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Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by zzzeek on Friday December 31, 2021 @08:31PM (#29754514)
It's 100% about hospital capacity and mass death. When hospitals around the country are no longer turning away cancer patients needing treatments and have plenty of ICUs for heart attacks and such, when they no longer have to rent fleets of refrigerator trucks every outbreak to store the bodies, the restrictions will end. It has always been about that and nothing more.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by trentnix on Friday December 31, 2021 @08:49PM (#29754616)
They could start by not terminating perfectly capable doctors and nurses who have decided, for whatever their reasons may be, to refuse vaccination. I’m vaccinated (and boosted) but I cannot understand why it was okay for these people to be on the frontlines of the fight for over a year but suddenly they are no longer acceptable. And I find no convincing argument as to why actually recovering from infection counts for nothing, but the vaccine does.

The decision to terminate unvaccinated individuals reeks of bureaucracy, not an understanding of science or medicine.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by Spooky23 on Friday December 31, 2021 @09:29PM (#29754850)
It’s pretty simple. They are more likely to get sick and more likely to infect those whose care they are entrusted with.

There’s a long history of this type of sanction. If you are a provider or nurse in a hospital who fails to get a measles, hepatitis, or rabies (after exposure) shot, you’ll be terminated for cause in many places.

The reason why recovery doesn’t “count” the same as vaccination is that immunity doesn’t last very long - 60-90 days typically. Some countries, such as Israel will recognize a single Pfizer dose and recovery as immune, if you have a negative PCR test.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by trentnix on Friday December 31, 2021 @09:42PM (#29754942)
> It’s pretty simple. They are more likely to get sick and more likely to infect those whose care they are entrusted with.

In a vacuum, that makes sense. But in the midst of genuine shortage of healthcare professionals, it's myopic foolishness. And I'd guess your comment about the lasting effect of actual recovery is going to turn out to be very wrong and already contradicts most everything I've seen recently regarding the immune response to reinfection after Covid recovery.

edit: Here are a few links that contradict your statement that immunity doesn't last very long:

https://www.nih.gov/news-events/nih-research-matters/lasting...

https://www.futurity.org/covid-19-survivors-immunity-viruses...

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by Spooky23 on Saturday January 01, 2022 @06:55PM (#29764186)
Israel issues vaccination credentials to recovered COVID patients with 1 Pfizer dose. There’s a lot of data from there about this topic.

Initially, those folks are “super immune”, but it fades much quicker than expected last summer. Around November data started indicating that those individuals were much more likely (10x iirc) to contract COVID than a person fully vaccinated in the same timeframe.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by tandymodel100 on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:13PM (#29755137)
In all honesty I don't want people uneducated or conspiracy-minded enough to not take the vaccine treating me anyway even in a shortage situation.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by claytongulick on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:41PM (#29755291)
You don't want people who have medical degrees and are experts in their field treating you?

Because you have a better understanding of this than they do?

That seems like a strange position to take.

I would take a different position, like "what do these highly qualified health care workers understand that I don't?"

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by 2muchcoffeeman on Saturday January 01, 2022 @01:08AM (#29755980)
I would take a different position, like "what do these highly qualified health care workers understand that I don't?"

I’m all ears. On the face of it, getting vaccinated is a no brainer. I’d love to hear a medical reason for healthy individuals not to get vaccinated.

So far I’ve only heard arguments about vaccine mandates infringing on peoples rights, even though they never batted an eyelid at other vaccines. Why is this one a problem?

So far looking at the death rates, cases of severe illness, vaccination is the way to go. So I’d love to hear a compelling argument why you’d avoid it.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by claytongulick on Saturday January 01, 2022 @01:27AM (#29756083)
Having natural immunity is an excellent reason, according to all of the studies I've read.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by jcranmer on Saturday January 01, 2022 @01:35AM (#29756124)
From what I've seen, there is no risk in being vaccinated when you already have prior infection, and there are benefits to doing so. So I don't see why prior infection would constitute a good medical reason to avoid vaccination.

(Aside: it is worth noting that vaccination also induces "natural immunity", as it introduces viral units [via various mechanisms depending on specific vaccine type] that cause the immune system to work more or less the same way as it would if presented with a regular viral infection. So using the term "natural immunity" when what you really mean is "prior infection" smacks quite heavily of chemophobia.)

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by 2muchcoffeeman on Saturday January 01, 2022 @01:32AM (#29756108)
No it’s not because the risk of getting serious illness is/was much higher compared to any vaccine. The risk of death is certainly higher. Again getting vaccinated is a no brainer on the face of it.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by zzzeek on Saturday January 01, 2022 @05:51PM (#29763728)
It seems like you don't have that much experience with real world doctors. Lots of highly educated doctors become complete crackpots who you'd not want to be putting a band-aid on you. Dr. Oz is one such very high profile example (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mehmet_Oz#Reception) but there's lots more. I've had experiences with much less famous doctors that got all the proper education but then later lost their minds and/or decided to just make as much cash as possible. Really really common. I have trust in the field of medicine but in specific doctors just because they have their medical degree? no way.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by belltaco on Saturday January 01, 2022 @12:46AM (#29755867)
What percentage of doctors are unvaccinated? Or is there atleast a number or some reporting on doctors getting fired for refusing vaccinations?

>I would take a different position, like "what do these highly qualified health care workers understand that I don't?"

Examples?

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by mikeyouse on Saturday January 01, 2022 @01:00AM (#29755936)
It’s literally the dumbest line of logic and my barely literate neighbor justifies his antivax status with the same theory. “What do the doctors who have declined the vaccine know that I don’t”

Even though over 99% of practicing doctors and something like 99.9% of hospitalists are vaccinated, they hold up that 1/1,000 as some sort of “truthsayer”.

If 999 experts in a field told you they trusted something and 1/1,000 said they didn’t —- you’d have to be an absolute fool to blindly follow the 1 and I'm a bit surprised how common this argument is on HN.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by claytongulick on Saturday January 01, 2022 @01:30AM (#29756095)
Well, I personally know three and have seen many videos of others who feel that the risks outweigh the benefits for healthy people who have natural immunity.

So, that's more than one.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by mikeyouse on Saturday January 01, 2022 @02:29AM (#29756343)
Just nonsense. “Natural immunity” is another one of those amazing shibboleth words for those who don’t understand probabilities. It’s kind of amazing how innumerate most antivax people are.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by CryptoPunk on Saturday January 01, 2022 @05:28AM (#29757198)
Can you elaborate on what your problem is with the term "natural immunity"?
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by Spooky23 on Saturday January 01, 2022 @12:32PM (#29760581)
Doctors are just people, and like other people, a minority are idiots or feel they are invincible.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by tandymodel100 on Saturday January 01, 2022 @03:57PM (#29762683)
> Because you have a better understanding of this than they do?

I think that the vast majority of doctors that have taken the vaccine to protect themselves are probably smarter than the tiny minority that have refused, yes.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by wiseowise on Friday December 31, 2021 @11:54PM (#29755647)
I believe my beliefs and choices are morally superior to yours, so that completely invalidates your merit! /s
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by trentnix on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:19PM (#29755176)
Let them eat cake!
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by nradov on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:12PM (#29755128)
I encourage everyone eligible to protect themselves by getting vaccinated but that doesn't produce lasting immunity against infection either. Immunity is a spectrum, not a binary condition.

https://www.businessinsider.com/delta-variant-made-herd-immu...

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by midasuni on Saturday January 01, 2022 @06:48AM (#29757551)
Confine them to covid wards
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by gspr on Saturday January 01, 2022 @06:04AM (#29757364)
Those doctors and nurses are little more than saboteurs. Would you hire someone who would willingly increases their own risk of being unable to work by orders of magnitude for no actual gain?

Note that this is not like not hiring someone who likes to go mountain biking and therefore are more likely to hurt themselves and not work. Hobbies like that have real benefits. Vaccine denial not.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by enchiridion on Friday December 31, 2021 @08:53PM (#29754643)
How about scale up the hospitals, or at least covid capacity in a meaningful way. How long does they public have to bear burden of insufficient health infra.

EDIT: Sorry that might have come off a bit blunt. But the entire pandemic response has been frustratingly insufficient in my opinion. A variant like Omicron was long predicted and expected. How are we not prepared with a plan to end lockdowns?

And blaming unvaccinated or anti-maskers is not a good answer. Modeling of acceptance should’ve been done. It’s not like these contrarian sentiments were surprising either.

All together it feels like this response to omicron is a public health failure.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by Spooky23 on Friday December 31, 2021 @09:31PM (#29754863)
The US is a public health failure. We didn’t want “socialized” medicine.

So we got what we wanted, the best nurses are making $300/hr in COVID hotspots and leaving new grads and understaffed facilities in their wake.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by TMWNN on Friday December 31, 2021 @11:06PM (#29755416)
Feel free to name the country that isn't experiencing the exact same issues regarding COVID hotspots and understaffed facilities, "socialized medicine" or not.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by Spooky23 on Saturday January 01, 2022 @06:46PM (#29764114)
Japan, Israel, South Korea, New Zealand come to mind. Honestly, it’s not very hard… the US went from the respected world leader to a public health carnival sideshow overnight.

CDC is taking cues from places like South Africa and Israel now. It’s pathetic.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by enchiridion on Saturday January 01, 2022 @06:42PM (#29764080)
This is not a productive viewpoint, it’s defeatist.

How would socialized medicine help in this specific case? More power to the government? The government already has plenty of power to influence outcomes through spending. However, that power has been applied poorly.

We need mass repeal of old government regulations and the appointing of technocrats (as in people concerned with low level details of regulations). Additionally we need new highly adversarial independent regulatory bodies to prevent capitalistic interests from causing market collapse.

The current agencies are too in bed with industry, and it’s not beneficial to the public.

Giving more power to the current government systems which rolled out this poor response seems like the wrong answer.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by HatchedLake721 on Friday December 31, 2021 @09:00PM (#29754688)
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by wrycoder on Friday December 31, 2021 @09:19PM (#29754794)
The ones you didn't force out because they didn't want to get vaccinated?
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by mikeyouse on Saturday January 01, 2022 @01:04AM (#29755948)
There are approximately 0 actual nurses capable of running critical care beds who are antivaxxers. It’s such a fringe position that’s given far more press coverage than it deserves. Blaming the hospital shortage on the hypothetical vaccine mandates chasing away capable staff is completely without evidence.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by fineIllregister on Saturday January 01, 2022 @01:04AM (#29755955)
Every story of a health care provider firing unvaccinated staff has only had losses of less than 1%. That's not enough to make a significant difference.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by CryptoPunk on Saturday January 01, 2022 @05:32AM (#29757215)
Here are a few options:

* Spend tens of billions training new medical staff so you can save hundreds of billions / trillions on not having to lock people down

* Stop admitting COVID patients at government subsidized hospitals when there is a shortage of hospital beds, with the exception of essential and frontline workers, so that hundreds of millions of people don't need to be locked down

* Make those who are not vaccinated, or do not have recent booster shots, ineligible for care for COVID at government subsidized hospitals, when there is a shortage of hospital beds, so that hundreds of millions of people don't need to be locked down

But the go-to solution seems to be: massively violate the civil and economic liberties of the entire population, to prevent COVID surges from causing a shortage of hospital beds.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by dragonwriter on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:28PM (#29755228)
> How are we not prepared with a plan to end lockdowns?

We barely ever had anything approximating lockdowns and they ended long ago. We don't generally make plans to do things after they are already done.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by tandymodel100 on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:15PM (#29755150)
> How are we not prepared with a plan to end lockdowns?

We don't have lockdowns, and haven't had lockdowns in America

> And blaming unvaccinated or anti-maskers is not a good answer

Blaming the unvaccinated, who comprise the overwhelming majority of those that get hospitalized, spread it and die, is a good answer. I think a lot of this is solved by deprioritizing them at triage time or letting them recuperate at home.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by nradov on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:26PM (#29755216)
I encourage everyone eligible to get vaccinated but blaming people for making unhealthy choices isn't an effective public health measure. It didn't work in the HIV/AIDS pandemic and it won't work now. Better to focus on education and harm minimization.

Due to EMTALA, hospitals in the US are required to treat unstable patients regardless of vaccination status. Changing that would require an Act of Congress. Also note that there is no 100% reliable way for hospitals to determine a particular patient's vaccination status; the registries have some data quality and record linkage problems.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by enchiridion on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:28PM (#29755231)
I share your frustration, but the anti-vax people were expected. It’s like sitting into the wind at this point. The game plan should’ve been built around there non-compliance.

Poor leadership only plans for things going how they want.

As far as lockdowns are concerned, we have had the mass shutdown of in person school and work, as well as the forced closure of many restaurants and entertainment venues.

I was using the shorthand.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by tandymodel100 on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:33PM (#29755257)
> The game plan should’ve been built around there non-compliance.

That is correct, and that's why they proposed the OSHA rule for mandating vaccinations after months of incentives. I think some % of non-compliance is understandable, but the remaining unvaccinated seem to be doing it for political reasons over anything else.

> As far as lockdowns are concerned, we have had the mass shutdown of in person school and work, as well as the forced closure of many restaurants and entertainment venues.

Right, we had those last year. Not since, in America at least.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by chana_masala on Saturday January 01, 2022 @03:34AM (#29756661)
I am in the US and schools are still doing "distance" learning and restaurants are not allowed at full capacity.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by tandymodel100 on Saturday January 01, 2022 @03:55PM (#29762664)
I don't know any school districts that have permanently been doing distance learning (though some, stupidly, are doing another round of it because of the omicron surge) and I have not heard of any restaurant capacity restrictions in my very blue, COVID conscious city.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by chana_masala on Saturday January 01, 2022 @05:37PM (#29763588)
Well, where I am things are still quite restrictive
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by _djo_ on Saturday January 01, 2022 @05:40AM (#29757248)
That’s not a lockdown by any reasonable definition of the term.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by kevin_thibedeau on Friday December 31, 2021 @09:41PM (#29754932)
The AMA doesn't want an oversupply of competition.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by nradov on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:16PM (#29755156)
False. The current physician shortage is primarily caused by insufficient federal funding for medical residencies. Every year there are doctors who graduate from medical school but are never allowed to practice medicine because they can't get matched to a residency program. The AMA has been lobbying Congress to increase the supply for years.

https://www.ama-assn.org/press-center/press-releases/ama-fun...

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by maxerickson on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:19PM (#29755181)
There's other sources of money. Hospitals have like a trillion dollars of revenue at this point, I bet diverting some of that to training doctors would work out fine.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by TMWNN on Friday December 31, 2021 @11:07PM (#29755418)
>Every year there are doctors who graduate from medical school but are never allowed to practice medicine because they can't get matched to a residency program.

Aren't 99% of unmatched, graduates of sketchy overseas medical schools?

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by nradov on Friday December 31, 2021 @11:24PM (#29755500)
Typically about 5% of medical school graduates don't get matched, although some of those do get in later.

https://www.ama-assn.org/residents-students/match/if-you-re-...

As for overseas medical schools, the National Committee on Foreign Medical Education and Accreditation is supposed to ensure they meet the same standards as domestic schools. I haven't seen any real evidence that they're sketchy.

https://sites.ed.gov/ncfmea/

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by ajosh on Saturday January 01, 2022 @12:32AM (#29755809)
Knowing a number of foreign medical grads, I'd have to agree that they are not, as a rule, skethcy.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by roenxi on Friday December 31, 2021 @10:04PM (#29755086)
It has been nearly 2 years. Have they considered training a few people to handle respiratory diseases and bulking up the hospitals?

Nursing is hard and takes years of training, but 2 years would have been long enough to teach people how to manage the average case of 1 disease.

There have been a lot of people sitting around doing not much, they could probably use the work.

Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by ThalesX on Saturday January 01, 2022 @12:55AM (#29755907)
There is also the argument for encouraging people to lead a healthier lifestyle. Even though it’s political suicide to tell people that they need to get in shape, two years of a push from the government would have had enough time to make a great impact on overall population health.
Re:Belgian scientific base in Antarctica engulfed by Covid d... by anm89 on Friday December 31, 2021 @09:35PM (#29754887)
As many others below have pointed out, there are a variety of reasons why this narrative is extremely flimsy. All ends do not justify all means, especially when the proven correlation between the ends and the means is often lacking or doesn't support the use of the means at all.