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Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by rconti on Friday December 29, 2017 @06:17PM (#16032710)
Yeah. I've got a couple of good old fashioned regular performance cars here in the SF bay area. I'd love to have the excuse (read: carpool lane access, long commute, whatever) to buy an electric but there's just no "need" in my life for a new vehicle.

That said, the penetration rate of electric vehicles as a proportion of new vehicles here is staggering. The Model S easily outsells any competitor's luxury car in the same class, you'd have to combine all A6 / 5 series / E Class sales to even hope to show the same numbers. And I can see why -- if you want to plunk down all this cash for a new car, why not get something truly new, not something outdated?

My uncle is very frugal and has spent years looking at buying a new car and then up and ordered a (very base) Model S with the reasoning, if I'm spending all this money, I want to spend the money on future tech, not old tech.

Even sitting in my 2016 car this morning, in the cold, I was thinking how silly it is that I have to wait for the coolant in the car to warm up before the heater starts blowing hot, and how funny all of the ICE cars look with steam coming out of the exhaust on a cold morning. It already feels out of date.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by mikestew on Friday December 29, 2017 @06:42PM (#16032822)
It already feels out of date

More than that, after six years of Leaf ownership it feels downright primitive. In our ‘81 VW it’s acceptable because, hey, it’s an old vehicle. You know, back when you could really feel what a car’s doing, blah, blah, blah. But in a modern $50K car? Turning mechanical gears to get that rattling contraption of an ICE going, gawd, I’m surprised you didn’t make me crank it by hand. To refuel it, I have to go out of my way to a specialist vendor? Not just plug it in when I get home?

Sounds silly unless you’ve owned an EV, but it truly represents my feelings even when driving our smooth, reliable Scion. But as the old canard goes, if I have to explain then you wouldn’t understand.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by funnelsgun on Friday December 29, 2017 @07:14PM (#16032959)
> You know, back when you could really feel what a car’s doing, blah, blah, blah.

There is an argument to be made for this. In most new cars, whether ICE or electric, electric power steering racks have almost removed all feedback through the wheel.

Feedback is good, it communicates what the wheels are doing, what the road surface is like, what traction is like, etc... and I'd argue that good steering feedback is important for safe driving.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by mikestew on Friday December 29, 2017 @07:19PM (#16032975)
There is an argument to be made for this.

There most certainly is, for a tiny, tiny minority of people who buy cars. That’s why I used it as example. Picture the older middle-aged guy going on about how “cars back then..” until your eyes glaze (and if you’ve met me, you’ll have a working example). Yeah, nobody cares, old man, my ‘08 Corolla was cheap.

I already typed this before you deleted, so I’m putting it here. :-)

In summary, I think “feel” matters to a small number of people. To those that notice (I count myself amongst them), it’s pretty important. To the vast majority of drivers I think that as long as the car gets them to work it’s good enough.

The reason I used it as an example is because the ones I find that will argue the importance of “feel” are old, rambling guys like me. IOW, I was originally making of myself to some degree.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by funnelsgun on Friday December 29, 2017 @07:38PM (#16033036)
You could argue that it’s not that drivers don’t care for good steering feedback, but most drivers never get to experience good steering feedback and therefore don’t know what it is and how much it improves the driving experience. It’s kind of a Catch 22.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by drawnwren on Friday December 29, 2017 @11:13PM (#16033821)
You've hit the nail on the head. I'm a performance fan who pulls his car apart to make it exactly the way I want. However, I recommend the 3 (once the price comes down a bit) to friends. If you want a car that makes transportation easy, Tesla is winning that race. I'd love to see other electrics catch up.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by Domenic_S on Saturday December 30, 2017 @12:13AM (#16033947)
I bought an E46 M3 for mostly this reason (feel), and also because it's old enough I can still wrench on it. There's nothing like feeling the road in a car built for it.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by funnelsgun on Saturday December 30, 2017 @07:12AM (#16034954)
I'm looking at getting an E46 330Ci and converting it to a track car. I found a fantastic example for £2,250.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by nol13 on Friday December 29, 2017 @09:53PM (#16033548)
Hmm, should I sell my ICE now before it becomes worthless?

Just got it last year too, ah well.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by dao- on Saturday December 30, 2017 @03:21AM (#16034393)
'Everyone will have 5 years to get their car off the road or sell it for scrap'

http://www.autonews.com/article/20171105/INDUSTRY_REDESIGNED...

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by codeulike on Friday December 29, 2017 @06:30PM (#16032782)
You might enjoy this tongue-in-cheek 'Test Drive of a Petrol Car' written by a Swedish Tesla owner back in 2015

http://teslaclubsweden.se/test-drive-of-a-petrol-car/

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by BatFastard on Sunday December 31, 2017 @04:37PM (#16043133)
That is fabulous!
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by gnu8 on Friday December 29, 2017 @09:53PM (#16033551)
> Even sitting in my 2016 car this morning, in the cold, I was thinking how silly it is that I have to wait for the coolant in the car to warm up before the heater starts blowing hot, and how funny all of the ICE cars look with steam coming out of the exhaust on a cold morning. It already feels out of date.

The way we northerners deal with that is to have a remote starter installed in our car. By the time we're done putting on our coats and shoes, kissing our wives, and brushing the accumulated snow off the car, the heater is blowing hot and it is fairly comfortable inside. I will grant that this does burn some gas, but how much range in comparison does an electric car sacrifice by heating the cabin off battery power over your entire commute?

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by bkjelden on Friday December 29, 2017 @10:34PM (#16033705)
If your car is plugged in it can use wall power to pre-heat before your commute, similar to remote start.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by gnu8 on Saturday December 30, 2017 @12:20AM (#16033960)
Pre-heating is great, but if your commute is very long it can't make much difference. Traditionally, vehicles are very poorly insulated and it isn't a big problem because their heat is a free waste product. Electric vehicles really need a level of insulation they haven't even considered yet.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by semi-extrinsic on Friday December 29, 2017 @06:43PM (#16032824)
> The Model S easily outsells any competitor's luxury car in the same class, you'd have to combine all A6 / 5 series / E Class sales to even hope to show the same numbers.

In the US, Tesla's home market, yes. But if you go to Europe, it changes completely - those three models you listed average a combined annual European sales volume north of 300 000, which is more than the global total of all Tesla cars ever sold.

The only way Tesla will be anything but an SV-hype-fueled anecdote is if they can actually deliver on the Model 3 next year, and it ain't looking too peachy. I mean, GM's outselling them on chargeable vehicles in the US this year.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by dripton on Friday December 29, 2017 @08:49PM (#16033319)
https://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/ says Tesla 40812, GM 38699. That's with only 712 Model 3s sold. If the 3 ramps at all, it will not be close.

Edit: GM 38699. I initially missed the 179 CT6s, 21 Spark EVs, and 17 ELRs at the bottom of the table.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by semi-extrinsic on Saturday December 30, 2017 @08:15AM (#16035112)
If you just repeat the November numbers in December, you get GM higher. The Bolt and Volt is actually ramping up, while Tesla is flat.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by dripton on Saturday December 30, 2017 @04:49PM (#16037809)
December numbers will be available in a couple of weeks, and then we'll know for sure. Model 3 numbers have ramped up in December. In 2018, unless Tesla has serious unfixable production problems, it won't be close. I don't know how many Model 3s Tesla can make next year, but I know they can sell them all...
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by dripton on Wednesday January 03, 2018 @07:38PM (#16066920)
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by funnelsgun on Friday December 29, 2017 @06:51PM (#16032855)
> all of the ICE cars look with steam coming out of the exhaust on a cold morning

but the cold-start is the best part!

reference: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exenWWOK_2o

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by DrScump on Friday December 29, 2017 @07:40PM (#16033052)

  how silly it is that I have to wait for the coolant in the car to warm up before the heater starts blowing hot

  [EDIT: extended quote to full clause]
Dude. The overnight LOW in SF Downtown was 49F, and I doubt anywhere in the Bay Area proper even hit 40F.

You need not wait longer than 15 seconds or so to put 'er in gear and go. This isn't Buffalo.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by rconti on Tuesday January 02, 2018 @06:49PM (#16057045)
Does that make it less silly? I'm talking about the principles involved, not my lived experience. If it was merely a matter of being cold, you'd just say "put on another coat".

For your information, yes, I fire the car up, put on my seatbelt, close the garage door, put it in gear and go. But even in the mild bay area (it's been around 33-35 most mornings on the peninsula), I'm all the way across town before the coolant temp even comes off the low mark which is 124f, at which point SOME warm air starts coming out of the vents. But again, it's not a comfort complaint, it's a "electric cars make ICE cars seem dated" observation.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by jakemoshenko on Friday December 29, 2017 @07:58PM (#16033121)
... the coolant in the car to warm up before the heater starts blowing hot

You conveniently truncated the quote to change the issue. If they wanted heat, they have to wait longer than 15s.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by DrScump on Friday December 29, 2017 @08:14PM (#16033187)
I changed the quote to include the entire clause, but the concept still makes no sense to me in a Bay Area context (heck, I'm wearing shorts today).

How many EVs produce passenger heat in meaningful amounts immediately (even ignoring the added battery drain), and how much of a burden is 50+-degree in-car temperatures for a few minutes while you're already in outdoor clothing?

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by Dylan16807 on Saturday December 30, 2017 @12:42AM (#16034028)
Sure, in some areas. But it's a pretty annoying drawback when temperatures hover around 0F and the car can't even start defrosting the windshield for 10-15 minutes.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by lscotte on Friday December 29, 2017 @10:10PM (#16033628)
Few - Many electric cars use inefficient electric heat that draws as much battery power as the traction motors. Some have more efficient heat pumps, but not all. Regardless, heat is no more instant in an EV than a conventional vehicle.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by sitkack on Friday December 29, 2017 @10:43PM (#16033741)
Not to be technically correct, but electric heat is 100% efficient.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by sgc on Friday December 29, 2017 @11:37PM (#16033867)
A heat pump can be more than 100% efficient in the sense you seem to be talking about. It transfers heat from one area to another, and can bring in more heat to a space than the energy used could produce in heat through a resistive heating element.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_pump

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by sitkack on Saturday December 30, 2017 @01:41AM (#16034181)
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by CydeWeys on Saturday December 30, 2017 @01:14PM (#16036485)
The world isn't SF. Some of us do live in NY, and I can assure you, it does get actually cold here. It's snowing right now for instance.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by masonic on Saturday December 30, 2017 @04:56PM (#16037842)
The parent commenter did specifically write that s/he is "here in the SF bay area."
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by CydeWeys on Saturday December 30, 2017 @04:58PM (#16037857)
So? The majority of Teslas aren't sold in SF. Having access to instant-on heat, rather than having to wait several minutes for the engine to warm up, is absolutely a benefit in places with cold winters.

I'm trying to redirect the conversation back to things that matter. The weather in SF last night doesn't matter, not really; it's just some ephemeral fact, and not even worth arguing about whether someone "needed" instant-on heat for it or not. What matters is electric vehicle models and sales worldwide, which is what the top-level article is about. Tesla is the most popular car manufacturer in Norway. You better believe that they appreciate instant-on heat there (as well as remote start), and that Teslas having these features gives them a competitive advantage.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by nine_k on Friday December 29, 2017 @09:46PM (#16033526)
I thought the killer feature of electric cars is recuperative braking. So I suppose that a reasonably lightweight electric car should be perfect for city commute with constant start / stop on traffic lights, and for congested roads of SV.

Long commute, OTOH, seems favorable for a well-built ICE car.

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by Jill_the_Pill on Friday December 29, 2017 @07:52PM (#16033095)
"there's just no "need" in my life for a new vehicle"

You mean no need in your life besides our shared need to reduce atmospheric carbon, oil extraction, and other automobile pollutants, to keep climate change to a level merely devastating rather than catastrophic, and to preserve a habitable planet for the generations to come?

Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by chc on Friday December 29, 2017 @08:12PM (#16033179)
I'm pretty sure your old car would have to be especially awful to make buying a new car — electric or not — the environmentally friendly option.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by xbmcuser on Friday December 29, 2017 @09:25PM (#16033442)
Junking an older car with a newer electric car won't decrease your carbon footprint but increase it. But if you are in the market to buy a car going electric or hybrid should be the way to go. Obama fuel efficiency rules were good but didn't go far enough by now car manufacturer should not be allowed to sell non hybrid fuel cars at all.
Re:The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers by rconti on Wednesday January 03, 2018 @06:22PM (#16066451)
I travel about 400 miles per month by car in a vehicle that gets 25mpg. That's 16 gallons/month or 281.6lb of CO2 per month.

What's the break-even on how many lbs of CO2 I'd have to pump into the atmosphere before it was more environmentally friendly to produce an entire new automobile with 800lbs of batteries?