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Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:09PM (#27443454)
An interesting (and probably obvious to most) thing mentioned in the propublica articles is that Bezos used investment losses to offset some of the realized capital gains. As in he was able to make speculative bets on startups with no downside risk because he could either gain spectacular appreciation on the ones that hit or use the failures to offset his expenses (realized gains).
Re:ProPublica's tax story by nullc on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:20PM (#27443530)
Writing off investment losses does not eliminate or even reduce the risk! It avoids you paying taxes on money you didn't actually earn.

Our income/gains taxes avoid confiscating your (hopefully productive!) property by only taxing you on the profits you realize, which both enables and encourages you to keep up what you're doing, producing more prosperity for yourself, your community, and tax income for the government. It doesn't reward you for taking risks, but it doesn't punish you for taking them either. If you take a risk, lose money, and still get taxed on that money you're getting punished for taking a risk.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:35PM (#27443617)
Yes, but when you're filthy rich and sit on a mountain of unrealized gains you get to be selective about how much you pull out. You can invest 100 million in startups knowing that most of it will go to 0, allowing you to later offset anything that you cash out with losses.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by Talanes on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:24PM (#27443877)
Would you pay $20 bucks now to offset paying tax on a future $20 bucks? There's no way to come out ahead just by failing, that scheme only minimizes risk.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by nullc on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:50PM (#27443695)
Yes and? The losses are no less real! You're still much better not having them.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by lifeformed on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:48PM (#27444015)
But the losses have a chance of being a big win. It's kind of like getting a big discount on lottery tickets.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by nullc on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:10AM (#27444133)
And your winning investments had a chance of being a failure, yet you still pay full taxes on their gains.

Imagine you believe that a stock will stay at the same price, so you make an investment that loses money if it goes up and gains if it goes down, and another that moves in the opposite direction. So the two largely cancel out and you make a bit of profit if it stays the same as you expect.

What should you pay taxes on? The amount you actually made or the 'virtual money' that flowed through only to be canceled out on the other side?

Our income and gains taxes are intended to tax you on just what you actually gained, after taking out costs (including the costs of the other investments you made that didn't pan out).

Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:46AM (#27444317)
Bezos and other rich people are sitting billions of unrealized gains.

1. Bezos gets lucky and turns $100 of founder shares into $100 billion of unrealized gains.

2. Bezos goes to the bank and gets a loan for $500 million to invest in a diverse portfolio of early stage startups knowing that only a tiny fraction of them will account for majority of his returns.

3. Every year a portion of his portfolio fails, allowing him to sell a portion of his original shares to offset the losses and show a net gain of 0, allowing him to pay no taxes.

4. He hits a Google or Uber and 10xes the original $500mil but gets to continue this scheme of not realizing the gains unless he has losses to match while his control of the universe continues to expand.

https://startupflux.com/jeff-bezos-investment-portfolio-owns...

"Jeff Bezos Investment Portfolio is very large and diverse. he owns a stake in several Very Very large companies that you’ll be surprised to hear. Bezos was one of the first shareholders in Google, when he invested $250,000 in 1998. That $250,000 investment resulted in 3.3 million shares of Google stock worth about $3.1 billion today."

Re:ProPublica's tax story by bawolff on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @06:05AM (#27446181)
And that's a bad thing?

AFAICT, the main objection is he has an obscene amount of money (which fair enough, he does). I'm not sure what your objection to this scheme is in general.

Would you still object if a small business owner did the same thing (which I'm pretty sure is common, just not with startups)?

Re:ProPublica's tax story by ksec on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @04:16PM (#27452603)
He is not objecting it.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:01AM (#27444701)
> his control of the universe continues to expand

presumably because he's disproportionately funding "the universe"? All that money on failing start-ups probably lose him more than whatever the stock-disposal tax rate is. What isn't going to the government is directly seeding the economy.

The 10x payoff is taxed. You seem to assume that would still have happened anyway - who would have funded it? Bezos investing in a portfolio created that wealth.

Assume he breaks even: He had to burn through 10$X in order to have $X shares in that 10x company. The tax he would* have paid if not offset against losses, is the same he pays on the unicorn. i.e He gets credited tax on the 10$X, but pays tax on $(10X).

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @05:42AM (#27446035)
Except, if you get a big win, you can't offset that win against gains, and in fact have to pay tax on that win. Also, a big discount is only a big discount if it differs from the norm: infact anyone is allowed to offset their losses.

Yes, maybe only billionaires have the capital to make this bet less volatile, but such is as with all things: It's generally easier to turn larger amounts of money into more money as high-capital-requirement opportunities become available to you (not just relating to this), they have still have to have large amounts of capital, and put it at risk i.e more to lose.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by nradov on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @10:13PM (#27443484)
The effective risk is reduced but not zero. If you lose money investing in a failed startup you're still financially worse off even after accounting for the capital gains offset.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by fshbbdssbbgdd on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:16PM (#27443846)
The math doesn’t work out here. If you lose $100 on an investment, and your tax rate is 15%, the write-off only saves you $15 in taxes. You are still out $85 compared to not having made that investment.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @11:54PM (#27444051)
I'm sitting on billions of capital gains and invest 20mil a pop in a diversified portfolio of startups like uber, theranos, juicero, etc. 4 years later my shares of uber are worth a billion dollars and the rest of my portfolio goes to 0, so as a recently divorced old balding man I sell enough shares to match my losses and buy a $175mil mansion and a yacht for my yacht. My net long term capital gains for the year is 0 so I pay no taxes.

The point is, you start from a $100 initial investment that has already turned into 100s of billions of dollars of unrealized gains which you can now selectively live off of without paying a dime in taxes by harvesting losses.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Thorrez on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:08AM (#27444734)
>I sell enough shares to match my losses and buy a $175mil mansion

If you had $175M to buy a mansion and paid $0 tax, you must have had $175M of losses as well. To have $175M of losses, you had to have paid $175M for those Theranos and Juicero shares. So you already had $175M sitting around in your bank account a few years ago. You could have just left it there and bought your mansion now. Your scheme gained you nothing, in fact you are worse off because you had to sell $175M of your Uber shares, which you wouldn't have had to sell if you had just kept your $175M in your bank account rather than investing in Juicero and Theranos.

My point is that the $175M you had in your bank account years ago was already realized and fully taxed because it was cash. So being able to spend it on a mansion is fair because it's already fully taxed. You used it up on your mansion and cannot spend it on anything else. If you want to buy a second mansion you'll have to find some new fully taxed money (such as sell more Uber shares and actually pay capital gains tax on them).

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:40AM (#27444944)
You need to account for the purchase of Uber shares here:

> you had to sell $175M of your Uber shares

If you had these separately to the Theranos etc shares, you had to buy them. Since the $175M was a full loss of $175M then that can't account for the (non-losing) Uber shares.

> you had to sell $175M of your Uber shares, which you wouldn't have had to sell if you had just kept your $175M in your bank account

You'd need to know to only invest in Uber, and not in Theranos etc to do this. The idea of the portfolio is you need to invest broadly to allow for the successes. If you kept the $175M in your bank account, you wouldn't be able to achieve that.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Thorrez on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @03:05AM (#27445102)
Yeah, I agree with all that. But I want to clarify a little.

>If you had these separately to the Theranos etc shares, you had to buy them. Since the $175M was a full loss of $175M then that can't account for the (non-losing) Uber shares.

Yep. So you had to have more than $175M of fully taxed money at the beginning. But most of that stayed in Uber, only a small percent of the Uber stock needed to be sold. This makes my original argument stronger, but only slightly. Since it only made my argument slightly stronger I didn't bother mentioning it.

>You'd need to know to only invest in Uber, and not in Theranos etc to do this. The idea of the portfolio is you need to invest broadly to allow for the successes. If you kept the $175M in your bank account, you wouldn't be able to achieve that.

Sure. But my main point is that this isn't a method to spend money while delaying tax on it. m_ke seemed to be saying a billionaire can spend money on a mansion without paying tax on it right away, but that $175M at the beginning already had tax paid on it. So the $175M spent on the mansion was fully taxed already.

A diversified portfolio helps with optimizing stock sales to delay some taxes. But enough taxes are still paid early such that every dollar spent is fully taxed by the time it's spent.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by kenneth on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @03:41AM (#27445279)
A simpler example: Today you buy $100 of Theranos and $100 of Uber. Tomorrow your Theranos is worth $0 and Uber is worth $200. You put in $200, you still have $200, you use the Theranos loss to offset the Uber win. This is good, this is how things should work.

But some here would say "OMG he evaded taxes on the $100 Uber gain!"

Tax loss harvesting is not a loophole, it's exactly the right thing to have, and it's available to everyone.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by fshbbdssbbgdd on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:31AM (#27444232)
True, you avoided paying taxes, but you have less money than you would if you didn’t make the failed investment (you lost more money on that investment than you saved in taxes). Therefore the statement “no downside risk” is incorrect. Your downside risk is discounted by your tax rate, it’s not zero.
Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @12:57AM (#27444357)
No, you make a ton of risky investments to build a diversified portfolio banking on only a few of them being unicorns. This allows you to cash out previous gains to match all of the losses that you pick up each year on the failed investments, while the successful ones keep appreciating and adding to your unrealized gains.

https://startupflux.com/jeff-bezos-investment-portfolio-owns...

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @02:31AM (#27444897)
> I sell enough shares to match my losses

Which changes depending on losses. What you are missing is you needed to purchase the portfolio in the first place - The more tax you can write off, the more it mean you lost in the first place.

assume tax rate 25%, portfolio of startup portfolio cost $X.

$UBER_CG_BILLIONS - $X is portfolio unrealised CG. I'll assume this is positive, meaning $X < $UBER_CG_BILLIONS.

Assuming "I sell enough shares" means uber shares (as opposed to some other share),

I sell exactly $X worth of my Uber shares (ignoring what I paid for the Uber shares themselves), which I offset against losses to pay no tax. Since I had to pay $X initially, this is my original investment restored.

I retain ($UBER_CG_BILLIONS - $X) worth of Uber shares.

Where does the $175mil come from? Assuming it isn't the $X I had to invest in the first place, I could sell more Uber shares, but I would have to pay full tax - I already offset all my losses in order to get the original investment back.

TLDR; you suggest $175mil was gained without tax, but without mentioning how much was lost on the portfolio in the first place - presumably more than $175mil.

EDIT: Now assume that $X is $100 for the whole portfolio, per last sentence. How common would an Uber-billions unicorn be for such a small investment to rocket like that. The more diversified your portfolio, the thinner you spread your investment. Uber stock would have to increase by 10,000,000 in value to be worth just 1 billion, even if you only invested you $100 in Uber. It would need to increase by a factor of 1,000,000,000 to be worth "100s of billions".

Re:ProPublica's tax story by refurb on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @01:02AM (#27444396)
Do tell how he has “no downside risk” when if a company fails he loses that investment and the tax offset doesn’t make him whole?

You sound like the people who say “oh! He avoids tax through charitable donations - he donates $1M and gets a $300k write off”

Re:ProPublica's tax story by m_ke on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @01:27AM (#27444514)
Read my other replies, venture investing model assumes that 80% of your portfolio will go to 0 and that you hit a few unicorns that will account for most of your returns. I'm saying that Bezos can have a diversified portfolio and when he hits an Uber or Google he 1000xes his investment, which increases his net worth but isn't taxed because he gets to hold it for as long as he wants. Each year a % of his investments go to 0 and he gets to use that to cash out some of his gains without paying any taxes on them since his net gain is 0.

I'm not saying that he can save money by investing in a bunch of juiceros, just that each year when a few of his investments are duds he has a pool of unrealized gains that he can pull out tax free to match the losses.

Re:ProPublica's tax story by Chris2048 on Wednesday June 09, 2021 @03:09AM (#27445124)
Are you assuming he deducts the entire loss amount from CG taxes? as in if he invests in (and loses) $100 on a portfolio, he can deducts $100 from his CG taxes - rather than a percentage of $100. Assuming tax rate is lower than 50% He loses more than he writes off in taxes, and so can cannot match his losses, only tax on the loss.