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Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by thinkingemote on Friday November 04, 2022 @10:30AM (#33467305)
Musk and friends compare Twitter to other tech companies and see that it's ratio of employees to revenue is lowest. He therefore thinks he must halve the number employees and/or increase revenue to get this ratio up.

From the chat log exhibits from the Twitter vs Musk case: https://danluu.com/elon-twitter-texts/#47

A VC (Jason Calacanis) does back of the envelope calculations:

Twitter revenue per employee: $5B rev / 8k employees = $625K rev per employee in 2021

Google revenue per employee: $257B rev2/ 135K employee2= $1.9M per employee in 2021

Apple revenue per employee: $365B rev / 154k employees= $2.37M per employee in fiscal 2021

Twitter revenue per employee if 3k instead of 8k: $5B rev/ 3k employees= $1.66m rev per employee in 2021 (more industry standard)

Elon: "Insane potential for improvement"

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by dmix on Friday November 04, 2022 @10:42AM (#33467532)
Only 3 years ago Twitter had 5000 employees. They now have 8000 in 2022. That's a massive headcount growth for a company whose stock price declined significantly since then.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by pyrrhotech on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:46AM (#33468602)
And no notable features have been released
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by scarab92 on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:57AM (#33468786)
It seems like most of the layoffs are in trust, comms, creative, policy, wellness and those supporting these functions.

If the rumours of 50% downsizing are correct these functions were way bigger than I expected.

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by GVIrish on Friday November 04, 2022 @03:30PM (#33472445)
You didn't see Twitter Spaces, Fleets, Birdwatch, Tweet Editing, and Twitter Blue? Some of those features have been successful for them, some not, but they've been releasing features.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by peanuty1 on Saturday November 05, 2022 @02:49AM (#33478667)
+ tipping, voice tweets, Patreon-style subscriptions for content creators, and being able to control who can reply to your tweets.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by estomagordo on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:56AM (#33468774)
That is also the time period when they started showing a profit.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by SV_BubbleTime on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:20PM (#33469238)
No new features, and from my seat I can see no new monitization model.

Where is all this new money coming from, and why do suggest it requires these new employees to keep that stream flowing?

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by chrisseaton on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:34PM (#33469498)
> No new features

Are the new features for advertisers rather than consumers?

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by ketzo on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:30PM (#33469409)
Operating a massive, distributed, real-time ad platform requires lots of engineers.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by partiallypro on Friday November 04, 2022 @02:36PM (#33471619)
But how many of the new hires are engineers? I've read it has mostly been middle management hires.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by peanuty1 on Saturday November 05, 2022 @02:48AM (#33478663)
Elon claims there are 10 managers for every person coding. I don't believe that.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by peanuty1 on Saturday November 05, 2022 @02:48AM (#33478657)
There have been lots of new features like Twitter Spaces, tipping, voice tweets, Twitter Blue, Patreon-style subscriptions for content creators, controlling who can reply to your tweets, etc. However, some of the new features like fleets (temporary tweets) were deprecated.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by arrrg on Friday November 04, 2022 @10:52AM (#33467713)
How do you fire the right people? Where is the information about who to fire and who to keep coming from?
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by washywashy on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:30AM (#33468352)
At previous places I’ve been at it seems like it’s easier for higher ups to just blanket fire people and then rehire the important ones once people in the know complain. Not super efficient but definitely faster and comical in a depressing way.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by vidarh on Friday November 04, 2022 @04:23PM (#33473262)
If they do that outside the US they risk facing a fun series of expensive lawsuits.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by washywashy on Sunday November 06, 2022 @09:46PM (#33500489)
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by morelish on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:16AM (#33468128)
You don’t. You just fire the number based largely on cost and let the remaining people pick up the pieces.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by estomagordo on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:57AM (#33468787)
I think you mean the remaining people leetcode?
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by q1w2 on Friday November 04, 2022 @10:55AM (#33467766)
Purely looking at the math and the product portfolio, I would argue that since Twitter is such a single-product company, with a near-monopoly in this specific niche, it should have a much higher ratio.

Given these factors, I wouldn't be surprised if Mush cuts the employee base in half again.

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by plgonzalezrx8 on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:44AM (#33468582)
[redacted]: Hey Elon -my name is Jake Sherman.

I loled at this. Why redact the name if its in the content. SMH

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by joenathanone on Friday November 04, 2022 @01:27PM (#33470454)
Because his name is really Sake Jherman.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by tshaddox on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:50AM (#33468680)
It would be nice if revenue and employee count were completely independent. Heck, you could fire everyone except one person and have an incredibly high ratio! (Don’t fire that last person or else you’ll get a divide by zero error.)

Interestingly, he’s already tweeting out complaints about a massive drop in revenue. His theory is that this is caused not by his erratic behavior, but instead by activists who hate free speech: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1588538640401018880?s=46...

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by bsagdiyev on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:40PM (#33469599)
Activists: take credit

Some dude: "it's totally not them!"

Why would he not think that?

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by tshaddox on Friday November 04, 2022 @01:33PM (#33470595)
I'll ignore for the moment questions about what "activists" is supposed to mean and whether it refers to a real group capable of making unified decisions. Regardless, it's just not great for leadership to blame a revenue drop on unrelated third parties even if those third parties are working against the company and taking credit for the revenue drop. This isn't like complaining that trolls came in and review bombed your movie on IMDb. Revenue is an actual metric. If the claim is that the revenue numbers are only very briefly down because advertisers are only pulling spend in response to some temporary PR issue, then sure, make that argument.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by mrits on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:16PM (#33469141)
I don't understand how anyone could not blame activists for this? They themselves are taking credit for it.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by Kye on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:42PM (#33469627)
Who is "they"? Activist is an expansive noun that covers every possible viewpoint, so this is meaningless without further qualification. Is it randos on Twitter, or someone with actual clout?
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by nwienert on Friday November 04, 2022 @05:44PM (#33474244)
IPG and ADL both pushing hard to pull advertisements.

https://mobile.twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/158860354056966...

Not to mention there’s countless cases of this happening over the last decade, across payment processors to CDNs.

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by jeremyjh on Friday November 04, 2022 @02:23PM (#33471479)
Were the activists controlling ad spend?
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by bamboozled on Friday November 04, 2022 @04:28PM (#33473326)
That tweet really makes me think he has gone paranoid.

“Activists groups pressuring advertisers trying to destroy free speech in America ?”

The dude is a conspiracy theorist now ?

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by moufestaphio on Friday November 04, 2022 @06:57PM (#33475181)
Yes? He tweeted the Paul Pelosi's gay lover conspiracy last week.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by scottLobster on Friday November 04, 2022 @07:04PM (#33475263)
If the last two years have taught us anything, intelligence is not correlated with the ability to believe conspiracy theories.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by bamboozled on Saturday November 05, 2022 @05:45AM (#33479720)
It's quite troubling, and with little recourse it seems?
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by marricks on Friday November 04, 2022 @07:29PM (#33475580)
I think it’s because he actually thinks he can’t do anything wrong except be “too ambitious.”

So the more undeniably-short-sighted-flat-out-wrong stuff he does the more logic goes out the window.

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by fleddr on Friday November 04, 2022 @08:10PM (#33476026)
I'm sorry, but on Twitter this is hardly a conspiracy theory, just a normal day. Activists constantly pressure brands, for various reasons.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by epakai on Friday November 04, 2022 @05:04PM (#33473727)
Musk's prime motivator for purchasing twitter seems to have been ideological. Of course people are going to oppose him on ideological grounds.

More succinctly, Musk performed an activist takeover.

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by gscott on Friday November 04, 2022 @06:34PM (#33474899)
Twitter could have let him out of the deal but forced it. This is all on the (now former) board of directors who probably received a nice payout for a new mansion.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by sleepybrett on Friday November 04, 2022 @08:17PM (#33476089)
He could have, at any time, just paid the 1bil breakup free.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by epakai on Saturday November 05, 2022 @03:19AM (#33478801)
That fee was for external factors causing the deal to fail. Musk was already committed. His attempt to walk away was construed as breach of contract, and he would be liable for much more than the fee if that had happened.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by epakai on Saturday November 05, 2022 @03:14AM (#33478778)
This was not an option with a publicly owned company. For the board members to walk away from this offer would have breached their fiduciary duty. They certainly benefitted as did everyone else with stock.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by Someone1234 on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:57AM (#33468793)
Interesting that the conversation then turns into using Return-To-Office as a strategy for voluntary departures ("20%").
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by dan-robertson on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:13PM (#33469089)
I think the employees are pretty expensive to keep, even compared to other tech companies. Twitter now has a lot of debt to service from the acquisition and I think the employees now get cash instead of RSUs (paid based on the acquisition price) whereas employees at other tech companies have effectively seen comp decrease as the stock prices went down.

So there might be some philosophical attempt to reduce headcount. There might also be some attempt to hire more later and at a lower price (or at least one that isn’t artificially high).

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by tdeck on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:25PM (#33469337)
This is a great point. Employees at Twitter may be vesting RSUs that need to be converted at Elon's inflated purchase price. Even laying off those people today and rehiring all of them tomorrow would save the company a boatload of money.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by gopuck16 on Friday November 04, 2022 @12:24PM (#33469301)
How were you able to include/exclude the contractors, apple also has large number of CW that you are excluding so these numbers are bogus imo.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by NikolaNovak on Friday November 04, 2022 @01:17PM (#33470301)
This is an ignorant question: to what extent is it relevant that a hardware company like Apple effectively employs/contracts services of e.g. Foxconn to the tune of probably a million employees?

It feel a little bit misleading to take a look at company in isolation, as different companies have different dependencies and depths of integration.

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by nequo on Friday November 04, 2022 @06:24PM (#33474766)
Great point. Revenue reflects the value added of the entire supply chain, not just Apple's. EBITDA/employee instead of revenue/employee would be a more appropriate measure. GP's numbers revised:

  Twitter EBITDA per employee: $211mn / 8k employees = $26k per employee
  
  Google (Alphabet) EBITDA per employee: $93.7bn / 135k employees = $694k per employee
  
  Apple EBITDA per employee: $130.5bn / 154k employees = $847k per employee
  
  Twitter EBITDA per employee if 3k instead of 8k: $211mn / 3k employees = $70k per employee
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by madeofpalk on Friday November 04, 2022 @08:18PM (#33476096)
Apple's a funny one when it comes to staff numbers as well - they operate over 500 stores around the world, so their employee count is somewhat "boosted" by that.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by antipaul on Friday November 04, 2022 @09:06PM (#33476542)
Those threads are gold!

“Maybe we don't talk twitter on twitter”

“Satya: Thx for the chat. Will stay in touch. And will for sure follow-up on Teams feedback!”

“jack [presumably Dorsey]: I'm off the twitter board mid May and then completely out of company. I intend to do this work and fix our mistakes. Twitter started as a protocol. It should have never been a company. That was the original sin.”

Larry [Ellison; Oracle] I agree that it has huge potential... and it would be lots of fun Elon: Absolutely:) [2022-04-26] Larry: Since you think I should come in for at least $2B... I'm in for $2B

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by anon400232 on Friday November 04, 2022 @11:08PM (#33477429)
Ok, what if Twitter was a protocol instead of a centralized operation run by a company? (Is this what Jack was getting at?)

The implications would be many -- and I'm skeptical scalability and the user experience would be comparable. Any good writings on this?

Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by PestoDiRucola on Saturday November 05, 2022 @06:38AM (#33480095)
Most importantly, why would it be better as a protocol? Twitter's "problems" are social and not technological.
Re:Twitter’s mass layoffs have begun by runarberg on Saturday November 05, 2022 @01:01AM (#33478131)
So what you are saying is, these people are playing the game Who can extract the most money from your workers? How awefull