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Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by wmf on Friday April 23, 2021 @12:33PM (#26916436)
The current official plan is for Starship to take astronauts from the Gateway to the surface of the moon and back. That plan is ridiculously complex and expensive when you could skip the Gateway and ride Starship all the way to the moon instead. At some point Starship will be ready and SLS and the Gateway will still not be ready and then NASA can decide to bypass the bullshit.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by DennisP on Friday April 23, 2021 @01:53PM (#26917309)
I thought that was crazy at first but the Orion capsule uses proven reentry tech. SpaceX hasn't landed Starship successfully yet and hasn't proven their reentry strategy, and coming back from the moon will be harder because they'll be coming in faster. I can't blame NASA for not committing their astronauts to it yet.

But yeah, I think SpaceX will prove it all works and then NASA has the option to change the plan. In the meantime, officially keeping SLS keeps Congress happy.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by wmf on Friday April 23, 2021 @02:06PM (#26917433)
Starship can come back from the moon to LEO then the crew transfers into a Crew Dragon and lands.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by cwkoss on Friday April 23, 2021 @02:19PM (#26917559)
Yeah, once you have a large ship out of earths gravity well, would be a waste to land it back on earth. Heck, even if it breaks, park it in a stable orbit so the next generation can salvage it for parts as needed.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by m4rtink on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:18PM (#26919318)
PSA: Most orbits around Moon are not long term stable due to underground mass concentrations.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by cwkoss on Friday April 23, 2021 @06:31PM (#26919993)
Neat! If you park a satellite at moon geosychronous orbit how unstable is it? Would it be lost in the order of months or decades?

Does that also effect the Lagrange points for the moon? Do human currently have anything parked at earth moon lagrange points?

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by perl4ever on Friday April 23, 2021 @10:22PM (#26921687)
There appears to be no such thing.

"the radius for a selenostationary orbit is much farther than the Hill radius, meaning that no stable orbit can be achieved as it would be too much perturbed by the Earth and/or the Sun"

"all of the Lagrangian points of the Earth-Moon system are stationary relative to the Moon surface"

...but then it is explained that stationary doesn't mean stable.

Links: https://astronomy.stackexchange.com/questions/20499/is-it-po...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hill_sphere

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by simonh on Friday April 23, 2021 @03:17PM (#26918137)
The Lunar Starship has enough dV to land on the moon and return to orbit, about 3.44 km/s but boosting from the moon to Earth and braking into Low Earth Orbit actually takes more dV than that, about 3.94 km/s. Unless they build in extra 0.5 km/s capacity or about an extra 20%, it flat out won't be able to do it.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by wmf on Friday April 23, 2021 @03:24PM (#26918223)
Here's where I got the idea and some different calculations: https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2021/03/26/lunar-starship...
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by simonh on Friday April 23, 2021 @03:53PM (#26918495)
The diagrams say "Crew transfer in LEO or direct entry of Starship" as if they're interchangeable options, but these are not equivalent. Returning from the Moon and braking into LEO takes just as much dV as transferring from LEO up to Lunar orbit. Per the diagram that's 3.94 km/s as I said.

Conversely landing on the moon and returning to Lunar orbit takes 1.72 km/s twice, which is again consistent with my numbers if we assume the payload mass is constant. That may not be the case of course but any cargo taken from the Lunar surface to Lunar orbit will also need to be brought back to Earth somehow.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by jccooper on Friday April 23, 2021 @02:20PM (#26917566)
It would need lunar or high elliptic refueling to do that. Which is possible, but more complicated.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by ArPDent on Friday April 23, 2021 @02:42PM (#26917768)
currently the lunar version of Starship is not designed to land back on earth - it lacks both the TPS and aero surfaces required for entry & landing.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by mlindner on Friday April 23, 2021 @04:14PM (#26918712)
The Lunar Starship requires a functioning Starship capable of reentering in order to refuel the Lunar Starship before it heads to the moon (and it will need to eventually travel back to the Earth for refueling after some number of uses).
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by m4rtink on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:14PM (#26919285)
I don't think the lunar Starship is ever intended for returning to the Earth after it's launched - it has no flaps and no heat shield.

It will either be discarded after use or refueled and reused fully in space.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by avhon1 on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:43PM (#26919568)
Lunar Starship won't be (intentionally, excepting emergencies or retirement) returning to Earth's Surface, but the plan might involve it returning closer to Earth for refueling.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by skissane on Friday April 23, 2021 @04:40PM (#26918968)
> The current official plan is for Starship to take astronauts from the Gateway to the surface of the moon and back.

Even before announcing the choice of Starship for HLS, NASA was already talking about bypassing Gateway for the first crewed lunar landing (Artemis III) and only visiting it on later missions – https://spacenews.com/nasa-takes-gateway-off-the-critical-pa...

They haven't completely decided yet though. They don't know when the bits will be ready. If come time for the first crewed landing, SLS+Orion and Starship are ready but Gateway isn't, they'll just do the landing without Gateway. On the other hand, if Gateway is already ready by then, they might consider using it. One advantage Gateway has, is it gives the two astronauts who stay-behind on Orion a bit more room. It would also give them something to do – testing out Gateway systems.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by dillondoyle on Friday April 23, 2021 @12:57PM (#26916705)
I can't believe that I'm understanding this correctly? Just to be sure: NASA's plan is to fly the insanely expensive hasn't even launched into space yet SLS, onto some non-existing docking station, then SpaceX fly to the moon. Repeat back (does Starship have to dock again why can't it just go straight back into earth)?

While Starship can go to from earth to moon with a refueling stop alone? Even if sticking to the space dock why not the WAYYYY cheaper Dragon which just worked today (using a recycled rocket)?

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by lutorm on Friday April 23, 2021 @01:36PM (#26917128)
hasn't even launched into space yet SLS

I'm no fan of SLS, but check your terminology here: You're talking about Starship in the present tense, but it hasn't launched _either_, so you can't say it "can" go to the moon etc either.

Starship is awesome, but it's an insanely ambitious project. No one knows how long it'll take to get it right.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by dillondoyle on Saturday April 24, 2021 @01:04AM (#26922379)
That's totally 100% fair critique.

But SLS is in no way able to go to moon or earth with what they are currently building?

What makes this so weird to me is that SpaceX does have Dragon already which just brought more people into orbit this week - e.g. proven and way cheaper of what SLS is supposed to do in this mission - unless I'm missing or not understanding something.

So you're right the starship portion to moon (and hopefully mars) is similar to SLS in that it's not realized ye

But looking at the part SLS is supposed to play in this production, that role has already been acted successfully by Dragon. I'd say spacex gets the space oscar for it, though i doubt they get the trophy this weekend :)

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by wmf on Saturday April 24, 2021 @12:17PM (#26926031)
Orion does have several spec advantages over Crew Dragon such as larger volume and longer endurance. https://www.quora.com/What-are-the-key-differences-between-t... Given SpaceX's dramatically faster and cheaper development, it might be possible to deliver an upgraded Crew Dragon Plus (or whatever you want to call it) before Orion is ready.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by skissane on Sunday April 25, 2021 @05:35AM (#26931467)
> it might be possible to deliver an upgraded Crew Dragon Plus (or whatever you want to call it) before Orion is ready.

Orion basically is ready. There is an uncrewed full stack test flight around the Moon scheduled for November this year, Artemis I. Decent chance it will slip by a few months, but still highly likely to happen by early next year. And then in 2023 they have planned a crewed test flight (orbiting the Moon but not landing, like Apollo 8).

I think SpaceX wants to focus as much of their development resources as possible on Starship. They'd rather focus their energies on that rather than on coming up with new versions of Crew Dragon. Starship, if successful, is going to kill SLS/Orion in the medium-to-long term. I don't think there is any great benefit to SpaceX in trying to kill it in the short-term. That'd be walking into a potentially expensive and risky political battle with vested interests in Congress, and why get them offside when doing so isn't on your critical path to your ultimate goal?

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by avmich on Friday April 23, 2021 @01:42PM (#26917194)
Raptor engines are, yes, cutting edge. Serious stuff.

Starship itself?.. Being built with such technologies, so cheap (Elon mentioned that Boca Chica works are quite small percents of what SpaceX is doing in terms of money), so fast - and yet we already have a successful-ish landing from ~10 km height.

Of course, we don't know for sure. But it surely doesn't seem too bad, especially now - and for some it was clear when SpaceX was just created.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by m4rtink on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:21PM (#26919338)
Well, Starship has definitely reached bigger height than SLS so far (unless you count some of the reused Shuttle engines). ;-)

Also considering the planned SLS "landing" mode they are also on par so far.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by avmich on Friday April 23, 2021 @01:25PM (#26917014)
> does Starship have to dock again why can't it just go straight back into earth

Because Moon-bound Starship will be quite different from Earth-bound - not enough to not call it Starship, but still - the Moon-bound will be optimized for less gravity (different legs?), no atmosphere (no wings), braking using engines in the middle of the body, not in the tail section, Moon-specific systems like ladder or elevator etc.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by m4rtink on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:23PM (#26919358)
AFAIK lunar Starship still has Raptors in the tail that do most of the burns, the "belt" engines are only used for the final landing phase to reduce the ammount of regolith kicked up by the rocket plumes contact with the surface.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by dillondoyle on Saturday April 24, 2021 @01:05AM (#26922386)
Interesting. So would still do a 'dock' and could come back on a different Starship, Dragon, or SLS it sounds like
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by syoc on Friday April 23, 2021 @01:24PM (#26916998)
I am way out of my comfort zone discussing this, but I really like the idea of building oribiting infrastructure. Not sure why they are not using an earth-moon Lagrange point. I agree that it would probably be cheaper and more practical to go directly to the moon with a simpler refuling scheme. I do however also believe that some infrastructure is needed for further space travel and a larger more permanent off-earth presence.

Starting new missions from outside a strong gravity field seems like such a huge advantage. I guess most people want a destination and not just a more long term established presence.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by Armisael16 on Friday April 23, 2021 @01:51PM (#26917294)
> Starting new missions from outside a strong gravity field seems like such a huge advantage.

You don’t get to do this, period. All your crew and all your materials are ultimately coming from Earth (or, in some plans, are mined in-situ). You use considerably more resources getting to your waypoint than you save by leaving from there.

Being farther out of the gravity well isn’t entirely positive either; you’re losing out on significant savings from the Oberth effect. Earth-Moon Lagrange points are well past the minimum-cost orbit.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by avmich on Friday April 23, 2021 @02:00PM (#26917376)
> All your crew and all your materials are ultimately coming from Earth

Wait till we start making LOX (and later, I think, metals) on the Moon from regolith. The process is old and tested on Earth, the missing part is actually experimenting with this on the Moon. And as soon as we have more or less robust Earth-Moon transportation, this will become important, as it will significantly simplify near Moon operations.

Do you know NASA runs, right now, competitions for e.g. lunar ice extraction and purifying?

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by ethbr0 on Friday April 23, 2021 @02:00PM (#26917384)
> All your crew and all your materials are ultimately coming from Earth

This is the key state differentiator.

If you bring everything from Earth, it doesn't make sense. (So why are we doing it now?)

But once you start procuring resources from outside gravity well, things look different.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by jandrese on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:22PM (#26919344)
It makes sense if you want to use the rockets you already have instead of building the absolutely titanic rockets you would need to carry everything in one trip. There are metallurgical limits to just how big you can make the rockets as well.

But this isn't necessarily advocating for a full time in-orbit refuelling station either. The plan might be to instead launch 2 or 3 rockets, 1 with the stuff and the others with fuel. They meet up in orbit and the fuel rockets refill the stuff rocket so it can go on to Mars or wherever, then they return to Earth for the next mission.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by Yizahi on Friday April 23, 2021 @04:59PM (#26919144)
Exactly what do you plan to acquire/create outside of Earth, and from where to where do you plan to transfer it realistically? Except for fully autonomous human colonies which will mine stuff nearby and use, almost no transfer of resources in space makes sense, it is way too costly and there is no demand (even imaginary). Since there is no need for that, there is also no need for transfer stations (warehouses) anywhere, be it a planet orbit or Lagrange points.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by m4rtink on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:25PM (#26919378)
Propelant depots, those make all the difference.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by zardo on Friday April 23, 2021 @06:52PM (#26920180)
They make sense for an individual mission. Bring up fuel and leave it in the parking orbit. But the optimal parking orbits are going to be different for different destinations, vehicles, and times.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by sneak on Friday April 23, 2021 @01:30PM (#26917071)
I imagine that we'd need hundreds or thousands of people in space to make such a base/fuel depot worth it - IIRC it's less fuel to use a transfer orbit than to go to L4 or L1 and stop on the way.

Such a thing might make sense once there are, say, 50 or 100 starships.

For the foreseeable future, all missions will "start" in Earth's gravity well due to the fact that the o2 and ch4 are all down here. It will be some years until we have significant fuel stores in space.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by Yizahi on Friday April 23, 2021 @04:48PM (#26919028)
Only some orbits would intersect with L1 point, others will require immense fuel waste to get there and then change orbit to original target. Also there are no gas stations in space, for multiple reasons - there is no steady demand to fuel in space, it is at best sporadic and spiky, and in the mean time you'll need to keep up cryo fuel from boiling off; then it is hard to operate anything remotely, so Gateway gas station would be harder to operate than ISS in LEO; there is no need to place gas station farther than LEO because in space we don't need to bother with actual distances, but with gravity. Earth to Mars is 62 million kilometers, so speaking in analogies it would make sense to refuel at half of the distance, similar to the traveling by car from New York to San Francisco. But in reality it is not. Getting 300 kilometers from Earth to LEO takes 9 km/s of delta V, getting the rest 62000000 kilometers from LEO to Mars takes 5-6 km/s of delta V. LEO is much more than half way to Mars already and there is literally zero point is refuelling anywhere else (excluding fuel generation in space possibility).
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by kimundi on Friday April 23, 2021 @01:27PM (#26917034)
Separating the "get to/from moon" vehicle from the "land on/start from moon) vehicle has indeed been the plan for many years now.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by rblatz on Friday April 23, 2021 @12:40PM (#26916519)
That was my take on this too. NASA is buying themselves a backup plan for further SLS delays.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by jandrese on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:17PM (#26919314)
I don't think the Lunar gateway is so useful for people going to/from the moon, but for future trips to Mars and back. Having a place to stop and refuel would greatly reduce the size of rocket you need to launch from Earth.

The choice of having it in Earth orbit vs. Lunar orbit comes with some tradeoffs. It may make more sense to leave it in Earth orbit, but ultimately having it at all substantially changes the calculus on a Mars trip.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by avhon1 on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:40PM (#26919545)
Unless the fuel is being produced on the Moon, it would be more efficient for Mars-bound spaceships to fuel up in LEO. All Earth-departing mass has to pass through LEO, so it's simpler to rendezvous there rather than enter, and then leave, Lunar orbit.

If launches are cheap, then refueling in LEO makes a lot of sense. Historically, this has not been the case at all, but it's all part of SpaceX's model for Starship.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by inglor_cz on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:42PM (#26919559)
Lunar gravity is actually weak enough to make a space elevator from conventional materials possible. Even Kevlar would suffice.

If fuel for interplanetary missions is produced on the Moon, a space elevator would make a huge sense for refueling of the ships.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by nickik on Friday April 23, 2021 @09:41PM (#26921461)
A lunar space elevator will never happen. First of all the gravity is unstable.

And even if you do so, the main advantage of an elevator can also be had with an accelerator, there is no need to build an elevator. Because there is no atmosphere you can simply fling stuff into orbit for pretty much exactly the same price but far, far, far, far less investment.

The one place elevator actually makes sense is Mars potentially. But that is a very long way off.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by Yizahi on Saturday April 24, 2021 @07:07AM (#26923999)
Even lunar space elevator will cost an insane amount of money (and likely still not possible in this century), and it will be irrational to build it just to get some cheap fuel into orbit.

And even then gas station in Lunar orbit is useless. If there is a need to refuel, you will simply get fuel into orbit directly from whatever container in the elevator to the ship nearby. There is zero point in inserting a proxy station in the middle of this process.

However we juggle the possibilities of space travel, in 99% of all schemes gas station in space is useless.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by jandrese on Friday April 23, 2021 @05:52PM (#26919649)
Doesn't the moon rotate too slowly to make a space elevator work? IIRC you can't take up a ground-stationary orbit around the Moon because the Earth would constantly knock your satellite around with its big gravity well.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by zardo on Friday April 23, 2021 @06:42PM (#26920099)
You can have a ground stationary satellite if you tether it to the moon. Though obviously the tether has to deal with that extra load.

The best sites for permanent outposts are the poles though, it would be quite a drive from the equator.

Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by inglor_cz on Friday April 23, 2021 @06:04PM (#26919741)
I think this is where the Lagrange points L1 and L2 would help.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by mlindner on Friday April 23, 2021 @04:12PM (#26918700)
The gateway is where international partners are currently hooked in. If NASA is to cancel the Gateway without absolutely destroying it's relationship with international partners, it would need a replacement mission (say Moon surface modules) to make up for it.
Re:NASA’s bet on Starship for the Moon by whatiknow2 on Friday April 23, 2021 @02:28PM (#26917629)
Sounds a lot like Gateway is Kubernetes the space version..