It's not a fully consensus view, but a majority of sociologists agree that high severity deterrence has limited effectiveness against crime. Instead, certainty of enforcement is the most salient factor.

Deterrence is only part of it. It's morally instructive, it tells people that they live in a society that takes rules seriously.

What is the aim of "moral instruction" if not deterrence? Surely it needs be instruction in pursuit of an outcome?

It makes honest people feel rewarded, valued and acknowledge. It teaches people who wish to follow the rules and conform to social norms what those norms are and where we actually draw the line in practice.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punishment#Education_and_denun...

Looked at slightly differently, given a split between high trust and low trust preventing conversions from high to low is similarly important to inducing conversions from low to high.

Enforcement without consequences just wears down the people who are supposed to enforce it.

There's a pretty large area between "no consequences" and "banned forever"

GP suggested a life ban. Maybe suspend for 6 months instead? That's a long time without publishing in the current publish-or-perish academia.

> Maybe suspend for 6 months instead?

Suspend for 6 months from a conference that is held yearly?

I wasn't thinking about ICML specifically. My mind was on the ARR.

Correct. We also have evidence both from cheating in sports and in academia that stiff punishments do not work. Many people hold the false belief that if it is easy to cheat then the punishments must be extremely severe to scare would be cheaters. It just does not work. Preventing cheating is way easier said than done.

> We also have evidence both from cheating in sports and in academia that stiff punishments do not work.

Maybe so, but there is evidence that lack of punishment also don't work.

Neither extreme "works". Just because terminal punishments do not prevent the worst cheating does not in any way imply that slap on the wrists reduce incidents of cheating.

That's the American spirit. "We got to do something!" "Does it work?" "We must do something!"

I don't understand what point you are making.

Are you claiming that one of the extremes "works"? That the "light punishment" route reduces cheating? Or maybe has no effect on cheating?

There are two extremes; I am not arguing that the one extreme (terminal punishment) reduces cheating, I am saying that the other extreme (light punishment) does not reduce cheating!

You say that stiff punishments have no effect on the cheating rate, right? Compare to what exactly? Compared to no punishments? Compared to light punishments? Compared to medium punishments? Compared to heavy but non-terminal punishments?

Now that I've reread your comment, I'm extremely skeptical that terminal punishments have no effect on the cheating rate compared to light punishments or compared to medium punishments.

It's an extraordinary claim, so I want to see this "lots of evidence"; the evidence should basically show no correlation between cheating and punishments.

I want to see that chart you base your belief on.

But this method is now spent, as if someone is determined on keep using LLM, this should be pretty easy to overcome.

I suppose though new methods could be devised, but it's not "certainty" that they will catch them.

That's not true. People still pick up USB sticks from the street, people still fall for scam phone calls and people still click on links in mail.

Just because a method was successful once does not mean it was 'burned', none of these people will be checking each and every future pdf or passing it through a cleaner before they will do the same thing all over again and others are going to be 'virgin' and won't even be warned because this is not going to be widely distributed in spite of us discussing it here.

If anything you can take this as proof that this method is more or less guaranteed to work.

But the mob wants their kick.

Yup, precisely this. Doing something bad is rarely a rational commitment and cost of benefits. Likelihood and celerity of getting caught seem to be the driving factors.

The point of a punishment is not solely to deter future crimes, it's also to actually punish the present crime though

For instance jail time is not *just a deterrence, it's physically preventing someone from committing more crimes against the public

> Instead, certainty of enforcement is the most salient factor.

hodgehog11 is proposing effectively no enforcement

It has been shown time and again that, for most people, teaching them to be better and giving second chances is more effective than using forever-punishment as a warning for others.

Why not put them on a chain and let village stone them? Or better yet shoot them on the spot! That would send a message for sure.

> The students, if they are, should be banned for life.

I'm all for repurcussions ... but a life is a long time and students are usually only at the beginning of it.

My understanding is that something among those lines happened:

> All Policy A (no LLMs) reviews that were detected to be LLM generated were removed from the system. If more than half of the reviews submitted by a Policy A reviewer were detected to be LLM generated, then all of their reviews were deleted, and the reviewer themselves was removed from the reviewer pool.

Half is a bit lenient in my view, but I suppose they wanted to avoid even a single false positive.

This line of reasoning interests me because it seems to arise in other contexts as well.

Do very harsh punishments significantly reduce future occurrences of the offense in question?

I've heard opponents of the death penalty argue that it's generallynot the case. E.g., because often the criminals aren't reasoning in terms that factor in the death penalty.

On the other hand (and perhaps I'm misinformed), I've heard that some countries with death penalties for drug dealers have genuinely fewer problems with drug addiction. Lower, I assume, than the numbers you'd get from simply executing every user.

So I'm curious where the truth lies.

Is the death penalty scarier than life in prison?

I assume that depends on the individual.

But FWIW, my point was about very harsh punishments in general, not specifically the death penalty.

I'm not sure it was meant that way, but nice metaphor. For some students "academic death" might really be better than a life of being trapped in a system that they can only navigate by cheating.

agree

FYI we tend to use up votes rather than "I agree" comments, partly because it keeps the overall signal-to-noise ratio for comments higher.

Thank goodness we have you passing judgment on the internet; otherwise who else would be around for us to do it? I'm glad you're willing to destroy someone for a mistake rather than letting them learn and change. We all know that arbitrary and harsh punishments solve everything.

> destroy someone for a mistake

"Oops, you told me not to do this, and I volunteered to agree to these stricter standards yet I flagrantly disregarded them, please forgive me" doesn't seem like something you just accidentally do, it's a conscious choice.

Well, maybe they found themselves in the last hours of the deadline without the reviews done... in some cases due to procrastination, but in a few cases perhaps because life is hard and they just couldn't do it. So they used the LLM as a last resort to not go beyond deadline (which I assume maybe was penalized as well?)

To err is human, it makes sense that they are punished (and the harshest part of the punishment is not having a paper rejected, it's the loss of face with coauthors and others, BTW. Face is important in academia) but "for life" is way too much IMO.

This year, having their own submissions desk-rejected is strong enough of a signal that the policy has some teeth behind it. Let’s ban em for life next year.

I strongly feel that deterrence should be the goal here, not retribution IMO.

Between banning someone for life and not doing anything, there usually are some other options.

Like burned at the stake, tarred and feathered, drawn and quartered, etc.?

- return to drawn and quartered in the town square?