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Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by ceejayoz on Sunday October 02, 2022 @06:59PM (#33061267)
Chargers at work. At the grocery store. At your doctors appointment.

Most people spend a significant time with their car sitting somewhere for at least that amount of time.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by bobthepanda on Sunday October 02, 2022 @08:02PM (#33061758)
at least where i am, these either do not have their own parking lots, or have multistory lots where maybe 5 spaces out of dozens are equipped with chargers, and I have no idea how feasible a full retrofit would be.

in the pre-pandemic world they had to implement a queue system for the charging spots, so you couldn't just park your car the whole day in one and had to move it out to let someone else have a turn.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by devoutsalsa on Sunday October 02, 2022 @08:18PM (#33061875)
I'm also wondering how this works in areas where it snows. My dad's old apartment in Virginia would routinely get snow in the winter, and his apartment complex had no covered parking. One needed to park in the limited number of spaces in the parking lot or park on the street. Imagine trying to coordinate rotating EV charging while digging your car out of the snow. I'm sure someone will think of a solution, but it's not immediately obvious how one would handle that.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by ajford on Sunday October 02, 2022 @09:54PM (#33062587)
The solution there would be something like a 110V 15A outlet at a large portion of the parking spaces and some method for metering and accounting for the delivered power so it can be charged to the tenant. And if they charge a convenience fee like most apartments do for preferential parking then that financial outlay would become a profit center after it was paid off.

I'm sure it'd be more costly for commercial work but a simple home charger infrastructure installation runs around $1k, and that's for a Level 2 (240V) charger. Although that doesn't account for the supplemental meter equipment costs.

A Level 1 charger can recharge say a Nissan Leaf from empty overnight. A single day's drive is far more likely to be at or below 20% of the capacity which is closer to 2hrs. For the average user that would be just fine.

A small number of time-limited slots with Level 2 charger could be provided for convenience, but even just allowing individuals to charge at Level 1 rates while their cars are parked would likely suffice in at least half the cases.

There seems to be this misconception that every EV will eventually need a dedicated fast charger and needs to charge to full capacity in 5 mins. But the reality is that, for a large portion of the driving population, a car tends to sit in place for large amounts of time and a modern 150mi+ range EV rarely get depleted in a day. A Level 1 charger would be more than enough for those people. Especially with public fast chargers available for those unusual situations where you need more charge very quickly.

For those who need more than that, an EV is truly not an ideal vehicle for them.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by WorldMaker on Monday October 03, 2022 @05:12PM (#33073775)
I think in general a lot of people "sleep" on how much of a game changer just having Level 1 "chargers" aka "boring wall outlets" everywhere would be.

I also think that thinking of Level 1 as "chargers" and not "boring wall outlets" is a part of the remaining problem. You shouldn't need to bother with the costs for metering and accounting the delivered power at Level 1. Does Starbucks charge you a wall outlet fee to charge your cell phone or laptop? At Level 1 it can just be a "courtesy".

At Level 1 each car is basically the extra draw of one additional old school incandescent light bulb. Who seriously cares to measure that accurately?

You can do a rough math estimate at Level 1 and just add that overhead to your operating expenses per usual. Many places with existing parking fees the added overhead likely is a rounding error compared to the existing parking price. (Same versus apartment rentals or HOA/COA dues.)

Individual outlet metering is expensive and complicates everything, just install boring outlets like we've done for more than a century.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by ajford on Monday October 03, 2022 @06:05PM (#33074351)
> I think in general a lot of people "sleep" on how much of a game changer just having Level 1 "chargers" aka "boring wall outlets" everywhere would be.

Exactly! So many people fixate on fast charging that they just don't register the magic inherent in your car and home running on the same "fuel".

And having heard from people that cold climates often have outlets like these in place for engine heaters to prevent engine freezes shows that infra for this can easily exist. Though it's probably more investment for 3-7kW capacity at each outlet compared to powering a block heater.

> Does Starbucks charge you a wall outlet fee to charge your cell phone or laptop? At Level 1 it can just be a "courtesy"

Oh I totally agree, but try getting an apartment complex to buy into thousands of dollars in electrical work only to shell out even more money buying "gas" for all their tenants.

My in-law has trouble getting his complex to fix sidewalks let alone do something like installing charging infra and providing electricity. If the $1k estimate was even close for commercial 120v charging infra, you'd still be talking between 10k and 100k in just electrical work.

But that sounds like something that could be easily turned into a market differentiator, so it's not to say it won't happen.

Perhaps tacking on a flat-rate fee to offset costs would be a strong middle ground as well. That concept is something apartments/HOAs are already quite familiar with, what with things like covered parking, garages, and even additional storage space already available as add-on charges in many places.

> Individual outlet metering is expensive and complicates everything, just install boring outlets like we've done for more than a century.

Somewhere in the eventual development of this tech could be something like a complex level charging system where an apartment could meter through the charger, since most modern IoT type chargers track this anyways. That way the infra is still just as simple as a dumb outlet.

> You can do a rough math estimate at Level 1 and just add that overhead to your operating expenses per usual

This pans out at small scale, though I wonder how that pans out in the real world. The sticker shock of running that calculation at "worst case scenario" seems like an issue. With even 100 EVs at worst case using todays numbers (~60kWh capacity per car, $0.15/kWh, full charge daily) that number is nearly $1k per day. Realistically it'll be much lower since that full charge nightly is highly unlikely, but sticker shock is real.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by nonethewiser on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:11PM (#33062724)
His comment was about snow though. What do you think of that?
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by ajford on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:48PM (#33062963)
Other than the small range decrease because of the cold weather, how does that differ from an ICE car? His comment was about swapping cars at the charger with cars buried in snow, which isn't an issue when you no longer need to swap cars because they are charging at their own spot (per my comment about adding L1 charging to a large portion of the spots).

I guess if you're for some reason running your cabin heating the whole time then I suppose you're reducing your range, but that's solved by not doing that perhaps.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by theshrike79 on Monday October 03, 2022 @02:54AM (#33064291)
Finland here. Every single car parking spot has had a dedicated 230V 8-16A plug for over 30 years for ICE car block and cabin heaters.

The power grid hasn't melted even though the plugs at the parking spots are on a timer and usually run two hours from 0600 to 0800 so the car is nice and unfrozen when it's time for the daily commute.

Now when we are moving to PHEVs and EVs some people are _very_ worried that an EV using the exact same plug with the exact same load steadily from evening to morning will melt the entire power grid and the local wires and melt the plug. Dunno why.

Street parking is still an issue, but there are solutions for that too. The power could be pulled from street lamps for example.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by hampereddustbin on Monday October 03, 2022 @04:48AM (#33064964)
Some parking spaces may be designed for bursting loads, and the wires actually do heat up if used continuously. They may still need upgrades for EVs, but overall should be only a modest cost.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by theshrike79 on Monday October 03, 2022 @05:24PM (#33073897)
When it's -25C outside the wires heating up isn't really an issue, it's more of a bonus feature :D

But yea, the cabling needs to be checked by an actual electrician and they'll determine how many cars can be charged in the ye olde block heater system without melting any wires or tripping fuses.

The 1980's stuff can usually handle 8A continuous loads. They changed the standard some time in the mid 90s, those can handle multiple cars at 10-16A continuous depending on the main fuse.

Anything above that and you'll need to overhaul the whole field and people usually go for Level 2 capable cabling if they need to break ground for cabling anyway.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by debesyla on Sunday October 02, 2022 @08:53PM (#33062114)
I'm kinda joking but can the solution be a... Roof? (Like, over the parking lot, place to install solar panels or just a simply a roof from elements?)

Of course, this would probably (?) be a bit absurd for street parking, that's true.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by falcolas on Sunday October 02, 2022 @09:28PM (#33062372)
Also expensive, to provide a roof that’s able to withstand snow and solar panels.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by theshrike79 on Monday October 03, 2022 @02:56AM (#33064309)
The roof doesn't need to "withstand" snow. It just needs to be sloped enough for it to fall down.

Source: My dad has his hobby car in a glorified tent during winter, works just fine, the roof is in a 45 degree-ish slant so any snow just falls off.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by falcolas on Monday October 03, 2022 @09:53AM (#33067526)
45° wouldn't work well with any overhangs which are not facing south - not when the goals is to put solar panels on them.

And I, every winter, see snow clinging to 45° roofs quite often. Slightly wet snow (also the heaviest snow) can even stick to vertical surfaces.

45° would also make an overhang more susceptible to wind forces, acting like a sail.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by nonethewiser on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:12PM (#33062729)
Could be. But why would they do that?
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by thehappypm on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:12PM (#33062727)
Over 80% of Americans live in a single family home.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by neon_electro on Monday October 03, 2022 @02:40AM (#33064191)
I already faced this in 2016, living in Philadelphia, lucky to have parking at the apartment and two EV chargers. Back then there were no other EVs at the apartment complex to coordinate charging shifts with.

Methinks the number of stations will organically grow with the predicted amount of EVs an apartment will have parking on site. That’s how it started for me in 2015-2016!

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by jjulius on Sunday October 02, 2022 @09:13PM (#33062261)
Well, yeah, because demand is still relatively low. Availability like that would change if/when EVs are more widely adopted.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by rtlfe on Sunday October 02, 2022 @08:38PM (#33062024)
> Chargers at work. At the grocery store. At your doctors appointment.

This doesn't work in cities. None of those places have parking lots.

And don't say "chargers on all the curbs" because we can't afford to further entrench car supremacy and make it harder to reallocate space to bus lanes and pedestrians.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by ceejayoz on Sunday October 02, 2022 @08:47PM (#33062066)
> This doesn't work in cities. None of those places have parking lots.

Put the chargers where the cars are parking. With vanishingly few exceptions, they're all parking somewhere.

I'm all for a less car-centric society, but it's gonna be easier to reach that future if we address climate change a bit on the way.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by rtlfe on Sunday October 02, 2022 @09:10PM (#33062241)
> Put the chargers where the cars are parking.

That would really be doubling down on the high cost of free parking. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_High_Cost_of_Free_Parking

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by ceejayoz on Sunday October 02, 2022 @09:26PM (#33062357)
I'm of the opinion the cost of climate change is likely to exceed the cost of free parking.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by rtlfe on Sunday October 02, 2022 @09:33PM (#33062408)
Great, so replace all the ICE parking lanes with electric bus rapid transit lanes. It will do much more for climate change than car chargers.

Edit: Should have mentioned the climate change is one of the biggest components of the cost of free parking. Without all the government-mandated parking spaces for the past 60 years, there would be far fewer cars today. It's not too late to reverse that.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by nonethewiser on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:16PM (#33062769)
Then the power source of for cars needs to be more available than what you're suggesting.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by coderenegade on Monday October 03, 2022 @08:51AM (#33066774)
If addressing climate change is the goal, existing vehicles can be converted over to methanol far more cheaply than buying a whole new vehicle. Methanol can be made carbon neutrally, or carbon negatively, and will power the next generation of cargo ships.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by rcMgD2BwE72F on Monday October 03, 2022 @03:01AM (#33064347)
>This doesn't work in cities. None of those places have parking lots.

Where so they park? Put chargers there, then.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by yayitswei on Monday October 03, 2022 @03:37AM (#33064548)
Your car will drop you off at work and drive itself to the nearest parking lot/charger.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by lambda_dn on Monday October 03, 2022 @04:51AM (#33064976)
It will also fly so no need for roads anymore, just green fields everywhere.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by Patrol8394 on Sunday October 02, 2022 @07:22PM (#33061433)
At work? For those lucky enough to have chargers at work, good luck when fighting for one. Also, I really hope the world keep shifting towards remote working; I won’t drive to the office just to charge my car.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by brianwawok on Sunday October 02, 2022 @08:05PM (#33061777)
You have it backwards.

Put chargers where people park cars. Don’t awkwardly drive to a random place to charge.

For 75%? Of people that can be at home. For others work. For others the grocery store.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by nonethewiser on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:13PM (#33062734)
Most cars parked at "home" dont have access to a charger.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by brianwawok on Sunday October 02, 2022 @11:34PM (#33063213)
Most? In what country?
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by esskay on Monday October 03, 2022 @02:59AM (#33064326)
The UK for one, and I dare say most of Europe. Our nations are vastly older than the US and were not purpose built for cars. Many here have on street parking, you can't dangle a cable from your house to your car (which may not be outside of your house).

There's been arguments about putting them on lamp posts - ok, but again, cables. 1 lamp post for ~10 cars doesnt really work.

Plucking a random average UK street off of Google maps - figure out how you charge cars at 6pm when everyones home from work and this road is full of cars on both sides of the street: https://www.google.com/maps/@53.4257624,-2.9412328,3a,60y,22...

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by hampereddustbin on Monday October 03, 2022 @04:57AM (#33065010)
>you can't dangle a cable from your house to your car (which may not be outside of your house).

That must vary between countries, because I've seen tons of outlets on the outside walls of homes in Finland. They need a weatherproof extension cord, but it comes in handy for a lot of tools. Though most homes have at least a driveway, cars are generally shorter than homes, so they fit close by.

The cost of free parking and where to park should really be reconsidered in cities though, as with your image, those exist here as well and are really bad places to drive in. IIRC in Japan they require people to prove a car has it's own dedicated parking space before they're allowed to get a car

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by esskay on Tuesday October 04, 2022 @03:55AM (#33077606)
Requiring you to provide a dedicated parking space would be a non starter in the UK. There's just no land for that. Your dedicated parking space would end up being miles away from your home.

The issue as shown in the streetview image is that those are public footpaths next to the houses. If you tried dangling a cable from your home to your car (if you were lucky enough to get a spot outside your house) you'd very quickly be in a lot of trouble when someone trips over it.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by lambda_dn on Monday October 03, 2022 @04:52AM (#33064988)
This is false. In the UK most homes have a driveway, so fitting a charger is a no brainer.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by esskay on Tuesday October 04, 2022 @03:52AM (#33077593)
Many do - and for those of course they can fit a charger. Terrace houses in major cities often do not have any form of allocated parking, it's all on-street. You'd be sued pretty quickly if you dangled a cable across a public footpath and someone tripped over.

Not seeing anyone coming up with a way to solve that pretty important issue.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by fragmede on Tuesday October 04, 2022 @04:28AM (#33077769)
We already manage electrically powered machines for the purpose of lighting the streets at night and for parking meters. Extending those to provide power to EVs isn’t too far fetched. https://tfl.gov.uk/modes/driving/electric-vehicles-and-rapid...
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by ralph84 on Monday October 03, 2022 @01:19AM (#33063722)
Assuming they meant access to a L2 charger at home, every country? Sure L2 chargers can be installed, but in a lot of cases it requires upgrading the electrical service and replacing the electrical panel which isn't a home improvement project most car buyers are looking to undertake.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by neon_electro on Monday October 03, 2022 @02:45AM (#33064226)
Which is why GM has an ongoing incentive program to try to alleviate that problem: https://www.chevrolet.com/electric/living-electric/home-char...
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by ralph84 on Monday October 03, 2022 @06:40PM (#33074652)
> The electrical panel must have 40 amps of spare ampacity according to the load calculation for the new breaker

This is where the incentive program breaks down and the 4- or 5-figure electrician quotes start for a lot of houses that were built in a time and place where natural gas powered all of the heavy appliances and panels were sized for 60- or 100-amp service.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by colinmhayes on Monday October 03, 2022 @01:21PM (#33070679)
Vast majority of Americans live in a single family home that can easily add chargers. Those that don't can charge their car when they park it in a parking lot.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by velhartice on Monday October 03, 2022 @12:09AM (#33063376)
Yes the chargers will just magically appear everywhere for free.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by theshrike79 on Monday October 03, 2022 @02:57AM (#33064315)
The chargers aren't that expensive. Mine was 300€ + 2 hours of installation by an electrician.

Fancier Level 2 ones with Wifi and shit are up to 1k€.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by scld on Sunday October 02, 2022 @07:25PM (#33061461)
True, but ideally we'd reduce land that's allotted to simply parking a car long-term, instead of turning a single gas station into something like 250 parking spaces spread out around town.

There are just certain sections of the country where you'd either have to turn half of the streetlamps into a chargers (maybe a good idea?)...or make a modular battery swap gas station scheme....or stick with ICE.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by lostapathy on Sunday October 02, 2022 @07:49PM (#33061635)
The point isn't to add new parking spots for EV charging - it's to making charging available at places you normally park anyway.

A trip to the grocery store takes 30-45 minutes. If even 20% of the existing spots had a charger (even a modest rate charge), you'll get quite a bit of charge. Or if 20% of the parking spots at your workplace had chargers, you could leave it on the charger all day one day a week and charge very slowly (which as a bonus, low-rate chargers should be easier to provision than superchargers).

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by markdown on Sunday October 02, 2022 @07:45PM (#33061613)
You'd never have to visit a "gas" station. You'd charge at home, at work, everywhere the car parks. Every parking lot in every building will be a charging station. You plug in your car wherever you are, and get a bill from the electricity company at the end of the month. Just park the car, and the lot will charge your batteries for you.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by scld on Monday October 03, 2022 @09:37AM (#33067323)
Yeah, the issue is that you'll either have to install chargers every 10 feet in almost every city, or come up with some scheme to swap batteries, or have more "gas" stations because the charge time is longer.

My town has on average 1 car per household, but I'd guess like 0.25 off street spots per household. That's a lot of infrastructure on public land.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by markdown on Monday October 03, 2022 @03:52PM (#33072746)
> Yeah, the issue is that you'll either have to install chargers every 10 feet in almost every city

It's just an electrical outlet. There are dozens of them for every parking spot already, in the house/office/building. Adding an extra electrical outlet isn't hard for a homeowner/lot-owner to do. This isn't going to have to happen overnight. It will happen slowly over two decades.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by scld on Tuesday October 04, 2022 @10:42AM (#33081088)
I think we're talking about completely different areas. There aren't any electrical outlets on any of the parking meters or utility polls in my city or the surrounded city, and it's illegal to run an extension cord from, say, your 3rd story window, down the side of the building, across the sidewalk, to the street.

Regardless though, you're correct that it will take decades, but I think that this is one reason why a CEO wouldn't be all in. If it's going to take 25 years for a large chunk of customers to buy an EV, you still have a lot of cars to sell that are ICE.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by nonethewiser on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:15PM (#33062752)
So instead of building some gas stations here and there we just install hundreds of thousands charging stations on private and public property across a metro?
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by bryanlarsen on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:52PM (#33062977)
It's not a "charging station", it's an electrical outlet. Your house probably has a couple dozen of them, they're cheap and easy to install. In cold regions, most parking spots already have one so people can plug in their block heater. That's proof by example that it can be done.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by theshrike79 on Monday October 03, 2022 @03:37AM (#33064549)
You need to change your view of a "charging station". It's not the huge fridge sized thing that says "Electrify America" or something on it.

It's just a normal plug, maybe with some components related to metering and billing included. Load balancing if you want to be fancy.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by parkingrift on Sunday October 02, 2022 @11:09PM (#33063084)
Charging anywhere but home absolutely ruins EV economics. It’s almost impossible to make an economic argument to buy an EV in 2022, but it’s outright impossible to make that argument without fuel savings.
Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by seanmcdirmid on Sunday October 02, 2022 @11:18PM (#33063118)
It actually doesn’t. If you bought an EV and just used L3 chargers to fill it, you would still come out far ahead given the current price of gas, at least where I live.

But I generally agree: unless you drive a lot and can charge at home (or at work, or both), you aren’t going to get very far ahead with an EV (and lots of L3 charging supposedly strains the battery). But they are also really fun to drive, so it might still make sense for some people to get them even if they aren’t going to be saving money.

Re:Toyota CEO talks about why he isn’t all-in on EVs by parkingrift on Friday October 07, 2022 @10:45AM (#33122076)
Hard disagree. It’s definitely area dependent but in New York for me it’s a 8-12 year ROI depending on fuel prices and energy prices. This is me comparing a CRV and a Model Y. If I swap out my energy savings and charge exclusively not at home the ROI horizon goes to infinity.