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Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by ideophobia on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:06PM (#25541035)
Considering the FBI recently foiled a plot by a group who was planning to "take out" parts of the energy grid, it seems likely from my experience that this is another set of people executing a similar plan targeting telecoms. I imagine there is a high probability of more incidents like this happening between now and the inauguration, meant to target various infrastructure and "big government" components throughout the country. This attack screams anti-government militia with it's technique, and we will see in the following days online chats emerging with all the planning details that will likely include someone that had some degree of "insider information" about the ATT facility.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by bronco21016 on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:10PM (#25541055)
The only thing you’re missing in your plot is encrypted messengers that can’t be cracked without sweeping legislation.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by ideophobia on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:13PM (#25541071)
I saw a bunch of headlines recently that said the FBI had decrypted one of the popular secure messaging apps (telegram or signal maybe?), which, bizarrely enough, fits my narrative perfectly. Though I saw other headlines stating that was incorrect reporting.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by corndoge on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:32PM (#25541161)
You probably saw the headlines about Cellebrite claiming to have "signal decryption" capabilities, which they did, provided they had the device in hand and unlocked

https://signal.org/blog/cellebrite-and-clickbait/

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by suifbwish on Saturday December 26, 2020 @04:03AM (#25542253)
Woah! They can decrypt it when it’s decrypted!! News!
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by anonymouse008 on Friday December 25, 2020 @11:13PM (#25541317)
Just like anyone with a private key and file — this site has tangibly shifted from ‘14 to now.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by pseudo0 on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:22AM (#25541829)
Most people seemed to be having lots of fun roasting Cellebrite for that awful article.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25520481

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by bronco21016 on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:33PM (#25541169)
The company claiming to have broken Signal was simply pulling the database of messages off of an unlocked phone. It’s definitely not a hack and the blog post has since been heavily retracted.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by philwelch on Friday December 25, 2020 @11:15PM (#25541325)
I think it’s premature to speculate about motive, aside from the obvious part about targeting telecoms infra rather than people. For instance, this might also potentially disable security/alarm systems for a heist, or perhaps it was motivated by some 5G conspiracy theory.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by coolgeek on Saturday December 26, 2020 @11:17AM (#25544300)
The Venn diagram on anti-government militias and 5G conspiracy theorists is pretty close to a circle
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by mhh__ on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:13PM (#25545201)
In the UK we have some lefties getting in on the fun too - "buy my crystals to fix your 5G allergy" kind of stuff.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by coolgeek on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:38PM (#25545376)
"lefties" is a much broader category than anti-government militias. Other than that, no argument from me
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by mhh__ on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:50PM (#25545460)
Although there is more overlap between the anti-government types and lefties than they would both like to admit, we don't really have a libertarian sect beyond a vague correlation with thatcherism (But even then, outright thatcherism is still a think for the wonks - having any political ideology at all is depressingly rare)
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by coolgeek on Saturday December 26, 2020 @05:15PM (#25546861)
Here in the colonies, most of the left regards libertarians as right-wing (and a good chunk of the right considers them to be left-wing).

It's illustrative of why simplistic right/left labeling is at best useless. You have to evaluate individuals - and media orgs - at a much more granular level. At minimum, three dimensions - natsec/defense, economics, social.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by cookiengineer on Saturday December 26, 2020 @12:04AM (#25541529)
I'm not sure if it's only anti government militia. Another possibility could be a heist/digital raid and that this bombing was there to prevent offsite backups of a secure data facility.

Nonetheless this seems too coordinated and well executed to be some random hate group, so I agree with you there. Especially with the evacuation messages.

Anybody know if e.g. the Nexus group or similar SSAE data centers had some issues?

[dead]
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by TameAntelope on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:06AM (#25541766)
In the US there’s a LOT of overlap.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by edoceo on Saturday December 26, 2020 @12:39AM (#25541672)
You're "countering" an assertion that was not made.
[dead]
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by dang on Saturday December 26, 2020 @03:03PM (#25546023)
You've been posting a ton of flamebait and unsubstantive comments to HN. If you keep doing that we will have to ban you, so please stop.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by octoberfranklin on Sunday December 27, 2020 @02:55AM (#25549592)
Dan, your "flamebait" characterization is grossly unreasonable.

Nobody's flaming me, so if it were flamebait I'd deserve some kind of award for most astonishingly-ineffective flamebait in history.

You ought to call it what it is: dissident speech. Dissonant, too.

Does dissident speech get people banned from HN?

PS, I admit that the (one) ascii-art text banner was silly and inappropriate.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by dang on Sunday December 27, 2020 @01:35PM (#25553152)
I use the word to mean provocative/inflammatory comments that don't contain enough information to outweigh the provocation. Such comments tend to lead to flamewars.

Definitions aside, please don't post any more comments like that. We want substantive, thoughtful conversation on HN. Comments like "racist racist racist Fascist racist" are obviously not acceptable, quite apart from ascii art (though what you did with that was also not cool, and you did it at least three times).

Please don't post any more unsubstantive comments like these either:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25435883

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25428670

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25427868

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by WalterGR on Saturday December 26, 2020 @03:51AM (#25542224)
Could you please knock it off? Your comments on this post are designed only to start flamewars. That sort of thing is frowned upon here. Since one of your comments is about what’s acceptable on HN, then either you know better and are doing it anyway, which is in poor taste, or you don’t know better and therefore shouldn’t be lecturing people about what’s acceptable here. Either by way of refresher or introduction, here are the site guidelines: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by leblancfg on Saturday December 26, 2020 @07:21AM (#25543010)
I made that link too - it’s spurious at best though, of course.

Ever heard of Metcalf sniper attack, too, taking down a California power station a couple years back? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metcalf_sniper_attack

Crippling a country’s energy and telecom capabilities could align with the motives of another nation.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by ideophobia on Saturday December 26, 2020 @08:17AM (#25543260)
Yep metcalf is why I'm making the leaps here. Also because metcalf is only one of dozens of similar events that occured throughout the US in the past 8-10 years or so, all similarly targeting infrastructure and energy companies, most of which remain unsolved today.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by betwixthewires on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:30AM (#25541846)
>between now and the inauguration

Why the inauguration?

>This attack screams anti-government militia

What about it screams anything identifiable?

Are you sure your biases aren't creeping into your analysis?

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by ideophobia on Saturday December 26, 2020 @08:30AM (#25543324)
First, this isn't an analysis as much as it is pointless speculation on a Y Combinator message board.

I already listed some things that stood out to me in another comment.

I call out the inauguration because it's literally about to happen? Its the next the largest event in American politics on the calendar. And obviously my assumptions that this is tied to anti government efforts means those involved would likely be stirred up by whatever is currently happening in politics. Everyone's bias creeps into everything they do. Neither of us are immune to that. So calling it out here in such a uselessly rhetorical manner isn't some logical fallacy flag, it's a derailment of the discussion. I'm not even sure what bias you're accusing me of, I guess leftist politics?

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by olefoo on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:11PM (#25541060)
What we're seeing is a "stochastic insurgency" where loosely affiliated groups and individuals conceive, plan and execute infrastructure attacks and targeted assassinations. Relatively little operational coordination; but lots of online showing support and post-crime support.

I hope all congressional representatives and local government officials are reviewing their safety plans.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by numpad0 on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:22PM (#25541110)
That's almost straight out of Ghost in the Shell...
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by CyanBird on Friday December 25, 2020 @11:08PM (#25541291)
Stand Alone Complexes, yeah
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by Apocryphon on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:56PM (#25541254)
Haven’t mass shootings been a form of this despite the lack of unified motive or ideology? They’ve certainly spread terror.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by bilbo0s on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:26PM (#25541137)
I hope all congressional representatives and local government officials are reviewing their safety plans

I know I likely don't have to tell this to the experts out there, but it might first be advisable to have your counter terrorism guys review "all congressional representatives and local government officials". No one minds fighting a war, at the same time, no one wants to charge out of a foxhole and be shot in the back.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by betwixthewires on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:32AM (#25541857)
You can conclude all of that from one attack?

Where are the other infrastructure attacks? Or targeted assassinations?

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by Latty on Saturday December 26, 2020 @05:10AM (#25542481)
Recently there was the attempt to kidnap the Michigan's governor and the cell that was planning an attack on a power plant.

Both stopped by intelligence services, but that doesn't stop them being data points for people being extremists.

Not saying there is a guarantee this was people with the same objectives, but it seems like a plausible theory. I wouldn't make strong assertions as though it was fact, but I also wouldn't act like there hasn't been a trend recently.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by drefanzor on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:46PM (#25541218)
you'll be ok
[dead]
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by jamroom on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:37PM (#25541191)
The linked article mentions anarchists opposed to the pipeline in British Columbia. I see nothing about Antifa.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by bigbubba on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:32PM (#25541163)
I wonder what other crimes have stochastic forms... could violent video games be stochastic murder, if among the thousands of players there is one disturbed person who might be inspired by depictions of violence to act violently? Could songs glorifying violent lifestyles also be called stochastic crime? Folk songs glorifying cartels come to mind. If an unrealistic war movie inspires teenagers to join the army, might the producers of that movie have some share of the blame for the actions undertaken by that army?

Where is the line drawn between stochastic crimes and free speech?

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by chrisweekly on Friday December 25, 2020 @11:43PM (#25541449)
I dob't think the word "stochastic" means what you seem to think it means.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by bigbubba on Saturday December 26, 2020 @03:40AM (#25542188)
I'm pretty sure I know what it means. If you want a more substantial reply, give me one first.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by Treblemaker on Saturday December 26, 2020 @04:34PM (#25546620)
Can you elaborate on what you mean by "stochastic forms"? The meaning and usage of the word that I am familiar with don't seem to fit here, so I don't think I'm getting your meaning. Thanks
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by bigbubba on Saturday December 26, 2020 @09:56PM (#25548418)
Sure. From Wikipedia:

> A derivation of Dr Woo's stochastic terrorism model was proffered by an anonymous blogger posting on Daily Kos in 2011 to describe public speech that can be expected to incite terrorism without a direct organizational link between the inciter and the perpetrator.[31][32] The term "stochastic" is used in this instance to describe the random, probabilistic nature of its effect: whether or not an attack actually takes place. And, although the actual perpetrator of a planned attack and its timing is not under the control of the stochastic terrorist, their actions nevertheless serve to increase the probability that a terrorist attack will occur.[33] The stochastic terrorist in this context does not direct the actions of any particular individual or members of a group. Rather, the stochastic terrorist gives voice to a specific ideology via mass media with the aim of optimizing its dissemination.[33]

So if 'stochastic terrorism' is speech that will probabilistically inspire acts of violence when it reaches a large number of people, why can't this be generalized to crimes other than terrorism? If the (now banned) subreddit r/shoplifting publishes messages glorifying shoplifting to a large number of people, it will likely inspire some portion of those exposed to commit these crimes themselves. Does that make the subreddit a form of 'stochastic theft'?

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by sneak on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:14PM (#25541077)
> This attack screams anti-government militia with it's technique

What part of the technique indicates "anti-government militia"?

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by ideophobia on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:25PM (#25541127)
Purely my opinion and speculation here, but I'd say the things that stick out to me are the timing and avoidance of random casualties for one. This is a hallmark used by the IRA and the ETA in Spain to inflict damage upon the government without damaging the people, so to speak. The use of an RV also stands out to me, I don't recall many VBIEDs associated with foreign terrorists using that type of vehicle in the US, while I do recall RVs being a common tool in militia groups for movement, travel, storage, etc. Some other things stuck out to me watching videos of the explosion, but it's hard to say anything definitive until more evidence is released.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by sneak on Saturday December 26, 2020 @02:41AM (#25542028)
I don't think the IRA counts as "anti-government" simply because they are anti-that-government.

They are also not a "militia" as I understand the term.

Why would you follow up "it screams" with "hard to say anything definitive"? Those seem quite contradictory to me.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by ideophobia on Saturday December 26, 2020 @08:58AM (#25543468)
What would you consider the IRA to be in lieu of anti-government?

I don't think I said the IRA were a militia, I drew a conclusion that this incident, which I speculate as being tied to anti government militia groups in the US, shares similarities with other destructive anti government groups seen in Ireland and Spain. I don't think I said those groups were militia groups specifically, and I don't think the comparison is such a stretch since there are other commenters making the exact same leap to the IRA.

My contradictory wording is likely to be a subconscious defense mechanism of sharing my opinion on the internet. I have not claimed any specific knowledge or authority over this event or even in defense of my own speculation here. In full transparency, the only reason I posted was because people were going all in on the "heist" theory, which I find ridiculous.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by cowsandmilk on Saturday December 26, 2020 @08:06AM (#25543207)
Why do you feel the ira is not a militia? All of its modern forms (there have been splits) are armies of nonprofesssional soldiers.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by macinjosh on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:12AM (#25541791)
> This attack screams anti-government militia with it's technique

What makes you think this? Vehicle bombs have been used by Islamic bombers, IRA bombers. Doesn’t seem that unique to me.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by lucian1900 on Saturday December 26, 2020 @05:35AM (#25542584)
The IRA was an anti-government militia, specifically against British occupation.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by suifbwish on Saturday December 26, 2020 @04:05AM (#25542256)
He clearly has a nice narrative, stop trying to spoil it for him by popping his balloons
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by RealityVoid on Saturday December 26, 2020 @04:16AM (#25542297)
They usually do not go out of their way to avoid civilian victims. On the contrary.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by AnIdiotOnTheNet on Saturday December 26, 2020 @09:08AM (#25543535)
As mentioned elsethread, the IRA did in fact often phone in warnings before a bombing.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by pseudo0 on Friday December 25, 2020 @11:22PM (#25541354)
If anything, this attack reminded me of the Weather Underground bombings in the 70s, which were often prefaced by evacuation warnings and targeted infrastructure rather than people. If I had to take a guess though, I'd go with a genuinely mentally ill person attempting to take out the 5G "mind control rays" or whatever, particularly given the potential presence of human remains found at the scene.

I read that story you mentioned about the energy grid plot, but it seems like bizarrely pathetic larping that was stopped before any substantive action was taken [0]. One part of the article I couldn't help but laugh at:

> The affidavit says the Ohio teen put Nazi flags in his room, but his mother told him to take them down.

[0] - https://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/national-international/fbi-w...

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by ideophobia on Friday December 25, 2020 @11:41PM (#25541431)
Yea when I first saw the coverage my immediate assumption was a crazy anti-5g person. But reading accounts of the events leading up to the explosion made it sound too well executed for that in my mind. Obviously anyone who does this, regardless of motive, is mentally ill in some capacity.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by AnIdiotOnTheNet on Saturday December 26, 2020 @09:13AM (#25543567)
> Obviously anyone who does this, regardless of motive, is mentally ill in some capacity.

I'm not sure why you think that is obvious. Without knowing the motive we have no means of assessing the decision making process of the attacker(s).

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by anonymouse008 on Friday December 25, 2020 @11:03PM (#25541273)
Note there was also an interesting event in WA on Dec 22 - local outlets covered:

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/train-carrying-cru...

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by octoberfranklin on Saturday December 26, 2020 @03:45AM (#25542207)
Two women were indicted for placing shunts across the same railroad's tracks in the same county earlier this month:

https://www.justice.gov/usao-wdwa/press-release/file/1341141...

Note particularly the "INDIGENOUS LAND" emblem on page 5 of the indictment. Pretty obviously not the only two people who are part of that group.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by dkn775 on Saturday December 26, 2020 @01:32AM (#25541855)
There was also an explosion at BGE building in Baltimore two days back on 23rd
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by microtherion on Saturday December 26, 2020 @07:46AM (#25543114)
> This attack screams anti-government militia with it's technique

The target and the means (RV stuffed with explosives) would sort of fit the pattern. Broadcasting an advance warning would be rather atypical for US right wing (or islamic, for that matter) terrorists, though, and rigging up a speaker that actually works would stretch the technical abilities of a typical US militia group.

The groups who did operate that way (weather people, IRA, RAF, etc) are not presently active in the US (unless some snowbird weather people decided to come out of retirement).

If the rumors of this being a suicide bombing pan out, a single disgruntled person with some technical skill probably would have the financial and technical means to carry this out, and a company like AT&T probably enrages thousands of technical people a year for various reasons — power laws would suggest that occasionally one of them might become enraged to the point of terrorism.

Or, for wilder speculation, maybe some foreign state level actor has an interest in causing extra chaos? With leadership of various security services in near constant turmoil, and new appointees being installed primarily with partisan domestic objectives, now is as good a time to carry out such an act as any.

It's probably best not to jump to conclusions, and be wary of any authorities looking to take this incident as a pretext to expand any of their ample existing powers.

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by suifbwish on Saturday December 26, 2020 @04:09AM (#25542273)
You’ve been watching too much Netflix over the holiday.
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by anonymouse008 on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:12PM (#25541063)
Do you have a link for the FBI prevented plot?

Edit: thank you (both)

Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by ideophobia on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:15PM (#25541078)
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by avs733 on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:14PM (#25541074)
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by tru3_power on Friday December 25, 2020 @10:21PM (#25541107)
This sounds extremely similar to Fight Club
Re:ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville by playingchanges on Saturday December 26, 2020 @10:43AM (#25544062)
One thing I found interesting was this list of media companies now owned by AT&T. I can imagine a motive scenario based on these names alone.

https://bgr.com/2018/06/16/att-time-warner-merger-brands-wha...