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Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by lvl102 on Monday February 19, 2024 @10:22PM (#39437707)
Visa and Mastercard and their highly anticompetitive tactics early in the network landgrab for the payment card space foretold what would happen in the tech space (that is to say do whatever you can to win the landgrab which is exactly what Google/FB did). DFS never caught on. Now the landscape has changed and this deal sort of serves as a bookend. People in fintech should go after the Visa/MC monopoly. There is no “network” and people are paying legacy fees just because it’s what they know.
Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by toomuchtodo on Monday February 19, 2024 @10:30PM (#39437754)
https://www.axios.com/2023/07/22/fednow-instant-payments-cre...

Networks (credit card rails) are dead long term. Capital One is buying a less than prime customer base instead of organic growth (plus the deposits). The profit is in the revolving interest on a customer base that carries a balance, not the interchange and network.

https://investorrelations.discover.com/newsroom/press-releas...

This should come as no surprise, as subprime is what Capital One does.

https://newrepublic.com/article/155212/worked-capital-one-fi...

Tangentially, it’s questionable how sustainable this is. This customer base is under material financial stress, and no one knows what’s going to happen next.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CCLACBW027SBOG

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DRCCLACBS

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/06/credit-card-delinquencies-su...

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by xp84 on Monday February 19, 2024 @11:21PM (#39438033)
Regarding your New Republic link:

I find a lot of these kinds of critiques of subprime lending to be disturbingly patronizing. The notion that some third party (the government, presumably) ought to be decreeing that people whose credit is, in this article’s words) so bad that they can’t qualify for a $300 limit at 27% interest, should just not be allowed to access legal credit at all. Terms get worse as you prove you’re an unwise risk. That’s just math. If you ask the people who are opening these credit cards, they’ll tell you that yes they do want the credit. They would rather have that than not have it. And they’re adults. And suspiciously, I t’s only years after voluntarily taking this money that some of them turn around and complain about “predatory lending.”

If we ban all forms of subprime (or make it impossible with interest rate caps, etc) the most desperate bad-with-credit people, whom we’re supposedly trying to protect, will still find a way to borrow money anyway, at far worse terms—this is what loan sharks do. You can’t fix humans with regulation.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by toomuchtodo on Monday February 19, 2024 @11:29PM (#39438073)
Colorado’s HB1229 became law, and several other states have pending consumer lending legislation capping rates at 25%. You can’t fix humans (especially when they’re forced to exist in this dystopian economic system), but you can reduce the exploitation with legislation. Even adults need protection, depending on circumstances, and their status as an adult isn’t a free pass to harm.

But heh, that’s just the law. We can change the definition of legal credit with the stroke of a pen (see above).

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by RHSeeger on Monday February 19, 2024 @11:52PM (#39438174)
> Even adults need protection, depending on circumstances

I think the argument is that it's not protection. If someone won't lend to you at 25% (but they would at 27%), then you can't borrow. Is it protection to just prevent those people from borrowing at all?

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by kaashif on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @12:17AM (#39438290)
I think I'm on your side because it's possible for anyone to understand how interest works and make these judgements themselves.

But a lot of people just straight up don't understand interest (despite it being within their capabilities) and e.g. make minimum payments on their loans and complain when the balance goes up. A particularly egregious case (because the people in question are educated) is when people make minimum payments on student loans and don't seem to understand why the balance is increasing.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by toomuchtodo on Monday February 19, 2024 @11:53PM (#39438186)
Yes. Usury law serves this purpose, to draw a line.

https://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/usury

At least in the case of auto loans, usury limits do not limit subprime credit access. If you want to refer specifically to deep subprime unsecured model profitability, if it’s profitable, clearly there is room for margin compression through interest rate limits.

https://www.fdic.gov/analysis/cfr/consumer/2015/presentation...

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by RHSeeger on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @01:08AM (#39438497)
> Yes. Usury law serves this purpose, to draw a line.

I do not understand what you're trying to say here. We're talking about

- putting an upper limit on the interest rate for loans (which is what said usary limits _are_), and

- if that means some people cannot get loans, and

- if that inability to get a loan is really helping that person

The fact that usary law exists and puts a limit on the interest rate for loans doesn't answer the question, since it's only the starting point from which the question is asked.

That being said, what you linked seems to say something along the lines of

1. For dealer + bank loan setups, the usary limits do indeed reduce the ability of the dealer setup a loan (with the bank) for a buyer. This is the case we were originally talking about, for which we have an unanswered question.

2. For BHPH (the car dealer is the one doing the loan), the limit is worked around by increasing the amount of the loan. This _seems_ to be similar to buying points on a loan. This seems like a better tradeoff than "a loan isn't possible", since the buyer still has an option (where they wind up paying more by the end, but with less risk; to both parties). My thought would be that this is actually helpful for the buyer, but it's debateable.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by bbarnett on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @01:20AM (#39438537)
The logic is, our ancestors and our current laws are there for a reason. And to push aside ursary laws, and their logic without reading in depth the logic as to why, is throwing away valuable, empirically derived, real world research.

And sometime the corporate body needs externally deroved guardrails.

That said, secured credit cards exist. No one need be given credit, to have a credit card. And secured can lead to unsecured in time.

Companies have this as a patch already. And they want to lend, so market forces work here.

And there already is a limit under ursary laws, and yet magically, we still have sub prime credit. So to both sides of this discussion I say, ursary doesn't solve having subprime, because there is always a subprime.

Remove existing subprime clients, and the next tier becomes the new subprime. It's merely a label for the "riskiest people we lend to".

Chase that label, and eventually no one will be lent to. At all.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by RHSeeger on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @11:49AM (#39443539)
I feel like we're talking past each other here.

What I'm saying is that it's hard to tell if the usary limits actually provide a benefit to the borrowers. And I'm discussing the topics related to figuring out if they do or don't.

And what you appear to be saying is that we need those limits because we've always had those limits, and because limits are good. And that the limits don't limit people because secured credit cards exist. Which doesn't really speak to the question I was trying to raise... of whether or not those usary limits provide the benefits they are supposed to.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by bbarnett on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @07:04PM (#39448600)
Well I'm also saying that those limits exist because of historical reasons, and those reasons were derived from issues in the past, and we should examine that context, and logic for those laws, before questioning if we need usury laws.

Why? Because they've done a lot of research, and there was lead up, there were issues, that caused those laws to exist. Study that, before we ponder is what I say.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by RHSeeger on Wednesday February 21, 2024 @11:37PM (#39463316)
> Well I'm also saying that those limits exist because of historical reasons, and those reasons were derived from issues in the past, and we should examine that context, and logic for those laws, before questioning if we need usury laws.

Yes, I understand and agree with the concept of Chesterton's Fence. And examining that context and the logic for those laws is precisely what I'm trying to do here.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by lokar on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @12:11AM (#39438276)
The same companies that argue against rate limits also oppose rules that require the terms to be explained in writing in a way a high school dropout would understand (eg how much would you pay in total if you take 3/6/9/12 months to repay). And in a normal font size.
Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by ryukoposting on Monday February 19, 2024 @11:28PM (#39438066)
I've railed on this topic in the past on HN. We've built a society where debt (credit, loans, etc) in some form is essential to virtually anyone's participation in the economy. Blocking poor people out of this system doesn't do anything to help them, nor does it meaningfully move the needle in terms of the total risk existing in our economy. Nobody is better off without Discover or Capital One.
Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by elevatedastalt on Monday February 19, 2024 @10:30PM (#39437751)
My feeling is Google / FB have done nothing close to Visa / MC when it comes to landgrabbing, but I am open to information / arguments.
Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by lvl102 on Monday February 19, 2024 @10:57PM (#39437909)
I actually think it’s worse because it’s not as natural of a monopoly as it was for the payment network space. Google and Meta actively created a duopoly in the ad space and at a global scale too.
Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by pasttense01 on Monday February 19, 2024 @11:04PM (#39437941)
No. For many of us it irrelevant if there is duopoly in the ad space because we don't use Facebook and we use ad-blockers. But in the payment space VISA/MC charge high fees which are passed onto all consumers.
Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by lvl102 on Monday February 19, 2024 @11:16PM (#39438007)
Well in the ad space, we are talking about ad buyers not so much consumers. I think a good analogy would be if ABC and NBC purchased all other broadcasters and cable channels in the 80s. And then they go and purchased all INTERNATIONAL broadcasters.
Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by Kbelicius on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @03:55AM (#39439244)
> For many of us it irrelevant if there is duopoly in the ad space because we don't use Facebook and we use ad-blockers. But in the payment space VISA/MC charge high fees which are passed onto all consumers.

Products that you buy have their marketing priced in. Even if you don't see the adds you are still paying for them.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by alephnerd on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @07:25AM (#39440408)
> Products that you buy have their marketing priced in. Even if you don't see the adds you are still paying for them

Marketing costs are not included in Gross Profit Margin calculations, and don't have an impact on COGS.

Marketing spend is primarily used to grow your TAM and channel customers to your product, but is very marginal spend wise.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by kaynelynn on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @07:51AM (#39440603)
Visa and MC only take .1% of the 2.9% you are thinking of. The rest goes to the banks on either side of the transaction (one for the merchant, one for the purchaser).

They are however building more “solutions” to try and capture more of the transaction fees, but most people’s disdain for the payment rails would be better redirected at the banks in this case.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by NoPedantsThanks on Monday February 19, 2024 @11:58PM (#39438211)
Not to mention that retailers are getting screwed harder all the time. I thought that the major cards had set fees across their brands, but NO: retailers are screwed at all different levels by different ISSUERS. Apparently Capital One is one of (if not THE) worst, coming in at something obscene like 4.5%.

That's the entire profit margin of some businesses. At least some places like L.A. are taking tiny steps to prevent a total takeover by these assholes by outlawing "cashless" businesses.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @09:04AM (#39441394)
I think they should outlaw the clause in the CC contracts that forbids discounts for cash payments.
Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by NoPedantsThanks on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @11:43AM (#39443466)
The Obama administration did! That's why these have returned.

I was disappointed by many of the "reforms" passed under Obama, but this one in particular and some other banking-related ones stand out as truly helpful.

Re:Capital One to buy Discover Financial in $35.3B all-stock... by laylower on Tuesday February 20, 2024 @06:33AM (#39440081)
Why are you not including amex in your point I am wondering?