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Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by hansmayer on Monday December 29, 2025 @05:30PM (#46426631)
> I’ve done things with Claude I never thought possible for myself to do,

That's the point champ. They seem great to people when they apply them to some domain they are not competent it, that's because they cannot evaluate the issues. So you've never programmed but can now scaffold a React application and basic backend in a couple of hours? Good for you, but for the love of god have someone more experienced check it before you push into production. Once you apply them to any area where you have at least moderate competence, you will see all sorts of issues that you just cannot unsee. Security and performance is often an issue, not to mention the quality of code....

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by cmrdporcupine on Monday December 29, 2025 @05:43PM (#46426797)
This is remarkably dismissive and comes across as arrogant. In reality they assist many people with expert skills in a domain in getting things done in areas they are competent in, without getting bogged down in tedium.

They need a heavy hand to police to make sure they do the right thing. Garbage in, garbage out.

The smarter the hand of the person driving them, the better the output. You see a problem, you correct it. Or make them correct it. The stronger the foundation they're starting from, the better the production.

It's basically the opposite of what you're asserting here.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by aspenmartin on Monday December 29, 2025 @05:38PM (#46426734)
Seems fine, works, is fine, is better than if you had me go off and write it on my own. You realize you can check the results? You can use Claude to help you understand the changes as you read through them? I mean I just don’t get this weird “it makes mistakes and it’s horrible if you understand the domain that it is generating over” I mean yes definitely sometimes and definitely not other times. What happens if I DONT have someone more experienced to consult with or that will ignore me because they are busy or be wrong because they are also imperfect and not focused. It’s really hard to be convinced that this point of view is not just some knee jerk reaction justified post hoc
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by hansmayer on Monday December 29, 2025 @06:18PM (#46427261)
Yes you can ask them "to check it for you". The only little problem is as you said yourself "they make mistakes", therefore : YOU CANNOT TRUST THEM. Just because you tell them to "check it" does not mean they will get it right this time. Again, however it seems "fine" to you, please, please, please / have a more senior person check that crap before you inflict serious damage somewhere.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by aspenmartin on Monday December 29, 2025 @07:05PM (#46427742)
Nope, you read their code, ask them to summarize changes to guide your reading, ask it why it made certain decisions you don’t understand and if you don’t like their explanations you change it (with the agent!). Own and be responsible for the code you commit. I am the “most senior”, and at large tech companies that track, higher level IC corresponds to more AI usage, hmm almost like it’s a useful tool.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by bccdee on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:02AM (#46429708)
Ok but you understand that the fundamental nature of LLMs amplifies errors, right? A hallucination is, by definition, a series of tokens which is plausible enough to be indistinguishable from fact to the model. If you ask an LLM to explain its own hallucinations to you, it will gladly do so, and do it in a way that makes them seem utterly natural. If you ask an LLM to explain its motivations for having done something, it will extemporize whichever motivation feels the most plausible in the moment you're asking it.

LLMs can be handy, but they're not trustworthy. "Own and be responsible for the code you commit" is an impossible ideal to uphold if you never actually sit down and internalize the code in your code base. No "summaries," no "explanations."

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by dent9 on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @10:35AM (#46434331)
So your argument is that if people don't use the tool correctly they might get incorrect results? How is that relevant? If you Google search for the wrong query you'll similarly get incorrect results
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by oooyay on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:11AM (#46429761)
> That's the point champ.

Friendly reminder that this style of discourse is not very welcome on HN: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @02:08AM (#46430390)
What you wrote here was relevant about 9 months ago. It’s now outdated. The pace and velocity of improvement of Ai can only be described as violent. It is so fast that there are many people like you who don’t get it.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by leptons on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @04:18AM (#46431217)
The last big release from OpenAI was a big giant billion-dollar flop. Its lackluster update was written about far and wide, even here on HN. But maybe you're living in an alternate reality?
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @09:34AM (#46433692)
I use Claude code.

My experience comes from the fact that after over a decade of working as a swe I no longer write code. It’s not some alternate reality thing or reading headlines. It’s my daily life that has changed.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by andrekandre on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @02:06PM (#46436756)

  > I no longer write code
do you review it before checking it in?
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @11:51PM (#46441395)
Have you used AI before? Agentic systems are set up so it gives you a diff before even making committing to a change. Sounds like you haven’t really used AI agentically yet.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by hansmayer on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @03:00AM (#46430704)
Yeah, sure buddy :)
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by baq on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @03:22AM (#46430835)
Disrespect the trend line and get rolled over by the steamroller. Labs are cooking and what is available commercially is lobotomized for safety and alignment. If your baseline of current max capability is sonnet 4.5 released just this summer you’re going to be very surprised in the next few months.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by leptons on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @04:20AM (#46431231)
meh. I'll believe it when I see it. We've been promised so many things in this space, over and over, that never seem to materialize.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by llmslave2 on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @05:13AM (#46431580)
I don't understand this idea that non-believers will be "steamrolled" by those who are currently adopting AI into their workflows. If their claims are validated and the new AI workflows end up achieving that claimed 10x productivity speedup, or even a 2x speedup, nobody is cursed to be steamrolled - they'll simply adopt those same workflows same as everyone else. In the meantime they aren't wasting their time trying to figure out the best way to coax and beg the LLM's into better performance.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by baq on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @07:39AM (#46432720)
That's actually what I'm arguing for; use tools where they are applicable. I'm against blind contrarianism and the 'nothing ever happens' attitude since that IME is being proven more wrong each week.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by hansmayer on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @05:53AM (#46431932)
Right, like I was steamrolled by the "Team of Pocket Ph.D Experts" announced earlier this year with ChatGPT 5 ? Remember that underwhelming experience? The Grok to which you could "paste your entire source code file"? The constantly debilitating Claude models? Satya Nadella desperately dropping down to a PO role and bypassing his executives to try and micro-manage Copilot product development because the O365 Copilot experience is experiencing a MASSIVE pushback globally from teams and companies forced to use it ? Or is there another steamrolling coming around? What is this time? Zuckerberg implements 3D avatars in a metaverse with legs that can walk around and talk to us via LLMs? And then they sit down at virtual desks and type on virtual keyboards to produce software? Enlighten me please!
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @09:27AM (#46433628)
First examine your post. Can you create a 3D avatar with legs that can walk and talk?

If not, then for this area you’ve been steam rolled.

Anyway main point is, you’re looking at the hype headlines which are ludicrous. Where most optimists come from is that they are using it in the daily to code. To them it’s right in front of their eyes.

I’m not sure what your experience is but my opinion on AI doesn’t come from speculation. It comes from on the ground experience on how AI currently has changed my job role completely. If I hold the technology to be fixed and to not improve into the future then my point still stands. I’m not speculating. Most AI optimists aren’t speculating.

The current on the ground performance is what’s causing the divide. Some people have seen it fully others only have a rudimentary trial.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by elktown on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @09:58AM (#46433919)
I have a hard time trusting the judgement of someone writing this:

> I no longer write code. I’ve been a swe for over a decade. AI writes all my code following my instructions. My code output is now expected to be 5x what it was before because we are now augmented by AI. All my coworkers use AI. We don’t use ChatGPT we use anthropic. If I didn’t use AI I would be fired for being too slow.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46175628

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @11:47AM (#46435132)
Explain to me why my judgement is flawed. What I’m saying is true.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by elktown on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:01PM (#46435296)
Because, among other claims, "5x now or you're fired!" is completely ridiculous.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:15PM (#46435479)
Bro no one said 5x now or your fired that’s your own imagination adding flavor to it.

It’s obvious to anyone if your output is 5x less than everyone else you will eventually be let go. There’s no paradigm shift where the boss suddenly announced that. But the underlying unsaid expectation is obvious given what everyone is doing.

What happened was this, a couple new hires and some current employees started were using AI. There output was magnified and they were not only having more output but they were deploying code outside their areas of expertise doing dev ops, infra, backend and frontend.

This spread and within months everyone in the company was doing it. The boss can now throw a frontend job to a backend developer and now expect completion in a day or less. This isn’t every task but such output for the majority of tasks it’s normal.

If you’re not meeting that norm it’s blindingly obvious. The boss doesn’t need to announce anything when everyone is faster. There was no deliberate culture shift where the boss announced it. The closest equivalent is the boss hiring a 10x engineer to work alongside you and you have to scramble to catch up. The difference is now we know exactly what is making each engineer 10x and we can use that tool to also operate at that level.

Critical thinking my ass. You’re just labeling and assuming things with your premeditated subconscious bias. If anything it’s your perspective that is religious.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by elktown on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:31PM (#46435698)
> they were deploying code outside their areas of expertise doing dev ops, infra, backend and frontend.

> The boss can now throw a frontend job to a backend developer and now expect completion in a day or less.

Right. So essentially vibe coding in unknown domains, sounds great. Truly professional.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:58PM (#46436012)
Also can you please stop stalking me and just respond to my points instead of digging through my whole profile and attempting to do character assassinations based off of what I wrote in the past? Thanks.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:52PM (#46435952)
Whether you agree with it or not is besides the point. The point is it’s happening.

Your initial stance was disbelief. Now you’re just looking down at it as unprofessional.

Bro, I fucking agree. It’s unprofessional. But the entire point initially was that you didn’t believe it and my objective was to tell you that this is what’s happening in reality. Scoff at it all you want, as AI improves less and less “professional” people will be able to enter our field and operate at the same level as us.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by baq on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @10:18AM (#46434130)
You should drop the prejudice and focus to be aware of the situation. This is happening all over the world, most people who have crossed this bridge just don’t share, just like they don’t share that they’ve brushed their teeth this morning.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by elktown on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @10:47AM (#46434475)
I think I'll keep defaulting to critical thinking rather than some kinda pseudo-religious "crossing the bridge" talk.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by baq on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:00PM (#46435284)
Just a metaphore - used to code by hand, now he doesn't, but still produces software. Keep religion out of this.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by elktown on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:08PM (#46435396)
No one shrugs off 5x like brushing one's teeth in the morning. That makes no sense.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:22PM (#46435576)
People are sharing it. Look at this entire thread. It’s so conflicted.

We have half the thread saying it’s 5x and the other half saying they’re delusional and lack critical thinking.

I think it’s obvious who lacks critical thinking. If half the thread is saying on the ground AI has changed things and the other half just labels everyone as crazy without investigation… guess which one didn’t do any critical thinking?

Last week I built an app that cross compiled into Tauri and electron that’s essentially a google earth clone for farms. It uses mapbox and deckgl and you can play back gps tracks of tractor movements and the gps traces change color as the tractor moves in actual real time. There’s pausing, seeking, bookmarking, skipping. All happening in real time because it’s optimized to use shader code and uniforms to do all these updates rather than redrawing the layers. There’s also color grading for gps fix values and satellite counts which the user can switch instantaneously to with zero slow down on tracks with thousands and thousands of points. It all interfaces with an API that scans gcp storage for gps tracks and organizes it into a queryable api that interfaces with our firebase based authentication. The backend is deployed by terraform and written in strictly typed typescript and it’s automatically deployed and checked by GHA. Of course the electron and tauri app have GUI login interfaces that work fully correctly with the backend api and it all looks professionally designed like a movie player merged with Google earth for farm orchards.

I have rudimentary understanding for many of the technologies involved in the above. But I was able to write that whole internal tool in less than a week thanks to AI. I couldn’t have pulled it off without rudimentary understanding of the tech so some novice swe couldn’t really do it without the optimizations I used but that’s literally all I needed. I never wrote shader code for prod in my life and left to its own devices the AI would have come up with an implementation that’s too laggy to work properly.

That’s all that’s needed. Some basic high level understanding and AI did everything else and now our company has an internal tool that is polished beyond anything that would’ve been given effort to before AI.

I’m willing to bet you didn’t use AI agents in a meaningful way. Maybe copying and pasting some snippets of code into a chatbot and not liking the output. And then you do it every couple of weeks to have your finger on the pulse of AI.

Go deeper. Build an app with AI. Hand hold it into building something you never built before. It’s essentially a pair programming endeavor. Im willing to bet you haven’t done this. Go in with the goal of building something polished and don’t automatically dismiss it when the AI does something stupid (it inevitably will) Doing this is what actual “critical thinking” is.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by elktown on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:38PM (#46435786)
> I think it’s obvious who lacks critical thinking.

My critical thinking is sharp enough to recognize that you're the recently banned ninetyninenine user [0]. Just as unbalanced and quarrelsome as before I can see. It's probably better to draw some conclusion from a ban and adjust, or just leave.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45988923

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @12:49PM (#46435921)
I’m not that guy lol.

Why don’t you respond to my points rather than attack me.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by elktown on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @01:48PM (#46436535)
> Why don’t you respond to my points

Because I believe you have a "flexible" relationship to the truth, so I'm not wasting any more time.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @02:55PM (#46437267)
Like you bs accusations? Alright then. Good day to you sir.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by baq on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @05:35PM (#46438895)
You're confusing critical thinking with having an axe to grind it seems. Bye.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by threethirtytwo on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @09:31AM (#46433659)
He won’t be steam rolled. But he will eat his words.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by goatlover on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @06:30AM (#46432212)
Right, the Singularity will be here any day now. We can all just sit back and collect our UBI while plugging into the Matrix. /s
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by meindnoch on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @08:20AM (#46433070)
Sure. Just hurry up bro, because Kurzweil is not getting any younger.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by wiseowise on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @02:36AM (#46430557)
> So you've never programmed but can now scaffold a React application and basic backend in a couple of hours?

Ahaha, weren’t you the guy who wrote an opus about planes? Is this your baseline for “stuff where LLMs break and real engineering comes into the room”? There’s a harsh wake up call for you around the corner.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by hansmayer on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @02:55AM (#46430678)
What wake up call mate? I've been on board as early adopter with GH Copilot closed beta since 2021, it was around time when you did not even hear about the LLMs. I am just being realistic about the limits of the technology. In the 90s, we did not need to convince people about the Internet. It just worked. Also - what opus? Have the LLMs affected your attention span so much, that you consider what typically an primary school first-grader would read during their first school class, an "opus" no less? No wonder you are so easily impressed.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by matthewmacleod on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @03:26AM (#46430857)
I expect it’s your “I’m an expert and everyone else is merely an idiot child” attitude that’s probably making it hard to take you seriously.

And don’t get me wrong - I totally understand this personality. There are a similar few I’ve worked with recently who are broadly quite skeptical of what seems to be an obvious fact to me - their roles will need to change and their skillsets will have to develop to take advantage of this new technology.

Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by hansmayer on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @05:47AM (#46431879)
I am a bit tired of explaining, but I run my own company, so its not like I have to fear my "roles and responsibilities" changing - I am designing them myself. I also am not a general skeptic of the "YAGNI" type - my company and myself have been early adopters on many trends. Those that made sense of course. We also tried to be early adopters of LLMs, all the way since 2021. And I am sorry if that sounds arrogant to you, but anyone still working on them and with them to me looks like the folks who were trying to build computers and TVs with the vaccuum tubes. With the difference that vaccuum tubes computers were actually useful at the time.
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by cheevly on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @09:11AM (#46433474)
What would you need to see to change your mind? I can generate at mind-boggling scale. What’s your threshold for realizing you might not have explored every possible vector for AI capabilities?
Re:The Future of Software Development Is Software Developers by dent9 on Tuesday December 30, 2025 @10:31AM (#46434282)
95% of companies fail. Yours will too, don't worry. Amazon themselves have already been using in-house versions of this to build AWS for over a year https://kiro.dev/ you can either continue adopting AI in your company or you can start filing your company bankruptcy papers