It all seems similar to security theater after 9/11. A lot of effort and expense for little gain so somebody can say they did something.
If I isolated every time I got the sniffles or was more tired than usual I'd be home a lot..
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33015684/
Society's risk tolerances are being very inconsistent right now, and the only reason I can see is for political purposes (i.e. cover your ass).
By the way, I'm not claiming we should be more strict about any of this, but on a personal level I'd rather do my best to not infect others.
I guess what I am getting at is the dichotomy of leaders officially acting if people should test and quarantine and all that jazz, while obviously knowing that those who need to go out and work to put food on the table and funds in the retirement account will continue to do so.
Based on the stats, I would bet all I have on one of those snot nosed kids at my kids' daycare having covid right now. But I am sure many or most of the parents need to work for the cash to meet the mortgage payments or whatever their expected quality of life is.
I do agree there's a lot of hypocrisy and ass-covering going on. Even earlier in the pandemic healthcare workers were discouraged from getting tested so they wouldn't need to stay home from work. I think making tests available prevents at least some unnecessary transmission which is good enough for me.
Which, if daycares were run by the toddlers independently of adult supervision, would be a great point.
I get the initial lockdowns and period of time to figure out this new thing, but at this point in time, I do not see how people's risk profile is any different than what it was before Dec 2019.
There are virtually zero deaths attributable directly to flu by hospitals. The vast majority are imputed by estimated excess deaths.
So even by completely different and unfair metrics, covid is vastly more dangerous. If you went by that standard covid likely has claimed over a million US deaths already, compared to a few tens of thousand for flu.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
On top of that, covid has a significantly higher R0 value, which means you’re much, much more likely to come into contact with it.
That’s how you change your risk calculation: it’s the cost of getting it (probability of death or maiming) times the probability of getting it (community spread level and nasal viral shedding rate). There is no mitigating factor here wrt covid vs flu risk.
You can’t isolate if you don’t know you’re sick.
1. Things such as influenza mostly spread when the person is symptomatic.
2. Something along the lines of 50% of covid infections are from pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic people. Self isolating when you have symptoms is certainly good, but it is by no means the entire picture.