where they overtrain lots of people in IT relative to domestic demand, and of course what happens is that people emigrate to where the jobs are. Again, you don't transform your economy with university education, anymore than you can transform your car by washing it. You transform your economy by cultivating productive ecosystems and then making sure there is demand for their output.

Whereas we in the US think that we can shut down manufacturing, outsource jobs, and yet have a high skilled economy if everyone goes to university. It's not the case, we have a much lower skilled labor force than Europe and the university graduates have a hard time finding good jobs and repaying their student loans.

So bottom line, the goal should not be to send everyone to college, but to send those people who need to go to college, and if you want more people to need to go, than work on cultivating more high skilled employment in your economy rather than building more universities.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by BlueTemplar on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:46PM (#21767112)
IMHO jobs and economy are secondary. University is first and foremost about having educated citizens. And you can't do that in school because you need the freedom of not being forced to go to class and freedom from your parents too.

And in a lot of jobs, you don't need much more than some core knowledge, and being independent enough that you can learn on your own - you can't teach a specific job at the university, that's what internships are for. Teaching jobs, (outside of technical schools), is the responsibility of the companies.

Note that the overwhelming majority of engineers, especially bridge ones in France don't come from the University system - but rather the élite ingénieur schools - maybe a bit like the US Ivy League ? (There's the super-élite school literally called "Bridges and Roads") Those get a disproportionate amount of funding, but aren't that relevant to the discussion, since they only teach a tiny minority of students (~5%).

I recently came upon an interview with Oliver Faron, administrator of one of these élite schools, which has a specific focus on education of people returning to superior education. They also have an especially good record with 20 times better results with technical (="low-quality") high school graduates than universities.

(I guess that extra funding and the self-selection of the most motivated students might have something to do with that ?)

And his dream is to have a mandatory year of university to replace the long-gone mandatory military service, so that the different social classes get to "live together" again ! (More than one year would probably make for diminishing results?) : https://www.franceculture.fr/emissions/la-conversation-scien... (fr)

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rsj_hn on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @05:41PM (#21767577)
> IMHO jobs and economy are secondary. University is first and foremost about having educated citizens. And you can't do that in school because you need the freedom of not being forced to go to class and freedom from your parents too.

I sympathize with this view. When I was young (and foolish), I was really upset at how university education was being commoditized to teach job skills when really it should (in my opinion) follow the Classical Greek model of education designed to better a person -- the word for school also means "leisure". I also bemoaned the lack of intellectual curiosity and anti-intellectual atmosphere in universities, even elite universities.

But over time, I realized that this model of a university where you go and find yourself or discover the truth or become an enlightened person was fundamentally impossible as a method of national policy.

It is an indulgence for the elite which doesn't scale to 70% of the population, most of whom have zero desire to become intellectuals and are going to school so that they can have job skills. They need job skills. Why would we make them take out huge loans or waste a key portion of their lives role playing as intellectuals?

Moreover, it's really hard to teach young people insight about life because most of us are complete fools when we are young and all we get is the feeling of having deep insight into things, we don't really get that insight except by _doing_, whether that means engaging directly with the world via travel or talking to people outside our bubble, reading things that challenge us, experience life by having kids or watching a relative die, or whether that means doing on the job -- secluding yourself into a dream world on a walled off campus with a strictly controlled idealized environment is an indulgence that does not actually make you a more knowledgeable person.

In terms of an elite school offering superior results, that is always easy to do if you are selective. It's trivial to create a high school with much superior results than the average high school if you can pick out good students. The hard thing to do is to scale that to a national policy for everyone.

So if this secluded campus model of the university doesn't promote your intellectual life and it doesn't give you job skills, then why are we doing it?

There is a reason why the original schools were basically theological training institutions and later became finishing schools for the wealthy. That model of university education was always a type of bubble, but at least in the past, people were sent to the bubble because they were going to live in that bubble for the rest of their lives so the university was preparing them for their future life, either in a monastery or in elite circles where employment was considered a dirty word.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by BlueTemplar on Thursday December 12, 2019 @08:36AM (#21771676)
> Why would we make them take out huge loans

You wouldn't, like you weren't paying to do your military service.

> engaging directly with the world via travel or talking to people outside our bubble

A mandatory year mixing all social classes is, by definition, "bubble-popping". In fact this still happens today, when young people are forced to leave their home town they lived all their life in in order to go to the university.

Also, nothing is preventing a university from having some practical workshops... (I know a lot of people that got their truck-driving license during their military service) and a big university should be able to have some much more expensive training machinery than a small school.

P.S.: Oliv(i)er Faron is far from being young and foolish...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rsj_hn on Friday December 13, 2019 @07:01AM (#21780848)
> You wouldn't, like you weren't paying to do your military service.

Who do you think pays for military service if not the people? Martians? What is the difference between generation X paying for generation X+1's education, spending g% more than what was paid for their own education, and generation X taking out a loan to pay for their education at a rate of r? The only thing that matters is whether r > g, the growth rate of the price of education. If r > g, then a direct transfer is slightly more efficient. If r < g, then a loan is more efficient. In this case, g is astronomically high. Yet you favor the more inefficient approach, because it hides the fact that most money spent on tertiary education is a waste, and you want this waste transferred to the old rather than kept by the young.

> engaging directly with the world via travel or talking to people outside our bubble A mandatory year mixing all social classes is, by definition, "bubble-popping".

Ahh, yes, those isolated campuses with safe spaces and psychological violence counselors -- a true bubble popping experience.

P.S.

You can also be old and foolish.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by BlueTemplar on Friday December 13, 2019 @08:08PM (#21787099)
I would expect student loans and taxpayer money not having the same dynamic ?

> Ahh, yes, those isolated campuses with safe spaces and psychological violence counselors -- a true bubble popping experience.

Again, this is very American-centric.

> You can also be old and foolish.

Considering his credentials, it seems unlikely.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lotsofpulp on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:58AM (#21761040)
> The facts don't support this claim. U.S. government spending on tertiary education is 0.91% of GDP compared to Germany's 1.0% and Japan's 0.45%

US voters aren’t comparing taxes with Japan and Germany. They’re voting between politician A who says they will lower taxes, and does it by removing funding for higher education or politician B, who does provide higher education and hence has to collect higher taxes and politician A. Politician A can get away with this by claiming they still support students by providing government loans or government guaranteed private loans or whatever, but they don’t have to account for it in the same way politician B does.

I agree with all of your points, and I far prefer the German model too. But American voters seem to love debt, and low taxes, and rarely is a thought given to the future.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rsj_hn on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @05:14AM (#21761109)
Maybe American voters don't want to pay more for college education because they know how much it costs, and they feel they are already paying enough?

I think they are correct.

Reforming higher education means cutting spending first and foremost.

Shut down half the universities, lay off 1/3 of the staff in the rest, seize the endowments, close all the sports stadiums, fire most of the admins, force students to finish in 3 years, and then take the pile of money we are already spending on education and make that be the full tuition.

Voters concerned about high taxes would benefit from this, as would the top 50% of students. The bottom 50% of University students should be diverted to 2 year long trade schools, which can be built on the ruins of the shutdown universities, but staffed with craftsmen rather than professors. Industry can pay for 1/3 of it, students can pay for 1/3, and taxpayers can pay for the other third of the trade schools.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bumby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:31AM (#21762648)
Besides the draconian tone, why should university students get a full-ride in tuition and trade students be required to pay 1/3?
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rsj_hn on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:23PM (#21766402)
It's just one proposal, but generally trade school is much shorter and is usually a paid apprenticeship situation, or turns into one very quickly. If there is no apprenticeship, then sure can make it like Unis.

The tone is draconian because you have a whole class of people ripping students off, ripping taxpayers off, providing very little value, and yet being extremely sanctimonious about why more spending is needed. The hypocrisy and amorality of the higher education industry in the US is stunning, so a draconian approach is called for.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by Gunax on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:41AM (#21762746)
I whole-heartedly agree. But it's politically untenable, and not just because of unions and sports fans.

Any limit to university education in the US butts up with class (read: race) and inequality issues. I would love to close all of the over-priced and educationally dubious for-profit institutions. But any semblance that we are limiting educational attainment to the educational-haves is unacceptable.

The market for what HNers regard as an education (4-year degrees from established public or private universities) is really only like half of the post-secondary education market.

If you offer Johnny $20,000 to attend Purdue, you have to give everyone $20,000, regardless of their school-choice, aptitude, likelihood to graduate, or future income projections. To do so otherwise puts society in the unfortunate position of deciding who gets to pursue the American Dream.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lotsofpulp on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:43AM (#21761579)
> Reforming higher education means cutting spending first and foremost.

This has already occurred and continues to be cut further. What also happened however, is the legislature promised lenders that taxpayers would pay for all student loans. Of course this doesn’t get accounted in cash flow, because you can just assume more people will pay back their loans than actually will.

So now you have a situation where a lender can make a loan of unlimited amount of money with no risk to the lender, a borrower who knows nothing about money but has infinite ability to borrow, and a seller (schools) that get less money from taxpayers, but now can fight for the gobs of money that the students (who know nothing) have control of spending.

Hence unnecessary stadiums, recreational centers, buildings, admin, etc.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by sokoloff on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:57AM (#21761645)
Are private student loans backed by a federal guarantee of repayment? I didn’t think they were (and federal loans are definitely not infinite).

A student who is unable to repay their private loans before death leaves the lender without the money I think.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by vonmoltke on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:24AM (#21762091)
Private loans are not backed by a federal guarantee, which is why they are such a small portion of the pie.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lotsofpulp on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:48PM (#21765491)
They were at some point, and/or offered by private companies with an "implicit" backing of the government such as Sallie Mae and whatnot.

This may have changed in the past few years.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lowercased on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:03AM (#21761673)
I don't think "reducing taxpayer funding" is the 'cutting spending' the parent comment meant. I think they meant actual reduction of admin, buildings, rec centers, etc.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bumby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:26AM (#21762594)
>we would be better off adopting a German style trade school system

We would also need to remove the social stigma that has plagued the trades for the last 30+ years.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by rsj_hn on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:25PM (#21766422)
Agreed. I think it is going away, or at least I can't imagine anyone being looked down upon if they say they are a carpenter, plumber, electrician, or mechanic. And nowadays these will make more money than your average university graduate.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by Gunax on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:28AM (#21762613)
Does 'US government' include states? I am too lazy to look up stats, but I imagine most education costs are borne by states in the US.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by bumby on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:07PM (#21765079)
I'm too lazy to do anything but a cursory search, but it looks like it breaks down like this for higher education spending, according to a 2015 report:

Federal: $75.6 billion

State: $72.7 billion

Local: $9.2 billion

Although the funding between State and Federal are similar, the way those funds are spent may be different:

"The federal government mostly provides financial assistance to individual students and funds specific research projects, while states typically fund the general operations of public institutions, with smaller amounts appropriated for research and financial aid."

https://www.pewtrusts.org/~/media/assets/2015/06/federal_sta...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by ponsin on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @02:24AM (#21760353)
"Education" is necessary up to a certain point. In America, up to highschool education is free and for the most part required. Why draw the line at a bachelors degree? Should Masters and PhDs be free and partially required? Based on how I framed the question I assume that you can tell that I draw the line at highschool education. I can however see the argument for raising it to bachelor's. However I would expect the government to do much more than just give free money. Rather they would regulate it like they do to highschool. For example, required courses in English literature, American history, PE, and science. Mandatory attendance. Nationwide standardized tests. And others ... I personally am glad that I finish all of that in highschool and I now have the freedom to choose what and how I study.

But to respond to your point directly, degrees such as gender studies, art history, and English literature are certainly a luxury service that can be postponed or outright skipped.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by CathedralBorrow on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:40AM (#21760965)
> Based on how I framed the question I assume that you can tell that I draw the line at highschool education.

I'm asking out of curiosity and not trying to make a point or win any argument: Why do you draw your line there?

I wouldn't combine "free" and "partially required" though, as I don't see the need to conflate them. Where I live Masters and PhDs are free, but your required education is completed at age 15. Everything after that is completely optional, but free.

as in no tuition, but there are some administrative fees and books you need to buy, etc.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by ponsin on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @05:15AM (#21761115)
I draw my line there because I know of many people who would have a very fulfilling career doing things that only require a high school education (such as cashiers, customer service representatives, and construction workers). I assume that those people also would not gain much from college since having knowing them in highschool, they do not gain that much from formal education (lack of motivation to study, lack of intelligence to understand basic topics, lack of interest is those subjects).

I guess I shouldn't have assumed that government would necessarily regulate college like they do high school. Some European countries are examples of that. However in those countries there are a lack of people who are qualified to work in highly educated fields and a surplus of blue collar workers. In the US the situation is reversed. There is not enough work for many liberal arts majors, but a lack of workers for blue collar jobs. Spending tax dollars educating people from jobs that lack workers to jobs that have a surplus is not good usage of the money. Furthermore, a person who is not fit for even free college (probably has a lower income) now has to pay taxes for college students (who probably will have a higher income [unless they can't find a job]) while not benefiting from it.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by CathedralBorrow on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:12AM (#21761430)
There are a lot of assumptions in there that I don't think are necessarily founded. Is knowing someone enough for you to make assumptions about whether they will gain much from higher education? That seems awfully judgmental to me.

I'll also add that this: "However in those countries there are a lack of people who are qualified to work in highly educated fields and a surplus of blue collar workers." is absolutely not the case in the European country where I live. When you talk about the state of "those countries", what countries are you talking about and what are you basing that statement on?

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by ponsin on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:31PM (#21765328)
> Is knowing someone enough for you to make assumptions about whether they will gain much from higher education?

Yes, I make assumptions based on what I hear and who I see. I don't have the time to make a doctorate thesis on of my assumptions. Had I spent years researching how to identify people who college would help, and people who it would not help then I would use a stronger word than "assumption". With regard to countries offering free college education there are countries such as Germany, France and Brazil that offer free college education. They also have very low rates of attendance. Image how much lower it would be if the students had to pay for it.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by frockington1 on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:00AM (#21761963)
I have a bachelors degree in biomedical engineering, complete waste of time and money. All it has really provided me is a piece of paper that says I am smart
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by int_19h on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:08PM (#21768957)
A better approach would be to draw the line at the actual skills and knowledge that we believe everybody in the society must possess, and then figure out how to structure the educational system around that - i.e. what does it even mean to "have a degree", what kinds there are, what's the difference between college and trade school etc. It's quite likely that the existing structure is not at all optimal.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by godelski on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:26AM (#21760063)
This is part of the issue. Loan providers pretty much have to give everyone loans. But the only way this can happen is by guaranteeing these loans, federally and legally. So our solution to a problem backfired and we found out that federally guaranteed loans aren't the solution to "college should be available to everyone." Maybe it is time to look for a different solution. And maybe time to clean up the mess that the last "solution" created.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lotsofpulp on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:00AM (#21760760)
> So our solution to a problem backfired and we found out that federally guaranteed loans aren't the solution to "college should be available to everyone."

This was already known, but since simply providing taxpayer funded education results in increases of government expenses and hence higher taxes, we of course went with the Byzantine route of indebting people who don’t even know what amortization is to the tune of tens and hundreds of thousands of dollars.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by frockington1 on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:04AM (#21761982)
I don't think its unrealistic for an 18 year old to understand debt. Also, how are they being tricked into hundreds of thousands of dollars of ? State schools start around 15k/year and provide bachelors degrees. I've never understood these stories of people graduating (non-PhD/Lawyer)with so much debt
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by kalleboo on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:19AM (#21762058)
> I don't think its unrealistic for an 18 year old to understand debt

It really shouldn't be, but here we are. The proof is in the pudding. Their high school education has failed them, parental and job market pressures to have a degree has failed them.

Just standing around and going "well they should have known" isn't going to solve anything. Eventually they're going to be a big enough voting bloc to pass something like debt relief (example: old people and unsustainable pensions) and who's going to be stuck holding the bag? Better to solve the problem as early as possible instead of just standing around blaming them and not fixing anything.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by lotsofpulp on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @11:24AM (#21763954)
I didn't claim they were tricked, I think anyone that comes graduates high school should be able to understand amortizations and model cash flows in a spreadsheet so they now how much they need to earn to pay for their loans. But they don't. And neither do their parents. And a few clicks later, they are given $50k+/year to go to whatever "school" they want.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by godelski on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:28PM (#21765295)
> how are they being tricked into hundreds of thousands of dollars of [debt]

> state schools start around 15k/year and provide bachelors degrees.

Problem 1: School is expensive

15k*4 = 60k (assuming you do 4 years and not the average time of 6 years). So we're pretty close to $100k of debt. That is just in-state tuition! But that's not the total cost of school. Berkeley[0] estimates about $30k/yr for a student. So that's 120k-180k of debt for a bachelors. Now double that if you're out of state.

Problem 2: School is getting more expensive

But there's another problem that's happening. Cost of tuition is skyrocketing. Let's look at Berkeley from 2003-2012[1]. In 2003 the cost was $4336 (adjusting for inflation today that's ~$6050). In 2012 the cost was $12,834 ($14,340 2019 dollars). Today it is $14,184. So in 20 years the price has about increased ~2.5x. This means that those cases of $100k+ debt are increasing not just in total number (because population increase) but as a percent of graduating students (we'll say Gaussian curve of debt distribution).

Problem 3: In-State isn't always the best option

Let's say we live in Washington (state) and want to go to school for computer science. The field is fairly competitive so the higher ranked school we go to yields likely a better education (one up to date with modern techniques, funding, and equipment) and more network connections. So we'll say that we want to get into a top 100 school. That actually only leaves us 2 schools: UW(#6) and WSU(#75). We graduated pretty well with a 3.9 and a 1400 on our SAT. That might not get us into UW ([3] says 33% chance we don't get in) because it is a (inter)nationally competitive school and we don't have really any extra curricular activities. So what do we do? Our scores are high enough to get into a top 20, worst case top 50. Do we go to WSU or go to a school with more resources and a higher chance of earning more in the future? And if you think this is a fictitious scenario, play around with the other school acceptances (website uses same naming pattern as usnews: e.g. University-Of-California--Berkeley), UW is one of the least competitive schools in the top 20. There's plenty of states with even larger gaps. There's plenty of states where we're more competitive than the top instate school. There's plenty of other reasons a student might want to go out of state, and plenty of reasons that might be the best option for them.

Problem 4: Age

We're also talking about 18 year olds, which aren't known for making the best decisions. I don't know about you, but when I was 18 I was an idiot. I'm still pretty dumb but I've learned a lot since then. And if you don't think you were an idiot at 18, I'm calling bs or that you're under 23 and just don't know it yet.

[0] https://admissions.berkeley.edu/cost

[1] https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wswpT9L7QXs/UMjqxuIbttI/AAAAAAAAA...

[2] https://www.usnews.com/best-graduate-schools/top-science-sch...

[3] https://www.prepscholar.com/sat/s/colleges/University-of-Was...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by frockington1 on Thursday December 12, 2019 @09:59AM (#21772317)
Wow, I didn't realize how messed up the West Coast is. In the midwest we can go to state school for ~15k/year total cost and get a job pretty much anywhere as long as the gpa is ~3.2. CS students I graduated wit are in everything from Big Tech to startups, some even branched out into biotech. I always assumed a West Coast school mad it even easier to land a job
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by petre on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:55AM (#21760208)
Maybe partially state/federal funded education programs or free college education is the solution. We have that in Europe with some limits (only the first degree can be free) and it's working just fine. If you want private education and you can pay for it, that's fine.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by distances on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @11:54AM (#21764276)
> with some limits (only the first degree can be free)

Some countries do, some don't. I know several people with two free master's degrees, and some people basically collect them and PhDs as a hobby through their lifetimes -- a very small minority obviously, as most are quite done after the first.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by thaumasiotes on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @04:35AM (#21760948)
> In fact, with almost every purchase that involves a loan, the company offering the loan is different than the company offering the product / service.

I suspect this isn't true. Amazon puts up some pretty intrusive financing offers on all kinds of products. Jewelry is commonly purchased with vendor financing. Electronics are commonly purchased with vendor financing. Cars are usually purchased with vendor financing.

It's true that such vendor financing may be technically offered through a separate corporate form, but I don't think a company created by a retailer in order to offer financing specifically and exclusively on that retailer's products really counts as a "different company" in any real sense.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by dillonmckay on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @05:33AM (#21761213)
It is an entirely separate legal entity, that shares no legal risk with the vendor.

Ally came from GMAC, which GM created to finance automobiles.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by swagasaurus-rex on Tuesday December 10, 2019 @11:53PM (#21759698)
This appears to be the primary difference.

Lenders are no longer on the hook defaulting student loans. These loans are not dischargeable in bankruptcy, and it reflects on the sheer amount of loans given to sub-prime borrowers.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by joe_the_user on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @03:23AM (#21760582)
If I take out a loan in order to go on a cruise, the cruise company is not responsible if I default.

Aside from the other points, this isn't an honest of the overall situation of industries and credit. For example, The real estate industry and the car industry are highly focused on the buyer's ability to pay. The company might not be legally responsible for a buyer who defaults and it may a different company making the loan but the entire industry has to take a hit and they avoid taking those hits when they can (periodic easy-credit situations can distort this but still).

Which is to say that the government giving student guaranteed credit for school certainly distorts things relative to other industries (even compared to housing, where the government is also involved heavily).

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by sokoloff on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:03AM (#21761674)
In my experience, those two industries are highly focused on the buyer’s ability to qualify for the loan and much, much less concerned with the ability to pay the loan.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by dna_polymerase on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @06:51AM (#21761614)
What I read and heard in the past few weeks about this hints at another solution. Instead of getting rid of student loans and college tuition fees, we need to improve the situation for students and open the market for other players.

Apparently the Department of Education chooses the loan service for borrowers, thus enabling a de-facto monopoly for Navient [0]. Now, if we had a functioning market people could choose better solutions, and better standards would prevail. Also data could be made public enabling students to choose a college that showed better performance for graduates careers [1].

[0]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RjWWTTMj0xw [1]: https://www.theguardian.com/money/2017/sep/06/us-student-deb...

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by vonmoltke on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @08:37AM (#21762176)
How does the servicer affect this? They're just the intermediary for the DoE to get their money back.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by fzeroracer on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @12:17PM (#21764537)
The fact that we have to look at education from the perspective of whether or not we can find a job contributing to the coffers of rich executives is remarkably warped.

Education should be done for educations sake. Actual bullshit degrees come from universities seeking profit over education and even if you removed government loans from the equation they would still exist.

The idea that everything would somehow be fixed if loans were removed is a delusional one as long as there is a profit motivation for universities. Because it's easy to create McDegrees and sell them.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by golergka on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @11:13AM (#21763823)
Didn't student loans appear exactly because of american populism of "making college affordable"?
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by C1sc0cat on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:12AM (#21761715)
Depends how you implement the UK';s system is basically a graduate tax which seems fairer.

I suspect that Labours ideas of scraping it will just lead to higher taxes for all ie poorer non graduates subsidising middle calss kids, or they will ration degree places

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by phatfish on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:28AM (#21762610)
Why would it be just "poor non-graduates" subsidising "middle class kids"?

An potential extra tax burden can be allocated from wherever the government sees fit. Like a digital services tax or closing loopholes that are conveniently left open for global corporations.

Do you worry that the healthy poor people are subsidising the middle class sick ones through the NHS? Or that poor careful drivers are subsidising the cost of accidents for the middle class careless ones via their insurance company?

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by C1sc0cat on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @10:01AM (#21762967)
Everyone benefits from the NHS.

The moral hazard is non graduates (including pensioners) subsiding graduates.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by fjp on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:46PM (#21765473)
Though it's less direct than the NHS benefit, I think it's a pretty good argument that everyone benefits from an educated society, even if you can't point at every single person with a degree and say they're contributing to the greater good.

Educated people design infrastructure, products, services, (public and private) that affects every aspect of everyone's life.

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by nicoburns on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:13AM (#21762479)
I feel like this would be unfair on non-graduates, but only because government support for alternative career paths is so poor (e.g. apprenticeship schemes are a joke in this country). But really nobody should be entering working life in debt.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by Fakira on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @01:35AM (#21760102)
The brighter side is when the shit hits the fan both the universities and bullshit degree holders will be the losers. Economy will recover in a few years and we will have a better economy.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by JMTQp8lwXL on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @02:09AM (#21760275)
Capping the amount colleges raise tuition by each year might help.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by faet on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:56AM (#21761938)
Some of it is making up for state cuts. For example, between 2008 and 2018 Louisiana reduced high education funding by about $5k per student. Even if LSU didn't "Raise their tuition" that $5k gap needs to be made up somewhere.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by greedo on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @09:01AM (#21762360)
State cuts have made a huge difference, especially in the UC system. When I went to UCSD in 1982, tuition was roughly $310/quarter for a full-time student ($825 in 2019 dollars). California contributed roughly 90% of the cost of a student, keeping fees manageable. I was able to earn enough each summer to pay for tuition.

Now California contributes roughly 30% to the cost of a student, and the costs themselves has risen (better accommodations, increased admin staff etc etc.)

Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by qrbLPHiKpiux on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @07:17AM (#21761740)
As an employer, I take resumes and CV’s very seriously. I do not even consider an online degree or a Cracker Jack one, also.
Re:Student Loans a Lot Like the Subprime Mortgage Debacle, W... by beamatronic on Wednesday December 11, 2019 @02:22AM (#21760341)
I keep thinking about the circa 1991 recession. Everything was cheap. Everyone was poor. Everyone was happy living a basic life. Cause there was no other choice.