It strongly disincenctivises speculation and incenctivises productive use. It ensures that a person claiming ownership of land makes more productive use of it than the cost of depriving society of use of that land. As a cherry on top, the income from LVT can be used to reduce taxes on labour, or simply to be given back as a citizen's dividend.
Those that have accumulated wealth and power it would be in their interest to increase rather than decrease the scheme-ines of the political system.
This concept has to have a name?
Indeed, jt is perhaps the most central political problem: how does a class that doesn't have power wrestle it from those who already have power?
As for the name, how about "human history"? :)
E.g. my "house" is valued at 700k. But the appraisal puts that at $280k structure and $420k land. 1% of 700k is 7k, but 1% of 420k is 4.2k.
We can fiddle around the edges, e.g. the tax being 50% of market rent rather than 100%. But the principle remains the same.
Note also that houses used as main dwellings would be exempt or pay a heavily reduced rate.
EDIT: So taking that example, let's say your house rents for 1000$ (I've no idea if this is reasonable or not). Land according to your appraisal is 60% of the property value, so land rent, that is, what you owe as LVT, is 600$/mo or 7200$/yr.
This isn't usually part of LVT proposals, and for good reason. LVT should apply to all land everywhere, or else it becomes much less effective.
It obviously would hit an equilibrium at some point but I'm not sure where.
Land developers and people would naturally become economically incentivized to live in apartments as a result, unless they live somewhere somewhat rural already.
In my 10 years here I've seen them split them make it difficult for foreigners to buy existing houses, but easy to buy off-plan https://treasury.gov.au/sites/default/files/2019-03/Stronger...
I've seen them restrict the amount of money retirement plans can use to invest in equities, promoting the use of more funds going to real estate (this was my understanding of the changes) - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superannuation_in_Australia
And now including your housing as part of your superannuation, which I wasn't aware of.
Every time I think they've run out of levers to pull, they find another one.
When I arrived here in 2011, I thought real estate was cheap compared to rents, that equation has completely flipped.
As long as it's possible to negatively gear unrelated income while building up a property portfolio it makes sense that people will be happy to lose money on rents in order to take advantage of capital gains discounts down the track.
I don't believe this is the case and haven't seen any coverage indicating a change like this.
> And now including your housing as part of your superannuation, which I wasn't aware of.
No, it's the opposite. You can withdraw part of any voluntary contributions to buy your first house. See https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-05-13/budget-superannuation...
Which will have the effect of pushing housing prices even further. It’s like the government providing ever increasing student loans, if you don’t change the supply curve it just increases demand which pushes prices higher.
We do that in Canada. I don't think it has helped with the affordability issue at all.
https://www.canada.ca/en/revenue-agency/services/tax/individ...
In aggregate, everyone having more access to more money means inflation.
Access to more money for a specific good or service means inflation concentrated in that category. See: college tuition and home prices in the U.S.
100x this. Financial policy giving everyone access to cheap mortgages has got to be one of the stupidest things governments have done in the last 30 years.
Doesn't work so well when houses are expensive.
But lots of people don't want to live in houses that small. Well, if you want more, you pay more.
And maybe the comparison isn't fair. In the 1950s, those houses weren't 70 years old, but they are now...
Have a look at Hong Kong - it's amazing seeing the 1960s building, the 1980s building and the more recent buildings next to each other and the height increase.
In 1990 the median income for someone with a a high school diploma was 26k. For someone with a masters degree it was still 50k. An educational attainment was lower across the board.
So if you didn't have 150k then I guess you're screwed since they weren't going to let apartments to be built for so long? The only situation where you'd get that ROI is if the supply of houses had been constrained strictly for so long - which almost by definition means that rents grew at that rate too.
It seems like many westerners aren’t aware that there are high quality 3-4 bedroom apartments available with easy access to schools, parks, everything else.
I did it anyway and I can't believe how everything I was told was wrong. With the high quality construction and double glazed windows, I have never heard such a level of silence. I keep the windows open because its so quiet you would go insane. It was a month before I even worked out the neighboring apartment was even occupied when I saw them exit at the same time as me. I have never heard a single sound from them.
And the best part is how liberating it is to live without needing a car. I have just walked everywhere and only use the car to visit my parents but I will likely get rid of it soon and have them come here instead.
The parent has lived in a country house than decades in multiple apartments. The joy of having neighbors next wall, ceiling or floor. The lack of air conditioning if you're in a country where it's not usual and you have to fight to get the authorization to install it. The sound of cars, bars etc.
In that situation - a renter who made ~40k a year (in today's dollars - probably 30k in 1990 dollars) in 1990 could not afford a single family home and had to deal with expensive rents (because the city didn't allowed apartments buildings where there was demand).
But humans occupy physical space. Almost everyone would prefer more privacy and space to less. Hence if the human population keeps growing, the price of having physical privacy and space will also keep growing. It’s just the bitter reality of it.
In addition, often times the architecture or established land use patterns of certain neighborhoods act as an upper limit on population density. It really grinds my gears when people advocate for essentially paving over these crucial neighborhood characteristics. This effectively destroys local culture in the name of “inclusivity”. Granted, there are definitely more neighborhoods without any unique character than not, and it’s hard to feel any sympathy for paving them over. But there are certainly quite a few neighborhoods globally that are quite special, and in these places inclusivity tends to be a tragedy of the commons scenario.
It’s hypocrisy to want to “keep the character of the neighborhood” and have more than the bare replacement number of children, since you’re creating a change in the demands on the neighborhood.
Most writeups of population growth rates and the economy focus on the economic benefits of more children, not the quality of life for the future generations. Future generations will not miss a Monarch butterfly or any species of tortoise or rhino just like we don’t miss the passenger pigeon or herds of a million bison, or being able to see a Milky Way we’ve only heard about. They might, however, be a bit put off by the water quality we’ve left behind, and let’s face it, we’re not all going to see an unspoiled wilderness because there’s relatively little left. Night sky is already abuzz with satellites.
Usually so, but sometimes not. What are the characteristics of Gion Kyoto, for example?
Maybe you should instead think of it as sitting on a piece of _land_, not a house. Twenty years ago you bought a house in the middle of nowhere, now because of people moving to the area it’s desirable and thus worth a lot more. Whose fault is that?
My understanding is Melbourne is seeing a similar result with people and companies continuing to move out toward Geelong, but I'm not there, so don't know.
I was in Brisbane last week, and that is an amazing city, and it also seems to have lots of room to grow.
Perth is quite a small city, and I believe could easily grow.
Australia doesn’t have the population to start a new major city in the center. There are still multiple cities like Adelaide which could grow instead.
We don't need more high rises, we need more medium density 3-6 story buildings, that gets you more density far cheaper than high rises. Melbourne in particular has a lot of areas that are still single family houses with good public transport walking distance from the CBD, unfortunatley NIMBY's across the full political spectrum don't want this increased density.
At the federal level they want high immigration, but at the local level they don't want immigrants to have anywhere to live in their suburb. Until local and federal policies align one way or the other housing prices will continue to increase.
That is not what profitable means. Returns on investment in housing consist of: 1. rental yields, and 2. capital gains (i.e. change in price).
You cannot say whether housing is profitable or not (or affordable, for that matter) only by considering number 2.
There’s plenty of beneficial flexibility afforded by renting, even if you can afford to do either one.
Plus, if housing doesn’t go up in value like an investment, why would you want to tie up a downpayment and tie yourself down, losing money all the while? You’d have more incentive to rent and invest your down payment money.
I’m pro owner-occupied housing. I think it’s good for families and good for the community/society. But in the hypothetical where it grows more slowly than inflation, renting starts to look a lot better than it does currently.
Whether renting or buying is more expensive depends on your market’s outlook for property prices. But in an environment where they don’t go up, I’d definitely expect renting to cost more.
I also think different cities in Austrlia have differnet issues. Adelaide has a very old demographic and little migration, and has the problem that their health care costs are going to greatly exceed their revenue. Melbourne has had too much migration, which tends to just make the economy look fine but causes a lot of strain on infrastructure. Melbourne and Sydney also suffer from being gravity wells for migration, so that people don't leave for better paying work elsewhere or cheaper housing. They choose to suffer underemployment in very competitive and saturated labour markets with unaffordable housing. I include myself here.
Housing affordability is not going to improve. There is no way prices are going to correct by the 30% - 40% in desirable places to live to get into the realm of affordability. Increasing urban density is neither attractive to people nor likely to happen. It's done and dusted. The only thing to hope for is that the rate of change will slow down, and wages will improve so that at some point in 30 years time affordability will be better. That means there will be a generation of people who don't own their homes, and the comparison to the previous generation will be highly unfavourable. Being an elderly renter is a greatly inferior experience, and the government outlay for housing the elderly will simply increase more and more.
The 'solution' to my mind is to strongly encourage people to move to places with more affordable housing and good living conditions.
This is exactly it, I'd love to leave Sydney to live somewhere else but until remote working is ingrained in our culture, it's just too risky for my partner and I to move away to a smaller city/town incase our current employment changes.
I've been amazed to hear of so many people who, as soon as they started working from home because of the pandemic, bought a house 2.5 hours away from their office. You're one bosses decision away from having a very miserable daily life.
All kinds of people get to profit off of the high housing prices that could otherwise be part of the retirement money
Most of my peers are either completely priced out of the market, or taking on 40yr or interest only loans. It seems like the market is currently a game of chicken of who’s willing to sign away more of their life. An interest only loan is literally admitting you can’t afford this house and the only hope you ever have of paying it off is if it increases in value without you doing anything.
These interest only are the reason my parents lived in a house 2x what they could afford - they took out an interest only mortgage in 2002, paid less on the mortgage than I was paying in rent for a room in an apartment last year, and sold at a 2.5x gain (to someone in my generation who is now mortgaged to the hilt), and bought a smaller home in cash from the proceeds after retirement. It's insanely unfair that the solution to irresponsible lending to my parents generation is to protect their investments and make sure I can pay back what they won't be able to repay.
Europe, by the 1500s, was running out of land and resources. So they found a whole new continent, genocided the native inhabitants, and suddenly there's plenty of land & resources to support anyone who comes over to the New World. America by about 1880 was about out of land for westward expansion, so invented steel, concrete, elevators, skyscrapers, trains, and urbanized, making land irrelevant. The industrial revolution had largely run its course by 1914, but then we had 2 world wars that devastated Europe and made America the engine of rebuilding. We got to keep our exponential growth, but a lot of folks just...died.
Single-family homes are likely to become a luxury good. Not everyone is going to have them, and prices will keep increasing as they move up the income spectrum. What happens to everyone else depends on whether you believe the world will end in fire (war) or ice (dystopia).
Most countries birth rate falls off as they become more developed. There’s estimates that the world population will stabilise around 11 billion. I don’t think there’s any theoretical reason why high quality affordable high density housing is impossible.
A condo/apartment future is actually pretty likely, and achievable. NYC and most of the non-US world went that way in the 50s, and a lot of Silicon Valley cities (which were previously all suburban sprawl) have been constructing those 4-over-1 condos like crazy over the last 10 years. Even notoriously anti-development SF Peninsula cities have gotten in on it.
But that's largely not where the real estate feeding frenzy is - condo prices are up, but nowhere near as much as SFHs. Turns out a large proportion of Millennials still want a detached house with a yard in a good school district, the same thing that the past several generations wanted, but that dream is increasingly unrealistic.
You probably still need some tweaks to disincentivise use of property as a financial vehicle, but you're 70% there just by building more.
That's not really how it works. Developers can make a profit when building new housing on vacant land, or on improving existing housing. That does not preclude the resulting housing from being affordable, though.
This is an unfortunate overloading of terms, but "profitable" in this sense doesn't mean just the usual "get more money out than you put in". It refers to the practice of land/housing speculation, and buying housing with the intent to hold and then sell at a profit without doing anything meaningful with it.
Here in Australia the government is talking about letting young people access our equivalent of their 401k to afford a deposit on a house. Without changing the supply of housing how is this anything other than another attempt from boomers to steal more wealth from their children so they can line their coffins with more gold.