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Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by rr808 on Sunday September 25, 2022 @10:52PM (#32978806)
Crazy times it wasn't long ago that a pound bought over $2.

The interesting thing this week is that the most fragile and indebted country that the EU has bailed out for 30 years straight (Italy) has elected a govt that doesn't like the EU. Good times ahead.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by currenciessfe on Monday September 26, 2022 @01:41AM (#32979793)
It's not that simple. Germany wanted a country like Italy in the Euro so it would pull the currency down and not allow it to appreciate too much (like the Deutsche Mark did). That would would be very bad for German exports.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by wsc981 on Monday September 26, 2022 @01:55AM (#32979871)
Yes, Germany benefitted hugely from southern European countries joining the Euro as it made it much easier for Germany to export goods to southern Europe.

At the same time it was made much easier (at lower interest rates) for southern European countries to borrow money from northern European countries and other markets, as creditors would feel more secure that they'd get their money back. Creditors would assume the northern European countries would bail-out southern European countries in case of problems.

And that caused southern European countries to lend more which might benefit a country like Germany again. These countries could lend more easily to buy luxury cars, for example.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by rich_sasha on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:25AM (#32980066)
This narrative is kind of correct, but it irks me when people somehow blame northern Europe for southern Europe's debt. No one forced them to overborrow, especially since it mostly happened in times prosperity.

Generally speaking, access to cheap debt is seen as a uniformly good thing.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by random_kris on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:51AM (#32980212)
Well the northern European will blame southern for not being frugal enough.

But this is the same as drug dealer saying their dead customer was not responsible enough. Yeah it true, but some people just are not responsible for their own actions and the dealer was happily benefiting all the time from him

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by dmichulke on Monday September 26, 2022 @03:00AM (#32980269)
Well, this!

Except that the dead customer still owes 590 billion to (mostly) the drug dealer mentioned above and won't be able to pay it.

And the goods delivered were not drugs but things that usually don't alter your way of thinking (like cars, machines, ...), even less if we're talking about a group of people (like the government or a country of 60mn people)

Oh and there was also trading (i.e. delivering goods back), so Italy is not only consumer but also producer.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by rich_sasha on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:59AM (#32980268)
When dealing with the public, sure I agree. But not at all when dealing with (supposedly) professional bodies such as national governments, I don't buy it.

I'm not pointing the "overspending" finger either, just saying, countries should take responsibility for their actions, not complain at the enablers.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by tbihl on Monday September 26, 2022 @10:14PM (#32990924)
I don't know much about Italian government, but unless there's some fundamental difference between them and the US, I don't see any chance of a government showing restraint and staying in power, when the other guys could deliver prosperity without the bill coming due for 10+ years.

What am I missing?

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by wsc981 on Monday September 26, 2022 @03:00AM (#32980270)
If politicians have the ability to borrow, they will generally make use of it.

Which is why the weaker currencies were a much better fit for Southern European countries. Creditors would expect a high interest, due to high inflation, thus limiting the politician's ability to borrow money.

I do feel northern Europe (especially Germany) is partially to blame, since they were very much interesting in increasing their exports and the Euro was the enabler.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by qeternity on Monday September 26, 2022 @03:08AM (#32980303)
> If politicians have the ability to borrow, they will generally make use of it.

This does not absolve the politicians, nor the electorate.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by Ygg2 on Monday September 26, 2022 @03:10AM (#32980316)
> how blame northern Europe for southern Europe's debt.

They both share the blame. If a bank clerk keeps giving loans to a drug addict something is definitely off. Especially if it suggest settling the debts via organ sale (austerity).

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by disgruntledphd2 on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:56PM (#32986861)
The really low interest rates set by the ECB for the benefit of Germany/Northern Europe pre financial crisis absolutely poured fuel on the bubble fires of the PIIGS.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by djbebs on Monday September 26, 2022 @03:31AM (#32980426)
Incentives matter, and when you create incentives to over borrow, you're going to see entities overborrow.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by mirko22 on Monday September 26, 2022 @09:51AM (#32983113)
It’s the North providing the debt :)
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by vandreas2 on Monday September 26, 2022 @04:39AM (#32980787)
Not really Italian lira suffered from inflation, a lot of people push this narrative that somehow Italy was forced to join the Euro against her will. From Wikipedia:

Lira pesante Due to the lira's low value after the war economic calculations and price displays became unwieldy because of the large number of zeroes. As early as the 1950s suggestions were made to redenominate the lira but no serious efforts were made at that time. In the 1970s a plan known as lira pesante [it] (English: hard lira) or lira nuova (new lira) was proposed. The lira pesante would have redenominated the currency at 1,000:1, removing 3 zeroes. However the project went dormant for several years before being revived in 1984. Ongoing heavy inflation saw the lira pesante pushed back until it was permanently abandoned in 1991 because of plans for a single European currency.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by lottin on Monday September 26, 2022 @03:24AM (#32980393)
Having a weak currency means you're selling cheap and buying expensive, so it's not clear how it benefits you. It certainly benefits everyone else.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by avn2109 on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:44PM (#32986687)
I'm not the OP, but as far as I know there is no economic faction which disputes the claim that "a weak currency boosts exports."

I spent 5 minutes googling this out of curiosity and could only find published claims in favor of the orthodox "weak currency boosts exports" idea, for example "Export dependent nations may actively encourage a weak currency in order to boost their exports." [0] or "Exports become cheaper when the currency of a nation is weak."[1]

[0] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/weak-currency.asp [1] https://thebusinessprofessor.com/en_US/economic-analysis-mon...

If there are published claims to the contrary, I would be interested in reading them.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by plasticchris on Monday September 26, 2022 @06:21AM (#32981319)
Pay your workers in cheap local currency, sell in strong foreign currency.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by lottin on Monday September 26, 2022 @08:16AM (#32982163)
So how does a cheap currency benefit Germany according to this theory?

Another thing is that if production costs go down (although you don't say why they're going down, it seems a random assumption on your part), then competition among exporters will drive the price of exports down. I mean, this is Economics 101.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by plasticchris on Monday September 26, 2022 @01:07PM (#32985548)
So, this only works if a large part of the cost is labor (this is the model china used in the last few decades) in which case the cost of production definitely goes down. I'm no expert in Germany's economy, maybe they have more materials / energy cost that they need to pay for in their home currency?
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by lottin on Monday September 26, 2022 @04:10PM (#32987707)
Your analysis is incorrect. Markup is a function of market power. If market power remains the same, an increase in markup cannot last for long. Competition will drive prices down until markup goes back to its previous level. Therefore the end result is a fall in the price of exports. Whereas for importers the opposite is true, imports become more expensive for local purchasers. This is what is meant by "selling cheap and buying expensive", which is exactly what happens when a currency depreciates.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by currenciessfe on Monday September 26, 2022 @05:36AM (#32981080)
It also means you're paying your labor cheap. That makes you more competitive.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by lottin on Monday September 26, 2022 @06:12AM (#32981271)
But competitive simply means your products sell for less. The question was how does selling for less and buying for more benefit you?
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by currenciessfe on Monday September 26, 2022 @06:59AM (#32981539)
You don't sell for less, since you sell in foreign currency. So you get the same amount of foreign currency (price in USD remains the same), but you need less converted to your internal currency to pay your labor.

But then you can invest that extra profit in decreasing your foreign currency price, thus becoming more competitive.

You can google for longer explanations of why a weak currency is excellent for exporters, this is well established.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by lottin on Monday September 26, 2022 @07:38AM (#32981826)
I just Googled it, and this is what I found [1]:

When a country's currency appreciates in relation to foreign currencies, foreign goods become cheaper in the domestic market and there is overall downward pressure on domestic prices. In contrast, the prices of domestic goods paid by foreigners go up, which tends to decrease foreign demand for domestic products.

A depreciation of the home currency has the opposite effects.

It contradicts directly your claim that exports don't get cheaper. You're saying exports remain the same (because they don't get any cheaper), and that the only change is an increase of corporate profits at the expense of wages.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currency_appreciation_and_depr...

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by currenciessfe on Monday September 26, 2022 @10:35AM (#32983652)
Read again carefully what you quoted. It exactly supports my claim.

> Export dependent nations may actively encourage a weak currency in order to boost their exports.

> A weak currency may help a country's exports gain market share when its goods are less expensive compared to goods priced in stronger currencies. The increase in sales may boost economic growth and jobs while increasing profits for companies conducting business in foreign markets

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/weak-currency.asp

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by lottin on Monday September 26, 2022 @11:55AM (#32984728)
Do you read your own quotes?

Where does it support your claim that a weakened currency does not affect the price of exports?

It says the exact opposite. Exports increase because they become less expensive:

> A weak currency may help a country's exports gain market share when its goods are less expensive compared to goods priced in stronger currencies. The increase in sales may boost economic growth and jobs while increasing profits for companies conducting business in foreign markets

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by wonnor on Monday September 26, 2022 @05:28PM (#32988741)
The person you are arguing with said this:

>But then you can invest that extra profit in decreasing your foreign currency price, thus becoming more competitive.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by lottin on Tuesday September 27, 2022 @12:25AM (#32991543)
Yeah, which is baffling. It's not possible to invest in decreasing your foreign currency price. Price is an exogenous variable in a competitive market. You can invest in the production process so that production becomes more cost-effective and this allows you to lower prices, but that has nothing to do with devaluations, and certainly is not the mechanism through which exports prices fall when a currency depreciates.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by quonn on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:51AM (#32980211)
Spain and other countries, yes. Nobody wants the extreme instability of Italy.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by denton-scratch on Monday September 26, 2022 @12:17PM (#32984981)
At one time, there were rules for joining the Euro, things like debt-to-GDP, controls on government spending and so on. Germany and France, in particular, pressed for the southern countries to be admitted, despite the well-known fact that they didn't meet those conditions.

They had large pension and state-payroll obligations, and they couldn't cut that spending and stay in power. Greece tried to cut it's spending, and the government was ejected. The new socialist government was then destroyed by German bankers and politicians.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by onlyrealcuzzo on Sunday September 25, 2022 @11:51PM (#32979205)
Greece was more fragile and indebted for sure...
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by Amfy on Monday September 26, 2022 @12:03AM (#32979285)
but Italy is far more important (size) to the EU than Greece
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by picsao on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:18AM (#32980026)
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=404IeUzGNZ4

Best explanation I ever heard for that phenomenon

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by theGnuMe on Tuesday September 27, 2022 @11:02AM (#32996199)
Piketty has studied this stuff extensively and thinks that Europe needs to move towards a USA style Federalist system or it is otherwise doomed.

I'm pretty sure we are in a phase where corporations and authoritarians have coopted the political engagement of lower socioeconomic classes thru identity and economic issues vs the traditional labor base of unions which is a threat to personal safety and democracy world wide.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by Nitrolo on Tuesday September 27, 2022 @04:58AM (#32993007)
I'd just like to point out that Italy has been a net contributor to the EU budget for 20 years straight, and was the third biggest net contributor as of 2020.

If someone has more up-to-date numbers I'd like to read them, but I don't think describing Italy as getting "bailed out for 30 years straight" is accurate unless I'm missing something here.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by BerislavLopac on Monday September 26, 2022 @01:32PM (#32985852)
When was that exactly? The highest I can see in the last 10 years was $1.7 in 2014... [0]

[0] https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=USD&view=10Y

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by nanidin on Sunday September 25, 2022 @11:35PM (#32979100)
Indeed, a great time to vacation in the UK!
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by KerrAvon on Monday September 26, 2022 @12:16AM (#32979354)
just don’t require any medical attention while you’re there, or, like, heat….
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by xuki on Monday September 26, 2022 @12:43AM (#32979509)
Travel insurance is cheap.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by scott_w on Monday September 26, 2022 @01:00AM (#32979593)
Doesn’t make a difference because you’ll not get a hospital bed
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by checker659 on Monday September 26, 2022 @01:08AM (#32979638)
Why?
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by chanc3e on Monday September 26, 2022 @01:34AM (#32979756)
Nearly all A&E (ER) rooms are managed by the NHS. Private ones are few and far between so it’s likely that a tourist with insurance will end up in a standard A&E - which can have very long wait times[1].

The NHS is also using private clinics to help clear backlogs - so even private insurance can lead to a long time to see a consultant.

Ambulances also do not have good response times.

[1]https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/projects/urgent-emergency-care/...

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by echelon on Monday September 26, 2022 @01:49AM (#32979837)
I hate to chime in with an ask, but does someone have a good read on healthcare in developed nations and mind commenting?

I always hear and read complaints that the US doesn't have a single player public option for health insurance, and that it makes our country one of the worst.

Other nations with "good health care" seem to pay their workers less, have higher taxes, have long wait times at the ER, weak militaries, etc. Something always seems to give.

How would you rank and quantify the various medical systems of the world? Where does the US fall? Why, and how could we make it better?

I'd like to be better informed about healthcare as a matter of policy and how it fits into the bigger scope of government spending.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by sofixa on Monday September 26, 2022 @04:35AM (#32980764)
> Other nations with "good health care" seem to pay their workers less, have higher taxes, have long wait times at the ER, weak militaries, etc. Something always seems to give.

What is a "weak" military for you, and what does it have to do with healthcare? The UK has aircraft carriers and nuclear submarines (including 24/7 nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile patrols). Only an ignorant American (and maybe Russian) would consider that to be "weak", because they're so used to the militarised culture and massive spends that everything below blowing half the budget on tanks is "weak".

As has been said many times, the US spends more public money on healthcare, per capita and as % of GDP than everyone else, and had some of the worst outcomes (infant mortality, birth mortality, life expectancy, etc.) of all the developed world.

It's not a matter of how much, but how. The US system has middlemen to manage the middlemen and mind boggling prices and practices. Other systems are underfunded or with corruption here and there.

Would you prefer to wait 2 months to see a non-urgent specialist doctor for "free" or have it in a few days, but billed $60k hoping your insurance covers it? I know that most people prefer not being bankrupt over speedy non-urgent treatment. And US nurses are still paid shit for terrible working conditions, so it's not like it's them getting the extra money, it's mostly at middlemen and to a lesser extent doctors.

The solution to the problems exhibited in systems such as the NHS are more funding and focus (e.g. helping more students get to doctor/nurse positions to ease the burden).

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by zoid_ on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:46AM (#32980183)
As someone working in the industry, I can say that unfortunately NHS funds are very poorly managed with lots of corruption within management. My believe is that a lot of the staff are passionate and hard-working, however at least an equal number of staff are worn-down, disillusioned and dispassionate due to years of managerial neglect and high public expectation.

There is also a believe that the NHS is a single national entity, which is not the case. Both Wales and Scottish have a national trust whereas England has 100's, totally 217 trusts as of April 2020 [1]. This does not allow for combined purchasing power, shared resources and causes duplicate effort in almost every area.

How about dentistry? Seems odd that for the most part that's not covered under the NHS. It wasn't until adulthood I understood all the jokes about British peoples teeth!

My hope is that we can move to another model that is directly free to the end user, reduce the eye watering waiting times and put the almost £200B annual funding to good use.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NHS_trust

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by foldr on Monday September 26, 2022 @04:28AM (#32980735)
Although dental coverage on the NHS sucks, British people actually have quite good overall oral health outcomes. If you google, you can find that some studies place British overall oral health ahead of the US.

For anyone who's spent a significant amount of time in the US this shouldn't be too much of a surprise. Middle and upper class Americans have access to excellent dental care, but if you spend some time in the poorer parts of town, you'll see plenty of people with missing teeth and other severe dental problems. NHS dentistry is poor, but it's better than nothing (which is what a lot of poor Americans effectively get).

There's also the aesthetic aspect of it. Europeans in generally tend to be culturally less interested in tooth straightening and whitening.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by kalleboo on Monday September 26, 2022 @03:07AM (#32980301)
The biggest problem with state-managed health care is when you get ideologues in control who's ideology is "state-managed things can never work well", because it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. A lot of European countries have spent the past decade or two attempting to privative their health care to varying degrees, since the ideology says that will make it cheaper, but instead it has just gotten worse.

> does someone have a good read

The question is complicated enough that any writings on it will inherently have a bias since there are so many details that are easy to ignore in your favor

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by 411111111111111 on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:02AM (#32979910)
I think a lot of people aren't aware how greed as reduced the previously decently run healthcare systems in a lot of places.

Germany for example had pretty decent healthcare 10 yrs ago, then a few regulations were passed and it's been doing downhill at a staggering pace.

Nowadays hospitals prefer amputations over simple treatments in diabetes cases as a pretty well known example, as it's me profitable.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by nopinkglasses on Monday September 26, 2022 @08:10AM (#32982117)
And let's not even start about their 2-speed healthcare system, where the privately insured can get immediate specialist appointments while the pleb can join the back of the queue on the 6 month waiting list. Oh, the privately insured also get access to the hospital department head, and private rooms with a second bed in case relatives need to sleep over.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by mcv on Monday September 26, 2022 @04:54AM (#32980872)
This is the big problem with healthcare in capitalism. If everything is about profit, then healthcare also becomes about profit, and hospitals will decide on treatment based on what's profitable to them, instead of what's better for the patient and for society.

There's always going to be some trade-off of course, because resources are never infinite. But preventative healthcare is a lot cheaper and better for quality of life than waiting until limbs need to be lopped off.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by rich_sasha on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:29AM (#32980092)
In general, UK system is hands down great i think. Other countries may have even better ones perhaps, but none of the horrors of US.

But in recent years, it's been struggling, certainly it wasn't high on the conservative govt funding list, and COVID caused extra burnout. Winters we're always tough, and this one is thought to be especially so.

It is unclear to me if it is a lack of money or poor spending.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by DanBC on Monday September 26, 2022 @08:03AM (#32982055)
> Other nations with "good health care" seem to [...] have long wait times at the ER,

How are you measuring wait times? How are you defining Emergency Departments?

In England there's a 4 hour target for people to be seen, treated and then discharged (or for a decision to admit to be made). Currently the English NHS is meeting that target for 75% of all attendances. This has declined from a 95% rate a few years ago, and it's seen as a massive problem.

https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas...

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by CogitoCogito on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:44AM (#32980173)
> Other nations with "good health care" seem to pay their workers less, have higher taxes, have long wait times at the ER, weak militaries, etc.

Are these conclusions based upon some sort of systematic analysis of yours?

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by foldr on Monday September 26, 2022 @04:23AM (#32980710)
>have higher taxes

It bears repeating for the zillionth time that the US spends more public money on healthcare as a proportion of GDP than the UK.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by mcv on Monday September 26, 2022 @09:22AM (#32982777)
They even spend about as much specifically on socialised medicine as the UK. They just don't receive the benefits of it.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by spaceman_2020 on Monday September 26, 2022 @12:47AM (#32979532)
pack an extra suitcase with wood pellets and you're good to go :D
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by Mountain_Skies on Sunday September 25, 2022 @11:52PM (#32979213)
Many of my friends who regularly made trips to Europe pre-pandemic have been lured into making their first trips since 2019 due to the strength of the dollar against the Euro. Probably will be many similarly attracted to the UK by the weak Pound. Guess that's good news for the travel industry even if so much else is going wrong.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by pavlov on Monday September 26, 2022 @02:26AM (#32980074)
I lived in London for some years and wouldn’t choose to go to the UK as a tourist in the winter. It’s bleak and damp.

If the UK travel industry does benefit from the cheap pound, it probably won’t have any effect until next summer.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by blitzar on Monday September 26, 2022 @06:25AM (#32981348)
I lived in London for some years and wouldn’t choose to go to the UK as a tourist in the summer. There is a reason everyone in the UK goes to Europe in summer - it is much nicer.
Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by helij on Monday September 26, 2022 @06:42AM (#32981435)
I live in London and would choose to go to the UK as a tourist at pretty much any time of the year. Plenty to see and do.

London weather gets bad rep but I find it pretty good. Rarely goes below zero degrees Celsius and is rarely so hot that you struggle. I actually prefer London weather to central/south European one for example. More consistent, pleasant all year round. This is all personal though...

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by theironhammer on Monday September 26, 2022 @04:00PM (#32987576)
I would agree. Perhaps if it got more sunny days, but temps wise it's not at all.

When I was in Paris a local informed me that Paris gets more rain than London. I suspect though London rain is more spread out throughout the year.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by mFixman on Monday September 26, 2022 @12:43PM (#32985293)
The tragedy of the UK is that its many spots with world-class beauty such as the Lake District, Snowdonia, or the breath of Scottish Highlands aren't as popular internationally as they should be since they are pricy.

Maybe it's for the best: hiking trails not being extremely crowded during the warm seasons makes tourism more enjoyable.

Re:British pound hits record low against the dollar by Symbiote on Monday September 26, 2022 @12:24PM (#32985063)
Take a tip from the Danish tourist board and advertise it as "cosy" (i.e. hygge).