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Re:The Great Purge (1933) by perihelions on Monday April 15, 2024 @04:45PM (#40045342)
One aspect of this that fascinated me is Nazi Germany's "physics denialism" (?) — the reactionary response to the modern physics revolutions of the early 20th century. (I.e. the twin revolutions of quantum physics and of relativity). It was a much weirder response than simply an attack on physicists who happened to be Jewish humans. Fields of physics were conspiratorially labelled as having a "Jewish" character, and dismissed as psuedoscience, as pathological science: "Jüdische Physik". There was a fanaticism that's hard to grapple with philosophically, a thing that's far outside rationality, a magical thinking. How much more "magical" can you get than disregarding natural physical laws, and substituting your own? That's the definition of magic.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deutsche_Physik ("Deutsche Physik" or "Aryan Physics")

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by foobarian on Monday April 15, 2024 @04:53PM (#40045428)
The depictions of "wrong physics" in the 3 Body Problem show kinda remind me of that. Any kind of thinking that had even a whiff of going against the party line would cause problems for the author. What a weird time.

I wonder if it's similar to how we look down on e.g. string theory, except I don't know if that's an apples to apples comparison given that we haven't seen any string theory apples yet :-)

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by xyzelement on Monday April 15, 2024 @04:58PM (#40045495)
FWIW in the current time we definitely encounter "wrong physics" in places where science and politics intersect.

EG - a scientist can easily get smacked down for being "a climate change denialist" or an "antivaxer" or a similar unpalatable label way before the merits of their effort are evaluated.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by wongarsu on Monday April 15, 2024 @05:40PM (#40045961)
Also a "climate alarmist". There is a band of climate science you can freely publish without reputational damage, but don't go over or under it.

But that's probably nothing compared to the narrow band of tolerable science when it comes to questions of race or ethnicity. Anything that could be construed as people of some descent being "inferior" in any aspect is pretty risky to publish.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by dmbche on Monday April 15, 2024 @05:46PM (#40046034)
You got some of those edgy papers near? I keep hearing things like this, but at every turn the science being published is hot trash.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Monday April 15, 2024 @08:28PM (#40047149)
You're probably not searching with a genuine effort to find the good ones.

There's the Minnesota Transracial Adoption Study. The authors found a politically incorrect result and tried to cover it up by inventing a new hypothesis (which they hadn't tested) after they'd collected their data.

I also read a fairly comprehensive secondary research paper trying to support the no-biological-differences theory and when it came to Ashkenazi Jews, they admitted the only plausible explanation was genetic superiority.

This is an area where the science all points in one direction but popular opinion is in the other direction. People don't look at the research. Probably because they don't want to understand, they just want to spread their political ideology. Nobody, as far as I know, has ever shown that no races are inferior.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by defrost on Monday April 15, 2024 @08:54PM (#40047312)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minnesota_Transracial_Adoption...

where the bulk of scientists agreed in various ways that the confounding problems made it exceedingly implausible that differences were either entirely genetically based or entirely environmentally based?

> This is an area where the science all points in one direction but popular opinion is in the other direction.

Or maybe an area where the science is inconclusive but personal opinion shades the reading and subsequent presentation?

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:10AM (#40048563)
> exceedingly implausible that differences were [...] or entirely environmentally based

"entirely environmentally based" is the popular and un-scientific belief that I disagree with. So you agree with me?

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by dmbche on Monday April 15, 2024 @08:52PM (#40047288)
What's the conclusion everyone is missing?

I'm sure you know how unscientific IQ tests are, I'm surprised that's what you're bringing up here as being "good science" being shut down politically. Just trying to correlatw the two tests they used is absolutely subjective, I would take a step back and reexamine the parts of those studies that convinced you of whatever beliefs you have - it seems like a shoddy foundation.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:07AM (#40048554)
IQ test have genuine predictive power when applied to large groups. So no, they're not unscientific. In fact, the idea of IQ tests being useless or culturally biased is a now-outdated excuse that people used to use to justify the different results between ethic groups. It's now well accepted that different ethnic groups have different average IQs, and that IQ is a useful predictor of various life outcomes. What the politically-motivated researchers don't agree on is whether that's entirely environmental or partly genetic. Everyone agrees that it's at least partly environmental.

There's honestly no evidence for the environmental-only theory of intelligence. That's the popular politically correct belief but every study I've ever seen or heard of either fails to support it or supports the opposite.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by pasabagi on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:55AM (#40048775)
In general the thing people find obnoxious about this kind of argument is that both 'race' and 'IQ' have their origin in eugenics, but are meaningless in genetics. The genetic variation across one race (say black) is much greater than the variation between races. There are no well-established genetic predictors of IQ. So, even if you do find evidence that there is a statistical correlation between these two unscientific and essentially meaningless concepts, your correlation is equally unscientific and meaningless.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Vecr on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:48AM (#40049027)
Can't you train a predictor on skull shape/bone length and IQ and go from there? Yeah there's no causation there, but you should be able to give a percentage that someone's IQ is above a certain number depending on high-rez MRI scan input of skull and bone length measurements.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by actionfromafar on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:49AM (#40049396)
Or make asset worth a predictor.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by pasabagi on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @07:50AM (#40050854)
You can train a predictor on anything: that's how the famous cases of 'racist AI' came about. The point is, you can't establish a causal relationship without accounting for confounders. If you're starting with a question established by racists, with 'race' and 'IQ' as your two poles, and human populations as your data, good luck managing that.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by biorach on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:23AM (#40048915)
Thank you
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by te_chris on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @04:24AM (#40049584)
This guy clearly is just trying to bang on about racial superiority but coaxing it in terms of "they won't let us say the thing". Your response neatly shuts him down. Well done.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by ectopasm83 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @08:24AM (#40051083)
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Wednesday April 17, 2024 @12:33AM (#40060442)
Shut me down by saying false things? Why do you believe IQ is unscientific? It's routinely used by scientists for science and has falsifiable predictive power, which distinguishes it from unscientific things like astrology and homeopathy. Race isn't unscientific either - even if we're talking about the classic 3 races (which is not actually how people use the word anyway), they do in fact correspond to broad common genetic histories. Yes, they're an artificial classification people invented, but species are also an artificial classification. Neither is capable of classifying every individual and neither is unscientific because both are well enough defined to be useful to make predictions from.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by tdba on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @10:41AM (#40052572)
> There are no well-established genetic predictors of IQ

Common misconception, sadly untrue. There are known genetic predictors of intelligence, they're just not simple genes that the layman can wrap his head around.

https://www.nature.com/articles/nrg.2017.104

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by pasabagi on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:10PM (#40053809)
I think you'd have to be a bit of an expert to understand these results, just because of words like 'intelligence', that could mean anything, really, and I think accounting for 20% of the 50% heritability of intelligence is not exactly blowing the question out of the water.

All the same, I guess I am out of date (in 2017, they were getting 1% - perhaps in 2030, they will be up to 50%? Or back down to 2%?)

In general, I don't think there's any problem with saying some traits we call intelligence are heritable and that has a genetic component. I'm less sympathetic to the idea that intelligence is a simple scalar or a quantity that should be used to prejudge candidates for given technical or social tasks. I mean, if you're good, does it matter that any given person is as dumb as hell? I certainly would rather a talented dumbass than a useless genius as a coworker.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by octopoc on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:40PM (#40056283)
True, intelligence is not simple. But no matter how complex it is, the difference between an IQ of 100 and an IQ of 70 is undeniably a difference in intelligence.

The difference between a society with an average IQ of 100 and a society with an average IQ of 70 is one of intelligence. That's why, for example, any policy that allows emigrations from IQ 70 societies to to Western countries, which usually average around 100 IQ, is a bad policy for those Western countries.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by matheusmoreira on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @07:44PM (#40058752)
It would be a bad policy... If the people of those western countries were having children. They aren't. They need those immigrants.

There is no nation without natalism.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by pasabagi on Wednesday April 17, 2024 @01:27AM (#40060792)
I mean, nationality is obviously an enviromental factor, right? There's no 'german gene'. Ethnicities like 'French' don't actually exist in genes. So even if there is this nation-by-nation IQ variation, it shouldn't matter if you let people live where they want.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by defrost on Wednesday April 17, 2024 @01:36AM (#40060857)
> The difference between a society with an average IQ of 100 and a society with an average IQ of 70 is one of intelligence.

Strong claim, hard no.

In 20th century scientific records that's about the difference between pre WW German country schools and the same regions in the later part of WWII under siege and under supplied.

That large difference has been attributed to nutrition rather than intelligence given the same genes, the same schools, the same society, etc.

> True, intelligence is not simple.

At yet there you are, mere sentences later, over simplying it and ignoring significant confounding factors. Deliberate malfeasance, oblivious blind ignorance, ... ?

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @09:15PM (#40059344)
Finding evidence to be obnoxious because of political associations is anti-science. You could make a moral argument that humans shouldn't be allowed to know certain things because we can't be trusted with that knowledge, but that's separate from trying to understand reality.

> The genetic variation across one race (say black) is much greater than the variation between races.

Why did you say that? Are you implying that there must be a wider range of IQs among various ethnicities within a race than between races? That's not a logical conclusion. Do you have some other chain of logic in mind?

By the way, I only use the word race loosely. I really mean ethnicity. Although the findings do still broadly apply to the classic 3-ish races.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by pasabagi on Wednesday April 17, 2024 @01:31AM (#40060817)
So IQ is a word used to describe the results of a bunch of tests first established by eugenicists in the late 19th century, and has no scientific extraction whatsoever. Genetics is a field of science, and you can identify groups that carry particular genes. However, the 'races' don't map to distinct genetic groups, which is very unsurprising: the 'races' or 'ethnicities' are just administrative or cultural groupings from the 19th century.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Wednesday April 17, 2024 @10:49PM (#40072487)
The origin isn't relevant to whether it's valid or not.

No, ethnicities are absolutely not just administrative or cultural groupings. You've clearly done no research into this topic whatsoever and are just repeating some misinformation you got fooled by. Even the classic races which are unnecessarily crude by modern standards do actually partly correspond to distinct genetic groups. We can now classify ethnicities at a much finer level of detail and they're still distinct genetic groups.

Ironically given the article this is under, IQ was considered to be dirty Jewish science by the Nazis, probably because it showed Jews to be superior.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by pasabagi on Thursday April 18, 2024 @07:15AM (#40074963)
... That's just nonsense. Normal scientists working in genetics don't believe in race. The field has moved on from the 40s. It's not a conspiracy, there's just no evidence, because why should there be? It would be very surprising if a bunch of 19th century racists had accidentally discovered a deep truth about genetics before anybody had even discovered DNA.

Honestly, you just sound like you're a racist. Which is sad, but it's also indicative of a lack of common sense that you expect the universe to conform to your prejudices.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Thursday April 18, 2024 @05:36PM (#40080983)
I can't understand how you can say that when it's transparently false. There's an enormous quantity of research on ethnicity and genetics. Researchers have found all sorts of correlations. Even common sense tells you things about eye color, hair color, etc. but it goes far deeper than that. It's more precise than classic race but both are still valid classifications.

You must also think scientists don't believe in the distinction between planets and dwarf planets, or even stars. Yes it's an arbitrary classification, but it's still useful.

You're thinking is just like the people in TFA. Rejecting some science for arbitrary and nonsensical political reasons. You've replaces dirty Jewish science with dirty racist's science.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Monday April 15, 2024 @08:37PM (#40047187)
There's a dirty fashion in climate science to include political activism or call to action in their papers. Especially if they've found something that shows good news about climate change. They qualify it with "... but we must all make an effort to reduce fossil fuel use".

I used to teach science and would tell students not to give life advice to the reader, because that's what we were supposed to teach them. But then all these climate change papers started doing just that. It's equivalent of ancient mathematicians saying "glory to the king" in their work and reveals that the authors are bound by a conflict of interest and can't be expected to do honest work.

I recently read one about childhood safety, and they said that following the government's safety rules was important, while also defining their own idea of what kinds of safety are valuable or harmful. If the government already knows better than you, why are you even researching this? It's obviously just some effort to pressure people into not making their own dangerous decisions. But again, that's not science, that's activism and non-objective.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by silverquiet on Monday April 15, 2024 @08:46PM (#40047243)
Ah yes, those political activists with their conflict of interest in wanting the Earth to remain habitable for their children and grandchildren; perhaps they can learn to be more objective.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:00AM (#40048513)
Nothing wrong with wanting it, but a research paper is not the place to express personal opinions on how other people should behave. It's not a result they got from their own work, just rhetoric they know they're supposed to repeat, perhaps for safety of their careers, or perhaps because they unethically want to use their platform for activism.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by silverquiet on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:26AM (#40049239)
I've accepted that we are going to destroy ourselves and there is essentially nothing to be done at this point, but isn't that generally considered a bad thing? I'm surprised that endeavoring to continue the existence of humanity is so controversial.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Wednesday April 17, 2024 @10:35PM (#40072379)
Climate change is no threat to the existence of humanity. You've been misled by extremists.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by lynx23 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:06AM (#40048543)
Think of the children!

> In debate, it is a plea for pity that is used as an appeal to emotion, and therefore may become a logical fallacy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Think_of_the_children

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by silverquiet on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:28AM (#40049251)
Yes, I never really got the appeal myself, but I'm told that people do in fact place great value on children which is why I'm so surprised at their willingness to destroy the planet.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by lynx23 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:30AM (#40049270)
"destroy the planet" is pretty much an exaggregation which demonstrates nicely that you seem to be alarmist. No point in having a discussion then.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by silverquiet on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:39AM (#40049335)
6 degrees Celsius will basically render the Earth inhospitable for human occupation, but perhaps with some remnants remaining near the poles. Some of the latest work from James Hansen (whose previous work has been quite prescient) is suggesting that 10 degrees is likely. I apologize for my hyperbole.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by lynx23 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:46AM (#40049374)
6 deg of what? fahrenheit, celsiius? And what, increase or decrease? Inaccurate alarmists are even wrose. Please dont even reply, I couldnt care less about your opinions.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by silverquiet on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @04:17AM (#40049554)
I specified Celsius. And being willfully foolish as to the direction of the temperature change is childish.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by brabel on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:29AM (#40048946)
I've just watched a documentary on Netflix, "Three Identical Strangers" (SPOILER ALERT), about a 1960's to 1980's study about identical twins/triplets separated at birth and who grew up in intentionally distinct conditions (of the triplets, one grew up in a blue collar family, one in middle class, and one in a upper class family, all with an older sibling in the family as a sort of "control").

Apparently, the study ran for decades, but the results were never published... it's unclear why but it seems plausible to me that, aside from the ethical concerns, the study came to uncomfortable conclusions about the polemic "nature VS nurture" debate. Initially, they show how all siblings in the study, despite the intentionally very different environments, all came to like and do the exact same things... but later in the documentary, it also shows there were differences enough that the similarities were only superficial (in what I can't see as anything other than trying to appease the "nurture" crowd - as there seems to be no justification for that, as much as I tried to find it in what was shown).

The documentary also mentions the study may even actually have been about the influence of different parenting styles on the children, or even about mental illness, given many of the participants in the study had biological parents who may have been mentally ill (who the hell would give up their children if they didn't have some serious mental issues?!), which again seems to point at trying to divert from the study findings in my opinion.

The documentary is a little sensationalistic as it tries to outrage the viewers instead of trying to understand the actual circumstances of the study (siblings were always separated at birth at the time in most adoption agencies, apparently, that was not the fault of the study), which is a pity but understandable as that makes for better entertainment which is what Netflix really needs for its viewers to be happy, but still it's well worth a watch.

These articles talk a little bit about the controversies:

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2208369-three-identical...

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2018/nov/11/nature-or-nu...

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Anotheroneagain on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @04:58AM (#40049807)
>uncomfortable conclusions about the polemic "nature VS nurture" debate

These always seem to miss the effect of nutrition (and other) in the womb, which is massive. You need nonidentical twins as controls.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by cedilla on Monday April 15, 2024 @07:02PM (#40046652)
Verbally smacked down? Yes. But it's absurd to even compare this to the purges in China, Germany and Russia, were people were literally killed to death.

Also, while everyone has the right to argue anything, no one has the right to have the merits of their effort evaluated. When you go on and tell everyone here that ROT13 is as secure as RSA-2048, everyone will rightly laugh at you without considering your reasoning.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Civitello on Monday April 15, 2024 @07:37PM (#40046864)
heck there are probably humans who can sight read ROT13
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by bergen on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:41AM (#40048430)
Not arguing with your point but “killed to death” sounds like an awesome metal band name
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Semaphor on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:35AM (#40049305)
"Killed to Death" is an album by Murdered [0]

And there are 7 bands that had a song like that [1]

[0]: https://www.metal-archives.com/albums/Murdered/Killed_to_Dea...

[1]: https://www.metal-archives.com/search?searchString=Killed+to...

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by bitwize on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:26AM (#40048630)
"Kohga, the stupendous chief of the Yiga Clan, is gonna kill you all... to death!"
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by xhkkffbf on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @05:18PM (#40057346)
And then there was that classic movie, "Murder By Death."
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by actionfromafar on Monday April 15, 2024 @05:45PM (#40046023)
Funny I was thinking of how so many otherwise intelligent and educated people believe climate change is just a liberal hoax.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by blululu on Monday April 15, 2024 @11:15PM (#40048038)
Ask any of your friends how much sea level will rise by 2050 and you will get some pretty wild answers.

It's a technical subject that does not immediately affect most of us on a day to day basis. It is not surprising that people would have poorly informed opinions on a topic they don’t really care about very much.

For what it’s worth, the average college educated liberal has a comparably abysmal understanding of climate change but their ideological judgement happens to be closer to reality on this one.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by eastbound on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:44AM (#40048709)
I’m an ex-climate militant, so the fun part is that I have a very large corpus of knowledge on this topic. It’s an incredible experience to have read papers deeper than people who try to defend climate, and to know the weakness of each paper. Militants and even professionals really generally don’t know what they’re talking about, which is across the board in climate change. They are right, but often by mistake or pure luck, and I abhor that.

The sad part is any scientific topic that becomes politicized, becomes abyssal in terms of science. It is true of climate change, feminism before that, all the way back to 1500 and planets.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by PeterStuer on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:56AM (#40049066)
I guess it got swept up in the reasonable skepticism that resulted from the exposed overt politisation of science that was already on the rise but went hokystick in 2020?

OTOH climate science as a field did already suffer from siege mentality before, whether justified or not, that did suppress rather than engage disallinged views.

(Fwiw my own not too informed view on the subject is we are heading for real disaster, we will and have postponed any real action until too late, but it will be the geo-engeneering grifters that will put the final nail in the coffin)

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by kergonath on Monday April 15, 2024 @07:07PM (#40046690)
> a scientist can easily get smacked down for being "a climate change denialist" or an "antivaxer" or a similar unpalatable label way before the merits of their effort are evaluated.

Interestingly, I have more examples of the opposite: scientists being branded “climate alarmists” (even as their models consistently under-estimate global warming) or totalitarian control freaks (or some enlightened nonsense about being mindless followers of prominent Jewish people, very subtle that one) for saying that vaccines save lives.

Also, this has absolutely nothing to do with people getting actually killed or deported for their work, even though some loud mouths have a persecution complex.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by bryanrasmussen on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:02AM (#40048811)
>scientists being branded “climate alarmists” (even as their models consistently under-estimate global warming)

the attacks come from different directions - climate alarmists attack comes from without the scientific community (political, corporate)

climate denialist or antivaxer attacks generally come from within the scientific community, generally from experts in the field from which results are being denied.

The people who then want to support climate denialism can then say the scientists are non-scientific because they are taking sides, providing another useful tool of attack.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by devjab on Monday April 15, 2024 @06:54PM (#40046603)
There are no scientific merits for being an antivaxer though. You can certainly have egotistical reasons but the herd immunity created through general vaccination isn’t just a theory anymore.

I’d be more curious as to how anti-vaccine agendas ever became a thing. With a lot of these things like climate change, there are clear economic forces which will pour “tobacco is healthy” amounts of money into pushing whatever makes them money. But then you have something like antivaxing which quite literally benefits nobody, because even the people who don’t want to put themselves at risk by getting vaccinated still sort of do so by collectively bringing back terrible diseases through their destruction of the herd immunity… but who could possibly gain anything from spreading this nonsense? “Yay, polio and the measles are back!!!”. Then you have the more harmless stuff like flat-earthers which also don’t really have any obvious driving force. But at least it’s harmless and sort of funny.

Anyway, I don’t think you really have a point with what you’re saying here. You can’t put anti-vaccinate “science” up for a discussion with real science because it’s utter nonsense. Similarly you can’t be a climate change denier, you’re free to argue about what causes the heat up, but you can’t deny that it’s been happening at a rapid pace since the Industrial Revolution, at least not with any pretence of doing science.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by seabass-labrax on Monday April 15, 2024 @07:43PM (#40046900)
> I’d be more curious as to how anti-vaccine agendas ever became a thing.

I think the cause might have been the polar opposite of a conspiracy: isolated, but similar, examples of opportunistic fraud. Soon after COVID-19 vaccines were developed, I saw lots of advertisements for pseudo-scientific remedies for COVID-19 - these were clearly intended to make some profit out of the public's justified concerns about mRNA technology.

However, once mRNA vaccines proved themselves to be not especially different in efficacy or danger from traditional vaccines, it makes sense that the vendors of pseudo-scientific remedies would seek to maintain the anxiety about vaccines somehow. Hundreds of self-serving quacks trying to keep their customers (and compensate for the shrinking size of their market!) would naturally result in self-sustaining movements of anti-vaxers. The persistent conflation of COVID-19 conspiracy theorists with civil liberties campaigners in some parts of the media would have benefited the quacks further, by making anti-vaxing seem more of a legitimate social movement than it actually was.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Monday April 15, 2024 @09:56PM (#40047659)
Ironically, this is how popular beliefs are supported, but I don't think anti-vax is one of them. The news tells people what they want to hear to keep them engaged to make money from advertising to them. That's why news organizations are split into partisan groups, they have to do that to serve their own markets. Anyone being neutral would alienate most of their audience by making them uncomfortable.

Remember when the correct belief about the origin of Covid was naturally occurring in an animal then spreading to people in a market? Turned out to be a big conspiracy and false. But the news kept telling people that because people had already formed political attachment to that belief.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by defrost on Monday April 15, 2024 @10:05PM (#40047705)
> Turned out to be a big conspiracy and false.

Did it now?

Lableak truther loses $100,000 in his own debate https://www.protagonist-science.com/p/lableak-truther-loses-...

Even with money on the line and an arsenal of medical expertise and documents that's not a case that can be conclusively made.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by shiroiushi on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:30AM (#40048367)
Maybe I'm a little behind on this stuff, but I thought that it hasn't been conclusively proven either way (lab leak or naturally occurring). The lab-leak hypothesis was shouted down in mainstream media early on because they didn't want to offend China, but I don't think it's ever been conclusively proven that it wasn't a lab leak. However, there hasn't been sufficient evidence to back that hypothesis either.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:54AM (#40048496)
I agree it's not conclusive, so I shouldn't have said "false", but the FBI says it was most likely a lab leak [1].

Your article starts by calling it a "false myth" so they're clearly still in the political partisanship trap whatever the outcome of some bet. Anybody who's certain it was of natural origin is just being fooled by the news and some prominent scientists who made some intentionally misleading statements.

[1] https://edition.cnn.com/2023/02/28/politics/wray-fbi-covid-o...

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by aredox on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @08:34AM (#40051153)
The FBI doesn't know ("likely" isn't a proof, it is not even a certainty). When Trump was in power, why hasn't any conclusive proof published?
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by defrost on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @08:43AM (#40051228)
From your link:

     underscoring a divide in the US government as the majority of the intelligence community still believes that Covid either emerged naturally in the wild, or that there is still too little evidence to make a judgment one way or another.
"My article" isn't mine, it's an article discussing a lengthy technical debate recently held on the merits of zoonotic origin Vs Lab leak origin cases with a great many qualified onlookers, experienced judges, and $100K USD at stake on the outcome.

You may feel the article is biased as the (qualified) author clearly thinks lab leak is an improbable origin, you can go to the actual debate record being discussed and judge whether that was a fair pitting of one viewpoint against another - great lengths were taken to ensure a fair playing field in a debate for a cash prize.

Nobody is certain .. that's your ongoing strawman in in all your comments here so far, but the probabilities with all things considered very heavily fall on the natural origin side.

The best arguments put forward for a lab leak being more likely failed to carry the day.

It's still possible just very unlikely and certainly not certain.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by EnigmaFlare on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @09:05PM (#40059284)
It's not a strawman, it's your real man. It's the first sentence in the article you cited.

The conspiracy I'm talking about is the one described here: https://www.bmj.com/content/374/bmj.n1656

"For most of 2020, the notion that SARS-CoV-2 may have originated in a lab in Wuhan, China, was treated as a thoroughly debunked conspiracy theory."

which identifies the misinformation's origin here:

"Shortly after the pandemic began, Daszak effectively silenced debate over the possibility of a lab leak with a February 2020 statement in the Lancet.2 “We stand together to strongly condemn conspiracy theories suggesting that covid-19 does not have a natural origin,” "

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Vecr on Monday April 15, 2024 @08:56PM (#40047324)
It depends what you mean by "antivaxer", what is the subclinical myocarditis rate for ACAM1000 again? (Not ACAM2000, I'm very specifically talking about ACAM1000)
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by jcranmer on Monday April 15, 2024 @10:44PM (#40047890)
> I’d be more curious as to how anti-vaccine agendas ever became a thing. With a lot of these things like climate change, there are clear economic forces which will pour “tobacco is healthy” amounts of money into pushing whatever makes them money. But then you have something like antivaxing which quite literally benefits nobody, because even the people who don’t want to put themselves at risk by getting vaccinated still sort of do so by collectively bringing back terrible diseases through their destruction of the herd immunity… but who could possibly gain anything from spreading this nonsense? “Yay, polio and the measles are back!!!”. Then you have the more harmless stuff like flat-earthers which also don’t really have any obvious driving force. But at least it’s harmless and sort of funny.

The motivation for anti-vaccine--and flat-earthers, for what it's worth--is basically the same thing as Q-Anon. It's all primarily based on feeding on peoples' feeling of a conspiracy against them. It's not being pro-measles, it's thinking that the vaccine is a cover for the government trying to collect your DNA or euthanize your children or something, and there are all too many grifters who are willing to ride the wave of such thinking and flog their own products on top of that. Don't use the government's cure for COVID, buy my COVID cure for only $50! And I'm not the government or an evil megacorporation, so you know I'm trustworthy.

> But at least it’s harmless and sort of funny.

It's... not really harmless. There's a path from the flat earth stuff to the January 6 riot.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Thorrez on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @09:47AM (#40051802)
>There are no scientific merits for being an antivaxer though.

Read pages 4,5,6 of this vaccine insert[1]. It seemingly says a large percent of infants have adverse reactions to vaccines (up to 85% for some vaccines and symptoms). An anti-vaxxer can say "I won't give my kid a shot that has a chance of causing an adverse reaction."

[1] https://www.fda.gov/media/74035/download

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by m3047 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:36PM (#40054856)
Imagine someone asks you: "If I flip a fair coin 99 times and it comes up heads each time, what are the odds it comes up tails on the 100th toss?"

Do you say 50%, or do you dismiss their prior? At what point do you dismiss their prior or them, entirely? You don't have to dispute the mathematics, you just have to get bored with the impracticality of the question: it will never happen. Maybe they should flip that allegedly fair coin until it comes up heads (or tails) 99 times in a row and get back to us.

It's reasonable to ask what confounding factors are at play. It's reasonable to have a null hypoothesis.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by matheusmoreira on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @08:04PM (#40058899)
> I’d be more curious as to how anti-vaccine agendas ever became a thing.

It's simple. They don't trust authorities on the subject. They don't trust authorities in general. They feel lied to and manipulated. In many ways, that's the fault of the authorities. They are prone to simplifying things in order to get their consent.

During the pandemic I witnessed government officials proclaiming that there were no risks associated with the vaccines. That's just false.

Everything is a risk/benefit calculation. There is no 0% and no 100%. Things are vastly more complex than they seem to be. Yet these authorities insist on simplifying things for the layman in order to manufacture consent for their public policies.

These people aren't stupid. They will find out. When they do, they will never listen to you again. They will actively resist you.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Anotheroneagain on Monday April 15, 2024 @11:23PM (#40048078)
FWIW in the current time we definitely encounter "wrong physics" in places where science and politics intersect.

We find them where they intersect with actual reality, because it's all just nonsense. Electrons and photons are not real. You won't ever get your quantum computer (at least not in that way), because the physics isn't real.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by boxed on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:09AM (#40049140)
Struggle sessions were full of this stuff yea. Many people were killed during the Cultural Revolution for accepting reality.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by cseleborg on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:41AM (#40049343)
String theory has, however, been successfully applied to oranges. Here in Germany, these are now routinely sold in nets, made of some sort of string. QED
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by perihelions on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:59AM (#40049473)
That makes sense. After all, orange is a color: wrapping oranges with strings is a way of deriving the phenomenon of color confinement.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by enasterosophes on Monday April 15, 2024 @05:18PM (#40045712)
The Nazis weren't unique in dismissing categories of research on ideological grounds. The USSR label of "bourgeois pseudoscience" [1] was applied to various fields like evolutionary biology.

We aren't immune to it now. In the software world, remember that Ballmer called Linux a cancer, and in general there is a meme amongst capitalist software developers that the GPL is a cancerous or infectious license. In academia, there is always a question of where the funding is coming from, or how some research output can be monetized, and so there is an inherent bias against research which doesn't offer hope of capitalist and military-industrial dividends.

[1] https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Bourgeois_pseudoscience

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by huytersd on Monday April 15, 2024 @10:56PM (#40047951)
There’s a difference in having a subjective opinion on an OS and flat out denying physical phenomenon like the photoelectric effect. What kind of nonsensical analogy is this.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by enasterosophes on Monday April 15, 2024 @11:18PM (#40048056)
When did the soviets deny physical phenomena like the photoelectric effect? I believe they had issues with the kind of non-falsifiable metaphysical arguments put forward to try to explain or understand quantum mechanics.

The analogy is that regardless of sociopolitical setting, people in power use their non-evidence-based opinions to suppress developments which they consider to be against their ideology.

Do you claim Ballmer had no ideology?

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by rtuulik on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:54AM (#40049436)
> When did the soviets deny physical phenomena like the photoelectric effect? I believe they had issues with the kind of non-falsifiable metaphysical arguments put forward to try to explain or understand quantum mechanics.

There were many, but the most famous example is probably Lysenkoism, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lysenkoism

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by guappa on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @05:32AM (#40050012)
> remember that Ballmer called Linux a cancer, and in general there is a meme amongst capitalist software developers that the GPL is a cancerous or infectious license

And google and apple are spending millions of dollars to reimplement GNU software because they want to escape the GPLv3 license.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Vecr on Monday April 15, 2024 @05:00PM (#40045520)
I don't know, what's rationality's current reputation?
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by kromem on Monday April 15, 2024 @06:05PM (#40046234)
You mean things like thinking that the vaccine harms of something nearly the entire world has received which was being said would kill people in two years time is more dangerous than the thing that actually killed millions of people during the last few years?

It would be pretty weird if there were major political parties denying the science like that, or even picking who they would vote for as a leader based on the person agreeing with their magical thinking flying in the face of empirical evidence on that subject.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by carlosjobim on Monday April 15, 2024 @07:22PM (#40046767)
In the end it seems both "sides" were wrong on this. The vaccines didn't protect people from getting covid, but they also didn't kill them.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by CogitoCogito on Monday April 15, 2024 @11:15PM (#40048037)
> The vaccines didn't protect people from getting covid

What do you mean by this? The vaccines absolutely decreased the likelihood of getting and the severity of Covid.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by ctrw on Monday April 15, 2024 @11:42PM (#40048151)
For certain age groups, against specific variants, with more * than you can shake a stick at.

The fact that the cdc changed the definition of vaccine to one which can apply to injecting raw sewage into people will go down in history as one of the larger mass hysterias.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Daishiman on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:27AM (#40048350)
Whatever information you're getting, know that you're on the end of disinformation, because the mortality reductions were definitely broad-spectrum.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by ctrw on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:25AM (#40048927)
Is that why the US is the only country to mandate covid vaccines for children when there were no deaths in that group?
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by boxed on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:08AM (#40049138)
No, that's because you are right in that politics got involved so people got super confused. Wearing masks indoors in your own home for social signaling or wearing masks outdoors after it was long clear that was silly.

But the US being overly politicized doesn't have any impact on if the vaccine worked or not. Reality doesn't care.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by aredox on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @08:40AM (#40051205)
The US does not mandate covid vaccines for children.

you are indeed deeply misinformed, to the point of not getting basic facts right. Please admit it.

https://www.statista.com/chart/25326/obligatory-vaccination-... https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/...

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by carlosjobim on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @06:57AM (#40050527)
I meant exactly what I wrote, almost everybody who took the vaccines contracted covid.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by drekk on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @07:59AM (#40050902)
Protecting people from COVID involves more than preventing them from contracting the illness. It reduced mortality and hospitalizations. Compare the mortality rate in a country like Brazil to the US and tell me again how the vaccines didn't protect people from COVID.

I seriously don't get this antivax nonsense. People get the flu after a flu vaccine sometimes too. The point is to not have a naive immune system if all other defenses fail.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by carlosjobim on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @08:51AM (#40051276)
> I seriously don't get this antivax nonsense.

Maybe you have been conditioned to react with extreme suspicion when somebody even dares to mention the word "vaccine", so you don't even read what people write and start imagining what they "must be meaning"? We live in an age of paranoia and hostility, even after the pandemic.

I'm incredibly happy that the people saying that the vaccines were dangerous were wrong. It's a shame they didn't protect people better, but in the end the pandemic ended just as expected, ie a super-contagious and much less lethal strain infected everybody. This is how the black plague probably ended, reading accounts from the time. Even if they didn't know anything about viruses then.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by CogitoCogito on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:37PM (#40056249)
> It's a shame they didn't protect people better…

And it’s great its protection wasn’t worse!

> …but in the end the pandemic ended just as expected, ie a super-contagious and much less lethal strain infected everybody. This is how the black plague probably ended, reading accounts from the time. Even if they didn't know anything about viruses then.

There was never any question that in the long term general immunity wouldn’t cause the strains to become less virulent, it was always a question of how many people would die or get very sick before we got there. The Black Death killed a third of Europes population so im happy we know more about viruses now than they did then.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by huytersd on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:02PM (#40054454)
That’s dumb. If you can take something that will reduce a potentially deadly disease to some mild symptoms for a few days it’s effectively a cure.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by carlosjobim on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:21PM (#40054672)
How do you expect to have any fruitful exchange with your behaviour? People will prefer to avoid talking to you.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by CogitoCogito on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:32PM (#40056192)
And without the vaccines they would likely have had worse symptoms as well as potentially had symptomatic covid even more times than they did.

In other words the fact that vaccinated people contracted covid does _not_ mean the vaccines didn’t protect them from the disease.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by HelloNurse on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @10:51AM (#40052728)
"Major political parties" know that votes from idiots are as valuable as votes from people they are unable to fool: no-vax conspiracy theorists are one of many despicable constituencies that they want to be nice to, at the cost of alienating a smaller number of better people.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Anotheroneagain on Monday April 15, 2024 @11:20PM (#40048067)
They got kicked out because the physics is nonsense.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by ctrw on Monday April 15, 2024 @11:39PM (#40048135)
One only need to look at what's happening to biology today to see the same thing repeating itself.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by KingJulian on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:12AM (#40048276)
I'm out of the loop on this. Could you point me in a certain direction where I could read about this?
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by 2143 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:11AM (#40048272)
What's happening to biology today?
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by sojournerc on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:30AM (#40048372)
For both siblings, I'll risk guessing it's about a denial of sex being binary, and the taboo (amongst "liberals") of saying so.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Tainnor on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:40AM (#40048423)
It was the same thing in mathematics. For example, when Edmund Landau defined pi as "twice the value of the unique zero of cos in the interval [0, 2]" (a very common definition) instead of geometrically, this was attacked as being "un-German" (even though you can obviously go from the geometric to the analytic definition and vice versa).

https://institucional.us.es/blogimus/en/2017/03/pi-and-the-n...

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by perihelions on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:41AM (#40049345)
Here's a remarkable quote: "The Cauchy-Goursat theorem arouses intolerable displeasure in us Germans".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludwig_Bieberbach

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/arts-letters/articles/hit... ("How German Mathematicians Dealt With the Rise of Nazism" (1967 / 2016))

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by soperj on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:12AM (#40048858)
Haven't multiple states done the same thing? (trying to redefine pi)
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by vundercind on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:25AM (#40048926)
Multiple? No.

Indiana, in 1897, tried, but the bill failed (after notable early success!).

https://www.straightdope.com/21341975/did-a-state-legislatur...

(Other sources seem to agree)

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Tainnor on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @06:34AM (#40050396)
Not the same thing. Twice the unique zero of cos in [0, 2] is provably equal to the circumference of a circle of diameter 1. It's not equal to 3.2 or whatever the Indiana Pi Bill was trying to legislate.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by radu_floricica on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @05:13AM (#40049893)
The disease is independent of context. It's about taking a political club and using it to hit anybody you don't like. And we're far from being immune to it even now.

The correct reaction is to identify people using this particular pattern and penalize them regardless of political or cultural affiliation. Especially if they're in your own tribe - you're the one in the best position to censure them.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by Tainnor on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @06:27AM (#40050345)
> And we're far from being immune to it even now.

Please stop trivialising Nazi atrocities by attaching your pet personal grievances to it.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by wizzwizz4 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @08:11AM (#40050985)
Thank you for the demonstration. (But to avoid downvotes, you might want to add a smiley or something: Poe's law holds now as it did then.)
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by rightbyte on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @09:43AM (#40051759)
> The correct reaction is to identify people using this particular pattern and penalize them regardless of political or cultural affiliation.

Ohh no. The correct reaction is to do nothing if censorship is on the table. It is trivial to push BS by blaming fighting BS.

I believe the correct action is to pretend they are sane and calmly explain why I think they are wrong in combination with ignoring them.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by mgoetzke on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:35AM (#40048675)
Similar to some tendencies today with Right Wing from German AfD or American MAGA to dismiss complete fields of science. Whether it is climate change or vaccinations. They do not have a discussion, they dismiss it outright.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by huytersd on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @01:04PM (#40054481)
You’re not wrong. This comment doesn’t deserve the downvotes.
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by wolverine876 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:25AM (#40048923)
> There was a fanaticism that's hard to grapple with philosophically, a thing that's far outside rationality, a magical thinking. How much more "magical" can you get than disregarding natural physical laws, and substituting your own? That's the definition of magic.

People now deny climate change, often because it's 'liberal' - think of the incredible consequences of climate change, far greater than the disregarded physics, and yet it's ignored. It's the same with vaccines - people are causing their kids to become sick and sometimes die. It applies to many more things these days - anything 'liberal' is automatically rejected, regardless of cost.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by archagon on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:44AM (#40049367)
Or “woke.”
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by wolverine876 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @11:52AM (#40053606)
What in a 'woke' ideology has denied basic, consequential science?
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by archagon on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @12:38PM (#40054149)
What I mean is that I regularly see science being denied on the right because it’s labeled “woke.” Mostly social science at the moment, but I see the term attached to medical science as well, vis a vis the pandemic for example. It’s utterly nonsensical, but the point is to imbue the subject with negative feelings by association.

So, yeah, history repeats itself yet again.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by nec4b on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @02:12PM (#40055319)
Woke people believe math is racist. They get people banned or fired from universities. I mean there have been N-treads about the latest woke idiocy on campuses across the states here on HN, why are some people always pretending it doesn't exist?
Re:The Great Purge (1933) by wolverine876 on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @06:51PM (#40058290)
> Woke people believe math is racist.

Could you give us an example? I know about racism issues associated with math education, but I've never heard that 'mathematics is racist'.

> They get people banned or fired from universities.

What does that have to do with denying or rejecting science? Also, sometimes people get fired for legitimate reasons; the fact that they were fired is not a sign of problems.

> I mean there have been N-treads about the latest woke idiocy on campuses across the states here on HN, why are some people always pretending it doesn't exist?

I'm sure you know that there are powerful tides of misinformation and disinformation on the Internet - about climate change and vaccines, for example. Lots of repetition doesn't make something true. In fact, science is founded on the opposite: One person's verifiable facts are believed before the entire world's repetition.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by nec4b on Wednesday April 17, 2024 @05:43PM (#40070375)
>> Could you give us an example? I know about racism issues associated with math education, but I've never heard that 'mathematics is racist'.

Why are you referring to yourself in plural? Regarding your question, you can literal copy paste what you quoted into your favorite search engine and you will get a ton of hits. But I'm sure you are well aware of it already, since you are a frequent commenter on cultural war issues here on HN.

>> What does that have to do with denying or rejecting science?

Since when firing faculty staff for ideological nonsense has nothing to do with rejecting science?

>> Also, sometimes people get fired for legitimate reasons; the fact that they were fired is not a sign of problems.

This type of argument where you write some truism to downplay victims is not cool.

>>I'm sure you know that there are powerful tides of misinformation and disinformation on the Internet - about climate change and vaccines, for example. Lots of repetition doesn't make something true. In fact, science is founded on the opposite: One person's verifiable facts are believed before the entire world's repetition.

Of course, but you can say that about anything. So what is the point of your argument? Why did you even bother to comment on something you by your own admission don't know exists and couldn't even be bothered to look it up on the internet.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by atoav on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @03:02AM (#40049094)
The Nazis have had a strong mystic and esotheric undercurrent which also had to do with the Thule Society. When Hitler came to power German of all walks of life thought they could wield him to reach their own goals. Being correct in the sense of logic isn't what the Nazis were about. Or as my grandfather said paraphrased from Austrian German (who was in the Hitler Youth, like all kids his age — he was 12 when the war ended): "I didn't like the Nazis because in their ranks only simpletons and brutes would get into positions of leadership." So I am not surprised all kind of things have been called "jewish", as this was an easy way to quickly get rid of people you either disliked, envied or who simply did better work than you.

In a sense Trumpism echos that sentiment, where merit or truth doesn't count, but yelling the right thing loud enough does.

Re:The Great Purge (1933) by mmaniac on Tuesday April 16, 2024 @06:16AM (#40050291)
Quantum physics and relativity were a radical departure from classical mechanics and remain very counter-intuitive for laypeople so it's not hard to see how contemporary persons with ulterior motives and little interest in scientific inquiry would fixate on those.