They’re struggling because
a) Industrial policy is hard enough in a federal system without …
b) A federal government inexperienced with implementing industrial policy and …
c) An administration that sees industrial policy as YA avenue to achieve its social objectives, so called “everything bagel liberalism” [1].
I think industrial policy is a terrible idea, so not too distressed to see it trip out of the starting gate.
[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/02/opinion/democrats-liberal...
And the border proposal was a fake-out, just like Reagan’s amnesty, which was supposed to be combined with border controls but never was. The goal of the recent border legislation was to make 5,000 illegal crossings a day (5 times higher than under Obama) the “new normal.”
The ROI looks pretty good:
1. Bolster NATO (Sweden and Finland have joined already)
2. Bolster the EU (Ukraine and Turkey gaining membership would be interesting)
3. Revive EU self-interest in not relying on US military and cash. This directly results in less foreign random wars because more parties are stakeholders.
4. Diplomatic leverage against China. They are actively supplying manufacturing capacity for weapons to the Russians.
5. Transparency around for who is supplying who with what regarding weapons and Russia. This makes it easier to sanction people/companies that do things that are Bad For Business globally.
There are lots of examples of Republicans sabotaging government legislation. The most recent case is the immigration deal reached by Senate Democrats and Republicans. They did this to make the current administration look incompetent so they could allow Trump to "win" on the issue next year.
Rejecting a compromise bill is in no way “sabotage.” Republicans (probably correctly) perceive that public sentiment about immigration is such that they can hold out for a better deal.
A truer example of “sabotage” would be the immigration compromise under Reagan. There, the parties reached a deal to combine amnesty with stronger border protections. But the second half of that deal never happened.
Regardless, you dodged my point about blue states. If the US government was dysfunctional because of republicans, blue states should be like Denmark—at least within the spheres where the state governments have primacy. Maryland should have world-beating schools, transit, healthcare, compassionate policing, and etc. Almost all of those are domains that are almost exclusively within the province of the states. But as a Maryland resident I can assure you it’s nothing like Denmark. The American inability to operate government effectively and efficiently is a bipartisan issue.
On your other point about blue states. There are a lot of people who think blue states are much better places to live because of their legal/legislative climates. Ask people in Oklahoma who want IVF.
In general, governing is hard and I'm not about to say that Democrats have perfected it or are even doing it effectively, on an absolute scale. I am saying that the current Republican party is (other's said it here first) a cult with a criminal at the head of the ticket and a bunch of obstructionists in the House and Senate. They care nothing of the rule of law, when it is they who bend it, but they will scream bloody murder if the other side takes a tiny step in that direction.
No it wasn’t. The bill was negotiated by three Senators (Murphy, Sinema, and Lankford). At no point did Senate Republicans as a whole endorse or vote for the bill.
> To say it was a compromise is absurd, unless you want every bill to be perfect when it is voted on.
Bills don’t have to be perfect, but there’s no reason to make major concessions to the other side when public opinion is on your side. Republicans have a historic opportunity to turn down the ratchet on immigration. Why would they blow it on a bill that gives immediate work permits to illegal border crossers?
> There can always be further refinement of the law, through future legislation.
If republicans agreed to make 5,000 illegal crossings a day—five times higher than the level under Obama—the new normal, it would be extremely difficult for them to later turn back that dial.
> There are a lot of people who think blue states are much better places to live because of their legal/legislative climates. Ask people in Oklahoma who want IVF.
In 2021/22, more people moved from California to Texas alone than the total number of IVF births nationwide. The purpose of government is to serve the overarching needs of the whole public: schools, transportation, safety, housing, healthcare, etc. Enacting policies that are arguably beneficial or more compassionate to this or that small minority of the population is not a replacement for good schools, efficient transit, affordable housing, and safe streets.
Europe actually heavily regulates IVF and surrogacy. For example, Germany and Norway ban egg donation. Those countries are still much better governed than any blue state because schools, transit, roads, and safety are far more important to the median person.
The reason the “culture war” rages in US politics is that neither party can offer effective governance to voters. The only way they can differentiate themselves is on this philosophical and moral issues.
So if Bob wants to call himself Brenda, wear a frock and make-up, and take drugs to grow breasts, then that's fine and he shouldn't be fired from his job for doing so. But this doesn't give him access to women's spaces, and if any of his colleagues don't want to refer to him as "she" then they shouldn't be censured for doing so either.
This stance also protects LGB who may want to organize same-sex groups, such as lesbian speed dating or gay men's saunas, without having individuals of the opposite sex imposing themselves for self-identity reasons.
Another potential middle-ground position on this issue is for third spaces to be made available to those individuals who don't feel comfortable in the spaces designated for their sex. For example, India has laws mandating this for their Hijra demographic.
However I do believe this position, or one very similar to it, could be enough of a middle-ground compromise to satisfy most people.
I also think there is much more "crossover" on LGBT issues than one may believe. Tons of Republicans are pro-gay marriage, and tons of Democrats have real concerns about allowing trans women to compete in women's divisions in sports.
Once we have that we can show our voters how disappointment really feels. It needs to feel so soul crushing we completely implode our party and die out in irrelevance. That’s my thoughts on it anyways.
What we have today is an overtly fascist MAGA Republican party that calls openly for dictatorship. It’s opposed by the scraps of the old Republican Party and by a moribund centrist Democratic Party incapable of fielding appealing candidates. Within the latter there is also a populist left, but with little power.
The whole thing is a trash fire, but some of the trash is just regular trash and some is toxic waste drums in danger of exploding.
Edit: of course I’m being too charitable by assuming the fascists would not also lead to stagnation. They likely would, though perhaps in different ways.
The Republican Party essentially doesn't exist anymore, it has been replaced lock, stock and barrel with a cult of personality. There are no longer any "Republican principles" or "conservative principles", whatever curries favor with the Party Leader is what goes.
To emphasize, I think there is plenty wrong with both parties, and I yearn for the days (long time gone I know) where you could at least sometimes have debates about policy, and not just about personalities or tribalism. But I think it's a huge mistake to "both sides" over policy differences when it's core things like peaceful transfer of power that are at stake.
This is UFO level conspiratorial thinking, but it's however encouraged by the established press.
What exactly happened in 4 years of Trump? Basically more of the same.
The idea that it represents some kind of fascist danger or whatever is oversold for partisan gains by the other party.
Or that same President trying to persuade another State’s elected officials to “find votes” so he could win.
Where's the hyperbole?
> Where's the hyperbole?
Fascism was highly ideological – Mussolini wrote a whole book explaining his ideology – The Doctrine of Fascism - partially ghostwritten by the Italian philosopher Giovanni Gentile. It contained specific doctrines, such as the primacy of the State.
While Nazism is often equated with fascism, it had a different ideological flavour, with a much heavier emphasis on race. Still, while the ideology was different, the strong emphasis on ideology remained – you can read all about it in Mein Kampf (I tried to read it once, it was so boring I fell asleep), in Hitler's speeches, in the works of his various acolytes.
Trump's ideology isn't fascism. Trump doesn't have an ideology. All he really believes in is his own personal power. Ideas aren't really that important to him. So, I'm not saying that various things he did weren't bad, but they weren't fascist. Calling them fascist is definitely inaccurate, and maybe even hyperbolic.
On the contrary, Hitler's ideology of racist nationalism and antisemitism wasn't just some "pretext for authoritarianism"–he had convinced himself it was the truth.
> I'd recommend reading up on this, just making things up as you go along isn't a great way to approach this particular topic
I don't think this response is really in the spirit of the HN guidelines, [0] especially the part which says "Be kind. Don't be snarky. Converse curiously; don't cross-examine. Edit out swipes."
> Eco's Ur-Fascism
That's just one scholar's opinions among many. There is a lack of scholarly consensus on how to define "fascism"–as the noted historian of Nazi Germany Ian Kershaw once wrote, "trying to define 'fascism' is like trying to nail jelly to the wall".
Do you realise how condescending you sound? You aren’t trying to have a conversation, you are just lecturing. No thank you
Aren't those the very opposite - attempts to uphold democracy? (even if misguided and there was no fraud)?
In general, anybody that believes that somebody like Trump would have subverted democracy and established some authoritarian rule, is beyond hyperbole.
It would probably look something more like calling a Secretary of State to get them to change the election results.
Or to ask the Vice President to count the electoral votes incorrectly. You know. Things that we know actually happened.
1 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump%E2%80%93Raffensperger_ph...
2 - https://www.factcheck.org/2023/08/what-trump-asked-of-pence/
Putting together a slate of false electors, asking the VP to certify them, or calling states and asking them to find more votes however is not that.
Complaining about the president trying to prevent the peaceful transfer of power by getting his vice president to block the results "looks like a joke" to you???
I really hope that you can only say that because his plan failed.
Sorry but denying the reality of the current GOP's open efforts to subvert democracy while they speak openly of sedition and overthrowing democracy really makes you look like a fascist apologist. At CPAC ending democracy was the buzz among attendant, Posobiec got applause for saying it was time to end democracy in America.
Now imagine that months earlier a member of one of those groups had asked him what to do and he’d said “stand back, and stand by.”
It was histrorically bad corruption and abuse of power, honestly. I mean, lots and lots of people curated lists. Here's a quick one from the weeks before the 2020 election:
https://www.citizensforethics.org/news/analysis/president-tr...
Now I know you'll want to argue specifics for every element and that the source is partisan or suspect, etc... and I'm not going to get involved. But suffice it to say that any one of those items would have been enough to sink any other administration. It's the authoritarian tilt of the modern GOP that led it to green light all this, and that is only going to get worse with a more ambitious candidate.
Meanwhile the others are too busy showing off PC and LGBT progressivism, to the point that it just creates too much needless tension in American society and the conservative reactions to this are discussions about criminalizing abortion.
This is a well established fact and the main reason why the voting system needs an overhaul to allow for ranked choice or something similar.
Chances of Duopoly parties doing that by their own are 0% - so it has to be the people.
I disagree with your conclusion. My conclusion is that, yes, the US government really is not serious about these things. It's not just a "public perception", it's reality. It's reality because half the people in that government act this way and make it reality, and because those half the people in government are voted into their positions by half the voters in the population.
>What it will take for all political interests to align for the sake of US interests? Probably turning off financial lobbying from shadow money groups.
Financial lobbying isn't the reason that half the people are voting for a party that works against US's best interests. Those voters really do believe in the people they're voting for, and think that they really can make America like the 1950s again somehow.
> Financial lobbying isn't the reason that half the people are voting for a party that works against US's best interests. Those voters really do believe in the people they're voting for, and think that they really can make America like the 1950s again somehow.
If the financial lobbying machine was turned off tomorrow, most of the money for the culture war goes away on mass media.
I do agree said voters think they can "roll back the clock," to to speak, but it is an erroneous belief. 1950s USA had much more of that socialism thing that resulted in technological advancements and super-power-ness.
One thing about the 1950s those people have right is that median income back then was closely tied to productivity, whereas today it just isn't, which is shafting everyone except the ultra wealthy (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_inequality_in_the_Unite...)
I’m really amused because I genuinely can’t tell which of our useless “parties” you’re referring to!
So yes, part of the government is serious, while another part is serious about doing the opposite, which does produce the intended effect: public perception that the US government is not serious about these things.
What it will take for all political interests to align for the sake of US interests? Probably turning off financial lobbying from shadow money groups.