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Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by frankus on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @03:19PM (#4445398)
Bike theft seems like one of those quality-of-life crimes (like graffiti and coercive squeegee-monkeys) that's begging for some kind of creative enforcement strategy.

- If there's an open-air bike market at 7th and Market, it seems like you could use some of the same strategies that have been used to shut down open-air drug markets.

- Police in the greater Vancouver area have had a lot of success with bait cars, but I'm not aware of bait bikes being used more than experimentally (cf. tocatchabiketheif.com)

- If one could devise a concentrated enforcement strategy, one might not need to "take six guys off a murder" for very long. Basically the idea would be to tip a high-crime-low-probability-of-punishment equilibrium and into a low-crime-high-probability-of-punishment equilibrium that should presumably remain equally stable. One approach would be to target a geographic area and communicate (and follow through on) a threat to throw the book at anyone caught stealing a bike.

(pretty much all of these are stolen from the book When Brute Force Fails).

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by alttag on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:43PM (#4446031)
I've done some work with a local (university) police force that used bait bikes. They'd attach a GPS device, secure it with a poor lock, and wait a couple of days. I went with them once to track down where the stolen bike was parked. Every once in a while they'd land on a ring selling all kinds of stuff on Ebay, but that was less common.

Part of their trouble was, being an underfunded public agency, their bike wasn't of the expensive sort, so I got the impression they were seeing diminishing returns over time as the bike became less desirable. They did this with laptops too, although their "bait" laptop no longer worked, and was really old. I could never get anyone to steal it.

I don't know what happened when the case(s) were turned over to the D.A.

When I was in Japan, the bikes-stealing dynamic was a bit different: the most common place to find your bike was at the nearest train station. The typical thief seemed to be running late for the train, and would borrow whatever was available.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by saraid216 on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @07:13PM (#4446356)
> When I was in Japan, the bikes-stealing dynamic was a bit different: the most common place to find your bike was at the nearest train station. The typical thief seemed to be running late for the train, and would borrow whatever was available.

I feel terrible for finding this side-splittingly hilarious.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by evoxed on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @11:30PM (#4446949)
It actually happens quite a bit... I was just the slightest bit startled when even my fiancée suggested it like it was nothing. "It's better than being late, they'll get it back..."
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by Blara on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @02:19AM (#4447324)
There are GPS modules you can attach to your bike, if nothing else it could at least get the police interested if you say "My bike was stolen, it has a GPS and right now it is here"
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by crntaylor on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @04:03AM (#4447519)
I'm not so sure. A friend once had a laptop stolen with the Prey anti-theft software [1] installed, which transmits the location, a screencap and a webcam photo of whoever is using your laptop once every ten minutes. He still couldn't get the police interested.

[1] http://preyproject.com/

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by DannoHung on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:17PM (#4445671)
How about a pressurized U-lock that releases a neon-pink paint cloud if the cylinder or restraining bar is cut-through?

I guess the trick would be making it get on the thief and all over the bicycle.

The best would be if it also stank to high heaven.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by stcredzero on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:26PM (#4445963)
You can also directly attack the economics of bike resale. Make an inexpensive bike with a combined drive shaft, shifting mechanism, and lock mechanism internal to the frame. Put it together in such a way that it's quite possible to disable the lock, but impossible to do that without rendering the bicycle inoperable.

Then, instead of selling these bikes, one leases them. It would be impossible to sell such a bike without the buyer knowing it was stolen. (It may also be impossible to manufacture such a bike in the first place, but I'm not sure one could know without trying.)

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by jzwinck on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:39PM (#4446014)
Puma (the shoe people) sold a bike for several years with a lock comprising part of the frame. If the lock were cut, it would make the bike frame unstable, theoretically discouraging theft. I don't know if it was successful in any objective way, but it was an interesting idea: http://www.bikeoff.org/design_resource/DR_bikes_examples_pum...
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by stcredzero on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:24PM (#4446182)
Making the bike frame unstable isn't strong enough. People still ride unstable bikes. A fabrication method that involves squeezing spring loaded parts into a tube could serve to make the bike inoperable when dismantled, even to the point of immobilizing the rear wheel.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by konstruktor on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @03:45AM (#4447486)
I heard about thieves vandalizing apartments where there is nothing precious to steal, so you might just get your bike destroyed in anger. On the other hand, they may as well just take a less secured bike. That would really need to be tested in practice.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by hessenwolf on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @09:02AM (#4448265)
You'd probably be sued for damage to clothing and emotional stress.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by buffportion on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:11PM (#4445901)
That's great, until you lose your key
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by roguecoder on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:25PM (#4446187)
That's a problem with cars right now. The combination of a wallet key, a spare at home and always being able to go back to the dealer make it not-that-big-a-deal, in my experience.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by _delirium on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @07:15PM (#4446360)
With bikes, at the moment, it seems to be a significant problem: there are a ton of bikes in Copenhagen that end up stuck somewhere because the owner lost the key or forgot the combination. Sometimes the owners get a bolt cutter and cut the lock off; other times the police eventually show up to an area that's getting full of abandoned bikes, cut all the locks (after tagging them for a few weeks, which basically declares open season for anyone else too), and haul out a whole set of bikes. I'm not sure the economics work out for it to be worth doing the equivalent of going back to a car dealer for a new set of keys, when just buying another used bike costs $150-300. A car's worth doing it for because it's expensive, so even a dealer charging you $200 is worth it. But with bikes, even with the current economics many people don't bother: figuring out how to cut a U-Lock is more hassle than buying another cheap bike, and not much cheaper.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by vitalique on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:52PM (#4446061)
Really? Wrap it up with a newspaper and do whatever those bad guys usually do to the U-locks. Just make sure it's your bike.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by DenisM on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:39PM (#4446015)
That argument applies to any effective antitheft device. Shall we take it you're against all effective antitheft devices in general?
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by stbtrax on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:01PM (#4446111)
If you lose your key to your U-Lock, you cut it off. If you lose the key to your frame... saw your bike in half?
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by DenisM on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @12:11PM (#4449326)
You plan ahead. I made duplicate keys to my condo and my car and gave them to a couple friends who can be relied on.

In a system with electronic lock you could have unique factory key stored at the manufacturer, and recovered for a $30 fee upon inspection of id/receipt/etc.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by icebraining on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @05:59AM (#4447800)
That's what copies are for. Store one in a secure place.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by davidw on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:01PM (#4445878)
I heard a story, but I have no idea whether it's true: bike shop in San Francisco leaves very shiny, high end bike outside. Thief hops on bike, heads down hill to make a quick getaway. Thief soon discovers that the bicycle's brake cables are not connected. CRASH.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by pmahoney on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:57PM (#4446087)
I believe that it's illegal to booby-trap one's house, and I've heard of (apocryphal?) cases of burglars suing homeowners for injuries sustained during a burglary...

I imagine such a brake-less bike would fall in that category.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by jlgreco on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:55PM (#4446302)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katko_v._Briney

This is the only case I could find on wikipedia. Placing a bicycle outside with no brakes hooked up is a far cry from rigging a spring loaded shotgun to the door of an unoccupied building.

It isn't even unheard of for people to legitimately (well, not legally I think...) ride bicycles without brakes, so where would you draw the line? If the police used a Ford Pinto as a bate car, could they be similarly at fault?

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by sliverstorm on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @11:21PM (#4446919)
If the police used a Ford Pinto as a bate car, could they be similarly at fault?

I'm cracking up over here! I guess it would have to at least be a Pinto, nobody would ever steal a Chevette or Yugo...

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by enraged_camel on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @08:24PM (#4446518)
>>Placing a bicycle outside with no brakes hooked up is a far cry from rigging a spring loaded shotgun to the door of an unoccupied building.

Until the lack of brakes causes you to get hit by a car, or crash into a pedestrian and cause severe injury.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by jlgreco on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @08:45PM (#4446574)
Obviously the only way to know for sure is for it to happen, but my money is on there being no way in hell there would be a conviction.

A concealed spring-loaded shotgun hidden behind a door is, without any doubt whatsoever, intended to maim an unsuspecting person. A bicycle placed outside without breaks though? There are far too many plausible less than evil explanations for that to say with any certainty that a jury would side with the plaintiff. (Unless the shop did something particularly stupid like admit they put it there in that condition with intent to harm...)

Now, could the guy still sue? Yeah, of course. He could also sue if a perfectly normal bike that he stole gave him blisters. That would be pretty dumb, and he wouldn't win, but he could still do it. The only thing that really matters at the end of the day is "can you get away with it".

If there are better cases than the shotgun out there (and I imagine there should be if it is really so easy to sue for things like that), then I will of course re-evaluate my position.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by nnnnnnnn on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @08:15PM (#4446489)
I put good odds on a jury drawing the line by putting the shopowner in considerable debt if not in jail.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by wiredfool on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:30PM (#4446197)
Thieves should avoid stealing fixies then. Especially from the top of a hill.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by davidw on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @06:33AM (#4447877)
It wasn't a fixed gear bicycle: you can obviously bring one of those to a halt by preventing the pedals from going around.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by reddit_clone on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @11:56PM (#4447026)
How about super glue on the seats ans handle bars?
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by vacri on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:55PM (#4446303)
Regardless of what you think should happen to the thief, that's extremely irresponsible given bystanders or other people's property.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by hessenwolf on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @09:08AM (#4448297)
This is a very middle-class idea, if you don't mind me saying. Most of the bikes we had growing up were cobbled together from bits of other old bikes, and the method of stopping was to use the arch of your foot in the space at the back where the brakes should be.

It wore out one shoe faster then the other, but you could do cool skids.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by fghh45sdfhr3 on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:14PM (#4445910)
Bike theft seems like one of those quality-of-life crimes (like graffiti and coercive squeegee-monkeys) that's begging for some kind of creative enforcement strategy.

Or just plain old boring regular enforcement, like Germany and Japan have, which is how they end up with a far lower crime rate than the US or the UK for example.

(They also have a better social safety net, that's part of their low crime rates too.)

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by tkresident on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:57PM (#4446086)
Having had two regular bicycles stolen over ten years in Tokyo, I would disagree that the problem is non-existent in Japan, though street crime is indeed relatively rare. Bicycles are commonly used by the majority of people. Authorities need staff dedicated to keeping streets near stations from getting clogged up with secured bikes. An unsecured bicycle near a station might be used as a free ride home by a drunken salaryman, but rarely stolen as a cash generator I guess. No social safety net really exists in Japan. Yet in general, Japanese would not even consider crime when in financial dire straits. I don't believe this has as much to do with enforcement as acute social awareness.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by stcredzero on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:26PM (#4446189)
Much of the fabric of American society has dissolved. This is a kind of social capital which is very powerful and hard to quantify. (It's also threatening to certain governments for precisely this reason.)
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by fghh45sdfhr3 on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @10:12AM (#4448591)
Having had two regular bicycles stolen over ten years in Tokyo, I would disagree that the problem is non-existent in Japan

Two bicycles over ten years compared to how many you would get stolen in the US is "nothing".

That's the problem when comparing crime rates in the US and Japan, people in Japan still feel like there's tons of crime. I suggest you spend a couple of years living in a large US city. I hear San Francisco is very nice.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by ekianjo on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @10:25PM (#4446802)
I don't think being in financial dire straits is usually a reason for people to turn to crime anywhere in the world. Usually the "conversion" to criminal activities happens before they reach financial issues. The whole link between unemployment <-> crime does not make sense in most cases. There are many ways to survive before resorting to crime.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by Tichy on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:32PM (#4446207)
Bike theft is common in Germany. There are also gangs who drive around with a truck at 3am and steal bikes from backyards. Brilliant: nobody sees them unlocking the bikes in the backyards.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by tadfisher on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:34PM (#4445996)
Violent crime, maybe, but bike theft is pretty common in Japanese cities. It's not so organized as it is in the West, but usually drunk people who "borrow" bikes to get home.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by eplanit on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @12:41AM (#4447132)
I disagree. I spend much of my time working in Japan, and notice that people rarely ever lock their bikes, and am told by the locals that bicycle theft (and theft, in general) is rare. I have personally witnessed, in fact, a colleague leave a laptop on a bench in a busy district of Tokyo and when he realized it _an hour later_ he returned to find the laptop there, untouched.

There's a lot of cultural difference to factor into the analysis. I think the article holds true for the U.S., and especially the Bay Area. I've had my own bicycle stolen there (despite a hefty U-lock).

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by wisty on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @01:19AM (#4447209)
Also, the Japanese police can hold you for 23 days without trial or formal accusation, if they suspect you stole a bicycle.

If you are charged, you can choose a no-jury trial, or a jury trial with no right to appeal; and Japan has an extremely high conviction rate (though few people are actually charged, the prosecutors are very selective).

If you see a laptop on a park bench, you either leave it or call the police. If you pick it (to check the browser for the owner's email address) and a policeman catches you with it (and they don't need a warrant or even good cause to search you), you can undergo a lot of hassle.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by mootothemax on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @03:44PM (#4445529)
I think the problem is not catching the bike thieves, more that the punishment given for stealing bikes is minimal, so it's not worth the police doing much about it.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by ethermal on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:18PM (#4445683)
But you could make possession of stolen property (the bike) a major crime with prison and financial punishment and you weaken the demand side of things.

Then using RFID or similar technology, you could embed a RFID tag somewhere in the frame. Then allow someone to report a stolen bike with a police report, very similar to a stolen vehicle report and then using remote scanners you could scan for stolen bikes very easily. All it takes is fear of a stolen bike to scare away potential buyers.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by jseliger on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:27PM (#4445724)
But you could make possession of stolen property (the bike) a major crime with prison and financial punishment and you weaken the demand side of things.

In legal terms, you'd have a problem with proportionality—that is, the idea that the punishment needs to fit the crime. This is partially a problem with fairness and partially a problem with incentives: if you give someone the same punishment for, say, stealing a bike and for beating someone up, then if you want to steal someone's bike you might as well beat them up to steal the bike.

If you follow this logic, you eventually get to something like 18th C England, where a LOT of stuff was punishable by death, which led to large problems with murder: if you're going to be killed for stealing, you might as well kill someone, then steal, since you've just eliminated the witness.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by checker on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:52PM (#4445845)
Your example doesn't apply because death is the ceiling. It's impossible to kill someone twice, so ultimately it makes no difference to the criminal.

However, if the criminal gets 5 years for stealing a bike, and 10 years for beating someone up, the criminal might be swayed by 5 years vs 15 years.

I can see the situation where the criminal thinks "I'm already probably going to jail, might as well decrease my chances as much as possible" by beating someone up. I think most bike crimes occur when the owner isn't around though.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by pyoung on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:47PM (#4446049)
You are not taking into account concurrent sentencing. So if the punishment for stealing a bike was 5, and if assault was also 5, the guy would only serve 5. Theoretically at least.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by smackfu on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:05PM (#4445889)
Or you end up with Singapore, which just has very strict punishments for minor crimes.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by Evbn on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:36PM (#4445777)
Making possession a crime at the level of first party theft doesn't have this problem.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by Cass on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:49PM (#4445833)
The US already proportionally has the most prisoners out of any country in the world, and I'm wary of any solution that includes making that problem worse. That kind of thing has giant socioeconomic costs and, looking at the crime rates, doesn't seem to work at making the country safer. I just don't think that finding yet another reason to put a whole bunch of people in prison (average cost per month between $2000 and $4000 at a quick google) over a bike worth $1000 is really going to make anything better in the long run.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by jlgreco on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @07:09PM (#4446344)
I don't think you can measure the worth of a bicycle so simply. For many people, $1000 represents a very significant sum of money and their bicycle is their means of transportation. The theft of a bicycle can be a very life disrupting event.

There is a reason horse theft used to be dealt with so severely: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Horse_thief_hanging.png

Now, obviously we should not start hanging bike thieves (as tempting as that may seem) but I definitely think this is not a crime to take lightly at all.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by roguecoder on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:30PM (#4446200)
Actually, it has made the country significantly safer: http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/glance/cv2.cfm

Whether or not the decline in violent crime justifies the rise in imprisonment and the decline in prison standards, or whether there might be other ways to achieve the same declines are different questions. But the United States has become significantly safer over the last ten, twenty and fifty years.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by learc83 on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @09:53PM (#4446726)
That statement is incredibly misleading.

Criminologists aren't anywhere close to a consensus on the causes of the crime rate reduction of the last few decades. Many theories have been offered, from decreased crack use, to fewer unwanted children resulting from legalized abortions, to your suggestion of harsher sentencing.

Yes, Harsher sentencing may have something to do with it, but it could just as well have increased our crime rate and been counteracted by one of the other factors.

There is no scientific consensus to support your claim.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by Retric on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @10:34AM (#4448714)
Video games are actually one of the leading suspects for the drop in violent crimes.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by dmm on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:25PM (#4445958)
The US also has a lot of crime. More people need to be in prison.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by bigiain on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:46PM (#4446264)
Surely that's an over simplistic view?

The real answer to your first sentence is clearly "people need to commit less crime". I would suggest there's a lot of evidence showing that the threat of prison isn't deterring crime at least amongst some demographics. Do you really think greater risk of prison is going to stop bike theft by crackheads? Or homeless? Or the poor?

It's quite possible that fixing some of the social problems would be a way more powerful motivator to stop bike theft then increasing enforcement/punishment alone. Possibly way more cost effective too.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by dmm on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @08:35PM (#4446548)
> It's quite possible that fixing some of the social problems would be a way more powerful motivator to stop bike theft

I want to live in a society free of crime. Where children and other vulnerable people move free from violence and theft.

Is that unreasonable?

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by bigiain on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @10:15PM (#4446776)
No, I think everybody agrees with you there.

What I'm questioning is your proposed method of achieving that - putting more people in prison - is it likely to help?

Does anybody seriously think that the threat of prison is deterring people from committing drug-related crime? Do you suppose a typical homeless person considers risking being put in jail for stealing to eat to be a significantly worse option than sleeping hungry and cold under a freeway overpass?

Wikipedia has some quite alarming numbers: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Incarceration_in_the_United_St... - one in every 31 adults, one in every 11 African-Americans " behind bars, or being monitored (probation and parole)". Surely that's pretty clear evidence that the problems leading people into committing crimes are significantly more powerful than the deterrent of prison time?

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by learc83 on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @10:00PM (#4446742)
>Is that unreasonable?

No it's not unreasonable to want that, but it's probably a bit ridiculous to believe it will ever happen. And it's definitely ridiculous to believe we're going to get there by just locking more people up.

America has 5% of the world's population, but nearly 25% of the world's prisoners--do you really think we need to increase that. Over 3% of adults are under some kind of correctional supervision--where do we stop?

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by spacemanaki on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:29PM (#4445975)
Care to back that up? Does the US really have that much more crime that justifies locking up more people? Recent stuff I've read on this agrees with Cass (http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/atlarge/2012/01/30/120...).
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by pfedor on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:34PM (#4446217)
dmm's point was made by several people in the comments thread for the very article you cite, some of them quoting statistics: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3691372

tl;dr: In the U.S. in only 20% of murder cases the perpetrator is found and convicted of murder, compared with (allegedly) 90% in Japan. At the same time, even if all non-violent offenders (that includes all drug offenses) were released from prisons in the U.S. tomorrow, the U.S. would still have double the incarceration rate of Western Europe.

I don't know enough to have an opinion either way, but intuitively this message has a true ring to it: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3696583

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by vacri on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @07:14PM (#4446357)
Going from 7 times Europe's rate to double Europe's rate is still pretty significant.

On your second link, the first half is reasonable, but the second half utterly misses the point. The reason why the police wait in 'The Wire' and in real life is because they're gathering evidence. If they don't have enough evidence, the case won't stick. Similarly, they're trying to catch the kingpins. If you catch the front-line dudes you can fill your prisons with them, but there will always be more (in places where it's bad, like where the Wire is set).

It's weird that given the US already has such an immense problem with overincarceration that you think the solution is to lock people up over even more trivial issues. Where are those people going to be stored? Given the already clogged courts, aren't you going to have to abandon due process in order to get so many through?

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by 3143 on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @09:58PM (#4446734)
You still haven't shown that overincarceration is actually a problem in any meaningful sense. The solution could just as easily be to open more courts.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by vacri on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @10:57PM (#4446878)
There already is too little money for courts (and the prisons the subsequent influx of prisoners are going to need), so where is it going to come from?

It's pointless, really, because if you honestly don't think that overincarceration is 'actually a problem', then you're so one-eyed that nothing I say will sway you.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by 3143 on Thursday August 30, 2012 @01:46AM (#4453202)
There are stories all the time about prisons being run for profit. If the prison industry is profitable, perhaps it can be made profitable enough to pay for more courts as well. More prisons would of course be a net gain rather than a loss.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by vacri on Thursday August 30, 2012 @03:56AM (#4453538)
Who is it that you think pays for the prisons that are profitable? Who is their customer?

I mean, you're saying here that somehow the state would get more money back from the private prisons than they paid them, so they could spend this surplus on courts?

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by 3143 on Thursday August 30, 2012 @07:39PM (#4457452)
I have no idea. If the state is the customer, who is running the prisons? (And why are prisons allowed to be run by a non-state entity?)
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by dmm on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @08:43PM (#4446566)
I don't give a damn about statistics. I want to be able to live anywhere in the US safely.

Would you allow your 6yo to walk alone at night through any city in the US?

I think you should be able to. I think a person should be able to live anywhere in the US without encountering violence on a daily basis, without hearing gunshots every night.

Because that isn't true, I think there is too much crime.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by learc83 on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @10:13PM (#4446772)
There is a solution. A totalitarian police state with no privacy and draconian punishments.

Increased incarceration and police powers reach an eventual point of diminishing returns.

Do you know what the likelihood of a 6 year old being abducted or killed by a stranger are? Do a google search and you'll probably be surprised by how uncommon it is. Fewer children are abducted in the classic "stranger danger" manner (unknown attacker as opposed to a friend or family member) than are struck by lightning each year.

If we can save 10 6 year olds per year, is it worth incarcerating 100 extra people, 1000, 10,000...1,000,000? At what point does the increased risk of snaring innocent people, and the financial cost outweigh the small gains in "safety"?

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by spacemanaki on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @07:51AM (#4448062)
> I don't give a damn about statistics.

This is a surprising stance to encounter on HN. The article I linked to asserted that although crime in NYC has gone drastically down, incarceration rates have not gone up. I found that interesting, do you?

Elsewhere in this thread you suggest executing bike thieves as they commit theft, and although I'm not sure you were entirely serious, I'm afraid we're going to agree on much about this issue.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by spacemanaki on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @01:45PM (#4449977)
we're not going to agree on much about this issue.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by eru on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @06:36AM (#4447886)
> I don't give a damn about statistics. I want to be able to live anywhere in the US safely.

That would be a statistic, too.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by tylee78 on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:55PM (#4446081)
compared to Germany the percentage of criminals seems the same - it's just that our criminals are on the streets, yours in prison.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by danielweber on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:25PM (#4445716)
Can you make an RFID tag that you can embed in the bike such that it's easy to scan at a small distance, but also hard for the thieves to fry it or remove it? Because in order to be successful it would be to be standardized and if standardized the thieves would fry it if easy.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by buro9 on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:41PM (#4445796)
Yes.

Already exists:

https://www.immobilise.com/view.php?stage=product&catego...

Goes down the seat tube and is a one-way insert only. Cannot be pulled back out, and is too large to push down and get out of the bottom bracket shell.

I actually have those installed in all my bikes.

Far simpler though: Every one of my bikes is littered with very small notes saying "If this bike was not brought into the shop by David Kitchen it is stolen, please call 07740949xxx".

Those notes are in the stem, under the bar tape, under the rim tape, in the bottom bracket shell, in the seat tube, in the seat post. Everywhere you can hide a small note whilst building the bike that will be found when servicing the bike.

I printed them on plastic using a Dymo machine, they weigh nothing... and if my bikes were stolen then one day they will arrive in a bike store for a service, and be returned to me.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by danielweber on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:43PM (#4445806)
That sounds great. Now you need volunteers who run readers everywhere and upload them to a common website. People can see where their bike shows up.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by lancewiggs on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:19PM (#4446167)
http://Taggle.com.au (I'm an investor) has a small device that allows remote tracking of assets like bicycles for years without an external power supply. The tiny devices broadcast a low powered wide spectrum ping every 20 mins to 1 hour and very smart receivers triangulate to provide coordinates. The transmitters can also send data, generally a meter reading or if a secure element is broken.

Taggle Systems are focussing first on remote reading of water meters and other water utility use cases, but once networks are in place then tracking bikes will be doable.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by aidian on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:00PM (#4445873)
In Cali, theft of anything under $400 in value is a misdemeanor...that means stealing your typical bike under about $1000 isn't a major crime.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by zurn on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @02:14AM (#4447313)
Increasing severity of penalties doesn't generally work for cutting recidivism (and you'd have to steal a lot of bikes to make the caused harm proportionate to jail time for a person, even if you subscribe to the lizard brain "revenge" school of thought on punishment).
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by Someone on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:18PM (#4445681)
Not in Vancouver or even on the new continent, but http://translate.google.nl/translate?sl=nl&tl=en&u=h... shows an arrest from the Dutch supreme court on bait bicycles ("lokfietsen") that shows the method gets used.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by dimitar on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @05:49PM (#4446053)
The Netherlands seems to be a good place look if there are any solutions - they have a huge percentage of people using bicycles in their cities.
Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by rickmb on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @06:52PM (#4446285)
And we have a huge bike theft issue that's been going on for decades. Keep looking...

Seriously, the only things that have somewhat alleviated the problem is better locks and guarded bike parking facilities.

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by seany on Tuesday August 28, 2012 @04:12PM (#4445650)
"- Police in the greater Vancouver area have had a lot of success with bait cars, but I'm not aware of bait bikes being used more than experimentally"

I know Santa Clara PD has (is?) using bait bikes to some extent. AFAIK the units themselves are made by pegtech.com .

Re:What Happens to Stolen Bicycles? by mapster on Wednesday August 29, 2012 @01:25AM (#4447224)
Agreed. Further, take the PD out of the equation. There needs to be a grassroots effort. Each new bike purchase should be in tied to register and be active in an online community to police the used bike market and put the swueeze on organized bike thieves.