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Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by JaimeThompson on Thursday February 17, 2022 @06:12PM (#30380023)
I think Gwynne Shotwell is the rather unsung hero keeping SpaceX running correctly day by day.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gwynne_Shotwell

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by panick21_ on Friday February 18, 2022 @10:15AM (#30386750)
She is not really unsong at all. She is very, very recognized in the industry and everybody that is seriously interested in space travel knows here. She has been on my list of influential woman and given many talks and speeches all over the place.

Of course she is not Musk famous, but nobody is.

People who hate Musk sometimes try to claim all SpaceX is because of her. That is certainty wrong and she herself would not agree to that. But she is certainty amazing at what she does and starting out doing sales she increased here power and responsibility over the years until she was the clear 2nd in command.

She allows Musk to focus on the new development, innovation and strategy.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by JaimeThompson on Friday February 18, 2022 @11:18AM (#30387628)
It's most strange to me, and I am not saying this applies to you, that one can have legit concerns about Musk and they are simply dismissed as "hate" by so many.

Why some refuse to hold him responsible for his statements is just weird.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by xeromal on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:57PM (#30390994)
I assume it's because the conversation is pretty tired at this point. Post anything musk related on reddit and maybe HN and you'll get comments about Musk calling that diver a pedo, musk got his wealth from his dad's mines, musk having aspergers, or that musk can do nothing wrong.

We've all seen it a thousand times and I'd rather just read about what SpaceX/Tesla/Musk is doing currently than past shit.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by panick21_ on Saturday February 19, 2022 @12:20PM (#30398685)
The reason is that there exits a large anti-Musk crowd and the ledge on to any even remotely disparaging thing about Musk. And the Shotwell is the real hero very, very often gets used by people who are known to act like that.

When somebody else brings it up, out of genuine believe that she should get more exposure, its easy to throw those groups into the same crowd.

I have very deliberately tried not to do that. Shotwell should get a lot of exposure and a lot of credit.

> Why some refuse to hold him responsible for his statements is just weird.

I don't think most people actually do that. Sure its exists and there are very vocal people out there who do that.

However in general, most people don't agree with some of the things he said or does. On the other hand, I also don't think some of those statements make him the literal devil who should be in prison or even killed is a statement that is often actually made.

Musk is certainty a flawed human, and I have many criticism of him and his companies and his conduct. However, online I am far more often defending him because most of the attacks are not actually well informed and spout the same misinformation in the same over the top way.

Where people just flat out wrote their own history of events and then argue it was the truth.

Hyperloop is a good example. Musk said he would make an idea public, but he wouldn't work on it. That was his position from the beginning. However now when this is brought online people act like he promised Tesla would build a Hyperloop between LA and SF in a year or something like that. Or they just point to companies like 'Hyperloop One' and act as if Musk had anything to do with them.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by borkyborkbork on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:26PM (#30390001)
What statements are you wanting to hold him responsible for?
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by JaimeThompson on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:01PM (#30390355)
Any statement that history has shown keeps being repeated with very little factual support to back it up. His comments on FSD come to mind as do some of his comments about how far along Tesla is on various products.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by JaimeThompson on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:14PM (#30390471)
I agree. I was speaking in her role in keeping orgs like the NRO and DOD happy when Musk smokes a blunt on camera and other such things.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by copperx on Friday February 18, 2022 @12:42AM (#30382497)
Is Shotwell a real last name? Seems too appropriate.
[dead]
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by trixie_ on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:13AM (#30382959)
You win the sour grapes award. Amazing how Tesla is worth a trillion and SpaceX over a hundred billion now, but it's all just a trick right? Each company conning investors for almost 20 years now. Look at all the things they haven't accomplished.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by ohgodplsno on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:40AM (#30383443)
Tricking investors isn't exactly a high bar to clear either. But sure, you go on ahead and keep telling yourself that Tesla is worth more than the entire, combined auto industry when they can't even make cars with proper joints and door alignments.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by thrwawy283 on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:48AM (#30383488)
We tend to think investors love to chase clouds. These ideas have existed for a long time, and making them a reality - of course - isn't easy. I tend to believe an investor is looking at how good a company can sell the idea to consumers, even if the tech isn't there yet. The company tricks the consumer - not the investor. People buy the half-finished tech, the company appreciates in value, and the investor very likely planned for this. Maybe the investor is more interested in snake oil than full self-driving automation.

There are stupid investors out there, but they won't be investors for long.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by ohgodplsno on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:59AM (#30383565)
>There are stupid investors out there, but they won't be investors for long.

Softbank seemingly hasn't ran out of money, despite making about the worst investments anyone can have done. The people who don't last long are you or I, people who can put 10k max. The large investors have more money than sense, and can afford to do so.

> The company tricks the consumer - not the investor.

If I give you the money to commit a crime, I am partly responsible for the crime. I don't know why, in your mind, investors should be treated differently, aside from hoping that you'll one day be the one that invests into a company and make loads of money tricking people.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by signatoremo on Friday February 18, 2022 @08:13AM (#30385273)
> Softbank seemingly hasn't ran out of money, despite making about the worst investments anyone can have done.

Classic armchair expert. It’s amusing that when they made a fortune with Alibaba many people here dismissed it as luck, and yet when they lost money they became the worst investors ever.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by ohgodplsno on Friday February 18, 2022 @09:18AM (#30385922)
That's not the point. Softbank has been bleeding money for years, pissing it off on some of the worst possible investments. You know what's happened to them ?

Fuck all, because they simply have so much money that they don't really give a damn.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by boppo1 on Friday February 18, 2022 @07:32AM (#30384921)
>There are stupid investors out there, but they won't be investors for long.

Not if the federal reserve has anything to say about it! Apparently that'll be changing soon, but the last 15 years or so was all about subsidizing stupid investors.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by freemint on Friday February 18, 2022 @07:05AM (#30384672)
Solar roof tile shingles are a real technology. And unlike Telsa Solar, which mostly buys it's cells from China, market leaders (in terms of technology) like Meyer-Burgers will present similar products this year. https://www.pv-magazine.com/2021/07/29/meyer-burger-plans-to... those will be able to be installed by any roofer and are compliant with German safety standards and are much more robust then Tesla Solars models.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by Cpoll on Friday February 18, 2022 @01:22AM (#30382688)
According to wiki, though:

> Shotwell is married to Robert Shotwell, an engineer at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by demadog on Friday February 18, 2022 @01:17AM (#30382660)
The hardest part is selling a compelling vision that connect with people and motivates a whole new generation, not to mention investors and the gov to invest.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by kisstheblade on Friday February 18, 2022 @01:26AM (#30382714)
Yes. See Theranos.

There has to be some sensible ratio of bullshit/vision.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by leobg on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:39AM (#30383117)
Sound very much like the argument that you shouldn’t trust vegetarians because Hitler was one.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by mlindner on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:06AM (#30383267)
I come to hacker news to get away from trolls like you.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by ProAm on Thursday February 17, 2022 @06:16PM (#30380057)
The sheer fact she has put up with Elon this long is nothing short of amazing.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by grecy on Thursday February 17, 2022 @06:28PM (#30380162)
One of my favourite passages in the SpaceX book is from Gwen after working with Elon for a couple of weeks.

She worked really hard on a proposal about how they would go about selling the Falcon rocket to potential customers. Elon took one look and said "That's great. I don't want you to write reports and proposals, I want you to do it.".

My god, I would give anything for a boss like that.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by redindian75 on Thursday February 17, 2022 @06:48PM (#30380363)
which book is this? There are so many SpaceX/Musk books, would love to read a good/definitive one
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by mlindner on Thursday February 17, 2022 @07:05PM (#30380550)
https://www.amazon.com/Liftoff-Desperate-Early-Launched-Spac...

The book is titled Liftoff. It's the best SpaceX book there is and is very accurate involving many interviews with early employees. Musk is in the book but he's not featured majorly. It's mostly about all the employees who worked on the early rockets.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by Robotbeat on Thursday February 17, 2022 @08:02PM (#30380982)
Yup. And the biography by Ashlee Vance is also pretty good (I consider it definitive although it’s several years old, now). One nice thing about Liftoff is it's mostly about the other employees, most of whom we haven't heard much from publicly (although people who have followed SpaceX closely will recognize some of the names like Mueller and Shotwell).
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by taf2 on Thursday February 17, 2022 @07:40PM (#30380856)
Come work with me ;)
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by giantrobot on Thursday February 17, 2022 @06:55PM (#30380437)
> My god, I would give anything for a boss like that.

You probably wouldn't. A boss that won't give explicit approval for aspects of a project is going to throw you under the bus at the first opportunity. They're not going to take any responsibility if you miss a target. They will however take all the credit for your success.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by wildzzz on Thursday February 17, 2022 @08:38PM (#30381175)
I don't think I'd be that much into a boss that at least isn't a little curious about the planned strategy for breaking into a very small, tight-knit, expensive market. Like I guess the only time this would make sense is if the boss had absolutely no clue how to market their product and specifically hired me to figure it out. I could see how my boss doesn't really care about how it's done because he knows he's already clueless about it anyway. But even if he doesn't really care, he should still be aware as that is kind of the job of a boss. You don't need to know all the fine details but you should be able to explain to someone else what your underling is doing and how.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by mlindner on Thursday February 17, 2022 @06:19PM (#30380091)
Because she obviously likes working with him. https://www.wired.com/story/how-elon-musk-gwynne-shotwell-jo...
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by cma on Thursday February 17, 2022 @09:52PM (#30381605)
This from her seemed dangerously like fraud:

https://www.ted.com/talks/gwynne_shotwell_spacex_s_plan_to_f...

Passenger service by 2028 on starship for between an economy and business class ticket.

A couple years later they confirmed they were still going for the same timeline.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by irjustin on Thursday February 17, 2022 @11:19PM (#30382096)
> This from her seemed dangerously like fraud

Pretty heavy statement. Which part is the fraud? The timeline or the ability?

I think it's fair to say far-fetched, but the label fraud or even "sounding like fraud" sounds too heavy.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by masswerk on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:40AM (#30383121)
Maybe that the system requires starts at sea because of destructive noise levels, but most of the destinations listed in the video are either land-locked or don't have that kind of access to free coast lines? You can argue future technicalities, but not geography.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by mlindner on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:09AM (#30383283)
The person thinks it's fraud because they watched videos by a propagandist who goes by the name "common sense skeptic" who makes videos that sound a lot like the people who make videos about flat earth. I say this as they quote all the same talking points of that person.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by masswerk on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:25AM (#30383372)
Honestly, I don't know what to think of a CEO, who publicly puts her authority behind a video suggesting that doing anything off the open coast line of Zürich may be a viable business proposition. (It's a bit like selling a technology driven by the glaciers of New Mexico.)
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by borkyborkbork on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:29PM (#30390039)
Almost like someone who would think that they could do something that whole countries haven't been able to do in 60+ years?
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by masswerk on Friday February 18, 2022 @07:34PM (#30393194)
I may be able to get my hands on a rare Swiss seaside property. Interested? ;-)
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by TaylorAlexander on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:00AM (#30383231)
Giving a talk in 2018 to say their new product might be ready in 2028 is maybe too hopeful, but that's not what fraud is.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by runnerup on Friday February 18, 2022 @12:23AM (#30382423)
I'm not a fan of Elon Musk. I can absolutely see regular passenger service on Starship by 2028. Obviously that's a very aspirational price-point but I don't see how even a strict ruling on fraud would uphold that charge.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by kisstheblade on Friday February 18, 2022 @01:36AM (#30382780)
Really? In 5 years ROCKETS will be as safe as airplanes? And as cheap? And possible to fly over cities etc (talking about Shotwells promises here)? You really think this?
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by sjtindell on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:34AM (#30383073)
I hate framing it this way but your passionate hating has me doing it - do you build rockets? Or cars? What exactly do you do that gives you such certainty in bringing down these people who have already achieved so much? Their "dream big" mentality is sorely lacking in a society full of cynical, dead eyed and uncreative drones focused on nothing but financing their own survival or excesses. Applaud it, don't try to bring it down. There's literally no point. At a minimum they inspire others to get out there and get after it tackling problems.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by uxcolumbo on Friday February 18, 2022 @06:30AM (#30384461)
The real problem with Musk is that he seems to be a narcissist and a good hypeman.

His achievements are that he invested in the right companies and then he ousted the original visionaries / founders... and finally claiming he is the founder... see Tesla.

Also a real leader usually gives credit where credit is due. Not once have I seen where Musk has credited his team.

And don't get me started with how he's calling a rescue diver a pedo, because his idea of his rescue submarine was rejected. Fragile ego is a dangerous thing.

He wants to be seen as a real life Tony Stark. It's more about him, not really about moving humanity forward, that's just a side effect.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by md2020 on Friday February 18, 2022 @11:29AM (#30387774)
From what I can tell Musk is literally a founder of SpaceX. I know he was a dick to the founders of Tesla, and he deserves shit for that, but it is a fact that Tesla has come very far since then under his leadership, and any claim that the founders would have done better is pure speculation. And of course the teams at these companies deserve credit, which he consistently admits. People who are obsessed with tearing down Tesla/SpaceX are often inconsistent in that any good thing these companies do cannot be attributed at all to Elon, because “he’s just a grifter hypeman, the team/other founders deserve the credit”, but any bad press they get is somehow entirely Elon’s fault. The truth is just that he’s partially responsible for all the good and the bad.

From accounts of people who have actually worked with him, he’s a legitimately smart guy with a laser focus on executing, albeit a micromanager. All the people I’ve seen saying he’s just some idiot MBA type who doesn’t actually believe what he’s selling are random media personalities and pundits. I can’t claim to know which is true, but one is certainly more credible than the other.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by uxcolumbo on Friday February 18, 2022 @12:47PM (#30388781)
Good points. I was only talking about Tesla.

What I was trying to get across is that a founder's own value system and motivations of why a founder is doing a thing are an important factor for the longevity of a company.

To me it appears that Musk is only in it for himself and his legacy. Eventually this will become more apparent and the loyalty and followership he's enjoying will drop.

He's more of a hypeman than a true visionary.

See how he hyped up his other ventures... solar city, self-driving cars you can make money with, electric trucks, hyperloop, etc... still waiting for that self-driving car which should be available 'next year' and that was in 2018 or something.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by borkyborkbork on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:34PM (#30390098)
Is there a way to save comments so I can come back and laugh at them when I'm feeling down?
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by uxcolumbo on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:45PM (#30390208)
Just hit on the upvote button and then you can find them in your upvoted comments list ;)
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by inglor_cz on Friday February 18, 2022 @07:36AM (#30384958)
Both can be true at the same time.

He has a fragile ego and weird behavior on the social networks. At the same time, SpaceX is by far the most successful of all the space startups that have emerged in this century. Most of its competitors are not even unsuccessful, but outright dead. Blue Origin, financed by Bezos, hasn't yet managed to reach the orbit after 22 years of operation.

Yes, it is possible that random forces of luck selected SpaceX for a string of successes. But I think it is deeper than that. Musk has an ability to attract engineering talent and give it enough leeway so that interesting concepts may emerge. Shotwell has an ability to keep the company financially sound and on track.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by cma on Friday February 18, 2022 @12:19PM (#30388436)
SpaceX is in big part successful through what looks like corrupt self-dealing and fraud. They bailed out SolarCity with NASA funded bonds and then instead of taking the L when SolarCity was to go bankrupt, Tesla bailed them out with a fake demo of non-functionable solar shingles followed by an acquisition.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by CryptoPunk on Friday February 18, 2022 @12:35PM (#30388613)
SpaceX has delivered fundamental breakthroughs in commercial space launch. Any analysis of the company that omits this is extremely disingenuous and makes me suspect ignoble motivations behind the critique.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by cma on Friday February 18, 2022 @06:20PM (#30392530)
If Theranos had a breakthrough other parts could still have been fraud.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by jstream67 on Friday February 18, 2022 @09:26AM (#30386045)
he credits his team in every speech he gives, and thanks the team constantly on twitter.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by adampk on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:50PM (#30390251)
Thank you! Push back against the tide of unrelenting cynicism :)
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by hparadiz on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:41AM (#30383123)
You should actually watch the presentation. All these questions are answered.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by CryptoPunk on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:30AM (#30383044)
*reusable rockets. Rocket launches are associated with very high costs because rockets have historically been one-time use.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by alpaca128 on Friday February 18, 2022 @05:43AM (#30384198)
Reusable rockets aren't coincidentally many orders of magnitude safer though. They would need to be just to come even with airplanes. It would also involve acceleration forces far beyond anything a normal passenger would accept. I'd be glad to be wrong, but I have yet to see an analysis that actually does the math and doesn't result in something along the lines of "this concept is insane and doomed to fail". Spaceship would probably make a good spaceship. But using it for quick flights between cities is less realistic than airlines reviving the Concorde.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by inglor_cz on Friday February 18, 2022 @07:38AM (#30384973)
" They would need to be just to come even with airplanes."

Airplanes of the 1950s or airplanes of the 2020s? That is a huge difference.

It took the aviation industry 120 years to arrive at current levels of safety.

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by CryptoPunk on Wednesday February 23, 2022 @03:24AM (#30438931)
Very true. Though the high costs historically associated with rocket launches have precluded the kind of scale needed to achieve extreme safety. This will change if SpaceX succeeds with Starship, though of course it will take a long time to iterate enough on safety to achieve the extremely high standard seen in aviation, or at least as high of a standard as is possible with rocket transportation, and then establish a long enough track record that consumers can trust it.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by codesnik on Friday February 18, 2022 @02:38AM (#30383106)
I'm just a bit of a fan of Elon Musk. It won't happen by 2028 of course. Price isn't a problem at all at scale, but regulatory pressure will be. If a cargo point-to-point flight will happen, it already will be something, but I don't know of any cargo, military included, that requires such a speed.
Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by beambot on Friday February 18, 2022 @03:55AM (#30383530)
You can't think of any military use for 100 tons of cargo delivered anywhere in the world in 45min? Lats a pretty acute lack of imagination. DoD is already funding it too:

https://www.cnet.com/news/spacex-signs-a-deal-to-rocket-mili...

Re:SpaceX’s monstrous, dirt-cheap Starship may transform spa... by ethbr0 on Friday February 18, 2022 @10:32AM (#30387021)
At the minimum: fuel.

In 1940, the French lost half their strongest armored formations, and subsequently their country, through an inability to supply fuel in a timely manner under combat conditions.

An F-35A is a ~$150M weapon system. An F/A-18E/F ~$60M. Both useless without fuel.