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Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by this_user on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @12:23PM (#6762682)
Bitcoin is different in that is the purest form of a fiat currency in the sense that it is backed by nothing and thus has no intrinsic value whatsoever. Traditional currencies, on the other hand, are at least fractionally backed by (usually) gold and government bonds which in itself are backed by a government's ability to tax its citizens.

There is also a second problem in that BTC is deflationary by design. Deflation leads to hoarding of currency units while reducing the velocity of money and suffocating the economy. Most people will agree that deflation is the worst thing that can happen to an economy which is why central banks will do everything in their power to avert it. It is hard to imagine how a stable Bitcoin economy could develop under these inherently flawed circumstances.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by dragonwriter on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @12:28PM (#6762730)
> Bitcoin is different in that is the purest form of a fiat currency in the sense that it is backed by nothing and thus has no intrinsic value whatsoever.

Well, no, its not; the purest form of fiat currency is a currency backed purely by government fiat (hence the name).

Bitcoin is one of the purest forms of speculative "currency".

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by digitailor on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @12:54PM (#6762969)
>> Bitcoin is different in that is the purest form of a fiat currency in the sense that it is backed by nothing and thus has no intrinsic value whatsoever.

It's backed by the tremendous amount of electricity required to run the transaction processing network (ie. "mining"). Remember this is the world's largest distributed supercomputer.

BTC is a proxy for electricity, that's why mining equipment ended up at ASICs so quickly- in mining, less W = more $$. By a lot.

The USD is currently backed by absolutely nothing. There is no way we could print the $2000 trillion dollars[1] of derivatives now in existence. You couldn't cash out all of it or even too much of it.

The USD is "fake". And high finance is not ignorant to this fact, at all.

[1] Or more, no one actually knows. Goldman Sachs would have the best idea of this.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by jk4930 on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @01:34PM (#6763293)
The costs of producing BTC or USD are not their backings. You can't exchange your BTC back into electricity.

The USD (and usually most other currencies) aims to be indirectly backed by the corresponding amount of goods they represent within the currency zone and their legal status.

BTC isn't even indirectly backed. It just exists. And that's okay for its purpose.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by digitailor on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @01:46PM (#6763393)
Re your comment about currency production costs: A spike in electricity costs would directly effect existing bitcoins' value. A spike in cloth paper prices would not cause a meaningful change in the value of already-printed dollars. And the price of the dollar would spike with electricity costs indirectly. They're not the same, it's an invalid comparison that neatly evades their inherent technological and conceptual differences.

"Store of exchange-value" != currency, and BTC is currently behaving best in that role. Admirably, really- see how it's spreading like hotcakes in China. That's as a store of exchange value, not a currency.

You can't turn your gold "back into" ore or your diamonds "back into" carbon. The cost of an airline ticket is mostly determined by the current price of fuel.

When BTC starts to be used as a currency in earnest we can revisit the issue. Although at that point, you will be able to exchange your BTC back into electricity or other commodities through speculation or arbitrage. Which you can actually do directly right now if you know the right people, anyway. Profitably.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Nursie on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @02:50PM (#6763905)
>> A spike in electricity costs would directly effect existing bitcoins' value

How?

Please explain?

It makes mining more expensive, and some people may be switched off mining as a result, but the same number of BTC will be made.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by splintercell on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @04:13PM (#6764510)
That means the rate of inflation of bitcoins will slow down, thereby causing a spike in the value of existing bitcoins.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Nursie on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @05:07PM (#6764849)
>> That means the rate of inflation of bitcoins will slow down, thereby causing a spike in the value of existing bitcoins

Nope, the rate of bitcoin generation is fixed, it's nothing to do with how many people mine or what the hash rate is.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Groxx on Wednesday November 20, 2013 @03:22AM (#6766913)
For up to about two weeks, until it adjusts to the new, lower norm, and de/inflation continues at the same rate as before. But technically true over that period, yes.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by moocowduckquack on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @01:50PM (#6763419)
You can't exchange your BTC back into electricity.

Huh? Why not? Surely you could just buy some solar panels with bitcoins, or convert them to another currency and then buy electricity from the grid.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by philwelch on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @02:22PM (#6763680)
By that reasoning, I can convert my USD into donuts, and hence the USD is backed by donuts, hence the term "dollars to donuts".
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by moocowduckquack on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @02:44PM (#6763854)
Well, it is partly backed by donuts, along with any other commodities or instruments of value that it can be easily exchanged with.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by philwelch on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @03:30PM (#6764208)
Which really puts the lie to the idea of currency being "backed by" a scarce resource at all, which is the main premise of goldbugs. I'm totally okay saying that a currency is backed by the entire economy of goods being exchanged for it myself.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by jk4930 on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @03:51PM (#6764364)
The meaning of a backed currency is that it's backed by the issuer with a specific commodity (or service). You can go to the issuer and exchange the money ("symbol of value") into the real thing ("value").

With BTC you can't go to some miner (=issuer) and exchange it back into the electricity that was used to produce it.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by notahacker on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @03:28PM (#6764201)
But I can't expect that I will be able to exchange the BTC for a fixed amount of electricity, which is the same as the fixed amount of electricity I originally exchanged for BTC. Hence BTC is not convertible, and not "backed"

I can buy gold with the US dollar, but it doesn't mean the US dollar is backed by gold.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by DanBC on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @01:53PM (#6763442)
That's a tortuously inefficient way to get electricity.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by moocowduckquack on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @02:07PM (#6763541)
Surely it is just what bitcoin miners have been doing anyway, the difference remaining being their profit.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Groxx on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @01:32PM (#6763280)
The USD is backed by the material value of everything USA, at a minimum. It's practically impossible for the USD to go to absolute zero, there's still some gold in the reserves and oil and mining to be done at absolute worst.

Obviously our debts exceed this, but that's a different issue. Say everyone cashed in at once - they'd get a percentage of our debts, not zero, since there's still material value.

You can't "undo" Bitcoin's power -> money exchange, though. There's no gold sitting in vaults providing some real, physical insurance. If I lift this brick, I've done work (but nobody cares) but even that has intrinsic value as it can be "redeemed" by lowering it, powering something. Bitcoin is different.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by XorNot on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @11:08PM (#6766234)
US Debts do not exceed the value of everything in the US.

They barely exceed 1 year's economic productivity from the US (~15.58 trillion USD).

And since the US is not going to stop being a country any time soon (and such a thing would be a calamity which makes national debt completely irrelevant anyway) it has a very long-term ability to make repayments.

And this is ignoring the fact that each year the US basically reinvests heavily, since GDP grows while the debt does not (necessarily). For example, current GDP growth of 2.2% means the US GDP increases by ~$344 billion per year. Conversely the value of all US debt per year decreases due to inflation - currently about 1.2% meaning the US debt effectively decreases by about $188 billion USD per year.

This is all somewhat beside the point, but it pains me to see people proposing the US has debts exceeding its capital and productive value as an entire country.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Groxx on Wednesday November 20, 2013 @03:21AM (#6766908)
One year's worth of productivity does not mean it's redeemable. I'm not sure what the immediate material assets of the USA are, but it's substantially less than the USA is worth, yes.

And anyway, I'm talking absolute worst value, not any sane measure.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by maxerickson on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @02:32PM (#6763773)
If the U.S. government fell, any bodies of power that arose in the aftermath would be quite likely to repudiate the debts of the old government. So no, the dollar isn't quite backed by the material value of everything in the U.S.

It is backed by the stability of the U.S. government though.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Groxx on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @03:05PM (#6764019)
True, though it won't fall in an instant, so there's some warning. And other governments seem likely to hold at least some power over any brand-new government, so it's still unlikely/impossible that they'll get nothing back from the debts.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by JackFr on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @03:43PM (#6764315)
There are also examples of post-fiat currencies. Immediately following the toppling of Saddam Hussein there was still economic activity denominated in the old Iraqi currency, most probably on the assumption that it would be convertible at some rate with whatever came next.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by saalweachter on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @07:11PM (#6765522)
There's also a certain amount of inertia. If I stop taking your old Iraqi currency, you'll stop taking my old Iraqi currency, so it's worth a lot to me to maintain the fiction, to believe really hard that the old fiat currency is still meaningful.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Nursie on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @02:48PM (#6763892)
>> It's backed by the tremendous amount of electricity required to run the transaction processing network (ie. "mining").

That's not a backing, that's gone.

>> Remember this is the world's largest distributed supercomputer.

Doing make-work to protect itself against other supercomputers.

BTC is no different from anything else.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by jtbigwoo on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @03:30PM (#6764222)
>> There is no way we could print the $2000 trillion dollars[1] of derivatives now in existence.

This is a red herring. You also couldn't print the money to pay for all the patents now in existence. Or all the copyrights in existence. Or even all the software now in existence. These things still get bought and sold in USD on a regular basis.

>> The USD is currently backed by absolutely nothing.

At the base, USD are backed by the fact that one can only pay taxes to the US in USD and US bonds are denominated in USD.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by ericb on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @12:40PM (#6762816)
You could argue that deflation is the cure to consumerism, and the start of environmentalism.

HDTV's have had strong deflation for years, but I still have one.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by dasil003 on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @03:52PM (#6764372)
I like your first point, but your second point makes no sense. Products are not currency, and talking about inflation/deflation in products does not make sense, unless people buy them as a long-term value-store in which case "assets" might be more appropriate. Except they're still not fungible so they can appreciate or depreciate, but that's not inflation or deflation.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by ericb on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @04:36PM (#6764666)
To explain: The fear that often is associated with deflationary currency (like bitcoin) is that no one will spend it, because waiting always gets you a slightly better deal. And if that happens the economy will grind to a halt with everyone waiting to spend. The point of my second statement is that we have examples of cases where even though every month your money buys more, people still do buy things.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by fiesycal on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @05:25PM (#6764948)
There may be specific examples (HDTV) where waiting means your money buys more, but overall the more you wait the less your money is worth in the economy due to inflation. Technology making products cheaper is not an example of deflation. Inflation and deflation pertain only to currency not products.

If however you hold your currency and everyday its worth more, besides the bare essentials there is barely an incentive to spend it. Also there is no guarantee that the HDTV will become cheaper, however it is guaranteed that a deflationary currency will gain value the more you hold on to it.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by cbr on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @11:17PM (#6766262)

    Inflation and deflation pertain only to currency not products.
Inflation is when your currency buys you less stuff tomorrow than today. Deflation is when it buys you more. Falling prices due to efficiency gains caused some deflation during the industrial revolution, and technology making products cheaper is definitely a kind of deflation. From Wikipedia:

    Growth deflation: an enduring decrease in the real cost of
    goods and services as the result of technological progress,
    accompanied by competitive price cuts, resulting in an
    increase in aggregate demand.  A structural deflation existed
    from 1870s until the cycle upswing that started in 1895. The
    deflation was caused by the decrease in the production and
    distribution costs of goods. It resulted in competitive price
    cuts when markets were oversupplied. The mild inflation after
    1895 was attributed to the increase in gold supply that had
    been occurring for decades.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by dasil003 on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @06:23PM (#6765242)
Ah I see, that makes more sense. Yes, I think fears of deflationary currency are probably quite a bit less rational than fears of environmental cataclysm as long as society doesn't come to term with the fact that there are in fact physical limits to growth on some time scale.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by psionski on Wednesday November 20, 2013 @05:03AM (#6767192)
That's a pretty irrational fear... If my money grows all the time, why wouldn't I buy stuff? I'm buying most of my Humble Bundles with Bitcoin and it's great - every time you pay less and less and by the time the next Humble Bundle is available my money has recovered itself to more than what I had before... I may have had doubts to buy some of them with another currency, but with Bitcoin it's just a no-brainer. You'll get it all back and more.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by steveklabnik on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @06:23PM (#6765243)
You don't buy things in HDTVs so that doesn't really matter.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by ericb on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @07:27PM (#6765595)
In the frame of a single transaction, and the point I'm making, it doesn't matter which side of the purchase equation causes the deflationary more-for-your money effect.

The point is that the more-for-your-money effect does not stop even discretionary purchases like TV's from happening.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Nursie on Wednesday November 20, 2013 @03:17AM (#6766900)
It slows some things like computer purchases. Puts a lag on a variety of things.

Also, why bother to invest money if you can just sit on the cash and benefit from everyone else's economic activity?

Deflation bad.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by knowaveragejoe on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @01:24PM (#6763224)
With regards to the deflation, it would be interesting to see some graphs comparing exchange volume with actual trade conducted with bitcoins. I'd be willing to bet we'd see actual trade drop off with the recent surge in exchange rates. Not sure how possible this would be, however - the charts on blockchain.info don't seem to be granular enough to pick up on such a trend, and it's hard to determine what is "trade" vs. bitcoins changing hands because of a sale on an exchange.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by mkramlich on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @12:45PM (#6762878)
The deflation risk can be solved, I think, if the core developers and core decision-makers (key movers and shakers in the community, like miners and vendors) all agree to a "split" event moment where every 1 previous BTC transmutes into say 1000 subsequent BTC (or whatever, picking numbers out of thin air). Making it easier to get BTC because old values which were too close to the smallest fraction floor now become splittable and more easily transferrable again. The core folks driving Bitcoin at the moment are already well aware of this risk scenario and what the set of decent mitigation actions can be. This mitigation/evolution is not unlike when key folks in the Internet community realized that IPv4 would run out one day and thus something with a much bigger pool of addresses would be needed: IPv6. A similar hack is possible with Bitcoin too, or with any other e-currency or cryptocurrency. It's all just software. We can make it do anything we want, revise it, migrate to something else. Everything's based on trust and honor system anyway, even the notion of physical property ownership in RL: a home is only "yours" as long as your neighbors/community/government continues to honor that notion, or until/unless people with guns come and forcibly take it from you under threat of violence.

The lack-of-guaranteed-taxability risk is a larger one, imo. But I know it's possible to build a kind of wrapping/middleman service on top of Bitcoin, to give one example, if a government wanted to, and legally require citizens to use it in order to ensure their income/sales are tracked and automatically taxed (with fees taken out automatically to act as tax inflows to that gov). It's physically possible, anyway, without requiring any physical change to the protocol or blockchain. Just the Ages Old solution governments everywhere have used: the threat of violent force for non-compliance.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by VMG on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @12:57PM (#6762986)
I don't think you understand the deflation argument.

Also Bitcoin can already be split into 10e8 subunits (Satoshis)

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by mkramlich on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @04:06PM (#6764460)
1. I do

2. they can be split further, if ever needed. which is what I just said. if enough people agree to it and enough people migrate forward, via cooperation and "this-will-only-hurt-briefly" actions

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by Nursie on Tuesday November 19, 2013 @05:16PM (#6764898)
Splitting currency down like that is not a good answer to the monetary deflation issue, which is why he said he didn't think you understood.

It's not simply the quantity of available currency that is the problem with deflation, it's the appreciating value of currency compared to goods and labour.

Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by NamTaf on Wednesday November 20, 2013 @01:34AM (#6766651)
Splitting does not resolve the issue of deflation that is that a given unit of value (1 btc, 1000 micro-btc post-split, whatever) increases over time. It doesn't matter what you do to it or how you measure the quantity of value - if that same value is worth more tomorrow than it is today, there is a prevailing negative pressure on spending it and the result is that people will prefer to hold on to the currency rather than exchange it.
Re:The first Bitcoin post on HN by VMG on Wednesday November 20, 2013 @02:41AM (#6766816)
The deflation argument is about the disincentive to spend your coin, regardless on how they are denominated.