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Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by hosh on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @10:15AM (#28683036)
I live in Phoenix and have heard some of the local discourse about this.

Fabs need a lot of water, like a swimming pool. Once you fill it up, then you need comparatively less to stay operational.

Intel has invested in both recycling water as well as partnering with organizations on water conservation and ecology projects.

Arizona does draw water from the Colorado River, but among the four states, Arizona is at the bottom of the water rights. We get what is left over after Colorado, California, and Utah get their legal share.

The biggest user of water here in Arizona are the commercial farmers. (The Hopi people practice dryland agriculture and so don’t irrigate at all; most everyone else irrigates using inefficient and destructive land management practices). Aquifers here have been draining, and it has been a big issue. Farmers are already getting restricted on water use this year (despite an unusually wet monsoon season), and water restrictions has not hit residential users yet. It is on the radar for policymakers though.

Both TSMC and Intel are attracted to Arizona because it is seismically stable. They each had to invest an enormous amount in the more seismically active Taiwan and California, and it gets more sensitive the smaller the chips get.

If we want to conserve more water, the most effective way is to change commercial farming practices. Fabs have already invested a lot to reducing ongoing water use.

For an example of what I mean by better land management practices in regards to water: https://youtu.be/-8nqnOcoLqE

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @01:10PM (#28685071)
>Fabs need a lot of water, like a swimming pool. Once you fill it up, then you need comparatively less to stay operational.

This is just not true. The amount of cooling required for fabs is extremely significant and without major evaporative cooling you can't get it. With evaporative cooling comes water loss...and not a small amount of it, especially in the desert. You can do a lot to recycle water that is used in the process, but not the water loss using in cooling.

This is also evident in the environmental goals set forth by Intel...they talk about returning 100% water to the environment. Well evaporation is back to the environment...

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by softfalcon on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @01:51PM (#28685487)
You’re right, fabs need more water than a swimming pool, maybe a big swimming pool.

The fabs in Arizona are likely not going to be the main cause of water shortages there. How do I know this? Cause when Motorola had its massive (and inefficient) fabs running there in the 90’s-00’s and there were water shortages, they kept running just fine off their on premise reserves.

Modern fabs are even more efficient with water usage.

I know this because I have visited the old fabs and they are quite good at re-using and capturing the water since it’s inside an air controlled bunker. Modern (and older) fabs aren’t open to air, so water loss is minimal.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @02:29PM (#28685903)
The latest 300mm fabs use 10-50X the power of what the old 8" fabs used (I know this for a fact...). That power gets turned into heat and that heat has to be removed. I work at an "inefficient" 200mm factory that has pretty good internal recycling (~65%)...we still use 600K gallons per day.

A single state of the art EUV tool uses ~2MW of power...<0.1% of that gets to the wafer. Most of the rest of that is lost to heat...and that heat goes where?

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by nealabq on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @04:16PM (#28686981)
An acre-foot is about 325K gallons, and an irrigated farm uses 1 or 2 acre-feet per acre per year. So the "inefficient" fab you work at uses less than 2 acre-feet/day, or maybe 700 per year. About what a 500-acre farm uses.

Arizona has about 1.3 million acres under irrigation. So 2,500 similar fabs would use all the irrigation water.

It's a lot of water, but maybe not a deal breaker?

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by jws on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @09:02PM (#28689223)
The USDA says Arizona cotton farmers make 1,138lbs/acre/year (sorry world, not converting units this time). There are 165,500 acres growing cotton in Arizona, so the 500 we stop to get water for Intel is negligible.

So we are talking about agriculture forgoing 569,000 lbs of cotton per year. Farmers get about $0.60/lb for cotton. The impact on the agricultural industry is $341,000/year.

Buy out the worst cotton farmer in the state. Take his water. Move on.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by hosh on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @03:56PM (#28686777)
Seeing those numbers, I wonder how much that affects the local microclimate, as that adds a lot of moisture and heat into the air. And if there are ways to add plant life in the surrounding areas that could benefit from it, and from which people can obtain a yield.

I'm not so sure about the hotter months, but during the colder months, it can potentially be used for greenhouses, or for when temperature dips during nighttimes. Lots of tropical plants want hotter, moist air and will die from frost.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by amluto on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @01:02AM (#28690461)
Assuming that those 600kgal start out ice cold and all end up evaporated at the boiling point, that’s 146MW of cooling. LCoE for plain solar power is about $31/MWh. Assuming you could discharge heat without evaporation at a COP of 4, that’s about $26k/day to buy power. Not at all cheap, but not insane. Interestingly, that is a lot more than the cost to buy that much water wholesale, even in Arizona, so I guess this is why people like cooling towers.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @12:02PM (#28695539)
600k gallons for us is not all evaporated, thats just what we take in from the city and discharge back to them. There are temperature requirements for discharge as well so you can't just discharge 200 degree water. That doesn't really work anyway since our process cooling water has to stay at ~70 degrees.

We have some evaporation loss, but in the Phoenix climate it would be a lot more.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by softfalcon on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @05:01PM (#28687470)
Definitely not arguing that the heat doesn’t need to go somewhere. You’re absolutely right.

All I remember is family saying they had effective means for recycling the water without losing it in these boiler chambers.

I’m no expert, but they were saying significantly higher efficiency than 65%.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by rland on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @04:16PM (#28686974)
Right, I think the gp comment is referring to fabs being impacted by water shortages, not fabs causing water shortages.

Although if push comes to shove I guess all of this can be solved trivially by not growing ridiculous water intensive crops and not having golf courses and stuff in the middle of the desert.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by diskzero on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @07:46PM (#28688764)
Tucson resident here. I see acre after acre of alfalfa being grown, with most of that water then being exported to Saudi Arabia for cattle consumption. There is a geopolitical aspect to this, but I will gladly choose Arizona fabs over exporting cattle feed.

Tucson has been doing a very good job recharging our local aquifers and we also had a good monsoon. I was able to harvest 15,000 gallons of rainwater for irrigation on my land.

I view the construction of the fabs as critical infrastructure . Saudi cattle, not so much.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by no-s on Thursday September 30, 2021 @09:30PM (#28713465)
> Tucson resident here. I see acre after acre of alfalfa being grown, with most of that water then being exported to Saudi Arabia for cattle consumption.

(also Tucsonian) Whats really sad is we still have to search far and wide for decent quality hay to feed to our horses...

The fab investments also create a nexus of interesting jobs related to construction and fab operations. I really enjoy working in the latter sector.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by spaztastical on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @04:43PM (#28687243)
That is not how that works. Las vegas is full of pools and fountains... INDOORS. they retain the moisture in their enclosed ecosystems. We have ACs that pull water out of the air, and we also know how to make buildings.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @05:43PM (#28687886)
You can't just have AC when it comes to industrial cooling. You have to have chillers connected to cooling towers and those work on evaporative cooling. Feel free to debate all day on this though...I literally run the department in charge of it at a semiconductor manufacturing plant.

Here is proof, it's just some of the cooling towers at Intel's current site in Chandler: https://www.google.com/maps/@33.2451403,-111.8923691,135m/da...

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by tinco on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @05:56PM (#28687995)
So is the problem then that you can't push enough heat into the air, so you need to evaporate water? Sounds like a nice input to a desalination plant. Does this mean you agree that Arizona is a strange choice?

If they need so much water, does that mean you agree that

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @06:00PM (#28688027)
Absolutely it's a strange choice. From a power perspective it can make sense since solar works very well, but from a water perspective it's a very strange choice. Cheap land is also a very big factor. TSMC purchased over a thousand acres. Where else in the US can you find a thousand acres so near a populous area and so easily accessible off a major freeway like that?

Tax promises and Trump trying to sway the state for the 2020 election had more to do with the choice than anything I think.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by paulmd on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @06:51PM (#28688390)
the west coast also has a pretty low incidence of natural disasters. The east coast regularly gets bad hurricanes, the northeast and midwest get really bad snowstorms, plains states regularly get tornadoes, etc, but on the west coast if you pick a region that's not geologically active then there aren't really a ton of huge natural disasters that occur regularly.

of course I guess there's wildfires now too, but that's not really an Arizona thing either.

of course you're not wrong about companies often being lured by the particular states that are willing to offer them massive tax breaks, in some cases even to places like Texas that do get hurricanes on an occasional basis. And that doesn't always work out well in the end like with the Texas power outages that seem to be occurring more and more frequently, there are a LOT of fabs in Dallas/etc that are having to deal with widespread power outages multiple times a year.

(you're the expert here but it seems like the generator capacity usually isn't sufficient to continue normal operation of the fab, it's more to maintain containment/purity of the feedstock and you still lose wafers that were in-process at the time? that's the impression I've gotten at least)

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @07:18PM (#28688585)
No semiconductor site has enough backup generators to run continuously and you can only have so much diesel onsite to run those generators (a few hours or maybe a full day if you are lucky). They are there for basic safety systems, air handling and lighting. For example Samsung was down for many weeks after the February storm that caused power outages and fuel delivery issues. They literally ran out of diesel to run the generators and their cleanroom air stopped circulating. It took weeks to get things back to normal and my understanding is getting the air quality back was the hardest part.

https://www.zdnet.com/article/samsung-reopens-austin-chip-pl...

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by paulmd on Tuesday October 05, 2021 @06:54PM (#28766777)
Your comments in this thread have been really interesting to read and I thank you for taking the time to respond to us all!
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by tw04 on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @08:59PM (#28689209)
> the northeast and midwest get really bad snowstorms

I’m curious what the supposed issues around snowstorms are. In the Midwest at least you typically lose a day of “work” (not going into the office) a couple times per winter and that’s only because of school closures. The roads are rarely an issue for more than a couple hours unless it’s REALLY bad storm.

I don’t see why you couldn’t keep running the fabs through that.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @12:45AM (#28690391)
Power bumps are a major issue and even with redundant power you get them. Even a bump that loses 15-20% of voltage on a single phase for 3-6 cycles (of 60Hz, so like 0.05-0.1s) is a huge impact to fab production tools.

I've seen impacts from cars hitting telephone poles 20 miles away that have been enough to impact the fab, let alone tree branches snapping from snow and ice.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by tw04 on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @02:46PM (#28698122)
I guess I don't know why this would be an issue - you just pick an area that uses buried power lines, and there are plenty of them. And ignoring that - if you're Intel building a fab, you setup shop near one of the major transmission lines that run well above the treeline. Or build your fab just down the street from the power plant...

St. Cloud, MN. Palo, IA. Brownville, NE. Burlington, KS. - nuclear plants.

I'm sure they all have plenty of cheap land to put fabs up on and if you take one of the norther states you'll cut your cooling bill to less than zero for several months out of the year without any evaporation.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Friday October 01, 2021 @10:58AM (#28719279)
Just having underground lines doesn't stop everything...and no one has underground lines for extremely high voltage.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by stevenwoo on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @10:28AM (#28694127)
re: West coast - one of the big wild fires got within five miles of Cupertino two years ago, local friends got evacuation notices before the fire was stopped, and all homes and I imagine even manufacturing buildings have to be built to withstand an earthquake all along the coast.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @11:58AM (#28695477)
Everything is built for seismic safety, but that doesn't mean you won't have to scrap a ton of wafers or have any damage if there is an earthquake.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by dghlsakjg on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @06:05PM (#28688052)
This is super interesting. Since you seem to have inside knowledge can you compare it to agriculture?

For example: the google machine tells me that cotton production in AZ uses somewhere in the neighborhood of 2.5-3.5 acre ft. water per acre. Would a large fab consume a comparable amount of water?

1 acre = 43.5k sq ft 1 acre foot = 325k gallons

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @06:12PM (#28688112)
In this case I can't compare it to agriculture. I don't think growing food in a desert is a good idea either.

The Intel site in Portland, OR uses ~2 Billion gallons of water per year. They claim they are bringing enough recycle capacity to save about half that.

https://www.oregonlive.com/silicon-forest/2017/08/intel_wate...

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by rayiner on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @06:35PM (#28688281)
That’s not much. The average family of 4 in Arizona uses about 325,000 gallons a year. So a billion gallons is equivalent to 3,000 families, or a very small town.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by Aperocky on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @07:02PM (#28688478)
Doesn't smell right, you're saying a family of 4 in Arizona uses ~900 gallons a day? That's 3500L or 3.5 tons of water every day.

I mean you can flush the toilet every minute for the whole day and only use about that much water, and that's assume the toilet fills up as fast (it doesn't).

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @07:22PM (#28688612)
That number seems really high, but the state website seems to be at least close to that number (146gal/day/person or ~600gal/day for a family of 4).

https://new.azwater.gov/conservation/public-resources

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by nealabq on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @07:56PM (#28688839)
How to use a lot of water:

a) Water the lawn (in the summer)

b) Take a long shower

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @08:28PM (#28689036)
c) Drain and fill your pool
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by after_care on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @10:38PM (#28689702)
It probably includes yard irrigation.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by dghlsakjg on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @11:33PM (#28690028)
Wow! I had no idea. Thanks for the thoughtful reply
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by hosh on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @11:38AM (#28695168)
It looks like evaporative cooling is not the only thing Intel does. Recharging the aquifer at the Phoenix site is another: https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/www3/region9/waterinfr...

Depending upon how they do this and how much they are adding back into the aquifer, that can have a positive impact on the local ecology.

According to those slides, those were not the only strategies Intel used at the Phoenix site. It also added that there are already many water reductions strategies in use (which I agree with), so it doesn’t require groundbreaking research to develop.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by irjustin on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @08:38PM (#28689097)
Is it possible to do a closed cycle system? Or is that simply too expensive?
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by j_walter on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @12:49AM (#28690400)
What exactly are you thinking? We have a closed loop system on our process cooling water but it is cooled via heat exchangers that use chilled water (in the 40-50 degree range). That water is chilled with extremely large chillers that use condenser water that is run through the cooling towers. It's as much of a closed system as you can get...eventually you need to remove heat and you can't just add energy to get it.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by irjustin on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @03:05AM (#28691021)
Wondering if it's reasonably possible to remove that last water step that is relying on open air evaporative cooling. Air cooled through big ass fans == no more water losses == profit?

Sounds like it would be multiples more expensive to get that to work though.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by hosh on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @11:25AM (#28694974)
I don’t know about a fab, but the design principle I have heard from people making better use of residential and agricultural water is not trying to get it to a complete 100% closed loop, but to get multiple uses (yields) out of it as it flows through the system.

In a residential setting, it is typically a single-use where water purified to drinking water standards are used to flush toilets and water the lawn.

The idea here is to make better use of inputs and outputs. The folks in the Earthship projects just outside of Taos, NM build residences that cycle water 3-4 times before it goes out through a septic field, which feeds vegetation.

In none of those cycles, are the water re-used for the same purpose. You don’t try to purify grey water from bathing to reuse for bathing or washing, and instead, it is treated onsite through plants to reuse for things like flushing toilets. Water transports things, so what you look at is what is the waste being carried and how can that “waste” be used as an input for something else.

In the case of the fab, it sounds as if the major waste being carried is heat, via evaporative cooling. As I have mentioned in a different comment, that likely changes the microclimate near the fabs. So one area to look at are what kind of yields we can get with that changed microclimate? It depends upon the design of the cooling towers, and weather the water carrying the waste heat was still liquid when it got to the tower. Maybe there is another use for heated water, not specifically in the fab process itself, but something that could benefit humans and the ecology in a different way. For example, diverting some of that water to areas where zone 10 (tropical) plants are put into cultivation.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by philliphaydon on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @11:22PM (#28689963)
Taiwan went through a major drought due to going an entire year without a typhoon. TSMC is investing in recycling and water management.

https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4292388

So I would assume Intel is also doing similar.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by UncleOxidant on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @03:55PM (#28686760)
> Both TSMC and Intel are attracted to Arizona because it is seismically stable

There are a lot of places in the US that are at least as seismically stable and also have more abundant water. I suspect the choice of Arizona has more to do with tax incentives and the fact that fabs already exist there (and thus there is an experienced workforce).

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by KirillPanov on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @01:26AM (#28690563)
Not tax incentives. Predictable regulators.

Central Washington is ideal for chip fabs: tons of cheap electricity and excellent infrastructure, massive existing water supply, as/more geologically stable than Arizona, zero hurricanes/tornadoes. Three hours from Seattle is not commuting range, but it's close enough that the chip designers could easily do monthly fab visits. People underestimate how much idea exchange we've lost by separating design from fabrication.

Unfortunately Central Washington is part of a state that is known for erratic, wild, and unpredictable whims when it comes to any company whose name isn't "Boeing". It's not about taxes.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by dandotway on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @11:39AM (#28695180)
> Unfortunately Central Washington is part of a state that is known for erratic, wild, and unpredictable whims when it comes to any company whose name isn't "Boeing"

Microsoft, Amazon, Nintendo, etc., have a strong WA presence and what has WA done to them that is 'unpredictable'? WA has no state income tax and is very billionaire and business friendly. You are perhaps thinking of Seattle politics, but Seattle!=WA. WA votes very blue during elections but it's for the pro-wealthy billionaire-friendly blues. WA doesn't elect the AOC squad type blues.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by KirillPanov on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @06:11PM (#28700656)
Microsoft and Amazon are software/cloud companies; they can pick up and move on a whim and Olympia knows it.

Manufacturing is much more vulnerable, over much longer timescales.

King County runs the state and everybody knows it. I don't like it, but I don't delude myself either.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by dandotway on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @06:43PM (#28700930)
Well, you can't exactly relocate a campus with 5,000-10,000 employees to another state 'on a whim', but yeah, your point still stands that it's a lot easier than moving a factory that builds physical things.

I recall IBM and other tech companies being called out for occasionally deliberately moving campuses to other states because this creates an excuse to sever certain employees who can't otherwise be lawfully fired.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by UncleOxidant on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @04:59PM (#28699867)
Ok, so why not Idaho, then? There are already Micron fabs there.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by KirillPanov on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @06:10PM (#28700642)
The part of Idaho where you can build cheaply (Snake River Valley, flat-ish land) is a pretty long way from the major hydro dams on the Columbia. The Snake River dams generate almost zero electricity; they exist in order to allow barge transit for farm goods. So the "cheap power" benefit is out.

Micron is a giant in memory device manufacturing, but they don't do logic chips. Memory and logic manufacturing are pretty different, and get more and more different as you get to more and more bleeding-edge processes. Proximity to Micron is nice but not a huge benefit for a foundry.

Lastly, Idaho is gorgeous and the skiing is awesome, but it doesn't check the box for hipsters who want a coastal city. Don't blame me, I don't think this way. But a lot of people do. Anyways Idaho is definitely way beyond driving distance from Seattle.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by spaztastical on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @04:47PM (#28687285)
and those places have hurricanes or tornadoes
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by da_chicken on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @10:46AM (#28683443)
> The biggest user of water here in Arizona are the commercial farmers.

And farming has been booming in Arizona. I lived there about 10 years ago and even then there were a lot of complaints about all the tree farms (almonds, etc.) that were showing up in Arizona. Massive water consumption and virtually impossible to be sustainable in the desert.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by MengerSponge on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @11:08AM (#28683685)
The irony is that with current incentives, it's a self-reinforcing cycle. Nuts have a huge return on investment, so nut farmers can afford to buy even very expensive water, so they plant more trees, etc etc.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by hosh on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @11:18AM (#28683819)
What’s also ironic is that people can grow nut trees in arid land at a smallholder scale. Folks in the permies.com forum talk about chucking nuts randomly, and the ones that survive to grow on their own are more drought-tolerant.

If you are not trying to force greater yield in order to squeeze out profit, the nut trees can do well to yield enough for people to have their fair share.

When done as part of a practice that involves diversifying crops, the entire smallhold is far more resilient to any number of external pressure, including climate, pests, market crashes, etc.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by jkestner on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @01:17PM (#28685137)
Distributed nut farming is cool, and would solve my dilemma as a voracious nut eater. I cut out almonds for the amount of water they suck up in California, but probably every nut is problematic.

Too bad resilience against future problems loses to maximizing profits, so all the resources are capital-efficiently extracted from one location before moving on. Even if I buy local, it’s likely that it’s farmed at a damaging scale. I’m guessing that sustainable farming, crop rotations, etc have fewer externalities.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by MagnumOpus on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @12:11PM (#28684438)
> nut farmers can afford to buy even very expensive water

(x) doubt

If they actually can pay for "very expensive water" i.e. water at the rates that residential/commercial users pay, then fair play to them. But from what I heard, they are only profitable by paying near-zero (orders of magnitudes less than other users).

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by MengerSponge on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @04:51PM (#28687342)
Allow me to rephrase in a way that is more accurate but not substantially more insightful: "Nuts tend to be far more profitable than other crops, allowing nut farmers to expand their operations as escalating water prices squeeze out lower-margin water users."
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by xxpor on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @12:27PM (#28684625)
What's the rough residential rate in AZ? Here in Seattle (obviously a MUCH different situation wrt water availability) I pay $6.96 per CCF (748.052 US gal, 3400 L). Even if every tree used an entire CCF over a season, that'd still be trivial compared to the amount of nuts you'd get (I assume)
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by Jensson on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @12:44PM (#28684798)
California farmers use 40 trillion litres of water per year. At your rate that would be roughly 80 billion dollars a year or so. California's entire agriculture sector is worth around 50 billion a year dollars. So just the cost of water would be way more than all their earnings. And then you have to pay for equipment, pay for workers etc.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by ghshephard on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @07:18PM (#28688588)
Agriculture water != Water you consume in a home. Even Desalinated it's at most 1/10th that price. And there are usually brackish sources that are even cheaper to recycle into farms.

The issue isn't the cost of water, it's that "free" water drives everything else (or imported water - the United States major export often seems to be exporting it's water in the form of crops, food, etc...)

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by inglor_cz on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @01:44PM (#28685408)
I think their water privileges are not going away.

After Covid and all the disruption of international trade, self-sufficiency in food production will be considered more important than before.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by plussed_reader on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @02:51PM (#28686112)
With privileges come responsibilities; like forgoing the profit motive for an activity that must be so heavily subsidized by gov't influence.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by rdsnsca on Wednesday September 29, 2021 @08:09PM (#28701672)
In a normal year 40 % of the food the US grows ends up in the garbage, Canada is even higher at 50 %.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by nearbuy on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @03:31PM (#28686496)
Almonds in California are reported to use about 2.6 billion liters of water and the industry is worth about $5 billion. So still not viable at $6.96/CCF, but maybe more viable than the average for Californian crops.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by brewdad on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @01:35PM (#28685330)
It's been almost 20 years but when I lived in Phoenix (and had a lawn) my water bill was about $25 a month. Now in the PNW, using a similar amount of water, my water bill is about $100 a month.

Water is heavily subsidized in AZ. There is little incentive to conserve it.

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by xxpor on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @02:05PM (#28685648)
Are you actually spending that much on water though? Or water and sewer? Sewer is a lot (~$18 per CCF, iirc) more expensive. Farmers wouldn't have to pay that. Don't disagree about water in the SW being stupidly subsidized of course.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by brewdad on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @02:09PM (#28685692)
Yes sewer is a lot but I was paying for sewer in both places. Maybe Phoenix wasn't bothering to put any money away for future repairs.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by xxpor on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @03:56PM (#28686781)
Wouldn't surprise me. I also think Seattle's sewer fees are probably relatively high because of the upgrades they've had to do to the whole system to avoid dumping so much untreated waste straight into the sound.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by ghshephard on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @07:17PM (#28688575)
I don't think the price you pay has everything to do with the cost of the water, but the distribution, servicing, cleaning of human-consumable quality water. The one price I do know for DeSalinated (among the most expensive) was $0.45/m^3 or 1000 liters (Hyflux 10 year commit, industrial quantity). The problem, of course, being that you need to be near the ocean.
Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by dillondoyle on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @11:46AM (#28684161)
Interesting relevent article came out from Bloomberg yesterday about Arizona water authority helping boost new more efficient and cheaper drip tech:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-09-23/how-micro...

Re:Intel breaks ground on $20B Arizona plants as U.S. chip f... by celestialcheese on Tuesday September 28, 2021 @05:51PM (#28687958)
If seismic stability was the primary concern, why not choose a state like Minnesota? (lowest seismic activity in the US) Is it tax / local governments + seismic stability?