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Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by alfanick on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @05:01AM (#30344608)
My personal opinion: it will change in the same way as it changed when Russia invaded Crimean Peninsula - almost no one remembers, no one cares, it changed nothing outside of Russia/Ukraine. The world forgot.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by afarrell on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @05:29AM (#30344791)
Huh? The world did not forget. I did not forget. What leads you to say that?
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by jesterson on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @05:40AM (#30344868)
Are you suggesting that if you didn't forget - the world didn't forget as well? Isn't it a bit presumptuous?
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by afarrell on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @06:07AM (#30345036)
I'm stating two things:

1. I individually thought about if many times over the years.

2. I read or heard other people talking about it over the years.

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by tunap on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @07:01AM (#30345359)
And the world's largest natural gas wells still flow under Russian control. The world may not have forgotten, but it still stood aside & did(does) nothing.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by afarrell on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @09:56AM (#30347225)
It does more than nothing, but less than necessary to play rescuer to Ukraine.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by dookahku on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @10:35AM (#30347824)
I thought a lot about it since then, and I still think about it even before this whole crisis...

You're being overly pessimistic saying nobody cares or remembers... We just can't do anything about it so we don't talk about it

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by auxfil on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @07:06AM (#30345394)
You're putting words in other people's mouths. Are you some kind of Russian propaganda shill?
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by alfanick on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @05:44AM (#30344883)
As you can see I also remember. Not that it anyhow matters.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by afarrell on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @06:09AM (#30345046)
If people caring about you does not matter, that is a sign you're heading towards nihilism. You likely need to go for a walk and choose to do something in the direction of finding a sense of community or spiritual rejuvenation.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by marc_io on Wednesday February 16, 2022 @07:17AM (#30359050)
It does. In a small way, maybe, but it does.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by tunap on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @06:59AM (#30345347)
Just like the Russo-Georgian War of '08. Interesting coincidence, it happened while the Chinese Olympics were going on. Are we due for a repeat while all(most) eyes are on China?
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by wozer on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @01:29PM (#30350599)
Europe certainly didn't forget. Russia's reputation has suffered a lot.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by thesuperbigfrog on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @06:15AM (#30345089)
Lots of sanctions, fear, anger, and more economic troubles everywhere. Increased food and fuel costs.

Refugees flood out of Ukraine into nearby countries. Humanitarian crisis and calls for international aid / assistance.

More COVID outbreaks due to refugees and bad living conditions.

Other eastern European nations will be interested in joining NATO or some kind of security pact so the same thing does not happen to them.

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by eimrine on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @04:39AM (#30344454)
The headline is incorrect. My proposal is "How do you expect the world to change if Russia invades rest of Ukraine?"
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by RapperWhoMadeIt on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @04:55AM (#30344560)
From the rethoric you hear from EU leaders and the US president, I don't expect NATO to take any direct military action, because blowing this conflict to a full-scale war between two of the main military powers would catastrophically disrupt the global economy. Furthermore, I don't think one would find enough public support for going to war with Russia in most of those countries, which would make a sitting president willing to get directly involved, wildly unpopular.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by axiosgunnar on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @12:11PM (#30349314)
> From the rethoric you hear from EU leaders and the US president, I don't expect NATO to take any direct military action, because blowing this conflict to a full-scale war between two of the main military powers would catastrophically disrupt the global economy.

So just keep giving into the lunatic demands of a nation-state mafia?

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by mikewarot on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @11:28AM (#30348637)
Here in the US, the military industrial complex would use it to drive funding, sow fear, and keep "strong on defense" politicians in power. It also serves to distract from the abject failure of governments worldwide to properly handle Covid.

However, I have been lied to repeatedly by "news" organizations, so why not use the power of the internet to see how things really are? I did a search for live webcams based in Ukraine, and it looks to me like things there are actually quite normal. People are walking around the public squares, there are people skiing on the slopes.

Is there really anything more than political shenanigans to keep Ukraine out of NATO happening? I have reason to doubt it.

---

If there is an actual invasion, I agree with alfanick, nothing much will change.

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by mathverse on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @04:54AM (#30344552)
I think it will severely impact outsourcing to Ukraine. These people will most likely move to HCOL countries and wages will grow.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by Day1 on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @05:18AM (#30344735)
I think it will encourage China to expand its borders sooner than it already plans to
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by vmoore on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @11:23AM (#30348539)
No more chicken kievs (it's their only export)
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by NicoJuicy on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @05:17AM (#30344723)
EU will/should subsidize non gas/oil exponentially
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by jesterson on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @05:42AM (#30344875)
So you suggest people to suffer just because it may supposedly damage Russia?
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by NicoJuicy on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @06:36AM (#30345224)
I'm suggesting eu should promote more environmental friendly alternatives and be less dependant on Russia and use the current situation as one of the reasons for an extra push.

We tried being dependant and it didn't work. We're already having the downsides from it.

With the additional hope that we're pushing environmental friendly innovation in the EU.

Like it or not. Do you have a better solution? They already shot airplanes and killed eu civilians. Recurring threats to check eu war responses, killed with Plutonium on our territory and killed thousands of Ukrainians since 2014.

---

So I'm throwing a question back, since complaining is easy: "what would be the better solution according to you"?

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by jesterson on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @11:30AM (#30348677)
> We tried being dependant and it didn't work. We're already having the downsides from it.

May i know what downsides are you referring to?

> Do you have a better solution? They already shot airplanes and killed eu civilians.

Not sure who are you talking about here. Shot planes? Who shot planes? Killed eu civilians? Who? Who killed thousands of ukrainians?

> what would be the better solution according to you"?

Well, it depends on solution yo what we are looking for. Generally speaking I’d suggest EU to focus on internal issues instead of supporting colour revolutions (yeah, particularly the one happened in ukraine)

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by NicoJuicy on Tuesday February 15, 2022 @12:07PM (#30349258)
https://www.npr.org/2020/07/10/889953353/nearly-6-years-afte...

https://m.imdb.com/title/tt1038914/

Russia with an army near the border is an internal issue.

All my examples are related to internal issues and literally at our border, with a partner.

The country itselve is even literally asking for help.

And if you're not aware of the gray zone conflict since 2014 and that thousands of people got killed on Ukrainian soil because of Russia.

Then your should really start educating yourselves before your say anything further.

No "suggestion" for a "better solution", just ignorance of facts that happened/are happening.

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by jesterson on Thursday February 17, 2022 @04:26AM (#30371166)
Well, I had hoped not to live to the moment where we use movies as an argument in seemingly serious discussion.

Hopefully "Home Alone" or "Die hard" didn't shape your picture of our world.

> And if you're not aware of the gray zone conflict since 2014 and that thousands of people got killed on Ukrainian soil because of Russia.

I'd suggest you to substantiate claims like that - "because of Russia". Not everyone is a product of propaganda and readily believe in anything without any evidence.

> No "suggestion" for a "better solution", just ignorance of facts that happened/are happening.

That's would be great if you bring up facts to support your claims instead of throwing patronising phrases about education.

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by NicoJuicy on Thursday February 17, 2022 @06:42AM (#30372049)
It's a documentary... Perhaps you can learn something from it.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by jesterson on Thursday February 17, 2022 @09:20AM (#30373299)
I assume you have nothing to say regarding other questions?

As for the “documentary”, it has nearly same value as “russian invasion” scheduled on Feb 16 and perpetuated by all MSM.

Sorry, I prefer other sources of information.

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by NicoJuicy on Thursday February 17, 2022 @12:33PM (#30376011)
For those other sources of information. I should remind you about the following:

> The cheaper to produce, the cheaper to use it for propaganda.

A video documentary with witnesses, CCTV footage, interviews and people identifiable as the researchers/KGB agents, documents tracing them, ... Makes perfect sense as source of information.

Additionally, you should realize that the US releases information to deter Russian action. If it doesn't happen, the odds are in their favor that they actually succeeded ( we'll see, since they release satellite imagery regularly).

As such, Satellite imagery backed claims of US > claims of Russia.

You shouldn't fix that date as an absolute. It's a current best guess estimate. You should know this by simple logic reasoning, so I'm just stating the obvious here.

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by NicoJuicy on Friday February 18, 2022 @08:58PM (#30393734)
Fyi, everything the US mentioned is happening. Russian friendlies are being evacuated from Donetsk after buses magically appeared 10 hours ago.

False flags happened 2 hours ago. US warned for it 6 hours ago.

Removing every trade relation with Russia should be priority #1 atm.

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by jesterson on Saturday February 19, 2022 @07:21AM (#30396593)
Unless you are watching CNN - it's not "russian frendlies" who are evacuated but women and children. They are evacuated due to heavy shelling and provocations made by ukraininan army or ultra-nationalistic paramilitary groups.
Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by NicoJuicy on Saturday February 19, 2022 @03:10PM (#30400077)
It's not the Ukrainians provoking obviously.

It's literally Russians planting false flag ops. We've already been warned about this.

The Russian video convicting the Ukrainian attacks was literally made before it happened ( on the 16th of February and it happened in the 18th).

Re:Ask HN: How do you expect the world to change if Russia i... by jesterson on Monday February 21, 2022 @01:43AM (#30412597)
> It's not the Ukrainians provoking obviously.

Why obviously?

> It's literally Russians planting false flag ops. We've already been warned about this.

That's a very poor justification, isn't it?