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Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by samwillis on Sunday March 27, 2022 @11:26AM (#30820957)
Ultimately I think it’s because the internet is just too big! Google were only able to do it because they had the right algorithm early in the age of the internet. They were then able to grow with it to achieve the scale required. Starting from scratch now on a general internet search engine would be close to impossible without 10s, if not 100s, billions of investment. And you would need that to build the index before even beginning to be competitive. No one is making bets that big on search, especially when the online advertising industry (which is the only way to fund it currently) is in danger of massive regulation.

I think there is massive opportunity for domain specific search engines though, imagine a search engine specifically designed for software engineers and developers, or one for academic research (not just papers but all online scientific content, news and discussion), or one targeting the arts. I think it’s these verticals that could be incredible.

You then potentially move towards a building “meta” search engines (if your are older than about 35 you will remember these) that work out what you are searching for and uses a domain specific engine.

Edit:

Just to add to this, people who say that “decentralised” search engines are the only way to compete with Google are not completely wrong, it’s just that it’s not about protocols and distributed indexes. It’s about a community of smaller search engines working within specific domains and collaborating (commercially) on meta search engines, prompting people to search on each others engines if it would be better for that search.

We almost need an “Open Search Co-Op” which smaller search engines can join to share technology and refers users to each other.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by hn_throwaway_99 on Sunday March 27, 2022 @11:43AM (#30821115)
I think your post is key. I would be interested in anyone posting what they think is an economically viable path to challenging Google. Pretty much the one company that has done it at scale (Microsoft) isn't exactly eating Google's lunch (though I think there are a few areas that Bing is better).

It would just take at astronomical amount of capital to challenge Google at generic Internet search, and the few organizations with that capital are pretty clear they don't think it's a good bet. For example, Amazon is quite content just being the place you want to go to first for the things you want to buy, as that is obviously the most lucrative area.

Even in niche areas, I think it's still an enormous task to challenge Google. Despite the fact that 90% of my searches for "WTF does this stacktrace mean?" end up on StackOverflow, I invariably start my search on Google because every now and then it gives me useful non-StackOverflow tidbits, and I know I can always drill in more with specific tags on StackOverflow later.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by ryandrake on Sunday March 27, 2022 @11:51AM (#30821202)
> Even in niche areas, I think it's still an enormous task to challenge Google. Despite the fact that 90% of my searches for "WTF does this stacktrace mean?" end up on StackOverflow, I invariably start my search on Google because every now and then it gives me useful non-StackOverflow tidbits, and I know I can always drill in more with specific tags on StackOverflow later.

It's telling, that a Google search scoped to a particular web site (xyz site:website.com) almost always produces better results than that web site's actual built-in search engine. If a web site that knows in detail its own content, its own users, and its own domain, still can't make their built-in search better, how does anyone else have a chance?

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by mbrameld on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:02PM (#30821299)
I don't think the fact that the web site owner hasn't implemented better search than Google for their site is evidence that they can't do it, simply that they haven't.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by tetris11 on Monday March 28, 2022 @08:37AM (#30829850)
This entirely. Big companies grow complacent. Which to me, in time, equates to Google's timely downfall.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by mbg721 on Monday March 28, 2022 @08:41AM (#30829884)
No empire lasts forever; when was the last time you went to Sears?
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by native_samples on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:34PM (#30821585)
Google knows about external inbound links, so has more data on which to rank your pages than you do.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by IMSAI8080 on Sunday March 27, 2022 @04:05PM (#30823574)
I think the most important data that is difficult to obtain is a history of which links people click on for each search query term. I think that's really the special sauce that Google has that others do not. There is a catch-22 where you need a lot of users to get the data but you can't get the users without the data. Initially Google pulled ahead with inbound link counting, but anyone can clone that. It's the click data that's missing.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by 6510 on Monday March 28, 2022 @03:19PM (#30834445)
hah, that one is easy. People click the one at the top the most, then nr 2, after that nr 3, etc you see the pattern?

Google was epic when it started but quickly ended up indexing it self in a near closed loop. Everyone else was not important, it was all about the picture in front of them that was really just a mirror. Everyone stopped making home pages, forums and weblogs because it just doesn't make sense to do it.

Shit, people looking to buy something talking among their own before doing the purchase? KILL IT WITH FIRE!

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by hattmall on Sunday March 27, 2022 @02:11PM (#30822520)
Assuming someone has ever used that link you should have that data as well and with potentially even more relevance than google because you can see which pages are most often visited through external links.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by cupofpython on Tuesday March 29, 2022 @05:23PM (#30848557)
my take is that the big bottleneck in search is not the index or the search but in understanding what it is the user is searching for in the first place.

that becomes a big can of worms very quickly, and starts to put into perspective some of googles other most successful verticals: NLP, Translation, Maps ("Near me"). Of course a lot of the verticals are also a generic means to get value out of all the server resources and experts required to operate the engine and then additional related branches to those verticals (email -> drive -> docs)

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by xhrpost on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:28PM (#30821535)
I guess the motivation is low as I frequently have to do this it seems.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by jtolmar on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:28PM (#30821539)
> I would be interested in anyone posting what they think is an economically viable path to challenging Google.

You only search whitelisted sites, which removes a lot of the SEO and blogspam from the results, and makes the index is wildly smaller. Search is free, but users can also pay a cheap subscription for the ability to flag sites as spammy, submit sites they think are missing, and submit queries the site has trouble with. Someone manually goes through the top N most-repeated submissions each day (early on this is all of them) and determines whether to tweak the whitelist.

Because your initial audience has to be people who are very enthusiastic about better search results, you should identify what they're interested in and focus your efforts on initial whitelists to things they care about. That might be technical questions (MDN StackOverflow, every random framework's docs site), or maybe whatever it is journalists would want to have access to (I'm not qualified to answer).

I don't think VC-encouraged hypergrowth is possible with the above strategy, but you could probably get to ramen profitable in a reasonable time frame, with slow growth ever after.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by bsder on Sunday March 27, 2022 @05:03PM (#30824118)
> I don't think VC-encouraged hypergrowth is possible with the above strategy, but you could probably get to ramen profitable in a reasonable time frame, with slow growth ever after.

The fate of runnaroo seems to provide evidence to the contrary.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by akrymski on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:00PM (#30821266)
Surely the only viable path to challenging Google is to own the web browser. Most users will use the default search engine.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by Gunax on Sunday March 27, 2022 @02:19PM (#30822607)
I would have thought this back in 2005, but eventually IE did fall. If users eventually dropped IE, why can't they also learn about Kagi or DDG or bing?
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by throwaway1777 on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:27PM (#30821534)
I don’t know about “only” path but not sure why this is downvoted as it’s a valid point of view.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by jasode on Sunday March 27, 2022 @11:58AM (#30821247)
>It would just take at astronomical amount of capital to challenge Google at generic Internet search, [...] For example, Amazon is quite content just being the place you want to go to first for the things you want to buy, as that is obviously the most lucrative area.

I understand your intent with that domain-specific example but surprisingly, that reasonable intuition sometimes doesn't work...

E.g. for Amazon product search, I often deliberately use Google's engine to find the Amazon page because Amazon's own search can't do it. See example screenshots in my previous comment about that: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27539199

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by avazhi on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:35PM (#30821596)
"though I think there are a few areas that Bing is better"

Curious what you think these are. I prefer Bing's UI to Google's but aside from that Bing is (IMO) a dumpster fire that quite literally makes me feel negligent (towards myself) when I use it - am I missing something?

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by hn_throwaway_99 on Sunday March 27, 2022 @03:32PM (#30823292)
Porn, in particular, but surprisingly I find that video search in general is better in Bing. Surprising because most of those video searches end up on YouTube, yet I seem to get better/higher quality results when I search on Bing than I do when on Google or YouTube.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by 2OEH8eoCRo0 on Sunday March 27, 2022 @03:02PM (#30823018)
Would there be a way to crowdsource the web crawling effort? Crawling@Home? I think that even with this you'd need a legal department to deal with takedown requests and illegal material.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by temp8964 on Sunday March 27, 2022 @11:51AM (#30821204)
You do have a point. However, the internet today is very different from its early days. Its content is much more centralized.

In the past, Google search results will point to some good websites you never heard of and are very low traffic. But nowadays, the first couple pages are all popular websites with huge traffic even when they are low quality on the content. You can only find low traffic but good content websites in comments from social sites like reddit and HN.

So it seems to me, to build a usable search engine, you only need to index most popular websites.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by tmsh on Sunday March 27, 2022 @02:09PM (#30822498)
> Ultimately I think it’s because the internet is just too big!

I would disagree actually. I think the majority of searches people do and the solutions they would be satisfied with require only indexing major sites. Create a better UX attached to PageRank of the top 10-100k+ Alexa ranked sites and you'd have a competitor that could focus on other improvements.

At the bottom you could search Google or DDG if you want more niche results.

I.e., optimizing UX of the p90 searches would be enough for people to move and the p90 of searches are happy with a pretty narrow range of sites. (You could insert value prop of: no ads, no tracking, and crowd-sourced refinement -- i.e., realtime upvote/downvoting -- of the top results, previews, caching, more knowledge graph stuff on the right side, deeper metadata processing of top sites (i.e., avoiding the need to 'site:*'), or some other revolutionary UX like a one sentence hypothesis solution of exactly what the person is asking for again upvoted/downvoted for refinement -- Google does this but there is a lot of room for improvement). It's fun to think about. There is an order of magnitude in both precision and accuracy that can be improved for huge swaths of common questions people ask on Google.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by DesiLurker on Sunday March 27, 2022 @01:06PM (#30821876)
So basically google is the MLS listings of the web now. Sounds like a job for regulators to step in for both the problems.

Agree we need a coop of search engines, but I'll add that probably an org like mozilla is best suited for it, that way it can stay non-profit and recycle any profits back into R&D. personally I believe most of these solid business plan companies can be replaced by a simpler open-source version as IMO a lot of their energy is spend in securing revenue lines & profits.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by eternityforest on Monday March 28, 2022 @04:45AM (#30828546)
I suspect Mozilla would penalize sites that track you, which is most sites, which would cause people to not use it and go back to Google when it wasn't showing them what they expected.

Mozilla is probably in the best position to do it, I'm just not sure they actually would do it in a way that appealed to consumers.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by epicureanideal on Sunday March 27, 2022 @01:37PM (#30822191)
Maybe a search engine for niches, where the mid-sized contributors to those niches may even pay something to support the search engine? And new people contributing sites to those niches could pay some small fee to be listed (maybe under certain conditions or after 1 year free) and would be "elected" into the search results by a random selection of others in the niche? Where the interests of the group are aligned because they all want more people to use the search engine to find them, so they are incentivized to grow the amount of quality content available.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by MR4D on Monday March 28, 2022 @10:34AM (#30830900)
> Ultimately I think it’s because the internet is just too big!

This doesn't address why MSFT can't compete with Google. If you solve that problem, then you really get to the heart of the solution.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by kevin_thibedeau on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:18PM (#30821463)
There is an opportunity for niche applications. I would like a search engine that only indexes discussion forums. These are hard to surface on the SEO driven major search providers.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by notreallyserio on Sunday March 27, 2022 @12:56PM (#30821789)
Kagi is working on this with its "lens" feature. I think it works pretty dang well. Most results I get when using the discussions lens come from Reddit, but you can block or reduce the ranking of sites, making this less of an issue, if it is even an issue for you. I suggest trying it out and joining their discord to share feedback (they're responsive).
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by freediver on Monday March 28, 2022 @06:07PM (#30836225)
> No one is making bets that big on search, especially when the online advertising industry (which is the only way to fund it currently) is in danger of massive regulation.

Isn't this exactly the reason why one should do it, as Google is the essence of the online advertising industry and this very regulation could threaten its existence?

>I think there is massive opportunity for domain specific search engines though

Challenge with niche search engine is discoverability. Imagine you had 10 of the greatest vertical search engines available today - how do you remember which one to use and how? The beauty of a general web search is that it is an easy to remember entry point to all of what is out there.

> You then potentially move towards a building “meta” search engines

Ever wondered why is this called meta search engine, and an email software that connects to multiple email servers is called email client and not "meta email". "Search engine client" sounds like a more appropriate name.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by asperous on Sunday March 27, 2022 @02:00PM (#30822408)
I think are right but not because of the size of the internet. Although the web has grown, the cost of computing and bandwidth has decreased and there’s a lot of open tools, technologies, and open datasets like YaCy and Common Crawl. The data you would want to index is a tiny fraction of the total internet.

The challenge comes from the massive investments in turning that data into a good search engine and cutting through spam. That is the investment I think Google has scaled over time. Secondly, mind share; the moat Google has is immense, although I think DuckDuckGo and Bing has shown given enough time it is possible to get mindshare slowly; though if anything this demonstrates the challenge.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by nobodyandproud on Sunday March 27, 2022 @01:12PM (#30821930)
Another way is to add search for walled gardens: The most common by far are corporate documents and datastores.

It’s also a harder problem to solve than Google’s algorithm.

After two decades Microsoft seems to have brought in support, but they left the hard part to others.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by stingraycharles on Sunday March 27, 2022 @01:16PM (#30821966)
Isn’t Algolia pretty much eating this market?

They seem to be very dominant on the problem of “here’s my dataset, please provide me with an api / interface to search it”

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by csa on Sunday March 27, 2022 @02:10PM (#30822509)
Maybe?

When searching for something on HN, I get much better results using Google and site: rather than using the embedded algolia search.

I would have to think that this would be true of a corporate data set as well.

Their api might be what sets them apart, though. I’m not sure… not in that space.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by belter on Sunday March 27, 2022 @11:44AM (#30821127)
Could not agree more. Not only that, would be willing to pay, for a domain specific, high quality, ad free search engine. In the same range of prices of a Netflix or Amazon Prime subscription.
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by brentadamson on Sunday March 27, 2022 @01:47PM (#30822283)
`We almost need an “Open Search Co-Op” which smaller search engines can join to share technology and refers users to each other.`

Can you elaborate?

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by samwillis on Sunday March 27, 2022 @02:03PM (#30822435)
Something like a cooperative where companies become the franchisee owner for a specific search vertical. They could get access to technology, software and knowledge, but the costs of infrastructure would be the responsibility of the member. As well as having their own “front page”, website and branding there would then be a “meta” search engine that intelligently searches the franchisees search engines based on the query.

If someone searches for something on one engine and it doesn’t have the results the “meta” search engine could be checked and direct the user to another engine that would better fit their query.

Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by brentadamson on Sunday March 27, 2022 @08:47PM (#30825751)
To clarify, if I search for "Bob Marley" what would happen?
Re:Ask HN: Why isn't there a Google competitor emerging? by Spooky23 on Sunday March 27, 2022 @03:09PM (#30823071)
The internet is big, but information has shrunk. Content has been slurped into walled gardens.