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Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by lgleason on Thursday December 28, 2023 @09:49AM (#38793939)
Expect further downward pressure on US tech salaries.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by snakeyjake on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:16AM (#38794179)
My employer cannot hire H1Bs. They are prohibited by law. All employees must be US citizens.

They pay extremely competitive rates. They are the reason for and a source of complaints regarding gentrification in my area.

edit: as an example the starting rate for high school work-study and college interns is the hourly equivalent of $78k/yr plus the same benefits as full-time employees from the second they show up.

The work environment is spectacular. There is no work from home because that is a practical impossibility so the work-life balance is carefully considered and benefits are outstanding. There are no after-hours tasks (there can't be, really).

You show up, work 9-5 in a relaxed environment, go home, cash your fat check, and enjoy travel and hobbies.

From IPC soldering-certified technicians to senior RF scientists and everything in between we cannot find enough workers for the amount of work we have.

For sexy startups trying to use sexy AI to steal user data in order to serve them sexy ads yes, maybe the market is saturated.

For hard-STEM fields my experience has been that there are too few people who take their linear algebra classes seriously.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by ndiddy on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:18PM (#38795729)
> My employer cannot hire H1Bs. They are prohibited by law. All employees must be US citizens.

If this is a contractor that requires security clearances, that’s a significant barrier to recruiting even US citizens. Most of your best applicants will be snapped up by someone else prior to completing the months long clearance process (which requires telling their current employer they’re looking to move elsewhere at the start).

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by m_nyongesa on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:42AM (#38795283)
I'm a U.S. citizen who does 1 hour of linear algebra first thing in the morning, when I'm not getting crushed by PhD-related deadlines. Currently working through Lang's _Linear Algebra_ for a new take on the material.

(side note: for the first 5 months of 2023 I did 1.5 hours a day of real analysis. I'll probably get back to doing that after getting through most of Lang.)

Can you give me a hint of the types of employers I should be looking for who would value this? How should I go about finding them?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by pc86 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:24AM (#38794281)
I worked for a sexy startup (non AI and didn't steal user data, but did have ads) that got bought by one of these big hard-STEM companies. The scientists there who had 15 YOE and a PhD made less than programmers on our side with no college degree and 2-3 years of experience programming.

Hard-STEM seems to have lots of jobs where you can grind your ass off for the better part of a decade or two and hope to make $100-120k/yr by then if you're lucky. At least on the coding side you'll get to that level within a handful of years if you're willing to job switch often and optimize for that salary. Glad to hear there's at least one hard-STEM place where the grind isn't as bad.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by raverbashing on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:52PM (#38796176)
True

The "hard-stem" places rely on a bit of gaslighting and the "holier than thou" self-image of the "hard-stem" people to pay them less and to overwork them

As much as the IT world has issues, it is night and day compared to the hard-stem world where a lot of times they won't even look at you if you don't have a MSc or PhD. Learn on the job, what is that?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by tsudounym on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:25AM (#38795088)
As someone not far removed from university, you will have a very hard time finding US citizens who take linear algebra seriously and also have a willingness to work for the Mil Industrial Complex (which this sounds like)
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by snakeyjake on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:18PM (#38795724)
Only half, roughly, of our revenue comes from the Department of Defense.

If you have:

* Received an alert on your phone saying that it's going to rain in your local area in the next 10 minutes,

* Been alarmed by a paper containing synthetic aperture radar data showing high-resolution plots of coastal erosion and sea level rise, or

* Used a map or route planning application that has satellite imagery textured onto high-resolution terrain and 3d models of buildings and landmarks,

You've PROBABLY used our products.

The military just the sugar daddy who pays for the other stuff.

I mean, I don't do any of that stuff.

I just stare at error-ridden digikey product listings all day, argue with PMs about the reality of their schedules, and sit through endless design reviews. But somehow, someone somewhere in the company does that stuff.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by selimthegrim on Thursday December 28, 2023 @07:11PM (#38800328)
I taught the class, where do I sign up?
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by drivebyhooting on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:57AM (#38794697)
What is staff level total compensation? In big tech you can make $1M/year with 8 years of experience.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by fallingknife on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:43AM (#38795294)
You could do that with rapid valuation increases in tech shares over the last 10 years inflating your RSU award, and even then you're talking < 1% of engineers at that comp level. And that path is very likely closed now at FAANG (poor staff SWE will have to suffer with $400K TC). TCs in the millions will be reserved for high ranks at large companies, a few lucky early engineers at billion dollar startups, and phds in AI or whatever the new hotness is at the time.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by drivebyhooting on Thursday December 28, 2023 @01:16PM (#38796531)
I still see L7 and L8 offers like this handed out. You act like 99% of people can work profitably in hard science. What parent poster said is also available sub 1% of talent.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bradlys on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:29PM (#38797481)
L7 and L8 aren't staff. That's senior staff and principle. They're both pretty hard to get and are very small portions of any company.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by drivebyhooting on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:45PM (#38797699)
That’s true. L6 offers are 700k to 900k plus whatever stock appreciation and refreshers. L7+ has nominal value of 1M+.

My point is for the past several years staff has been clearing 1M W2 or more per year and the nominal offers are high 6 figures. L7 and L8 offers are nominally 1M.

If I could make that money working on cool science and aerospace I would. When I graduated, Boeing, Lockheed etc wouldn’t give me the time of day but adtech welcomed me and paid me more in 1 year than Boeing would have in 10.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bradlys on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:36PM (#38798290)
L6 being 700k+ is a top tier offer even from a big company. That’s an exceptional offer for staff. I know several people in staff roles and they were not offered that comp upfront. They get to that through appreciation.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by genmud on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:36PM (#38795961)
If it's just export controlled stuff(radar, dual use stuff), technically you can hire non US citizens, and IIRC it's actually discrimination if you only hire US citizens. But you need to get export licenses, which they might not grant based on the country of citizenship, and they require permanent residence.

But let's be honest, it's pretty standard practice to require US citizenship.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jdiez17 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @01:59PM (#38797121)
Sounds like a NewSpace company... but not SpaceX.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by elteto on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:15PM (#38797319)
Nope. You can (and will) take a lot of work home in the space industry. And remote work is definitely allowed.

This is most likely an intelligence/defense agency or contractor, working in secure environments where you can't take work stuff in or out.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by probablynish on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:48PM (#38798391)
I interned at a company that can hire H1Bs. They do so often. My manager and several coworkers were not US citizens. I received the hourly equivalent of more than $78k/yr, with a great working environment. I'm not sure what your comment proves?

There are several companies in my area that can only hire US Citizens, and they all pay lower than the company I interned at.

This kind of issue cannot be analyzed anecdotally.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by thenaturalist on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:08AM (#38794087)
The economy is not a zero sum game.

The US created literally all relevant consumer technology in the last 30 or so years and demand for tech talent has exploded ever since.

Having a competitve sector/ economy which regularly pushes the edge of innovation and hence expands demand (both on sell and supply side) is actually what keeps salaries up.

This logic is as deeply flawed as often as it comes up.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by edgyquant on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:41AM (#38794487)
Yes it is. Every foreign employee getting that tech job is a US citizen from the Midwest not getting it. Fuck this dishonest talking point, I know people coding since high school working at Toyota plants while people from overseas with entry level skill sets have employers move them to the west coast and land jobs (for whatever reason.)

It’s favoritism, it’s cronyism, it’s a nation putting its own struggling people last and it most certainly is zero sum.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by gourabmi on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:49PM (#38796132)
I think it is more about leaving their comfort zones. One might have to move out of their towns / states to access resources that the US has to offer. Dozens of US states offers so much support to their students studying STEM. You can defer education loan payments. There is so much federal aid. There are dirt cheap colleges if you want to get vocational education and start working quickly. But all of these are not available in one city. They are spread across the nation.

Globalization is a two way street. If you want the best of what the world has to offer, the best of what the world has to offer will arrive at your doorstep. That includes human resources.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by lgleason on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:57AM (#38794688)
Exactly! The companies often prefer the people on H1B visas because the workers have to be much more subservient or risk being deported and they have leverage to pay them at the lower end of the salary range for the position/level.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by anon-sre-srm on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:20PM (#38797379)
Yep. This is the TCS consulting business model.

Interestingly, the meat ag and farming employs (no pun intended) similar tactics with undocumented people working in near-or-de facto slavery conditions that are very dangerous. The major meat processing plants in the US advertise salaries in Mexican and Central American newspapers to encourage migration. And, the US immigration system is a Kafkaesque, Byzantine, understaffed nightmare purposefully to keep official immigration meeting socio-political objectives of appearing selective. In truth, it facilitates megacorps importing large numbers of foreign knowledge workers through official channels while criminalizing and marginalizing undocumented people to be under the thumbs of other megacorps monetizing unpleasant work society inconveniently needs to function.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:54AM (#38794656)
> a US citizen from the Midwest not getting it

No offense, but maybe your resume didn't reflect that you had the skills required.

The companies I worked at and now portfolio companies of mine pay Bay Area market rate to both citizens and non-citizens.

We hire noncitizens because we didn't find the right talent we need.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by blasphemers on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:15AM (#38794933)
So basically you only have open engineering positions in the same few markets that every other tech company does and then you complain when you can't find enough engineers. Engineering talent doesn't only exist on the coasts, despite startup tech culture pretending it does.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by allemagne on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:54AM (#38795421)
Do companies have a moral obligation to distribute jobs geographically?

Assuming that the issue is that these positions weren't remote then if they decided that they're better served by workers that live locally then they're either right and you're asking them to harm their own interests for yours or they're wrong and they're just leaving money on the table for a competitor. If they aren't harmed for giving up a competitive edge then that monopoly power to just ignore the market is the actual problem.

Either way, work visas isn't even close to the most salient problem. Restrict them and who's to say how startups will find loopholes to avoid hiring who we want them to hire. Let's just cut out all the messiness and cut them checks directly. Call it reparations for the coasts ignoring the good honest midwest American talent all these years.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:07PM (#38795587)
> Restrict them and who's to say how startups will find loopholes

We'll just open offices in Israel, Eastern Europe, and India instead and pay 70% of a US salary. It already started happening in 2019, and avalanched during the pandemic.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:32PM (#38800066)
The obvious response to that is to not allow companies that outsource jobs to sell in the domestic market.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @07:00PM (#38800256)
And then those companies sell in other countries.

When the US banned Israeli companies from selling military IP to China, they began selling to India.

Drone tech saw a similar impact, hence why Chinese and Turkish Drone companies are outcompeting American ones in both commercial and defense applications.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @07:01PM (#38800265)
Good let them.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:23AM (#38795050)
We listed all these jobs remotely. There just aren't that many engineers who know OS Internals, eBPF, or XDP in Indiana compared to Tel Aviv or Bangalore.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by remarkEon on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:20PM (#38795745)
That is a policy problem. Opening up more immigration makes that problem worse, not better. It should be a question that everyone asks: why do US Universities not create an adequate supply of workers to meet the demand of the market? No one seems to care and the solution is always “just do more immigration”. Makes no sense.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:34PM (#38795936)
I worked on the policy side before I entered tech.

You can't "command economy" human capital. It just doesn't work.

Upskilling has a 5-10 year long lag time.

Immigration is the only reason America hasn't stumbled like Europe, Japan, or Korea demographically.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by remarkEon on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:12PM (#38801411)
>Upskilling has a 5-10 year long lag time.

So what? Again, this is a pipeline problem, that can be influenced and addressed via policy. I'm not trying to "command economy" anything. It's a problem that companies, and increasingly universities, don't think that it's a huge issue there not being enough home-grown citizens to fill these roles (a claim I find to be dubious at best). That is definitely something that policy can be used to fix.

>Immigration is the only reason America hasn't stumbled like Europe, Japan, or Korea demographically.

I don't know what this is supposed to mean. You want some demographic growth target to be hit? Europe has many countries in it, but mentioning Japan and Korea implies you have noticed the birth rates there. Well, I think the wrong question is being asked in that situation as well. If people aren't having babies, why? What changed? What policy options are there to fix that problem?

Thinking that "just import a new workforce" fixes that is extremely weird to me, especially when they are coming from places that are not exactly culturally proximate to the places they are going, to say the least.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:23PM (#38798141)
The industry is so huge thats impossible to teach every aspect of the tech industry. The universities teach widely applicable curriculum.

Companies should train employees, simple as.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:31PM (#38800051)
They do. Companies just prefer to hire immigrants willing to work twice as long for half the pay.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:15PM (#38798064)
I guarantee you theres tons of engineers with backgrounds in O.S./Networking that could learn those things very quickly.

I bet most people working in it learned on the job. The certainly dont teach every single specific detail of the entire tech industry in universities.

This is just gaslighting.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:08PM (#38799884)
> could learn those things very quickly

Maybe.

We didn't have the time to risk on hiring a dud in an industry as competitive as Cybersecurity.

When competing with Israeli and Indian companies who are able to tap the Israeli, Eastern European, and Indian talent scene where such skills are much more common, we don't have the time to risk timelines falling behind.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Friday December 29, 2023 @05:23AM (#38803519)
Oh such fear mongering.

With an decent background shouldnt take someone too long to get up to speed and that time isnt going to break the company.

Its what they do in other countries. lol

You clearly have with an agenda.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:30PM (#38800040)
But none willing to work at the wages and working conditions that company is offering.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:57PM (#38800240)
> 200-300k base with 15% annual bonus and equity ($300k-750k when I was working at public companies. I can't speak to my portfolio company's equity practices) is not a shit wage

That was what we were offering, but we were also demanding on quality and skill required.

We ended up getting some top performers in Israel and India for a fraction, despite being ready to pay the above.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @07:05PM (#38800292)
I don’t believe you couldn’t find anyone for 750k. At least throw out a believable number. Also you know very well that the majority of H1b is for generic web dev jobs and not OS internals or whatever you were hiring for.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by blasphemers on Friday December 29, 2023 @10:49AM (#38806181)
They probably made ridiculous requirements on the listing to show they posted the job and could not find people that met the description so they could hire an H1B
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by belltaco on Saturday December 30, 2023 @10:28AM (#38815956)
> to show they posted the job and could not find people that met the description so they could hire an H1B

Kinda telling that the so called smart people who have trouble getting hired have no clue that that's not a requirement for H1B.

The midwest is not sending their best.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by lp0_on_fire on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:18AM (#38794966)
> We hire noncitizens because we didn't find the right talent we need.

(the right talent at the shit-level wage we want to pay) is more often than not the rest of that sentence.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:22AM (#38795035)
$200-300k base with 15% annual bonus and equity ($300k-750k when I was working at public companies. I can't speak to my portfolio company's equity practices) is not a shit wage.

We needed people who understood stuff like XDP and worked on it for years.

The talent pool for low level development, OS Dev, cybersecurity, networking, and some parts of ML is sparse in the US compared to Israel, Eastern Europe, China, and India.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by fallingknife on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:49AM (#38795369)
The problem is that instead of building a domestic talent pipeline for high demand skills we take the easy route and grab immigrants for it. So the talent pipeline never gets built, and then we continue to be dependent on immigration. This is obviously not your company's fault because they are not policy makers, but if companies like yours were told "too bad, hire and train locally" you would get it done. e.g. I am a software engineer that currently has a TC of around $200K, and none of the skills you need, but I could easily be trained and learn any of that for a 300-750K TC at the end.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:13PM (#38795658)
> companies like yours were told "too bad, hire and train locally"

Companies would collapse and fail, unless the government gave a massive corporate stimulus package (probably 4-5x the size of PPE).

> none of the skills you need, but I could easily be trained

It would take at least 1-2 years. At that point, an Israeli or Indian startup has taken market share and won. Welcome to cybersecurity and networking.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by fallingknife on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:34PM (#38797544)
I am unpersuaded as I have never heard of a company that collapsed and was replaced by foreign competition because they couldn't get enough H1Bs. But even if this is correct, the best that should get you is N visas for the next 2 years and then no more because you will have built the local talent pipeline you need by then.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:56PM (#38798492)
I replied to OP saying "only hire domestic" for every role.

Even National Labs don't do that.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:26PM (#38798191)
Nothing in tech takes that long to learn if you have someone with a decent background in the subject...
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by FredPret on Thursday December 28, 2023 @08:27PM (#38800787)
False - many critical edge cases only come up once every couple of years.

In my area (not cybersecurity) I’m still seeing very serious and brand-new-to-me problems come up even after many years.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Friday December 29, 2023 @05:20AM (#38803503)
So even with your experience these are still occuring periodically. lol

The solution for this is good testing and QA not fear mongering Americans into hiring immigrants.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by FredPret on Friday December 29, 2023 @09:02AM (#38804944)
It’ll be very good for you to stay in learning mode after your degree.

On the other hand, if your attitude is that you now know your stuff and you’re done learning, that isn’t going to produce the best outcomes for you.

> Testing and QA

Business processes can’t take the place of experienced judgement.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Friday December 29, 2023 @10:48AM (#38806161)
> Business processes can’t take the place of experienced judgement.

This is utterly incorrect..

Testing and QA are techical processes run by engineers.

Where did you get your degree ? Your knowledge of tech seems extraordinarily limited. Theres solutions to your problems you're not even aware of.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by commandlinefan on Thursday December 28, 2023 @01:57PM (#38797109)
> your resume didn't reflect

One observation I've made throughout the years of reviewing tech resumes - if I get a resume from a U.S. citizen, I (and anybody else) immediately know the difference between MIT/Stanford vs. "The University of Wisconsin" without even researching it. OTOH, I have no idea what the difference between the University of Hyderabad vs. the University of New Delhi, and there's not really a good way for me to tell. Foreign applicants actually have an _advantage_ over U.S. citizens in that the person reviewing their resume will almost certainly bin all of the resumes into the same "ok, has a degree" vs. a potentially unconscious "ah, ok, couldn't get into an ivy league".

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jevoten on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:34PM (#38797556)
No wonder they can't find workers, if from a nation of 334 million, all but ~16k/year [1] are considered substandard because they couldn't get into an Ivy.

Edit: More relevant is comparing Ivy undergrads (64.5k) to all US undergrads (20.3 million) [2], meaning only the top 0.3% make the cut.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivy_League - total number of undergrads (64.5k), divided by 4, assuming a 4-year college course.

[2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/235406/undergraduate-enr...

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:13PM (#38798036)
Agreed thats insane.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:05PM (#38799860)
Our EM was from a CSU.

We didn't discriminate based on educational program.

But we didn't have the time to train someone in eBPF or OS Internals from scratch over months when there are competitors in Israel or India able to release the same thing in the same time period with a fraction of the cost.

For certain specialities of tech, there simply isn't the skill set anymore in the US. OS Internals and Computer Networking is a great example of that.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:12PM (#38798022)
This is another dishonest talking point.

With most tech jobs if a person has a computer science background they have the skills.

The company is just lying to justify outsourcing.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by FredPret on Thursday December 28, 2023 @08:29PM (#38800797)
Getting a degree simply indicates to the market that you have the ability to learn and the mental building blocks to start learning the ropes.

Until you do it, you don’t know how to do it. In other words, juniors fumble around and make lots of mistakes - that’s how they get good.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by hasty_pudding on Friday December 29, 2023 @05:36AM (#38803598)
> simply indicates to the market that you have the ability to learn

I took networking, os, data structures, etc. in my degree.

It taught me a lot more than "how to learn".

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by FredPret on Friday December 29, 2023 @11:42AM (#38806956)
Looks like it hasn't even taught you that.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:28PM (#38800025)
Maybe 5 years ago, certainly not today. There have been massive layoffs in tech and plenty of smart people who never broke in.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by greatpostman on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:06PM (#38795573)
Yup, people love to deny this but it’s true
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by light_hue_1 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:04AM (#38794790)
This is the most clueless take here.

It is so obviously not zero sum. From Google to Yahoo to eBay to Palantir. None of those hundreds of thousands of jobs would exist without immigrants. Or they would be overseas.

I'm sorry for your friends who cannot get tech jobs. It's time to level up their skills. No competent developer can't find a job in this economy.

Stop blaming immigrants for your own shortcomings.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by anonfromsomewhe on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:25AM (#38795087)
if US citizen with all best resources in the world for entire lifetime, is losing opportunity to some 3rd nation, maybe he/she/they is not competitive enough?
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by probablynish on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:51PM (#38798419)
> Every foreign employee getting that tech job is a US citizen from the Midwest not getting it.

This concentration of high paid tech jobs would not exist in the first place if it weren't for the foreigners. Look at the number of tech startups founded by immigrants. More broadly consider that if a different country became the global hub for top tech talent, capital would go there, and that country would become the home of high paid tech salaries.

The main input into a tech company is 'human capital' (hard working, highly intelligent, people) - Americans benefit from the spillover effects of having their country be the global nexus of human capital.

BTW, India is seeing significant upwards pressure on tech salaries and a boom in the number of domestic tech companies and jobs. This is at least partly spurred by restrictive American immigration policies forcing Indians to go back home. Purely economically speaking, I don't think America is the winner here.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by cyberax on Thursday December 28, 2023 @04:39PM (#38799023)
> Yes it is. Every foreign employee getting that tech job is a US citizen from the Midwest not getting it.

That's simply not true. The alternative is often just not having this job at all. A tech startup without employees can just fail, without creating any jobs.

And the guy from the Midwest will be worse off in the end.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by 8note on Thursday December 28, 2023 @04:41PM (#38799039)
The US citizen from the Midwest could move to California and make a startup; they aren't gated by having a job beforehand.

On the other hand, if all the foreign talent congregates elsewhere, the Midwest kid will need a visa to compete with them.

The non-zero sum is that having all the people in one place makes more opportunities than if they weren't together.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by retinaros on Thursday December 28, 2023 @04:42PM (#38799054)
america hegemony exists since the germans rocket scientists immigrated to work at nasa. the tech sector is the same story.google pretty much created the web revolution and it was a russian immigrant leading it creating millions of jobs. the next big moment was musk, an immigrant with tesla.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by thenaturalist on Thursday December 28, 2023 @07:21PM (#38800399)
I think your reply is the perfect example of the malaise of the general public discourse on most topics these days which seems to be far less informed by scientifically established laws and principles rather than by personal anecdotes.

Let me preface my writing by saying that I am neither a US citizen nor a tech worker currently employed or aiming for employment with a US based firm.

I am a first generation immigrant in a continental European country who faced no barriers in charting my career in tech. I deeply believe in and have experienced meritocracy.

So let's go at it one by one.

> Every foreign employee getting that tech job is a US citizen from the Midwest not getting it.

That is simply not true as the distribution for demand and supply of tech talent within an economy is hardly ever matching perfectly temporally. Either there is more demand than supply or more supply than demand. Also upskilling everyone in the Midwest does not work just that quickly.

That is how the world works.

Your argument is not rooted at all in basic macroeconomics, rather, it seems to me, in wishful thinking.

No country other than the USA is better at playing that macroeconomics game through talent oriented immigration laws.

Has been for the past 200 years, will be for the next 200 years.

I'd bet on that.

> Fuck this dishonest talking point, I know people coding since high school working at Toyota plants while people from overseas with entry level skill sets have employers move them to the west coast and land jobs (for whatever reason.)

Said people you know must either not have the chops you claim they have, not know their market value or not have the required mobility for the purpose of securing said jobs (i.e. moving out of the Midwest to the economic hotspots of the US).

Giving you the benefit of the doubt that indeed subservient immigration is an economic niche of it's own, there is no chance that practice alone saturates the demand for tech talent.

How many SWE positions in every other HN thread alone require citizenship, timezone presence or offer no assistance with immigration?

> It’s favoritism, it’s cronyism, it’s a nation putting its own struggling people last and it most certainly is zero sum.

While a populist, assertive statement, I think it is lack of widespread education & upskilling initiatives (which literally everyone else outside of the tech sector has incentives for: what would Toyota, Walmart, literally everyone else stand to gain from more educated citizens leaving the Midwest for higher paying jobs?), greed and fiscal pressure (I've promised my VCs 200% growth YoY, so I need SWEs stat from literally anywhere NOW, can't wait for these folks from the Midwest to upskill within 2 years) and generational change (those HS friends chopping away at Toyota might not have applied in their early years when remote work was as prevalent as it is today. It will be a totally different game for a Midwest child growing up in a tech inspired household today).

Lack in speed of upskilling/ education, fiscal economic pressure and glacial pace of generational change is literally what every other nation is facing.

Time is always the scarcest and most critical factor. And that's why it's not zero sum.

In the long run, no economy is bound to employ more people in tech both domestic and foreign than the USA and that is a massive, massive achievement - and based in simple macroeconomic rules, not some emotional anecdotes.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bsdpufferfish on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:38AM (#38794460)
The myth is that these measures must be taken because of "shortages of workers" when there are plenty of US citizens in STEM who are underemployed.

This narrative is purely a lobbying effort.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by manuelabeledo on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:55AM (#38794669)
> ... when there are plenty of US citizens in STEM who are underemployed.

Where, exactly?

Unemployment rate among STEM graduates is half of that of the general population [0]. Salaries are also substantially higher [1], and keep getting higher [2].

[0] https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23315/report/stem-unemployment...).

[1] https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23315/report/stem-median-wage-....

[2] https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg25433814-000-most-ste...

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by tcmart14 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:11AM (#38794881)
I'm not seeing it either. The only engineers I met who are 'under employed' either left the field intentionally, decided to go backpack Europe for 3 years after they graduated (some fields it definitely seems like if your not in the field for awhile the value of your degree vanishes), or they graduated and moved to a place where I live with a ChemE degree looking for ChemE jobs when we have maybe 2 companies in town that hire a small number of ChemEs. It is a highly desired location, so why pay an inexperience ungrad when you can score a ChemE moving into the area with a decades experience at a good price.

Another good one. We hired a person with a MechE degree with experience working at JPL into our customer support because they are so in love with the area because of easy access to winter activities (snow shoing, skiing, etc).

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bsdpufferfish on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:05AM (#38794795)
Unemployment != underemployment.

So the unemployment rate in your first article is not relevant, missing labor participation rates etc.

The second article is about median wages of people who are already in jobs categorized as stem. Same with the third, which is also only about the derivative.

> Where, exactly?

The most prominent segment can be found by dropping the engineering and tech. Biology, math, physics, chemistry, etc. However even in engineering we find that the top grads move into software or finance.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by manuelabeledo on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:15AM (#38794936)
It seems that data is not relevant, then?

I would appreciate it if you were to provide some hard numbers to back your conjecture that immigration is the reason for these cases of "underemployment", like you call it.

> However even in engineering we find that the top grads move into software or finance.

Software engineering is notorious for being one of the markets with the most H-1B visa holders, yet you are saying that most "top grads" move into it for better wages?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bsdpufferfish on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:34AM (#38795207)
I didn’t make up the word underemployment, economists did.

Here is some data that tries to at least look at this question: https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/06/does-majoring...

The gross number is only 1/3 of stem degree lead to stem jobs. But that includes quite a bit of soft degree's, still in the ballpark of half of all graduates not working in their field.

> software jobs

Yes there is higher demand for software which is met with higher wages and drawing underemployed people with other degrees as well as immigration. The immigration restriction argument is that increasing that part of the equation will lower wages and increase corporate control of their workforce.

So an alternative way to meet that demand is to hire us citizens who have those qualifications or a related degree that could be trained.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:36PM (#38800094)
Try telling that to all the laid off tech workers or the new grads failing to find jobs.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by thenaturalist on Thursday December 28, 2023 @07:43PM (#38800522)
I sincerely urge you to check out macro-economic books and lectures.

Imo your narrative amounts is simply not grounded in reality.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:26PM (#38800015)
I don’t know man. I passed 2 FAANG interviews last year and then failed to team match because they froze hiring. I have the skills but no room for me, there are already 10s to hundreds of thousands of foreign workers thank you very much. Seems pretty zero sum to me.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by ketzo on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:08AM (#38794084)
Intuitively, yes; factually (looking at the last 30 years of tech), categorically false.

Tech begets tech, tech jobs beget tech jobs. Personally, I think we are not remotely close to “peak software” in particular.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by thaumasiotes on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:52AM (#38794626)
But the increase in tech jobs doesn't benefit existing workers. Compare https://elaineou.com/2017/08/26/the-mystery-of-the-vanishing... :

> According to this Joint Venture Silicon Valley report, 74% of Silicon Valley tech workers are foreign-born immigrants. A decade ago, 36% of Silicon Valley tech workers were born abroad. In 2000, only 29% were.

> Tech industry employment has increased from about 300,000 jobs in 2007 to 400,000 in 2016, so even though we created 100,000 engineering positions in the last decade, we’ve also displaced 88,000 domestic engineers.[1]

> American tech workers are getting pushed out, and they aren’t coming back

If the downward pressure on salary in American software jobs is so extreme that salaries frequently go all the way to zero, while there is a countervailing upward pressure on salary among Indian no-job-yets, why do we say it's "categorically false" that there is a downward pressure on American software salaries?

[1] Note that this is what you expect from a pricing shift, not an increase in the value created by the work. The quantity of software labor purchased has gone up and sellers are being forced out. If the driver of increased quantity-of-jobs were increased value created, you would see sellers entering the market, not leaving.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by light_hue_1 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:07AM (#38794824)
Both you and the blog are conflating leaving the Bay Area with losing your job.

Yeah. A lot of people are leaving because of the housing insanity. That doesn't mean they're leaving teach and losing their jobs. There is zero evidence for that.

This isn't evidence for any impact on jobs. It's evidence for the mismanagement of the Bay Area and California as a whole.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by cmrdporcupine on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:48AM (#38794581)
The reality of Canadian tech salaries would disagree with you.

Our immigration system targets skilled workers from abroad, and brings in a lot of them. It's a far more "rational" and less confusing system than the US, but also explicitly geared around bringing in skilled workers as permanent residents and it brings in a lot of them.

The downward pressure on compensation rates is real. Apart from exceptions in FAANG type companies, salaries here are often 1/2 of the rates of US employers, and it isn't because we're a lower quality product.

As a result a large % of us just move south to the US on a TN visa, or take remote jobs from US employers. Because the disparity in compensation is very high. And it's in large part because the market here is flooded with talent from abroad.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:57AM (#38794693)
The Canadian tech market is particularly small by most standards.

Tech salaries there are lower than what a skilled employee can get in Israel, China, or India.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by dougmwne on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:05AM (#38794047)
This affects very few immigrants of extraordinary ability. Such people are likely to be job creators with the companies and products they build. I agree that if we were to lift the cap on H-1b visas it could easily destroy tech salaries. Thankfully that’s not under consideration.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jupp0r on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:28AM (#38794327)
Most H1-B visas don't go to engineering roles. Expanding those quotas wouldn't affect engineering salaries, but probably IT support roles, etc.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by dougmwne on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:58AM (#38794701)
If you open the door wide enough, salaries will drop. It’s an economic reality. It may be a very good thing for the wider economy and stock market though. Right now critical roles that enable high productivity work are behind a tall wall of a multi-100k salary. It’s possible that we are letting a small number of engineers get early retirements in exchange for a drag on the whole economy.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by pvg on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:14AM (#38794156)
From a few people already working in the US for years getting green cards?
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by danking00 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:13AM (#38794137)
People who gain citizenship are no longer in a precarious visa situation nor tied to their current employer. Moving people off visas and into PR/citizenship would seem to me to remove downward pressure on salaries.

Heck, workers with PR/citizenship are probably more likely to unionize for higher wages because they feel safer.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bee_rider on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:49AM (#38794597)
But this admits that the more generous and open policy might also be more practical. Can’t have that, it is too good.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by lgleason on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:06AM (#38794807)
You are forgetting the law of supply and demand. More supply and the same demand leads to lower prices.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jupp0r on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:24AM (#38794276)
Only if you believe you live in a zero sum world, which every serious study will show you don't.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bluecheese452 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @06:38PM (#38800113)
Haven’t seen a single replicable study showing this.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by linuxftw on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:11AM (#38794116)
People in tech have blinders are. We're already in tech, so we don't see the repercussions. Entry level jobs are almost non-existent, they're all going overseas and to indentured servants.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by stackskipton on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:12PM (#38795651)
>Entry level jobs are almost non-existent, they're all going overseas and to indentured servants.

Which is now having impact on hiring higher level positions because we broke the pipeline of Jr. -> Mid Level -> Sr.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by Clubber on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:32AM (#38794367)
This is just a repeat of what started in the 90s (probably earlier). It's really a scheme for companies to get access to more talent to drive wages down.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:32AM (#38795189)
News flash. The demand has started to slow down.

20 years ago, the Chinese backlog used to be in the decades range. Now it's 2 years.

The Indian backlog used to be multi-decade too, but is now 11.

Already, we've had engineers at portfolio companies decide to return to India to either earn a dollar salary or start their own startup.

At this point, we've decided to straight up outsource jobs to India, Israel, and Eastern Europe. The talent base we need doesn't exist in the US.

These guys could have become taxing paying members of American society. Now they'll make contributions to India, Eastern Europe, and Israel instead

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by coredog64 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:46AM (#38795331)
> Now they'll make contributions to India, Eastern Europe

Good! There’s a billion people in India and plenty of opportunities for growth. The net benefit for all of humanity is larger if they stay there.

Put another way, is it really all that great that the US drains the top talent out of India and Eastern Europe?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:59AM (#38795498)
It does when those people who leave have a chip on their shoulder due to bad experiences with the US.

For example, the founder of Zoho (Sridhar Vembu - I actually lived in the same apartment complex in the Bay Area that he started Zoho at) has become a NatSec cabinet advisor to Narendra Modi's administration, and has a chip on his shoulder about his experience dealing with US immigration. It was a big reason he returned to India.

Wang Huning, the Chairman of the Chinese Politburo and Xi Jinping's right hand man - soured on the US after his experience dealing with the US as a student.

A good friend of mine from college in the ML space who's parents are pretty high up in the ruling party of a major SEA state has been constantly complaining to me and them about how they lost 2 chances at the F1 to H1B conversion, and every single time became more and more ambivalent about the US. They can end up returning to SEA and make a large company, but they will also have a chip on their shoulder about the US.

Another good friend of mine was an Indian national who specialized in EE and Condensed Matter Physics (semiconductors type work) - even did grad school in it at a Stanford type program. He left the US to work for a major Chinese company in SEA because immigration in the US was horrid.

Plenty of Israelis feel the same way now about the US due to similar experiences.

The US Immigration system exudes a sense of American exceptionalism because voters say "Love it or leave it". But the people who leave end up becoming successful, but still angry at how much effort and stress was expended for naught.

China is now a near peer in 2023. There's no reason to fuel anti-Americanism in India, SEA, LatAm, etc and push them to the other side.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jimbob45 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:24PM (#38795804)
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/immigrati...

China and India combined take in less than a tenth of the immigrants the US takes in yearly. There's really no reason anyone should take their opinions on immigration seriously.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:29PM (#38795882)
I think you missed the entire point of my post above.

The US's biggest strength is it's soft power at the elite level.

Because of bad experiences like immigration, the US has been losing influence as foreign decision makers soured on the US due to crap treatment.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by creato on Thursday December 28, 2023 @01:04PM (#38796358)
He didn't miss the point. You're missing the point that if these people soured the US because it was hard to immigrate, they are being very hypocritical. It's hard to immigrate anywhere ("crap treatment"), including the countries they came from.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jltsiren on Thursday December 28, 2023 @01:54PM (#38797071)
It's somewhat difficult to immigrate to most places, but usually the difficulties can be resolved in weeks or months. The US level of difficulty is an exception, not the norm.

Or more accurately, the processes are obfuscated and full of inexplicable delays. Why would someone even consider hiring a lawyer for something as simple and common as employment-based immigration? And how can the green card process take longer than a few months?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by geodel on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:56PM (#38797841)
If it were that bad people would've stopped migrating to US long long back. In this case people are speaking with their feet (including those who chose to go back)
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by Clubber on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:58PM (#38796259)
>Because of bad experiences like immigration, the US has been losing influence as foreign decision makers soured on the US due to crap treatment.

So what?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @07:08PM (#38800309)
Well, the elite in formerly pro-American countries like Thailand, Turkey, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brazil start turning to competitors like China or Russia, or deciding to go it on their own.

Countries like India or Vietnam only began starting to warm to the US because of the diaspora. If the diaspora gets treated like shit, anti-Americanism begins to breed.

A similar thing happened in China in the 2010s.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by selimthegrim on Thursday December 28, 2023 @08:56PM (#38800994)
I see you omitted Pak from this list. Was it an exclusive list?
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Friday December 29, 2023 @09:09AM (#38805020)
Pakistan leaned pro-China since the 1960s after Ayub Khan normalized relations with China over Aksai Chin and Pakistan helped negotiate the Sino-US Pact, but fully pivoted after Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto became PM, as he had a good working relationship with Mao [4]

The Pakistani nuclear program was jumpstarted by PLA technology transfers in the 1970s [0][5], Pakistani Tank Technology like Al-Khalid are results of PLA tech transfers in the early 1990s [1], Pakistan began adopting Chinese fighter jet IP in the early 1990s [2], and the entire indigenous missles program in Pakistan began thanks to Chinese IP transfers in the 80s [3]

The US-Pakistan relationship was always transactional and surface level. Chinese SOEs would at least invest in Military affiliated companies like Heavy Industries Taxila, Pakistan Aeronautical Complex, Khan Research Laboratories, Global Industrial Defence Solutions, and National Defence Complex

The countries in the list abovr had a relationship with the US that was similar to that between China-Pakistan, but began pivoting away from the US in the 2010s.

[0] - https://www.jstor.org/stable/41394229

[1] - https://www.dawn.com/news/1217909

[2] - https://web.archive.org/web/20121021154725/http://www.flight...

[3] - https://web.archive.org/web/20081007232310/http://www.wiscon...

[4] - https://www.nytimes.com/1972/02/02/archives/bhutto-confers-w...

[5] - https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB114/

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by selimthegrim on Friday December 29, 2023 @09:24AM (#38805186)
Sad that it came this far from Edward Durrell Stone designing PINSTECH
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Friday December 29, 2023 @09:34AM (#38805320)
Stone designing PINSTECH was because of Abdus Salam.

Though, even PINSTECH pivoted to China by the 70s [0].

The India-Pakistan rivalry forced Pakistan to try and reach parity with India via Chinese technology transfers.

And yea. American hubris will lose us the next war.

[0] - https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA318316.pdf

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by matrix87 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:54PM (#38796203)
> The US Immigration system exudes a sense of American exceptionalism because voters say "Love it or leave it". But the people who leave end up becoming successful, but still angry at how much effort and stress was expended for naught.

That's funny. I guess every visa holder is some little genius doing particle physics work

You're going out of your way to give very specific anecdotes here, the average level of talent I've met on a visa is something very easily matched domestically. It's pretty hilarious actually, some of them can't actually program and have an SWE job title

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by geodel on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:52PM (#38797805)
Great point. If out of many million immigrants few brilliant ones went back due to bad experience and achieved great success back home, I'd say it is excellent system already for US in terms of overall people chose to stay and people went back to great success.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @04:11PM (#38798670)
> achieved great success back home

And then begin lobbying against the United States.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by mkii on Friday December 29, 2023 @12:56AM (#38802145)
> indentured servants

Could you explain what you mean?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by tempaccount420 on Friday December 29, 2023 @03:46AM (#38802927)
Probably means H1B workers. Hopefully not, because that's a pretty ugly way to call them.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by _factor on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:03AM (#38794028)
At the benefit of a stronger economy.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by mlindner on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:10AM (#38794103)
Completely agree. The pay is high because the demand is higher than the supply.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by addicted on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:03AM (#38794030)
Ah yes, the last 30 odd years of increasing immigration has exerted tremendous downward pressure on US tech salaries.

And countries in Europe that have not seen as much Tech immigration have seen huge boosts in Tech salaries. Comparable Europeans earn almost 1/3 - 1/2 what their American counterparts do today!

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by dougmwne on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:18AM (#38794195)
But really, it’s much easier to enter the EU. You have dozens of countries with their own rules so there are many more options. Plus immigration rules tend to be much easier than the US with its famously strict legal immigration with low caps.

Indeed, this balance between supply and demand is exactly what keeps US tech salaries high. Our dynamic economy creates a lot of tech roles while our restrictive immigration limits high skill immigrants from filling those roles, raising salaries.

Tech companies have been lobbying unsuccessfully for years to raise or eliminate the h-1b cap, which would absolutely cut salaries. That’s why they are lobbying for it, to reduce their labor costs.

Personally I think this is all going to be moot anyway. With software development becoming a mostly remote role after the pandemic, I’ve seen a lot less barrier over the past few years to hiring offshore teams. My own small division of 100 people has offshore teams in 3 countries.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jupp0r on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:36AM (#38794431)
And yet there is very little tech immigration into Europe, comparatively. Must be the low salaries.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by alephnerd on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:00AM (#38794730)
You can earn European level tech salaries in Bangalore and Beijing now. There isn't as much demand to move there and uproot your family just for $30-50k a year.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by logicalmonster on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:49AM (#38794586)
> Ah yes, the last 30 odd years of increasing immigration has exerted tremendous downward pressure on US tech salaries.

I'm not 100% sure, so I have to ask. Are you being sarcastic about immigration not exerting tremendous downward pressure on US tech salaries?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by bequanna on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:28AM (#38794336)
I’d be curious to hear opinions on why this large compensation discrepancy exists.

AFAIK, my company has never considered outsourcing to remote Euro workers. Is there a perceived difference in engineer quality? Time difference?

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by VirusNewbie on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:44PM (#38796086)
>Is there a perceived difference in engineer quality?

Intuitively, yes. If you're both brilliant, care about money, and want to stay and live in the EU, you aren't going to be a software engineer.

In the US, it's a solid path to a lucrative career.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jupp0r on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:41AM (#38794484)
Having worked in the EU and the US, here are some differences that I think are relevant for global employers:

- The hiring pool is much smaller than in the US, one reason is probably demographics and lack of skilled immigration. This makes it less attractive to hire/grow there.

- Labor regulation is much more strict. It's legally hard and expensive to lay off workers in Germany, for example.

- Taxes are much higher than in the US, so even if employers spend a lot of money on payroll, much less of it will end up in employees checking accounts.

- Demand is much lower. Tech industry in Europe is definitely there, but not booming to the same degree as in the US.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by imtringued on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:52AM (#38794636)
>Labor regulation is much more strict. It's legally hard and expensive to lay off workers in Germany, for example.

Is a few months notice [0] too much to ask? You can fire anyone you want, you're just going to wait a little bit or pay their remaining salary if you want them gone immediately. There is nothing legally hard about it. The hardest part is probably that you have to physically mail the layoff notice, but nothing prevents you from just directly giving it to them straight into their hands to be perfectly compliant with the law. Also, most of these laws only apply to companies with employee counts in the double digits. Not to small startups hiring their third employee.

[0] https://www.gesetze-im-internet.de/bgb/__622.html

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by jupp0r on Thursday December 28, 2023 @01:27PM (#38796695)
There's much more to this than you cite. There's Betriebsrat and Sozialplan etc. I'm not at all saying any of this is bad, but it does play an important role when companies make decisions about where to put their engineering centers.
Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by imtringued on Thursday December 28, 2023 @10:42AM (#38794501)
Have you heard how hardware companies like AMD suck at software?

Now imagine an entire country specialising in hardware like Germany.

Re:New U.S. immigration rules spur more visa approvals for S... by probablynish on Thursday December 28, 2023 @03:47PM (#38798382)
The article says that most of these approvals are going to tech entrepreneurs / startup founders. The effect of this seems to be to create new companies that otherwise wouldn't have existed, spurring demand for tech workers. The net effect of this is upwards pressure on wages if anything.

More generally, if another country became the global nexus for top tech talent, capital would eventually follow there, and the long term effect on US tech salaries would be negative.