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Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by JohnJamesRambo on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @11:27AM (#29893577)
Leave it to HN engineers to hand wave away going 10x over budget and a decade late.
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by username_my1 on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @11:32AM (#29893680)
it's something that was never done before and one of the few things that will create all kind of new sciences.

Your comment is really frustrating. few people in this life can do something that was never done before, much much fewer on this scale, much much much fewer with such impact on science and humanity.

Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by dredmorbius on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @11:54AM (#29894049)
I find it interesting that planning overruns such as this seem to get pinned on implementation, rather than the planning and approval processes themselves.

The evidence is that the time and cost it took to produce JWST are what they are. That planners lowballed these estimates, or that administrators and legislators wouldn't have approved greenlighting based on accurate estimates, speak to failures in planning and administration, rather than engineering.

Much of the planning / large-project literature, which I've studied for some three decades, seems itself to be largely blind to this distinction.

As to many comments found on the Internet mirroring such viewpoints.

Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by thehappypm on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @12:29PM (#29894567)
Maybe it’s by design. A 5 year project can be greenlit by Congress, and delays forgiven.

20 year project? Dies in committee.

Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by dredmorbius on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @01:11PM (#29895274)
Nothing to show the folks back home, risk of being either primaried or challenged by the other party.

Welcome to politics.

Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by redisman on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @01:26PM (#29895508)
Hilarious criticism coming from software engineers which is never late or over budget. Even when there’s nothing actually novel in the product
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by adtac on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @01:34PM (#29895635)
I don't want to tell NASA/ESA/CSA how to operate, but I haven't heard of a single software product that launched 10 years late. Such a product would be immediately DOA because of how fast technology moves. Obviously a space telescope is literally rocket science, so it's nothing like the next popular JavaScript library, but I think NASA could adopt a little bit of the move-fast-break-things mentality. Apparently they're running Python 1.5 on the JWST ffs.

All I'm saying is there's room to improve. JWST would be a monumental success for humanity even if it launched 20 years late.

Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by qsmi on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @01:38PM (#29895694)
I can count so many I can't even decide where to begin. This being the classic:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Development_of_Duke_Nukem_Fore...

"The video game Duke Nukem Forever spent fifteen years in development, from 1996 to 2011."

Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by Okx on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @03:08PM (#29897101)
I don't think you should be risking anything when there's $5bn at stake and a single failure can cause you to lose all of it
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by baq on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @02:25PM (#29896466)
yeah most get cancelled before that time, so you don't hear about them.
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by oneoff786 on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @11:39AM (#29893809)
For one of the most complicated pieces of engineering ever achieved sure
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by onion2k on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @11:43AM (#29893872)
The initial estimate turned out to be wrong. I hand wave that sort of thing away every day.
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by jimkleiber on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @11:45AM (#29893901)
I'm curious as to why and whether some of the delay had to do with the public and lawmakers getting impatient and trying to cut it short, then actually forcing it longer, then blaming the engineers.
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by dahfizz on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @11:33AM (#29893708)
Yeah, the limited lifespan would be much less concerning if we had any reason to believe we could iterate and crank out more / better telescopes in the future.
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by jimkleiber on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @11:51AM (#29894001)
I guess I just assume they learned a lot in building this and that knowledge will transfer into new telescopes, launches, deployments, etc. Do you think they didn't learn enough by figuring this out?
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by dahfizz on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @12:54PM (#29895007)
I am not confident that whatever caused JWT to take so long will be solved for the next project. NASA by its nature does not really benefit from "scale". Every important thing they do / produce is novel.

I am sure they have learned alot from building JWT, as they certainly learned a lot from building Hubble or the space shuttle. I don't think that knowledge necessarily transfers forwards to make the next project easier.

Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by jimkleiber on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @06:27PM (#29899959)
Well, as you seem to have said, NASA doesn't seem too interested in scaling but rather in doing things that stretch the bounds. If their goal isn't to scale the previous project but to push past what people thought were possible with experiments, that seems OK to me.
Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by emptyfile on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @12:30PM (#29894585)
IIRC the companies that made the beryllium main mirror went bankrupt because the material is much more tricky then anticipated.

So you would have to do that again basically or come up with another mirror design.

Re:NASA says Webb’s excess fuel likely to extend its lifetim... by jimkleiber on Tuesday January 11, 2022 @06:30PM (#29899992)
Ah I hadn't know. That being said, perhaps one thing they learned from this is which materials they may not want to use again in the future. I dunno, I just struggle to imagine that they didn't learn a lot from this and that most of us have really any idea whether the learnings are worth $10B, $1B, $100B, etc.