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Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by mensetmanusman on Monday December 09, 2024 @05:31PM (#42371279)
Cases like these build support for indoor farming if externalized costs of black swan events and pesticides are incorporated into the cost calculation.

Outdoors wins always from a power efficiency standpoint, but disease can flip the balance.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by tonetegeatinst on Monday December 09, 2024 @07:19PM (#42372183)
Wonder if you could robot automate indoor gardening or beekeeping.

As someone who strongly dislikes bees, but loves honey and its products I find myself wondering how to automate beekeeping so I can not interact with bees.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by NoMoreNicksLeft on Monday December 09, 2024 @07:49PM (#42372402)
They once built a robot bee that could waggle-dance inside the hive. The bees eventually started listening to it. You could put on an Oculus, and go dance-talk to them remotely. There are like 5 words in their grammar with which to communicate one idea... where to find the nectar.

But the truth of the matter is they need someone to babysit and check up on them once in awhile. Make sure they're free of mites, that the colony isn't going to be unbalanced (that they might need a new queen, if something went wrong, or there's not enough brood in the comb). Wear a beekeeping suit. No reason to dislike them, they appreciate flowers, make candy, and twerk-to-talk. Seems like they're the good guys.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by Carrok on Monday December 09, 2024 @09:28PM (#42373081)
Indoor gardening is very much highly automated already.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by yyuugg on Monday December 09, 2024 @10:36PM (#42373471)
Have you spent any times with bees? Beekeeping really changed my opinions on bees. They are quite industrious and very gentle.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by kreyenborgi on Monday December 09, 2024 @06:05PM (#42371574)
> The most practical strategy, for now, is to plant olive varieties that are naturally resistant to Xylella fastidiosa to prevent future outbreaks and minimize potential losses.

It seems rather to be yet another argument for polycropping and taking care of genetic variety and adapting to local conditions, instead of trying even harder to hammer nature into a grid.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by giantg2 on Monday December 09, 2024 @10:46PM (#42373520)
I agree. Biodiversity in agriculture is severely lacking. The good news is that we have heritage seeds. However, we don't have the capacity to ramp that stock up quickly. The main issue is that farmers will choose the best seeds for the current conditions/risks. This leads to a consensus winning variety. There's no benefit to the farmer to plant "inferior" seeds for an event that has yet to happen.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by Terr_ on Monday December 09, 2024 @11:37PM (#42373807)
A "biodiversity subsidy" sounds like a kind of agricultural-assistance I could get behind, although the devil is always in the details.

One concern that comes to mind: If a certain variation is more-susceptible to a particular disease or pest, and becomes a beachhead or reservoir--fun mixed metaphors there--for infection.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by giantg2 on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @09:08AM (#42376955)
Yeah, this would probably be best served by some biosecurity program at the USDA or a handful of universities.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by Aloisius on Monday December 09, 2024 @11:44PM (#42373833)
Reading more, there appear to be just two cultivars naturally resistant to Xylella fastidiosa.

Spain already grows hundreds of cultivars of olive trees, though only three are used for the bulk of the olive oil. So replacing those with resistant ones would reduce diversity.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by kreyenborgi on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @03:03AM (#42374832)
A different monoculture is not the solution to the problem of a monoculture. Replacing all of them with the resistant ones would reduce biodiversity (perhaps the resistant ones are susceptible to other diseases, perhaps the nonresistant ones will at some point be resistant to a new disease). See https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polyculture

The main problem with polyculture being that it assumes local farmers are smart and cunning individuals who find (perhaps unorthodox) solutions in constrained, complex and realistic environments because their livelihoods depend on it (or because they got an interesting idea and couldn't let it go), and who know more about their challenges than random hn commenters like me, instead of being mindless drones that can be replaced/interchanged at will by central overlords with complete control over the panopticon food factory.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by culi on Monday December 09, 2024 @06:06PM (#42371584)
Disease is not a problem if we stop practicing monocultures. The added labor costs associated with polyculture still end up being less than the added energy costs of indoor farming
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by adalacelove on Monday December 09, 2024 @06:22PM (#42371719)
From TFA:

While the focus has been on olives, the bacterium’s ability to infect such a broad spectrum of plants makes it an agricultural nightmare, particularly in regions where multiple crops are grown in close proximity.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by giantg2 on Monday December 09, 2024 @10:49PM (#42373539)
They aren't talking about polyculture as proximity to other types of crops. They are talking about the limited genetic diversity in within a specific type of crop. This issue is very common. Another example is the Cavendish banana. I believe the article advocates for planting resistant varieties.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by NoMoreNicksLeft on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @04:23AM (#42375209)
>They aren't talking about polyculture as proximity to other types of crops. They are talking about the limited genetic diversity in within a specific type of crop.

I know that not everyone is a horticulturalist. Allow me to explain why this is dumb. It is true that for a crop like tomatoes, you might just grow any old mongrel seed, and that the tomatoes will still produce... even if yields are off 30% or 40%. Monocropping in that case is about increasing yields, not making the impossible possible.

This is simply not true with most orchard tree crops (or grapes, or about half the sorts of food crops you've enjoyed all your life). An apple, for instance isn't just a monocrop of closely related sibling plants... each Fuji or Pink Lady apple you've eaten is a genetic clone of any other of that type. They are literally cloned through grafting (and sometimes rooted cuttings). If we want to get really technical, each tree is technically a chimera, with only the crown being Pink Lady, the low trunk and roots will be something like M.111 (another variety that you don't eat it's fruit). Hell, sometimes there's even a third type in the middle of the two called an "interstock". What would happen if you didn't clone apple varieties? You wouldn't eat apples anymore. Every apple tree would produce its own kind of fruit, some might be just as good as Fuji or Yellow Delicious or any of the others you're familiar with. But there'd only ever be one tree of that. Apples do not grow true to seed. Some would be little golf-ball-sized crab apples. Others would be completely tasteless. Or dry and pithy. Or nasty-looking things that always split while growing. Maybe farmers would still grow them as feed for hogs (but productivity is also a genetic trait, and you've just struck a death-blow against having a large number of highly productive trees). Maybe they'd be grown to make alcohol (more applejack or cider than apfelwein I'd think).

But apples as a desert fruit would be gone.

And it's like this for many, many crops. Hell, even something like wheat... you can complain about monocropping, but these new varieties that they use actually resist diseases better (not to mention prevented who knows how many famines through increased yield). This is the argument of someone who whines about GMO crops and shops at Whole foods, a certain political type whose preferred policies seem designed to just make food more expensive and scarce.

>Another example is the Cavendish banana.

There are plenty of banana cultivars... few of them of the sort that people in the developed world enjoy. It's the same problem as all of the other. But for Cavendish (and a tiny handful of other varieties), you'd have no bananas at all.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by giantg2 on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @09:03AM (#42376896)
Yes, these are all things I know.

You bring up apples and other orchard fruits. Yes, in production you want things like uniformity and yield. But from a long term survival standpoint, you want some diversity, such as through preservation of heritage varieties or allowing some seeds to grow and selecting from them. Otherwise, you end up with a very short list of possible options when faced with new diseases. You need some genetic pool to select resistant rootstock from. It also prevents things like genetic and epigenetic adaptations to the environment (see progressive cold hardening). Of course the economics of it discourages farmers from selecting currently inferior varieties for crops. But perhaps a biosecurity program could fill that gap.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by NoMoreNicksLeft on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @12:22PM (#42378914)
>But from a long term survival standpoint, you want some

You don't get to have that. It's just not an option. All these polyploidals do not work like that. You can have uniformity (which people want anyway), or you can have fruit that's so bad no one wants to bother growing it. There's no middle ground.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by giantg2 on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @01:30PM (#42379718)
Haha nice false dichotomy.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by heresie-dabord on Monday December 09, 2024 @09:37PM (#42373145)
Monoculture was not the cause. From TFA:

"The origin of the Xylella outbreak in Italy can be traced back to a single coffee plant imported from Central America in 2008. Researchers found that the bacterium in the infected coffee plant adapted to thrive in olive trees, setting the stage for the crisis that would unfold over the next decade. By 2015, the disease had spread beyond Apulia, affecting regions across France, Spain, and Portugal. The rapid spread of this bacterium has left scientists and farmers alike scrambling for solutions."

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by NoMoreNicksLeft on Monday December 09, 2024 @07:55PM (#42372435)
This will sound like bullshit... but I have three indoor olives at the moment. Two were ordered as rooted cuttings a couple months back, under grow lights and getting a decent amount of new growth. A third was on the clearance rack at Lowes, it's a big bigger. But, before they get 3ft or so, they're going to have to go outside. They're already too big for my not-unimpressive grow lights.

Olive oil's already like $50 for a gallon can (and not much cheaper even if you eat the trash stuff). Were olive orchards inside, no one like you or me would ever get to enjoy them again.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by kevin_thibedeau on Monday December 09, 2024 @09:16PM (#42373014)
Trim them into bonsai.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by NoMoreNicksLeft on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @03:45AM (#42375036)
I've never been good at that. Knowing exactly how much to trim, and when, is some sort of psychic power. My plant telepathy's just weak.

That said, olives would probably work well for it, considering their growth habit. Only as art, mind you, my wife and I'd fight over the one olive per year for the celebratory dinner salad.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by Maciek416 on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @08:32AM (#42376648)
I've studied bonsai with a professional who trained in Japan for a number of years. Bonsai is a well-developed professional craft that should be learned from people who already know it rather than guessed at from absolute first principles (or from completely illiterate/nonsensical web slop, whether AI or not), as most beginners unfortunately try to do.

The known-good techniques that produced long-term bonsai don't in any way whatsoever resemble the naive approach of "trimming" in the hedge pruning sense. This (along with the mistake of growing indoors) is why the vast majority of the public concludes bonsai is a dark art / impossible. Guessing at bonsai is like throwing rocks at a computer hoping that C code will just "happen" somehow.

If you have a sun-facing outdoor garden, know what the term "binary tree" means, and can describe a tree in terms of a data structure (nodes etc), then you have within you the ability to learn bonsai for realsies if you make contact with people who do it in real life. Olive bonsai trees are relatively common in mediterranean-climate bonsai scenes, like that of California's bonsai scene: https://bonsaitonight.com/2023/10/20/preparing-an-olive-for-...

Trees like this are not grown on kitchen counters or in living rooms. _Maybe_ in a world-beating cannabis tent, but the hassle is extreme, and (going back to the topic of this thread), fighting diseases in the indoor cultivation environment is much much harder than outside.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by kevin_thibedeau on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @07:48PM (#42383461)
If all you want is the fruit you don't have to be artistically inclined. You can keep it simple and space-saving by training them into miniature espalier.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by jnmandal on Monday December 09, 2024 @10:53PM (#42373563)
Nailed it. Indoor farming doesn't work at scale for tree crops. The soviets had quasi indoor "pineapple pit" style plantations of citruses in far north of their effective ranges. Imagine something like a subterranean greenhouse in trench format -- yet even in a planned economy that was hardly a viable project.

But the Spanish monks who gave gave California olive trees were on to something. If you plant enough new olives from seed then you can eventually find and develop a variety that grows well in your particular climate. This obviates the need for sheltering the tree much or at all.

No offense mate but I bet if we accounted for the cost of your grow light setup your eventual harvest might could be some of the most expensive olives in the world. No hate though, I've got an olive tree indoors too (though just in a window).

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by NoMoreNicksLeft on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @03:41AM (#42375018)
>If you plant enough new olives from seed then you can eventually find and develop a variety that grows well in your particular climate.

Yeh, "Mission" olives. One of the cuttings is that. Allegedly one of the most cold-hardy cultivars. It might survive outside with our winters (yay global warming) if I get the trunk to about 4" before it has to make its own way outdoors. Hoping anyway.

>No offense mate but I bet if we accounted for the cost of your grow light setup your eventual harvest might could be some of the most expensive olives in the world.

Oh, for sure. These are my end-of-the-world olive trees. Mostly keeping them inside now because it's winter. Starting in March, they should be able to go outside until Halloween or so. I should be able to get more cuttings off of each (Mission, Pendolino, Arbequina), and make several dozen trees. But some will always be indoors as mother trees for more cuttings.

And yeh pineapples are absurd. But my daughter just finally nailed getting the tops to root... putting them in a jar of water just rots the crown here (air quality, humidity? dunno). She dried one out until it looked dead, then trimmed the bottom a bit more, and there was nice living tissue, a pretty yellow. That was able to be put to moisture, and it rooted in a few weeks. The greenhouse square footage for something like "one pineapple a month" would be on the order of 350sqft, and we're unclear if they can be staggered. Sometimes these plants decide to all bloom at once, even if some are overdue and others premature.

We have a list of "things we can't live without if the rest of you monkeys shit the bed and and can't sell it to us anymore".

If anyone knows anybody at Foundation Plant Services at UCB and would like to do me a favor, private message me? Just need someone to put in a word for me.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by jnmandal on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @12:14PM (#42378825)
Nice. Good luck. It sounds like we are up to similar things. Its nice to see that. I wish there were more forums for this specific type of discussion.

> We have a list of "things we can't live without if the rest of you monkeys shit the bed and and can't sell it to us anymore".

Not trying to be obtuse about this because I get it... but if we end up in this situation, I think olives and pineapples will be one of our least concerns. Both are great plants to grow and experiment with. I also grow olives, fruits, all kinds of berries, etc. But due to the rather interconnected nature of both the global economy and the global climate system, it may be that if we ever begin to see items like that in widespread failure we could simultaneously be overwhelmed w/ larger problems. Lets say massive food price inflation, isolated famines/shortages, and ultimately total base calories for our diet.

So while I don't disagree with your sentiment at all I would just say that I hope you have things like grains and staples on that list. Sweet potatoes are a relatively nutrient-rich and calorie dense food that are technically perennial and can be grown in similar format to how you describe your olives and pineapples (take them indoors in winter, use some greenhouses to extend season, etc). Bananas are similarly useful if you are in the right climate. In the biosphere 2 experiment, sweet potatoes constituted the bulk of their diet (source: https://ecotechnics.edu/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/Advances-...). In a worst case scenario we might even end up in victory garden type situation and need to plant corn, beans, etc wherever we have space to do so.

> anybody at Foundation Plant Services at UCB

As for this, I'm not in your region so I have no connections there but I highly recommend just finding a few names and emailing them about your project. I've done similar with people all over the and I normally do get a reply. Most recently an Israeli horticulturalist I had read about on HN responded and gave me germination tips for some trees I am growing after I emailed her.

Happy gardening mate. :)

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by NoMoreNicksLeft on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @12:35PM (#42379054)
>Not trying to be obtuse about this because I get it... but if we end up in this situation, I think olives and pineapples will be one of our least concerns.

Lower priority sure. But, people who only pay attention to the highest priorities are likely to be miserable even if they make it.

>So while I don't disagree with your sentiment at all I would just say that I hope you have things like grains and staples on that list.

I have things like Megasphaera hexanoica and Clostridium acetobutylicum on the list. Grains are there, but the truth of the matter is until I can secure acreage that stuff's put on hold. Am trying to find one of the old pull-type combines, some other equipment (I have storage if I can buy them now).

>but I highly recommend just finding a few names and emailing them about your project.

They're not interested in talking to me. Their minimum order's a little high for a cultivar of pistachio I need for rootstock, doesn't seem to be any other option. One or two nurseries will sell a single sapling for $70 or so, but multiplying that into the 20 or 30 trees I want to start with will take a long time. They sell seed for $1 each, but their minimum order's a bit absurd. Told me "that's just two pieces of budwood to get you to the minimum"... what am I going to do with budwood when I'm buying rootstock seed right this moment? My current plan is to just get terebinthus and vera seed, grow both, and hybridize them myself. Only a 10 yr setback, shouldn't be a problem.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by jnmandal on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @05:16PM (#42382219)
Seems like you are working on a lot of cool projects. You keeping a blog or socials or anything like that ? Would be cool to follow along.

I am doing some similar projects. I've got some acreage planted with chestnuts and a few other select trees. Going on three years now of planting. I haven't done a good job documenting things but putting together a talk about agriculture so maybe that will change.

> Their minimum order's a little high for a cultivar of pistachio I need for rootstock, doesn't seem to be any other option.

Sounds like you need some friends/neighbors/comrades to throw in with you on a group order. I have been in a similar place myself; I've roped a lot of friends into these schemes now. Last month I had 7 lbs of chestnuts sent to my buddy while I was out of the country haha.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by jnmandal on Monday December 09, 2024 @10:41PM (#42373497)
No offense but that is bunk.

To grow thousands of olive trees indoors would be nearly impossible. Perennial crops like this need huge amounts of soil for their root systems, and to replace the amount of olives with indoor plantation would require a massive square footage of greenhouses.

Not to mention that diseases like this can just as easily transmit indoors. Look into the American chestnut blight if you don't believe me. There almost no way to grow a tree isolated from the blight.

The only viable solution in cases like these is a genetic one. In this case, we can actually top the olive and graft a disease resistant variety onto the rootstock. In some cases you may have to actually develop an entirely new tree from scratch and replant.

That is why continuous research into plant genetics and breeding is so extremely important for the continuation of human society.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by petergs on Monday December 09, 2024 @11:08PM (#42373639)
Indoor farming is far from immune to disease. Infected inputs (seed, substrate) are just one route to contamination. See for example: https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/bowery-farming-collapse-...
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by pezezin on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @12:07AM (#42373950)
I am from Spain. We have 340 million olive trees on 28 000 km2 of farm land. Please tell me how we are going to do it indoors.

Example of an olive grove in the province of Jaén, that alone produces 20% of the olive oil in the world: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Province_of_Ja%C3%A9n_(Spain)#...

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by lioeters on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @03:36AM (#42374981)
That panoramic view of the olive garden is magnificent. I didn't know olive trees are being cultivated on such huge plots of land, covering fields and hills as far as the eyes can see.

Trees seem unsuitable for indoor farming, since they need tons of soil and sunlight. Also taking years to grow and mature. Indoor farming in general seem unsuitable for Spain, where there is an abundance of land and sun.

Searching on this topic I learned that green houses are popular in some regions like Almería for growing fruits and vegetables. I guess green houses are something between indoor and outdoor farming.

> Spain is currently the world’s third largest tomato exporter, and up to 60% of those tomatoes come from the province of Almería.

> The region has around 30,000 hectares of land under cultivation, the majority of which is under plastic. It is also the most rapidly desertifying region in the country.

Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by KSteffensen on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @05:48AM (#42375628)
To me that panoramic view is scary, not magnificent. It's a monoculture desert. There is no life there, other than the very carefully cultivated one organism.
Re:Xylella Fastidiosa: A crisis brewing in Europe's olive gr... by pezezin on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @06:12AM (#42375760)
Something interesting about the greenhouses of Almería is that they are one of the few human constructions easily visible from space.