News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by KennyBlanken on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @10:16PM (#30188087)
There are additional factors.

Teslas are on average substantially newer than the average US passenger car fleet and thus have significantly more safety features and driver assistance tech, are better maintained, etc.

If Tesla compared only to vehicles of similar age and class (Audi/BMW/Mercedes etc) their stats would be much less favorable.

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by josefx on Thursday February 03, 2022 @05:34AM (#30190824)
> are better maintained, etc.

Recent statistics released by TüV^1 show that among relatively new cars Tesla competes with Dacia for the highest failure rate among all cars that go through Germanies mandatory road worthiness tests.

^1 https://www.pcwelt.de/news/TUeV-warnt-vor-typischer-Schwachs...

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by originalvichy on Thursday February 03, 2022 @08:25AM (#30192078)
Go find the HN discussion on this report. German processes and bureaucracy surrounding road worthiness checks is not favourable towards non-established car brands like Tesla.

In short: big car brands' cars go through a preliminary check at manufacturers' licensed dealerships, and only after that get sent to the government's checks. It enables manufacturers to fix cars before independent verification so their safety numbers look great. Tesla doesn't have this kind of extensive network for "pre-checks".

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by HWR_14 on Thursday February 03, 2022 @08:32AM (#30192135)
You're explaining (one of) the reasons Tesla is failing at the metric. Far from showing the metric is flawed, you're exposing the value of a dealer system and what Tesla's customers are losing because there isn't one.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by ZeroGravitas on Thursday February 03, 2022 @08:47AM (#30192297)
What value are you talking about?

Not publishing open stats on test failures? Why is that something the customer would want to pay for?

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by HWR_14 on Thursday February 03, 2022 @08:53AM (#30192362)
The value is as an additional line of QC. If you think about it as "hiding statistics" then there is no value. If you think of it as the last step in the production process, then clearly the cars making it to the customers are of a higher average level if the bad ones get rejected.

It also lets Tesla play with the numbers of shipped cars, because cars returned by dealers don't count as shipped.

But look at the recent HN story about the Tesla without a brake pad.

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by ZeroGravitas on Thursday February 03, 2022 @08:56AM (#30192401)
I think you may be confused as to the context. Or else I am, let me check.

Ok, so this is a check done after the car has been used for 3 years.

So, it's not QC before the car leaves the factory, it's fixing things before the government checks them and puts them into the public stats for test "failures".

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by HWR_14 on Thursday February 03, 2022 @09:11AM (#30192585)
I may have misunderstood. These statistics are generated by the government checking vehicles after they've been in service for 3 years by an end consumer? And only after the dealer gives it an immediately preceding check? If so, that invalidates my point.

If it's just the results of regular dealer maintenance, it's fuzzier.

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by josefx on Thursday February 03, 2022 @10:35AM (#30193725)
> And only after the dealer gives it an immediately preceding check?

Some dealers are qualified to perform the checks and also offer to perform a pre check for free. However cars checked by a dealer would not end up on a statistic of cars checked by TüV.

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by originalvichy on Thursday February 03, 2022 @11:19AM (#30194328)
If your mom warned you a day in advance that she is going to see how lean your room is, is she going to get a true understanding of your cleanliness, or just a snapshot of what your room is like?
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by kaba0 on Thursday February 03, 2022 @02:38AM (#30189771)
Also, I think the biggest flaw in tesla’s statistics is that people will turn of autopilot when they see a dangerous situation ahead - it is pretty much as self-selecting “good” samples as it gets.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by dachryn on Thursday February 03, 2022 @03:27AM (#30190056)
indeed, either they turn off autopilot to avoid the crash, or it crashed. The cases 'would have crashed if the human did not intervene' should also count if you want to claim it is super safe
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by robbiepapiere on Thursday February 03, 2022 @03:35AM (#30190098)
That seems irrelevant for the statistics, though? It doesn‘t give the Tesla driver an advantage.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by bildung on Thursday February 03, 2022 @04:23AM (#30190440)
It does? Those drivers remove a small portion of the autopilot miles driven, but a large portion of the challenging/dangerous miles. The result are stats with a low accident per mile ratio.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by dtgriscom on Thursday February 03, 2022 @06:16AM (#30191076)
It definitely skews the statistics. Compare two driver's records, but use all the driving of the first, and only the driving on safe/clear/clean/visible sections of highway for the second. Voila: the second will very probably be the "better" driver.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by contravariant on Thursday February 03, 2022 @05:07AM (#30190690)
Sure, but the important question is the capability of the Autopilot, not the Tesla driver.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by nottorp on Thursday February 03, 2022 @07:43AM (#30191714)
I've driven someone's new Tesla. The rear right door didn't align with the body. New, fresh from the factory.

Please don't compare it to high end german cars.

Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by Robotbeat on Wednesday February 02, 2022 @10:53PM (#30188394)
People often save up especially for a Tesla (incorporating gas and maintenance savings in the price), including a lot of people who wouldn't be buying a BMW, so I'm not sure price would be the right metric there.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by ChuckNorris89 on Thursday February 03, 2022 @02:28AM (#30189722)
Are you saying just because more people are being financially irresponsible when buying Teslas, we should cease such comparisons?
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by Robotbeat on Thursday February 03, 2022 @12:42PM (#30195727)
No, I’m saying that people incorporate a $10k price of gasoline into the price of the vehicle instead of paying for them separately as you would with a BMW.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by beberlei on Thursday February 03, 2022 @02:23AM (#30189694)
Parent does not include price as a metric, but cars of the same age and class, which probably have many of the same default extra safety features. Older cars might not even have ESC, they certainly don't have cameras that help you detect cars in blind angles and so on.
Re:Normalized crash data shows Autopilot is much less safe t... by Robotbeat on Thursday February 03, 2022 @12:43PM (#30195738)
“Class” here refers to pricing, does it not? Luxury car owners will be quick to point out that the Model 3 and Y are not “luxury” class even if the cost ranges aren’t far apart.