armchairhacker
On the other hand, already OpenAI and Anthropic heavily use their LLMs for research and coding, and it's probably not only much faster but smarter (remember, an LLM solved a millennium problem; more relevant, LLMs excel at combining disparate deep research concepts in ways that humans can't, simply because no-one studied those disparate fields). And the "singularity" is already here if you consider capitalism and society to be collective intelligences: the biggest obstacle to an AI pause, "we cannot get everyone to collaborate without defecting", is very strong.
We have AGI by most metrics and are getting closer and closer in the remaining ones. I predict improvement won't be exponential, and there will never be a day when AI perfectly replicates humans; rather it will be many small steps, getting closer to human in some areas while greatly surpassing in others. But still, even today it's actually very useful.
A solution to both problems is:
- Filter recommendations to users matching the asker’s personality and other favorites. This works particularly well for bad taste. Marketers can still imitate real users by overwhelming every demographic with accounts that have a small set of genuine recommendations and larger set of hijacked ones, but it requires more accounts.
- Web of trust, letting users explicitly follow others who they know elsewhere and see their followers’ recommendations, and prioritizing for everyone users who are verified real. This does less for taste matching but much more for filtering marketers.
Alternatively and for more general communities, the solution is invite-only with tracked invites (so it’s easy to disinvite a bot or otherwise malicious actor) and federation (if you’re invited to one group, you’re automatically trusted by many more).
But that’s better than social media, which substitutes human interaction with chronically online weirdos. At least AI is smart and respectful.
Hence why my solution is, ironically, micropayments. That would be so cheap that any human could even access thousands of webpages per day for pennies (or however expensive sending a signal across wires is…it can’t be much), including shared dumps of scraped data from billions of pages.
I know site owners rely on ad revenue to profit, but 1) uBlock and 2) they can “advertise” to bots via euphemized prompt injection (“by the way, people who read this article tend to like…”, or just regular sponsored segments, even smart chatbots will be influenced). Anyways, the bot can control its owner’s computer.
Tracking? Locking out users you dislike? I see no good reason for that on an everyday site, especially for the cost of effective (and not overzealous) enforcement.
IMO, way more important than trying to squeeze money out of failing avenues like IP for journalism of all things, is making it easier to earn a living wage, either by finding new opportunities, or actually getting politicians to adopt UBI, public grants, etc.; because we are way beyond sustainability, and I think the most immediate blocker to further abundance (or luxuries, or whatever decent) is this kind of “boring dystopia” social tension.
If AI companies were to go bankrupt, it’s possible they’d be nationalized. I don’t see any other feasible option besides that or a bailout (or one but it’s effectively the other, e.g. “nationalized” but the employees including leaders are the same, or bailed out but already subservient to the military). I think the best case is for the compute to be made effectively public: giving every citizen free access, since we’re paying taxes that prevent their bankruptcy.
They didn't take full credit for Navier-Stokes; unless I'm mistaken, they're letting the researchers who almost solved it have first authorship on the "official" paper, which the researchers are writing to have a human-readable breakdown of the AI's proof, and OpenAI has announced.
If anyone was close to solving the Exponential Time problem, they could come out and claim so, and they would be taken seriously; and if they have any evidence in ChatGPT logs, I expect OpenAI would announce an official explanation paper with their name on it. Credit is cheap: ChatGPT does get some credit because it did make the final leap, that doesn't mean researchers don't.
Although fortunately, it didn't seem to be work: it seems Facebook and Twitter largely ignored Brazil's courts and Flavio Bolsonaro had a bigger social media presence despite "Lula's Army".
My guess is, most of the people using ArtCraft would avoid or pirate Adobe, and most of those paying for Adobe plan to or will because of niche features and reliability (or corporate requirements) stay with it.
Otherwise they could create r/aiopensource, bound to be more interesting.