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Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by martin_a on Monday July 26, 2021 @05:46AM (#27957490)
As a German myself: Why would you not invest? Infrastructure, state of mind?

I'd really love to see more high-tech companies invest here, after we've managed to kill the solar companies... :-/

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:18AM (#27958074)
Top technical talent scarcity and cost.

In Silicon Valley, you can find a dozen 600k$ engineers relatively quickly to scale up a random startup.

In Germany... the salaries these people would be making would be < 100k$ because they are engineers, not managers. For some reason the only way to slightly increase your salary in Germany is to become a manager, but good luck with scaling up a start up by hiring 12 managers that don't have anybody to manage.

This disparity in the valuation of top engineers cause many to emigrate, and once you are in the US, it is impossible to financially justify taking a 5x pay cut to go back to Germany. (You can justify it "non-financially", but these other justifications would need to offset the 500k$ yearly that you are leaving behind).

So... finding top talent in Germany is hard. If you were to find them, hiring them would be 2x more expensive than in the US. Which makes a good that's very expensive, twice as expensive.

This is one of the many reasons why the startup scene in Germany is poor. Nobody wants to be the engineer that actually builds the stuff, everybody wants to be a "manager".

It turns out that many of the engineers that get to build the stuff become excellent managers once the company grows because they know it inside out.

---

TL;DR: if you are a tech company that needs top engineering talent to grow a super high tech facility up, you can't find enough talent there, and the one you find is twice as expensive as somewhere else.

As others have mentioned, the price of talent is insignificant for TSMC compared to the price of their machinery, so they can afford the 2x increased costs, but the lack of talent is harder to offset.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by wasmitnetzen on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:51AM (#27958305)
I don't know of a single person in my Master's degree class in Computer Science in one of Germany's top tech universities who went to the US. And I have most of them as contacts on LinkedIn. I'm not buying your premise.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Monday July 26, 2021 @10:48AM (#27960060)
Anecdotal evidence: I did my BSc, MSc, and PhD in Germany.

None of my PhD colleagues (from my and other top3 tech universities) is still in Germany, they are all in the US, except one which is now a Prof in the UK.

Most of my BSc and MSc colleagues are still in Germany, some spreaded out through europe, and few to the US.

Its pretty hard to some of us actually have work-related conversations with old friends still in Germany. They always ask about the salaries in the US, and guess something "absurd" like "you are probably making more than 200k$, 250k$?", to which the only thing you can actually say is "yes" kind of in shame, because making >500k$/year is "absurd"/"beyond imagination" by German standards.

We have all worked in Germany in industry before moving to the US (both internships, but also between MSc. and PhD, or briefly after the PhD), and there is just no comparison about the quality-level of the work and intellectual-growth in the US and Germany.

In my German employer, our 15 ppl team was 2 PhDs, and many MSc, all from different skill levels, doing a good job, etc.

In my US employer, our 50 ppl team has > 40 PhDs, couple of Stanford / MIT / Berkley / .. ex-Professors, pretty much all of them infinitely smarter than me, all giving me feedback, punching holes through my work, discovering my flaws, and teaching them to me, etc.

The difference in the amount of stuff you learn per day of work, the quality standards, etc. between both employers is abysmal.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by Roritharr on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:41AM (#27958659)
I know several that went to FANGs from TU Darmstadt and are in the situation as described by parent. They even feel socially isolated from Germany as their salaries and wealth are incomprehensible to their former friends and so are met with envy.

Personally I regret not leaving Germany earlier, it's much harder once you have kids.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by GrigoriyMikh on Monday July 26, 2021 @09:36AM (#27959158)
I know almost 20 engineers personally, who moved out from Germany, only because of low pay. But all of them were expats in a first place. Not all moved to US, some to Switzerland and some back to home country(for higher managerial positions).
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by ahartmetz on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:04AM (#27958400)
The thing about not coming back is probably true (30% the salary?!), but yeah, not many leave in the first place.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by nicbou on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:58AM (#27958796)
Money isn't everything to many. Life in Germany is good enough, and there's no guarantee that it would be betted in the US. Sure, more money is nice, but the pay in Germany is still decent, and the perks are considerable: 22% fewer work hours, for instance.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by bpodgursky on Monday July 26, 2021 @12:44PM (#27961665)
It's not, and that's perfectly fine from a societal standpoint, but people who are worried about working 22% fewer hours and are fine getting a "decent" salary are not the engineers you want to hire when trying to bootstrap a new enterprise.

They can run your company steady-state, but they are not going to build anything internationally competitive.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by helloguillecl on Monday July 26, 2021 @03:08PM (#27963864)
This is simply not true, as German tech companies have built more than just a few success examples.

Why do you think you need people who don't care about having a life outside the workplace to build something competitive?

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by bpodgursky on Monday July 26, 2021 @03:15PM (#27963980)
Germany has 80 million people. The US has 330 million.

Can you really tell me with a straight face that Germany has 25% of the success examples that the US tech industry has?

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by wasmitnetzen on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:17PM (#27966178)
Not in IT, but Germany has quite a few market leaders in "old tech": Cars, logistics (DHL, Schenker), retail (Aldi, Lidl), and a whole lot of B2B niche products.

IT isn't a fair comparison, no country in the world can compete with FAANG right now, that's hardly Germany's fault. And still, there's SAP and Deutsche Telekom. Telekom has 50% of Google's revenue. Sure, the market cap is another story, but still.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by bpodgursky on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:28PM (#27966255)
China is 100% competing with FAANG. India has a lot of close-second competition.

Most of the companies you listed were founded before 1950. That's not at odds with my thesis -- these engineers can continue to drive an already-successful business but will not be able to start something genuinely new.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by nicbou on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @04:28AM (#27969997)
I'm fine with that. I value employees having balanced lives more than GDP bragging rights.

For the record, yes they're the sort of engineers I'd want to hire. If we're making broad assumptions about a country's workforce, I'd want a happy, well-rested workforce that's not held hostage by their company's health insurance plan.

You say that as if valuing your free time is a sort of moral weakness in an employee.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @06:12AM (#27970684)
This might also help explain why so few startups survive in Germany.

If a German startup has a nice idea and start working towards it with 4 ppl 30h/week each, at say 50k$/year/employee, a US startup:

- has access to most VC funds

- the German startup might have proven that there is money there, which helps getting VC funds

- has access to (0) a lot of (1) top and (2) absurdly hard-working talent that will put as much time as necessary for the startup to out-compete everybody else,

- has access to an ecosystems of startups around that might help them,

- has access to better way to compensate these employers, like almost tax-free equity, etc.

- has access to better ways to cash out, IPO, SPACs, etc.

Once these startups outcompete and survive the competition, then and only then they can and do switch to 35h/week, etc.

Some of my friends from MSc. in Germany work there at startup incubators. They have 50k$/year salaries for 40-50h/week, and B2B startups get funded for 2 years, die, and they just move to the next one.

Most of them are trying to switch to bigger German companies like car manufacturers to get a 35h/week job that's higher paid, and are pretty burned out of the life of attempting to build stuff that ends up in nothing because they get outcompeted by the US, China, etc. every single time.

This type of international competition didn't exist 100 years ago at this level, and many DAX companies are that old. AFAICT the youngest company in the DAX is delivery hero which is 10 years old. The most valued company is SAP which is 40 years old.

Compare that with the 30 most valued companies in the S&P500....

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by nicbou on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @09:51AM (#27972421)
The question is "what values are we willing to abandon to stay competitive?" If America can compete by squeezing more out of their labour and operating in a deregulated environment, do we really want to walk down that path?
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @10:10AM (#27972659)
> "what values are we willing to abandon to stay competitive?"

That's a good question.

In the US, if you are founding a startup with 4 people, while all 4 are "employees", you are way closer to "self-employed" than to "9-4 employee at Siemens", and the startup more than handsomly compensates the employees with equity, to actually make it so: "you are working as an employee for a company that you own a big chunk of".

In Germany, it does not make financial sense to give a sizable chunk of the company to your employees. Many companies offer equity, or equity purchase plans, but as a "minor" perk, and not as the main part of the compensation.

OTOH, how long do you think self-employed people work in Germany? I know some that work 15 hours per day 7 days per week, and the system is perfectly fine with that.

So good question indeed.

My opinion is that Germany values with respect to "work" are incoherent and unsustainable.

Incoherent because Germany is fine with self-employed people working themselves to death for a miserable salary (most post man and DHL sub-sub-sub-sub contractors in Germany), the system itself keeps them miserable, while simultaneously preventing salaried employees to make the decision of how much do they want to work, and giving any freedom to their employers to appropriately compensate employees that perform better. The goal seems to be to squash the outperforming outliers, to try to broaden the average.

That's unsustainable, because cash cows (BMW, VW, Daimler, Siemens, Bosch, ....) come and go, but Germany can't generate them anymore. To the point that the German government essentially has to "co-conspire" with its cash cows (e.g. Diesel Scandal, etc.) to avoid any risks of them dying. The German people complain about the cash cows doing lots of lobbying, having lots of power, etc. but the reason this is the case is because, like the Germans call it, they are "of crucial relevance for the system".

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by SiempreViernes on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:36AM (#27958619)
Adding to that, is there any general reason for a German, besides money, to go to the US? So if the ones that go mostly do it for the money, they'll most likely stay gone.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by est31 on Monday July 26, 2021 @09:21AM (#27959004)
I know people who came back after having worked a few years in the USA. Seems like a smart move to me, considering how large bay area home prices are compared to home prices in Germany. From my limited point of view, Germany is a way better and way less expensive place to raise your child than the USA. There is way more social peace. You don't have massive gun violence. Etc.

I know people who emigrated to the USA decades ago, and now send their children to German colleges because those are practically tuition free for EU citizens (you need to pay rent tho). If you want to move back more early on, you can use your savings from your time in the USA to get the bulk cost of buying a house in one of the regions with good tech jobs like Munich out of the way. Then you can live a great life in Germany even with the limited German tech salaries.

Note that I'm not saying that you shouldn't go to the the USA in the first place. In fact, I'm still strongly considering it myself. But the less healthy, young, single, and childless you are, the more advantages does Germany have for you.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Monday July 26, 2021 @11:01AM (#27960239)
Personal development.

Working with people that are much smarter than you generally makes you better at your work.

So from that point of view, going to the places where the concentration of super smart people is the "highest" makes sense.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by SiempreViernes on Monday July 26, 2021 @12:25PM (#27961423)
There are plenty of smart people and high tech companies in Europe though, so there's no reason to take the job insecurity and parental leave hit for that alone.

You'd have to be in a niche where there's only a few teams world wide that are any good, and the US one is the one that's hiring.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @09:25AM (#27972098)
> There are plenty of smart people and high tech companies in Europe though,

Its like comparing a top German tech university with MIT, Stanford, or Berkeley.

Sure the German tech universities are really good, but from the set of people I know with offers from MIT or Stanford, none of them rejected them, because they were a huge boon for their careers.

The impact is pretty much the same with tech in SV.

> so there's no reason to take the job insecurity and parental leave hit for that alone.

Parental leave is usually _orders of magnitude better_ in SV than Germany.

All SV employers I know offer you 4-6 months of fully-paid parental leave, and allow you to take more months, but unpaid. If your salary is 600k$, your paid parental leave is ~300k$.

In Germany you get max 1800 EUR netto / month of Elterngeld. If you take it for 14 months, that's 25000 EUR. Somebody making 5000 EUR netto/month (e.g. 120k$ brutto), and deciding to stay at home, looses 3200 EUR netto per month. Most of the people I know making slightly over 100k$ in Germany with kids went back to work as soon as possible (women in less than 3 months... which is nuts), because they have bills to foot (mortage, etc.).

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by kleiba on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:34AM (#27958604)
Sorry, but just because they were in your Master's degree class does not necessarily make them top talent.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by FabHK on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:41AM (#27958228)
You're saying in SV, they're 600k$, but in Germany they're only 100k$, but it would be 2x expensive to hire them?

Why don't you pay 600k$ gross then, they get 300k$ net, and thus 3x what they'd get otherwise in Germany, but don't have to move to the US? Seems like a feasible strategy to me.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:44AM (#27958245)
Paying somebody 300k/year doesn't make them "top talent".

The top talent is in the US, Taiwan, etc. designing the 3nm plants, operating the 5nm plants, doing research, etc.

Why would a 600k$/year engineer relocate from the US to Germany for a 300k$ salary pay cut ?

I've always made more money at my next job than the previous one.

If a company wants me to leave my life here behind and move 15000km, they better offer me more, like 700k$ or 800k$. In Germany, that would cost the company 1.6 million $ yearly.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by raverbashing on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:08AM (#27958430)
Do you think they're not paying any tax in the US? That 600k gross is at most 500k net (probably less)

Also you assume they are a) happy to stay in the US b) have no immigration issues to deal with c) don't have a crazy CoL on SV that eats most of that 500k...

Yes, it's not a clear-cut move, but not too bad neither. Salary is not everything.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by stackbutterflow on Monday July 26, 2021 @09:41AM (#27959230)
For reference: 600k USD is 508k euros. 500k USD is 423k euros.

We're already down a notch. People tend to assume $1 = 1€ in this thread.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Monday July 26, 2021 @11:05AM (#27960288)
When you are making 600k$ a big part of your compensation is stocks.

There are lots of ways to pay fewer taxes in the US when holding stocks. Plus you have 401k, backdoor Roth, etc. retirement saving plans that are non-existent in Germany.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by GoOnThenDoTell on Monday July 26, 2021 @11:30AM (#27960659)
Backdoor Roth?
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by mercutio2 on Monday July 26, 2021 @02:39PM (#27963407)
It’s a thing.

Mega backdoor Roth is an even bigger thing:

https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Mega-backdoor_Roth

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by bserge on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:55AM (#27958335)
I mean, it's not like it's impossible to assemble a team that can become top talent.

But they need the ability to "level up" (by working with already existing high tech). And then they leave for the US anyway heh.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:01AM (#27958378)
This is a bit of a doubled-edged sword for German companies actually.

For example, Bosch has a research campus in california to try to achieve this.

The problem is, that after being 2 years in the US "becoming top talent", you now have the option of staying there making $$$ or coming back to germany.

Even companies like Bosch that invest a lot of money in these types of systems, have huge problems making competitive offers for the people that consider going back.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by bserge on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:53AM (#27958320)
> the startup scene in Germany is poor. Nobody wants to be the engineer that actually builds the stuff

And nobody wants to fund a startup run by engineers. Double whammy

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @03:33AM (#27981255)
This is funny, because the most successful startups i know in SV where all founded and run by engineers early on.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by _ph_ on Monday July 26, 2021 @10:23AM (#27959708)
If you would offer $600k for an engineering position, there would be no problem finding any numbers of engineers in Germany. They all would have to line up behind me of course :).

Yes, to quickly ramp up, you would have to pay more than teh average market salary, but as you pointed out, engineering positions are not as highly paid in Germany as in the silicon valley. There is nothing preventing you from paying good salaries though.

Europe has a great supply of electronic engineers and physicists. The only challenge would be that currently a lot of semiconductor investments happen in Europe, but these investments don't happen because Europe is such a bad place to invest in. Including a great supply of engineers.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Monday July 26, 2021 @10:42AM (#27959959)
> If you would offer $600k for an engineering position, there would be no problem finding any numbers of engineers in Germany.

I'm baffled at some of the answers.

Paying somebody 600k$ does not make that person a good engineer.

You could pick an undergrad, offer them 600k$, and they could take the job, but that won't make them top talent.

No company out there paying their engineers 600k$ is going to give an engineer 600k$ if they are not worth each $ of those 600k$.

---

It's not about finding engineers that are willing to have a 600k$ salary (who wouldn't if someone offers it to you?), but about attracting the best of the best engineers of a particular field, many of which already do have that salary. Why should they move to Germany?

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by stackbutterflow on Monday July 26, 2021 @11:36AM (#27960737)
> You could pick an undergrad, offer them 600k$, and they could take the job, but that won't make them top talent.

But that's exactly what is happening. People are paid these insane salaries because they're either born American or got a green card. Do you think the 20 something hired at $200k+ in the Silicon Valley are worth 5 times the seniors devs at $40k in Thailand, Spain, Poland? The only difference between a 5 digits salary engineer and a 6 digits salary engineer is a green card.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by volta83 on Wednesday July 28, 2021 @03:38AM (#27981283)
> But that's exactly what is happening. People are paid these insane salaries because they're either born American or got a green card.

Not really. Lots of people from everywhere in the World apply to Google for US (and German) positions. Most of them don't get the job. Google has offices everywhere in the world. If they want to hire you, they just hire you in your local country, and after 1 year you can transfer to the US without a green card.

> Do you think the 20 something hired at $200k+ in the Silicon Valley are worth 5 times the seniors devs at $40k in Thailand, Spain, Poland?

A 20 something hired by Google in Germany also makes 200k$. (160k EUR). For Google, these 20 something programming-competition winners and phds are worth more than most senior devs doing management with no programming, or cruft apps, etc.

Not all of these 20 something will end up making 600k at google though. But in Google they have the chance to develop into that.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by _ph_ on Monday July 26, 2021 @10:47AM (#27960050)
I think there are plenty of engineers in Europe and Germany to find. Europe has a healthy semiconductor industry, just not so many fabs. And why wouldn't a lot of people want to move to Germany? Considering how many of my colleagues have moved to Germany for the job, I don't see a special obstacle there.

Also: wherever they build their new fab, if it is outside of Taiwan, they probably have attract the engineers to move there, which place would be better suited at the moment?

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by sveme on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:56AM (#27958783)
So you're living in SV now?
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by gallexme on Monday July 26, 2021 @05:56AM (#27957556)
As a German Permits, the government is V slow. And labor is expensive. Also sounds expensive to use all the water they need, since they would need to clean it up very good and align the temperature with the rest of the attached rivers or what they use. And other climate relevant regulations.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by MarcusE1W on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:15AM (#27958053)
I am not sure that it is a bad thing that a company, any company really is not allowed to play fast and loose with the environment they operate in.

It’s not that the relevant laws are a secret and used to club you over the head once you nicely settled in and set up everything to your own advantage

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by ChemSpider on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:21AM (#27957730)
Germany has plenty of water. Certainly more than Taiwan.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by boruto on Tuesday July 27, 2021 @01:37AM (#27968994)
In Berlin there is water which even the city doesn't want. :))

http://allsinkscherman.blogspot.com/2013/02/berlin-water-pip...

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by ulfw on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:37AM (#27957842)
Germany gets round about 750mm of rain a year, Taiwan 2500mm.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by estaseuropano on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:45AM (#27957890)
Taiwan is a tiny area compared to the diversity you get in Germany, which has very diverse weather across regions, significant rivers, accessible groundwater, etc.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by sabjut on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:32AM (#27957803)
That's what Elon Musk said too about the Brandenburg Facory ("Doesn't look like a desert so it must be ok")

But environment groups are saying that ground water levels have been decreasing for years and the factory would demand too much from the water network.

So who is in the right here?

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by bildung on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:43AM (#27957878)
I assume Tesla was just trying to be cheap. As soon as the water supplier said Teslas expected demand (372 m³ per hour) wouldn't be possible, the demand suddenly shrank to 243 m³ per hour. So my guess is that Tesla tried to reduce capex by employing more wasteful water usage but now has to work more efficiently. https://www.quarks.de/umwelt/wie-problematisch-ist-der-bau-v...
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by tgsovlerkhgsel on Monday July 26, 2021 @05:09PM (#27965518)
I think the demand was peak demand, so all you need to reduce that is a) accept it as a bottleneck and slow the most water intensive process to spread the peak out, or b) add a buffer pool.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by driton on Monday July 26, 2021 @05:56AM (#27957560)
What happened to the solar companies in Germany?
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by corty on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:18AM (#27957713)
Practically all went bancrupt between 10 and 12 years ago. Starting around 2000, Germany began to heavily subsidize private solar panel installations with guaranteed prices around 1Eur/kWh (later falling to 0.5Eur/kWh, now around 0.1Eur/kWh). With subsidies falling, demand dropped. And initial high subsidies (some claim, see [0]) made the industry too lazy to get competitive abroad, so around 2008 China began to ramp up production for cheaper panels at dumping prices. Politicians failed to react with import duties until it was too late (around 2013). Falling domestic demand, lower prices and higher production in China and political failure to protect domestic production all lead to the death of Germany's solar industry. Even big names such as Siemens solar branch, who could have easily weathered the storm and buy up their competition on the cheap, got out as fast as they could. Because political flailing signaled imminent doom and no betterment in the long term.

Of course nowadays there is again political hypocrisy mounting around the need for shorter transport routes, domestic independence, more capacity, etc. But even so, measures to prop up European solar manufacturers are very weak, import duties have been lifted and China's production has now become too strong to oppose. So there is a little useless promising before an election, then silence.

[0] https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/studie-zu...

see also https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27942010#27943382

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by sabjut on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:37AM (#27957846)
I knew the Government mess up the solar market but I never knew just how much incompetence was at play there. Loosing industry to China (I am still furious about KUKA) is apparently a recreational sport for the CDU.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by nkmnz on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:12AM (#27958041)
You got it wrong. The policies that heavily subsidized the solar industry were written by Merkel when she was the Minister for the Environmental Affairs in the 90s, but put in place by Minister Trittin from the Green Party after the '98 elections. The death of the German Solar industry was the result of KEEPING those subsidies TOO HIGH FOR TOO LONG. If the government makes sure that the demand is increasing at a very high pace, all you will do as a manufacturer is t put all the cash you can get your hands on into scaling your production with the current state of technology. You'll stop all R&D, because the immediate ROI of selling "state of the art crap" is much higher. In the mean time, China created competitive technology with lower cost and finally, at some point in time, they've even created the better solar panels.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by Max-20 on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:32AM (#27958162)
Thats sadly wrong, Chinas solar industry was heavily subsidized by the state to purposely crash the market prices of panels and ruin the solar industry of western countries. Once they succeeded they raised prices again to make profit.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by nkmnz on Monday July 26, 2021 @11:03AM (#27960258)
So Chinese subsidies are “purposely crashing the market”, while German subsidies are... what exactly? Well, they did not crash the market, but they crush innovation and competitiveness, while China improved.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by yorwba on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:18AM (#27958491)
Have prices actually increased? Lazard's Levelized Cost of Energy analysis shows a steady decline in cost https://www.lazard.com/media/451447/grphx_lcoe-09-09.jpg but that also includes operating costs. I can't find a source for the solar panels themselves.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by corty on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:27AM (#27958555)
They just didn't decrase as fast as they could have, given falling prouction cost. But then again, the market was heavily distorted by German and Chinese subsidys anyways, so it is hard to know what the subsidy-free "real" market prices would have been.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by est31 on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:12AM (#27957679)
Germany entered a subsidy bidding war with China and eventually decided it's not worth the extreme skewing of the market and pulled out. This had the consequences that solar panels are now manufactured in China. IDK but from my point of view, solar panels are more dependent on salaries than chip manufacturing is.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by jansan on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:58AM (#27958801)
It's also low-tech compared to chip manufacturing.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by turbinerneiter on Monday July 26, 2021 @06:10AM (#27957664)
We spent a lot of money on solar, lots of German companies started to fill the demand, the Chinese came in and dumped prices, Germany decided not to import-tax -> lots of German tax payer money spent on installing solar power, but all the German solar companies were priced out of the market by Chinese companies.

Basically, Germany built Chinas solar industry, let our own die.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by aembleton on Monday July 26, 2021 @12:40PM (#27961615)
Import taxes are decided by the EU, so it wouldn't have been simple for Germany to quickly react.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by Max-20 on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:32AM (#27958167)
100%, sadly this is exactly how it played out.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by RivieraKid on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:45AM (#27958255)
My general impression is that Germany is not innovative, dynamic and backwards in technology among developed nations.

For example: http://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/17307.jpeg

Also, they've made some seemingly stupid decisions such as closing nuclear power plants. And I'm not a fan of their climate change policy, they should push for a worldwide carbon tax instead of forcing EVs.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by iSnow on Monday July 26, 2021 @11:00AM (#27960219)
IDK, this chart looks like a lot of German regions are pretty innovative: https://ec.europa.eu/growth/industry/policy/innovation/regio...

Also, Germany pushing for a worldwide carbon tax? That's neat, but I doubt it would cause more than a yawn in Washington, Beijing, or Delhi.

Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by f1refly on Monday July 26, 2021 @08:26AM (#27958549)
I don't know why you're under the impression technological backwardness has anything to do with abandoning cash. There's a lot of things to critizise the german government for - 16k broadband lines for newly built industrial parks anyone? - but not replacing cash is certainly not it.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by imtringued on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:51AM (#27958309)
Von der Leyen is pushing CO2 tariffs on the EU level to force CO2 taxes world wide.
Re:TSMC eyes Germany as possible location for first Europe c... by bserge on Monday July 26, 2021 @07:58AM (#27958356)
> closing nuclear power plants

Making electricity more expensive, leading to A/C being expensive, leading to beer being sold unrefrigerated, leading to a general cognitive decline.

Butterfly effect :D