War with Russia does not mean nuclear war with Russia. As we can clearly see from what Ukraine is doing to Moscow et al.

Also, an aggressive stance in fighting Russia, would have caught them early on when their military was entirely a disaster. The beating would have been an epic humiliation. Instead Russia has spent years re-learning how to wage war, which is not what you actually want.

What mechanism gives the US the power to tell Russian planes where they can and cannot fly? The US cannot simply mark an area on a map. It would have to, at a minimum, deploy a series of surface-to-air missile sites to actually shoot down those planes that violated the map.

Declaring a no fly zone would have achieved nothing. Sending air forces to enforce it would have done something. But what happens if American fighter jets engage Russians over Ukraine, while Russian air defenses support their air forces from their side of the border? Would Americans let Russians launch SAMs with impunity, or would they invade Russia, showing the world that Putin's justification for the war was in fact correct?

Maybe Putin would have chickened out when American jets show up, but you can't know that for sure. Which means you should probably decide in advance you far you are willing to escalate before you chicken out yourself.

Blocking the sale of Russian oil forced the EU to purchase US oil at a premium. Not conducive to ending the war from the US perspective.

Continued combat in Ukraine requires the purchase of US armament. Not conducive to ending the war from the US perspective.

The EU being a supplicant strengthened the US hand in trade negotiations. Not conducive to ending the war from the US perspective.

Probably much more that we don't know about driving the current situation.

But I could if I wanted.

The wars have been very profitable for certain people who planned for it.

That's chump change though. There are countless other global-scale rackets, including war crimes, that are generating far more wealth.

> Trump aims to increase US military spending to $1.5 trillion by 2027

> EU member states' defence expenditure sharply increased between 2021 and 2026. In 2025, member states' defence expenditure reached €418 billion, rising for the 11th consecutive year. In 2026, it is expected to reach an estimated €454 billion. This means that defence expenditure has increased by 75.3% compared with 2021.

"In effect, the administration is promoting European rearmament and European defense cooperation while simultaneously promoting politicians who oppose rearmament or defense cooperation."

The EU has lagged the US in economic dynamism (link below). This deficit drives the inability to project economic or military power, forcing the EU rely on the US to support its foreign policy objectives in Ukraine - a conflict considerably more relevant to the EU than to the US.

Couple that with unaffordable, state-funded entitlements, and massive immigration significantly burdening (some) exchequers, and you end up with active urban conflicts in major EU cities, forcing a diversion of resources, and even more dependence on US military support.

None of this comes for free.

And Applebaum, playing the role of a wide-eyed ingenue, claims that the EU is "being bullied", instead of presenting it as the inevitable result of decades-long unwise, failing stances taken by the bloc.

A more interesting question is whether the current political, economic, and social model of the EU is compatible with the desire to be a major global power.

https://nextbigteng.substack.com/p/american-vs-european-star...

We have serious issues like housing shortages but if we kicked out all the immigrants we still would have, just a few percent less. This is the problem with that narrative.

And life isn't all about who has the most money, that's a US-Centric view. The poorer countries in Europe are better places to live at the moment and cost of life is lower there too. Besides, those 'entitlements' really add to our quality of life. We don't have to worry about going bankrupt over a medical issue.

It's very telling of the US to always consider everything some kind of race or competition. Whereas we're not trying to win but to live together. Really if I make enough money to live comfortably without having to waste all my life at the office I'm doing well. The US has never had this kind of balance.

If anything Europe is getting too American. Too few people are holding too much of the wealth, this is why people are protesting.

It's almost like the working class is being exploited by owners of capital and the means of production.

Nobody should have to work more than 8 hours a day 5 days a week.

Restricting immigration to those with skills the country requires at the time is sensible policy. Allowing millions into the country in an orgy of performative empathy with no plan for integration or converting them into productive members of society isn't.

My point is that there is a cost associated with this, and the EU is paying it in spades. The money spent addressing these issues comes at the expense of investment in things that make the country more innovative (education, trades, streamlined regulatory structures...), or have a stronger defensive posture.

Self-evidently, life isn't exclusively about WHO has the money. Having options, however, IS exclusively the result of who has the money. When the EU have restricted their options through these voluntary and unwise choices, they have to depend on someone else's help. That someone is going to want their pound of flesh.

"Fascist" seems a little over the top to describe these views.

You’re committing a fallacy of association and then attributing that fallacy to the parent comment. Not great.

“Fascists blame everything on immigrants...” is the logical equivalent of what they said. They did not describe that opinion as fascist.

> We don't have a huge immigration problem. The immigrants are blamed for everything by the fascists, just like in America.

What do you think the word blame means

There has been one incident during the Syrian war where Angela Merkel said "wir schaffen das" but there was no coordinated grant of immigration rights in any way. And these were mostly legitimate refugees from the Syrian war.

Europe hasn't forgotten that many of us once were refugees not too long ago.

It's a problem because the right-wing keep blowing it out of proportion, but it's only based on racist underbelly feelings.

My Bangladeshi parents were in London in 2023 and they were shocked by the number of immigrants. My mom was very upset because it blew up the idea that the immigrants would act and talk exactly like British people who just happened to be less sensitive to the sun. They’re retaining their differences, they’re participating in politics in ethnic blocs, they’re raising their kids with their own culture and values. It’s the opposite of what her generation had hoped for—London becoming more like Dhaka instead of Dhaka becoming more like London.

Maybe they're posting about it on the Costa de Sol though?

Surreal comment. Tourist: "There are soo many tourists here"

> it blew up the idea that the immigrants would act and talk exactly like British people who just happened to be less sensitive to the sun.

Was that ever a requirement for immigration?

Of course they're not going to 'act and talk exactly like British people'.

> You’re also letting in the wrong kind of immigrants.

Yes, South African racists are a much better demographic.

> You don’t want to take refugees, who are generally people who are forced by external circumstances rather than internal motivation to leave their homelands.

As a grandson of people who were at some point refugees: this is utterly despicable.

It did not appear from your comment that this was a person in the west socialized to think like that but another immigrant who thought like that. Which makes it a completely irrational response. The fact that they weren't tolerant themselves of others like themselves is what makes it utterly surreal.

If there is one thing I'm proud of for NL (and I can't speak for the UK, I haven't spent enough time there but I have spent enough time in Canada to have some idea of how things work there) then it is that for the most part people here get along. The only issues that we still have is a lot of latent racism in small towns and concentrations of crime (across all cultures) related to drugs and such. The people that want to blow this out of proportion are the ones on the far right, typically their main reason for their stance is that they are afraid that new entrants are going to compete with them for social security. And to some extent they have a point.

But refugees should always be permitted to flee from wars, famine, natural disasters and whatever else can happen to people outside of their control.

The way you phrase it suggests that the crime problem is independent of immigration, which is just false. For example, children of two foreign born residents are 5 times more likely to be criminals than children of two native Dutch people. The people have every rational reason to oppose immigration if such a rise in criminality is the outcome.

> The way you phrase it suggests that the crime problem is independent of immigration

Not really. It’s still possible to “blow this out of proportion” even if the distribution does not factor along immigration status.

> The people have every rational reason to oppose immigration if such a rise in criminality is the outcome.

It’s not rational to respond to a 5x prevalence (simply using your figure for the sake of argument) as if it were 10x or 100x, and that seems closer to jacquesm’s point.

I don’t see a way around this and Europe is suffering because they don’t seem to want to accept this reality.

We just have a problem with an aging demographic but this is a temporary problem.

Unless we nuke the pension systems in Europe it's not a temporary problem, but rather one for the next 15-20 years.

Everyone saw this coming decades ago. Immigration has been the only serious solution that has been proposed so far. Unfortunately many European countries are not very attractive to those immigrants who can afford to choose.

Japan has historically restricted immigration into what was a dynamic economy, which stagnated over time.

Have you been to Appalachia? Any part of the rural south? Qualitatively poverty in the US is shameful even compared to rural China. You are living in a spreadsheet world, not the real world. Is there any value to that GDP number without raising the standards of living of Americans?

Part of the problem is that the US has always opposed us having our own nuclear deterrent. They've always opposed France and have hamstrung the UK's options. That

France has nukes.

France only has one sub guaranteed to be at sea at any one time. That's not a credible deterrent, one torpedo and it's gone.

We need to build that out to be much more resilient against counterattack.

This is why several countries are partnering with France now too build this out.

In case of a nuclear attack there is no time to build stuff obviously. A deterrent needs to be ready 24/7.

And bombers only really work when aerial supremacy has already been achieved. The US still operates some but constant flights were dropped in the 60s like chrome dome.

For Europe to be completely independent from the US for its deterrent (and thus not being able to be blackmailed by Trump) we'll need our own ICBM platform and more subs.

https://youtu.be/821R0lGUL6A?si=TKfi83pBlcMEqQg4&t=366

Europeans are genocidal lunatics. There were incidents of ethnic cleansing as late as the early 2000s. Telling countries like germany to rearm is lunacy

On the one hand, there are only politicians available in two kinds: those who insist on blindly glazing the US regardless of the harm it does to Europe and those who insist on blindly glazing the Russia/China/Iran axis regardless of the harm it does to Europe. All of them occasionally implement one-off military spending programs while permitting long term trends of worse military, energy, machine tools, infrastructure, mining, smelting and reserve readiness spending.

In Italy, Spain, Austria, Romania, Sweden and Britain (the six cases I'm familiar with, three from business travel, one from holidaying and two from deep interest) the occasional politician (one person country per 3-5 years) who does want Europe to have independent expeditionary military partnering with Africa and the Middle East, totally disconnected from either superpower bloc and their goods, services, politics and ideologies is ridiculed up until they say something negative about [emotional support ethnostate of either bloc, they both have them], at which point they are dealt with through lawfare, debanking, travel bans and intimidation of their families.

.

It is entirely predictable given the history of Europe. Sovereignty in Europe was dismantled by the US and Russia over the 20th century, the 1944 conferences being the most irreversible moment, and it can only recover if they both implode, not just one. Neither of them are imploding at the present time.

Adapting, avoiding being squeezed, these are the loser options of a bully victim whining that they aren't being left alone. Keeping to the metaphor of a bully, you're only worth leaving alone the minute you die and not a moment before, and the world is run by bullies. Using a more unsanitised and true metaphor, dogs and wolves get a dopamine-reward signal in their ventral striatum when they hear the prey animal in their jaws squeal.

The problem with partisan politics is that no part of it is able to admit that both 90% of Al Jazeera and 90% of Radio Free Asia are the unvarnished truth at the same time.

- we want to but cannot because we could not project that the country which convinced us to embrace our current political and economic system would abandon it and punish us for following - saying the world is dog eat dog is a self fulfilling prophecy; after the 20th century in Europe was characterised by war, the post-war federation and economic cooperation has made intra European bloc war impossible. This is rightly considered a success in Europe, and explains why we tend not to see world matters as zero-sum. American education teaches war in a transactional economic way that does not resonate with our collective imagination, due to our own scars from war

It is easy (and partly fair) to blame the European bloc for a lack of organisation and foresight but in fairness, it was hard to imagine the US govt would act in a form of economic self-sabotage as a means of political pressure. And deterrents and preparation for the possible are not free. Hindsight is not an answer.

Capitalists set the world on fire to get the biggest mansion on the moon.