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Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by everdrive on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @07:38AM (#47673610)
Not claiming that Idiocracy is accurate, however IQ scores have been declining. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/search/research-news/3283/
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by ben_w on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:02AM (#47673889)
After a while of going up: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flynn_effect

While genes must play a part in this (if they didn't, all non-humans would also share our IQ*), genetics shift on a much slower timescale than the entire history of IQ tests.

* This pattern matches to the Motte-and-Bailey rhetorical technique, ergo I am suspicious of people who try to tie genetics and IQ until they're clear they're not making a racially charged claim. Last I checked, there is no real evidence that human races are a meaningful genetic category, let alone that anything usually described as "race" correlates to any genes connected to IQ scores.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by AntiDyatlov on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:04AM (#47674706)
How can human races not be a meaningful genetic category? Aside from the phentoypical differences, the prevalence of some diseases varies by race.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by ben_w on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:26AM (#47675061)
Because where you draw the lines for "race" is down to your own culture, not a constant dividing line that all cultures agree upon.

To an American, race may be e.g.: {White, Black, Hispanic, Native American, Arabic, Asian}.

To most Europeans, everyone who an an American would call Hispanic, we'd probably either call "Caucasian" (i.e. white) if their heritage is more from the Spanish side or Native American if their heritage is more from the pre-Columbian (Aztec?) side.

If you're Chinese, they may say the ethnicities are "Han, Zhuang, Hui, Manchu, Uyghur, …" where those are all ethnic groups within China.

Rwanda, infamously, would get you a distinction between Hutu and Tutsi; if you show me a picture of two people and ask me which was which, I wouldn't be able to answer, or even know if I was being pranked with any of the other ethnic groups in Africa.

But more broadly, while skin colour is easy to spot from the outside, it's about as useful as hair or eye colour when it comes to correspondence with the huge range of invisible genetic variation.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by malfist on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:08AM (#47674777)
What gene makes someone Asian?

What gene makes someone black?

What gene makes someone native American?

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by jfengel on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:07AM (#47673968)
I'd be curious to know the average IQ of, say, climate deniers.

I suspect it's still a perfect 100. I don't think it's about general intelligence. In some ways just the opposite: very smart people have a talent for convincing themselves that they are right.

Unfortunately I fear it's more like EQ than IQ. The driver is more about the people. They do not like the kind of people who are trying to prevent climate change, and will apply their intelligence as hard as they can to avoid agreeing with them.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by wombat-man on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:23AM (#47674168)
Yes, it's hard for some to believe, but there are people in my family who are otherwise very intelligent but will not change their opinions on some things. Like climate change.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by belorn on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:59AM (#47675506)
Climate change and climate change denial is not just about the scientific facts about what is happening to the climate, it is also the political opinion about what actions should be done. Those actions involve contested subjects like economical aspects (both national and global), fairness among population demographics, historical fairness (such as indigenous populations), border politics and wars, as well as what methods and technology is scientifically proven to be effective measures. Denialism in this aspect is very broad concept, and if we define it that anyone who disagree with the politician actions are idiots, and everyone who agree with them are intelligent, then a large portion of people will be idiots even if a large number of them are very intelligent in other areas.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by vkou on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @03:40PM (#47680359)
> Climate change and climate change denial is not just about the scientific facts about what is happening to the climate, it is also the political opinion about what actions should be done.

It would be great if what you said is true, and people were just arguing about what to do about it.

It's not, though. "It's a hoax" is both the start, and the end point for a large portion of the population, the media, and the politicians that represent it.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by belorn on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @07:13PM (#47682526)
How would you know if its a large portion of the population if media and politicians label people deniers just because they have a difference in opinion about what actions should be done?

In absolute terms, the portion of the worlds population that deny that the climate is changing is a single digit percentage, and that include the US (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_opinion_on_climate_chan...). The portion is a bit larger if you include people who think that the climate is changing but that is mostly caused by natural causes, but it is still a small minority compared to the wast majority that see climate change as either caused exclusively by human activity or as a mix between human activity and natural causes.

The "It's all a hoax" is a popular talking point but their followers are fewer in real life. It much more commonly to find that people with opposing view who actually agreeing that climate change is real, but that they disagree on policy. As an example, creating environmental policy based on per capita create a complete different policy compared to absolute emissions. The later is no more climate change denial than the first, and yet the later generally get labeled as denial.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by vkou on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:55PM (#47683872)
> How would you know if its a large portion of the population if media and politicians label people deniers just because they have a difference in opinion about what actions should be done?

I don't need to trust what the media tells me about them, I can just listen to what those people and the politicians elect actually say, and what they say is flippin' 'Climate change is a chinese hoax' lunacy.

There's no need to sanewash them, or make excuses for them. It's not a matter of 'disagreement of what to do', it's that they are either really fucking stupid, or are disingenuously courting people who are really fucking stupid.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by teddyh on Thursday April 09, 2026 @02:17PM (#47707370)
> I can just listen to what those people and the politicians elect actually say, and what they say is flippin' 'Climate change is a chinese hoax' lunacy.

You probably don’t actually listen to what they say. You probably instead listen to what your preferred media channels report on, and selectively quote from, what they say. You think these two things are the same, since you think that your news sources are perfectly accurate. But those who actually listen to those people, and prefer different media channels, probably have other opinions.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by semiquaver on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:43AM (#47674428)
Unless you are a scientist directly engaging with the literature, you and your relative are both doing the same thing: trusting the opinion of peers and high-status people in your political clan about what is happening in the world. It just happens that people in your clan are telling the truth while the other one is lying.

Neither side’s behavior can be considered “more intelligent” when you consider the vast majority of people on both sides are “opinion-takers” simply conforming to received social norms about what to believe about the world. The “opinion-makers” on both sides are undoubtedly intelligent, although you might prefer to call one side “cunning” instead.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by hamasho on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:15AM (#47674883)
I think choosing reliable authority requires a little intelligence. I don’t know how to build a robust house, but I can understand that should be on the solid base (scientific method) upon stable field, instead of mysterious objects from thousand years ago.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by catapart on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:04AM (#47674719)
you don't have to be a scientist to directly engage with the literature. from mathematical proofs to directly observed phenomena to statistical certainties - it's all out there for you to engage with and feel secure in your findings just by having an internet connection. there's a qualitative difference in that evidence from the "sides" and therefore there is a qualitative and practical difference in the "more intelligent" side. "truth" is not incidental to the situation, it's the entire point of making claims at all. So a side that is making claims that turn out to not be true - whether you personally verify that or not - is a worse side, intellectually, than another.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by numitus on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @11:19AM (#47676734)
That’s a pretty weak argument. What percentage of people actually have the qualifications to understand and verify a research paper? And how much can you even trust the raw data? At the end of the day, it’s just a matter of faith—whether you choose to believe the guy in the church or the guy at the university.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by jfengel on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @12:37PM (#47677948)
You don't need any advanced science to understand climate change. The basic chemistry and physics of it are readily accessible at a high school level.

Current research papers are far more advanced, but they're about the details of climate change. The basic facts of it were established two centuries ago.

We know that we are putting CO2 into the atmosphere. We know that CO2 absorbs heat. That's not a matter of believing an expert. At this point, anybody still denying it is deliberately choosing what somebody else tells them.

The economic effects of that are harder to model, but denialism is still stuck on whether the effect is real. There is no way to include them in any coherent discussion of what to do about it.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by whamlastxmas on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:40AM (#47675237)
If the side you follow says the science community is political and biased, then "just look at the literature" isn't going to help. It's like telling an atheist they'd believe in Jesus if they'd just read the bible.

We are lied to constantly by people who influence our lives. You can't even go to the grocery store without being lied to - being told breakfast cereals are healthy, that low fat options will make you less fat, shrinkflation, misleading unit pricing. It's no wonder people are so distrusting

Even if you're a democrat you still have to admit that democrats lie, a ton, and it's super obvious. Maybe if our leadership in general, on both sides, was capable of being decent humans then we'd be able to build trust and stop doing dumb shit as a civilization

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by anonymars on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @10:47AM (#47676283)
Unfortunately at some level, as usual, it comes down to game theory

If you tell the nuanced truth and lose, and your opponent tells simplified untruths and wins, where does that leave you?

As I understand it (obviously a gross simplification), Jimmy Carter attempted to treat Americans like adults, but Americans did not want to inconvenience themselves by wearing sweaters

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by catapart on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @11:50AM (#47677181)
please engage in good faith. if you think mathematical proofs will be an issue when I tell someone to "look at the literature", you either don't know what a mathematical proof is, or are too far abstracted from reality to influence any practical action. yes, we're being lied to. no, they don't fuck up the science in order to lie to you. they just expect you not to read the science. because, truthfully, it's rare that the people who are lying to you would even know how to fuck up the science in their favor. so they bet on your ignorance, based on their ignorance, and they usually win the bet. but not if you just go look it up and engage with it. it's not about reading a single paper; it's about always reading every paper (on topics you have decided you are going to have an opinion about) with a keen and unshakeable focus on practical effect. anything else is an academic boondoggle.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by whamlastxmas on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:49AM (#47675363)
I really love the way you communicated this and wish HN posters could more routinely invite curious conversations like this. Which isn't to say I'm perfect at it either
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by mmmmmbop on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @12:32PM (#47677852)
In Germany, for many years we had been told that climate change is the most important thing ever, that we need to change our habits or else the world will go down, that if we don't act now, we will all be doomed. Then the Ukraine war happened, and suddenly nobody was talking about climate change anymore.

I'll admit, I'm a simple man and I don't know the science behind all of this. But as a citizen, it does feel confusing how one day you're being told that we're all going to die unless we change something, and then suddenly even though nothing changed, it seems to be fine after all.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by Timon3 on Wednesday April 08, 2026 @06:10AM (#47688008)
Plenty of people in Germany (on all social/political levels) still talk about climate change, and have done so without pause before, during and since Ukraine.

If you think that everything "seems to be fine after all", you're in for a very rude awakening.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by mmmmmbop on Wednesday April 08, 2026 @03:02PM (#47694721)
Is that your perception, or do you have data to back this up?

For context, here's one source saying public concern for climate change has fallen in Germany from 42% to 34% from 2022 to 2025, in line with other European countries. [0] This was a study done by a German sustainability non-profit.

Here's another source stating that globally, news coverage about climate change has diminished by 38% from 2021 to 2025. [1]

Here's a third source stating that the share of German citizens who claim to be "very concerned" about climate change has dropped from 50% to 33% from 2019 to 2025. [2]

[0] https://fsc.org/en/newscentre/general-news/climate-change-fa...

[1] https://mecco.colorado.edu/summaries/special_issue_2025.html

[2] https://carbon-pulse.com/482517/#entry-482802

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by Timon3 on Thursday April 09, 2026 @02:15AM (#47699894)
Seems like you've answered your own question.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by jstanley on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:47AM (#47674489)
100 is not a perfect score on an IQ test! 100 is the mean score. It's not a percentage.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by sebastianmestre on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:54AM (#47674576)
I don't think that's what the GP was going for... rather, implying that flat-eartherness is uncorrelated to IQ and, thus, the average IQ of flat-earthers is the same as that of the general population.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by jfengel on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @02:16PM (#47679227)
Flerfers seem to be a somewhat different problem. In my experience, the vast majority of flat earthers are trolls, pretending to be stupid for the purpose of angering people.

I'm sure there are some genuine flat earthers out there, and I imagine that their IQs do average near 100 (perhaps a little lower). But I'm basing that on a general understanding of how people come to stupid beliefs, rather than from observations of individuals, because I'm not sure I've ever met a flat earther who actually believed what he was saying.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by everdrive on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:08AM (#47674773)
A lot of beliefs are cultural and not directly related to intelligence. From an outsider's perspective, it can be difficult to tell which beliefs are merely fact-based and which are rooted in culture.

I think an important thought experiment here would be to really imagine people going to war, killing each other over whether or not biblical transubstantiation is literal or metaphorical. who had the "intelligent" belief in this case? I'd argue neither side and that this was pure tribalism.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by everdrive on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @10:20AM (#47675832)
One other thing that's interesting -- at least in my personal observations, climate deniers don't usually actually argue the science. They might do this when publishing or speaking publicly. But, at least when you're talking with them and they're at ease and speaking freely, they seem to offer a different argument.

The argument I've seen, which really sticks with me, is that climate change is false, yes, but that's sort of a given that we don't investigate. Climate change was cooked up so that "the other side" could impose all sorts of horrible restrictions on "us."

I obviously don't agree with the argument, (ie, I think climate change is real and quite urgent) but I think it's an interesting framing. It's an argument from tribalism most obviously, but I also think it does what so many people do when attempting to understand complex events; it transforms the problem into more of a personal drama. The "real issue" is that "those people" are "against us." You see this sort of framing all the time; complex problems boiled down into personal dramas because people intuitively understand personal dramas and seek them out, but not necessarily because a personal drama has the best explanatory power.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by eszed on Thursday April 16, 2026 @10:30AM (#47793517)
This exactly is what drew in my late father, who was a scientist (not climate, obviously!) with raw intelligence several standard deviations above average. "They" were using climate change as a stalking horse for communism / woke-ism / whatever other "big government" thing he thought was counter to the interests of people like him.

He wasn't always like that. Maybe he wouldn't have described himself as such at the time, but in his twenties and early thirties he was a Liberal. He was a Peace Corps volunteer, attended Civil Rights marches, advocated on behalf of gay people, argued for gender equality, strongly opposed the Vietnam War, and was appalled by Watergate.

Fast-forward to the last decade of his life, in which my father donated to all three Trump presidential campaigns, displayed a Gadsden flag on his mantle, rejected his trans-gender grandchild, and made (at the very least) replacement-theory adjacent noises. Oh, and preferred Ivermectin over covid vaccination, of course.

What I think happened was that he was culturally out of step with most people who otherwise shared his politics in the 1970s - he was religious, so viscerally disgusted by drug use and "extra-marital" sex - and got captured by the propaganda machine that others in this thread have described. I believe the biggest turning point was 9/11: it terrified him, even if he couldn't quite admit that to himself, and he lived the rest of his life in a state of inchoate fear - stoked, naturally, by Fox News and other right-wing media.

So, that was the (white) American Baby Boomer Experience, writ small. He did materially well, but I think was a better and wiser person in his twenties than he became later on.

Rejecting climate change ("anthropogenic climate change", my father would point out, which let him off any evidentiary hook) is only a small part of an entire ideological project, which demands to be swallowed whole.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by willis936 on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @07:59AM (#47673849)
Invoking IQ is not really a good way to dismiss pro-eugenics concerns.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by everdrive on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:55AM (#47674585)
I wasn't going for pro or anti-eugenics, just expressing that the Flynn effect has been reversing. At least from what I've read the trend is true _within_ families, which downplays potential pro-eugenics arguments.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by littlestymaar on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:55AM (#47674586)
> Edit: This is a brief video explaining why.

I knew what it was before even clicking on it. The “brief video” was a strong enough clue.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by Rygian on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @07:59AM (#47673846)
Is there any strong relationship between IQ scores and innate intelligence, as opposed to mental agility gained through education?
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by coldtea on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:02AM (#47673896)
Yes. Which is why there are also IQ tests for pre-school kids.

Besides the declining groups have the same education with the earlier ones.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by tovej on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:10AM (#47674013)
All of these effects are explained much better by social factors. If you're poor or discriminated against, you get less nutrition, less education, and face barriers in trying to improve both.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by coldtea on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:24AM (#47674174)
>If you're poor or discriminated against, you get less nutrition, less education, and face barriers in trying to improve both.

Which doesn't matter, since they measured rich and middle class, and poor and discriminated against both before and after.

Did you think the new measurements were done at some ghetto and the earlier higher ones at Martha's Vineyard?

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by tovej on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @11:56AM (#47677291)
Could you please elaborate on why measuring the same group somehow eliminates social effects?

Are you claiming social factors have remained constant during the measuring period? Because they very obviously haven't.

If you're aware of the Peter principle, and how inequality compounds over time, then you know that the rate at which social factors change is correlated with their quantile values.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by singpolyma3 on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:22AM (#47674149)
In general the methodology for IQ is highly questionable
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by lelanthran on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:18AM (#47674937)
> In general the methodology for IQ is highly questionable

What do you propose as a replacement?

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by MidnightRider39 on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @07:47AM (#47673716)
Imho IQ scores aren’t a sufficient measure of intelligence, it’s very shaky science at best
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by reliabilityguy on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @07:57AM (#47673837)
> Imho IQ scores aren’t a sufficient measure of intelligence

You may be correct. However, if the methodology of IQ scoring didn’t change, the change in score itself is worth of investigation.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by orwin on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:15AM (#47674062)
Depends on the IQ test i guess?

The one i did at 7 _definitely_ had a cultural component. I think it was 5 different tests, i distinctly during one of them thinking "if my parent didn't educate me on music there is no way i could have answered that, is this bullshit?". Then in the spatialization test i had a tangram, which incidentally, was a game i had since i was 4. Honestly i remember i scored high, but i also told myself how lucky that was that most of the question the psychologist asked me, i already read the answers (which might have been the point), and that they used a tangram because honestly i knew i would have scored poorly on that particular test, i have trouble visualizing stuff (mild aphantasia).

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by ordu on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:40AM (#47674385)
The first IQ test was developed by Binet and Simon in France, and it was all about predicting academic success of children. Virtually all IQ tests are predicting academic success. Cultural component is a big part of it. For example music education is associated with better grades. Maybe no one knows how it works, but it does.

No one knows what intelligence is, all the tests are like "lets identify a group of smart people (normally it is something like a group of high performing students), find correlates and build a test measuring correlates". No good definition of intelligence and no casual reasoning, just a correlative one.

How IQ 100 becomes a median? Lets take a big enough sample, get their test score and then normalize numbers so median will be 100 exactly. The creators of tests know that you can't compare IQ numbers from different populations. You can investigate the difference, but a direct comparison is nonsense. Even comparisons between different age cohorts of the same population are questionable at very least.

It doesn't mean that iq numbers are meaningless, but we shouldn't confuse them with intelligence, and we definitely shouldn't treat them as absolute numbers. They are relative measure.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by lelanthran on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @07:57AM (#47673830)
> Imho IQ scores aren’t a sufficient measure of intelligence, it’s very shaky science at best

What do you propose as a replacement metric to determine if humans are getting dumber or not?

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by MidnightRider39 on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:09AM (#47673997)
No idea. Why do we need to determine if humans are getting dumber or not?
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by lpcvoid on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:31AM (#47674285)
Because it would explain what's happening in the world after 2019.
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by pixl97 on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:59AM (#47674637)
What an odd question.

What do you think intelligence actually is? What effects do you think it has when it goes up or down in mass?

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by MidnightRider39 on Wednesday April 08, 2026 @08:03AM (#47689046)
I think it’s an essential question. I wouldn’t even know how to describe what intelligence means exactly. I’ve experienced very “smart” people make horribly stupid decisions and the other way round.

Since I don’t know a way to describe what intelligent actually means I can’t tell if it’s good or not to have more or less of it.

For some this seems to be a very “finished” topic, but we don’t have any widely accepted definitions of intelligence, not even for “less complex” organisms

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by lelanthran on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:16AM (#47674903)
> No idea. Why do we need to determine if humans are getting dumber or not?

It seems to me, then, that your primary objection is not that IQ scores are inaccurate, but that intelligence shouldn't be measured in the first place?

Which makes me think that you don't want anyone doing research into whether human intelligence is changing at all.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by MidnightRider39 on Wednesday April 08, 2026 @08:10AM (#47689097)
No I think that our tools to measure and our definition of intelligence are lacking and are causing more problems than actually helping with anything.

Or can you point to any obvious improvements that result from having measured “intelligence” for the last 100+ years?

When my grandpa was a kid they would measure your skull and decide if you are smart or a subhuman based on that. Makes about as much sense as our current IQ tests…

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by coldtea on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @08:07AM (#47673963)
Not a sufficient measure of different kinds of mental agility (including emotional/social) maybe.

But when it comes to intelligence needed for doing maths and physics and such, it's a very good proxy. And geniuses like Tao, also happen to scope very highly.

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by MidnightRider39 on Wednesday April 08, 2026 @08:05AM (#47689064)
Yea and there have been tons of Nobel price winners who have scored low.

It’s a completely useless measure

Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by malfist on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @09:05AM (#47674742)
IQ is a poor yard stick to measure intelligence with
Re:Are We Idiocracy Yet? by duskdozer on Tuesday April 07, 2026 @10:39AM (#47676142)
Can't forget the new favorite:

>Mild cognitive decline was noted after infection with the wild-type virus and with each variant, including B.1.1.529 (Omicron). Relative to uninfected participants, cognitive deficit (3-point loss in IQ) was seen even in participants who had had completely recovered from mild COVID-19.

>Participants with persistent symptoms had the equivalent of a 6-point loss in IQ, while those who had been admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) experienced the equivalent of a 9-point loss in IQ.

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/even-fully-recovered-sur...

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2311330