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Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by jfernandezr on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:07PM (#44998296)
The article doesn't mention it, but there is an increasing worry that the USA could remotely disable some jet functionalities at will, or that any basic operation should be monitored and approved by them. So, this is not a reliable weapon that any country would like, unless the politicians agree to be vassals for life.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by randunel on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:30PM (#44998473)
The US also stated that they "tone them down 10%" when selling them to other countries.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by 2OEH8eoCRo0 on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:41PM (#44998550)
Cite a source please.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by potatolicious on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:58PM (#44998662)
You can literally just Google this, there are many sources. Literally the top of the Google results:

[1] https://www.politico.com/news/2025/03/21/trump-boeing-stealt...

[2] https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2025-03-2...

The exact transcript is here:

[3] https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-...

All of these are in the top-10 first results when you search for this.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by dunham on Saturday August 23, 2025 @04:02PM (#44998685)
All of those links appear to be discussing the F-47 and this thread is discussing the F-35.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by Delk on Saturday August 23, 2025 @04:35PM (#44998925)
To be fair, the exact sentence is "we like to tone them down about 10%", which suggests a more common practice rather than only a plan specifically for the F-47.

Of course it's also a quote from Trump, so who knows how much of it is from his random sentence generator. Although I'd guess he's quoting another official or someone from the defence industry.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by 2OEH8eoCRo0 on Sunday August 24, 2025 @12:15PM (#45005408)
10% of what? Are they 10% smaller?
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by wuschel on Sunday August 24, 2025 @04:14AM (#45002356)
This is very common for export variants of a high end military products.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by 7jjjjjjj on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:10PM (#44998314)
Even if there isn't a literal kill switch, there might as well be. Without a constant stream of maintenence and operations support from the USA there things are no good.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by cpursley on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:18PM (#44998398)
And the F-35 is very very high maintenance. Requires much more ground maintenance time that it's predecessors or competitors. That's a real problem in an active combat situation because it means less plans in the sky.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by fooblaster on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:25PM (#44998439)
It actually requires substantially less maintenance time if you look at the equivalent force it replaces, for example the associated awacs capability needed for a sortie for previous gen fighters.

Honestly, it's just absurd to think that any jet fighter is somehow low maintenance. The issue here isn't the f35, it's the host country becoming a unreliable/hostile partner.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by bigyabai on Saturday August 23, 2025 @05:14PM (#44999201)
> if you look at the equivalent force it replaces

And what if you look at the equivalent force it's competing with on the market? It's a bit pricey once you factor in CAS and supersonic interceptors to fill the gaps.

> The issue here isn't the f35, it's the host country becoming a unreliable/hostile partner.

Here? The issue is the F-35. What happened to Pakistan's F-16s when America became an unreliable/hostile partner to them? They kept flying them for decades, that's what happened. Same with Ukraine's Su-27s, Iran's F-14s, North Korea's MiG-29s... plenty of countries keep other nation's keepsakes in the air. The jet abides.

The F-35 has to be bought as a subscription package, you can't "own" features like sensor fusion without the US' consent. All but one nation has been denied the right to modify the airframe, everyone else is basically just renting the jet with permission to go eat an R-77T when the time comes.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by fooblaster on Sunday August 24, 2025 @01:52AM (#45001742)
The us provides has provided upkeep for pakistans f16s under strict supervision and according to some AI summary maintenance has been a huge issue for them that limited their effectiveness. So not sure the story you are painting is quite as rosy as the reality. Fighter jets are not easy to maintain, without a large domestic fighter jet industry.

Consider for example when one of the radar elements in the f35 burns out, among the thousands that are there. Where in Pakistan does on obtain custom GaN radar ASICs that integrate with the f35?

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by spwa4 on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:24PM (#44998432)
Apparently one aspect has to do with the inevitable result of a what a stealth fighter is: it can deploy weapons far further than it can see. So without comlinks with intelligence from a specific satellite system, it loses half its features.

Second for the on-board radars to evade detection they need to be reprogrammed with the latest updates regularly. Not so much because the programming has a kill switch but because otherwise "adversaries" could still turn out to have rockets that can home in on an F-35.

And even in the case of the US, you don't have to shoot down that many F-35s to get them all.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by wuschel on Sunday August 24, 2025 @04:16AM (#45002373)
It is. Germany had to invest heavily in airport infrastructure and security.

One strong reason why Germany got a batch of F-35 instead of the very capable and EU manufactured Typhoon is the fact that the F-35 is certified to carry nuclear bombs, and the Typhoon need certification for this particular mission capability. (The ordonance in this case is US tech).

Source: Luftwaffe

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by 2OEH8eoCRo0 on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:42PM (#44998558)
Exactly. I doubt there are literal kill switches but if the US stops supporting you there doesn't need to be.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by scott_w on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:13PM (#44998357)
Yep, I think people arguing “there is no kill switch” miss this point. There doesn’t need to be if the lack of updates makes an F-35 an expensive, inferior version of a jet they could buy elsewhere!
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by antonymoose on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:21PM (#44998415)
Sure, but in any case the nations buying the F-35 are so tied at the hip to the United States it would be fantasy to expect them to break off in any meaningful timeframe relative to the lifespan of the plane.

Beyond that, is there a viable competitor available for an US allied nation to purchase?

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by cm2187 on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:48PM (#44998592)
I don't think the concern is that they would turn hostile to the US, but rather that they would need to strike a country that for one reason or another, the US doesn't want them to strike (though of course you also have to weight the risk of a coup and of a hostile regime coming to power into a formerly friendly country).

Fictitious scenarios: let's say the US sells F35 to Taiwan. China tries to invade Taiwan. Taiwan wants to use the F35 to fight Chinese forces. China makes a deal with the US to limit the economic impact on the US of the invasion of Taiwan, and the US president of the time thinks maintaining a good trade relationship with China is more important than Taiwan remaining an independent democracy, and will therefore curb Taiwan's ability to use those F35. Not completely far fetched. Doesn't mean Taiwan has gone rogue.

The US tries to keep good relationship with Pakistan, while at the same time considering selling some weapons to India. You can imagine why India would prefer the older French Rafale (the French are much less demanding about what you do with their weapons, though there is the precedent of helping the UK with the Exocet it sold to Argentina during the Falklands war). The middle east is also full of those complex relationships.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by mongol on Saturday August 23, 2025 @04:07PM (#44998712)
> Beyond that, is there a viable competitor available for an US allied nation to purchase?

US allied is a concept that is quickly losing its meaning. As the current administration no longer treats allies as allies, most European fighters are more viable

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by maksimur on Saturday August 23, 2025 @04:03PM (#44998693)
> Beyond that, is there a viable competitor available for an US allied nation to purchase?

Not available yet, but Korean KF-21 and Turkish Kaan/TF-X (which Spain is thinking about buying/co-producing IIRC), though they're both considered 4.5th gen fighter jets rather than 5th like the F-35.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by xdennis on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:41PM (#44998555)
> Beyond that, is there a viable competitor available for an US allied nation to purchase?

Rafale, Typhoon, Gripen. None are as good as the F35, but all are better alternatives to a bricked airplane.

Trump already demonstrated how even older models (F16 given by Europeans) can be bricked in Ukraine simply by not providing support.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by actionfromafar on Saturday August 23, 2025 @07:28PM (#44999930)
There is also the metric "sorties per day", which is severly underlooked and very useful in any prolonged conflict. The F35 is not a clear winner there and might not be the best fit if you are a smaller nation.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by spwa4 on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:29PM (#44998464)
Military procurement is not about what is the best system, it is about who gets the money.

Plus every other party has far inferior fighters to "the West" anyway. And then you calculate ... you are not going to successfully defend against the F-35 in a war with the US. Not going to happen. Against Russia/China or anyone else ... every fighter jet will do fine, so take the cheapest.

The US got guaranteed this business because of international treaties ... which Trump has abandoned. But no worries, I'm sure he'll just make a "deal" and fix things again, right? Meanwhile I suggest you invest in EU weapons manufacturers, who are a lot cheaper than the US ones.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by cm2187 on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:53PM (#44998623)
Well, technically Pakistan shot a Indian Rafale with a Chinese made missile a few months ago, which created some consternation in France. I heard the French explaining it away, as India trying to bomb some Pakistani territory without hitting the Pakistani military, hence putting their jet fighters in unecessary harm's way. I am not qualified to draw my own conclusions on the quality of Chinese weapons but it seems to imply they can certainly do significant damage.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by slaw on Saturday August 23, 2025 @04:26PM (#44998865)
Rafale was shot down by J-10 plane using PL-15 missile. Rafale, Eurofighter and J-10 are old 20+ years designs. Europe has nothing equivalent to Chinese J-35 or even previous generation J-20.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shenyang_J-35

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by mcphage on Saturday August 23, 2025 @07:39PM (#44999989)
> Europe has nothing equivalent to Chinese J-35 or even previous generation J-20.

How many J-35s does China have?

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by LargoLasskhyfv on Saturday August 23, 2025 @08:44PM (#45000289)
According to Wikipedia: 8+, so more than eight?
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by mcphage on Saturday August 23, 2025 @09:07PM (#45000391)
That’s… not really very many.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by slaw on Sunday August 24, 2025 @01:01AM (#45001534)
8+ J-35, 1 prototype J-36, 1 prototype J-50 and 250+ J-20. Europe has nothing like that.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by cm2187 on Sunday August 24, 2025 @01:18AM (#45001606)
Are you talking about manufacturing or operating? Europe has something like 225 F-35 operational right now with more coming.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by slaw on Sunday August 24, 2025 @03:50AM (#45002240)
Manufacturing.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by actionfromafar on Saturday August 23, 2025 @07:31PM (#44999945)
To be fair, China doesn't have anything like the J-35 either, it's a prototype.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by cm2187 on Saturday August 23, 2025 @11:22PM (#45001056)
And I hope they removed the Lockheed Martin logo from the CAD files before sending them to manufacturing!
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by spwa4 on Sunday August 24, 2025 @07:54AM (#45003535)
I don't think their manager will allow that, since all their aircraft designers work at Lockheed Martin during the week ...
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by slaw on Saturday August 23, 2025 @03:48PM (#44998590)
None of European jet fighters can stand against Chinese, but China is far away.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by qwytw on Saturday August 23, 2025 @04:19PM (#44998806)
> Against Russia/China or anyone else ... every fighter jet will do fine

Will it though? Underestimating your (potential) enemies might not be the smartest idea. Of course as the war in Ukraine has shown jet fighters might not even be that relevant anymore if you can't take our your opponents air defenses.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by Tadpole9181 on Sunday August 24, 2025 @01:35AM (#45001677)
> jet fighters might not even be that relevant anymore if you can't take our your opponents air defenses

One of the design variants of the F-35 is designed to penetrate air support, no?

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by spwa4 on Sunday August 24, 2025 @06:01AM (#45002915)
One thing I've been wondering about: a jet powered cruise missile is less than $50000. A propeller powered cruise missile can be built for under $10000. Both have ranges over 1000km. The US has, grand total, about something like 40000 interceptors.

That means enough propellor powered cruise missiles to guarantee US air defense penetration is (a lot) cheaper than ONE F-35 (and they can still go ~500km/h), jet-powered ones cheaper than 2, maybe 3 and that's not counting equipping the F-35 with something to shoot, and of course there's the suspicions that F-35s have kill switches that Trump half-confirmed (yet another brilliant move there, Mr. Orange President).

How many of those interceptor rockets are available to be loaded into actual equipment in less than the 6 hours it takes jet powered cruise missiles to reach the US? I don't know, but let's go with 10%. In other words: the defense that Israel mounted against Iran is pretty much same effective defense the US would have if Russia started ... The US wouldn't be able to shoot down more of those, even if Russia had 100x more rockets than Iran.

Oh you want to shoot them down using bullets? Ok, halfway we have those cruise missiles switch to a ballistic trajectory. At that point it will be difficult to shoot them down, but that's not really the point. They're ballistic, and the problem with ballistic rockets is that they're like an (explosive) rock. You can shoot it ... but that only causes momentum exchange ... it doesn't actually give the rocket a different trajectory. In other words: it'll still hit it's target, just with less accuracy (and if the guidance remains intact, not even that). You have to hit it hard enough to get it to break up, which means rockets, which the US doesn't have enough of. Which nobody has enough of.

(this is a theme that will come up often once hamas or hezbollah start firing rockets at Israel again. The new laser interceptors have to hit the rockets BEFORE they're ballistic, in other words, what they do is make hamas fired rockets hit Gaza or South Lebanon ... Guess who will be blamed for intercepted rockets hitting houses, hospitals and kindergartens in Gaza and Lebanon?)

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by scott_w on Sunday August 24, 2025 @08:15AM (#45003668)
You’re overstating how good guided munitions are. They’re not magic. The further out from the target, the harder it is to hit that target. There’s a reason the USA flew a B2 stealth bomber into Iran instead of lobbing munitions over. And they could only do that because Israel had wiped out their AA capabilities.

Guided munitions are a piece of the puzzle but I don’t think we’ve seen evidence that they can fully replace the ability to point to something on a map, fly planes over and make that thing not be on the map any more.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by qwytw on Monday August 25, 2025 @06:42AM (#45012417)
> There’s a reason the USA flew a B2 stealth bomber into Iran instead of lobbing munitions over

Wasn't it because the only optional they had if they wanted to do any damage was the GBU-57 (which probably wasn't close to being enough but still..)?

Cruise missiles are offer pretty decent precision for ground targets (supposedly around 5 meters).

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by scott_w on Monday August 25, 2025 @07:37AM (#45012747)
But even with that you need to find targets, for which only piloted stealth jets work. Then at that point, you may as well drop some ordnance on it while you’re there.

The thing is, we can sit here on HN thinking we’re so clever but ACTUAL MILITARY LEADERS want to use F-35s so they clearly have insight and knowledge that we don’t.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by qwytw on Monday August 25, 2025 @05:05PM (#45019005)
> but ACTUAL MILITARY LEADERS

Historically they are rarely very good at being able to tell how the next war is going to be fought.

Sure I suppose most generals these days are much smarter than the ones leading the French army back in 1940 (or pretty much anyone at the outbreak of WW1) but that's a very low standard..

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by scott_w on Tuesday August 26, 2025 @09:21AM (#45026167)
> Historically they are rarely very good at being able to tell how the next war is going to be fought.

Is the fact they aren't good at knowing how the next war will be fought because they're bad at it or because that's a hard problem?

Put more specifically: if you were to fight that next war, do you think you'd do a better job than Admiral Sir Tony Radakin or General Randy George?

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by qwytw on Tuesday August 26, 2025 @11:30AM (#45027956)
> they're bad at it or because that's a hard problem?

Sometimes either, sometimes both. Historically it wasn't uncommon for mean who were exceptionally incompetent and ill suited to the position to end up leading the militaries of major powers (e.g. Gamelin, Cadorna, Fredendall and plenty of others)

Whether I would do a better job [obviously I wouldn't] seems entirely tangential and a pointless argument in general (especially considering I didn't even make any particularly strong claims. I certainly never claimed that the F35 is not the best fighter jet that's available currently).

Regardless decisions related to things like this are not made by individuals and are usually highly political, based on compromises and several decades in advance.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by scott_w on Tuesday August 26, 2025 @04:23PM (#45031879)
> The thing is, we can sit here on HN thinking we’re so clever

This was the precursor to the statement you objected to. It seems pretty central to my point: we only have access to public data and have no experience leading any military campaign. I’m willing to have a discussion to learn more but I’m ultimately going to trust that military people are looking at drone warfare in Ukraine and still trust the F-35 to be good value for money.

> based on compromises and several decades in advance.

Using drones in war has been a theoretical possibility since at least 2010, so I believe it’s definitely factored into their thinking.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by qwytw on Thursday August 28, 2025 @01:15PM (#45054619)
> drone warfare in Ukraine and still trust the F-35 to be good value for money.

Well.. I trust they wouldn't be telling us even if they didn't.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by scott_w on Sunday August 24, 2025 @02:21AM (#45001847)
That’s because Russia and Ukraine don’t have the capabilities of NATO. Russia is completely incompetent. Ukraine was incompetent and has spent most of the war trying to remedy that.

NATO doctrine is to start by controlling the skies. I can see a world where a lot of the strategies we see start to crumble when a jet or bomber can pick off key targets at will on and off the battlefield.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by scott_w on Sunday August 24, 2025 @01:32AM (#45001665)
> Beyond that, is there a viable competitor available for an US allied nation to purchase?

As I and others point out: the problem is if you do something Trump doesn’t like and he cuts off the extra features that make the F-35 better than anything else you can get. At that point you just paid millions for an expensive paperweight.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by ElectronCharge on Monday August 25, 2025 @11:56AM (#45015222)
The F-35 isn't inferior to many other aircraft as far as raw capability goes. Really only the F-22. Nor is it expensive, at least the F-35A (I'm speaking of the initial cost, not sustainment which may or may not be a bargain).

The F-35 is the only genuinely stealthy aircraft any country outside the USA has access to (other than China, and the efficacy of its stealth technology isn't known). F-35 stealth is a game changer, as seen in every exercise in which they're involved.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by scott_w on Monday August 25, 2025 @02:12PM (#45016948)
At full capability, yes, it is. However if you don’t have the updated targeting data then my understanding is that it loses a lot of those advantages. And even if it didn’t, it may still be a case that it’s more cost effective to buy higher quantities of slightly inferior aircraft.

It’s hard to know for sure, though. The only true information we’ll get is when it’s used in a hot war and hints if or when countries reduce orders.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by burnt-resistor on Saturday August 23, 2025 @07:10PM (#44999846)
This is an oft repeated conspiracy theory. The "kill switch" is repair parts and manufacturer support.
Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by msgodel on Saturday August 23, 2025 @07:29PM (#44999937)
This kind of software is really unacceptable in consumer electronics but with weapons it entirely defeats the point of the thing.

It's surprising any were sold outside the US at all.

Re:The F-35 is losing the trade war by _DeadFred_ on Sunday August 24, 2025 @02:59PM (#45006717)
Mission Data Files (MDFs), sometimes also referred to under the broader term Mission Data Packages (MDPs) or Mission Data Loads (MDLs) are required for every mission, and they have to come from facilities within the United States. Currently from the U.S. Reprogramming Laboratory (USRL) at Eglin.

https://www.aviationtoday.com/2023/01/20/bae-systems-receive...