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Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by reaperducer on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @12:36PM (#24212374)
The last couple months has done more damage than good to me. I'm that type of person who'll lose muscle quickly if stops working out for mote than 2 weeks.

It's not about you. It's about everyone else.

How can someone be so selfish and self-absorbed that they think their "muscle mass" is more important than the health of hundreds or thousands of other people?

I know this question may violate some HN policy, but I can't help but ask: What's wrong with you?

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by DoofusOfDeath on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @12:51PM (#24212592)
> I know this question may violate some HN policy, but I can't help but ask: What's wrong with you?

There have been times in the past where I've made HN comments that were meant as constructive criticism to another HN user. But my accidental tone ruined any chance of my comment being helpful. @dang was gracious enough to provide me detailed feedback [0], and it seems to be working for me.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24100238

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by kyleblarson on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:18PM (#24212976)
If you want to be Howard Hughes that's your choice. If someone wants to stay healthy through exercise that's their choice.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by reaperducer on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:23PM (#24213076)
By all means, stay healthy. But don't endanger other people's lives to satiate your vanity.

And let's be clear here: This isn't about the "health" of the gym-goers. It's about preserving their self-image.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by hadleybelter on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:30PM (#24213202)
"Staying healthy" can be done with zero equipment and no gym membership. If you think otherwise, then your goal isn't to "stay healthy", your goal is to show off at gym bunnies. And no, your showing off and vanity is not a choice you get to make during a pandemic. Tough.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by ryandrake on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:33PM (#24213247)
> It's not about you. It's about everyone else.

Sadly, this is the source of your downvotes. For so many (even here on HN of all places), it's all about ME. My freedom. My choices. My comfort. My convenience. My need to eat at that restaurant or buy that ranch dressing. My absolute right to do squats next to some random person at a gym. Anything that gets in the way of my freedom to do every little thing I want to do any time I want to do it is bad.

We're not talking about genocide here or shredding the constitution. We're talking about sensible and temporary public health policy. But no, I just have to go get my hair done.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by dragosmocrii on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:17PM (#24213918)
I am neutral towards your comment, but I feel you're judging me for my beliefs and opinions, even though you don't know where I come from and what's important for me.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by spanhandler on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:43PM (#24214370)
There are several decent ways to keep oneself in good shape for a few months while gyms are closed. Insisting this is a big, important problem for you while also (apparently) not taking advantage of those options means the way you're presenting yourself in your comment doesn't look so great, to put it mildly.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by dragosmocrii on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @07:38PM (#24218151)
I am taking advantage of the other options, and I am in good shape (well, lean and slender xD). But I can't really replace the gym and the swimming pool with the other options.

Also, I am not concerned how others perceive my beliefs because I know what works for me, so to each their own.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by lebedsalavat on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @12:45PM (#24212499)
totally agree. Stop living life because there's a chance of dying.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by seppin on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:19PM (#24212992)
How did "do three things to prevent mass death" (distance, mask, wash hands) become "we're all going to die anyways so i'll keep doing whatever I want thank you."

Is America really that filled with narcissists?

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by BryanBigs on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:58PM (#24213628)
Well, when did "flatten the curve to avoid overwhelming the health system" become "lets close gyms, churches, salons, non-chain stores indefinately but keep open Home Depot, Walmart, liquor stores, pot shops?" Or allowing gatherings for one political viewpoint as ok, but gathering for another as 'selfish and dangerous'? There's plenty of inconsistency to go around. Add in different perceived risks and different risk tolerances, and what u see as necessary can be seen as narcacism by others.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by labster on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @04:02PM (#24215546)
On the face of it the rules are very simple: stores selling essential goods are allowed to stay open, others must close. So taking each of those:

        Home Depot - construction industry is essential
        Walmart - groceries are essential
        Liquor stores -- groceries are essential
        Pot shops -- pharmacies are essential
        Gyms -- recreation is not essential
        Churches -- culture is not essential
        Salons -- culture is not essential
        Non-chain stores -- don't have groceries, therefore not essential
        Political gatherings -- opposed by the opposite side, nothing has changed
Now you can quibble with some of the categories, but the rules aren't inconsistent. They do just happen to benefit the powerful corporations, surprise surprise.

But specifically we went from "avoid overwhelming the health system" to "let's do the things that stops people from continuing to die". And those things involve avoiding human contact unless it is essential, mask wearing, and social distancing. It's not crazy that our government is asking us to do things that make us less likely to die. You know, unless you're a seatbelt truther.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by seppin on Friday August 21, 2020 @06:20PM (#24239473)
> There's plenty of inconsistency to go around.

"The response wasn't perfect so shut down all current and future attempts to save lives."

Cool.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by labster on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:28PM (#24213160)
It's called "rugged invidualism" here, not narcissism, thank you very much. And the answer is yes.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by Chris2048 on Thursday August 20, 2020 @09:21PM (#24230961)
Narcissism is usually associated with self flattery or egocentricism, as opposed to selfish self-determinism/control (unless in the form of performant displays of anti-lockdown value-signalling).

COVID inspired woke-scolding is more narcissistic.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by seppin on Friday August 21, 2020 @06:16PM (#24239448)
That's one trait of narcissism, the main one is thinking that the world begins and ends with you. A virus doesn't begin and end with you (by definition), so any argument about self-determinism/control is a red herring meant to distract from what is happening. Wearing a mask isn't about you, the same way that a virus isn't interested in infecting one host. It about communal safety, not yours.

> COVID inspired woke-scolding is more narcissistic.

I have a feeling you would say the same thing with or without a deadly virus ravaging your country.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by Chris2048 on Sunday August 23, 2020 @08:53PM (#24256661)
> the main one is thinking that the world begins and ends with you

i.e "egocentricism", as mentioned. Are you arguing about the perception of a narcissist, or your own? I'd rather not bite, thanks.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by seppin on Sunday August 30, 2020 @03:07PM (#24325082)
> Are you arguing about the perception of a narcissist, or your own?

"Symptoms include an excessive need for admiration, disregard for others' feelings, an inability to handle any criticism, and a sense of entitlement."

https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/narcissistic-...

I get that you enjoy splitting hairs to confuse an otherwise simple discussion, but I don't.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by nitrogen on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:16PM (#24212933)
It's been a while since I've seen mention of actuarial analyses of the pandemic vs lockdowns. Could millions of people with muscle atrophy cause more economic harm?
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by hanniabu on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:33PM (#24213240)
Lockdown doesn't mean muscle atrophy. You can still do a lot at home even without equipment. Besides, if you want to continue to assume it causes muscle atrophy, then compare a population with muscle atrophy to a population with (likely) permanent organ damage due to a vascular disease (covid).
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by partyboat1586 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:52PM (#24213534)
Have you got any sources on covid causing vascular disease? I haven't heard about that.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by saalweachter on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:48PM (#24214458)
https://hms.harvard.edu/news/distinctive-features#:~:text=Wh....

That's the first article that shows for googling [covid-19 vascular disease].

Basically my understanding of the current understanding is that COVID-19 is better thought of as a disease that can cause blood clots, particularly in several organ systems, particularly in the lungs -- you start getting blood clots in your lungs and consequently can't breathe very well.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by partyboat1586 on Thursday August 20, 2020 @04:27AM (#24221127)
Very interesting. Thank you.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by alistairSH on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:37PM (#24214268)
Early days yet, but medical professionals are seeing cases of myocarditis that appears to follow COVID. Whether or not this leads to ling-term damage is unknown, but myocarditis isn't generally something you ignore.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/17/opinion/covid-19-heart-di...

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertglatter/2020/08/17/covid-...

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by partyboat1586 on Thursday August 20, 2020 @04:36AM (#24221190)
Wow, sounds pretty serious. I experienced some of those symptoms in March after a particularly bad respiratory infection. Perhaps it's time to get an antibody test.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by reaperducer on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:31PM (#24213222)
Could millions of people with muscle atrophy cause more economic harm?

Who cares? Why is "economic" harm so important?

I'm really tired of people saying "But what about the economy?" I really don't care. I care about my health and the health of my family members. If some artisan dog biscuit company goes out of business, so be it.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by jdminhbg on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:43PM (#24214376)
> Why is "economic" harm so important?

The "economy" is just our way of measuring what people do for themselves and others all day. "Some artisan dog biscuit company" is someone else's lifelong work and dream, not just a number in a spreadsheet. Minimizing may make you feel better about selfishly demanding everyone turn their lives off, but it's not an accurate representation of the world.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by missedthecue on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:47PM (#24214432)
That's fine. The problem people have is when the government bans the dog biscuit company from operating for arbitrary reasons and they go under
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by mam2 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:32PM (#24214197)
people need money to eat. 60% of americans have 0 savings.

It's not just about you

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by reaperducer on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:42PM (#24214352)
You can't earn money to eat and go to the gym if the hospitals are overflowing with virus victims and society collapses.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by yryan on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @08:09PM (#24218401)
Hospitals are not overflowing.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by abduhl on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:34PM (#24214213)
I'm really tired of people saying "But what about my health?" I really don't care. I care about my job and the businesses of my family members. If some work from home keyboard jockey gets sick because they left their house instead of locking themselves inside, so be it.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by alistairSH on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:35PM (#24214230)
How does a lockdown cause muscle atrophy?

If muscle mass or fitness is a concern, work out at home. Or outside. Ride a bike, go for a run, do some pushups. Pick up large rocks. Buy a squat rack or rowing machine. Go climb a mountain.

Access to a gym is absolutely not required to maintain fitness.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by ls612 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @12:42PM (#24212468)
This same argument can be made about any infectious disease season. The only difference is a matter of degree. This virus is probably ~5 times as bad as the flu so we should spend ~5 times as much to mitigate the externalities. Not ~500 times as much like we have.

I fear that after this every time there's a bad flu season we will see this same shit again because "think of the most vulnerable among us, you're literally killing them!!"

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by bobthepanda on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @12:53PM (#24212611)
no the problem is that severe COVID cases take up space in the hospital for a long time, so it's relatively easy for cases to snowball, people to be unable to admitted into hospitals at capacity, and then for lots more unadmitted people to start dying because they can't get treatment. which is what happened in Wuhan.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by komali2 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @12:46PM (#24212515)
Are you only comparing death rates?

My coworker has been told he may never taste or smell again as he "recovers" from covid.

There's evidence that COVID survivors might have long term heart conditions https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseas...

Think of the most vulnerable among us. You are killing them.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by ls612 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @12:55PM (#24212636)
There are rare long-term side effects from many infectious viruses. Anyone who gets pneumonia from anything will be down for the count for a while, but they'll get better, and that isn't unique to this virus. And myocarditis (the heart inflammation people are talking about) is a side effect of all sorts of viral and even bacterial infections (wikipedia lists basically every common human virus as a cause), it will normally get better on its own, although in rare cases it can cause issues.

None of this is new! This coronavirus is a novel coronavirus, not a magical one. It has effects that are in line with other viral illnesses in humans. It's just a bit more virulent than them. It's a matter of quantitative difference, not qualitative difference.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by alchemism on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:17PM (#24212968)
Possible permanent smell/taste loss? Possibly permanent reduction in lung capacity?

There is a qualitative difference as well. The lingering side effects of the Lyme-causing bacteria is on a level apart from what happens when you get food-poisoned.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by reaperducer on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:25PM (#24213090)
There are rare long-term side effects from many infectious viruses

So it's all perfectly fine then? Because there are other viruses that do harm, we should allow this virus to run rampant.

Guess how I know you're not a doctor.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by ls612 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:33PM (#24213244)
You’re right, I’m an economist, not a doctor. So I look at the world in terms of trade offs. And the trade offs western societies have made with this virus are so unlike the trade offs made with any other infectious disease in recent memory that it makes me concerned about what the new trade offs will be going forward.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by bildung on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @02:00PM (#24213665)
1. The tradeoffs are mostly US-only, other western societies had the political will to prevent unemployment and evictions. This is not intended to mean "US bad, others good", just that the tradeoffs are not objectively there, but instead mostly a result of societal decisions (e.g. France had 1% lower unemployment in June 2020 than in June 2019 https://countryeconomy.com/unemployment/france?sc=LAB- )

2. Sweden tried this route. They now have the deaths plus the economic fallout (-6% GDP, just like the locked down neighbours Denmark and Norway), mostly due to the international interconnectedness (collapsing supplier chains etc.)

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by makomk on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @03:23PM (#24214978)
More specifically, other western societies had the political will to prevent all the people who weren't working and were being paid by the government at less than their normal wage from counting towards the unemployment stats - generally some sort of furlough scheme where on paper they were still employed by their original company. Still meant they weren't working, with no guarantee there'd be jobs for them to go back to, but it sure looked better on the stats. (At the cost of arbitrarily screwing over people who for whatever reason couldn't take advantage of furlough and ended up actually-unemployed.)

The US tried something a little like this with forgivable loans to pay businesses' paychecks, but the trouble is they did this after rolling out an unemployment boost that left less well-paid people better off than if they were employed, so it was a little difficult to convince business owners who didn't want their employees to try and murder them in their sleep to take it up.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by ls612 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @05:19PM (#24216680)
I wouldn't be so quick to proclaim Europe's victory over this virus. With what's happening in Spain, and now France and Germany, this may be a European "Mission Accomplished" moment in another month.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by zzzeek on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:43PM (#24213395)
that's what's known as the "slippery slope" argument. The response to this virus is just so shocking that oh wow, what if this is the new norm? It's not at all. this virus is not "the norm", this is a 100 year event. don't hurt your head on that slope!
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by ls612 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:56PM (#24213602)
Heh, despite the fact that you are being rude to me I'll still answer in good faith because the distinction is important.

If we are spending hundreds of times as much mitigating a virus five times as bad as common illnesses (yes a once in a century event) are we now going to spend dozens of times more money/effort mitigating the flu every year? If yes then we will see lockdowns like this regularly going forward. If no, then the vast majority of the response to COVID is an emotional overreaction, not rational risk mitigation/pricing in externalities.

I will say in mid-March, when things looked quite different based on our limited knowledge of the virus, that the response wasn't entirely unwarranted. But we've known for months that this isn't nearly as bad as feared. It isn't the second coming of smallpox. Yet we still have most of the restrictions and shaming from March, even to this day.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by zzzeek on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @04:00PM (#24215514)
> If we are spending hundreds of times as much mitigating a virus five times as bad as common illnesses

how do you quantify "five times as bad" ? if I run my car into a brick wall at ten miles an hour, vs. 50, one event damages my car the other kills me. is that "five times as bad"?

> are we now going to spend dozens of times more money/effort mitigating the flu every year? If yes then we will see lockdowns like this regularly going forward.

no, why would we? the flu does not overwhelm hospitals [edit: the 2018 flu season comparison is a counterpoint but there is no argument this is anything on the scale what covid has done in places like NYC], cripple the entire medical system such that thousands of patients are left to die in hallways and parking lots, and spread exponentially to kill hundreds of thousands of people within just a few months.

> If no, then the vast majority of the response to COVID is an emotional overreaction, not rational risk mitigation/pricing in externalities.

you have made no argument to support this case.

> I will say in mid-March, when things looked quite different based on our limited knowledge of the virus, that the response wasn't entirely unwarranted.

what exactly "looked quite different" ? the main things that were known in march, e.g. spreads exponentially, r0 is something like 2 or 3 if steps aren't taken, has a 20% hospitalization rate, has a high death rate for those hospitalized which has improved somewaht but that is predicated on the fact that hospitals are availble, are still true.

There were a lot of tweets from people who work in public health about the argument you're making. "If people said we overreacted, then we will know we did our job". That's how it works when you prevent a horrible thing from going out of control. People who for whatever reason don't seem to understand what happened will crow about how unnecessary that was. Can you see how this looks to anyone who is actually trained in this area?

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by matz1 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @04:34PM (#24216027)
>the flu does not overwhelm hospitals

yes it does https://time.com/5107984/hospitals-handling-burden-flu-patie...

flu may not kill as much as covid or spread as fast as covid but still thousand of people die every year, so somehow that is acceptable without lockdown ?

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by zzzeek on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @05:31PM (#24216842)
that's a disingenuous argument because the scale and breadth of the 2018 flu season vs. what covid continues to do are not in the same league at all, by an order of magnitude (see below). there was not a global lockdown for the 2018 flu season I recall, there will not be one for a future flu season of similar magnitude, and the point remains that it's a logical fallacy to suggest the covid lockdown represents the action that would be taken for a 2018-style flu season because there is simply no comparison.

https://www.contagionlive.com/news/why-comparing-flu-covid-1...

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by matz1 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @07:07PM (#24217911)
I mentioned that flu may not kill as much as covid.

>there was not a global lockdown for the 2018 flu season

Yes, so despite that there are thousand of death due to flue and hospital overwhelmed, somehow is was acceptable to not have lockdown back then?

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by zzzeek on Thursday August 20, 2020 @10:36AM (#24223713)
yes because the hospital system was not overwhelmed to the extent that it would be with an unchecked coronavirus. The nationwide overwhelming of hospitals with covid is with lockdowns and mask wearing throughout the nation. if steps had not been taken, the death toll would be approaching the millions by now, not just for covid cases but for all kinds of untreated emergencies.
Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by matz1 on Thursday August 20, 2020 @11:38AM (#24224352)
Without the lockdown the the hospital system are not overwhelmed, at least no more overwhelmed than what happen in the past.

Due to lockdown the hospital are furloughing, lying off nurse, freeze hiring.

Just look at Sweden where they didn't lockdown.

Doesn't mean I say we should not take any step. Step to make vaccine still has to be done, improving treatment still have to be done, increasing health care capacity still have to be done.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by ardy42 on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @01:57PM (#24213609)
> You’re right, I’m an economist, not a doctor. So I look at the world in terms of trade offs. And the trade offs western societies have made with this virus are so unlike the trade offs made with any other infectious disease in recent memory that it makes me concerned about what the new trade offs will be going forward.

I would hope economists would make judgements based on more than aping what happened "in recent memory," but somehow I'm not surprised. IIRC the last time we had major pandemic like this, gathering places were closed (like now), social distancing was done (like now), masks were worn (like now), and some people chafed against the restrictions and decided that it was better to endanger others (like now).

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by sethammons on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @08:31PM (#24218563)
Missing persons in my state are up 22%. Reports of domestic violence are down (but very likely still happening). People are missing health screenings.

Lockdowns are killing the most vulnerable among us. We need to take them into account too.

Re:Secret gyms and the economics of prohibition by liability on Wednesday August 19, 2020 @12:55PM (#24212641)
Any flu that clogs your lungs and gives you a fever can give you long term lung or neurological damage. I've seen little to nothing that suggests covid is uniquely dangerous in this regard.