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Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by crumbshot on Monday November 30, 2020 @12:54PM (#25256670)
Bitcoin and other compute-intensive cryptocurrencies should be banned or taxed so heavily that it's financially infeasible to use them.

The amount of energy being wasted (reportedly more than seven nuclear power plants worth) on what is essentially an unproductive project is quite absurd.

In a world where we should all be increasingly concerned about the looming climate catastrophe, it's wholly irresponsible for Bitcoin to exist other than as an academic curiosity.

Also I reckon if recreational drugs were legalised, there would be no real reason to use Bitcoin at all. I mean what would be left except for just buying into the pyramid scheme, and ransomware payments?

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by ISL on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:04PM (#25256806)
The resources consumed by Bitcoin should be compared with those consumed by other transaction-clearing and store-of-value methods. Credit-card companies consume a few percent of revenue for a large chunk of consumer transactions. Gold mining is an environmental catastrophe [1].

Bitcoin is far from perfect, but it is important to place it in context with other systems that achieve the same ends. As bitcoin-mining technology matures, it is increasingly reasonable to think about home-heating/data-furnace ways to make use of the waste heat.

[1] https://www.google.com/maps/place/Cripple+Creek,+CO/@38.7295...

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:06PM (#25256840)
Energy consumption in the classical model is substantially lower because if you scaled up Bitcoin to the size of Visa alone it would exceed the amount of energy generated on earth a few times over and the amount of ewaste generated on earth too.

This is a classic pro Bitcoin argument that’s trivially falsifiable.

The fact folks here think their transactions in the online economy should heat their homes is so bananas to me. What is this, the industrial revolution? I mean, I know we’ve got our plague doctor masks on but that’s not intentional.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:16PM (#25256975)
You're making two mistakes.

The first is that scaling Bitcoin up to the size of visa is not particularly possible. You might be able to match visa's throughput by greatly increasing the block interval (e.x. one block every week) but the protocol cannot reasonably scale past a couple hundred transactions per second without taking a massive hit to transaction latency. So, in this sense the question of how much energy Bitcoin would consume if you scaled it up is meaningless, it cannot be scaled up.

The second mistake is that Bitcoin's energy consumption has no relationship with its scale. Say you built a hypothetical MiniBitcoin which was exactly the same except each block was so small they could fit just one transaction, MiniBitcoin would consume almost exactly the same amount of energy as Bitcoin does now. The energy usage goes up as competition between miners increases. The energy usage does not go up as more transactions are processed.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:20PM (#25257015)
> The first is that scaling Bitcoin up to the size of visa is not particularly possible.

That’s no mistake, folks are suggesting that on a per transaction basis - today - Bitcoin is cheaper or more efficient if you take into account hand wavey externalities not captured in the classical transaction cost model of a payment processor like visa.

What I’ve done is invalidate that argument not by scaling visa down to a single transaction (as that doesn’t capture externalities, per the argument posited) but scale BTC up as the argument is BTC captures all externalities. By then showing that it’s physically impossible I’ve disproved the thesis.

You’re making a different argument about avenues for scaling and that deserves its own conversation.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:27PM (#25257109)
You haven't shown that it's physically impossible though. Scaling doesn't work that way, not even in the physical world does it work that way. As the side length of a cube increases the surface area increases with the square of the side length, and volume increases with the cube of the side length. When considering the effects of scaling a system it makes no sense to just multiply all numbers by some constant. The question of how much energy Bitcoin would consume if you scaled it up cannot be solved, even in approximation, by blindly multipling it's current energy usage by a constant.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:29PM (#25257130)
You misunderstand. I’m not saying it’s physically impossible for Bitcoin to scale (which I do believe, separately), but that it’s physically impossible for Bitcoin to be more efficient on a per transaction basis as specced today even if you take into account all externalities.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:04PM (#25257512)
Okay, I might be misunderstanding you. What is your argument though? I can't find anywhere in this thread where you showed it's impossible for bitcoin to be more efficient on a per-txn basis.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by paulgb on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:32PM (#25257179)
Energy use in equilibrium is proportional to the value of the block rewards plus transaction rewards. In a world where Bitcoin replaces gold or visa, it would be significantly worse for the environment than it is today, since the value of each unit would have to increase to satisfy the demand.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:01PM (#25257491)
> Energy use in equilibrium is proportional to the value of the block rewards plus transaction rewards.

Good point, you're right, I was forgetting this.

> since the value of each unit would have to increase to satisfy the demand.

I didn't follow this though, what do you mean?

> In a world where Bitcoin replaces gold or visa

It doesn't seem very meaningful to me to talk about energy usage in this world because Bitcoin can't replace visa. To replace visa we would have to make enough changes to it that I don't have much of an idea of what the energy usage of the modified system will look like.

Though let's consider Nervos' NC-Max, which gets a lot closer to replacing visa than an unmodified Bitcoin can. It works by, effectively, massively increasing the block size limit. In a NC-Max world energy usage would still be proportional to the coinbase but the coinbase might stay small because there's so much room in each block that transaction fees stay low.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by paulgb on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:12PM (#25257599)
> I didn't follow this though, what do you mean?

I should have worded it better, I just mean that if Bitcoin were to replace gold as the primary store of value, the price of Bitcoin would have to rise significantly to absorb the demand, since supply is inelastic. This in turn would increase the environmental externalities.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:27PM (#25257804)
Thanks for clarifying. I'm not sure it would increase the environmental externalities.

Since transaction inclusion is a marketplace and since most products we care about will continue to be denominated in local currencies I don't think transaction fees will change much as the price of bitcoin changes.

As the dollar-denominated value of a 0.01btc fee increases people will become less willing to spend that 0.01btc. There might be some stickiness but I expect the kwh-denominated fees will grow much more slowly than the price of bitcoin.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by gruez on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:10PM (#25256900)
>Energy consumption in the classical model is substantially lower because if you scaled up Bitcoin to the size of visa alone it would exceed the amount of energy generated on earth a few times over and the amount of ewaste generated on earth too.

This seems to be a misunderstanding of how mining works. The amount of energy used for mining is largely disconnected from transaction volume. Mining a block with one transaction takes about the same amount of energy (within a few watts) as mining a block with 10000 transactions.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:12PM (#25256926)
There’s no misunderstanding. To the extent that the cap remains 7tx/sec and saturated at that level then my point remains valid. There’s no plan to change it so let’s stay away from hypotheticals.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by X6S1x6Okd1st on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:51PM (#25258093)
Yup, last I checked there is so much resistance to increasing the block size that there was multiple forks about it.

The hope for scaling bitcoin is on stuff like the lightning network and other more esoteric stuff like coinjoin. That being said lighting network could scale arbitrarily in theory, but the security properties depend on being able to tx on the main chain in a timely manner. In the case that there is a wide spread theft attempt on the lighting network we could see many LN channels trying to be closed at the same time and shooting the fees up beyond the attack value.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:01PM (#25258217)
Well a lightning channel requires 1 on chain transaction to open and 1 to close so it’d cost $12 and for everyone on earth to open and close a single channel would take over 70 years. So it’s not really a scaling solution. And L2 isn’t blockchain anyways, you could conceivably implement lightning with classical assets.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by X6S1x6Okd1st on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:40PM (#25258678)
Most people have been txing with a trusted source (e.g. coinbase).

> you could conceivably implement lightning with classical assets.

Not with the same security properties. The idea of building a money transfer service where you simply have many people with liquidity that transfer IOUs instead of the actual money has been around since at least the 8th century: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawala

There was no formal ultimate settlement layer though.

I personally think that we need to continue to investigate ways to push what we trust and eventually have a workable system that actually trusts individual public keys to not double spend on pain of losing their reputation.

Until that happens I'll continue to hold some BTC.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @04:45PM (#25259433)
> Most people have been txing with a trusted source (e.g. coinbase).

That's not blockchain, and it's not crypto. You can do that right now with literally any asset in an InteractiveBrokers account.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by ISL on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:09PM (#25256872)
It depends upon the scaling algorithm -- as volume goes up, there may be efficiencies that allow the (competing!) miners to reduce their transaction fees.

In theory, since there is no notion of a Bitcoin chargeback and no need to extend credit to any party in the transaction, the intrinsic cost of a bitcoin transaction should be lower.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:12PM (#25256912)
The intrinsic cost of a transaction is basically zero, the cost associated with Bitcoin is Smaug-style keeping people off your coins. There is no scaling algorithm and no scaling to date.

Believe it or not chargebacks and credit are good things. This you can find out if you ask literally anyone why they use their credit card instead of their debit card.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by mrlala on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:16PM (#25256974)
>Credit-card companies consume a few percent of revenue

And anyone that "accepts" bitcoin as payment probably takes more than that due to Bitcoin's volatility.

If at the moment of a transaction, 1 BTC = 20k USD and I go to buy something that is $20k USD, it's not going to show up as "1 BTC" on the checkout.. it will probably be like 1.05 BTC.

Also, credit-card companies give guarantees to both the buyers and sellers, so they are providing a service. Buyers get extra protection with extra warranties, ability to reverse fraudulent/deceptive sellers. Sellers get extra revenue with people buying stuff they don't have cash for, and don't have to worry about fraudulent cash/checks etc. Yeah sellers overall take a bit of a hit, but the argument can be made the couple percent is worth it to never have to worry about getting scammed by a buyer.

Anyway.. crypto offers absolutely NONE of that. So comparing it to credit card companies is honestly quite laughable.

The only thing you can try to argue is crypto offers anonymity to a degree? Although it sure seems like you have to jump through a lot of hoops for this to even be true since it's a public ledger...

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by gruez on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:01PM (#25257493)
>it's not going to show up as "1 BTC" on the checkout.. it will probably be like 1.05 BTC.

In my experience the spread is usually under 1% of the 24 avg.

>[...] and don't have to worry about fraudulent cash/checks etc. Yeah sellers overall take a bit of a hit, but the argument can be made the couple percent is worth it to never have to worry about getting scammed by a buyer.

But how are you going to get scammed accepting bitcoin? It's not like it's easy to forge a bitcoin.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by mrlala on Monday November 30, 2020 @04:45PM (#25259430)
>In my experience the spread is usually under 1% of the 24 avg.

And how does that work? For example, the last 24hr bitcoin is up like 10%.. Let's call 5% below the current price the 24hr average.. are you suggesting that the exchange rate is 1% above the 24avg, or 4% below the current price, meaning the seller is eating 4% of the current price? That certainly does not make any sense.

>But how are you going to get scammed accepting bitcoin? It's not like it's easy to forge a bitcoin.

I agree the seller can't really get scammed, but the buyer has --zero-- recourse. So sure the seller loves it because there is no recourse and they can add a nice spread (my first point). But the buyer does not.

Whereas credit cards- both parties get benefits (even if it skews toward the buyer, however that is a good thing, it shouldn't be equal.. the seller has more information about the transaction thus the buyer should have more recourse).

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by gruez on Monday November 30, 2020 @06:09PM (#25260223)
>And how does that work? For example, the last 24hr bitcoin is up like 10%.. Let's call 5% below the current price the 24hr average.. are you suggesting that the exchange rate is 1% above the 24avg, or 4% below the current price, meaning the seller is eating 4% of the current price? That certainly does not make any sense.

That was based on how I remembered some merchants handled conversion a few years ago. I just did a test with coingate and the spread between their rate and the market rate is under 0.05% (yes that's a fraction of a percent, not 5%).

>I agree the seller can't really get scammed, but the buyer has --zero-- recourse

I don't disagree that credit card protections are good for the consumer. The problem is that there's no opt out (eg. horror stories about people's paypal accounts being frozen because of a surge in donations), and you're forced to use the bank (or credit card company) as the escrow.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by CJefferson on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:10PM (#25256899)
Bitcoin costs about 6$ per transaction (based on block reward). That is more than many transactions I make. Also, if you are using electricity to heat a house, heat pumps are about 4x more effective than bitcoin mining. This "mine for heat" meme has no real basis in fact.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:20PM (#25257027)
I admit $6 is very expensive when compared to credit card fees, but Bitcoin is the only way I know of sending someone in a different country $10k for just a $6 fee. It would still be $6 if you sent $1M.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:24PM (#25257085)
There’s plenty of ways. Consider TransferWise. They generally charge 0.8% for USD-CAD and 0% for USD-INR. Pretty cheap. InteractiveBrokers allows you to exchange at market rates on the multi trillion dollar forex market for 2/10ths of a basis point ($20 per million).

You’re also leaving out two steps in your calculus that really tilt the scales. You’re not paid in Bitcoin and your recipient cannot spent Bitcoin, therefore you need to pay a 1-2% fee at origin, $6 for a BTC TX, $90 in electricity socialized across the block reward and a 1-2% fee at destination.

Moving $10,000 USD to CAD on the blockchain is roughly $399 not $6.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by gruez on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:49PM (#25257375)
>InteractiveBrokers allows you to exchange at market rates on the multi trillion dollar forex market for 2/10ths of a basis point ($20 per million).

but that only covers conversion, right? Or does IB also allow you to send to arbitrary accounts?

>therefore you need to pay a 1-2% fee at origin [...] and a 1-2% fee at destination.

That's only if you use the managed exchange service. If use the trading interface (ie. placing bids/asks manually), it's much lower. eg. 0.5% for coinbase pro[1], 0.25% for gemini activetrader[2]

[1] https://help.coinbase.com/en/pro/trading-and-funding/trading...

[2] https://gemini.com/fees/activetrader-fee-schedule#section-ac...

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @03:42PM (#25269614)
Indeed the IBKR approach is longer and there are more steps. You transfer cash to the account in the source country, make the FOREX transaction, transfer the money to your own bank account in the destination and the use a local payment system. It is however the cheapest option I’m aware of in the entire world. $20 per million + 0%.

If you’re sending comparatively smaller quantities then the delta between that and TransferWise is negligible, and it is a one stop shop.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:46PM (#25257350)
I have used Bitcoin to send money internationally. I did not spend any money on turning my dollars into bitcoin, because I already had bitcoin. I did not pay $90 in electricity costs, it seems a little silly to bring the block reward up. You already have a good argument for what you're trying to say, you don't need to pretend that a cost others pay is a cost the transaction sender pays. As far as I know the recipients of my transactions did not pay any fees to convert the bitcoin back into their local currencies, because they were fine with holding on to it as Bitcoin.

I am not trying to say that Bitcoin solves every problem. I agree with you that there are many problems it does not solve. The $399 number is disingenuous though, you're ignoring that there are situations where bitcoin really does have lower fees than the alternatives.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:06PM (#25257530)
Ill grant you socialized cost of block reward is contentious and probably a distraction, though I personally stand by it. I’d argue your friends have simply deferred the conversion fee back to fiat, but I digress.

There may be times when it’s less expensive, although it is also riskier, just ask the dude who lost $400K to the Quadriaga collapse.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:31PM (#25257872)
Anyone who loses their money when an exchange collapses has not lost bitcoin, they already spent that bitcoin on a bitcoin-denominated-receivable and then lost that receivable.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by JoeAltmaier on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:33PM (#25257897)
Yeah and anybody who loses their money on the stock exchange, already spent that money on a security and then the security lost value. What's the difference?
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:43PM (#25258014)
The GP seems to be implying that using bitcoin is risky, which is true, but as evidence cites someone who lost money while not holding bitcoin. I'm sure people also lost CAD they had been storing in Quadriga; when you put money into an uninsured bank/exchange you might lose it, losing it is not evidence that bitcoin itself is risky.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:51PM (#25258098)
You can’t spend Bitcoin anywhere which means you need to rely on these exchanges to get something you can exchange for goods and services. This makes them a mandatory part of the exchange transaction and ecosystem as such their risk must be factored in. You can’t pretend the platonic ideal exists for crypto when comparing it to real world pricing and risk for existing solutions. That’s disingenuous at best.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by CJefferson on Monday November 30, 2020 @04:38PM (#25259347)
With bitcoin the choices seems equivalent to unsecured banks (trust someone else), or gold bars under the mattress (hope they don't get stolen, you don't get incapacitated and they get forgotten about, etc). I wouldn't want to store a significant chunk of my savings in either of those situations.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @05:32PM (#25259910)
current state of the art is not very good, storing large amounts of cryptocurrencies is not as convenient as large amounts of fiat and it may never be as convenient, but usability is slowly improving.

Hardware wallets and safe deposit boxes and multisig let you build a system which is far better than storing your money in an unsecured bank and far less vulnerable to theft/loss than the mattress strategy.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by alwillis on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:16PM (#25257659)
Moving $10,000 USD to CAD on the blockchain is roughly $399 not $6.

This is so disingenuous it's not even funny.

There are so many countries that US residents can't send to without going through a middleman, which takes a cut. Bitcoin isn't for sending money to CAD, which of course you can do. It really shines to sending money to places that don't have nearly as much financial infrastructure.

A regular wire transfer can take up to 3 days and cost 5-10%.

A bitcoin transaction that takes 1 day is cost 1 satoshi per byte. A satoshi is 1/100,000,000 of a bitcoin. Checking a realtime dashboard (https://bitbo.io), a satoshi is worth $0.00019225.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:36PM (#25257938)
(1) https://transferwise.com/help/articles/2571942/what-countrie...

(2) the countries without infrastructure generally can’t afford to be spending even $6 on a transaction. Venezuela’s minimum wage is $2 per month.

(3) Bitcoin isn't for sending money to CAD, which of course you can do.

Funny how it’s always not for the thing I point out it doesn’t work for haha. Nobody can quite figure out what it is for except speculation and crime.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by alwillis on Monday November 30, 2020 @04:50PM (#25259487)
Nobody can quite figure out what it is for except speculation and crime.

Bitcoin is a non-sovereign, hard-capped supply, global, immutable, decentralized digital store of value. It’s an insurance policy against monetary and fiscal policy irresponsibility from central banks and governments globally.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @05:07PM (#25259656)
I agree with part (1) but there's no reason (1) implies (2).

After all, Chuck-E-Cheese tokens fit a large part of the definition in part (1). After all they're non-sovereign, limited issuance, global, immutable and decentralized. But you'd be hard pressed to find someone who believes that implies Chuck-E-Cheese tokens are an insurance policy against monetary and fiscal policy irresponsibility from central banks and governments globally.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @05:50PM (#25260059)
The phrase "limited issuance" applies to bitcoin far more than it applies to chuck-e-cheese and given the rest of your comments it's clear you already know this. It seems you've decided you hate bitcoin and you're happy to use whatever argument justifies that opinion no matter how flimsy.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by captn3m0 on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:04PM (#25258242)
The fact that credit card fees are high is not reason enough for Bitcoin to win this forever. Nothing stops interchange from switching from a % model technically - the costs to the issuer and the network scale on a txn basis (same as bitcoin). All it takes is banks to cap their interchange - which they can, if bitcoin ever becomes competitive?
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by 9HZZRfNlpR on Monday November 30, 2020 @05:12PM (#25259695)
Its free in Europe between the countries, might be expensive in America where you tend to use credit cards to send money.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by wavepruner on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:22PM (#25257050)
The most important use-case for Bitcoin is the separation of money and state. As in, taking the place of USD as the worlds reserve currency. It does not need to be used to settle every little transaction for this, but rather used as a base layer for institutions. I know you are unlikely to see this use-case as plausible, but that is why so many people are buying Bitcoin right now.

For this use case, the amount of energy used to secure Bitcoin should be compared to the amount of energy used to secure the USD. Not just the energy to print cash, maintain digital system, etc, but the energy and human lives spent on war to maintain dominance.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by modeless on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:38PM (#25257249)
> the energy and human lives spent on war to maintain dominance

This is a really important point that I want to emphasize. Maintaining the value and scarcity of a fiat currency such as the dollar requires strong law enforcement and ultimately, for a global reserve currency, dominating military power. Bitcoin mining is a rounding error compared to the peacetime US defense budget, let alone all the externalities associated with militaries and war.

This is still a big if, but if the function of establishing a scarce digital global reserve currency can be done by an algorithm without relying on law enforcement or militaries, at a fraction of the cost, that is a huge win for the world.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by anythingdude321 on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:48PM (#25258069)
this has been discussed to death. ultimately Nic Carter's piece settles it i think: https://www.coindesk.com/the-last-word-on-bitcoins-energy-co...

"Ultimately it’s just a matter of opinion as to whether the existence of a non-state, synthetic monetary commodity is a good idea. The truth is that blockspace is a service which is paid for, and that’s where its resource cost is derived. Something duly purchased cannot, by definition, be a waste. Its buyer derives benefit from its existence, regardless of anyone else’s subjective opinion of the merit of the transaction. These same arguments have been made countless times about perceived “costs” of the gold standard, and rebutted on similar grounds before. Fundamentally, millions of individuals the world over still value physical, bank-independent savings, so it still gets pulled out of the ground with regularity. As long as people value Bitcoin, so, too, will the block-space auction continue in perpetuity.

The Bitcoin-energy worriers need not despair, however. There is a solution. All they must do is persuade Bitcoin fans to use and value an alternative settlement medium. Their best bet will be to devise a system that is even more secure, offers stronger assurances, settles faster, is more privacy preserving and is more censor resistant – all without using Proof-of-Work. Such a system would be miraculous. I’m waiting with bated breath."

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by str33t_punk on Monday November 30, 2020 @12:59PM (#25256736)
You would love Eth 2.0 then! The idea of proof of stake is to remove waste from the equation
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by tomp on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:17PM (#25256990)
Isn't the basic idea of ETH still "distributed computer" a.k.a. "pointless redoing every computation over and over" albeit with 2.0 it's sharded (i.e. only a subset of verification nodes redoing each computation)?

Still sounds wasteful, except slightly less massively so.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by dlubarov on Monday November 30, 2020 @10:05PM (#25261834)
That's accurate, although Eth 2 is planning to use fairly small shards (128 nodes according to the current spec). So there should be ~128 nodes redoing each computation, vs several thousand in Eth 1.

Some newer projects (including the one I work on, mirprotocol.org) are using cryptographic proofs to verify each computation, to avoid re-execution entirely.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by centimeter on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:03PM (#25256793)
Proof of stake does not have the same security properties as proof of work. The arguments are too complicated for me to usefully communicate them in a short HN post, but as a heuristic just keep in mind that most cryptocurrencies haven't adopted PoS despite it facially seeming better/"less wasteful".
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by X6S1x6Okd1st on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:08PM (#25256863)
Given that ETH is the second biggest cryptocurrency it will be a great stress test of the security properties of proof of stake.

Honestly if it runs successfully for multiple staking periods I don't think there will be much of an argument for PoW cryptocurrencies that aren't the dominate coin in their respective type of work. Essentially all coins that share a proof of work with a larger coin are constantly at risk of a 51% attack. We've seen it before with bitcoin forks.

Proof of work's security properties are broken for everything that isn't BTC, ETH (although this will change soon) and whatever the dominate CPU coin is (Monero?)

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by tromp on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @06:30AM (#25264339)
> Proof of work's security properties are broken for everything that isn't BTC, ETH (although this will change soon) and whatever the dominate CPU coin is

PoW secures any coin that dominates the daily issuance of all coins (efficiently) using the same hardware. So the different hardware classes are

CPUs

GPUs

SHA256 ASICs

scrypt ASICs

Equihash ASICs

X11 ASICs

etc...

and each one can secure one dominant coin.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by dlubarov on Monday November 30, 2020 @10:19PM (#25261921)
> most cryptocurrencies haven't adopted PoS despite it facially seeming better/"less wasteful"

Most post-launch cryptocurrencies were designed a long time ago, though. If you look at recent credible projects, most involve proof of stake: NEAR, Solana, Coda (Mina), Cosmos, Celo, Polkadot, etc.

I can only think of a couple recent blockchain designs based on proof of work: Grin and Iron Fish.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by dahdum on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:11PM (#25256908)
You're right, but that's only the case right now. Incredible effort has been and continues to be made on making PoS secure, scalable, and distributed.

I'm not aware of any insurmountable problems having been found. With Eth2.0 steadily approaching launch and other networks in various stages of progression, it seems increasingly unlikely we'll find one.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by aeternum on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:21PM (#25257039)
The insurmountable problem is that a user cannot tell which is the 'real' fork of a PoS chain without some kind of sidechannel information.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by sgarman on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:07PM (#25256849)
My favorite argument: "it's too complicated for me to explain!"
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by olalonde on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:13PM (#25256937)
See this comment by Gregory Maxwell (a core Bitcoin developer): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25007874

Saying that PoS offers zero security seems a bit extreme but there's definitely a trade-off.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by olalonde on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:07PM (#25256842)
We should tax/price externalities in general, there is no need to single out cryptocurrency.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by johnyzee on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:17PM (#25256978)
> essentially an unproductive project

Who are you to judge? There are lots of things that I find useless that the world uses a lot more energy on.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by centimeter on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:02PM (#25256773)
> The amount of energy being wasted (reportedly more than seven nuclear power plants worth) on what is essentially an unproductive project is quite absurd.

Orders of magnitude less than the amount of energy being "wasted" sustaining the millions of employees of the banking industry. I use scare quotes because the energy is being spent, not wasted.

> I mean what would be left except for just buying into the pyramid scheme, and ransomware payments

It's hard to give you the benefit of the doubt when you clearly haven't bothered to understand the argument for Bitcoin's value proposition.

Hard money (i.e. money which cannot be inflated) has valuable economic properties, and many people think that a hard money is concomitantly a valuable long-term investment/store of value.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by ac29 on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:33PM (#25258602)
> Hard money (i.e. money which cannot be inflated)

1) Bitcoin has never not been in an inflationary period. Every 10 minutes or so, more gets printed.

2) There's no technical reason this can't continue forever - whoever controls 51% of the network can dictate the rules. Yes, the network could fork if the rules changed, but its impossible to say which network would be more successful.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by jeffreyrogers on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:06PM (#25256837)
I think most people would agree that finance is too large in most developed countries, but it is also important. It's not like the large companies that pay investment banks to help them with their IPOs or with issuing bonds just want to waste money.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by paulgb on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:10PM (#25256884)
Also, it's not like the functions that banks currently do would become unnecessary in a Bitcoin maximalist world. It's an apples to oranges comparison.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:32PM (#25257175)
I think both of you are misunderstanding what centimeter is trying to say. They didn't suggest that Bitcoin will replace traditional finance, or that traditional finance is a waste.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by paulgb on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:57PM (#25257451)
Ok, but then at best the argument is whataboutism -- it's ok to waste more energy because we already waste a lot?

The reality is that Bitcoin already objectively uses a lot of energy by design, and the problem will only get worse if its price goes up.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by brian_cloutier on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:14PM (#25257631)
I don't want to try to argue in centimeter's place, since I'm not sure I agree with them, but the most charitable reading of their comment is not that they're trying to attack the status quo to distract from the energy usage of bitcoin.

They seem to be saying that traditional finance uses a lot of energy but we're mostly okay with that because we find financial products and services useful.

Bitcoin also uses a lot of energy, but it's only a "waste" if you think it's providing no value. Bitcoin is one of the few ways to buy "hard money" and if you value that the energy is not being wasted, it's being spent on provisioning a valuable service.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by alwillis on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:43PM (#25257314)
Actually, is helping to reduce the carbon footprint of natural gas and oil producers: https://www.coindesk.com/energy-giant-equinor-to-cut-gas-fla...

All of the excess gas and oil that's currently wasted but goes into the atmosphere is starting to be used for Bitcoin mining:https://cointelegraph.com/news/oil-companies-will-dominate-b...

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by georgesC on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:41PM (#25257987)
When I see those kind of subjective opinions getting popular, I'm glad that projects like bitcoin exists. It's really a political topic, as much as economical or tech.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by Siira on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @10:42AM (#25266095)
Work proof does NOT waste energy. Get your facts together. The more energy is in Bitcoin, the stronger is its guarantee of a non-tamperable ledger. Even as it currently stands, China can change the network (I assume). Coordination is not free, rationality 101.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by X6S1x6Okd1st on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:43PM (#25258015)
IMO the space to watch in cryptocurrencies is distributed storage. After storage is solved we might start to see distributed compute at prices below what data centers cost.

Sia currently beats S3 at 1/6th the price.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by seibelj on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:02PM (#25256771)
If I build a geothermal plant in a place where no one needs power, and use it only to mine bitcoin, then only renewable energy is used, nothing is added to the climate. See https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/13/how-iceland-be...

Using excess hydro power (china) or renewables like geothermal doesn't hurt the planet. Most bitcoin is mined using marginal energy that would be wasted otherwise. It has to be, as mining is an extremely cutthroat industry where burning actual fossil fuels is generally not cost effective.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by mdoms on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:29PM (#25257129)
Geothermal is neither renewable nor zero-carbon.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by seibelj on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:36PM (#25257215)
https://www.energy.gov/eere/geothermal/geothermal-faqs

> First, it's clean. Energy can be extracted without burning a fossil fuel such as coal, gas, or oil. Geothermal fields produce only about one-sixth of the carbon dioxide that a relatively clean natural-gas-fueled power plant produces, and very little if any, of the nitrous oxide or sulfur-bearing gases. Binary plants, which are closed cycle operations, release essentially no emissions.

> WHY IS GEOTHERMAL ENERGY A RENEWABLE RESOURCE?

> Answer: Because its source is the almost unlimited amount of heat generated by the Earth's core. Even in geothermal areas dependent on a reservoir of hot water, the volume taken out can be reinjected, making it a sustainable energy source.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by X6S1x6Okd1st on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:42PM (#25258697)
We should have a carbon tax. Cryptocurrency mining isn't so awful if it's funding the development of sustainable, low negative externality energy.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by gruez on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:01PM (#25256749)
>The amount of energy being wasted (reportedly more than seven nuclear power plants worth) on what is essentially an unproductive project is quite absurd.

As opposed to the energy and pollution generated by digging up yellow rocks or shiny crystals? What about billionares flying around the world in private jets or cruising in their yachts?

Moreover, if carbon emissions are the issue, why not tax it directly (aka carbon tax), rather than indirectly via a "sin" tax? That would have the effect of incentivizing the reduction of carbon emissions economy wide, rather than in a tiny sector.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by anthony_barker on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @03:57PM (#25269799)
Bitcoin lightning. Please check it out.

A ton of electricity is wasted. Maybe outlaw giant SUVs with 1 person in them?

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by WealthVsSurvive on Monday November 30, 2020 @12:58PM (#25256719)
It's a plutocrat wealth store during uncertainty, like gold, but it has no intrinsic value. That's it, that's its only purpose.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by colejohnson66 on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:20PM (#25257021)
Preface: Bitcoin is a neat idea (decentralized currency), but it’s not practical at scale.

Reply: To be fair, the US’ currency has no intrinsic value either. Prior to the removal of the gold standard, your $20 bill was backed by exactly $20 worth of gold in some vault. Mid-1970s, the gold standard was stopped and the US’ currency became “fiat”; it only has value because the US says it does. Should the US’ economy collapse, the bills become literally worthless.

It’s not exactly the same, but Bitcoin is essentially fiat money as its only value is what people say it is (somewhat similar to the stock market). So I think it’s an apt comparison.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by alwillis on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:29PM (#25257834)
It’s not exactly the same, but Bitcoin is essentially fiat money as its only value is what people say it is (somewhat similar to the stock market). So I think it’s an apt comparison.

Absolutely not. There's nothing "fiat" about Bitcoin. Fiat means by decree—there's no Bitcoin nation or organization that decreed that Bitcoin is valuable.

There's no authority that says what a Bitcoin is worth; the market decides.

Bitcoin, like gold, is hard money.

https://tradesmithdaily.com/educational/bitcoin-is-the-pures...

https://www.realvision.com/shows/the-interview-crypto/videos...

This is perhaps the best podcast for Bitcoin skeptics: "Bitcoin Common Misconceptions w/ Robert Breedlove"—https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/btc001-bitcoin-common-...

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by colejohnson66 on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:14PM (#25258370)
Nowhere did I say Bitcoin was fiat. I said it’s like fiat in that there’s no store of physical value behind it like the gold standard had. Bitcoin has a value of $x because the market says it has a value of $x. And the USD has a value of $y because the government says it has a value of $y. But on the gold standard, a $20 bill corresponded to a literal $20 of gold - a backing currency.

Despite what Bitcoin proponents want to believe, there is no intrinsic value in Bitcoin - hence why its “exchange rate” fluctuates so much. When a new block is mined, ~$20k of gold don’t magically get added to a vault - because there’s no backing currency.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by alwillis on Monday November 30, 2020 @09:33PM (#25261644)
The fact that Bitcoin is a non-sovereign, hard-capped supply, global, immutable, decentralized digital store of value and that it’s an insurance policy against monetary and fiscal policy irresponsibility from central banks and governments globally is valuable.

It can't be inflated and it can't be counterfeited. It's not subject to political pressure or the whims of a government.

To the extent that anything has intrinsic value, since value is subjective at the end of the day, Bitcoin certainly does, especially now as we have Great Depression levels of unemployment during a global pandemic. The more the global reserve currency is inflated—that would be the trillions and trillions of dollars that have been printed in the past year—the more valuable Bitcoin becomes.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by cloudinshape on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:19PM (#25257008)
Bitcoin is perhaps the most important project we'll see in our lifetimes.

The liberation of the most important asset in a capitalist society, money, from the tragedy that has been the current fiat system can not be over emphasized.

Money touches everything and is about time the market takes control of it, takes it away from the crony-states destroying the value of our savings, hence destroying our productivity, undermining the law at every turn in defense of a faux-egalitarianism when in reality that power has only been used to inflict (unwillingly or not) more pain to the marginalized sectors propping up a financialized economy that only exacerbates the wealth gap and radicalizes society to a dangerous level that sadly we all know where it ends up.

Bitcoin may not end up succeeding, but its fight is worthwhile, and necessary, and in the end inevitable, and because of that if the price now is 7 nuclear power plants we should pay it, as god knows we waste enough resources in lobbying, war and corruption already, because the cost to society of not doing it will be even greater in the future, and most probably, bloodier too.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @01:57PM (#25257456)
None of the social ills you identify are a function of fiat currency which is intentionally a temporary, lossy store of value. You take your fiat and you invest it and nothing you say below the first paragraph matters.

Savings are meant to be assets not currency, whether that’s stock, bonds, real estate - whatever. Even a savings account collateralizes loans. You’re not supposed to save cash. Whoever told you that has misled you. You’re supposed to keep a small stockpile to see you through a rainy few months. No more.

The issue is that people don’t have money, and they don’t have wealth. This is strictly a social problem. This is not true in all countries but it certainly is true in the US which has a worse wealth and income distribution than your average banana republic. However there’s zero political will to change it. By anyone, on either side of the political spectrum (with the possible exception of the centre-left Bernie Sanders). Social policy is the only and I do mean only way to make real meaningful progress here.

Replacing one inflationary currency with a worse distribution than a banana republic, with a different deflationary currency with a worse distribution than a banana republic changes nothing.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by cloudinshape on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:14PM (#25257630)
> You take your fiat and you invest it and nothing you say below the first paragraph matters.

If only.

The problematic part of a fiat system is not that is fiat, but that is in the hands of the government who knows not how to exercise constraint and inflates it at will to "pay" for things, more realistically, to promise to pay for things that if it had to actually pay for it will never be able to afford.

> The issue is that people don’t have money, and they don’t have wealth. This is strictly a social problem.

What do you think money is? Money is how societies choose to interact with each other; in a sense, money IS society, at the very least money is the first brick on which to build one. The government printing money and using it to pay for political favors (via military or natural resources contracts, monopoly markets, etc.) is at the core of the wealth gap.

> Replacing one inflationary currency with a worse distribution than a banana republic, with a different deflationary currency with a worse distribution than a banana republic changes nothing.

You don't understand what bitcoin is. Bitcoin's advantage is that the inflation rate is not controlled by the government, ie. they can't print money to buy stuff they can't afford, With bitcoin, governments can't print the wealth gap.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:27PM (#25257801)
> The problematic part of a fiat system is not that is fiat, but that is in the hands of the government who knows not how to exercise constraint and inflates it at will to "pay" for things, more realistically, to promise to pay for things that if it had to actually pay for it will never be able to afford.

If economic growth outpaces debt growth then it does not ever have to be paid back.

> ...what do you think money is?

Money is an intentionally lossy temporary store or value and a medium of exchange. Interact, yes. Store long term, no.

If you have problems with monetary policy vote in a new government, just taking your ball to the BVI isn’t a solution.

> ...you don’t understand what Bitcoin is.

I understand full well, and I believe those are bad things. Deflation is bad, for the reason I stated, and an inability to print means an inability to respond to geopolitical shocks (like COVID, for instance Canada has been paying everyone $2000/month this whole time). Not to mention an inability to grow supply with the entry of new market participants.

Bitcoin cannot and will not change the wealth gap when it’s overwhelmingly spoken for already. The best you can do is sentence your children to fight for scraps while the new moneyed class of criminals and lowlifes continues to grow in relative wealth as a fraction of economic activity by doing literally nothing with their money - backed on an inflation schedule created and managed not by economists or experts but a narcotics smuggler and a bunch of random GitHub contributors.

If you really want to change society for the better, run for office, don’t shill magic beans.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by georgesC on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:57PM (#25258160)
The fact that so many people don't know that cash/fiat is losing value over time makes it somewhat of a problem. Furthermore the creation of cash/fiat creates high benefits to those that benefits from the newly created money first, before the money spreads and devalues its value due to inflation over time.

Inflation vs deflation debate is a complicated one, I don't know which is best in terms of enabling technical progress. One is more short termist, another is more long termist.

But fiat/inflated currencies won't go away. It's just that those kinds of currencies just tends to blow up at some point because of inflation and human nature. It's more than nice to have other options, especially digital. The idea to have some kind of worldwide standard that is open and won't change is also nice.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:11PM (#25258331)
Not changing is nice conceptually but very bad in practice because the real world changes. It doesn’t map. It’s one of those software engineering tendencies to rewrite instead of understand and improve.

One side note though. Consider that inflation doesn’t affect the poor as the poor live paycheck to paycheck and wages in the US have kept pace with inflation. The wealthy don’t hold cash, they invest. Even cash tends to be held in a savings account with at least partially offsets inflationary pressure. Has it impacted anyone materially? I’d love to see some quantification.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by georgesC on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:39PM (#25258672)
In practice, I'd say "selected" lower level standards aren't changed but built upon. Standard tools also tends to not change much. web protocols, C, C++, php, those are not getting away despite many attempts to reinvent the wheel. Maybe someone will make a better wheel one day, or maybe not, but for me it's nice to have a starting point in the domain of p2p "exchange" that may or may not be adopted as a standard.

As for inflation, it makes it harder for the poor workers to become wealthier, but the issue is more when it stops being sustainable. Inflationary fiat has proven that it could fail. I personally don't trust those persons handling it and I feel that such sentiment is growing among people. There's reasons behind that. That is terrible for a currency. Governments may or may not start having a better monetary policy. We don't have guarantees and much control over it, that's the issue for me. I'd rather avoid an economical disaster and keep a business running than having to deal with the failure of others.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:48PM (#25258780)
Each of the languages you called out have changed dramatically to respond to the needs of users, which Bitcoin cannot, has not and will not do. You’re basically advocating for K&R C forever.

Re inflation again, has no impact on poor workers. The amount of value transferred to them in exchange for work is purely social policy and fiscal policy not monetary policy. You can improve workers mobility by supporting unions and minimum wage, not by changing the inflation characteristics of their medium of exchange they don’t get to hold on to anyways. None of your criticisms matter if you’ve invested your fiat.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by georgesC on Monday November 30, 2020 @04:06PM (#25258982)
Bitcoin can change depending on the need of the users, assuming it's something accepted by them, which sounds fair to me.

As for the inflation/fiat it just seems to me that you keep ignoring the possibility of a failure of such system. A failure of such system would for sure have terrible consequences and the poor unlike the wealthier will have harder times. Investing the fiat is a good idea, not something remotely popular in my country alas. Here, saving mostly means saving money at the bank (which devalues over time). No wonder why they feel they're losing purchasing power. People who work shall earn wealth simply put, not diminished wealth if they don't learn about financial tricks from someone they trust.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @04:42PM (#25259403)
> Bitcoin can change depending on the need of the users, assuming it's something accepted by them, which sounds fair to me.

No? In what way.

> As for the inflation/fiat it just seems to me that you keep ignoring the possibility of a failure of such system. A failure of such system would for sure have terrible consequences and the poor unlike the wealthier will have harder times.

A collapse in finance would affect the people who have money and value, that'd be the rich who'd be affected. It would not affect those who don't have money. Like inflation.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by georgesC on Monday November 30, 2020 @05:45PM (#25260015)
The wealthier might lose more wealth overall (if we exclude the options they have to diversify and protect) but that doesn't mean it won't be harder for the poor. A poor by definition doesn't own much. They probably have no house, no easy way to eat, no way to transport if the system collapse and the merchants aren't interested in the little fiat they have. All in all I'm having a hard time to defend the idea that it would be harder for the wealthier to go through a collapse of the currency.

As for bitcoin, well, you can audit the commits on github if you want. There's plenty of things added lately. Miners or other entities like nodes can decide to fork the protocol into another chain (already happened, the protocol is then developed differently in those chains). Rules are subject to a consensus. Also if a user is not happy with a change, he's free to stop using it or to exchange his bitcoins for something else. All in all there's no reasons for participants to refuse modifying and improving the protocol over time.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by cloudinshape on Monday November 30, 2020 @04:24PM (#25259164)
> If economic growth outpaces debt growth then it does not ever have to be paid back.

Bernie Maddoff said the same thing. He also tried to create a perpetual motion machine.

> Canada has been paying everyone $2000/month this whole time)

Canada has been lending everyone $2000/month this whole time.

> Bitcoin cannot and will not change the wealth gap when it’s overwhelmingly spoken for already.

Again, you don't understand what bitcoin is, nor money apparently. People don't stash money away, not all of it anyways, and specially not when its inflation rate is limited (as in there is not a lot of excess to stash like right now), they use it to buy stuff, to pay for stuff, to invest in stuff, they enjoy it, that is why you want money in the first place! Money is, was and always will be exchanged, which means it changes hands. Odd concept, I know.

> backed on an inflation schedule created and managed not by economists or experts but a narcotics smuggler and a bunch of random GitHub contributors.

Yes, the "experts" managing the "economy" right now are doing such a great job.

> just taking your ball to the BVI isn’t a solution.

At some point, sooner rather than later by the looks of it, it will be the only solution.

> If you really want to change society for the better, run for office, don’t shill magic beans.

Weird advice from someone convinced we'll never have to pay back our debts.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @04:37PM (#25259341)
> Bernie Maddoff said the same thing. He also tried to create a perpetual motion machine.

Bernie Madoff doesn't get to print his own currency, you see why that's different right? You know who does though? Tether.

> Canada has been lending everyone $2000/month this whole time.

Paying. Lending implies that it has to be returned, it does not.

> Again, you don't understand what bitcoin is, nor money apparently.

Incorrect, I know what money is for and how it works. I don't disagree with anything you said about money. What I disagree with is that inflation matters in that context. It does not. I also see Bitcoin as having been spoken for already, and it has. with a worse wealth distribution than a banana republic, which it has.

> Yes, the "experts" managing the "economy" right now are doing such a great job.

Inflation has been in a tightly controlled 1-2% range in the US since the 1970s. They are. So forgive me for not giving a bunch of un-elected, un-accountable randos with commit privileges and a narcotics trafficker the steering wheel lol.

> At some point, sooner rather than later by the looks of it, it will be the only solution.

Agree to disagree.

> Weird advice from someone convinced we'll never have to pay back our debts.

Who is "our" and why does one have anything to do with the other?

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by cloudinshape on Monday November 30, 2020 @06:31PM (#25260427)
> Bernie Madoff doesn't get to print his own currency, you see why that's different right? You know who does though? Tether.

As I said, you don’t understand money. Currency is not wealth. Purchasing power cannot be printed, despite what MMT claims real wealth has to be produced using real resources. You can print all the dollars you want, in fact, that is exactly what the monopoly board game creators do.

> Paying. Lending implies that it has to be returned, it does not.

As I said, again, you don’t understand what money is. Under the current system all money is debt. And governments have no purchasing power to give but what they confiscate from citizens via taxes in the present, or take via inflation from the future. Either way, canadians are paying those $2000 back.

> Inflation has been in a tightly controlled 1-2% range in the US since the 1970s. They are. So forgive me for not giving a bunch of un-elected, un-accountable randos with commit privileges and a narcotics trafficker the steering wheel lol.

Which is why the FED came out saying they are gonna increase the rate of inflation that has actually been lower than reported all these past years right? The inflation metrics do not represent real inflation and even the FED admitted it, nor do they capture the wealth inequality even if they did. The riots on the streets, the uncertainty, most americans living paycheck to paycheck, miles of lines at food banks, most americans not having even $400 in savings, all signs of how the experts are such experts at managing the economy right? Not even 1 week of trouble could handle this wonderful economy when covid started they had to print trillions to bail out mega corporations. Such a well managed economy right?

> Who is "our" and why does one have anything to do with the other?

You, the one that claims having a printing press and growing gdp faster than inflation means governments will outrun debts. Don’t shill magic beans.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by phatfish on Monday November 30, 2020 @09:07PM (#25261495)
There is no getting around the fact Bitcoin is distributed in a fabulously unequal manner.

The rest of the world is going mint a set of new global elite because they mined a stack a coins when the computational cost was tiny? If crypto dream of having Bitcoin as some global reserve currency is achieved that is what will happen.

To be honest that situation is not far off the inherited wealth of a lot of the super rich families that exist now. But at least you know somewhere along the family tree something worthwhile was achieved. Their claim to wealth is not simply being on the right internet forum in 2010.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @11:06AM (#25266360)
You should really go and spend some time learning about the current monetary and fiscal systems from places other than Bitcoin subreddits.

The claim that “Purchasing power cannot be printed, despite what MMT claims real wealth has to be produced using real resources” is trivially falsifiable. The M2 money supply is 15X what it was in the 1970s but inflation caused the value to drop to 1/7th. That means net new buying power was in fact created - doubled even. The reason is you have too simplistic an understanding of money. Velocity of money matters.

There’s actually a term for excess value created through the addition of new money into the supply which eludes me right now.

> Either way, canadians are paying those $2000 back.

You have way too simplistic a take on the current financial system. Money is a social construct.

> The inflation metrics do not represent real inflation and even the FED admitted it, nor do they capture the wealth inequality even if they did.

lol, inflation is defined in terms of a specific basket of goods and services. If they want to redefine the baskets that’s fine but there’s no such thing as real inflation and fake inflation any more than there’s real math and fake math. If you want, talking about quality of life, standard of living, all that — that’s a much more interesting topic and again 100% social policy not monetary.

> Such a well managed economy right?

Yep! Well managed money supply. Well managed economy, I’m not sure Id go that far but they are two different things.

> You, the one that claims having a printing press and growing gdp faster than inflation means governments will outrun debts. Don’t shill magic beans.

You’ve hopelessly entangled a temporary medium of exchange and a long-term store of value in your brain. This has confused your understanding of economics. Spend less time in Bitcoin subreddits.

Growing gdp faster than debt does allow you never to pay it off, this principal is one that extends from personal finance. If you have an interest only loan all you ever need to pay is the interest. If the growth in the loan interest remains lower than the growth in your income (or inflation) it’s not in your interest to pay back that loan. Doing so increases opportunity cost. You get that right?

I could pay off my whole mortgage today but I won’t. Because I can do more with that money, and expect a better return than mortgage interest minus inflation. So, I refinanced. Thanks to inflation and tax deductions, my real interest rate is almost 0%.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by anythingdude321 on Monday November 30, 2020 @02:58PM (#25258177)
Run for office? I prefer the trim tab approach: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trim_tab#Trim_tab_as_a_metapho...

If Bitcoiners are right, Satoshi has been the trim tab of the century thus far. Time will tell :)

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @03:08PM (#25258304)
Satoshi is likely Paul Le Roux. Let’s hope not. He’s managed to waste more of our time, money and brainpower than anyone in recent memory.

Either way my point remains that Bitcoin solves nothing other than making criminals wealthy.

Time will tell.

Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by seibelj on Monday November 30, 2020 @05:24PM (#25259817)
You have been grinding this axe so hard it's almost gone at this point. When BTC is 30k, 50k, 100k you will still be tilting at windmills, and no one will care. You are so wrong and incorrect on nearly everything you type, you must be an absolutely insufferable person to deal with.
Re:Bitcoin Price Hits All-Time High of $19,786, Topping 2017... by arcticbull on Monday November 30, 2020 @05:41PM (#25259979)
I could not care less what price Bitcoin ends up at, it will not change the garbage fundamentals, or my opinion of it, nor should it change yours. There's tons of different ways to make money investing, and I stick to traditional markets. Tesla has seen a 15X increase in value over the last year, Square 20X since 2016.

I suspect I may be insufferable when I see something that's just a giant waste of time, power, energy, effort and brain power, and I'm not mad about that.

I do wish you the best of luck making money, however you choose to do so!