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Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by markdown on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:01AM (#24550701)
That money just goes straight to landlords.

Henry George's time has come.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by t-writescode on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:03AM (#24550716)
Those landlords also need bailing out. They need to pay their loans, as well.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by swiley on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:21AM (#24550815)
God no. They've been sitting on empty buildings for years. It's time for them to default on the underwater loans and let people actually put the wasted space to use.

Every city in the US has a similar issue including the one near where I grew up and it's the weirdest most broken thing. I remember many times walking down streets flanked by empty buildings with homeless people sleeping outside.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by kgc on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:03AM (#24551027)
If they have been sitting on empty buildings for years, why would they want renters now? I expect they would just continue to keep their buildings empty and continue to be unaffected by this pandemic.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by Dylan16807 on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @02:25AM (#24551500)
Not enough cash to keep up the stupid speculation game without some paying renters.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by xenihn on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:46AM (#24551272)
I know a few property-owning/landlord families. They own multiple properties, both residential and commercial.

Some of those properties are profitable to rent out. Some are not. You rent out the profitable ones. You don't rent out the ones that are not profitable, you just wait until they're worth significantly more than what you paid for them. When they are, you sell them, and you buy more property. Each property leverages the subsequent properties, in terms of both the mortgage credit you have access to, and actual money gained accumulated from rent and sales.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by DeonPenny on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:35AM (#24550879)
Thats not how any of this works. The problem with a market is you have a rate that if something is below it its not profitable for people to live in a place. Idk why people blame the building owners.

And people who do this are always people with perfectly good couches in their living rooms but would never let a homeless person sleep there, but want others to give up a entire building.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by xmodem on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:42AM (#24550924)
The problem is that what is actually going on in NY - and many other markets - doesn't remotely resemble a properly functioning market: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdfmMB1E_qk
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by DyslexicAtheist on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:39AM (#24551227)
thanks that was interesting.

tl;dr: 2 years free rent with the condition that the tenant doesn't ask for a lower price. due to language in the contract the rent can not go beyond a specific (low) value. the loan isn't held by the bank but immediately restructured and sold as a CMBS (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commercial_mortgage-backed_sec...)

here is the reddit post that he recaps: https://www.reddit.com/r/nyc/comments/innhah/nearly_twothird...

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by swiley on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:42AM (#24550923)
That would work in a normal market but the realestate market hasn't been allowed to correct because we keep bailing it out by having the fed buy up all the debt. This raises rent because it decreases the supply (people can just hold onto buildings as investments and not bother renting them out or wait for someone willing to pay something that should be above market value) and also raises inflation.

Let me explain it to you simply: The landlords made a bad investment, bailing them out forces everyone else to pay for it. In the "it's my property" sense it's identical to forcing someone to house homeless people (although the comparison still isn't the same because the landlords generally don't live in the buildings they're renting out.)

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by TuringNYC on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:21AM (#24551128)
I always found it curious how large employers in Manhattan would be moving out because the rent was too high.

Simultaneously buildings would be converting into condos because they were unable to fill vacant commercial space. As an example, two buildings where I worked had this happen: 70 Pine Street (AIG) and 75 Wall Street(JPMorgan.)

Doesnt the market meet somewhere in the middle?

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by nickff on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @03:00AM (#24551714)
I am not sure about NYC, but commercial property taxes are usually very high, and borne by the tenants; this may be a factor in the employers moving out.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by sooheon on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @02:59AM (#24551706)
The way you think markets work don't always apply to land. Land (distinct from buildings) is one of the few resources for which ownership without utilization or improvement is not only profitable but sometimes optimal.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by newfriend on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:41AM (#24550908)
And then you want to give them my money, taken from me by force by the government.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by nradov on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:06AM (#24550727)
I don't want my tax money used to bail out landlords. Let the lenders foreclose. If the landlords didn't want to deal with loans then they should have paid cash for the properties.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by t-writescode on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:09AM (#24550738)
I'm interested in my tax money being used to help stabilize the local population to minimize harm to them during this time and thereby minimize unrest and keep the whole of it safer.

If my money is going to be going to making missiles and weapons for overseas, some of it can come back and pay for rough times instead.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by username90 on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:28AM (#24550848)
It would be nice if it actually worked that way, but about 25% of US government spending are debt and not taxes in a normal year. So these bailouts doesn't come from your taxes, they are pure government debt that will crash the economy sometimes in the future when the government stops propping up the gdp via endless debt accumulation.

Imagine if they were honest instead and said "We pay these bailouts now and increase taxes from 30% to 50% for the next 10 years to make up for it", how many would be happy?

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by apta on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:17AM (#24550781)
How will preventing lenders from foreclosing prevent harm? If anything, it will allow people to purchase property since prices will reduce as there is more supply in the market.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by AdamJacobMuller on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:16AM (#24550777)
A less drastic solution, which doesn't require much money, is to just force lenders to allow landlords who lost tenants or whose tenants can't pay to allow the landlord to defer loan payments (extending the final date of the loan).

It's not exactly fair to landlords who own the properties outright, but, I can live with that.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by nradov on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:22AM (#24550818)
Many commercial property mortgages already contain clauses allowing the borrower to defer payments if they don't have a tenant. For those that don't, well they should have negotiated better terms before taking out the loan.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by t-writescode on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:19AM (#24550797)
Is it turtles all the way up? Do the landlords who are paying down their mortgage also get a deferment?

What do we do about the people that presently have no money? Do we also give them a stipend to pay for food, etc? Or force them onto credit cards?

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by peteretep on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:21AM (#24550813)
If you can borrow from the central bank, the buck stops at you. Seems fair
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by imtringued on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @06:13AM (#24552800)
You can live with endangering the banking infrastructure? The place where all your hard earned money is stored at? This will end with a bank bailout because nobody wants to lose their money because some idiot decided to implement deferment of loan payments.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by respondo2134 on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:02AM (#24551025)
>>It's not exactly fair to landlords who own the properties outright, but, I can live with that.

Well of course you're OK with that, you're obviously not a property investor who worked to get free and clear. What if instead we levied a special premium salary fee on technology workers who make more than the median salary? Not really fair but us worker bees are OK with it...

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by twblalock on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:17AM (#24550789)
> If the landlords didn't want to deal with loans then they should have paid cash for the properties.

If the tenants didn't want to pay rent, they should not have signed leases.

Why is it that tenants can get a break on their obligations but landlords can't? Why are tenants more deserving of help? Most landlords are not rich. They are providing a service to their tenants, who cannot afford to purchase buildings and would have no hope of opening a business if there were not landlords around willing to rent things out.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by ABCLAW on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:29AM (#24550854)
Over the course of a given rental, unless the property was purchased almost immediately before a real-estate crash or rental crisis, the amount of cashflow generated by a tenant will cover the majority of the volume required to generate equity in the property.

In certain cases, the financing for commercial real estate, for instance, will literally substitute the credit rating of tenants for those of the landlords - because ultimately that's where the money is coming from.

If a landlord is rendered insolvent, they aren't even rendered destitute; they sell or refinance the property to generate liquidity. If many landlords do the same thing, the volume of real estate on the market increases, the price of real estate drops, and the market is now on it's way to pricing in the effects of the shock which caused the crunch.

The fact that we've been spewing money at asset holders for over a decade is why real-estate metrics are so out of line from historical cycles.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by twblalock on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:30AM (#24550864)
> The fact that we've been spewing money at asset holders for over a decade is why real-estate metrics are historically crazy.

No, the reason is restrictions on building which have constrained supply.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by ABCLAW on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:37AM (#24550894)
Which would make sense except there are plenty of metropolitan areas which are not physically constrained or suffering horrendous zoning issues which also have the issue.

The world exists outside the particular clusterfuck that is the SF bay real estate market.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by mdrabla on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @03:19AM (#24551826)
Bad bot, the subject is NYC not SF. Very different places
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by brutusborn on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:11AM (#24551067)
Why can't it be both?
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by jariel on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:41AM (#24550911)
This ignores the fact that if there were such obvious financial incentives, then restaurant owners would simply just buy said properties.

'Property management' is a real thing and businesses don't want to necessarily own property.

Managing property is a service like any other - and rates for their goods are market based - just like any other market.

"If a landlord is rendered insolvent, they aren't even rendered destitute;" - ? why do you assume that? Property owners are often leveraged like many other businesses. If x% of their portfolio goes bust - they go bust.

There might be opportunities to make things a little bit more fair one way or another, but it's not rational to single out one form of business as being 'better or worse' than another.

What could be reformed is the fact that economic rent is not really valuable for society at large. 'Trading playing cards' benefits nobody, we should be investing in value creating operations.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by ABCLAW on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:20AM (#24551118)
>This ignores the fact that if there were such obvious financial incentives, then restaurant owners would simply just buy said properties.

They do when they have the capital.

>"If a landlord is rendered insolvent, they aren't even rendered destitute;" - ? why do you assume that?

Because I've been through the books of multiple major banks, REITs, investment funds, commercial owners, commercial tenants, private individuals with residential real estate portfolios, etc.

You have to be incredibly negligent to lose money in an industry where your assets have been skyrocketing in value for over a decade.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by ulucs on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @02:30AM (#24551532)
> it's not rational to single out one form of business as being 'better or worse' than another.

But it is. If a business decreases social welfare (like cartels enabling coordination to jack up prices) the government should regulate it away. Most of what landlords do is cause friction in the real estate market (and hurting everyone else in the process) in hopes to gain some more mpney from it.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by jariel on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @10:57AM (#24555159)
"Most of what landlords do is cause friction in the real estate market"

They provide a service just like any other business.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by nradov on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:20AM (#24550804)
Owning real estate is an investment, not a right. It's no different than any other investment. If I have a loss on leveraged stock investments should the government bail me out?
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by twblalock on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:23AM (#24550823)
We are not talking about investment losses here. We are talking about breach of contract. A renter signs a contract promising to pay rent.

The value of the building, whether it drops or increases, is the investment component of being a landlord. That is not in dispute here. If a building drops in value the landlord just has to deal with it. But until now, if someone promised to pay rent and did not do it, a landlord could sue them, or evict them, because the landlord would be the victim of a breach of contract that has nothing to do with investment value.

What is in dispute here is that people who promised to pay rent are being allowed to stop paying, but landlords who promised to pay their mortgages are not allowed to stop paying. That's not fair.

It's not good for the economy either, because most businesses can't afford to buy property and need to rent from landlords, and we are now making it very unattractive to be a landlord.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by t-writescode on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:24AM (#24550827)
> but landlords who promised to pay their mortgages are not allowed to stop paying.

Why not provide them an extension during this time, as well?

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by twblalock on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:27AM (#24550845)
We should! But for some reason, a lot of people think we shouldn't.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by imtringued on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @06:16AM (#24552812)
Because the next step after that would be to bail out the banks. You can't solve this problem without conjuring money via government debt.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by jakelazaroff on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:45AM (#24551268)
I disagree with your conclusion. If landlords think owning land is too risky, they’ll sell their properties, supply will increase, prices will drop and new buyers will come in to take advantage of the low prices before the market inevitably recovers.

Owning land is lucrative in NYC and that’s unlikely to change anytime soon.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by Weebs on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @10:30AM (#24554766)
Because landlords are trying to profit off of the conditions created by the broader local community. They make a bet on which space created by the community will allow them to extract more rent than the cost to maintain the building and pay the loan, and later sell the property for more than they paid.

Tenants are either members of the community who want a home, or are trying to provide a service to the community.

One group is trying to speculate on the value others will provide and get a cut, and they're able to do this because as they've ensured scarcity of affordable space. It's extraction

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by twblalock on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:30PM (#24557387)
It's not extraction, it's a service.

If there were no landlords, it would be impossible to start a business in NYC without buying a building. Most businesses would never be able to afford that. Thank goodness there are landlords who are willing to rent out their buildings!

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by Weebs on Wednesday September 23, 2020 @10:50AM (#24567767)
It's not either or, you don't have to have individual ownership for properties. A landlord can be replaced by a neighborhood cooperative that redirects the value produced from the building back into the community (schools, public service funding, etc.)

Private ownership and rent contracts is only one way of many to solve the problem of granting access to space without outright purchase.

Also, providing a service and extracting value from others work aren't mutually exclusive. Consider this: a foreign organization extracts natural resources, refines them, sells the new product back to the localsy (and other outside communities) for large profits that are mostly redirected outside of the native community.

I would clearly call that extraction, the fact that they also provide a service to the community doesn't negate that.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by petre on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:40AM (#24550904)
> A renter signs a contract promising to pay rent.

They should use the force majeure clause to terminate their contracts and the landlords could sue if they don't like that. A pandemic is not unlike a flood or earthquake. This is exactly why such a clause exists in contracts.

My boss negotiates a lower rent during a crisis. It’s fair enough. Would the landlord prefer a smaller amount to none at all?

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by TomVDB on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:17AM (#24551100)
> Would the landlord prefer a smaller amount to none at all?

As was explained a week or so ago by somebody in that business on Reddit: for commercial real estate, many landlords would prefer none at all over a smaller amount, because the loan is written with the assumption of a certain rent per unit, and if the average rent goes down, it breaches the loan conditions and the loan is revoked (or something like that.)

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by twblalock on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:51AM (#24550965)
> They should use the force majeure clause to terminate their contracts and the landlords could sue if they don't like that. A pandemic is not unlike a flood or earthquake. This is exactly why such a clause exists in contracts.

If they terminate their contracts they need to move out. That's not what is happening here. Tenants are trying to stop paying, but also stay in the property for free, indefinitely.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by sudosysgen on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:21AM (#24550812)
Because landlording is an investment, having shelter is a necessity. The landlords should carry the risk of tenants failing to pay.

If we stopped relief to everyone, tenants would stop paying, rents would crater, and landlord would be ruined much moreso than tenants, it's just the nature of investment.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by twblalock on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:29AM (#24550859)
The investment component of being a landlord is the value of the property. The ability to enforce contracts, e.g. that when a tenant promises to pay they must pay, it not part of the investment component of being a landlord. That is not an investment, but rather a contract between two parties.

Rent is revenue. Investment is based on the value of the underlying asset. They are not the same thing.

Our society has always assumed that the investment has a risk element but the rent is ensured by law and there are remedies if it is not paid -- remedies which are now being suspended for tenants paying landlords, but not for landlords paying their mortgages.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by jacobkania on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:55AM (#24550987)
You keep saying this, but is the value of the property not what someone is willing to pay for it? If nobody can/will pay rent, the property is worthless. The risk you take on as a real estate investor isn’t just that of the property value, it’s also the risk of not having a tenant.

If you have a tenant, they can’t pay, then they leave and you can’t find another renter for a year, you’ve made a bad investment even though your property value hasn’t changed.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by twblalock on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:00AM (#24551011)
Risk of not having a tenant has nothing to do with the current situation. The current situation is the possibility of being stuck with a tenant who will not pay the rent and cannot be removed, indefinitely.

At first these rent forgiveness measures were supposed to last a few months. Now we are nearly in the 10th month of the pandemic and these measures are being renewed. There are tenants who have not paid rent since March. Most landlords would rather have no tenants at all, than have tenants who do not pay rent for almost a year yet force their landlords to continue to provide for them by paying for maintenance, and insurance, and property tax, and the mortgages.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by jacobkania on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @02:35AM (#24551565)
I totally get your point, but if an established tenant with a previously successful business cannot afford rent, then who could?

It seems more like “well nobody is going to be able to rent it anyways, so we might as well keep the businesses alive so that recovery can happen”. If those 90% of businesses all went under, then there would be nobody left to pay any rent even after a recovery starts to happen. Creating a law that advantages the renters prevents the landlords from screwing each other, and the entire market, by putting the companies out of business. Those companies need to survive so that the market can bounce back more quickly. And the landlords would get screwed either way.

I do also think that mortgages should be paused, but that’s secondary in importance, in my opinion. Sorry you got downvoted, I think your opinion is also valid, and this does really suck for landlords too.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by denkmoon on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:17AM (#24550786)
Do I get a bailout for my losses on the share market? What if I had bought shares on margin?

Why does one class of investor get a bailout but not others?

(Why bailout any investor? Risk is part of investment.)

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by javagram on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:04AM (#24551033)
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ are both up year to date. The government has already taken actions, including injecting trillions of dollars into the economy, to bail out shareholders.

> Why bailout any investor? Risk is part of investment.

The damage caused by this pandemic is so rare it is less than a 1-in-100-years event (1918 pandemic killed millions, but businesses were typically shuttered only for weeks at most, not 6 months).

Certainly bailouts for natural disasters are quite common in other respects. And if the government were to seize your property via eminent domain, they owe you money. Why shouldn’t they also in justice pay out if they order your business shuttered for a half a year?

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by runawaybottle on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:49AM (#24550957)
The moral hazard argument does not work in this case for a variety of reasons.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by jojobas on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:37AM (#24550889)
Would you also bail out those who bet on black and got red?

When you bail out something like Ford you keep it running and collect tax revenue. If you don't, factories stop and the business essentially disappears.

When a landlord goes bust nothing happens, other the financial loss for the landlord.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by refurb on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @02:10AM (#24551428)
When a landlord goes bust nothing happens, other the financial loss for the landlord.

It's like the old saying "when you own the $10,000, that's your problem", "when you own the bank $1B, that's the banks problem".

When 1/3 of NYC commercial real estate gets foreclosed, that's not just the landlord's problem, that's everyone's problem.

Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by jojobas on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @02:59AM (#24551708)
When 1/3 of NYC gets foreclosed the new tenants will swarm to rent the places at a discount and reopen the cafes and everything else as soon as they're allowed to operate.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by refurb on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @01:34PM (#24557444)
Simple! Just like 2008. No knock on effects at all.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by jojobas on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @06:57PM (#24560994)
Is NY commercial real estate a foundation for another CDS scam? You borrow money to make a bet, you face the consequences.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by dehrmann on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:29AM (#24550857)
And property taxes.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by wmf on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:21AM (#24550811)
Bailouts combined with mandated (maybe partial) rent forgiveness would ensure that money did not go straight to landlords.
Re:Almost 90 percent of NYC bars and restaurants couldn’t pa... by runawaybottle on Tuesday September 22, 2020 @12:41AM (#24550917)
I don’t want restaurants with good locations to lose their spot, even if it means bailing out landlords.