novok

You probably won’t read or notice this, but basically it's kind of a 'fish doesn't realize water exists'. Think about the huge amount of detail you experience about from your visual system and thinking its just a few abstract signals. You don't realize how much detail your actually processing in real time to reduce them to the basic signals because it's so basic to your reality. Now think of that with ND people and how they are kind of blind or misprocessing social reality and you start seeing the handwave metaphor I'm trying to make.

The game I'm speaking about is the social game we all play day to day.

it would probably slowly start coming out as dual ac and dc connections and start with "garage appliances" like your laundry, central ac / vac and car charger since the garage is the cheapest place to wire something into.

Exactly!

You are also missing the point, being ND doesn't mean you are hyper verbose, always. This overall sour grapes about how NTs have social instincts is a typical development of autistic people over the years, which you are also exhibiting.

It's not an accusation, but a mirror to help them potentially realize something, so they don't suffer so much through life so. When you realize what is happening, it helps release a lot of suffering in a person's life. The sour grapes is not helpful, NT social instincts are not going away and it's better to understand and work with the world than to be upset that rain happens sometimes and it just should never exist!

NT social instincts does not mean the person is super effective socially and everything else, but it's a very useful tool if they decide to develop their social skills.

There are a bunch, like ups & happy returns which I used for GAP recently.

How ND of you! There is a difference because the when the ND person misses the mark they get reactions of confusion. What you're talking about has a huge amount of instinctual social detail behind it and knowing what kind of 'yeah right' and seeing how your audience received it is part of the game.

It's autistic / adhd hyperverbosity. Rationalists are a social group of neurodiverse people and attract neurodiverse people as a result.

> adding layers of detail and nuance rather than interrogating the one or two assumptions they make at the start

This is a fundamentally neurotypical assumption. NDs have a hard time understanding the shared context of their audience, so they splay out all the detail to compensate. Earlier in their lives they tried 'just interrogating the one or two assumptions' but because they are not able to infer context nobody understands them because they are off the mark. They also enjoy diving into a huge amount of detail and exploring every nook and cranny to potentially find something new.

You'll notice it follows a population distribution of the world, with higher weighting from less developed countries. Soviet bloc people are not a high %age of world population and also tend to be captured more by europe since it's closer. People from developed countries tend to have less incentive to move on top of that. Indians have a further advantage of already knowing english on top of that and you get our current distribution of mostly people from india, china, canada (proximity, easy TN visa and english), europe with significant slavic representation and then everywhere else in the tech industry.

If you look at the apple photos db you'll see that there is a bunch of cached pre-analysis you can leverage for items in apple photos.

The way you get governments to actually do anything is via politics and hitting the isolated public servants in their careers. Dollar for dollar and hour for hour it is by far the most effective way than vs. the courts unless there is a proven exception in them being effective this way.

In the USA you can get around such administrative batshittery[0] in lower side courts like this one by targeting the competence / career of the judge itself essentially by putting them in catch 22s where the right thing is to do the thing you want. That is usually having cases where an appeal court will cancel their ruling and in that ruling question the competence of the judge to continue being a judge or legal professional, which the battshittery exposes them to that specific risk. This is something you can do more in common law systems vs. the napoleonic courts that France has AFAIK, and the US constitution also helps here too.

This is usually how you get hostile government organizations & staff to do what you want, you need to hit them in the career and figure out how to do so quickly.

[0] batshittery = where they are doing things like ignoring basic logic / reality and other obviously against the law things

This is also, as you know, why france loves it's strikes & protests because the citizenry feel like they have nothing else.

They might make flying into france really, really really annoying for you or cause you to get all sorts of nasty issues for you when landing in the EU.

The AIs are also providing the product suggestions, and it comes from what data they are given from their searches. I think they can put 2 and 2 together on how to make that happen with the right MCP response bodies.

How much to care is reasonable? Do you live in a windowless underground security bunker? Should most businesses be held to that standard?

Lets say these are paper records, behind a locked door, with a security guard that they check id for it. If someone then breaks in at night time, cuts the cameras and knocks out the security guard and steals a filing cabinet, should that university then be fined 10% of revenue, which could mean the entire university shuts down because most businesses cannot survive that? We have to remember who is the original criminal here.

Micropayments are blocked by government money laundering regulations increasing the costs significantly to make them untenable.

Your workplace is probably redirecting traffic through a datacenter IP range. Especially if they have their own datacenters like google, microsoft, oracle, amazon, etc.

Try making a vpn via digital ocean for example and you'll see similar patterns.

That feels like the intellectual equivalent of limiting your career opportunities within a small tiny villages vs. a large city. There is so much more in the city.

If you actually try to implement the same app in multiple platforms from the same spec, you'll notice very quickly that AI makes the best quality UIs out of typescript electron or direct web. It accomplishes it's task the fastest, with the least lines of code and with the least bugs. Also hot patching updates works best with web.

And I say this as a person who isn't a web dev, but a mobile dev. This is why.

AIs are also really good at translating one complete app from one language to another where nothing changes. You'll also notice that new features will be implemented better in typescript web than iOS going further. I think this is why OpenAI changed their native swift chatgpt desktop app into web electron too.

Because it's evident you didn't engage with the last sentence I wrote properly. "Citation needed" in more words is not a sufficient response.

> As for people asking where is the evidence for half of this, you will never have public evidence for most of this, but deduce what the partly hidden parts reveal about the whole and it is fairly obvious, especially if you look at the past behaviors of the governments and other actors.

To help you further understand, the Chinese labs will never admit they were distilling until they are better than US labs with their own non-distilling process or some sort of espionage-like public reveal shows it. So you need to look at secondary indicators. Much like how the chinese government lies about their economic stats so 3rd parties use secondary indicators to figure it out.

Because distillation-only is a quick performance shortcut that only lets you get to the level of the thing your distilling for the most part or a little bit worse and does not allow you to actually progress past it. It's like only being able to make VHS copies of videos, and maybe do some basic video editing without being able to actually go out with cameras and make new movies.

To actually have something competitive and improved within the next 3 months and not be perpetually behind, you need your own independent model creation process. So to extend the metaphor, a complete movie studio with cameras, actors, staff, sets, budgets, etc. It's the right strategic move to do when you are GPU constrained, which the Chinese labs are, but it won't let you get past it.

A bunch of pedantic people will come out of the wood work citing a bunch of things saying that is not the case because of some detailed mechanics of how model training works and they will get fixated on some of the words I used, but zoom out to the level of what an AI lab is able to produce and this becomes evident.

The open models are good because of distillation, which the US labs are actively working against via not revealing CoT ever and now you can see with OpenAI Astra 6 not even having a lot of CoT equivalents being emitted as tokens. Once the anti-distillation stuff is in place the open distillation models will probably start having larger and larger gaps.

If the companies survive the next few years, which they probably will because they represent too much of US economic growth to allow them to fail, this gap will keep on expanding.

Starting from zero without distillation is a lot harder, a lot more expensive and a lot more work. OSS models is what a laggard does to get adoption. China's gov't might keep on sponsoring it as a counter GPU embargo thing, but when gov't get involved, usually the other side gets involved too.

As for people asking where is the evidence for half of this, you will never have public evidence for most of this, but deduce what the partly hidden parts reveal about the whole and it is fairly obvious, especially if you look at the past behaviors of the governments and other actors.

We don't know the architecture of this hypothetical spy splitter tho in the current case. It can be less covert and more of a complicated config, etc.

And if the hypothetical splitter is the thing that breaks? Then it would break main traffic too.

Hey if the dad is into tech, decent chance the angry teenage kid is into tech too.

The solution is redirecting to an actual API or MCP with the same ability as your GUI, along with a real way to export your data. This is the future with how AI agents will work whether you like it or not. People are not going to want to deal with a GUI if an agent can do it better and faster for them.

Yes they do, there are archives that are up to date for the month.

What is written and what is done in practice is always different. "Anti-fraud" and "security" are things you can drive a truck through.

IMO blood sugar is too simple and focused on because of ease of measurement. Someone can have rollercoaster blood sugar and be far more metabolically healthier than someone with low and steady blood sugar. Continious insulin and cortisol monitors are far more interesting IMO

Meh distillation doesn't mean you can create an existing model from scratch of similar quality. It's the AI equivalent of making a VHS copy of a video, it doesn't enable you to make your own movies very well and post training is the equivalent of video editing, which again, doesn't let you make your own movies very well.

Your seeing the AI labs respond by never publishing chain of thought now and in the future, I see them not even publishing their top models as a general purpose API and instead using it to drive their own AI apps, which will obscure even more model output. Anthropic Mythos was internal only for many months for example.

It's misregulation and boomerocracy eating their seed crop in societies where land is set up as an investment and most boomers put their life savings into real estate in the 80s/90s since the stock market was not properly accessible and the dot com bust scared the rest away from it.

Since the old boomers vote, are retired and thus have more free time to be political and are a large voting block, the democracies satisfy their short term needs since they need their votes to be a viable political party. Trump knows exactly what to do to fix it, but he knows it's completely politically unviable so he doesn't, and he states the entire logic in public speeches so it isn't a secret either.

Japan is pretty much where you want to be wrt to land. Free market land use, but national zoning regulations and a bunch of other things to prevent housing bubbles. Japan had their 'never again' real estate bubble in the 80s & 90s, so their boomers-in-power don't want real estate to be a speculative bubble and thus at least real estate is affordable even in Tokyo even with a near 0% interest rate for a very long time.

When the boomers die and millennials become the olds, they will probably implement the regulations to not allow real estate to be a bubble, because they had their 'never again' real estate bubble ruining their economic formative years in 2008 and onwards. The millennial equivalent will be index funds, which will have different deleterious effects.