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Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by apsec112 on Monday June 08, 2015 @08:44AM (#9678589)
Sadly, none of the stuff I've seen on Hyperloop addresses the civil engineering problems brought up by Alon Levy and others (https://pedestrianobservations.wordpress.com/2013/08/13/loop...). In short:

- The Hyperloop paper doesn't mention how trains would cross San Francisco Bay, or include a cost estimate for doing so. A new bridge? A new tunnel? Both would add greatly to the $6 billion cost estimate.

- That $6 billion estimate also assumes that elevated concrete pylons can be built for much cheaper than any other project, with no mention of how.

- The proposed track doesn't go to downtown LA; it ends at Sylmar, which is still ~25 miles from downtown and even further from most of the LA area. A 30 minute ride becomes much less exciting when it takes another hour or more to reach your real destination.

- With the proposed 30-second headway, the system's capacity is only about 25% of a high-speed rail line, and 30 seconds still violates the crap out of typical safety standards (you can't run trains too close together without risking a collision if you can't brake quickly enough).

- There are no intermediate stations; this is obviously a problem for the Central Valley, but it makes life inconvenient for plenty of other people too. Eg. someone in San Jose (pop. ~1 million, greater than SF's) would need to spend an extra hour or more getting to San Francisco vs. a station in San Jose itself.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by dragonwriter on Monday June 08, 2015 @08:52AM (#9678639)
Actually the paper answers the question of how it would cross the bay--it wouldn't. The proposed "San Francisco" terminus is in the East Bay (IIRC, pretty far east, as well). A significant part of the cost savings of the route proposed as an alternative to the HSR route cones from, unlike HSR, not actually going anywhere near the urban centers on either the SF or LA end.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by apendleton on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:12AM (#9679586)
Elon Musk seems to have a particular version of a progressive vision of the future that accomplishes environmental sustainability without requiring people to make any real lifestyle changes. After all, his solution to the environmental unfriendliness of cars is more environmentally friendly cars (Tesla), not other modes of transport that are more efficient per passenger.

So, the cynical take: of course he's going to back a high-speed transportation option that still assumes cars and driving everywhere, rather than one that potentially obviates the need for them by taking people directly from high-density center to high-density center.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by jfb on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:33AM (#9678900)
Hayward, I think. This is an interesting definition of "reality", and hyperloop is a deeply unserious Elon Musk Gedankenexperiment that's only given column inches because of the deeply unserious nature of what passes for journalism among the lickspittle shoeshine boys of Silicon Valley wannabes.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by dragonwriter on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:05AM (#9679103)
Well, its probably not surprising that a startup ecosystem that is all about selling longshots attracts around is peripheries, journalistic and otherwise, people who are prone to accept longshots as much more probable than they are.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by JoeAltmaier on Monday June 08, 2015 @08:54AM (#9678645)
I'm not sure how 'an extra hour' is critical when driving takes many hours. Its still an order of magnitude faster, right? It takes 'an extra hour' at the airline terminal and I put up with that for every flight.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by apsec112 on Monday June 08, 2015 @08:59AM (#9678668)
The comparison is to conventional high-speed rail, which has a travel time of 2 hours 40 minutes downtown-to-downtown.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by JoeAltmaier on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:01AM (#9678678)
Well that's entirely theoretical too, since that also doesn't exist. It would also have many gotchas and inefficiencies on either end.

So lets compare hyperloop with what you CAN do, which is fly or drive.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by gutnor on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:11AM (#9678744)
Well, as a European, that's actually interesting to compare it to high speed train. Outside the US, high speed train is not only something we can do, it is something already done.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by vasilipupkin on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:42AM (#9678952)
I am curious to see whether the net benefits have been positive. My understanding even in Europe most of the links are unprofitable. Sure, there are positive externalities that may not be factored into the accounting profits, but there is also opportunity cost of the money. Are there good studies on this ?
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by krschultz on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:56AM (#9679459)
Highways are also not self funding.

Note that the Northeast Corridor, the only thing approaching high speed rail in the US, is very profitable. Unfortunately Amtrak then has to take that surplus to subsidize unprofitable routes elsewhere.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by vasilipupkin on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:40AM (#9679756)
well, some highways are private and self funding. But yeah, even if they are not, the issue is whether to build something in addition to the highways.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by simias on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:53AM (#9679436)
I know that in France the high speed lines connecting areas with high population density like Paris-Marseille or Paris-Lyon are among the most profitable for the SCNF.

But of course that's a complex issue, some say that the local service degraded as more resources were diverted to the TGV lines. I can't really imagine that having the center of Marseille 3 hours away from the center of Paris can be a net negative overall. It beats the plane every time, that's for sure.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by vasilipupkin on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:38AM (#9679743)
why does it beat the plane? the plane is 1hr, the train is 3 ?
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by pgeorgi on Monday June 08, 2015 @01:14PM (#9680529)
It takes half an hour from Marseille to its airport. Another hour because you have to be early for check-in and 'security' procedures. Yet more 30 minutes in Paris to get back to the city center (no matter at which airport you land).

The high speed train stops right in the city center.

So unless one of your endpoints is close to one of the airports it's 3 hours for both of them.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by simias on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:49AM (#9679827)
The airport is not in either city centers, there are more security checks, you have to check your luggage in etc... The door-to-door travel time is significantly more than 1hour for the plane.

Also in my experience the TGV is much more comfortable than similarly priced airplane tickets. You can look at the landscape (unless you're traveling by night), you have more room, you can walk around etc...

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by gnoway on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:09AM (#9679137)
I've got nothing to back this up, but every high speed train project I've heard of in the US - which is admittedly like 2 or maybe 3 - has failed due to budget mismanagement, politics or both. Do we have any meaningful HSR in this country?

This is IMO the biggest issue w/ Hyperloop - budget and/or politics will kill it well before engineering challenges.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by __z on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:40AM (#9679342)
>Do we have any meaningful HSR in this country?

We have the Acela which isn't quite high speed rail (it is higher speed rail - up to 150mph in some areas but a lower speed limits in others). The Acela is very popular and actually profitable. The Acela has the potential to improve speeds by improving tracks to be able to accommodate higher speeds safely in places as well as removing the remaining grade crossings and probably more infrastructure to ease some congestion. High speed rail has huge potential in some areas. Hopefully this potential can be realized!

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by Symmetry on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:16AM (#9679603)
The FRA puts out a lot of stupid safety regulations that don't apply in Europe and which make high speed rail much more difficult. US trains have to be built like tanks in the theory that this will help them survive collisions with freight trains. The fast accelerating French trains can't be used on US rail without special permits.

https://bikeeastbay.org/rail/fra.html

And for various reasons rail construction in the US costs about 5 times as much as it does in France. And because it costs more we do less of it. The figures below are for subways but I believe long distance rail sees the same effect.

https://pedestrianobservations.wordpress.com/2011/05/16/us-r...

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by Turing_Machine on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:47AM (#9678975)
The fastest train time I can find between London and Cologne (almost the same distance as Los Angeles to San Francisco) is 4 hours, 11 minutes, about 130 km/hr or 81 miles/hour. Paris to Nuremberg (also a similar distance) is 9 hours, 53 minutes. Berlin to Stuttgart (within the same country) is 6 hours, 9 minutes.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by othello on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:11AM (#9679149)
How about Paris to Marseille (775km vs 615km for LA to SF) in 3 hours 15 min, Paris to Bordeaux (584km) to be 2 hours by 2017, or Brussels to Lyon (734km) in 3 hours 43 min?
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by Turing_Machine on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:25AM (#9679247)
According to two different air miles calculators I tried, the distance from Paris to Marseille is only about 630 km, so I'm not sure where you're getting 775 (I used air miles for LAX-SFO too).
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by simias on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:51AM (#9679848)
Not sure where he gets 775km either but the actual length of the railroad between Paris and Marseilles is around 750km: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGV_M%C3%A9diterran%C3%A9e

Obviously you can't always go completely straight when you're building on the ground.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by lmm on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:07AM (#9679120)
Paris to Lyon is a similar (slightly shorter) distance and done in 1:53 (average 208 kph). Beijing to Zhengzhou is slightly further and takes 2:24 (average 304 kph). These are best cases running directly along the high-speed line, but presumably the direct LA-SF service will be one of those too.

Edit: the closest comparison distance-wise is probably Barcelona to Madrid; 2:45, average 227kph.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by koheku on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:12AM (#9679158)
The french TGV will soon take 2 hours and 5 minutes to go from Paris to Bordeaux (567 km).

The japanese shinkansen takes 2 hours and 22 minutes to go from Tokyo to Osaka (515 km).

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by pgeorgi on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:41AM (#9679349)
Travel time by train is mostly about how many stops [edit: legs] you need (which add through wait times) and what part of the network you're on: Brussels/Cologne, which is used on the London/Cologne route was only usable up to 60km/h or so 7 years ago. That part took nearly as long back then as the entire LON/CGN trip does now.

Paris - Stuttgart - Nuremberg (580km) takes 6h51 including one hour between connections in Stuttgart.

Berlin - Stuttgart (591km) has a 5h34 direct connection.

Frankfurt - Bern - Milano (~700km) takes 7h47 including 30 minutes in Bern

OTOH, Frankfurt - Cologne (for which a dedicated high speed rail route was built nearly 20 years ago) is about 200km in 1h04.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by godzilla82 on Monday June 08, 2015 @12:22PM (#9680079)
What about the terrain? If it were possible to go from sf to la without the elevation changes, they would have made the road by that route.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by pgeorgi on Monday June 08, 2015 @12:59PM (#9680418)
Terrain also plays a part. Frankfurt-Milano crosses the Alps, and it's slower (per distance) than the other examples.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by mschuster91 on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:41AM (#9679768)
> Travel time by train is mostly about how many stops you need (which add through wait times)

The wait times are not the big problem - the problem is the time needed to decelerate and accelerate the train at each stop. E.g. a freight train of 1.200 tons needs 1km from 100 km/h to 0, and a high-speed passenger train, e.g. ICE 3, needs 3.3km from 330 km/h to 0.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by pgeorgi on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:57AM (#9679887)
Sorry, I picked the wrong term. Not "stop", but "leg".
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by edu on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:41AM (#9679343)
Madrid - Barcelona (504.64 air km or 313.5 air miles) in 2:30h, and often just 2:15h (they give a longer time due to a delay over 15min means they've to refund 50% of the ticket.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by maelito on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:14AM (#9679175)
Paris-Marseille in 3 hours ?
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by Turing_Machine on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:11AM (#9679145)
Looking at the French high speed rail system (which is the one we seem to hear the most about in the United States), the longest link I see is 106 km. Los Angeles to San Francisco is 544 km.

New York to Los Angeles is about 4,000 km. London to Moscow is only 2,500 km.

Edit: the point here is that Europeans, in general, have no conception of the distances involved in the U.S. transportation network. Passenger rail (high speed or otherwise) works well for relatively short distances in relatively densely populated regions. The trouble is that we don't have very many of those regions.

Edit 2: so you're moderating down arithmetic now? Awesome.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by mikeash on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:43AM (#9679363)
I'm moderating down seriously misinformed posting.

I'm not sure what's worse, that you seriously think the longest high speed rail link in France is 106km, or that you think London to Moscow is reasonably compared to New York to Los Angeles. Why would you start from a city that's nowhere near the edge of the continent in question? The NYC->LA analog would be something like Lisbon to Moscow which, guess what! Is almost exactly the same distance.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by seszett on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:37AM (#9679323)
Where are you looking for these data? The longest link in France is probably Brussels-Montpellier, which is about 850 km. Paris-Nice might be longer than that, though it's very slow after Marseille.

There used to be a slow Quimper-Vintimille journey that was more than 1000 km, but it's been significantly shortened since then.

Your numbers show you have no conception of the distances involved in Europe. Thinking that the longest train link in France, a country that's 1000 km wide and 1000 km high, is 100 km long is completely ridiculous.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by IanCal on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:50AM (#9679413)
> Thinking that the longest train link in France, a country that's 1000 km wide and 1000 km high, is 100 km long is completely ridiculous.

They do specifically mention "high speed" train lines.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by seszett on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:55AM (#9679449)
Well I'm talking about high speed train lines, I only included Quimper-Vintimille for comparison.

Even if you somehow counted only >300km/h as high-speed, then the LGV Est is a bit more than 300 km long and rated at 320 km/h. I suspect a 100 km-long high-speed line would not even be competitive against cars, except maybe in dense urban areas where car traffic is often slow.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by mikeash on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:52AM (#9679430)
So what? France has an extensive high-speed rail network which even a cursory glance would reveal if one wasn't already aware.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by IanCal on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:01AM (#9679509)
People seemed to be talking rather angrily at each other without actually reading what they said.

> So what?

Call me old fashioned, but I think it's worth responding to what's actually been said.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by mikeash on Monday June 08, 2015 @11:07AM (#9679548)
What was said up there was that the longest high-speed rail link in France is 106km long. This is obviously absurd and wrong, which even the most cursory investigation would reveal.

What did I fail to read, exactly? Is it that seszett didn't explicitly specify "high speed" in that one sentence? As I said in my reply, so what? The overall point, that the 106km figure is ridiculous, stands regardless.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by edu on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:46AM (#9679379)
You can also already do Madrid - Paris by high speed train, in 6:25. Which is 1270km.

http://www.renfe.com/viajeros/larga_distancia/productos/AVEF... (spanish)

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by gutnor on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:50AM (#9679415)
Not exactly sure why the downvotes, but I guess maybe it has to do about offtopic comparisons.

Hyperloop is designed for medium distances transportation like between 300 and 1000. Over that, it probably make no sense against air travel.

So Europe is kind of the perfect place for hyperloop, and probably the reason why its traditional tech competitor, the high speed train, is successful. That's also the reason of my comment - if hyperloop can deliver cheaper, faster to build and plain faster connection for medium distance travel that could revolutionize transport in Europe even more than for the US.

EDIT: as another reader has noted, I missed the "106" km link. I suppose you mean 1060 or something ?

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by Cthulhu_ on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:53AM (#9679441)
Would the Russian Trans-Siberian line compare? Almost 10.000 kilometers in length, takes eight days to complete it (because it's got branches, isn't a high-speed rail, etc). Longest train line is Kiev - Vladivostok at 11.000 kilometers.

I'd say nobody has any conception of distances involved in the really big countries.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by bkeroack on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:37AM (#9678924)
Parent post has a good point. "High speed rail" (aka the bullet train) in California is a cruel joke. The current plans have been utterly corrupted by various special interests--for example, the trains being forced to share slow commuter tracks near wealthy Bay Area housing developments. The project--if it ever gets built--will be nothing like the rail networks of Europe, unfortunately.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by ceejayoz on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:29AM (#9678860)
> So lets compare hyperloop with what you CAN do, which is fly or drive.

Well, you CAN build a high speed rail system, so the comparison between the hyperloop and the rail is pretty critical to deciding which one to build.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by coldtea on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:21AM (#9678820)
>Well that's entirely theoretical too, since that also doesn't exist.

Doesn't exist in the US maybe. It exists just fine in Europe and Asia.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by rplnt on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:14AM (#9678764)
> So lets compare hyperloop with what you CAN do, which is fly or drive.

That doesn't make sense. You should compare other possible options as well.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by threeseed on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:14AM (#9678765)
You are forgetting something which everyone seems to ignore. There are no toilets and other facilities. With high speed rail it's either on board or you can get off on the next stop. With a car you can drive to a gas station etc. An 'extra hour' is a very long time for someone to wait and I would be surprised if anyone would want to be stuck without access to one for that period of time.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by coldtea on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:18AM (#9678798)
>There are no toilets and other facilities.

Any reason they can't be installed trivially?

>An 'extra hour' is a very long time for someone to wait and I would be surprised if anyone would want to be stuck without access to one for that period of time.

How's that different from most long-way (Greyhound etc) bus rides with lots of hours (3-4) between stops? Don't know about how's that in the US in particular, but had such in most of Europe, Asia etc, and people are perfectly capable of "holding it".

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by roc on Monday June 08, 2015 @12:57PM (#9680393)
> Any reason they can't be installed trivially?

Capsule size. The last I saw the pod designs, passengers are all reclined cockpit seats that aren't going to have a whole lot of elbow-room, let alone any chance to stand. "Holding it" is an option, but it caps trip time at an hour or so. Past that you're going to be hosing down an awful lot of capsules.

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by __z on Monday June 08, 2015 @10:45AM (#9679377)
Every (non-local) bus I've ever been on (Greyhound, Megabus, BoltBus, smaller local companies, etc... I've been on a lot over the years) has had a bathroom.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by threeseed on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:32AM (#9678890)
Every design I've seen of the hyperloop had people seated with no provision for facilities. I am assuming there are engineering reasons for it otherwise it logically would've been included.

And of course it is different from a bus. If a women is pregnant or violently ill on a bus you can stop at any time. And in fact every Greyhound bus I've been on will stop at various gas stations for toilet/food/drink breaks.

It's worth mentioning because what good is the technology of hyperloop if the economics fail (because no one will use it).

Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by shit_parade2 on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:54AM (#9679027)
Every greyhound bus I've been in has a tiolet in the back, maybe not the most amazing experience but it sure beats pissing into a water bottle.
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by tbomb on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:26AM (#9678848)
the extra hour would consist of you driving to a terminal. why couldn't you use the toilet at the station? pr perhaps stop at a gas station along the way to/from the terminal?
Re:Elon Musk’s Hyperloop Becomes Reality as Agreements Secur... by JulianMorrison on Monday June 08, 2015 @09:30AM (#9678868)
Go fast enough, and jump?