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Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Friday July 10, 2020 @12:55PM (#23793534)
It is difficult to build/create something you don't understand.

A computer is just a playback machine for binary logic.

We know that "intelligence" can create binary logic.

We don't know if binary logic can create "intelligence".

Claims that it is possible are really more "religious" than scientific at this point.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by doliveira on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:19PM (#23793856)
What is "religious" is this inclination to treat human intelligence as this magical thing that works outside the laws of nature, as if our neurons and our brain were something other than just chemistry doing very complex things.

That would be quite an extraordinary claim that requires equally extraordinary evidence.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Friday July 10, 2020 @02:12PM (#23794497)
Life in general and your brain in particular may very well be more than "just chemistry". We really don't know.

What we do know at this point is that no amount of "just chemistry" has ever managed to create even the most rudimentary form of "life" from inert chemicals.

And the only working models we have for "intelligence" at this point are inextricably bound to life.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by dwaltrip on Friday July 10, 2020 @03:29PM (#23795362)
Don’t beat around the bush. Are you implying life is supernaturally sustained? That would be quite the claim.

If not, then the history of science strongly suggests we can eventually learn the mechanisms of life and intelligence and then find a way to imperfectly yet sufficiently reimplement them.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Friday July 10, 2020 @04:11PM (#23795870)
Are you suggesting life is supernaturally sustained?

No. I am simply suggesting that creating life (and intelligence) from inert materals may involve more than "just chemistry". In the same way that lead can not be turned into gold by "just chemistry".

I welcome knowledge and proof to the contrary but thus far, there is none.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by dwaltrip on Friday July 10, 2020 @07:46PM (#23797979)
Gold can be made from lead (and other inputs) using knowledge that is generally classified as nuclear physics. It’s not very practical or economical, so no one does it — but it can be done. It’s true that this isn’t “chemistry”. Not sure if you were making a deeper point.

Perhaps to truly understand life we need to look deeply at physics, geology, fluid dynamics, and many other specialized fields, in addition to chemistry. And maybe we will need some new discoveries in these areas than have not yet been made. Is that all?

I don’t think there is really much contention between that and the idea that life is “just chemistry”. I would bet most people saying that are totally fine with what I wrote above and are likely just trying to be concise with their words.

Unless you mean more than you are plainly saying, this seems like splitting hairs about the taxonomy of scientific understanding. Understanding is understanding, regardless of how you categorize it.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Saturday July 11, 2020 @04:40AM (#23800566)
The only deeper point is that labeling it "just chemistry" may be a gross over simplification of what is required to actually achieve it.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by dwaltrip on Saturday July 11, 2020 @01:57PM (#23804162)
Ok, fair enough. I was pushing back so strongly as it seemed you might have been implying that there is a certain "magic" we can never investigate or understand, which I find to be a very unjustified and regressive position.

Much of our progress in medicine, science, and technology has been made due to the idea that the world around operates in an orderly fashion and can be investigated and understood.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by c1ccccc1 on Friday July 10, 2020 @07:03PM (#23797621)
We have lots of evidence of how the processes of life are chemically driven: Photosynthesis captures energy from sunlight, metabolism of sugars produces ATP which is then used in a variety of ways by the cell's proteins, the DNA->RNA->Protein pipeline builds proteins from the sequences of base pairs stored in a cell's DNA, and DNA copying enzymes pass that information from generation to generation. Since you probably already know about that stuff, I guess I must be misunderstanding what kind of proof you are looking for. What sort of discovery would count as "proof" to you?
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Saturday July 11, 2020 @04:35AM (#23800550)
What sort of discovery would count as "proof" to you?

The ultimate proof is actually doing it. Start with nothing but inert materials and produce a new, unique form of living organism using "just chemistry".

I'm not saying it can't be done, I am saying that thus far, it hasn't been done. And the reason it hasn't been done might be because "just chemistry" is an overly simplistic description of what is needed to actually achieve it.

But feel free to prove me wrong.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by chess_buster on Friday July 10, 2020 @05:36PM (#23796789)
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by rutherblood on Saturday July 11, 2020 @08:23AM (#23801641)
let's say he believes that. even then his belief would be as understandable & justifiable as yours. Wagging a finger and saying history of science suggest this and that is just that, belief. Just because something happened before you think it'll happen again and again. I do sympathize with your pov and even agree with it, but let's not beat around the bush as you say and let's just call this what our povs are: faith in science yet to come. Ours is no more righteous than the other.

EDIT: some grammar

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by dwaltrip on Saturday July 11, 2020 @01:52PM (#23804122)
I very strongly disagree that we can't label some beliefs as more compelling and reflective of reality than others.

I am happy to admit that doing a good job of differentiating is tricky business indeed, and that we all make many blatant errors and are prone to developing distorted ways of seeing things.

Nonetheless, I do believe that humanity has acquired some real understanding of the world and will continue to do so.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by mcguire on Friday July 10, 2020 @06:47PM (#23797473)
No amount of "just chemistry" has yet managed to create...

Keep in mind that no amount of rocketeering has ever put a man on Mars, but that hardly constitutes a proof, or even serious evidence, that it is impossible.

Arguments from ignorance are a terrible thing.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by rutherblood on Saturday July 11, 2020 @08:31AM (#23801707)
I haven't yet managed to fit inside a toothpaste tube. But you believe in the impossibility of this right? There is no absolute belief or disbelief. It is all a continuous gradation. Some things we can bring ourselves to belief in if there is sufficient cause. Not arguing for or against the original point but just your argument and condescension.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by mcguire on Saturday July 11, 2020 @11:28AM (#23802852)
I believe I cannot not fit into a toothpaste tube for entirely different reasons than "nobody has ever done it." The latter is the assertion here.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Saturday July 11, 2020 @04:25AM (#23800513)
Stating that it has yet to be done is a fact --- and facts are not ignorance
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by mcguire on Saturday July 11, 2020 @11:29AM (#23802871)
Stating that it has not been done has no implications on whether it can be done, which is the claim being made.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Sunday July 12, 2020 @09:16AM (#23811097)
Stating that it is "just chemistry" has no implications on whether it can be done, which was the claim being made.

The fact that it has not been done with "just chemistry" is no proof but it does tend to skew the probabilities toward the view that substantially more may be required.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by doliveira on Friday July 10, 2020 @02:40PM (#23794816)
Yeah, demons may be pushing chemicals down your neurons or your soul is giving tiny electrical shocks to the axons. Anything is possible.

One would think that the synthesis of urea back in 1828 would at least weaken this argument, but hey...

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Friday July 10, 2020 @05:41PM (#23796853)
Nice straw man.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by baddox on Friday July 10, 2020 @06:59PM (#23797596)
> Life in general and your brain in particular may very well be more than "just chemistry". We really don't know.

That claim has roughly the same epistemological status as Last Thursdayism ("the world was created last Thursday in a state where we have memories and see evidence of past events but those events aren't actually real.").

> What we do know at this point is that no amount of "just chemistry" has ever managed to create even the most rudimentary form of "life" from inert chemicals.

How do we know that? Are you just talking about humans practicing chemistry?

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by neatze on Friday July 10, 2020 @10:32PM (#23798974)
Emerging field of quantum biology if fairly new, there numerous processes in neural networks for which current understanding of chemistry and mathematics is not sufficient.

For example, how transfer of functions emerges after hemispherectomy (half a brain is removed), to best of my understanding is unknown.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by awakeasleep on Friday July 10, 2020 @05:40PM (#23796842)
I'm missing a step. Is there a proof that all nature can be simulated with binary logic?
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by c1ccccc1 on Friday July 10, 2020 @06:53PM (#23797526)
If you agree that the universe is governed by the laws of quantum mechanics, that these laws are local, and that any given region of the universe can be described with a finite dimensional Hilbert space (informally speaking, it contains a finite amount of information, which is implied by the Bekenstein bound), then yes. And of course there are some theories where these assumptions don't hold where the answer is still yes. See this paper for more details: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1102.1612.pdf

(There are a few more technicalities which amount to forcing the simulator to solve an uncomputable puzzle before we tell them the laws. Let M be a turning machine that whose halting behaviour is undecidable. Even a spin-1/2 system might be "uncomputable" if all I tell you is that its Hamiltonian is (1 0; 0 1) if M halts and (1 0; 0 2) otherwise. Since a spin-1/2 system is one of the most blatantly computable things out there, this objection doesn't have much force.)

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by baddox on Friday July 10, 2020 @06:54PM (#23797542)
I'm not exactly sure what you mean by "binary logic," but there is the Church-Turing-Deutsch principle which states that a "universal computer" (essentially a working quantum computer) can simulate all physical processes. But I suspect it's not a "proof" that would satisfy skeptics.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Church%E2%80%93Turing%E2%80%93...

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by tialaramex on Saturday July 11, 2020 @03:12AM (#23800226)
It's a Strong Church-Turing so you're correct that sceptics just say they don't believe this.

Actually it's not uncommon for AI "sceptics" (the sort of people who write these articles not just people who suspect we'll have another AI Winter) to just not accept Church-Turing at all, or to insist upon squinting at it in a peculiar way that renders it tautological.

I'm consistently disappointed that people who feel they're quite sure general AI isn't possible mostly have bad intuitions about Computer Science. Twice so far I've been recommended books by sceptics "which will show you why you're wrong" and been disappointed with the poor quality of argument deployed which sometimes is little more than a show of incredulity or a resort to mysterious dualism.

A more robust attempt at this sort of argument was put up by Stevan Harnad, who taught an undergraduate class I sat in on many years ago now (one of the privileges of a post-graduate is that they're entitled to attend relevant undergraduate lectures and so I did). Harnad thinks† you need to build a robot because the intelligence will need some means to experience the universe for itself. But Harnad doesn't disbelieve that general AI is in principle possible, he just thinks our present methods can't get there.

† In general with people who've made a career of such thing they are very careful with words, and so I have doubtless mis-characterized (or even misunderstood) the details and you should blame me for that not Stevan.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by eli_gottlieb on Friday July 10, 2020 @12:59PM (#23793571)
The real question is whether Universal Turing Machines, or some equivalently powerful formalism, can create "intelligence".
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by loosetypes on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:05PM (#23793647)
How is that not the same question with fluffier terminology?
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by eli_gottlieb on Friday July 10, 2020 @02:13PM (#23794509)
Boolean circuits are memoryless, and a strictly weaker class of computation than Turing machines.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by sobellian on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:23PM (#23793913)
Is your problem digital logic? Analog computers predate digital computers. I doubt that's the sticking point but if it is, it's not an impossible hurdle.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Friday July 10, 2020 @02:21PM (#23794596)
Someone won an award for mathematically proving that a simple general purpose computer could be built from a handful of color coded wooden switches powered by a hand crank and programmed by punched tape. This simple analog device could run any possible binary logic program that could ever be created --- albeit much slower than a modern digital computer.

In other words, this rudimentary analog logic playback device is every bit as "smart" as any other binary logic computer will ever be --- which is to say, not at all.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by hutzlibu on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:12PM (#23793749)
"A computer is just a playback machine for binary logic."

If you have code changing code, based on input, which is a neural net, then you have a bit more.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:50PM (#23794241)
All purely binary logic. It can't be anything more --- this is all the hardware understands.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by chess_buster on Friday July 10, 2020 @05:42PM (#23796858)
Wrong. The process is more than the operations. A computer is not just a playback machine like a mechanical loom.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Saturday July 11, 2020 @03:39AM (#23800337)
A computer is not just a playback machine like a mechanical loom.

What is it then? Magic?

The fact that you don't understand how it works doesn't make it magical.

Every program ever written for your desktop computer was ultimately "compiled" into a long series of simple binary logic operations that your computer blindly repeats at very high speed. For every set of inputs, it recreates the same output --- kinda like a loom mechanically weaves a particular pattern at high speed once it has been "programmed" using a set of punch cards not unlike those once used to program computers.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by hutzlibu on Saturday July 11, 2020 @05:48AM (#23800819)
A video player is just a static playback machine.

A computer is dynamic playback machine, which can change what "to play" and how to play it over time.

Indeed magic, for anyone who does not understand it.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Saturday July 11, 2020 @08:54AM (#23801855)
Dynamic = Binary Logic

By it's nature, binary logic is "dynamic".

A computer is just a playback machine for binary logic.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by mcguire on Friday July 10, 2020 @06:45PM (#23797458)
Now go back to step 4, make the additional assumption that dualism is false and restart the proof.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jupp0r on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:04PM (#23793643)
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. In light of our limited understanding of how the brain works, claiming it is not possible to recreate its functions inside a computer programming is a much stronger claim than to assume that it’s possible and we just don’t know how. Unless we see a mathematical proof that it’s impossible, I think people who claim that it’s impossible are the same as people who claimed that only birds can fly and that it is impossible for machines to roam the skies.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by bena on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:23PM (#23793904)
This is just flipping the burden of proof around. What is your proof that it can be done? "But planes" is not proof.

I'm of the opinion that we don't even know what questions we are trying to answer.

What is intelligence? What is consciousness?

Can you explain them in concrete terms that are acceptable to everyone and don't have any notable exceptions? That's going to be the first step to being anywhere close to realizing general a.i..

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by vidarh on Friday July 10, 2020 @02:07PM (#23794438)
The strong indication that it can be done is that brains exists and grow guided by machinery that is computationally limited by the fact it takes up exceedingly little space, and we by extension can put an upper bound on the computational capacity of that machinery.

That there is a tough engineering job involved in reproducing such machinery so we can grown brain matter at will, and that we'd prefer our computers to be less squishy does not mean it is likely to be impossible to reproduce it.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by bena on Friday July 10, 2020 @03:45PM (#23795571)
"It exists, therefore we can make it." I don't find that line of thought compelling.

Although you can argue that we already do it because we, as a species, reproduce.

It could be quite possible that our level of intelligence is not reproducible by the means we have chosen. It could be that there is something inherent in our entire composition that allows for our particular expression of intelligence and consciousness.

I'm not saying it's impossible. I am saying that first, we don't even know what we're looking for. And when pressed as to what that is, the answer comes down to basically, "You know..." while gesturing broadly.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by vidarh on Saturday July 11, 2020 @07:36AM (#23801316)
It's indeed quite possible it is not reproducible by building digital computers out of silicon, sure, but that does not prevent us from picking another way of building them.

I'm very much sympathetic to the idea that there could potentially be aspects about the specific structure of a brain that is necessary to produce intelligence, or at least necessary for sentience. But does not inherently make it impossible to reproduce. For it to be impossible to reproduce a brain, there would need to be something in the cellular machinery used to construct a brain that we can not pick a party and replicate.

As a reminder, the argument made in the article is that it is impossible even in principle, not that it is impossible to do it using a digital computer of typical current architecture.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by bena on Saturday July 11, 2020 @09:28PM (#23807850)
And I go back to our lack of a fundamental definition of what we're trying to accomplish.

Tell me what it is first. Define "artificial general intelligence" in a way that is generally accepted.

Is it possible? I don't know because I don't even know what we're trying to do.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by quibbler on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:07PM (#23793692)
We know that machines with AGI are possible - humans are such machines.

Maybe you could discuss whether classical computers could achieve AGI, but I think overall the quest is to build machines with AGI, not necessarily in the form of classical computers.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by goatlover on Friday July 10, 2020 @06:12PM (#23797167)
> humans are such machines.

Humans are animals. Part of the paper defends the notion that a lot of human intelligence is tacit based on being embodied in the world as a living organism. The idea that humans are biological robots is only one that came about as metaphor when we created machines and some similarities were noted.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by mcguire on Friday July 10, 2020 @06:49PM (#23797489)
Are quadriplegic people "human"?
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by rutherblood on Saturday July 11, 2020 @05:57AM (#23800854)
from what I understand being "embodied" doesn't necessarily imply movement, but I am afraid even I do not understand it fully to say a computer isn't and an animal is.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by quibbler on Saturday July 11, 2020 @12:03PM (#23803154)
What does "embodied in the world as a living organism" even mean? Being embodied as a machine wouldn't be sufficient? Living organisms are "just" machines. I also don't see any reason why embodyment should be a prerequisite for thinking.
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by bena on Friday July 10, 2020 @03:57PM (#23795689)
> We know that machines with AGI are possible - humans are such machines.

Are we? How do you know this?

Define "general intelligence". Then prove we have it. Then demonstrate that this definition that includes us doesn't include something commonly accepted to not have the same qualities.

Also, if we don't have "general intelligence", what does that mean?

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by hutzlibu on Friday July 10, 2020 @01:25PM (#23793938)
"We know that machines with AGI are possible - humans are such machines."

I believe, it is disputed, whether humans are just machines. But it is mostly a matter of definition, I believe.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by baddox on Friday July 10, 2020 @07:03PM (#23797615)
To claim otherwise is to claim that there is some barrier beyond which scientific inquiry is not allowed to cross or is incapable of crossing. The epistemological status of such a claim is roughly equivalent to explaining something about the Universe by saying "it's because God did it."
Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by jqpabc123 on Saturday July 11, 2020 @04:06AM (#23800433)
No. It is not necessarily a claim that it can't be crossed, it is a claim that we currently lack the knowledge and resources needed to cross it.

We haven't figured out how to travel faster than the speed of light. That doesn't necessarily mean it can't be done. But we currently lack the knowledge and resources needed to do it.

Re:Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized by hutzlibu on Saturday July 11, 2020 @05:29AM (#23800743)
Nothing to do with god.

Machine comes from mechanic and there is doubt, that general artificial intelligence can be achieved with a mechanical base.

But if you define any complex systema machine, then yeah sure, we humans are machines. Therefore GAI can be achieved with machines. Tautological proof.