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Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by Mistletoe on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:26AM (#42522267)
But please accept that you are in a small subset of people that it is very useful to. Every time I hear someone championing AI, it is a coder. AI is basically useless to me, it is just a convoluted expensive google search.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by Ukv on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:37AM (#42522355)
Particularly given the article's target is "systems based on large neural networks" and not specifically LLMs, I'd claim there are a vast number of uncontroversially beneficial applications: language translation, video transcription, material/product defect detection, weather forecasting/early warning systems, OCR, spam filtering, protein folding, tumor segmentation, drug discovery and interaction prediction, etc.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by AnotherGoodName on Friday December 27, 2024 @11:36AM (#42523555)
I'd argue that's just because coders are first to line up for this.

There was a different thread on this site i read where a journalist used the wrong units of measurement (kilowatts instead of killowatt-hours for energy storage). You could paste the entire article into chatGPT with a prompt "spot mistakes in the following; [text]" and get an appropriate correction for this and similar mistakes the author made.

As in there's journalists right now posting articles with clear mistakes that could have been proof read more accurately than they were if they were willing to use AI. The only excuse i could think of is resistance to change. A lot of professions right now could do their job better if they leant on the current generation of AI.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by herval on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:32AM (#42522315)
it's _extremely_ useful for lawyers, arguably even more so than for coders, given how much faster they can do stuff. They're also extremely useful for anyone who writes text and wants a reviewer. Also capable to execute most daily activities of some roles, such as TPMs.

It's still useful to a small subset of all those professions - the early adopters. Same way computers were useful to many professionals before the UI (but only a small fraction of them had the skillset to use terminals)

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by spzb on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:45AM (#42522447)
Except for those lawyers who rely on it for case law eg https://law.justia.com/cases/federal/district-courts/new-yor...
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by herval on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:47AM (#42522465)
I think the big mistake is _blindly relying on the results_ - although that problem has been improving dramatically (gpt3.5 hallucinated constantly, I rarely see a hallucination w/ the latest gpt/claude models)
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by singleshot_ on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:40AM (#42522399)
> it's _extremely_ useful for lawyers,

How so? How are you using LLMs to practice law? Genuinely curious.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by herval on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:46AM (#42522450)
multiple lawyer friends I know are using chatgpt (and custom gptees) for contract reviews. They upload some guidelines as knowledge, then upload any new contract for validation. Allegedly replaces hours of reading. This is a large portion of the work, in some cases. Some of them also use it to debate a contract, to see if there's anything they overlooked or to find loopholes. LLMs are extremely good at that kind of constrained creativity mode where they _have_ to produce something (they suck at saying "I dont know" or "no"), so I guess it works as sort of a "second brain" of sorts, for those too.

There's even reported cases of entire legislations being written with LLMs already [1]. I'm sure there's thousands more we haven't heard about - the same way researchers are writing papers w/ LLMs w/o disclosing it

[1] https://olhardigital.com.br/2023/12/05/pro/lei-escrita-pelo-...

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by rsynnott on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:55AM (#42522513)
Five years later, when the contract turns out to be defective, I doubt the clients are going to be _thrilled_ with “well, no, I didn’t read it, but I did feed it to a magic robot”.

Like, this is malpractice, surely?

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by transcriptase on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:06AM (#42522631)
It only has to be less likely to cause that issue than a paralegal to be a net positive.

Some people expect AI to never make mistakes when doing jobs where people routinely make all kinds of mistakes of varying severity.

It’s the same as how people expect self-driving cars to be flawless when they think nothing of a pileup caused by a human watching a reel while behind the wheel.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by voltaireodactyl on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:33AM (#42522939)
In the pileup example, the human driver is legally at fault. If a self driving car causes the pileup, who is at fault?
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by qup on Friday December 27, 2024 @11:39AM (#42523594)
Well, maybe its wheel fell off.

So, the mechanic who maintenanced it last?

...

We don't fault our tools, legally. We usually also don't fault the manufacturer, or the maintenance guy. We fault the people using them.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by herval on Friday December 27, 2024 @01:24PM (#42524601)
My understanding is the firm operating the car is liable, in the full self driving case of commercial vehicles (waymo). The driver is liable in supervised self driving cases (privately owned Tesla)
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by WhyOhWhyQ on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:33AM (#42522935)
Any evidence it's actually better than a paralegal? I doubt it is.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by herval on Friday December 27, 2024 @12:39PM (#42524196)
This is malpractice the same way that a coder using Copilot is malpractice
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by tiahura on Friday December 27, 2024 @11:19AM (#42523408)
Drafting demand letters, drafting petitions, drafting discovery requests, drafting discovery responses, drafting golden rule letters, summarizing meet and confer calls, drafting motions, responding to motions, drafting depo outlines, summarizing depos, …

If you’re not using ai in your practice, you’re doing a disservice to your clients.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by singleshot_ on Friday December 27, 2024 @12:52PM (#42524323)
How do you get the LLM to the point where it can draft a demand letter? I guess I'm a little confused as to how the LLM is getting the particulars of the case in order to write a relevant letter. Are you typing all that stuff in as a prompt? Are you dumping all the case file documents in as prompts and summarizing them, and then dumping the summaries into the prompt?
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by tiahura on Friday December 27, 2024 @01:02PM (#42524412)
Demand letters are the easiest. Drag and drop police report and medical records. Tell it to draft a demand letter. For most things, there are only a handful critical pages in the medical records, so if the original pdf is too big, I’ll trim excess pages. I may also add my personal case notes.

I use a custom prompt to adjust the tone, but that’s about it.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by singleshot_ on Saturday December 28, 2024 @11:25AM (#42532100)
I feel pretty uncomfortable dumping A/C privileged material into ChatGPT. Am I wrong? Or are you just limiting this to non-privileged material always?
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by herval on Friday December 27, 2024 @05:43PM (#42526758)
curious about what tools you're using - is it just chatgpt? Any other apps/services/models?
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by bdangubic on Friday December 27, 2024 @06:15PM (#42526956)
I use the same and have stopped needing lawyers for many things I used to. paying for chatgpt pro pays for itself.

imo while many here on HN debate the future of SWEs in the era of LLMs, there is no debate about future of many legal jobs - they will disappear

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by tiahura on Friday December 27, 2024 @06:08PM (#42526914)
Just ChatGPT and claude
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by drooby on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:42AM (#42522413)
> convoluted expensive google search

Interesting, I'm the opposite now. Why would I click a couple links to read a couple (verbose) blog posts when I can read a succinct LLM response. If I have low confidence in the quality of the response then I supplement with Google search.

I feel near certain that I am saving time with this method. And the output is much more tuned to the context and framing of my question.

Hah, take for example my last query in ChatGPT:

> Are there any ancient technologies that when discovered furthered modern understanding of its field?

ChatGPT gave some great responses, super fast. Google also provides some great results (though some miss the mark), but I would need to parse at least three different articles and condense the results.

To be fair, ChatGPT gives some bad responses too.. But both an LLM and Google search should be used in conjunction to perform a search at the same time.

Use LLMs as breadth-first search, and Google as depth-first search.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by sebastiansm on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:39AM (#42522386)
Yesterday ChatGPT helped me to elaborate a skincare routine for my wife with multiple serums and creams that she received for Christmas. She and I had no idea when to apply, how to combine or when to avoid combination of some of those products.

I could have google it myself in the evenings and had the answer in a few days of research, but with o1 in a 15min session my wife had had a solid weekly routine, the reasoning about those choices and academic papers with research about those products. (Obviously she knows a lot about skincare in general, so she had the capacity to recognize any wrong recommendation).

Nothing game changer, but is great to save lots of time in this kind of tasks.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by irunmyownemail on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:01AM (#42522588)
It's 2 days after Christmas, too early to know the impact of the purchases made based on what AI recommended, either positive or negative.

If you're relying on AI to replace a human doctor trained in skin care or alternatively, your Google skills; please consider consulting an actual doctor.

If she "knows a lot about skincare in general, so she had the capacity to recognize any wrong recommendation", then what did AI actually accomplish in the end.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by YeGoblynQueenne on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:37AM (#42522993)
>> It's 2 days after Christmas, too early to know the impact of the purchases made based on what AI recommended, either positive or negative.

No worries, I can tell you what to expect: nothing. No effect. Zilch. Nada. Zero. Those beauty creams are just a total scam and that's obvious from the fact they're targetted just as well to women who don't need them (young, good skin) as to ones who do (older, bad skin).

About the only thing the beauty industry has figured out really works in the last five or six decades is Tretinoin, but you can use that on its own. Yet it's sold as one component in creams with a dozen others, that do nothing. Except make you spend money.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by YeGoblynQueenne on Friday December 27, 2024 @05:44PM (#42526761)
Forgot to say: you can buy Tretinoin at the pharmacy, over the counter even depending on where you are. They sell it as a treatment for acne. It's also shown to reduce wrinkles in RCTs [1]. It's dirt cheap and you absolutely don't need to buy it as a beauty cream and pay ten times the price.

_____________

[1] Topical tretinoin for treating photoaging: A systematic review of randomized controlled trials (2022)

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9112391/

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by jodrellblank on Tuesday December 31, 2024 @02:29PM (#42561128)
It's a teratogen causing birth defects and miscarriages, so severe that "women of child bearing age taking isotretinoin are required to register for the iPLEDGE program. The iPLEDGE program requires that women taking isotretinoin undergo frequent pregnancy tests and commit to using two (2) forms of birth control in order to prevent themselves from getting pregnant."[1]

From Wikipedia[2]: "Isotretinoin is a teratogen; there is about a 20–35% risk for congenital defects in infants exposed to the drug in utero, and about 30–60% of children exposed to isotretinoin prenatally have been reported to show neurocognitive impairment".

See also pages like r/AccutaneRecovery[3] for people harmed by using it for acne, reporting systemic damage, perhaps permanent damage.

Scroll down[1] for the picture of some of the possible side effects of oral Accutane/Isotretinoin on the mother[3] and note that Wikipedia says "the most common adverse effects are dry lips (cheilitis), dry and fragile skin (xeroderma), dry eyes[8] and an increased susceptibility to sunburn" and wonder how a beauty treatment which improves skin condition has most common side effects which ruin skin condition.

This line of inquiry leads to a fun conspiracy/woo hypothesis; Grant Genereux[5]'s claims that what it does is trigger stem cells to differentiate in the epithelial layers of the skin, which makes thicker skin in the short term (wrinkle free) and worn out stem cells and thick skin in the longer term - and that many small vessels in the body have an epithelial lining of 'internal skin' and that thickens by the same mechanism leading to narrowing and closing of all kinds of internal vessels - tear ducts and sweat glands and blood vessels and inside the kidneys and liver and inner ear, etc. which cause the dry skin and dry eyes "side effects" (direct effects really) seen outside, and the organ damage/dizziness/etc. seen inside. And that it's a teratogen by getting inside cells, damaging them, damaging the DNA/protein building mechanisms causing wider systemic damage which can be long term and is not cleared up by stopping taking Accutane, this is misunderstood as retinoids "mediating hundreds of gene expressions" but is really shotgun chaotic damage and that's why there isn't a single symptom to look for and how it gets diagnosed as many different organ-specific diseases instead of retinoid toxicity damage. And/or causing cellular apoptosis with immune system response to a percieved 'attack', which is then seen as organ damage with immune system activity present, and misdiagnosed as "autoimmune" where the immune system has decided to attack an organ for no reason, which is why autoimmune disorders never have treatments or cures and why they cluster (people with one often get more) despite no good reason that should happen.

And that this whole collection of behaviours is triggered by food with Vitamin A (retinol in the tretinoin family) in it such as dairy and meat fat and Cod Liver oil, and foods with Beta Carotene (retinoids in the same family) such as orange/yellow/dark green coloured fruits and vegetables, and fortified Vitamin A in low-fat dairy and flours and other products through the USA/Europe. And it doesn't take much more than the RDA of Vitamin A to become problematic, and once it builds up in the body beyond the level the body can handle over a few decades, it's like blue touch paper waiting to be lit. Which, he suggests, is why auto-immune disorders cluster together (if you get one, you likely get more), why Eastern Canada Prince Edward Island near a Cod Liver Oil refinery was the highest incidence of Alzheimers in the world and that has been dropping since the refinery closed, and many more connection-between-retinoids-and-disease-states including claims by other people[6].

(I called it a 'fun' idea - it is at least fun along the lines of Tyler Vigen's spurious correlation noticer. https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations even if the main idea is not true).

[1] https://www.acne.org/accutane-in-pregnancy

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isotretinoin

[3] https://www.acne.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/04-accutane-...

[4] https://www.reddit.com/r/AccutaneRecovery/comments/1c28jgg/a...

[5] https://ggenereux.blog/my-ebooks/

[6] https://nutritionrestored.com/blog-forum/topic/the-known-his... - blog post about paper observing hypervitaminosis-A bone damage in fossil skeletons, articles observing hysteria in Eskimo women, speculated to be caused by Vitamin A toxicity from Atlantic fish liver (callback to Atlantic coast cod-liver oil refinery), connection between hypervitaminosis A and calcified arteries, connection between hypervitaminosis A and scoliosis, hypervitaminosis A in small animals causes bone growth problems and symptoms of depression.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by exe34 on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:52AM (#42522501)
Mention bleach and motor oil and see if it manages to exclude those!
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by diego_sandoval on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:14AM (#42522719)
If you think it won't exclude them 100% of the time, then you haven't used o1.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by davidmurdoch on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:31AM (#42522303)
Do you not use it to try learning new things? I use it to help get familiar with new software (recently for FreeCAD), or new concepts (passive speaker crossover design).
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by tossandthrow on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:30AM (#42522296)
I use ai to care for my plants, to give me recipes for pan pancakes, to help me fix my coffee machine.

LLMs as a popularized thing is just about 2 years old. It is still mainly early adopters.

For smartphones it might have taken 10 to 15 years to gain widespread traction.

I think it is safe to say that we are only scratching the surface.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by Loughla on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:38AM (#42522377)
>It is still mainly early adopters.

I just disagree with this. Every b2b or saas is marketing itself as using hallucination free AI.

We're waaaaayyyyyy past the early adoption stage, and the product hasn't meaningfully improved.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by coffeebeqn on Friday December 27, 2024 @11:27AM (#42523482)
I also use it for plant care tips. What should I feed this plant and what kind of soil to use and all the questions I never bothered to Google and crawl through some long blog article on
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by giraffe_lady on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:37AM (#42522359)
These are not categories that needed this change or benefit from it. Specific plant care is one of the easiest things to find information about. And are you serious you couldn't find a pancake recipe? The coffee machine idk it depends on what you did. But the other two are like a parody of AI use cases. "We made it slightly more convenient, but it might be wrong now and also burns down a tree every time you use it."
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by qup on Friday December 27, 2024 @11:45AM (#42523651)
> "We made it slightly more convenient, but it might be wrong now and also burns down a tree every time you use it."

Sounds like early criticisms of the internet. I assume you mean he should be doing those things with a search engine, but maybe we shouldn't allow that either. Force him to use a book! It may be slightly less convenient, and could still be wrong, but...

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by tossandthrow on Friday December 27, 2024 @01:06PM (#42524458)
I ought to ask my dead grandma to save a kg of co2.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by giraffe_lady on Friday December 27, 2024 @03:16PM (#42525642)
Before crypto and AI computing in general and the internet in particular were always an incredible deal in terms of how much societal value we get out of it for the electricity consumed.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by mbesto on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:49AM (#42523121)
Not a coder here (although I can code). I use LLMs 15+ time a day.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by y1n0 on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:35AM (#42522339)
My wife uses it almost as much as me which isn’t quite daily. She is not a coder whatsoever.

I’ll ask her what her use cases are and reply here later if I don’t forget.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by y1n0 on Wednesday January 01, 2025 @04:35PM (#42569508)
She uses gpt as an editor for her emails and web content. she’ll just say "improve this," she gets options for how she might say something in a different way.

When preparing for a summit, she gave it a list of broad topics she wanted to cover. Gpt generated a list of specific titles and descriptions for her talks. This in turn gave her specific ideas to write talks about instead of just the broad topic.

When she wasn’t sure about the sequence of her talks, she asked GPT for advice on the order. GPT suggested an arrangement that created a logical flow and the reasoning for that flow, which ended up being pretty good.

She often uses gpt as a sounding board for ideas. She said she likes having an always-available colleague to bounce thoughts off of.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by paulcole on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:33AM (#42522942)
> Every time I hear someone championing AI, it is a coder

The argument I make is why aren’t more people finding ways to code with AI?

I work in a leadership role at a marketing agency and am a passable coder for scripts using Python and/or Google Apps Scripts. In the past year, I’ve built more useful and valuable tools with the help of AI than I had in the 3 or so years before.

We’re automating more boring stuff than ever before. It boggles my mind that everybody isn’t doing this.

In the past, I was limited by technical ability because my knowledge of our business and processes was very high. Now I’m finding that technical ability isn’t my limitation, it’s how well I can explain our processes to AI.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by josh2600 on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:31AM (#42522306)
Wow, this is a wild opinion. I wonder how many people you’ve talked to about this?

I know tons of people in my social groups that love AI and use it every day in it’s current form.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by stickfigure on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:37AM (#42522358)
> convoluted expensive google search

I'd call it a working google search, unlike, you know, google these days.

Actually google's LLM-based search results have been getting better, so maybe this isn't the end of the line for them. But for sophisticated questions (on noncoding topics!) I still always go to chatgpt or claude.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by coliveira on Friday December 27, 2024 @10:06AM (#42522633)
> google's LLM-based search results have been getting better

don't worry, Google WILL change this because they don't make money when people find the answer right away. They want people to see multiple ads before leaving the site.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by FrustratedMonky on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:37AM (#42522362)
It's being used in drive through windows. In movies, in graphic design, pod casts, music, etc... 'entertainment' industry.

And HN, it isn't just a few odd balls on HN championing it. I wish there was way to get a sentiment analysis of HN, it seems there are lot more people using it than not using it.

And, what about the silent majority, the programmers that don't hang out on HN? I hear colleagues talk about it all the time.

The impact is here, whether they are self directed or not, or whether there are still a few people not using it.

Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by tiahura on Friday December 27, 2024 @11:14AM (#42523364)
I’m a lawyer and AI has become deeply integrated into my work.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by umanwizard on Friday December 27, 2024 @09:36AM (#42522345)
Walk into any random coffee shop in America where people are working on their laptops and you will see some subset of them on ChatGPT. It’s definitely not just coders who are finding it useful.
Re:Does current AI represent a dead end? by oytis on Friday December 27, 2024 @01:27PM (#42524626)
In my bubble coders find LLMs least useful. After all we already have all kinds of fancy autocomplete that works deterministically and doesn't hallucinate - and still not everyone uses it.

When I use LLMs, I use it exactly as Google search on steroids. It's great for providing a summary on some unknown topic. It doesn't matter if it gets it wrong - the main value is in keywords and project names, and one can use the real Google search from there.

And it isn't expensive if you are using the free version