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Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @11:54AM (#28381401)
Assuming it's only as effective as the original two-dose shot and prevents for the same duration, it seems like COVID will never go away. Assuming the current trend and a 9 month prevention, that pretty much aligns to what happened last year. So we'd need no new significant variants to develop or any outbreaks. Seems unlikely given that there are many countries with vaccination rates under 50%

Probably better to focus on the minimum number of vaccinations necessary to make hospitalization/death unlikely and move on from there. Preventing infection might be too high a bar to meet now.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by cm2187 on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @11:58AM (#28381470)
[edit] this is in response to the earlier version of your post where you wonder if the virus will ever go away:

That I think is a given. Even if we had a bullet proof vaccine, you have such a large reserve of unvaccinated people across the world, plus animals, that the virus is endemic at this stage.

Which isn't a problem. If once vaccinated the virus is mostly harmless, then it is just one more of the many endemic diseases we live with without worrying about.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by JackFr on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:15PM (#28381780)
I am not a virologist, but based on my reading, in 100 years COVID will still be with us. At worst it will be the flu, and at best it will be just another strain of a cold.

COVID has the very helpful quality of being least impactful on the very young. As new children are born they will be exposed to COVID multiple times over their lives, to the point when they are at ages we now consider vulnerable, they likely will have developed as much resistance as one can have.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by bsaul on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:26PM (#28381945)
"If once vaccinated the virus is mostly harmless"

Note that even not vaccinated, the ultra large majority of people either are asymptomatic or don't get anything worst than a flu (which doesn't mean covid = flu in general)

We seem to have forgotten that the original concern with the virus was the fact that it saturated intensive care units in hospitals, and thus prevented people from getting proper care.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by graeme on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:35PM (#28382084)
That’s the original acute concern. Long run we still don’t know if it will have effects on brain function etc. There are some disturbing lines of evidence on this front. For example the UK biobank showing grey matter loss post infection including in mild cases:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.11.21258690v...

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by bsaul on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:54PM (#28382389)
i remember this study, but i'm surprised we don't have more papers on the same topic since. It seemed like a pretty big news, and yet i don't hear people recommending mass-vaccination mention it.

Any idea why ?

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by graeme on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @02:00PM (#28383426)
My guess is it takes a while to do this sort of study. UK biobank was unusual in having such a large database of scans.

Vaccination should reduce the risks. But there was a nurses study that 19% of the breakthrough cases had lasting effects. So I would not expect vaccination to eliminate the risk if a breakthrough happens.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by mafuy on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:10PM (#28382633)
I recommend mass vax and this point is one of the main points I use. But I agree with you that sadly, this danger is not well known.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by 8ytecoder on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:33PM (#28382053)
Which, unfortunately, is still relevant - as seen in Louisiana and Florida. A frank and honest admission by one of the physicians on Reddit was that most people who stay in ventilator for weeks have no path to recovery but families don’t let them go. Essentially COVID patients hold up the beds for a long time as well.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by dehrmann on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:40PM (#28382182)
In places with high vaccination rates, to some extent, tracking new cases as positive test rates is fighting the last war.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by prox on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:02PM (#28381544)
We might also see the first batch of medicines appear in 2022, if we can successfully prevent ICU visits with effective medicines for starters, that would mean a lot to healthcare professionals worldwide.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by Griffinsauce on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:00PM (#28382489)
Is there any actual development here? It's definitely not a given that we can do this.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by Spellman on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:09PM (#28382628)
There actually is!

Two studies in Brazil have shown a pretty significant reduction in hospitalizations in a RCT of fluvoxamine. More data obviously required.

Plus there has been more work on other treatments, but most are pretty expensive.

https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22619137/fluvoxamine-covi...

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by prox on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @05:30PM (#28385730)
While obviously complicated, Pfizer is working on a promising medication and I know of a dutch trial using antibodies that’s starting a next phase.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by p_j_w on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:48PM (#28382290)
>Which isn't a problem. If once vaccinated the virus is mostly harmless, then it is just one more of the many endemic diseases we live with without worrying about.

It's a problem if you're one of the many people who, for whatever reason, can't be safely vaccinated.

[dead]
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by cm2187 on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:22PM (#28381883)
Not that I am qualified for such a debate, but it's not clear to me that the risk of creating variants is greater than the risk of letting the virus run through the population unopposed. The variants so far seem to be variations of the same virus with similar risk profiles, and the vaccines seem to be mostly efficient against these variants.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by loceng on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:35PM (#28382089)
For each variant we've given an alphabet to, like Delta, there are variants occurring from those - they seem to only give them a letter once it's a large enough step in mutation; I'm not sure of the actual labeling practices used.

But yes, I'm not qualified for the pinnacle of such a debate either, but those discussions aren't even happening - at least not in public which they need to be.

There are mutations that are occurring however just in vaccinated, that aren't occurring in the non-vaccinated, the virus mutating to escape the immunity of the vaccinations - which then makes those variants easier to spread to other vaccinated [and potentially easier to spread to unvaccinated as well]; UCSF recently released study of 1,300+ patients with COVID,78% had specific variants associated with vaccinated vs. 48% of unvaccinated having those same variants - various conclusions of possibilities could be made from that.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by pionar on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:04PM (#28382542)
(Replying here since your original post is dead)

It's not that nobody's talking about it, it's just that people have done the research, and they've proven people like Dr. Montagnier wrong.

Why give air to people who keep saying things that are wrong? https://twitter.com/GKangInd/status/1397429770028158978

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:14PM (#28381758)
> as effective as the original two-dose shot and prevents for the same duration

We're giving boosters of a vaccine developed against the Beta variant. That's better than nothing. But it's inefficient against Delta.

Pfizer/BioNTech are working on a Delta-specific booster [1]. If we can get approvals rolling faster without compromising safety, it might mean being able to release variant-specific boosters earlier in their transmission cycle.

[1] https://investors.biontech.de/news-releases/news-release-det...

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by eganist on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:17PM (#28381802)
> If we can get approvals rolling faster without compromising safety, it might mean being able to release variant-specific boosters earlier in their transmission cycle.

This is basically it. We'd need an approval process similar to what exists for flu shots today. I'm not versed on what that process is, but if that can happen with covid, it'll be the biggest batch of red tape cut.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by op00to on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:00PM (#28382490)
pfizer and moderna have essentially filed for rolling submissions. the biggest impediment to vaccines stopping the virus is morons not getting the vaccine.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by penultimatebro on Thursday September 02, 2021 @09:53PM (#28399623)
Yeah, dang morons not getting the not-yet-available booster shot!

I mean, those dang morons not getting the available vaccine which does nothing for transmission of the current viral variant! Eesh, well that doesn’t hold water either...

Ugh this is too complicated, let’s just blame the unvaccinated anyways mmkay?

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by makomk on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:11PM (#28382650)
The question is how useful variant-specific boosters are at this point in time, though. As I understand it there are two things working against them. Firstly, one of the main ways Delta seems to beat vaccination is by replicating more efficiency before the immune system can respond, and tailoring the vaccine more specifically to it won't really help with that. Secondly, a booster for a very similar variant might just boost the existing immune response for the previous variant rather than creating new, more specific antibodies ("original antigenic sin") - this is apparently one factor limiting the effectiveness of flu vaccines.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by op00to on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:00PM (#28382469)
As to whether the current batch of mRNA vaccines are "inefficient" against delta, the science is far from settled.

There are no changes to the mRNA vaccines composition in the booster. Moderna has been testing a lower "dosage" of the booster at 50 mcg vs. 100mcg for the current vaccine, but other than that it's the same stuff it's always been.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by smorgusofborg on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:01PM (#28381528)
A few vaccines are 3 doses at 0,1,6-12 months and offer a decade of protection if you don't miss the last dose..
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by 0-_-0 on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:12PM (#28381716)
Do they decay in a few months if you do miss the 3rd dose though?
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by didibus on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:25PM (#28381917)
My hepatitis vaccine was like that, and I delayed the last dose, and apparently they say it doesn't matter how long you delay the last one, it just can't be taken earlier.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:04PM (#28381573)
wow, wasn't aware of this development. which COVID vaccine is this? is it one of the nasal ones?
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by pradn on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:06PM (#28381607)
I think they're saying that other vaccines, not COVID vaccines, have this property. We can't assess decadal resistance yet for COVID vaccines.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:08PM (#28381651)
If so, I'm not sure how that's relevant to COVID at the present. Per the article we're discussing it's unclear how long a 3rd dose will be effective for, hence my comment to begin with.

If we were to pre-suppose you gain a decade of prevention then yeah, that'd be great.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by pradn on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:12PM (#28381723)
I think they're saying that we can hope that three shots gives long term resistance, as it happens for other vaccines. We can only hope, and it's not a totally unrealistic hope given how other vaccines work.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:14PM (#28381748)
What are these other vaccines? are the vaccinations for other coronaviruses? I'm not a biologist so I'm not seeing the connection. Is there reason to believe adding more doses would make the prevention jump from less than a year to a decade?
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by nradov on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:17PM (#28381815)
You can see the recommended vaccine schedule here. Several include 3+ doses.

https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/schedules/hcp/imz/child-adolesc...

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:21PM (#28381861)
I'm aware of the 3 dose vaccines - what I'm asking is if there's any connection between the duration and the type of vaccine and the type of underlying virus.

The flu, for example as existed longer than COVID and we do not have a "3 dose" vaccine that prevents the flu for a decade. Why would we expect this for COVID as opposed to an annual booster?

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by sfteus on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:19PM (#28381844)
HPV is a 3-dose vaccination in most cases. I believe Hep A and Hep B vaccines also have 3-dose versions, but I'm not sure if the 2 or 3 dose schedule is standard.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by aaomidi on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:12PM (#28381721)
We don't know how the protections in the current vaccines are going to play out until we investigate them more.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:28PM (#28381979)
Agreed, but we already know how 2-dose plays out with respect to Delta. The article in question is investigating how a 3rd dose fares against delta. There are also delta-specific boosters coming out soon.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by MrOrelliOReilly on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:07PM (#28381635)
I assume this is snark, but misguided if so. I believe the parent comment was simply stating there are some vaccines generally with this trait, so perhaps the covid vaccines would similarly improve from a 3rd dose
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:10PM (#28381671)
it was an honest question. what about it came across as snarky?
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by irishsultan on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:37PM (#28382130)
Expecting that we would be aware of vaccines that provide a decade long protection against a disease that has been around for less than 3 years. I mean we could have those vaccines already, but we couldn't possibly know that we have them until they've been around for a decade or more.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:44PM (#28382233)
Per the article we already know 3-dose of Pfizer does not offer a decade of prevention. What the article states is that it offers a level of protection similar to when one first completes the two-dose regimen, so we don't have to wait a decade to know.

All we know is that an additional dose does increase your protection, but it doesn't necessarily give you a decade of protection since there were people who got the 3rd dose and still got COVID.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by bart_spoon on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @02:46PM (#28384018)
> All we know is that an additional dose does increase your protection, but it doesn't necessarily give you a decade of protection since there were people who got the 3rd dose and still got COVID.

That doesn't mean anything regarding protection longevity. There will always be instances of individuals who fail to receive immune protection from a vaccine. The vast majority of people could potentially receive years of protection with a 3rd dose, while a small group doesn't get any protection at all. That isn't specific to covid.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @03:02PM (#28384214)
Sure, but if you like at the data in the article it's virtually identical to the 2nd dose data.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by grlass on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:06PM (#28381614)
this wouldn't be covid-19 vaccine, rather a vaccine for another disease. We absolutely do not have any data on the efficacy of any covid-19 vaccine after a decade (or more than 18 months or so) yet.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by brightball on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:11PM (#28381694)
It's why I'm more interested in companies that can treat the symptoms effectively than only the vaccines right now. IMO the only way this ever truly gets better is if the effects can be mitigated quickly.

Whoever figures that out is going to make a lot of money.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by omlett on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:22PM (#28381884)
"CBD and its metabolite, 7-OH-CBD, but not congeneric cannabinoids, potently block SARS-CoV-2 replication in lung epithelial cells. CBD induces interferon expression and up-regulates its antiviral signaling pathway. A cohort of human patients previously taking CBD had significantly lower SARSCoV-2 infection incidence of up to an order of magnitude relative to matched pairs or the general population. This study highlights CBD, and its active metabolite, 7-OH-CBD, as potential preventative agents and therapeutic treatments for SARS-CoV-2 at early stages of infection."

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7987002/

I am not saying anything, JUST SAYIN'

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by yonaguska on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:47PM (#28382276)
It's been figured out, but we're waiting on Pfizer to bring it's protease inhibitor to market before we acknowledge existing, out of patent medications that do the same thing.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by Covzire on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:15PM (#28381763)
Good luck with that in 2021, someone is already making a lot of money, and ostensibly weaponizing big tech into preventing anyone from even talking about alternatives.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by Natsu on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:15PM (#28381764)
I wonder if this is really the case. It seems like the original vaccines trained everyone's immune system on the spike protein specifically because this is exposed and highly conserved by the virus, such that it's hard to change and still leave an effective virus. Delta, however, found such a mutation that made it more virulent and it escaped.

If we vaccinate against the modified spike, it's not clear how many more mutations exist like Delta. Maybe we can still get ahead of it, but I don't think anyone knows yet.

I do wonder if we'll see reformulated boosters against Delta's spikes, though.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by datameta on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:34PM (#28382069)
I wonder how accurately we can run mutation simulations updated based on best current data to correct the best guess optimization function(s). It would be a breakthrough if we can predict the likeliest mutation. I'm aware of the enormous number of variables making this tremendously difficult...
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by nradov on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:03PM (#28382541)
We don't have the technology to stimulate that accurately in software. It would have to be done using transgenic animal models and/or human tissue cultures. Essentially it would be a form of gain-of-function research, and there are concerns that a lab accident could result in an even more dangerous variant escaping into the wild.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by datameta on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:36PM (#28383041)
With ML-assisted drug discovery in, say, kinase inhibitors we search the molecule variation space for test candidates. What stops us from applying this to the protein scale by folding binding sites to discover variant candidates that would be more virulent? I'd like to understand this better.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by nradov on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @01:50PM (#28383269)
Sure you can explore the solution space in software to identify candidates but at some point you have to create a live virus and see how it actually performs.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by dv_dt on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:00PM (#28381511)
Is there any reason not to increase vaccine production rates so we have the capacity to vaccinate the world population faster than every 9 months?
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by JumpCrisscross on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:17PM (#28381798)
> Is there any reason not to increase vaccine production rates so we have the capacity to vaccinate the world population faster than every 9 months?

Capital constraints. Most specifically, human capital. mRNA production methods, including for critical precursors, are complicated. There is a limited number of people who can build and monitor the productions systems.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by raducu on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:22PM (#28381892)
There are countries filled with idiots,like my lovely Romania where 70% of people don't want to get vaccinated, and we have to sell/donate millions and millions of doses.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by andreidd on Thursday September 02, 2021 @04:55AM (#28389923)
Well, that's only partially true. Romania has preordered 120M doses for (at best) 15M eligible people. So either way, we'll have to donate tens of millions of doses.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by disgruntledphd2 on Thursday September 02, 2021 @10:31AM (#28392524)
The Irish population (including myself) are very grateful for this :) Kinda sucks for Romania though.
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by endisneigh on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:05PM (#28381593)
nope - as you allude to, ideally we could spit out these vaccines and just give people 6-month boosters until everyone is vaccinated and we're good.

I believe the issue is that too many people fail to get vaccinated so it's challenging. Requiring boosters might also convert small numbers of people who got a vaccine one to not get it subsequent times.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by dv_dt on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:08PM (#28381650)
In the first world there is an issue of take up. But around much of the rest of the world, the issues is they haven’t received nearly enough vaccine.

If we don’t significantly vaccinate much of the rest of the world, my expectation is a continued high rate of variant creation as well as continued economic instability due to logistics disruption.

Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by SideburnsOfDoom on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:10PM (#28381688)
> Is there any reason not to increase vaccine production rates

Intellectual property rights.

It's not a "good" reason. But it's a reality that needs to be overcome.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/...

https://www.democracynow.org/2021/6/22/headlines/south_afric...

Germany doesn't want the Pfizer vaccine made freely: https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/...

and by some co-incidence, this is good for German money: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-economy-biontech-...

[deleted]
Re:Israel’s Covid-19 boosters are preventing infections, new... by SideburnsOfDoom on Wednesday September 01, 2021 @12:35PM (#28382083)
And my understanding is that while opening up IP does not solve all the issues, it is a necessary step to loosen supply constraints. That is why the sources above are calling for it.