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Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by popotamonga on Thursday May 28, 2020 @10:54AM (#23337988)
It also means i can take someone else's job. It balances out.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by ReticentVole on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:02AM (#23338115)
You drive a car, I use a bus.

You eat meat, I eat potatoes.

You fly to Disneyworld, I take the train to the seaside.

You live in a big house, I live in a small apartment.

You pay American income taxes, I don't.

You demand clean air and water, I tolerate pollution.

There are some fundamental factors which make labour in other parts of the world much cheaper, and people willing to accept a much lower quality of life and associated lower incomes.

Its no wonder that big tech is so in favour of remote working - its going to allow the outsourcing of a huge amount of work (white collar) previously considered untouchable.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by josho on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:07PM (#23338909)
In addition, there are a couple concerns when branching out to other countries:

Currency exchange means some can work at a discount compared to USD

Government subsidies hoping to diversify their economy may even pay partial salaries

Strong social safety net in other countries means companies may not need to pay for health benefits for remote workers

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by wildmanx on Thursday May 28, 2020 @02:38PM (#23340768)
That strong social safety net does not fall from the sky. People in those countries just pay higher taxes instead, so if you want your employee to have the same net income, you need to increase the salary.

My American friends always rant about the high income taxes in Sweden. But my taxes include health insurance and I pay essentially nothing for kids' daycare, school and university. For people without perfect health and with kids, the total pay is worse in the U.S.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by mywittyname on Thursday May 28, 2020 @03:28PM (#23341401)
Those properties lead to inefficiencies for the workforce. Pollution negatively impacts the health of a population, including mental health. Lower taxes lead to less reliable infrastructure. And there are probably other non-obvious benefits to having a workforce living in a developed country.

Western Europe and the USA have maintained a huge advantage over the world. I wouldn't be so confident about that advantage disappearing. Much like wealthy people today are much more likely to have ancestors who were wealthy, I think people born in developed western nations are going to continue to enjoy competitive advantages over others for many more generations.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by kube-system on Thursday May 28, 2020 @03:43PM (#23341648)
It goes both ways:

* I'm online at the same time as my coworkers, you don't respond until the next business day.

* I can travel to any business location next day, you need a visa application.

* Your continued employability is subject to geopolitical risk, but California isn't sanctioning Ohio any time soon.

* I can handle sensitive data and technology, your country is subject to export controls.

* I develop rapport with customers, you don't understand the slang used in support tickets.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by frockington1 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @01:30PM (#23340017)
It also makes many parts of the world less effective. Air and water pollution can significantly impair brain function and cause stress on employees
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by new2628 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:11AM (#23338253)
Funnily, except for the pollution part, most of your items on the right seem more attractive from a quality-of-life point of view than those on the left. Flying to Disneyworld sounds like a nightmare I would never (willingly) do, but a trainride to the seaside is always nice.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by renewiltord on Thursday May 28, 2020 @01:44PM (#23340149)
Haha I have to admit I wasn't sure of his point at that stage. Taking a train to the seaside sounds sort of romantic. Flying to Disneyland sounds sort of rote. I still get the point but it is amusing.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by HarryHirsch on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:01AM (#23338098)
The more highly qualified you are the more at risk to offshoring your job is. A long time ago, Albany Molecular, a contract research organization, highlighted they were based in Albany, NY. A shithole, yes, but a shithole with cheap cost of living.

Nowadays, the PhD jobs are based in Shanghai, Szeged and Hyderabad. The only thing that's left stateside is regulatory functions and support. You don't need a PhD for that. Political leadership should be concerned about the loss of institutional knowledge and knowledge networks.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by austincheney on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:11AM (#23338243)
Speaking to web technologies specifically I have found this to be opposite at my prior employers. There is a lot of incompetence in web related technical jobs which makes it hard to trust new candidates/employees and offshore employees tended to be less trust worthy in regards to competency.

At my current employer, though, the offshore developers in India have really found the secret sauce and are really nailing productivity and code quality to the danger of US employees.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by onemoresoop on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:29PM (#23339208)
Sometimes that secret sauce is simply good local management: they shield their DEVS from noise (not only physical) and are more focused and also more specialized. A small team of focused DEVS is all it takes to maintain a codebase.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by oblio on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:04AM (#23338145)
Do you have any proof for that? Everything I know says that more qualified people congregate, in general in the places with the highest cost of living...
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by HarryHirsch on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:40AM (#23338582)
more qualified people congregate, in general in the places with the highest cost of living

That has to do with short job tenures (in the US) and industry consolidation. In the past, someone might have joined Upjohn in Kalamazoo, Eli Lilly in Indianapolis or Dow in Midland and stayed there their whole careers. Nowadays everyone changes jobs every 5 years and employment is in San Francisco, Boston and San Diego. It's problematic.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by Frost1x on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:53PM (#23339527)
>It's problematic.

I'd say that's the understatement of the century.

Mass wealth accumulation and wealth inequality has shifted power so far towards businesses that the general populous requires solving a massive orchestration problem (together) in order to change that imbalance which I'm beginning to believe may not be something that can reach critical mass and a stable state in larger populations as historically peaceful revolutions were capable of.

As such, businesses are calling the shots economically, legislatively/governmentally, culturally, ... and their interests are falling further out of alignment with most peoples' well being.

We're becoming less innovative and working more to chase short-term profit margins for employers that keep us fed and sheltered instead of pursuing societal interests.

From your DOW example and the chemical industry, DOW and those they've acquired used to innovate. In their later years they've turned in an IP portfolio management business, focusing on strategic patent purchases to stiffle competitors and eek our royalties for certain processes.

This isnt unique to the chemical industry, it's happening across the board. In the neverending quarterly optimization search space, we're making tradeoffs that are hurting us more and more leading to instability in society all to inflate a few peoples' pockets and grips on control.

The labor market has always been a target but due to social ramifications, has been largely avoided. We're now seeing more aggressive attacks on optimizing costs in the labor market in order to meet growth expectations and it's really starting to press on people. I'm just wondering at which point enough people will crack or give up instead of continuing to support the madness.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by selimthegrim on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:40AM (#23338580)
I guess the sweatshop jobs these days are mechanical Turk things in Calcutta, Bhubaneswar, and... New Orleans?

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/16/technology/ai-humans.html

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by SomeoneFromCA on Thursday May 28, 2020 @01:55PM (#23340273)
New Orleans has long been third world, should not be news to anyone.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by 52-6F-62 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:35AM (#23338509)
Totally tangential: What makes Albany a shithole? It looks like an attractive town to me...
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by nsporillo on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:54PM (#23339541)
I am from Syracuse, NY and currently live and work in Rochester, NY - Albany is a straight shot drive along I-90 and has similar socioeconomic conditions.

Upstate suffers from high taxes and regulations introduced by the Governor with NYC in mind. Combine that with long winters and urban decay and we see that many bright young professionals born here end up fleeing once their parents retire.

I personally am planning on moving to Raleigh, NC in a few years. I only rent an apartment now so I'm mostly insulated from the astronomical property and school taxes, but I feel the state as a whole does not have my best interests in mind.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by HarryHirsch on Thursday May 28, 2020 @01:51PM (#23340232)
astronomical property and school taxes

You should try no education and public services at all. Here in the rural South, 70 % of my students are incapable of doing 8th-grade math. These are the nursing school aspirants, and you genuinely fear for your life when you must go to hospital. Same with property taxes. You need functioning city services. Our county roads here are on a 70-year repaving schedule, and it shows. There was a storm a couple of weeks ago, and the town can't afford to haul away the debris. Inequality has a way of affecting even the wealthy. Hope you enjoy the Southernness of Raleigh.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by rml on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:57PM (#23339584)
It's not. It's a pretty typical smaller ("tier 2"?) city in the northeastern US, with several colleges and plenty of trees, parks, and museums. It's the seat of state government, and has quite a few really nice neighborhoods of old houses, as well as some classic brownstones, if you prefer that sort of thing. It's fairly diverse, and has good nightlife due to the large college-aged population (at least, it used to).

Unfortunately it is fashionable (among people who choose not to live in them) to talk about non "tier-1" cities as if they are "shitholes", but IMO the quality of life people experience is probably higher on average: less crowding, more open space, more housing, cleaner, less expensive.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by HarryHirsch on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:23PM (#23339111)
All these rustbelt towns are suffering from 30 years of tax base erosion and high unemployment, with nothing to replace it. It's somehow reminiscent of post-fall Trantor. Further up the I-91 corridor is nicer!
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by darepublic on Thursday May 28, 2020 @10:55AM (#23338002)
I think living in the West where dev salaries are best a lot of the readers of this blog article would be concerned about a big change to the status quo. But article is pretty speculative
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by kristianc on Thursday May 28, 2020 @10:59AM (#23338051)
You’re conflating ‘the West’ with the Bay Area. Most people in European countries, or even smaller American cities, are pretty relaxed about the idea of California job opportunities becoming more widely distributed.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by darepublic on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:39AM (#23338568)
Yea I guess that is true. But that may or may not be mistaken, I mean, depending on the skill of even lower paid devs in other parts of the world. Its hard to say how things will shake out but I would say the better you have it now the more you don't want things to change, even if there are some scenarios where you gain.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by pknopf on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:00AM (#23338075)
More competition leads to lower wages.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by ncphillips on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:03AM (#23338127)
Lower wages for SV but higher wages everywhere else.

The average developer wage for SV is $100,000 higher than the average where I live.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by neltnerb on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:19AM (#23338350)
Except for the owners of the company, they get to pocket the difference...

But of course this is less about tech workers that are already getting outsourced because the, well, workers are more technically savvy anyway so of course it happened sooner.

It is possibly more relevant to people in management, or people like professors and many other random jobs who are discovering that working from home works fine for them. Though sometimes it's questionable whether this is because their work is largely on a computer or just because they didn't do much anyway...

If we don't have permanent UBI in place soon it will continue to be an emergency response to job losses like now. The economy is shifting as surely as the sun sets to one where if you don't own or play a major leadership role you either aren't necessary or can be outsourced.

Floor workers are getting replaced with robots and touchscreens; managers are realizing they too can be outsourced; lawyers are finding that no, the work they do isn't that hard to automate; doctors are finding that machine learning can analyze images better than they can; it's not going to stop... why would it? Why would a business owner want to keep a human with a continually increasing salary around if they can possibly replace you with technology that costs your annual salary once and after that just requires maintenance?

There are cases where that's just not possible, but my imagination for what is possible to swap has definitely gotten bigger. Even if a job isn't entirely replaceable, productivity tools are making the same amount of work take a quarter of the staff.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by Mikeb85 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:52AM (#23338738)
But when you start opening up jobs to people from all over the world, those in countries with lower living costs can undercut those in higher-income countries.

Globalism has already decimated the working class in developed countries, it's only going to accelerate and get worse.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by jayd16 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:15PM (#23339019)
Salaries are set by supply and demand. Looming economic collapse aside, we can assume a move to remote work doesn't necessarily mean an increase in global supply or demand.

Salaries will even out but workers will have the ability to change jobs more easily. Companies will want to keep talent. Top tier salaries might go up as companies are now competing for talent globally.

I wonder if we'll see brain drains (without emigration) as a country's talent is bought out by a wealthier country. Would you want your country to have the salaried workers or the executives and corporate revenues(or maybe that goes into the modern incarnation of double dutch)?

Should be interesting.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by anpago on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:15AM (#23338302)
The employers can also balance out the wages.

Your saving on travel, they save on building, building services and location adjusted wages.

With huge savings being made by all businesses and less costs on the balance sheet.

Wages will come under intense scrutiny.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by josho on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:17PM (#23339053)
> Wages will come under intense scrutiny.

What's going to drive that scrutiny? Shareholders won't demand it, they'll be happy to keep the additional margin. Employees may demand more, but that will only accelerate hiring from lower wage regions.

Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by gigatexal on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:03AM (#23338129)
Agreed. Just keep investing in yourself, your network, and growing and you'll be fine. That's my hypothesis anyway. I am not the best at what I do but I am getting better everyday and I keep in touch with people doing really cool things at the biggest places in case I want to join them in doing something neat. My network came through for me when I was suddenly let go due to this pandemic and so I am giving back by helping out those coming up behind me as best I can but also investing in myself by upskilling.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by cameronbrown on Thursday May 28, 2020 @10:55AM (#23338009)
Unless their wage is much lower due to cheaper location.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by klmadfejno on Thursday May 28, 2020 @10:55AM (#23338004)
You require more wages than someone in a cheaper country (assuming some western area). It balances out, but you're at risk.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by sgift on Thursday May 28, 2020 @10:58AM (#23338036)
The same was said about offshoring and so far it worked out.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by cameronbrown on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:01AM (#23338101)
Tell that to 80s coal miners and factory workers.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by ncphillips on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:04AM (#23338132)
It's not a great comparison. Coal mining isn't knowledge work.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by cameronbrown on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:09AM (#23338225)
What - why?! Because knowledge work is more important for some reason?
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by username90 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:18AM (#23338333)
Yes? For a tech company outsourcing software creation is like outsourcing upper management, sure you can do it but then you basically move the whole business. If you want to create an American tech company then the tech needs to be built in America. Indian tech companies are not nearly as successful as American ones, so you probably want to stay an American tech company today. Once India starts cranking out companies that beats out American ones you will probably see more tech companies move their entire HQ there, but until then they will mostly stay in USA.
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by neltnerb on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:22AM (#23338381)
Is that just because the total number of jobs that would be considered to be in your field went up by 10x in the last 20 years?
Re:Remote work means anyone can take your job by klmadfejno on Thursday May 28, 2020 @11:07AM (#23338192)
I mean, it worked out for one side of that equation