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Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by chrisseaton on Friday April 15, 2022 @11:42AM (#31041497)
So why are the Russians using the very specific small and flat turret-mounted type 'Javelin' cages? The article says they're not-designed for that and would be ineffective anyway and of course RPG has no top-attack (unless you're firing from a building, which as we've seen is tricky to get it to arm in time)... so why are they doing it?
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by dragontamer on Friday April 15, 2022 @11:57AM (#31041701)
You can't stop a Javelin. Its too sophisticated. If a Javelin is launched your tank is dead.

> and of course RPG has no top-attack (unless you're firing from a building, which as we've seen is tricky to get it to arm in time)

These tanks were planning to assault Kyiv. The assumption was that cheaper RPGs (such as the AT4) would be used against these tanks. The AT4 isn't designed to be used vs main-battle-tanks (AT4 has penetration of 450mm), the frontal-armor is too thick (500mm to 700mm effective frontal armor, depending on the tank, depending on the angle the attack hits from... Largely due to geometry, not physical thickness). But the "cope-cage" might be strong enough to deflect an attack against the turret (especially if the AT4 is "top down", because it was fired from an urban building).

There's many, many, many weapons of war. There are many different types of "anti-armor" weapons.

The Russians also know that the turret has the critical weakpoint of the tank: the autoloader. If the autoloader is hit, the entire tank's munitions blow up simultaneously (aka: cooks off), and everyone inside the tank dies. Protecting the turret with a "cope cage" (even if ineffective vs Javelins) to try and mitigate damage from other RPGs (AT4, RPG7, Panzerfaust 3) just makes sense.

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Javelins are the most expensive man-portable anti-tank weapon. There's relatively few of them (yes, I know USA sent thousands of Javelins, but we also sent far more simpler anti-tank weapons as well). Javelins are $170,000 per shot, and the AT4 is $1500.

The other man-portable weapon discussed, NLAWs, are like $40,000, much cheaper than a Javelin but still an incredibly sophisticated and expensive weapon.

Media ignores the cheap stuff (AT4, RPG7) because they're not really interesting. But those are probably the workhorses and the more common weapon in the battlefield.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by blamazon on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:23PM (#31042081)
Also in use in Ukraine presently are the Stugna-P, a domestically produced antitank weapon [1] as well as the German Panzerfaust 3 [2]. In the footage available online, the infantry are carrying a surprising quantity of all these types of weapons - It's a quirky group of antitank weapons from a bunch of different countries. There are videos circulating in Ukraine on how to use the more foreign systems. [3] [4]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skif_(anti-tank_guided_missile...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panzerfaust_3

[3] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rQThjNgoQRY

[4] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUDrLFrfr_s

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by dragontamer on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:32PM (#31042198)
Stugna-P, Javelin, and NLAW all kinda have the same properties. They're large, bulky, and filled with a LOT of explosives. They also have a guidance system: laser for Stugna-P, some kind of computer for NLAW/Javelin, so these weapons can be shot at 1000 meters to 5000 meters and still hit their targets consistently.

But since they're larger / heavier / more expensive, they are the primary-weapon of the soldier (or squad, in the case of Stugna-P). If you're equipped with one of these, your job is to kill tanks.

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Panzerfaust, AT4, RPG7 are variants of the same concept. They're more of a "sidearm" than anything. You don't really want to be facing down a tank with one. They are manually aimed and therefore only effective at 100m to 300m (depending on how good your aim is).

Because they're smaller warheads (84-caliber for the AT4, yes its a pun/joke), they're less effective at penetrating armor. So you really want to use them vs lighter vehicles, such as IFVs instead of proper tanks. If you need to use it against a tank, you should aim for a weak point, like shooting from above, or hitting the side/rear armor.

So your snipers / riflemen / machine gunners have a job, that's the 50-cal, or machine-gun. But what if they come across an enemy vehicle? Well, the AT4 / Panzerfaust are light enough to carry _WITH_ your other weapons. Its better than nothing, and light enough to be a secondary weapon.

Alternatively, maybe you're in an environment where hitting the weak top-armor is possible (ex: Urban / high-rise building in Kyiv). Giving many, many cheap AT4 weapons out to the crowd of defenders will effectively kill even main-battle-tanks, if they are attacked at the proper angles / from their weakpoints.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by chrisseaton on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:52PM (#31042501)
> Stugna-P, Javelin, and NLAW all kinda have the same properties. They're large, bulky, and filled with a LOT of explosives.

This is a very common mis-conception. These weapons don't have a lot of explosive. They instead rely on very precise application of a little explosive, through an EFP design.

If you see a Javelin or NLAW hit an inert target, it's very modest. If you see a big explosion in a demo it's because they've filled it with fuel!

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by dragontamer on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:02PM (#31042622)
The AT4 is 15 lbs weapon.

Javelin is a 50 lbs weapon. Sure, some of that weight is computer and night-vision. But most of that weight difference is explosives (I assume the 2nd tandem charge in particular).

NLAW is 28lbs, somewhere in-between.

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Tandem charges (dual-explosives: first explosion disables reactive armor, second explosion penetrates the tank) basically means carrying 2x warheads with every warhead... its weight and heavy.

Each of those Javelin explosions you see is __TWO__ explosions, timed carefully to defeat Russian reactive armor. Its a sophisticated weapon for sure, but you still have to physically carry all those extra explosives somewhere.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by chrisseaton on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:13PM (#31042769)
> Javelin is a 50 lbs weapon. Sure, some of that weight is computer and night-vision. But most of that weight difference is explosives (I assume the 2nd tandem charge in particular).

No most of it is the motor. The entire warhead of Javelin weight just 8.4 kg. That's the entire warhead - not just the explosive. An EFP contains a lot of 'inert' metal that gets formed into a projectile.

(Can we not use pounds in a technical military discussion, lol.)

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by dragontamer on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:21PM (#31042869)
> The entire warhead of Javelin weight just 8.4 kg. That's the entire warhead - not just the explosive.

And the entire AT4 weapon (including the sling, the barrel, warhead... everything) is 6.7kg.

Javelin is a big boy. Reaching the limits of what people can carry effectively, especially if you need a 2nd or 3rd shot to do your job.

EDIT: I think RPG7 is like 3kg for the rocket AND explosives, 8.5kg for the entire weapon.

EDIT2: So yeah, you can carry 3x AT4 for the same weight as 1x Javelin.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by agapon on Friday April 15, 2022 @02:43PM (#31044069)
> The entire warhead of Javelin weight just 8.4 kg. That's the entire warhead - not just the explosive.

"just"

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by PeterisP on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:49PM (#31042463)
I think that out of all the weapons only the javelin strikes from the top of the tank while flying over it, everything else is a direct fire missile that will hit the tank from the side.

So a 'cage device' on top of the turret seems to be intended solely for Javelins, since every other weapon simply won't strike from that direction.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by praptak on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:16PM (#31042819)
NLAW also strikes from the top, just not exactly like the Javelin.

The latter does that by having a steep trajectory. The NLAW just flies horizontally over the tank, then fires down vertically. It also has the other mode where it just hits directly head on.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by dragontamer on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:50PM (#31042480)
> everything else is a direct fire missile that will hit the tank from the side

Kyiv has skyscrapers. A dumb RPG (AT4 or RPG7) fired from the 5th story of a building will hit from the top down... onto the weaker top-armor of a tank.

NLAWs are also top-attack weapons btw.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by abra0 on Friday April 15, 2022 @04:37PM (#31045516)
Javelin rockets are $80k-$100k a piece, $170k figure is the launcher and the rocket together. Unlike NLAW the launcher is reusable (and even useful on its own because the targeting unit is detachable and has thermal vision)
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by xarope on Friday April 15, 2022 @07:54PM (#31047442)
That's a good point. Just like the best tool to use is the one you have at the time, mobile infantry would be more than likely to have AT4s only. I vaguely remember a section of 9-12 men would carry only two AT4 equivalents, and we were supposed to use both against the same target.

Once the tanks get bogged down, then anti-tank platoons would be deployed with the heavier gear.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by chrisseaton on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:04PM (#31041786)
I wonder who started calling them 'Javelin cages'?
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by frickinLasers on Saturday April 16, 2022 @03:36PM (#31055397)
nitpick--The AT4 is a recoil-less round with the propelling charge in the launch tube--not a Rocket-Propelled Grenade. I imaging firing one from inside a building would be a regrettable decision.
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by chipsa on Saturday April 16, 2022 @03:58PM (#31055586)
Nit: RPG didn't stand for rocket propelled grenade. It's a Russian acronym: Ruchnoy Protivotankovy Granatomyot.
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by ChuckNorris89 on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:11PM (#31041869)
Those aren't javelin cages, they're called "cope cages"[1], because they're just a psychological coping mechanism for the troops inside, but offer no protection against modern smart munitions like NLAW or Javelin.

They're a relic since Russia's war in Chechnya where those cages could protect against ancient RPGs fired from buildings in narrow city streets.

[1] https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/002/324/004/043...

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by dragontamer on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:17PM (#31041971)
> They're a relic since Russia's war in Chechnya where those cages could protect against RPGs fired from buildings in narrow city streets.

USA sent IIRC 3x as many "dumb" RPGs (the AT4) as Javelins, assuming that the Ukrainians would be fighting in narrow city streets.

Turned out that urban warfare didn't really happen much. But... I think everyone's plan was for urban combat, and then everybody turned out to be wrong. On the USA side, not a big deal, we sent the wrong mix of weapons but we're fixing that with lend-lease / additional aid packages.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by dragonwriter on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:05PM (#31042672)
> Turned out that urban warfare didn't really happen much

The war isn't really past tense; the swift advance to and battle for Kyiv with the intent of forcing capitulation didn't happen, but as the shift to seizing territory Russia really wants rather than getting handed it by a friendly government imposed on Ukraine has happened, urban warfare has become a thing in Mariupol, and if Russia continues prosecuting the war it’ll probably happen more places.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by chipsa on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:11PM (#31042741)
The slat armor is also only effective against the RPG-7 type warheads, where the fuse is in the nose and crushing the side of the warhead keeps the electric detonation signal from getting to the detonator.

Other warheads will detonate when they hit the slat armor. With the net result of improved standoff distance. Most warheads don't incorporate enough stand off because it's hard to do so. The extra standoff actually improves penetration.

That said, the AT4 is perfectly usable for side shots, such as in an ambush.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by ChuckNorris89 on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:30PM (#31042180)
Dumb RPGs are still very useful. Not every target is an armoured tank. An old RPG aimed at a fuel truck is very effective.
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by dragontamer on Friday April 15, 2022 @03:09PM (#31044402)
It's more of a range thing.

Hitting an enemy fuel truck from 5000m away is a lot safer than running up and shooting it at 200m.

200m shots are common in a city, because cover / concealment is everywhere. Sure, there are still trees and hills to hide in the countryside, but having the option for super long range really helps.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by abra0 on Friday April 15, 2022 @04:39PM (#31045541)
>Turned out that urban warfare didn't really happen much.

Siege of Mariupol is ongoing since the start of the war. It has seen very brutal urban fighting.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by bee_rider on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:11PM (#31042740)
Perhaps it is pedantic, but in case someone reads your comment and doesn't click on the image, the name "cope cage" is a meme based around making fun of them. I think these things don't have convenient a real name because they are improvised. "Improvised top attack armor" or something like that is probably what a journalist would call them. And they probably won't get a real name because they apparently they basically suck.
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by jjoonathan on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:34PM (#31043059)
Sounds like a long way of saying they are cope cages :)
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by trhway on Friday April 15, 2022 @04:38PM (#31045526)
>They're a relic since Russia's war in Chechnya where those cages could protect against ancient RPGs fired from buildings in narrow city streets.

Actually even in 1945 facing Panzerfausts in European cities Soviet tankists tried to similarly bolt/weld onto the top of the turret the spring metal bed frames. It didn't work well if any. While at the same time it showed the precise position of the tank while in bushes, far in the field/etc. Ukrainians have been joking about those "chicken coops" showing the tank position as another sign of a Russian fail and lack of thinking through in this war.

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by baud147258 on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:41PM (#31042360)
the same author did another article on that subject, btw: https://www.tanknology.co.uk/post/russian-turret-cages
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by Goronmon on Friday April 15, 2022 @11:45AM (#31041529)
One easy answer is that something being ineffective doesn't mean people won't try it anyways.
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by blamazon on Friday April 15, 2022 @11:50AM (#31041590)
In the /r/NonCredibleDefense subreddit, it's been called the "cope cage" among other similar mocking terms.

https://old.reddit.com/r/NonCredibleDefense/comments/t9i7q2/...

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by ckozlowski on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:00PM (#31042601)
I'll submit another: TheChieftan on YouTube has referred to it as "emotional support armor".

He posted a good video on his views (and cautions!) on some of this subject matter to date: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W9pVEP0AzZ4

Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by vpribish on Friday April 15, 2022 @12:54PM (#31042519)
in urban environments an RPG could definitely be coming down from above.
Re:Primer: Statistical Armour by chrisseaton on Friday April 15, 2022 @01:02PM (#31042623)
As I said - it's tricky to get them to arm in time. We've seen that problem in practice in videos from Ukraine.