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Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by Mvandenbergh on Thursday May 12, 2022 @07:12AM (#31352272)
The reasons this is nonsense are twofold:

First, I have never actually seen any comments here disavowing themselves of responsibility. It is always aimed at protecting others and this is rooted in the obvious fact that a very large number of people are not (and we do not expect them to be) experts in investment. That assets can go up or down is one thing, and nobody can be protected from that, but there is an extensive body of law intended to protect people from outright falsehoods. So I can say, "you should invest in ConCoin, it's going to the moooon" and that maybe is allowed. I cannot say "we have pegged this to the value of the dollar if I know that I have taken no care whatsoever to even try and do that".

Second, refusing to set a floor on falsehoods using regulatory tools makes doing business much more expensive for people who are not scammers. This is a classic "market for lemons" effect. If I have a great idea that I would like to raise money for using, say, a utility token [n.b. not currently allowed] then if the last few such tokens have been exit scams, I will raise no money. Maintaining a certain level of trust is a pool from which we can all draw. It has in fact been shown that growth in low trust economies is systematically lower than in high trust economies.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by eric_cc on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:18AM (#31355433)
> people are not (and we do not expect them to be) experts in investment.

So then they should stay out of the game. I totally disagree that we need a bunch of bullshit laws protecting people from poor decision making.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by jjoonathan on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:51AM (#31355905)
It's amazing the gymnastics people will do to shift responsibility off the supply side and onto the demand side. No, lying should not be rewarded. Ponzi schemes should not be rewarded. Currently, they are. Yes, we need more responsibility -- on the supply side.

Demand side already has responsibility and correct incentives: the fools have been parted from their money. Done.

This goes for small things, like NFT ponzis, and big things, like turning housing into an asset class.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by BobbyJo on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:44PM (#31356563)
I don't think saying people need to take responsibility for their actions removes blame from the supply side. I think the underlying point trying to be made here is that both are at fault. I mean, with crypto, you are the supply side the moment you buy in, and are just as complicit in the Ponzi scheme as the guy you bought from. Being more ignorant than the other players buys very little sympathy from me when you're both playing the same game with the same information available to you.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by wbsss4412 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @02:15PM (#31357995)
I was with you until the last sentence.

When has housing ever not been an asset class?

Real estate is and was the original asset class.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by klibertp on Thursday May 12, 2022 @04:20PM (#31359699)
I think "housing" here means "real estate" + "people living inside".
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by wbsss4412 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @05:09PM (#31360149)
I’m not sure how that distinction makes a difference.

Within the western world, that has always been the primary basis of one’s wealth until fairly recently.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by nightski on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:30AM (#31355620)
That's not what the post you replied to said at all and you are being intentionally obtuse. There is a reason the SEC exists. It's not to keep people from making bad decisions.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by skybrian on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:45PM (#31356566)
Well, it sort of is. The rules about not lying to investors, having accurate financial statements, and so on, are to help them avoid making bad investment decisions. The "accredited investor" limitations are supposed to make it harder for unsophisticated investors to lose their money.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by cupofpython on Friday May 13, 2022 @11:21AM (#31368779)
Not really, it is to preemptively stop scamming.

I think the issue is assuming people who get scammed are at fault for something, just because a more paranoid person would have avoided the scam.

Regulation will not stop me from selling a potato for $100. it will stop me from selling a regular potato for $100 while claiming it cures cancer.

Buying a potato for $100 would be dumb, and nothing stops me from doing it

Buying a cancer-curing potato for $100 is not dumb. Believing a potato can cure cancer because someone else is publicly selling it to me that way in full view of the entire world is not dumb. I would think "oh wow, something about this potato must be cancer-curing because surely this guy knows that if he scams me in front of the public then the public will hold him accountable."

So it is now time to hold people accountable

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danielmarkbruce on Thursday May 12, 2022 @10:50PM (#31362712)
https://www.sec.gov/about.shtml

Basically, it's exactly that.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by nightski on Friday May 13, 2022 @10:15AM (#31367919)
So no, it's not. The SEC is there to protect investors from malicious actors to allow them to make informed decisions not based on lies & manipulation.

Now one can be informed but also choose to make stupid decisions. People do this all the time on penny stocks, options, etc... The SEC has no interest in trying to stop them, just making sure they know up from what they are getting into.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danielmarkbruce on Friday May 13, 2022 @11:54AM (#31369205)
Non accredited investors aren't allowed to invest in many things where the seller of securities is telling the truth. Most startups in the US under most scenarios cannot go around pitching non accredited investors.

Other than that, lies and manipulation are part of the equation. It's a bad decision to blindly trust anyone or anything. You can't separate smelling bs from judgement.

The whole concept of an accredited investor is basically saving people from themselves.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by nightski on Friday May 13, 2022 @01:56PM (#31370622)
That is more gatekeeping than anything. There are plenty of very risky plays available in the stock market.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danielmarkbruce on Friday May 13, 2022 @02:23PM (#31370935)
Why are they gatekeeping? To protect people from themselves.

The SEC has a pretty ill defined set of risks they are trying to protect people from. People will find ways to lose their money if they don't have a general "wait, do I have a clue what I'm doing here?" filter.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by cupofpython on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:59AM (#31356022)
this is about as logical as saying "just because we signed a contract doesnt mean I need to uphold my end of the contract. you should have known I wasnt going to be able to fulfill my end of our agreement"

I agree with personal responsibility but not at the expense of communication.

Imagine if every single person who moved a package was required to open the package and confirm the contents. It may be the only way to accept personal responsibility for its contents, but it's dumb. I am telling you what the contents are and if I am lying to you then I need to be held accountable. Especially if the contents are dangerous and I told you they are safe.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by fsn4dN69ey on Thursday May 12, 2022 @02:17PM (#31358023)
Yes but the thing is that you know that this "asset class" is unregulated - in fact it's one of its strongest selling points and one of the traits people tout as a benefit - it should be abundantly clear that "non-scams" are the exception not the norm.

If I write "i owe you a billion dollars for your 64 diamonds" on a minecraft sign you shouldn't be surprised if I don't hold up my end of that.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by cupofpython on Friday May 13, 2022 @10:45AM (#31368339)
Regulation has almost nothing to do with it. Regulation is a means to make accountability scalable. you could write a never ending list of possible regulations, but the ones we settle on are the ones we need due to the ways people end up abusing a lack of regulation. It does not absolve the abusers of accountability.

The more a community holds itself accountable without regulation, the less regulation the community needs. If people always avoided unregulated assets because of your logic - we wouldnt have any regulated markets today.

Non-scams are the norm where I come from and with the people I interact with. Maybe it is cultural. Some cultures held people accountable for their bullshit and some didnt... and now the expectations for responsibility are different. "you should expect to get scammed" vs "if you find a scammer we will deal with them"

>If I write "i owe you a billion dollars for your 64 diamonds" on a minecraft sign you shouldn't be surprised if I don't hold up my end of that.

If you take my 64 diamonds, deny me a billion dollars, and then refuse to give the 64 diamonds back.. that is theft. In minecraft, I would then proceed to remove your health bar, take what I want from you, pour lava buckets on your house, etc. And you should not be surprised by that.

Abusing a lack of regulation causes chaos, and hinders the ability of communities to grow stronger. Weak communities enable unnecessary suffering. There is an ethical responsibility to make an example out of people who manipulate communication to scam others. It is one of the few things nature allowed us to have to enable building communities in the first place.

If scamming is currently the norm, then it is currently hunting season.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danielmarkbruce on Thursday May 12, 2022 @10:54PM (#31362748)
Regulation or lack of it doesn't fundamentally change contract law. So, it's not the same thing. People who say financial markets shouldn't be regulated are not saying you shouldn't be able to litigate.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by rezistik on Thursday May 12, 2022 @01:17PM (#31356997)
We need laws protecting people for malicious actors with significant funding who target people that lack knowledge on deeply technical topics like investing.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by mirntyfirty on Thursday May 12, 2022 @02:18PM (#31358042)
I get reminded of the crypto.com commercial with Matt Damon that pretends as though buying Bitcoin is some grand adventure for those brave enough and looking to prove their masculinity.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by eric_cc on Thursday May 12, 2022 @03:32PM (#31359180)
both fiat and bitcoin currencies are purely memes when you really think about it.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danielmarkbruce on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:07PM (#31362828)
We might not. People could learn from the long history of people being conned. I know zero about cars - if a guy knocks at my door tomorrow telling me I can sign a contract and get a brand new porsche delivered next month for an upfront cost of $10k, my lack of car knowledge isn't a problem. It's a no.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by diob on Thursday May 12, 2022 @01:10PM (#31356895)
Yeah, let's eliminate all regulations. Some of you may die, but that's a risk I'm willing to take /s

I mentioned it to another, but have some humanity and empathy for those less "smart" than yourself.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danielmarkbruce on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:16PM (#31362884)
The empathy goes both ways. Many people who oppose regulation like this don't oppose it because they are happy for "dumb people" to lose money. They truly believe that there is so much regulation these days that people aren't faced with conmen often enough to wise up to it. A person offering you "product insurance" at the checkout is conning you. The car dealer is trying to con you. Anyone suggesting you can double your money fast is conning you. If you are a woman, there is a decent chance the random guy buying you a drink is just trying to bed you. It's useful to come across enough folks trying to con you so you realize it's a thing. Then when the guy proposing some complex financial proposition knocks at the door, you don't need to know anything about finance to know there is a good chance it's a con.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by diob on Friday May 13, 2022 @12:52PM (#31369936)
That's not empathy though. The thing is, a lot of folks will get conned over and over, especially as the times change and the cons evolve.

You're still thinking of it as something people can learn, but psychology / history says otherwise.

This is why I say empathy is important. For you, it's obvious. For others, it's not.

In addition, there are other factors at play, like desperation (when you're living paycheck to paycheck, you _want_ to believe there's a way out).

Everyone has different experiences / situations to grapple with, and as a society we should try to help folks find the happy path and protect them. Especially so for those of us who recognize cons!

So I guess I wouldn't understand the "empathy goes both way" statement.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danielmarkbruce on Friday May 13, 2022 @02:11PM (#31370819)
I'm saying you need to empathize with folks who want less regulation, ie they are largely well meaning, and it's a valid position.

Your points are certainly valid. I don't think either way results in something perfect or even that good.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by dikaio on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:19PM (#31356279)
You also didn’t mention his idiotic statement of equating the “American Dream” to getting lucky and getting rich when in fact the American dream is about having the opportunity to work hard, buy a home and have a decent life for you and your family.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by skybrian on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:37PM (#31356491)
They are not that different. The "exit plan" for the American dream is retirement and trying to save a lot of money for retirement is perfectly normal. It's very sound, conventional, boring financial advice to save and invest for retirement.

The "get rich quick" folks are doing basically the same thing but faster and sometimes with less sense. But hopefully with only a small portion of their savings.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danans on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:41PM (#31356539)
There is room for many versions of the American dream, America being a big place and all. America has a rich history of both hard-working middle class aspiration and con-artistry and get rich quick schemes. They are both pretty resounding cultural themes here.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by danielmarkbruce on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:17PM (#31362896)
Unfortunately it's not an idiotic statement. Look at all the people playing the lottery and buying crypto. It does appear to be the true american dream.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by tomp on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:50AM (#31354149)
There is no qualitative difference between claiming "coin is going to the moon" and "coin is pegged" (a.k.a. "coin is going to $1").

Trusting such claims without proof is stupid/financial illiteracy/YOLO investing (pick your preferred term).

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by jmyeet on Thursday May 12, 2022 @08:51AM (#31353314)
> First, I have never actually seen any comments here disavowing themselves of responsibility.

Pulling from the comment I was replying to:

> ... many poorer and financially illeterate people have been tricked ...

That's quite literally disavowing responsibility.

> ... but there is an extensive body of law intended to protect people from outright falsehoods

This is true and the law hasn't quite caught up to crypto scams but think about it this way: even if the scammers get prosecuted--possibly even go to jail--you're 99% likely never getting your money back. And even if you do it'll probably be after wasting years on the effort. Obviously there's a deterrence value to prosecuting scammers and I support that hpappening but you'll almost never get your money back.

> Maintaining a certain level of trust is a pool from which we can all draw. It has in fact been shown that growth in low trust economies is systematically lower than in high trust economies.

I 100% agree and this is something that libertarians and anarchists gloss over completely.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by SamBam on Thursday May 12, 2022 @08:58AM (#31353427)
> That's quite literally disavowing responsibility.

Unsure how you failed to read the emphasis on "themselves" in the comment you're replying to, and the line about protecting others.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by ethbr0 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:52AM (#31354184)
Taking umbrage on behalf of others, in a matter that should be personal choice, is equally questionable.

Half of this thread believes we should protect people from themselves.

The other half believes people should have the freedom to screw themselves over.

Not sure there's much ground for compromise, given the contradictory nature of those positions.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by pessimizer on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:10PM (#31356167)
No, half of this thread believes we should protect people from predators. The other half feels that people who can't recognize predators are natural and deserving prey.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by eric_cc on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:27AM (#31355563)
> Half of this thread believes we should protect people from themselves.

> The other half believes people should have the freedom to screw themselves over.

Nailed it. It comes down to principles. Do you believe in personal freedom? Or do you prefer authoritarian governments?

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by Daishiman on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:55PM (#31356717)
I want protection from myself because society is impossibly complex for a single mind to understand.

If I buy edible stuff I trust that it won't poison me or kill me. If I drive a car I expect it respond to my commands and I expect other drivers to have a minimum amount of knowledge that they can actually assume and understand the risks of driving.

The protections that the SEC and other bodies expect in this area are quite reasonable if you understand that there is no such thing as "personal" freedom; your well-being and successes and failures tie into the rest of society at large. Maybe if you lose part of your savings that might be tolerable for all, but if in the process of making a bad investment you leave yourself and your family homeless, get into drug addiction, and create a large burden to those around you, it's hard to consider that to be a simple personal issue.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by wyre on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:21PM (#31356303)
As long as there is government and capitalism we can only hope to be somewhere in between.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by a4isms on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:40AM (#31355755)
> disavowing responsibility.

Look, if someone comes to my house claiming to be raising money for charity and I givethem money, the following statements can all be simultaneously true:

1. I should take responsibility for checking that they represent a genuine charity;

2. If they are a genuine charity, I should take responsibility for checking that most of my gift will go towards the recipients of the charity and not to operating the charity itself;

3. They should take responsibility for being truthful about who they represent and where the money is going.

Responsibility isn't a zero-sum game. We can encourage everyone to have more financial literacy and awareness of scams and frauds while simultaneously holding grifters responsible for their crimes.

I'm not taking either position here, I'm taking both positions. See also "the difference between advice for individuals and codes of conduct for communities."

Our personal advice is to protect yourself from fraud. Our society's code of conduct is, "don't commit fraud."

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by kmeisthax on Thursday May 12, 2022 @10:54AM (#31355109)
> even if the scammers get prosecuted--possibly even go to jail--you're 99% likely never getting your money back

The point of prosecuting scammers is not restorative justice[0], but instead punative. You want the penalty for scamming people to be high enough that even the scammers that don't get caught move onto a different grift.

Whether or not punative justice works is very context-sensitive. It requires the crime itself to be something done because it makes money - opportunistic crimes or crimes of passion will not be deterred by high punishments[1]. However, I absolutely do buy the idea that scammers are highly-calculating thieves that can be deterred in this way. They operate highly organized criminal enterprises with their own internal and external security concerns, and respond highly to perceived risk of prosecution[2]. This is why they like to target old people, the marks are easier to scam and less likely to admit being scammed.

That's not to say that we should fall back upon the "personal responsibility" angle, either. It's easy enough to say that it only happens to the financially illiterate, or the elderly, or what have you. This is wrong; there are plenty of scammers out there just waiting to push whatever button you have that will make you send them money. The problem with pushing "personal responsibility" as an angle is that it's a victim-blaming narrative, and one that makes it easy to fancy yourself invulnerable. "I can't get scammed, because I took personal responsibility."

DO NOT DO THIS.

You will laugh at the people who bought into FOMOCoin or sent thousands of dollars to a refund scammer... only to click on, say, a fake FedEx tracking link you got e-mailed and wind up getting hit with some 0day malware that drains your bank account or encrypts your files in seconds. Personal responsibility will not save you from your own sense of invulnerability, because there is no level of responsibility one can take that will ensure that you never, ever get scammed. You can only ever make yourself a less desirable mark.

[0] i.e. putting the thing you stole back

[1] Related note: governments love to insist upon high punishments for crimes more often committed by people on the margins of society (e.g. poor/black/Mexican/some other power minority). At one point, we at least punished businesses the same way, but then Enron happened and the US decided killing an entire accounting firm just to prove a point was going too far.

[2] In one revealing case, Youtuber Mark Rober was able to shut down an entire tech support scammer group on Telegram by merely saying he had their dox[3] and was planning to drop them on a few law-enforcement agencies.

[3] 4chan slang for "personally-identifying information".

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by eric_cc on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:31AM (#31355631)
> You will laugh at the people who bought into FOMOCoin or sent thousands of dollars to a refund scammer... only to click on, say, a fake FedEx tracking link you got e-mailed and wind up getting hit with some 0day malware that drains your bank account or encrypts your files in seconds.

Terrible comparison.

FOMOCoin is not pretending to be something different than FOMOCoin. When somebody invests in a shitcoin, they know exactly what it is they are investing in.

When you click on a fake FedEx link, you believe you're clicking on a FedEx link. You've been deceived by blatant deception.

A better comparison to your FedEx example: Investor believes they're investing in FOMOCoin when in fact they are investing in SHITCoin or no coin at all. It was a trick.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by salawat on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:11AM (#31353606)
>I 100% agree and this is something that libertarians and anarchists gloss over completely.

I assure you, libertarians and anarchists, or at least the ones who have actually bothered to go beyond the surface, are not unaware of this. You're wielding those monikers as if anyone to bear them would be a fool by definition. It is clear low trust has adverse effects on growth. What is not clear is that unbounded rapid growth is a desirable state of affairs, or that an equilibrium is so important everyone must bow before a central authority/planner with a hand on a brake.

There is nuance your comment as written completely neglects.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by jklinger410 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:22AM (#31353743)
> You're wielding those monikers as if anyone to bear them would be a fool by definition.

Not as far off as you might think

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by idea55 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @10:55AM (#31355129)
It’s true upending our system would be the death of it

But it’s unfalsifiable gibberish itself to believe our system is some pinnacle of human society

Many problems that plague states that lean into socialism can be traced to capitalists meddling in their affairs through international politics

More rules for thee not for me policy by nations of people who would meltdown over externalized forces dictating their way life. Hardly proof in a vacuum socialism is a sign of the end times when it’s held up apes who can’t communicate except by throwing poop

Your truth is rooted in the empowerment it provides you. No one else has an obligation to your figurative sense of power

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by bratwurst3000 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @08:38AM (#31353137)
If people cant handle the basic of investing they shouldnt do it. If its too good to be true it mostly isnt.

Is it the casino foult that their customers loose money because the ambient is so inviting and screams wining?

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by dagw on Thursday May 12, 2022 @08:42AM (#31353187)
Is it the casino foult that their customers loose money

Casinos are very strictly regulated and must post the exact rules and probability of winning for all their games. If the casino lies about the rules of the game or your chances of winning, then yes it is absolutely their fault and they will be held liable.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by anjel on Thursday May 12, 2022 @03:08PM (#31358820)
Ever tried asking a Vegas casino manager for the is on any particular slot machine? I did about 10 years ago and was informed they were proprietary.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by bratwurst3000 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @08:55AM (#31353375)
Yes and everyone warned everyone investing in crypto that it could go from hero to zero instantly. I cant believe anyone didnt know this risk.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by SamBam on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:01AM (#31353477)
I failed to see any of these warnings you're talking about in any of the Superbowl ads.

I'm pretty sure if I followed the Superbowl ads to crypto.com, I would fail to see these warnings.

Yes, for everyone deeply connected online, who has been following crypto for the last several years, of course we've talked about plenty of warnings many times. But the current marketing campaigns are not aimed at such people.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by bratwurst3000 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:19AM (#31353715)
It is bad and sad that many people lost money that didn’t want to sound like I’m not aware of that.

And yes you could be right it’s just my bubble. But it’s still sad that so many people fall for get rich quick scheme.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by tablespoon on Thursday May 12, 2022 @10:47AM (#31354995)
> Yes and everyone warned everyone investing in crypto that it could go from hero to zero instantly. I cant believe anyone didnt know this risk.

Clearly not. There's a pretty clear pattern where many (most?) cryptocurrency enthusiasts avert their eyes from anything except the most transient and limited downsides and are can be quite hostile to anyone who's bearish on cryptocurrency. It's got a strong "power of positive thinking" vibe.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by JackFr on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:24AM (#31353778)
Everyone involved in crypto is either a con or a mark. There isn't a middle ground.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by afavour on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:43AM (#31354048)
There was no such warning in all the high profile ads that drew people in.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by mescaline on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:16AM (#31353675)
There's a slight problem in your use of "everyone". You, personally, don't know or have sampled everyone. You are using it as a indication that "people warned" and "people should know", given people warned other people.

Saying you can't believe people didn't know is just showing lack of empathy in how others form trust. Many of those people form trust by looking at a screen and seeing a nice website with nice logins and nice charts. They look at things with dollar signs and say, "that's a good number there". Others dig in and are curious about how things work. Some laugh when people complain about how much power proof-of-work takes and believe it is the eniventible conclusion to why we don't see aliens out there.

Don't be the wurst person. Be the best! See that all humans need our help from an understanding technology perspective. Know that software can be implemented to take away their choices, or give them more choices than they had before.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by s1artibartfast on Thursday May 12, 2022 @10:47AM (#31354996)
Where can I find my exact win rate at poker posted?
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by HWR_14 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:16AM (#31355411)
It should be pointed out that casinos are only required to post odds for perfect play in games that have skill (e.g. poker, blackjack). Therefore, your poker odds would be based on the rake.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by s1artibartfast on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:48AM (#31355859)
Black Jack is playing against the house and you can calculate perfect play. Poker is played against peers and perfect play does not exist. I think poker is a lot closer to speculating on crypto or stocks. Companies can disclose their transaction fees but it is impossible to calculate your expected return on investment. This is why there's almost always terms of service or disclosure to that extent
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by oneoff786 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @12:28PM (#31356380)
The best poker ai, as far as I’m aware based on things shown on hn, don’t consider past opponent behavior when making decisions. It’s effectively just a lookup table of hands and bets. Not perfect play but generally better than humans.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by s1artibartfast on Thursday May 12, 2022 @01:19PM (#31357046)
Better than humans at all levels, or your average player?

Are you suggesting that every Casino publishes an AI derived win rate for poker by law?

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by HWR_14 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @01:54PM (#31357655)
Perfect play, by definition, evens out. If everyone plays perfectly, then the ev should be zero (modified by position around the table). So it should balance to zero if everyone plays an equal number of hands from every position. The payoff would be adjusted by the rake.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by s1artibartfast on Thursday May 12, 2022 @02:10PM (#31357907)
But that is a wildly inaccurate assumption for any real table.

I still wouldn't call it perfect play because as soon as someone adopts a fixed strategy, the meta game shifts and it is no longer optimal.

If anything, the assumption is equal play, not perfect play

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by oneoff786 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @04:24PM (#31359749)
To your question above, the answer is better than all levels.

The meta idea is what I first thought. It’s hard to evaluate though. The ai does not adapt, but continues to beat pros, who are welcome to try and adapt.

I’m curious if there are some zany cheese strats against this kind of AI that work reliably but the answer may be no. The only really practical tool you have that could work is a crazy bluff, but I doubt that’s sustainable.

It doesn’t really matter if perfect play is considered though. Games should be rated assuming equal competence. It’s not misleading if in fact your turn out to be a worse player in a game of skill.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by HWR_14 on Thursday May 12, 2022 @08:14PM (#31361670)
Perfect play would take into account the meta game as well.

My point is that if the casinos have to post odds, the only odds on a poker table are flat (any deviations from 0 coming from skill differences) minus any rake (with maybe some slight variation if the button doesn't go down an even number of times).

The fact that we cannot define perfect play is irrelevant.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by Jensson on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:18AM (#31355443)
You can see the exact rules of poker, and you can calculate exact win rates for any given strategy against the house since they play a fixed strategy.
Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by mumblemumble on Thursday May 12, 2022 @08:55AM (#31353387)
That word "fault" is doing a lot of work. Strictly speaking, no, that bit isn't a fault, it's a great success. They did exactly what they set out to do.

But there's always that separate question of whether it's a moral failing to set out to do what they did in the first place.

And then you dig a little deeper and you can ask, even if we grant for the sake of argument that it's a moral failing, is it the state's responsibility to do anything about that?

And then you can dig even deeper, maybe ease off on the deontological ethics a bit, and instead ask, "What's worse for society in the long run: this behavior, or whatever enforcement mechanisms it would take to curb it?" I'd argue that that's a much more edifying way to frame the question.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by giraffe_lady on Thursday May 12, 2022 @09:17AM (#31353695)
It's a relatively mainstream opinion that yes they are. Casinos are not allowed in some places, many individuals who could choose otherwise explicitly choose not to work for companies involved in gambling.

My morals don't personally draw that line but it's common enough that you can't dismiss it as preposterous.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by eric_cc on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:34AM (#31355670)
> If people cant handle the basic of investing they shouldnt do it.

Amen to this. Too many people in this thread are shouting from the mountain tops that they hate freedom.

If you can't handle climbing a mountain, you shouldn't do it. It's really this simple. If somebody takes on risk and gets hurt it is their own fault.

Re:Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did by dragonwriter on Thursday May 12, 2022 @11:21AM (#31355477)
> Is it the casino foult that their customers loose money

Since “customers losing money” is the entire business model and what casinos work to optimize, yes, obviously.