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Re:ProPublica's tax story by xt00 on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @09:40PM (#27443280)
A couple of questions I would love to see some info on:

1) if somebody actually sold say 100M in stock at long term cap gains rates they should be paying roughly 15% tax, but in these cases people paid far lower than 15%, so they must offset those gains with something — what was it?

2) borrowing say 100M and using their large qty of stock as collateral at say 2% interest rate means you can buy stuff with that money then they pay it back later, but how? If they sell stock to pay it back later, then in that year they should have to pay tax in that year.. so ultimately the cash flow needs to be tracked.. if somebody buys a sports team for 2B, where did they get the cash for that? Did they buy it by paying the person in stock?

Would be great to understand how people are doing this kind of stuff because it seems like the old line about “not taxing the job creators” translating to somebody only paying 1% tax might be fine if that was the societal trade we are making but if that person is not actually benefiting society in any way, then that person paying ultra low taxes does seem unfair.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by WillPostForFood on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @09:59PM (#27443387)
but in these cases people paid far lower than 15%, so they must offset those gains with something — what was it?

Be careful. ProPublica is conflating "wealth gain", aka unrealized, unsold stock gains, with income and actual capital gains.

ultrawealthy typically hold fast to shares in the companies they’ve founded. Many titans of the 21st century sit on mountains of what are known as unrealized gains, the total size of which fluctuates each day as stock prices rise and fall. Of the $4.25 trillion in wealth held by U.S. billionaires, some $2.7 trillion is unrealized

Re:ProPublica's tax story by xt00 on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:24PM (#27443557)
100% agree that propublica didn’t do a good job, but the question remains, if somebody makes the claim that some billionaire sold some stock at long term gain prices, then in at least some tax year you would expect that massive amount of money to dwarf any losses they had, so if they truly paid long term cap gains then in one particular year their tax rate should be close to 15%. But if it’s not over long periods of time, then they have some massive method of offsetting gains. People saying “oh but they pay capital gains” or “oh they offset with losses” doesn’t make any actual sense if the numbers are huge. Like imagine some billionaire explaining to his buddy, “yea I didn’t pay any tax on the 1B in stock I sold last year because I offsetted the gains with 150M in losses rather than paying the taxes, aren’t you impressed?” Its like huh? It seems like way more likely the “losses” are actually paper losses like a building cost depreciating in value “supposedly” but actually it does not depreciate like that in reality.. so it would be great to see how this stuff works over some period of time rather than just in random one off cases.

Maybe the trick is simply just borrow for your whole life then when you die pay back the loans but somehow that payback process results in limited taxes somehow.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by ojbyrne on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:31AM (#27444233)
If you look at the table with 4 billionaires in the propublica article, 3 of the 4 (Bezos, Musk, and Buffett) paid tax rates of over 20% of their reported income, consistent with the 15% long term capital gain rate.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by quickthrowman on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:24PM (#27443880)
> Maybe the trick is simply just borrow for your whole life then when you die pay back the loans but somehow that payback process results in limited taxes somehow.

The ‘somehow’ is the stepped up basis upon death loophole: https://www.thebalance.com/how-the-stepped-up-basis-loophole...

The cost basis of an asset when inherited is set to the value on the day the owner died.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by jeremy_arnold on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @09:54PM (#27443352)
OP here. Can give some partial answers.

1. Lots of possible deductions. Charitable giving is a big one here. I guess we'll see from future instalments in the ProPublica series which ones were specifically used.

2. You can roll-over loans by borrowing new money to pay back old debt, up to a practical cap of a max % of collateralized share value. And this is worth it if the expected growth on your shares is higher than interest on the loans. But at some point you or an heir will have to realize gains if you want to exceed that practical cap -- or if the loans get called. Bezos could probably raise $2bn for a sports franchise on loan no problem coz that's only ~1% of his shares. If you're a regular billionaire with say $4-5bn in shares, much harder.

The meta point here though is that the taxes are always going to be paid at some point, and deferring that point to the future is fine if the rate of growth on the gov's share exceeds their borrowing costs (currently between 0-2% depending how you look at it).

Re:ProPublica's tax story by dwighttk on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @09:57PM (#27443375)
Haven’t there been tax holidays in the past where gains can be realized at a much lower rate so with this level of wealth it is worth putting it off just in case one of those rolls around again?

(Or is that just an urban legend I’ve been told?)

Re:ProPublica's tax story by jeremy_arnold on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:07PM (#27443431)
I know they happen for offshore wealth getting repatriated. Possible that they've existed for onshore too? Interesting thing to look into. But even if so, that just seems a vanilla case of "Congress should be held accountable to not give away the farm", as it would be a pretty perverse incentive if the rich felt that such a holiday were likely to arise.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by midasuni on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:57AM (#27445047)
The rich can pay for such a holiday
Re:ProPublica's tax story by wmf on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:02PM (#27443405)
Yeah, there's a definite asymmetry between billionaires with 30-50 year horizons and politicians worrying about 4-8 years.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by Tehdasi on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:23PM (#27443873)
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/17/technology/apple-tax-bill...

Not for individuals, but when you are a high net worth individual, it's all the same.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by bradleyjg on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:21PM (#27443867)
You criticize PP for shallow analysis but your analysis of GRATs, GRUTs, and similar estate tax avoidance strategies is even more superficial and conclusory.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by jeremy_arnold on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:40PM (#27443969)
Most of those instruments retain the initial cost basis. They're a way of getting around gift taxes, not capital gains.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by bradleyjg on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:06AM (#27444119)
In grantor trusts, transactions between the grantor and the trust are disregarded. So at the end of the trust term the grantor can buy back the appreciated assets and substitute cash in the trust vehicle. That cash (assuming a zeroed out GRAT) represents the delta between the conservative IRS assumed rate and the actual appreciation, passes to heirs gift tax free, and with no embedded capital gains basis.

Again, if you are going to throw punches you ought to make really sure you’ve done your own homework.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by jeremy_arnold on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @01:41AM (#27444597)
We'll start with the meta here. Some of these vehicles have arcane applications that I wouldn't know about. I'm not a CPA, and I pay people for corrections for a reason (which I'm pretty sure I'm about the only person on the internet who does this). If you can demonstrate to me that I've missed something meaningful here, I'm happy to pay off and revise/note my piece accordingly.

As for the concrete, the important thing here is whether those repurchased shares retain their original cost basis or not (to the grantor) from the IRS's POV. If they do, all that's happened is a complicated tax-free cash transfer. If they don't, then cap gains taxes have been avoided.

So far as I understand the rules, it's the former. If I'm wrong, I'm happy to be pointed to a credible source etc.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by ThrustVectoring on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @01:41AM (#27444594)
If you die with $100m of stock and $10m in loans, you pay estate taxes on $90m of net assets and $0 of capital gains (your heirs get a step-up in basis on death). If you die with $90m of stock because you sold $10m of it for consumption, you pay the same estate taxes and additional capital gains on the sale.

In short, the estate pays off the loans by selling stock immediately after death.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:09PM (#27443454)
An interesting (and probably obvious to most) thing mentioned in the propublica articles is that Bezos used investment losses to offset some of the realized capital gains. As in he was able to make speculative bets on startups with no downside risk because he could either gain spectacular appreciation on the ones that hit or use the failures to offset his expenses (realized gains).
Re:ProPublica's tax story by nullc on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:20PM (#27443530)
Writing off investment losses does not eliminate or even reduce the risk! It avoids you paying taxes on money you didn't actually earn.

Our income/gains taxes avoid confiscating your (hopefully productive!) property by only taxing you on the profits you realize, which both enables and encourages you to keep up what you're doing, producing more prosperity for yourself, your community, and tax income for the government. It doesn't reward you for taking risks, but it doesn't punish you for taking them either. If you take a risk, lose money, and still get taxed on that money you're getting punished for taking a risk.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:35PM (#27443617)
Yes, but when you're filthy rich and sit on a mountain of unrealized gains you get to be selective about how much you pull out. You can invest 100 million in startups knowing that most of it will go to 0, allowing you to later offset anything that you cash out with losses.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by Talanes on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:24PM (#27443877)
Would you pay $20 bucks now to offset paying tax on a future $20 bucks? There's no way to come out ahead just by failing, that scheme only minimizes risk.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by nullc on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:50PM (#27443695)
Yes and? The losses are no less real! You're still much better not having them.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by lifeformed on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:48PM (#27444015)
But the losses have a chance of being a big win. It's kind of like getting a big discount on lottery tickets.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by nullc on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:10AM (#27444133)
And your winning investments had a chance of being a failure, yet you still pay full taxes on their gains.

Imagine you believe that a stock will stay at the same price, so you make an investment that loses money if it goes up and gains if it goes down, and another that moves in the opposite direction. So the two largely cancel out and you make a bit of profit if it stays the same as you expect.

What should you pay taxes on? The amount you actually made or the 'virtual money' that flowed through only to be canceled out on the other side?

Our income and gains taxes are intended to tax you on just what you actually gained, after taking out costs (including the costs of the other investments you made that didn't pan out).

Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:46AM (#27444317)
Bezos and other rich people are sitting billions of unrealized gains.

1. Bezos gets lucky and turns $100 of founder shares into $100 billion of unrealized gains.

2. Bezos goes to the bank and gets a loan for $500 million to invest in a diverse portfolio of early stage startups knowing that only a tiny fraction of them will account for majority of his returns.

3. Every year a portion of his portfolio fails, allowing him to sell a portion of his original shares to offset the losses and show a net gain of 0, allowing him to pay no taxes.

4. He hits a Google or Uber and 10xes the original $500mil but gets to continue this scheme of not realizing the gains unless he has losses to match while his control of the universe continues to expand.

https://startupflux.com/jeff-bezos-investment-portfolio-owns...

"Jeff Bezos Investment Portfolio is very large and diverse. he owns a stake in several Very Very large companies that you’ll be surprised to hear. Bezos was one of the first shareholders in Google, when he invested $250,000 in 1998. That $250,000 investment resulted in 3.3 million shares of Google stock worth about $3.1 billion today."

Re:ProPublica's tax story by bawolff on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @06:05AM (#27446181)
And that's a bad thing?

AFAICT, the main objection is he has an obscene amount of money (which fair enough, he does). I'm not sure what your objection to this scheme is in general.

Would you still object if a small business owner did the same thing (which I'm pretty sure is common, just not with startups)?

Re:ProPublica's tax story by ksec on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @04:16PM (#27452603)
He is not objecting it.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:01AM (#27444701)
> his control of the universe continues to expand

presumably because he's disproportionately funding "the universe"? All that money on failing start-ups probably lose him more than whatever the stock-disposal tax rate is. What isn't going to the government is directly seeding the economy.

The 10x payoff is taxed. You seem to assume that would still have happened anyway - who would have funded it? Bezos investing in a portfolio created that wealth.

Assume he breaks even: He had to burn through 10$X in order to have $X shares in that 10x company. The tax he would* have paid if not offset against losses, is the same he pays on the unicorn. i.e He gets credited tax on the 10$X, but pays tax on $(10X).

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @05:42AM (#27446035)
Except, if you get a big win, you can't offset that win against gains, and in fact have to pay tax on that win. Also, a big discount is only a big discount if it differs from the norm: infact anyone is allowed to offset their losses.

Yes, maybe only billionaires have the capital to make this bet less volatile, but such is as with all things: It's generally easier to turn larger amounts of money into more money as high-capital-requirement opportunities become available to you (not just relating to this), they have still have to have large amounts of capital, and put it at risk i.e more to lose.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by nradov on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:13PM (#27443484)
The effective risk is reduced but not zero. If you lose money investing in a failed startup you're still financially worse off even after accounting for the capital gains offset.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by fshbbdssbbgdd on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:16PM (#27443846)
The math doesn’t work out here. If you lose $100 on an investment, and your tax rate is 15%, the write-off only saves you $15 in taxes. You are still out $85 compared to not having made that investment.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:54PM (#27444051)
I'm sitting on billions of capital gains and invest 20mil a pop in a diversified portfolio of startups like uber, theranos, juicero, etc. 4 years later my shares of uber are worth a billion dollars and the rest of my portfolio goes to 0, so as a recently divorced old balding man I sell enough shares to match my losses and buy a $175mil mansion and a yacht for my yacht. My net long term capital gains for the year is 0 so I pay no taxes.

The point is, you start from a $100 initial investment that has already turned into 100s of billions of dollars of unrealized gains which you can now selectively live off of without paying a dime in taxes by harvesting losses.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Thorrez on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:08AM (#27444734)
>I sell enough shares to match my losses and buy a $175mil mansion

If you had $175M to buy a mansion and paid $0 tax, you must have had $175M of losses as well. To have $175M of losses, you had to have paid $175M for those Theranos and Juicero shares. So you already had $175M sitting around in your bank account a few years ago. You could have just left it there and bought your mansion now. Your scheme gained you nothing, in fact you are worse off because you had to sell $175M of your Uber shares, which you wouldn't have had to sell if you had just kept your $175M in your bank account rather than investing in Juicero and Theranos.

My point is that the $175M you had in your bank account years ago was already realized and fully taxed because it was cash. So being able to spend it on a mansion is fair because it's already fully taxed. You used it up on your mansion and cannot spend it on anything else. If you want to buy a second mansion you'll have to find some new fully taxed money (such as sell more Uber shares and actually pay capital gains tax on them).

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:40AM (#27444944)
You need to account for the purchase of Uber shares here:

> you had to sell $175M of your Uber shares

If you had these separately to the Theranos etc shares, you had to buy them. Since the $175M was a full loss of $175M then that can't account for the (non-losing) Uber shares.

> you had to sell $175M of your Uber shares, which you wouldn't have had to sell if you had just kept your $175M in your bank account

You'd need to know to only invest in Uber, and not in Theranos etc to do this. The idea of the portfolio is you need to invest broadly to allow for the successes. If you kept the $175M in your bank account, you wouldn't be able to achieve that.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Thorrez on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @03:05AM (#27445102)
Yeah, I agree with all that. But I want to clarify a little.

>If you had these separately to the Theranos etc shares, you had to buy them. Since the $175M was a full loss of $175M then that can't account for the (non-losing) Uber shares.

Yep. So you had to have more than $175M of fully taxed money at the beginning. But most of that stayed in Uber, only a small percent of the Uber stock needed to be sold. This makes my original argument stronger, but only slightly. Since it only made my argument slightly stronger I didn't bother mentioning it.

>You'd need to know to only invest in Uber, and not in Theranos etc to do this. The idea of the portfolio is you need to invest broadly to allow for the successes. If you kept the $175M in your bank account, you wouldn't be able to achieve that.

Sure. But my main point is that this isn't a method to spend money while delaying tax on it. m_ke seemed to be saying a billionaire can spend money on a mansion without paying tax on it right away, but that $175M at the beginning already had tax paid on it. So the $175M spent on the mansion was fully taxed already.

A diversified portfolio helps with optimizing stock sales to delay some taxes. But enough taxes are still paid early such that every dollar spent is fully taxed by the time it's spent.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by kenneth on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @03:41AM (#27445279)
A simpler example: Today you buy $100 of Theranos and $100 of Uber. Tomorrow your Theranos is worth $0 and Uber is worth $200. You put in $200, you still have $200, you use the Theranos loss to offset the Uber win. This is good, this is how things should work.

But some here would say "OMG he evaded taxes on the $100 Uber gain!"

Tax loss harvesting is not a loophole, it's exactly the right thing to have, and it's available to everyone.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by fshbbdssbbgdd on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:31AM (#27444232)
True, you avoided paying taxes, but you have less money than you would if you didn’t make the failed investment (you lost more money on that investment than you saved in taxes). Therefore the statement “no downside risk” is incorrect. Your downside risk is discounted by your tax rate, it’s not zero.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:57AM (#27444357)
No, you make a ton of risky investments to build a diversified portfolio banking on only a few of them being unicorns. This allows you to cash out previous gains to match all of the losses that you pick up each year on the failed investments, while the successful ones keep appreciating and adding to your unrealized gains.

https://startupflux.com/jeff-bezos-investment-portfolio-owns...

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:31AM (#27444897)
> I sell enough shares to match my losses

Which changes depending on losses. What you are missing is you needed to purchase the portfolio in the first place - The more tax you can write off, the more it mean you lost in the first place.

assume tax rate 25%, portfolio of startup portfolio cost $X.

$UBER_CG_BILLIONS - $X is portfolio unrealised CG. I'll assume this is positive, meaning $X < $UBER_CG_BILLIONS.

Assuming "I sell enough shares" means uber shares (as opposed to some other share),

I sell exactly $X worth of my Uber shares (ignoring what I paid for the Uber shares themselves), which I offset against losses to pay no tax. Since I had to pay $X initially, this is my original investment restored.

I retain ($UBER_CG_BILLIONS - $X) worth of Uber shares.

Where does the $175mil come from? Assuming it isn't the $X I had to invest in the first place, I could sell more Uber shares, but I would have to pay full tax - I already offset all my losses in order to get the original investment back.

TLDR; you suggest $175mil was gained without tax, but without mentioning how much was lost on the portfolio in the first place - presumably more than $175mil.

EDIT: Now assume that $X is $100 for the whole portfolio, per last sentence. How common would an Uber-billions unicorn be for such a small investment to rocket like that. The more diversified your portfolio, the thinner you spread your investment. Uber stock would have to increase by 10,000,000 in value to be worth just 1 billion, even if you only invested you $100 in Uber. It would need to increase by a factor of 1,000,000,000 to be worth "100s of billions".

Re:ProPublica's tax story by refurb on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @01:02AM (#27444396)
Do tell how he has “no downside risk” when if a company fails he loses that investment and the tax offset doesn’t make him whole?

You sound like the people who say “oh! He avoids tax through charitable donations - he donates $1M and gets a $300k write off”

Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @01:27AM (#27444514)
Read my other replies, venture investing model assumes that 80% of your portfolio will go to 0 and that you hit a few unicorns that will account for most of your returns. I'm saying that Bezos can have a diversified portfolio and when he hits an Uber or Google he 1000xes his investment, which increases his net worth but isn't taxed because he gets to hold it for as long as he wants. Each year a % of his investments go to 0 and he gets to use that to cash out some of his gains without paying any taxes on them since his net gain is 0.

I'm not saying that he can save money by investing in a bunch of juiceros, just that each year when a few of his investments are duds he has a pool of unrealized gains that he can pull out tax free to match the losses.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @03:09AM (#27445124)
Are you assuming he deducts the entire loss amount from CG taxes? as in if he invests in (and loses) $100 on a portfolio, he can deducts $100 from his CG taxes - rather than a percentage of $100. Assuming tax rate is lower than 50% He loses more than he writes off in taxes, and so can cannot match his losses, only tax on the loss.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by ttul on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @09:46PM (#27443309)
Well, I think the strategy is to keep balancing your gains and losses to minimize taxes until you die, by which point you’ve transferred all your wealth out tax-efficiently through trusts.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by gruez on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:34PM (#27443615)
...by taking out loans and not paying them back? I'm not sure why any bank would sign up for that.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by triceratops on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:34AM (#27444245)
A HELOC is one example of a loan whose principal never needs to be paid off. As long as you keep making interest payments and the house keeps its value, the bank is happy.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:36PM (#27443622)
Re:ProPublica's tax story by gruez on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:10PM (#27443810)
How is this relevant?
Re:ProPublica's tax story by loeg on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:15AM (#27444157)
> if somebody actually sold say 100M in stock at long term cap gains rates they should be paying roughly 15% tax

No, capital gains tax has brackets -- it isn't a flat 15% -- and the Net Investment Income Tax also applies; for $100M in cap gains, you would pay 23.8% (20% bracket + 3.8% NIIT) on the majority of those gains (everything over $440k single / $500k MFJ).

Re:ProPublica's tax story by sroussey on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @09:54PM (#27443354)
The loans are usually interest only.