News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by throw0101c on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:13PM (#34021918)
From a 2020 paper:

> Human consumption of freshwater is now approaching or surpassing the rate at which water sources are being naturally replenished in many regions, creating water shortage risks for people and ecosystems. Here we assess the impact of human water uses and their connection to water scarcity and ecological damage across the United States, identify primary causes of river dewatering and explore ways to ameliorate them. We find irrigation of cattle-feed crops to be the greatest consumer of river water in the western United States, implicating beef and dairy consumption as the leading driver of water shortages and fish imperilment in the region. We assess opportunities for alleviating water scarcity by reducing cattle-feed production, finding that temporary, rotational fallowing of irrigated feed crops can markedly reduce water shortage risks and improve ecological sustainability. Long-term water security and river ecosystem health will ultimately require Americans to consume less beef that depends on irrigated feed crops.

* https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-0483-z https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-0483-z

* PDF: https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/323061602.pdf

> Irrigation of cattle feed crops is the single largest consumptive user at both regional and national scales, accounting for 23 percent of all water consumption nationally, 32 percent in the Western U.S. and 55 percent in the Colorado River basin.

* https://www.udel.edu/udaily/2020/march/beef-dairy-consumptio...

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by urspx on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:26PM (#34022069)
Thank you. Incredible that 'cattle' isn't even mentioned once in the newspaper article.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by landemva on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:33PM (#34022142)
> irrigated feed crops

Simple solution - those who believe that is the problem can simply buy the water rights and then let the water flow.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by gardenfelder on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:44PM (#34022249)
simply?
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by landemva on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:01PM (#34022397)
OK, how about 'make an adequate offer'. At least try to get some politicians and celebrities to endorse a gofundme effort.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by bradleyjg on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:10PM (#34022488)
No they can’t. Western water law is incredibly convoluted and irrational. It prevents this exact thing under the doctrine of beneficial use.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by imchillyb on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:30PM (#34022102)
Watch 2-3 episodes of 'How it's Made' and you can see how much water use is industrial.

Add the industrial and cattle together and one can quickly see that it's not humans that are consuming the vast majority of potable water, but companies and industry that are depleting what's available for the rest of us.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by gernb on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:41PM (#34022213)
> it's not humans that are consuming the vast majority of potable water, but companies and industry that are depleting what's available for the rest of us.

companies only make what they can sell. The sell what consumers want. So it is humans. Humans want meat. If they stop wanting meat companies will stop making meat.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by rurp on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:52PM (#34022320)
A huge reason companies use so much water is that it's artificially cheap. Companies typically pay 10% or less of the cost per gallon a resident does in their home.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by lazide on Friday December 16, 2022 @09:51PM (#34023879)
Usually because the grade and location of the water is not suitable for residential use.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by LorenPechtel on Saturday December 17, 2022 @01:17PM (#34030520)
Farmers don't need drinking-safe water but that doesn't justify the price difference.

There should be three grades of water:

1) Untreated.

2) Salty (desalinated, but not to full freshwater standards), used for toilets, showers and the like.

3) Potable.

What you're doing with the water should have no bearing on the price and the price difference should only reflect the additional cost of going from #1 or #2 to #3.

You also pay a separate charge for delivering water to your place, this is omitted if you're getting it from a well and don't need delivery.

The base rates are standardized across a watershed (in this case, every place served by the Colorado river), the delivery charge is based on the cost to provide it to you. (Thus the cabins on the other side of the mountain here that lost their water in a wildfire--when the trees burned it not only damaged the pipe but caused land slippage that destroyed said pipe--pay a whopping delivery charge, but otherwise the same price per cubic foot we do.)

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by lazide on Saturday December 17, 2022 @05:08PM (#34032766)
Why should someone pay a ‘Colorado aquifer watershed price’ for a gallon of water they pump from their own well on their own land, if that aquifer doesn’t meaningfully participate in that watershed, and isn’t even drawn on by other people?

Most of Central California for instance isn’t in a watershed that connects to the Colorado in any way.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by throw0101c on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:57PM (#34022371)
> If they stop wanting meat companies will stop making meat.

If companies start paying the total costs (water, carbon)—including externalities—of their raw materials, and pass those costs onto consumers, perhaps things will rebalance.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by landemva on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:03PM (#34022417)
Consider having militaries do externality accounting. First obvious thing to discover is the engine pollution controls are deleted 'because war'.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by hexatin on Saturday December 17, 2022 @12:41PM (#34030108)
If this happened, I believe it’s most likely that the main immediate effect would be that low-income people could no longer afford meat, while middle- to high-income people (the largest contributors) would simply continue to consume meat almost as often as they already do at the higher price, since it is relatively price inelastic.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by recursive on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:11PM (#34022492)
If you think the cost of meat has no impact on its consumption, you're dreaming.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by jemmyw on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:14PM (#34022525)
That's not entirely true. Supply, demand and culture have some complexities in them. Humans want meat, but the kind of meat they consume is based on what is available. And then it seems to follow that what they want to consume in the future is based on what was available in the past, not on what is most economical now. A kind of cultural feedback loop which results in most of the shellfish around England being sold in Europe because the English don't want to eat it.

I'm sure this kind of feedback loop happens in a lot of industries. Companies don't just make what people want, they also make people want things. Throw in regulation too, which limits the shape of what can be produced. I think what it boils down to is that when you say people want X, that want is not unshaped by those providing it plus other external factors, so there can be a path to people not wanting it that doesn't just involve their individual decisions.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by HEmanZ on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:43PM (#34022238)
Just because some people may not grasp this: it is still individual humans consuming the water. Companies and industry don’t burn resources for no reason, they become products that consumers buy.

The only real solution is that we consumers consume less, and probably spend more for the same products, period.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by sammalloy on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:51PM (#34022314)
> The only real solution is that we consumers consume less, and probably spend more for the same products, period.

I couldn’t disagree more. We need more regulation and taxation, and the real cost of the externalities added to the end product. The public is subsidizing and paying for private industry to pollute and use resources without accountability. That needs to end. The idea that the problem is solely due to personal consumption by individuals is a greenwashing tactic used by corporations to avoid responsibility for their products. The real solution is to put up barriers to producing these products and make the companies pay for their impact on the planet. This strange, antisocial idea that companies aren’t part of the social contract and don’t have to follow the rules of governments and civilization needs to be called out.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by ViViDboarder on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:32PM (#34022690)
It doesn’t look like you disagree to me. The result of such taxes or regulations is less and more expensive consumption.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by smcl on Friday December 16, 2022 @08:17PM (#34023118)
I read that the original comment was laying the blame at the feet of individual consumer choices - implying that if people simply bought/consumed less of … whatever is causing the Colorado river to be depleted then things would fix themselves. And the reply is saying that there need to be explicit regulations to cause this, presumably because people have really no way to know the what environmental impact each dollar they spend has and where.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by philsnow on Friday December 16, 2022 @09:03PM (#34023535)
I read it the same way, similarly to PR campaigns that tell Californians to water their lawns less and take fewer and shorter showers, even thought that usage uses by far less water than ag or industrial uses.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by reducesuffering on Saturday December 17, 2022 @02:11AM (#34025583)
We should all do our part. Less ag and industrial products means a higher cost for us all.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by HEmanZ on Friday December 16, 2022 @08:53PM (#34023444)
I think you’re reading the wrong thing into my comment. I would absolutely agree the problem is that externalities aren’t priced in. The result of pricing those in would be that everything gets more expensive and consumers get to consume less.

I don’t like the idea of blaming companies anymore than blaming individual consumers. They’re working in the same market

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by throw0101c on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:59PM (#34022382)
> Companies and industry don’t burn resources for no reason, they become products that consumers buy.

If companies start paying the total costs—including externalities (water, carbon)—of their raw materials, and pass those costs onto consumers, perhaps things will rebalance.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by 0xB31B1B on Friday December 16, 2022 @08:27PM (#34023211)
This isn't whats happening at all, at least in ag. There is a huge amount of deadweight loss to extremely wealthy long time ag landlords who own water rights. At this time, they have extremely inefficient water uses because water is costless to them. If water prices were to be raised, they would install various methods of water conservation (drip irrigation instead of flooding, etc) and maintain production levels, resulting in similar prices and availability for consumers.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by landemva on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:37PM (#34022741)
Is the chip industry in these metrics? Big Intel plant being built in Ohio on land which had been farms.

https://www.bizjournals.com/columbus/news/2022/06/30/intel-i...

"The average semiconductor fab uses somewhere between 2 million and 4 million gallons of water per day"

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by smcl on Friday December 16, 2022 @08:19PM (#34023143)
Aren’t many of these fabs self-contained - ie they “use” a lot but treat and then re-use it
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by lazide on Friday December 16, 2022 @09:52PM (#34023893)
No, they usually don’t reuse the water
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by smcl on Sunday December 18, 2022 @05:44AM (#34036493)
I was thinking of an HN submission or comment a while ago that described how Arizona did this, I found this which appears to agree: https://sustainablewater.com/water-and-fabs-in-arizona/

> Arizona has [some non-water requirements for Semi fab location]; however, it faces water challenges. Semiconductor fabs require tremendous quantities of highly pure water, using between two and four million gallons daily.[1] The fact that Arizona has become a semiconductor fab given these high water requirements may seem bewildering.

> ... Although these companies use vast amounts of water, they also recycle aggressively

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by lazide on Sunday December 18, 2022 @09:18AM (#34037848)
It was greenwashing if I remember correctly. They had to do ‘water credits’ to improve watersheds elsewhere in AZ, which they used to claim they were doing good things in the area they were in. When really, they weren’t.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by smcl on Sunday December 18, 2022 @12:37PM (#34040044)
Oh damn, so something like the carbon credits thing Tesla did? In that case what on earth are they doing putting such a facility in such a water-poor locale.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by lazide on Sunday December 18, 2022 @03:53PM (#34043206)
Cheap labor already familiar with chip manufacturing, cheap land, good tax treatment, and tax credits from the gov’t if I remember correctly.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by hedora on Friday December 16, 2022 @10:51PM (#34024420)
That part of Ohio is a drained swamp land, and is projected to get more water due to global warming.

The chip plants being built in the southwest are fed from the Colorado River, and are using scarce water.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by insane_dreamer on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:14PM (#34022520)
> Irrigation of cattle feed crops is the single largest consumptive user ... 55 percent in the Colorado River basin.

That's a pretty shocking statistic. Seems like the most logical place to cut despite impact on dairy/cattle production.

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by phpisthebest on Friday December 16, 2022 @08:02PM (#34022968)
You know there is all kinds of talk about civil war over politics like guns, or abortion, etc.

The one thing that will cause a civil war is if you take away American's access to beef. Good luck trying to do that

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by 0xB31B1B on Friday December 16, 2022 @08:22PM (#34023164)
a huge portion of the alfalfa being irrigated isn't even used to feed american beef. The plants are literally sent to saudi arabia to feed cows there. You could entirely fix the agricultural use of water if you priced it more accurately. There is enough water to grow all the food we need and more, its just priced in a way that encourages the agricultural landlords who own the water rights to waste it because it is essentially costless to the individual rights holders. Price the water better and they will build conservation methods without lowering output.

(https://www.12news.com/article/news/local/water-wars/saudi-a....)

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by jahewson on Saturday December 17, 2022 @02:16AM (#34025601)
I'm struggling to believe that it's a "a huge portion" given that Saudi Arabia has less than 1/10th the population of the US. Still, the story you link to is an amazing self-own on the part of Arizona.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by StanislavPetrov on Saturday December 17, 2022 @04:37AM (#34026325)
>So far, four California water districts have proposed to reduce water use by up to 400,000 acre-feet per year. That would amount to about 9% of the state’s total water allotment from the river through 2026.

Even a 10% reduction in use due to Saudi exports would be higher than the current goal. It is considered a national security risk to export encryption to foreign countries, but it isn't a national security risk to export our water? And why are we growing such water-intensive crops in a desert to begin with?

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by phpisthebest on Saturday December 17, 2022 @08:30AM (#34027581)
At a gut emotional level this would be true

but trade is what has kept the world wars a bay. Start down the path of protectionism and what we see in Russia/UKR will seem like a nice day at the park

a Middle East-China-Russia vs US-EU-UK-AU-CAN would be the likely outcome, and not good for economic stability or national security

Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by sitkack on Saturday December 17, 2022 @02:52PM (#34031500)
Not sucking a river dry isn't protectionism. Or now protectionism means protecting a river, which it should.
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by insane_dreamer on Monday December 19, 2022 @12:01PM (#34054448)
"free markets"
Re:Risk of 'dead pool' looms at Colorado River meeting by AgentOrange1234 on Friday December 16, 2022 @10:17PM (#34024114)
Reducing production in one region that can’t sustain it is not “taking away” our (unprecedented) access to beef.