News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by narrator on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @12:47AM (#27511408)
>I can’t help but see some kind of special interest or agenda whenever I hear a news story now.

I used to subscribe to The Economist. I then realized, after they kept getting a lot of things wrong over the years, that in my humble opinion, a lot of their headlines should be read prepending the phrase "We would like you to believe that..."

A lot of "movements" these days are completely astroturfed. There's a few foundations that sponsor thousands of institutions all with the same mission statement to make things look like they're a grassroots movement, but nobody really wanted any of it. That's what disconnecting from the media gets you. All that astroturfing flooding in from everywhere stops infecting one's understanding of the world with useless B.S. I've given up almost all mainstream media for podcasts because they can be produced for nothing and spend a long-time looking deeply into issues. They cost nothing to produce and host, so it's really hard to cancel them as well. It's not like video. Hosting audio costs very little.

Listening to random podcasts I find from guest appearances on other people's podcasts and on and on almost feels like eavesdropping on real people talking instead of the same simple message broadcast over and over again via every notable news outlet.[1]

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yshJn7lgVsY

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by donkeyd on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:04AM (#27511839)
You're really giving too much credit to podcasts here. If you were to look at your argument from the other side, the fact that it costs next to nothing makes it a really cheap way to spread biased/false information. (See: Alex Jones)

The majority of podcasts I've listened to have an obvious political bias, even the ones I would deem mostly objective clearly show some of the hosts biases. I've actually stopped listening to some because of this. ('Reply All' and 'Rich Dad Radio Show', for example, at opposite ends of the spectrum.)

If you know of a podcast that purely, subjectively presents news, I'd love to hear it!

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by kbenson on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:19AM (#27512610)
Reply All is (or was, before it imploded) an interesting one as a stand in for how this has played out on the left. They got more and more blatant about their views over the years, and even though I generally ascribe to the same views, I would rather not have them put forth so blatantly, especially in a program that purports to be investigative.

My assumption is that with the increasing polarization, many shows followed their audiences to the poles. It feels rare these days for someone to not stake out a stance on some culture war battle, whether subtly or not.

It's honestly weird that Joe Rogan feel like one of the least biased popular programs to listen to out there, or the least biased in a consistent direction at least. You also get a lot of off the wall crazy shit on there, but honestly someone willing to have enough of an open mind to have people on like that not just to make fun of is a nice change of pace, even if the things are ridiculous, given how entrenched everyone else is in their positions.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by unethical_ban on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @09:28AM (#27515149)
Eh, it is pretty tough to stay purely objective about political reporting these days. "Both sides" play political messaging games, but the Republican party led by Mitch McConnell is a pack of barbarians at the gates of our political system. They'll destroy all Americans' faith in democracy and each other, if it means the GOP can suppress minorities and keep their own pockets lined.

So while "Pod Save America" for example is biased, I still believe their takes on what is happening at the federal level are informative and thought-provoking.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by nostrebored on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @09:43AM (#27515424)
Take a look at this opinion from a distance and see if you think it accurately reflects the views of half of the American population or if you might have internalized some biases
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by jfengel on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @10:34AM (#27516092)
It's what they are telling pollsters:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2021/04/05/more-th...

And the politicians in red states are conspicuously making efforts to restrict voters, in ways that they know are more likely to apply to voters who oppose them, going well beyond just voter ID:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_efforts_to_restrict...

So no, it's not just the OP's internalized bias. It's a simple, objective fact that they are attempting to make it harder for their opponents to win elections, based on an objectively false narrative.

I will bend over backwards to try to reach a common point from which to move forward and share a country together. I want to be aware of my own biases and the places where I disagree with the people who share some of my views. But that simply cannot happen in an environment like this, and nothing I do can change that.

It's what they are saying, in public. The large number of them saying so doesn't make it less true, only much scarier. It would seem impossible that so much of the country should be so objectively deluded, but it's literally their own words.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by tastyfreeze on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @12:33PM (#27517823)
With the amount of people in the country that are not legally allowed to vote it is not crazy or restrictive to require some proof that you are a citizen to vote in a national election.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by kbenson on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:28PM (#27521069)
That issue is a perfect microcosm to explain both the problem with polarization and information silos, and why progress on an issue like this is so hard, and why no progress is made forming consensus because neither side wants there to be.

The left presents the issue as:

- People already verify themselves

- Voter fraud doesn't happen

- This is used to disenfranchise voters by making it harder because poor people are less likely to have a valid ID.

The right presents this as:

- No proof is required in many jurisdictions

- There are instances of voter fraud, and while few, there may be a lot we don't see

- Voting is important, so we should take it seriously and require people prove their identity to vote

The problem is that both of these sides are entirely true. Namely, verify != proof, and people talk past each other on this, and selective omission of the other side's valid points lets people believe the other side is irrational or wants it in bad faith (Republican operatives may want to make it harder for certain groups of people to vote, but from what I've seen Republican citizens do not).

The respective parties have no interest in bringing people to consensus on this issue because right now it's one that activates the bases of the respective parties. It's a way to take moderates that might be tempted to vote against the party line or for the other side for select positions and people that they respect and radicalize them by papering over the real positions of those people with the twisted narrative put forth by the media that caters to that side.

People are for the most part rational and compassionate and don't want to hurt each other. But people are also easily misled into believing things because of curated information presented when they don't have counterexamples that they trust or first hand experience to the contrary, and those beliefs cause what is considered rational and compassionate to differ from person to person. We shouldn't hate or dislike the people on the other side, they are just like us. We should engage them usefully, and the first step of engaging usefully is accepting that we're like them also in that we're presented with curated facts, so we should be open to their points when we engage and accept them in good faith.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by tastyfreeze on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:25PM (#27522354)
I haven't seen the left claim that fraud doesn't happen, that is demonstrably false. There are a few convicted vote fraud cases annually. The claim is that it is insignificant.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by kbenson on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @07:47PM (#27523100)
> I haven't seen the left claim that fraud doesn't happen

Some will claim it, or say it's a myth, and if anyone points out those few cases, they'll say it's statistically insignificant to the point of not being something we should worry about.

It is strictly incorrect, but colloquially accepted as okay to say, which is yet another thing argued about from each side.

I suspect that you thinking you haven't seen it is likely because you're interpreting their intent and not reading the words strictly, or they followed up to clarify and that's the part you remember, because it's common to see. The problem is that the other side remembers the first claim or the strict interpretation of the statement, so both come away thinking they were correct, one in that the statement was "true", the other that the person was not being "truthful".

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by jfengel on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:10PM (#27518356)
As I said, the laws in question have nothing to do with the basically-nonexistent "voter fraud". Nothing about voting on Sunday could possibly have anything to do with voter fraud, but that's one of the things they're trying to ban. They're limiting voting hour and removing polling stations, and then making it illegal to give people water while they stand in line.

Even if voter fraud were a problem (it isn't), they're not even pretending that these measures have anything to do with it. And that makes it incredibly clear that they don't believe that voter fraud is the reason for any of it.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by anoonmoose on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @12:44PM (#27517976)
Where in the US do you think you can vote without providing any proof that you're a citizen? Tell me, and I'll tell you what proof was actually required.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by tastyfreeze on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:21PM (#27518495)
California is the big one. Many states only require proof of residency to vote. Any state that allows something like a utility bill as ID is allowing all residents regardless of citizenship to vote. Not being a citizen isn't an issue for state level elections if that is what the state chooses to allow. But, national election voting rights are only extended to citizens.

https://ballotpedia.org/Voter_identification_laws_by_state

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by anoonmoose on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:41PM (#27518794)
Thank you for being specific. You're ignoring the fact that for the requirements listed here [1] to be valid, you need to have already registered to vote. To register, you need to (among other things) sign an affidavit affirming that you are a US citizen. It sounds like your real complaint is about CA not following through on punishment for those who lie on this form.

https://ballotpedia.org/Voter_ID_in_California

For a non-citizen to vote in CA, they either need to lie about their identity or lie about their citizenship. They are not "allowed to vote".

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by kortilla on Friday June 18, 2021 @04:41AM (#27548514)
If all it takes is a simple lie, you’re not really doing any meaningful verification. If that level of trust was good enough, why not just drop all checks entirely at voting booths and just have a brief questionnaire that asks “are you allowed to vote?”
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Chris2048 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:47PM (#27518874)
They didn't say there was, but there are efforts to reduce ID requirements.

Here's the crux: https://www.npr.org/2020/06/12/873878423/voting-and-election...

Higher ID requirements increase security, but also improve republican result b/c democratic voters are less likely to have certain IDs (I think). As a result this can be spun either way as Republicans restricting voters, or Democrats opposing countermeasures to fraud.

Personally I don't know, I think I'd focus on Democrat behaviour; Given they just got off the back of Russia-gate, and accusing a foreign superpower of interfering in the election, they should also theoretically have a stake in voter fraud. I'd expect them to be focusing more on driving their demographics to acquire ID, rather than loosening requirements. Mail-in voting is a hard one though.

As an aside - I'm unconvinced by reports that voter fraud are low. No evidence of fraud isn't evidence of no fraud, and too many news articles or "explainers" seem to focus on lack of evidence versus a secure and airtight verification process.

consider https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/nonc... :

  election officials .. referred only an estimated 30 incidents of suspected noncitizen voting.. In other words, improper noncitizen votes accounted for 0.0001 percent of the 2016 votes in those jurisdictions.

  Forty of the jurisdictions .. reported no known incidents of noncitizen voting..

  In the ten counties with the largest populations of noncitizens in 2016, only one reported any instances of noncitizen voting..

  In .. the states where Trump claimed the problem of noncitizen voting was especially acute — no official we spoke with identified an incident of noncitizen voting in 2016
The headline claims "no noncitizen voting" but the actual process implies "no noncitizen voting, that officials know about, (or are willing to say)". What it doesn't account for is incompetence, poor vetting/fraud detection and complicity among officials. For the strong claims coming from self-proclaimed voting experts, I'd expect some kind of random sampling of votes, not "we asked the people who counted the votes" - well, they're not likely to condemn their own reports, are they? The fact that a lot of hot air and political context is upfront, and self-critical analysis of their own process is not is what makes me doubtful of these kind of text, despite the credentials/qualifications of the authors.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by unethical_ban on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:55PM (#27519875)
You conflate election fraud (hacking machines), voter fraud (individuals illicitly casting ballots), and state-sponsored misinformation campaigns. Those are three distinct problems with very different challenges.

You say "no evidence of $x != evidence of (not x)" which is true in theory, but let's step into reality: "No evidence, despite systems built to detect evidence".

You act as if people aren't already on the lookout for fraud, or that systems are not already resistant to them.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Chris2048 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:54PM (#27522660)
Where do I mention anything about hacking, or misinformation? If you got that from "russia-gate" you are creating the conflation.

I was talking about vote fraud, but that's not necessarily an individual act.

> despite systems built to detect evidence

Which systems? Where are they described?

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by anoonmoose on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:06PM (#27519198)
You're asking people to spend a lot of time, money, and political capital, on an issue that you admit there is little to no evidence is actually a problem. I'm sorry, but that is not reasonable or realistic. I understand the whole issue of "no evidence of fraud doesn't mean no fraud" but if we treated every problem like this we would never run out of problems. When you combine all of what I just said with the fact that we know certain groups are disproportionately effected by these rules...it just comes across as you saying "yes I know there's no evidence that this is a serious problem but I care more about the process being abstractly and theoretically perfect than the people these rule changes would actually effect."
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Chris2048 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:38PM (#27519649)
> on an issue that you admit there is little to no evidence is actually a problem

Because "no evidence" isn't relevant. If it was, no one would care about Trumps taxes; and the IRS would happily decrease reporting requirements, and work on an honour system.

The mechanism by which the ruling powers of the nation are decided is pretty important, so the requirement on "time, money, and political capital" is not at un unreasonable - it isn't important if "we treated every problem like this.." because every problem is not equally as important.

The fact is there are huge incentives to cheat, and undeveloped nations across the world are characterised by unfair elections, it's not unreasonable, then, to place importance on the veracity of the election process, more than just a glib "there's no evidence that this is a serious problem".

> I care more about the process being abstractly and theoretically perfect than the people these rule changes would actually effect

fairness is dictated by the rules you dismiss as "abstract and theoretical". You talks about "facts" and what "we know", but that is the very issue - what we don't know. It's convenient to discount the value of what we don't know when the current worldview favours your opinion. I don't know anything about undetected fraud, and neither do you; neither of us know how much a problem this is, or who/how it affects people. The only solution is an airtight process, and you seem to dismiss that, worse still, attempting to characterise me as unsympathetic for placing value on such a thing.

The US is the richest country in the world, and it's government richer than most nations of the world. Why should it lack the resources to secure the most significant process in the nation, while poorer corporations (mastercard, veritas etc), and even the military can secure their own, lesser processes much better.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by anoonmoose on Wednesday June 16, 2021 @09:00AM (#27528014)
My local concert venue could sign their tickets with 4096-bit RSA, and make us take our shoes off and go through an x-ray before we come in like at an airport. They could have an airtight process; it would stop almost nothing, while making the process far more difficult for patrons.

Yes, I dismiss your desire for an airtight process, because I think it's security theater, whose actual outcomes would be massive and largely detrimental relative to the actual desired outcomes.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 16, 2021 @09:18AM (#27528192)
Not sure why you're talking about concert venues, What's that got to do with voting? What purpose would an X-ray serve?

Signing ballots with 4096-bit RSA? If you think that wouldn't prevent fraud, I disagree - dismiss without basis iyw.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by anoonmoose on Wednesday June 16, 2021 @10:37AM (#27528997)
I am talking about the usefulness of security theater on the margins. At a concert venue, and at a polling place, we can do things that, in the abstract, increase security, but provide little to no actual benefit and actually serve to make the process more difficult and unpleasant on the whole.

(Ignoring RSA tangent, making all concert-goers go through an X-Ray to screen for weapons and drugs would catch more weapons and drugs than the current pat down/bag check process does. It would undeniably increase the security of the venue, while slowing down entry, exposing concertgoers to X-Rays, and IMO providing more annoyance than actual extra security)

It seems that you think, for voting, that's a fine trade-off. I do not.

edit: not disagreeing that signed tickets would prevent fraud. Disagreeing that it would be worth, say, an additional $5 fee on the tickets, plus slower more expensive readers to verify that they're signed correctly, plus plus plus etc etc. My entire argument here is based on the net utility of additional security measures, not whether or not those measures provide additional security.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 16, 2021 @11:00AM (#27529282)
Security theatre often refers to security from physical threat. I'm not talking about undetected fraud in a sense where that makes sense, but rather a verifiable, auditable process.

The only thing you referred to that was process related (versus physical security) was use of encryption keys. Why not talk about the pros/cons of that?

> It seems that you think, for voting, that's a fine trade-off

With respect to x-ray screens? Not at all, nor did I say such a thing. Nor do I think all things that could be described as "security" are exactly equivalent to each other, such that you can mention x-ray scans, and the argument automatically extends to RSA keys.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by pope_meat on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:53PM (#27519848)
...I'm putting myself in the shoes of a person who is in the united states without authorization...and with that in mind, why in the world would I risk exposing myself and my illegal status by participating in something as pointless as voting in US elections...

I just don't see how an average person concerned with being deported is willing to risk exposing themselves by registering with the state government, especially in the last 8 years of ICE really pushing the limits on what they can do.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by tastyfreeze on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:47PM (#27521285)
You can be a legal resident of the country and not a citizen. But, your point still stands.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by nick_kline on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @10:06AM (#27515718)
It is a fact that there was an insurrectionist attack on congress on Jan 6, that there were obvious lies about false election fraud pushed by the president and eventually by the majority of the Republican party. What are you getting at by saying whether it reflects the views of half of America? Those views are objectively incorrect, not based on reality. Reality here is not based on someone's opinion, no matter how widespread the belief in it is.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by unethical_ban on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @10:31AM (#27516050)
Note that I said the Republican party. I know there are many decent humans in this country who have small-c conservative beliefs, and I can have reasonable discussion with some of them.

And I pity those who don't take the time to create their own philosophical defense of their beliefs, and only parrot what Fox News tells them to think.

When I start getting into a heated discussion, I like to turn away from arguing about specific people (too much) and say "What do you want this country to be? What matters to you?" and the discussion becomes a lot more enlightening.

So yeah, if someone really believes that the poor deserve to die because said person, making $60k a year, thinks that taxing the ultra-wealthy is unethical, I'm gonna have some problems with your character.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by kortilla on Friday June 18, 2021 @04:51AM (#27548556)
> So yeah, if someone really believes that the poor deserve to die because said person, making $60k a year, thinks that taxing the ultra-wealthy is unethical, I'm gonna have some problems with your character.

For someone who extols “philosophical defenses of beliefs”, you certainly make use of shitty straw men to do so. I suppose you didn’t say anything about the quality of the philosophy.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by honkdaddy on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @12:02PM (#27517407)
>pack of barbarians at the gates of our political system

It's quotes like this that make it hard for non-Americans like myself to take American political discourse seriously. To me, takes like this are at a similar effort level to the "Obama is a socialist!" cries heard in the 2008 election. Yawn.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by unethical_ban on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:07PM (#27519209)
Oh look, a false equivalence between the standard GOP scare tactics playbook, and Republicans breaking all norms of governance.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by buzzert on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:47PM (#27521291)
You tipped your hand here by repeating a line used over and over again on Twitter (“breaking all norms of governance”)

https://mobile.twitter.com/search?q=breaking%20all%20norms%2...

So, are you a bot? Or are you just not thinking independently? I strongly suggest spending less time on social media. You’ll find that both sides of the political spectrum are just people, like you and me. Not “monsters” as the news would like you to believe.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by unethical_ban on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:58PM (#27521408)
You insult my intelligence. You're being rude.

I think plenty on my own. Like many humans, I occasionally use terms in vogue to get the point across. You must not work in technology or communications. (see how asinine that sounds?)

I'll forgive you for not seeing my other comment in the thread, but to be clear, my beef is with the political establishment on the right. My feelings toward "normal human beings" who are conservative are much more varied.

The Republican party as an organization at the federal level is indisputably a less patriotic, more malicious organization than the Democratic party, which has its own problems of infighting, horse-trading, and "everyday" corruption.

But instead of posting the latest trove of articles describing McConnell threatening SCOTUS appointments again, or Trump trying to use the Justice Department to investigate debunked claims of voter fraud for his own benefit, or the million other datapoints about how awful the GOP leadership is - please, continue calling me a bot.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by buzzert on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @05:03PM (#27521462)
I didn't mean to insult your intelligence. I see plenty of intelligent people acting irrationally these days.

I suggest checking out right-wing Twitter/corporate news to see how they're using the same words ("unpatriotic", "malicious") in the exact same way to describe the democrats. The truth, as always, is somewhere in between. It's not black and white, evil vs. good. At least not in the real world.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by unethical_ban on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:48PM (#27522608)
Ah, but the difference is that the twitter right wing is wrong.

Just because they say it too doesn't make the correct side less correct.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by throwaway6734 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @08:36AM (#27514360)
>It's honestly weird that Joe Rogan feel like one of the least biased popular programs to listen to out there,

There are plenty of other hosts that do a much better job than Rogan (David French & Yascha Mounk). Rogan does indeed have a slant, it just doesn't fit into the most stereotypical red v blue one.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by narrator on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:16AM (#27511908)
Alex Jones's biggest sin is he's boring. He repeats himself over and over again. You could listen to him for 30 minutes and then tune in 12 months later and it's the same stuff, whatever you make of it. Art Bell was a conspiracy theory guy back in the day on late night radio, but he was damned interesting and talked to all kinds of random interesting weirdos. Many of them not that credible, but at least interesting. Not to sound old and cranky, but back in my day, when you heard someone interviewed, it was up to the person listening to evaluate their credibility and not to be protected in a little bubble because one was assumed to be too easily influenced to listen to the unvetted.

Podcasts are by no means "The Truth", but at least they are not on the mainstream narrative script and they often don't have a purely political focus. As long as they aren't solely discussing the mainstream news narrative or reacting to it, they can be very interesting. I think Bret Weinstein can be pretty interesting as far as media criticism goes. The Other Life podcast[1] is an example of a podcast that's very disconnected from the mainstream narratives and feels like I'm sitting in a cafe in the 90s drinking coffee with a bunch of intellectual weirdos. Maybe not your cup of tea, or coffee, but it's better than listening to the mainstream news and filling myself with that garbage.

[1]https://otherlife.transistor.fm/episodes

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by ianleeclark on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:54AM (#27512778)
> Alex Jones's biggest sin is he's boring.

Not the Sandy Hook stuff? Surely that's got to be at least in the running.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by MobileVet on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:58AM (#27513508)
Every time I think of this I am enraged. What he did to those parents was a special kind of darkness. So abhorrent.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by totony on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @03:09AM (#27512232)
Also podcasts are mostly assumed to be biased by the host, as he directs the conversation. Mainstream news has more indirection from reader to writer so the bias is less tangible.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by splithalf on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @10:18AM (#27515873)
How could one listen to enough Alex Jones to know this? I like the idea of Alex Jones, paranoid style American politics is a tradition and has its uses, but it’s to me a bit like pro wrestling. It’s not content that’s pitched toward the upper 2/3rds of the bell curve. He is a canary.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by seaorg on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:18AM (#27511917)
With low budget operations there is at least the possibility of objectivity. When there is a bunch of money involved there is not. And that’s not my opinion, it’s the opinion and words of the technical director of CNN.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by bildung on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @03:15AM (#27512266)
There's almost zero political topics where objectivity is possible. That goal itself is usually already ideology (the goal of unbiasedness often stands in opposition of truth).

Look at global warming: Either it is man-made or not, either it is a problem for our future or not. There's no objective middle ground. Sure, one could simply have news that say "there is a drougth in the center of the US, stronger than other droughts in the last 50 years", without any context. But even this is not objective, because omitting the context of global warming already skews the message.

Or let's use a real historical example: The Soviet Union's invasion into Poland in 1939. Without any context, the SU is clearly the agressor. But with the context of Polands invasion into the SU in 1919 things suddenly look different. And with the additional context of Russia annecting polish territory in the 18th century it looks different again and so on and so on. There clearly is no way to communicate this objectively (i.e. in this case, pro-Russia people could ask why I'd stop here and not with some polish-lithuanian action before the 18th century).

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by wruza on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:20AM (#27512617)
there is a drougth in the center of the US, stronger than other droughts in the last 50 years", without any context. But even this is not objective, because omitting the context of global warming already skews the message.

Why? You can’t explain all the things (even if you’re backed with true data) in one article – that would take a library. A drought by itself doesn’t skew anything, but maybe your intent is more that just that.

The Soviet Union's invasion into Poland in 1939

This is a circular problem. Either do not call it “invasion” or do and so be it. The fact that some monkey punched some other in year 40000 BC has nothing to do with active political contracts. I will not even downvote you on the internet if I find out that our gggps shot at each other in ww1/2, it’s irrelevant now. Most of these people are dead. If you want to remain neutral (nearest to “objective”, which isn’t a thing in case of a physical land), call it a conflict based on historical events and let a reader investigate, discuss and decide who is right and who is wrong, if any, if they ever want that decision. Maybe most people don’t really give a genuine fuck about who is right (if that was a bet, I’d go all in with it).

I would even read political news then. Modern “good boys bad boys” or “oh see you see what you done” stories only make me laugh or facepalm. I’m a reader, not a puppet. No surprise younger people only want tiktok and clothes.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by bildung on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:56AM (#27512790)
I think we'd first have to find common ground on what the purpose of a free press is. In my opinion the goal is to have informed citizens that can have informed participation in the democratic decision-making process.

For that, we not only have to know the what, but also the why behind a news item. We have to know the relationships between things.

So while we can't indeed can't explain everything completely, that doesn't mean we can't explain anything.

In hindsight the drought/global warming example is bad because there can indeed be another reason for the ocurrence, but even telling multiple possible reasons (e.g. by asking an expert) makes the news item more insightful than any context at all.

> This is a circular problem.

Yes, that was my point! There is no arbitrary threshold where we could stop referring to things happening in the past and get unbiased news.

Or yet another example: The current debate around minimum wage increases. The news could simply state the positions of the two parties, and the current nominal number of $7.25. But that wouldn't make this unbiased, because the $7.25 at inception had a different purchasing power than now. And a different ratio to GPD per capita. Thus omitting this context skews the news item towards the side that is against an increase. But adding the context favors the side that is for the increase.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by wruza on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @05:33AM (#27512988)
what the purpose of a free press is

I see it as a source of events that then can be discussed with actual people around you to create a world view. This way an information either misses you completely or you relate to a trusted group that has it. In a world where news are complete, there is nothing to discuss, because authoritative (or not, it’s hard to check) sources already said everything. This swithces discussion from learning all the details to taking the presented details. This is a problem known as “what’s not being said”, and personally I see it everywhere now. I.e. if we disagreed on an interpretation, it was you versus me (both at least knowing each other). With context-ed news it’s your sources versus my sources, which we both are unable to really check adequately, because it’s a recursive problem. That induces beliefs instead of thinking. I believe that context should be left vague at least. If there are questions, press should formulate them, not answer.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by medvezhenok on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @11:42AM (#27517077)
I think the primary purpose of the press should be to hold people in position of power accountable for their actions. That's pretty much it. The role of reporting on world events and generating a shared reality can be useful and informative, but is mainly a distraction from the first (and primary) role that media plays in society.

The press is never unbiased - look at newspapers from the 50s or 60s which had strong anti-communist propaganda. Everything has a slant - I don't understand where the obsession with "unbiasedness" came from.

The only question that matters (in a democracy or anywhere with a free press) is - does the media hold people in positions of power (whether political-power, wealth-power or celebrity-power) accountable for their misdeeds or not. Bias is only a problem when it interferes [directly] with this purpose.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Retric on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:41AM (#27513378)
News doesn’t need to provide context. It’s possible to remove words like unprovoked from the reporting and just list the facts. We don’t hear that neutral point of view because it makes things boring.

That said, push any ideology far enough and they all start to disagree with objective reality. That doesn’t mean accurate information is somehow slanted or facts are somehow political because objective reality doesn’t care, it just is. If every day you list the ~9,250 Americans that died yesterday you’re going to cover mostly natural causes but also plenty of hot button issues for both sides of the isle.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by lotsofpulp on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:58AM (#27513501)
There is insufficient time to list every fact from every event. The distillation of facts down to what is and is not relevant itself will introduce some level of bias.

Ideally, the goal would be to minimize bias, however I see the opposite many times, and I see it actually as a result of reduced revenue for people that make news.

We, the public at large, responded to information that evokes emotion (especially outrage). We rewarded it with clicks, translating into money for the people that collect and curate it for us. And that is what we get now. We get information, that has been compressed, and while factual many times, it is without the necessary context to come to an appropriate conclusion.

I think the antidote to this might be consumers rewarding publishers and journalists that wait before publishing. They wait so that there is time for the relevant facts to be gathered, there is time for the editors and journalists to write and edit properly. And, to still keep in mind, that it is still insanely difficult to provide all of the context needed about a situation to have an inexperienced person come to a proper conclusion. As one should know if they have ever read an article about a field they are intimately familiar with and have spent thousands of hours in.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Retric on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @08:13AM (#27514140)
> There is insufficient time to list every fact from every event.

Facts relating to events aren’t news their just facts.

> The distillation of facts down to what is and is not relevant itself will introduce some level of bias.

You can come up with the threshold for what’s news long before individual stories show up. It’s filtering based on political context that’s the problem not simply filtering. Aka, decide ahead of time that a president being impeached is news that’s fine. However, if your coverage depends on their party affiliation that’s a problem.

> provide all of the context needed about a situation to have an inexperienced person come to a proper conclusion.

I don’t see why people need to be making conclusions from the news. A Twitter account tweeting any earthquake over 7.0 is fine on it’s own.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by michaelt on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @11:45AM (#27517140)
If the news is that three people died in a shooting, would you not be better informed by knowing the context that they were drug dealers in a conflict over territory?
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Retric on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:28PM (#27518608)
There is a context vs timeliness tradeoff.

Personally I would prefer reporters to stick with known accurate information rather than what whoever they spoke with believed to be accurate context. Shootouts between drug dealers could be over territory, or just about anything else. Unless they spoke with the people actually involved it’s all supposition.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by abrokenpipe on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @08:38PM (#27523498)
I don't think that it is difficult to determine the scope of the violence, eg: 'gang on gang' compared to 'an angry mentally ill person shooting random people'... which is typically peoples main concern, and you can explain that in a matter of seconds.

It seems like the lack of context gets used to skew peoples perception of an issue just as often as false information, for example classifying gang violence and robberies as "mass shootings" without giving any other details. This can be applied to just about any topic out there. It's easier to leave out details and use esoteric language, than it is to lie about what happened. People can at-least deduce bias/flaws given enough narrative, and a track record of inaccurate context damages an organization's reputation.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Retric on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @09:36PM (#27523927)
The root issue is I don’t want reporters to guess and report what something probably is. Flight 123 an Airbus XYZ crashed at on takeoff from location Z. Fine that’s all verifiable, what the cause was isn’t known don’t even guess you’re just wasting my time.

Most shootings that look like ‘gang in gang’ are probably ‘gang on gang’ violence. But, that doesn’t mean a specific shooting was actually ‘gang on gang’ violence. Gang members also shoot people for personal reasons unrelated to being a gang member. And they also get shot for reasons unrelated to being a gang member. If the assumption is it’s always ‘gang in gang’ and it’s always reported as such then that’s a lot of biased and often incorrect information being reported as fact.

It’s not uncommon for gang members to just go out and randomly shoot stuff the same way young rednecks shoot at road signs. The difference is gang members in cites are vastly more likely to randomly hit someone due to population density.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by cpursley on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @07:03AM (#27513547)
For something more recent, the Russian annexation of Crimea. Or rejoining depending on how you interpret history (or get your news) - but western media leaves the important historical bits out because they have a specific political agenda.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by mschuster91 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @05:41AM (#27513024)
> There's almost zero political topics where objectivity is possible. That goal itself is usually already ideology (the goal of unbiasedness often stands in opposition of truth).

> Look at global warming: Either it is man-made or not, either it is a problem for our future or not. There's no objective middle ground. Sure, one could simply have news that say "there is a drougth in the center of the US, stronger than other droughts in the last 50 years", without any context. But even this is not objective, because omitting the context of global warming already skews the message.

There is an objectivity here: scientific consensus, aka naked provable facts. And climate change is proven to be man-made, and it is proven that if humanity does nothing to curb CO2 emissions it will spiral out of control.

Objectivity in news as a result means to not give those who go against scientific consensus any platform.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by mlang23 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @05:56AM (#27513103)
Well, war is also man-made, and kills humans. Still, those hoping for world peace are still viewed as hopelessly naive. So what?
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by simtel20 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:18AM (#27513243)
What do you intend to contribute to the conversation with "so what?"
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by mlang23 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @08:55AM (#27514619)
Apparently something which you are not able to grasp.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by thefounder on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:55AM (#27512161)
On the other hand if it's a low budget op it will be bought cheaply like buying troll farms or paying "influencers" to promote all kind of crap. In the end you may get the same crap but in a more distributed manner.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by roenxi on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @03:55AM (#27512486)
Doesn't Joe Rogan typically have a bigger audience than an average so-called-mainstream news program? The economics might play out that it is more expensive to get him to endorse something than get it run on a major network.

There aren't many (any, really) quality guarantees on non-podcast media anyway. It isn't like they get any negative feedback when they lie or make mistakes. Viewers can't even withdraw support for specific known liars on a channel. It is unclear why a podcast would be at a structural disadvantage to any other media source, and probably higher reputational stakes.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by andy_ppp on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:20AM (#27512622)
I forgot he existed since moving to Spotify’s walled garden.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Tostino on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @12:13PM (#27517536)
Maybe you did, but I don't think that's true of the general population. He seems to have increased in popularity since.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by andy_ppp on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @12:30PM (#27517795)
I don’t think anyone knows for sure? I miss not listening to them when used to see them appear in Overcast :-)
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by zhenyakovalyov on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:29PM (#27519541)
same here. spotify does not seem to get the user experience right unfortunately, particularly around offline/low data use. or may be it’s just me not liking “one stop shops” when it comes to podcasts and music.

i started tuning in less, but i still do.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by andy_ppp on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @05:24PM (#27521706)
It might be controversial but I feel Spotify have never done good ui.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by realce on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @11:08AM (#27516592)
You're ready for On The Media - https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/otm
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by donkeyd on Wednesday June 16, 2021 @05:07AM (#27526446)
Thanks, I looked it up, but it seems very left-oriented. So it really kinda confirms my point. Unless I'm missing something, since I only briefly looked into it.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by realce on Wednesday June 16, 2021 @09:33AM (#27528336)
It's the old-school cynical left tho, not the modern knee-jerk woke left. To each their own!
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by rolleiflex on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:26AM (#27511641)
As a subscriber to the Economist myself, would you be able to give examples as to what you found wrong and in bad faith? I have found errors in the past, especially in subjects that I am more of an expert on, but none (so far) in bad faith. If you know of some, I’d very much like to know so as to reassess who my trust lies with.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by yardie on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @07:26AM (#27513716)
I remember when them and other news media pilloried Iceland for not honouring foreign debts taken out by private Icelandic banks during the recession. It was going to be the end of country since no one would loan them money in the future. Iceland was one of the first countries to emerge the recession.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by jaratec on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @07:45AM (#27513881)
As a former subscriber I can point this out: One gigantic error: they have not seen the 2007/2008 crisis coming. Their policy recommendations are always the same: "cut red tape", privatize, remove tariffs..., and this mirrors their ideological beliefs, not any hard won expertise. They are also in denial about the unfolding ecological crisis. Look also at their job ads to understand with whom they are aligned. In sum, The Economist is a propaganda paper, that is well written, informative even if you can remove their rather obvious slant.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by gruez on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @12:53PM (#27518106)
>As a former subscriber I can point this out: One gigantic error: they have not seen the 2007/2008 crisis coming.

Who did see it coming? Are there any media outlets that reliability predicted financial crises?

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by foobiekr on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @09:53PM (#27524021)
A ton of websites predicted that the avalanche of mortgage debt that could not be paid was going to destroy the financial system.

Mike Sherlock for one. He’s gotten dumb but he was on point on this.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by narrator on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:28AM (#27511646)
For one, regularly since the early 1990s, they've been predicting a Japan style credit crisis in China. That credit crisis never comes. They have had article after article talking about huge debt levels in the banks, etc. Nothing ever happens.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by hef19898 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:39AM (#27511701)
Good, their economic prediction concerning China was wrong. So far. I don't see any substantial error or bad faith in that.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by throwawayzRUU6f on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @03:20AM (#27512292)
Well, it doesn't end with China. Around ~2010, once you scrub off the weasel word hedging, The Economist was predicting an imminent Eurozone breakup. It didn't predict the entirely predictable austerity recessions of 2012-2015. They were fairly bullish on Abenomics in Japan. They were very bullish on the future of BRICS around ~2008, out of which Brazil, Russia and South Africa are stagnating ever since.

Then, there's a very important tool in forming editorial slant - omitting reporting on inconvenient facts. Italy and Spain, the putatively sluggish laggards strangled by overly strict labor protection laws, have somehow overtaken the allegedly dynamic UK in labor productivity. Ireland, the purported economic wonder, have a household disposable income (a fairly good metric of material standards of living), lower than Italy and much lower than France. We keep hearing about the importance of education, competitiveness, R&D and ease of doing business, yet somehow Finland, which tops the rankings, is in year 14 of it's economic stagnation. Have you heard any of this from The Economist?

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by barrkel on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @08:34AM (#27514344)
Median household disposable income, at PPP, after taxes and transfers is higher in Ireland than France, Italy, UK.

It is behind all those on a per capita basis, but that's the mean, not the median. I infer that this means Ireland has less income inequality.

(Ireland's economic wonder was growth from the 90s through to the early 2000s, largely via foreign direct investment, incentivized by low corporate tax rates. This structurally inflates GDP and makes the country look artificially good on international comparisons, but this is fairly well known, I believe. Irish economic commentary often uses GNI instead, and in fact the Irish central bank replaced GDP with GNI for its own measurements of the economy - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modified_gross_national_income.)

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by narrator on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:47AM (#27511746)
When you get stuff wrong regularly for 3 decades it's kind of a substantial error in my opinion. They also kept criticizing China's economic policies and banking regulations saying that they needed to change how they did things to avoid doom. Open up their financial system, etc. The Economist representing the perspective of western financial power, it just had the appearance of being self-serving, or at least arrogant. They couldn't get out of their orthodoxy and at least investigate what was going on to correct their analysis.

Not like I am a big fan of the CCP, but give the devil its due from time to time, or at least figure out how the magic tricks work.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by simtel20 on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:23AM (#27513278)
I would say that the economist represents what remains of the British imperial perspective, not western financial power if it diverges from that, and that it is pretty clear about that perspective. It wants to imagine that it is advising British industry on how to strike out and dominate.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by mavhc on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @07:35AM (#27513792)
Why are they printing these articles? I assume to change the future, warning of a financial crisis should lessen the effects as fewer people put money into the broken system. So maybe they averted the future by predicting it
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by dataflow on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:00AM (#27511817)
What are the time scales for their predictions? I could easily imagine (say) today's US national debt taking 25-50 years to cause {insert some particular catastrophe here}.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by frereubu on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @05:02AM (#27512839)
Perhaps they've been wrong on this, and possibly for a while (although of course it may still happen), but where's the bad faith?
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by galtwho on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @03:53AM (#27512479)
Well if you are asking in good faith, then deep dive and find out if the allegation made here are true or not

The Govt of India has basically stated that Economist peddled baseless allegations and if look deeper you will see it is wrong and in deliberate bad faith.

https://www.opindia.com/2021/06/goi-rebuts-economist-report-...

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by square_usual on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:16AM (#27512594)
If you're trying to rebut the Economist with OpIndia you'll have to try harder, likewise with accusing the Economist of "deliberate bad faith" and linking to a page that is not afraid to wear its ideological biases on its sleeve.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by galtwho on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @09:37AM (#27515329)
if they have reported anything incorrect, point it out.

quit indulging in ad hominem arguments.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by hairofadog on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @12:56PM (#27518145)
There's a lot of indicators of bad faith in the OpIndia article, but I don't see any in the Economist article.

From the OpIndia article:

- "A few weeks back, controversial left-wing US media outlet New York Times had come up with imaginary numbers..." (hyperbole, ad-hominem)

- "The low death rate in the country has become a major concern for the western press, who are trying hard to depict India in a bad light." (Are they? Why? Is the "western press" working in concert on this project?)

- "However, the entire analysis done in the article was based on ‘estimates’ based on randomly selected numbers" (So the allegation is that the researcher and/or the Economist selected numbers randomly to represent the Covid death toll in India?)

- "[...] it seems like the Indian government has finally decided to take on the misinformation warfare being propagated by a certain section of western media" (Does this seem like an unbiased presentation of facts?)

The implication, as far as I can tell, is that "western media" is seeking to embarrass the current leaders of Indian government out of pure spite. However, to my eyes, a more believable story is that the government of India is embarrassed by the high Covid death tolls and would like to adjust the numbers downward.

From a story in NPR:

> FRAYER: There is another reason why India's coronavirus numbers may be skewed - hubris. In early March, India's health minister declared the pandemic over, but cases were actually creeping up, and some politicians didn't want to ruin the narrative. Dr. A. Velumani runs a nationwide chain of medical labs. He told local media his labs have come under pressure from local politicians to manipulate coronavirus tests and report fewer positive results. [^1]

We saw this very same narrative play out here in the United States under the Trump administration, and just like in the OpIndia story, when confronted with evidence they had mishandled the response to the pandemic, the government responded, "Fake news! They're out to get me!"

The New York Times article mentioned in the OpIndia piece [^2] also seems to be in good faith, explaining how they arrived at their estimates in great detail.

To summarize: when I put on my critical-thinking cap, what I see is the Economist, the New York Times, and NPR presenting good-faith, easy-to-believe arguments that the death toll in India is higher than reported by the Indian government, and OpIndia presenting the difficult-to-believe argument that it isn't, but that western media wants to depict the government of India in a bad light for unknown reasons.

[^1]: https://www.npr.org/2021/04/29/992122467/indias-real-death-t...

[^2]: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/05/25/world/asia/in...

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by galtwho on Wednesday June 16, 2021 @09:46AM (#27528459)
> There's a lot of indicators of bad faith in the OpIndia article, but I don't see any in the Economist article.

claim was it is true and nothing fake there, so you did a strawman there. Since that is true, it shows economist as acting in bad faith in best case scenario.

Opindia is reporting on Govt of India rebutting the Economists argument. These are not opindia arguments, they are paraphrasing GoI's. So the below part you quoted is a paraphrase of GoI

> "However, the entire analysis done in the article was based on ‘estimates’ based on randomly selected numbers"

See actual press release here

https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1726521 and the twitter post here https://twitter.com/drharshvardhan/status/140367805453529088...

I am reproducing part that shows Economist acted at the least in bad faith and you have continued on same basis by claiming that you checked out their research and back it over the actual data given out by experts in field of health and agency that collates the actual data

***

The unsound analysis of the said article is based on extrapolation of data without any epidemiological evidence.

Studies which are used by the magazine as an estimate of excess mortality are not validated tools for determining mortality rate of any country or region.

The so called “evidence” cited by the magazine is a study supposedly done by Christopher Laffler of Virginia Commonwealth University. An internet search of research studies in scientific database such Pubmed, Research Gate, etc., did not locate this study and the detailed methodology of this study has not been provided by the magazine.

Another evidence given is the study done in Telengana based on insurance claims. Again, there is no peer reviewed scientific data available on suchstudy.

Two other studies relied upon are those done by Psephology groups namely “Prashnam” and “C-Voter” who are well versed in conducting, predicting and analysing poll results. They were never ever associated with public health research. Even in their own area of work of psephology, their methodologies for predicting poll results have been wide off the mark many times.

By their own submission, the magazine states that ‘such estimates have been extrapolated from patchy and often unreliable local government data, from company records and from analyses of such things as obituaries’.

Union Government has been transparent in its approach to COVID data management. As early as May 2020, to avoid inconsistency in number of deaths being reported, Indian Council of Medical Research has issued ‘Guidance for appropriate recording of COVID-19 related deaths in India’ for correct recording of all deaths as per ICD-10 codes recommended by WHO for mortality coding. States and UTs have been urged through formal communications, multiple video conferences and through deployment of Central teams for correct recording of deaths in accordance with laid down guidelines.

***

> In early March, India's health minister declared the pandemic over,

NPR has not given any source for this claim and if you look at the Minister's twitter timeline for the period , it shows the opposite.

https://twitter.com/drharshvardhan

Or check out the timeline of the ministry he heads

https://twitter.com/MoHFW_INDIA

All proof there shows that he & ministry was calling for people to be careful, warning about increasing cases, updating on vaccines & health protocols. Not the actions of someone who declared it is over.

So that is a explicit lie/untruth from NPR and your comments also show that you find it easier to believe that India is hiding deaths at unimaginable rates than India has done exceedingly well given its challenges.

Other publications which carried out the same news

https://www.indiatoday.in/coronavirus-outbreak/story/extrapo...

https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/national/reports-o...

https://www.outlookindia.com/website/story/india-news-unsoun...

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by hairofadog on Wednesday June 16, 2021 @01:33PM (#27531178)
From the actual press release:

> An internet search of research studies in scientific database such Pubmed, Research Gate, etc., did not locate this study and the detailed methodology of this study has not been provided by the magazine.

It's here https://www.researchgate.net/publication/352170008_Prelimina...

>> There's a lot of indicators of bad faith in the OpIndia article, but I don't see any in the Economist article.

> claim was it is true and nothing fake there, so you did a strawman there

...sorry, the claim is that what is true? I'm not following you on that one. For me to have "done a strawman" means I would have asserted you were making an argument that you weren't making. As I understand it, you said the Economist was making claims in "deliberate bad faith", and presented an article to rebut the Economist's claims. It appeared to me that was exactly backward. I don't see how that qualifies as anything close to a strawman.

>> In early March, India's health minister declared the pandemic over,

> NPR has not given any source for this claim and if you look at the Minister's twitter timeline for the period, it shows the opposite.

I think they're talking about this: https://www.outlookindia.com/website/story/india-news-india-...

...which I admit isn't the same as "declaring it over" but which could arguably be considered wrong. Which is fine; I'm wrong all the time, as is every other human. Acknowledging when you're wrong is one of the requirements of arguing in good faith. Wrongness doesn't imply incompetence, but failure to admit and correct mistakes does.

Anyway, I have zero interest in "making India look bad", and I wish the people of India well, as I'm sure you do. Here is all I am saying:

* I don't see "deliberate bad faith" in the Economist article, and I see an above-and-beyond effort by the New York Times to explain their methodology

* I have seen with my own eyes members of the government of the United States play down the impact of pandemic out of short-sighted self interest, and so it is easy for me to believe another government would do that

* The arguments made in the official press release linked above strike me as overly defensive and don't offer anything more than "no, that's not true" with no additional evidence provided

* And once again, I wish the people of India well, and I hope the government of India acts in the best interest of its citizens with competence, pragmatism, honesty, and efficiency.

In any case, best of luck to you! I hope we can both think critically about the information we consume.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by galtwho on Thursday June 17, 2021 @10:51AM (#27540182)
here is another indicator of bad faith from Economist since you are all in on thinking critically. Since it it paywalled , I have outlined it https://outline.com/mumxhq

** True, the official death toll has fallen steadily for the past month, to half its peak of over 4,000 a day in mid-May. But evidence continues to accumulate that the government’s numbers represent a disturbingly small fraction of the real figure. This discrepancy does not just mean that the true level of India’s suffering has been glossed over. It has made the crisis worse, for instance by causing authorities to underestimate demand for oxygen and drugs.

News organisations including The Economist, as well as independent epidemiologists, have speculated that India has suffered perhaps five-to-seven times more “excess deaths” than the official number of covid-19 fatalities, currently just over 355,000. ***

The GoI press release has said that the methodology used by Christopher Leffler is not used anywhere else to estimate deaths.

You disagree and back it. Can you point out where this is accepted practice.

Using occam's razor. If cases & Deaths as 5-7 times, then this would be easily detectable, especially as the second wave dies down as per official figures.

So at peak the cases were 350,000 per day officially, as per economist it is over 2 million. This week the cases are 65k, so then it must be 380k cases as per economist. Same for deaths, officially 500 deaths and should be 3000 deaths as per economist.

Where are all these invisible cases & deaths?

If as per economist there were all these 5-7 times extra cases/deaths, the need for O2 would be far greater. There has been no crisi on that side for weeks now. Only for a 2 week period did capital Delhi have shortage due to the mismanagement of the state govt there that was pulled up by the courts.

So you are willing to consider opinion polling and patchy insurance claims( in a country that has minimal insurance coverage) that compared India with US figures over official figures that are collated by heath authorities.

It is far more believable that US media that has persistently painted India in negative light wants to continue the practice even when there are reasons to state facts as is and risk India being shown in a positive light.

I have already give you one data point where NPR pushed a untruth that you conceded. That was not even bad faith, direct fakery.

Is this how one thinks critically?

I have no problem if you want to believe fake news but lets drop the charade that you have no option other than trusting Economist or that they have a good track record. Information is easy to get in this day and age.

It is your laziness that lets such media spread fake news by appealing to your biases.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by willhinsa on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @01:51AM (#27511766)
I lost any respect I had for them when they were running Chinese propaganda. [0]

https://shootingthemessenger.blog/2020/08/10/the-economist-d...

The author of that blog also got a byline in articles in Buzzfeed News [1] and The Guardian [2] about the same thing happening at the Daily Telegraph.

[1] https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/deansterlingjones/coron...

[2] https://www.theguardian.com/media/2020/apr/14/daily-telegrap...

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by seaorg on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @02:10AM (#27511872)
Holy crap
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by smackay on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:13AM (#27512581)
The Economist definitely have a specific world-view and to be fair they would probably be the first to tell you that. I now read their articles with a certain amount of scepticism, particularly if it's topical but not necessarily current affairs.

There is still value to be gotten out of the magazine but if you're looking for accuracy or truth that can be relied on then I think that ship sailed a long time ago. "Thankfully" the internet has allowed everybody to finally realise that.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by xapata on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @04:07AM (#27512545)
The _Economist_ was founded to provide a particular point of view. You should always consider the speaker's biases. It doesn't mean they're wrong.
Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by closeparen on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @03:28AM (#27512333)
Sometimes I think it would be comforting to write off the opinions of my fellow citizens as (influenced by) paid shills. But I’m pretty sure it would be a rationalization to avoid the unpleasant reality of genuine conflicts and differences.

I also see a lot of genuine local grassroots stuff that makes my blood boil (NIMBYism), so I don’t really attach a moral credit to those qualities.

Re:Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about... by Synaesthesia on Tuesday June 15, 2021 @06:30AM (#27513315)
No such thing as subjectivity. What's important is that people are looking for the truth and reporting accurately as possible. I'm more interested in penetrating analysis than "subjectivity". I read the news with a skeptics eye, knowing that they always have an agenda.